Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Dodger record when leading after ...
38-9 six innings
39-3 seven innings
41-2 eight innings
Though the Dodgers in recent years have been indomitable with a lead in the late innings, and though the bullpen looks considerably weaker this season, and though last night's finish was disastrous, the Dodgers have still been strong in closing out games.
However, they have only held a lead after six innings in 42 percent of their games this season.
* * *
Did anyone hear Vin Scully say, "I feel like Jeff Kent," as the Dodger broadcast Tuesday came back from commercial late in the game. Kent had struck out four times by this point.
* * *
Mike Edwards was optioned to AAA Las Vegas to make room for the addition of Jose Cruz, Jr., according to the Dodger press notes.
The Giants bullpen, which is much maligned, hasn't been too bad, but Alou utilizes it very poorly in my opinion.
If these stats reflect an above average bullpen, I guess that puts it on the starters and an inconsistent offense.
1) The 1954 Indians won the most games when leading after 8 without losing any: 97. The 1998 Yankees were 102-1 in that situation.
2) The 1978 Mariners have the worst winning percentage of a team leading after 8. They were 41-10 or .804.
3) In Dave's study, historically, teams come from behind to win 43.7% of the time. This means trailing at any point in the game.
http://www.baseballamerica.com/today/minors/050810dish.html
21IP 5singles 0ER 4BB 18K
Even though it is pure fantasy, what do you think would happen if in a week DePo shipped up all three to pitch in the bigs?
In terms of keeping the Dodgers in close games that are tied or they are losing, it would certainly seem that this year's bullpen is much worse than last year.
Don't know how this could be measured other than just global ERA.
By the way, I've been trying to stay in DENIAL for as long as possible, but after last night's loss and Padre win, I find myself with no choice but to move over to ACCEPTANCE. Is there anyone out there who still thinks the Dodgers can pull this one off?
(There are definitely teams out there that could pick up 7 games over a month and a half - but at the moment, the Dodgers are clearly not one of them.)
i think all three would be nervous as hell, jackson less nervous because hes been here before, but billingsley and orenduff would be pretty wild, probably struggle to find the Kzone.
then i would go to various dodoger message boards, and see countless people whine and complain how these kids suck and how they want to send them back to the minors.
6 teams in baseball have won LESS games than the dodgers.
KC, Tampa Bay, Pitt, Colorado, Seattle and SF.
If we go 0-2 in our next two and Pitt, Seattle and SF go 2-0 then we are only better than the Devil Rays, Colorado and Tampa. Thats sad. Bring up the kids, play choi and perez and lets move towards next year now.
To go along with the always popular TRA-CY SUCKS.
Any chance some of our AA studs will crack the rotation next year at some point?
If Bills, Jackson, Orenduff, maybe even Miller can finish the season dominating AA, maybe some are due for a mid-season call-up.
For me, I'm keeping a sort of mental file about "these are the guys I'd like to see come back in 2006". That list is pitifully short: Penny, Gagne, Drew, Kent, and Bradley. If every other one of the MLB-level starters were to get traded, released, or otherwise disposed of, I can't say I'd be all that sad.
Now, granted, we have a lot of great minor league talent, but I think this year has shown that a lot of them just aren't ready to enter the bigs, even in 2006. Broxton is great. Thompson shows signs of brilliance. Repko could potentially clean up his act. But these guys should be playing in Las Vegas, not in Los Angeles, in 2006.
In Toronto last week, my friend there told me what the fan experience is like at a Toronto Maple Leafs game. The Maple Leafs have sold out every game for, well, forever. A long time let's put it. There is a long waiting list for season tickets. The Maple Leafs could market their team by simpling just putting up a sign outside their arena saying "GAME TONIGHT" and that would be enough.
Yet Maple Leafs games he told me are a constant bombardment of noise and promotions and gimmicks. Why do the people who run sports venues in North America think we need such stuff to keep us interested?
I draw a parallel to Dodger Stadium and its noise. The Dodgers would get people to show up for pretty much any reason I think. People like to go to the game.
But still: DON'T BRING A BEACH BALL TO A GAME!
(Sorry that brief rant must be included at all times.)
Fanerman, I like to have the game in front of me, so I prefer sitting not sitting outside the bases. Even in the reserved (blue) section, the view is great.
Infield reserve tickets are my favorite because theyre cheap ($17) and have a great view.
I have about as much use for marketing people that promote this nonsense as I do for public relations folk...
-- try to bring earplugs
-- won't take a beach ball
-- won't be going to the Stadium Club this time (but next)
-- will concentrate on the grass
-- will cheer on the "peanut" boy (but will you chant PLAY CHOI NOW?
Any other food, drink or experience suggestions?
Dont eat the Panda Express unless you plan on living through the year.
They have a beer kiosk that seems to have the biggest selection in the park in the right field reserve.
Experience suggestions? Well, enjoy the game :)
make sure you bring your cell phone to vote on the best Dodger play
make sure you pay attention to which hat the ball is under
make sure you sit next to a cute girl so you can kiss her onscreen
make sure you wear your blue hair so you can be on the scoreboard
I'll be heading out to Arizona this fall for the annual roto conference that HQ puts on. I need some positive reinforcement after this dismal season. Maybe we can hook up for some games. I expect Dunlap and Dewitt and maybe even Denker might get to play. I'll post over at the Sickels site in late Sept and maybe we can hook up with other prospect freakazoids.
All of which is to say - the kids really do love the distractions. They were also singing along with all the loud music I couldn't recognize. As annoying as it was to me (and, given the smaller crowd, it's wasn't that bad last night), it's clearly why the kids showed up. I'm not sure they had any idea who was winning the game.
My earliest memories of a major league game are of my dad taking me to Shea Stadium. I have no memory of music. I do remember sodas covered in plastic wrap before the advance of lid technology. Mostly, I remeber the game. My dad trying to explain it's intricacies, some of which I understood, some not. But I felt like I was being let in on a secret, magical world and understanding that world was what was important to me. I am biased to my own experience but I wonder if beach balls, loud music and the like inhibit entrance into that world. I hope not. And does any place sell hot roasted peanuts sold in newspaper twisted into a cone anymore.
all they are missing at the game now is weed...
sounds good. it should be nice weather too. Arizona in october and november= 65-75 breezy except during monsoons.
Fan 1: Hey, man, did you see that???
Fan 2: No, dude, what'd I miss?
Fan 1: Wow, it was like totally amazing...
by the way, different subject, but did any one notice Robles' hit on that bounced pitch last night...shades of Clemente....actually slivers...
Damn, Langhorne, that captured it perfectly. Great comment (along with DzzrtRatt's).
Don't speak too soon Howard. At one of the last games I went to (the Giants series), I saw some guy smoking what I thought was a cigarette but he was holding it kind of odd. After standing in the area for a bit, it was indeed weed.
90
Not only can you bring in your own drinks (which I heartily endorse), you can also bring in food if you wish. During the Freeway series (the spring training version), a family by me had a bucket of chicken and a bunch of sides.
Only way I ever survived a day game is to bring about 8 water bottles. I understand buying hot dogs and such but never understood why anyone would pay 5.00 for a bottle of .50 water that they could bring themselves.
Random Dodger game callback
August 10, 1965
On a sweltering Tuesday night in Los Angeles (temperatures reached the high 90s in Los Angeles), the Dodgers didn't need a lot of offense, as Sandy Koufax struck out 14 batters en route to winning his 20th game of the year, as the Dodgers beat the Mets 4-3 before a crowd of over 36,000. The win kept the Dodgers one game ahead of the second place Giants with a 66-48 record.
The Dodgers scored twice in the third. With one out, Maury Wills doubled and Jim Gilliam singled him home. Mets center fielder Johnny Lewis tried to throw out Wills at the plate but threw wildly. Mets pitcher Al Jackson chased down the throw and tried to catch Gilliam at third and threw wildly there and Gilliam scored.
In the fourth, Ron Fairly singled and moved up to second on a ground out by Wes Parker. John Roseboro singled home Fairly to make it 3-0. In the sixth, Fairly singled and Parker tripled him home to make it 4-0.
The last place Mets (34-78 coming into the game) started to rally in the eighth. Banjo hitters Bobby Klaus and Roy McMillan managed back-to-back singles with one out. Charley Smith (a former Dodger) doubled to left to score Klaus and Joe Christopher hit a sacrifice fly to make it 4-2. Koufax struck out Jim Hickman (a future Dodger) to end the inning. Klaus batted leadoff for the Mets despite hitting .196 coming into the game, although he did draw his share of walks and he batted right-handed. Future Dodgers Chris Cannizaro and Ron Hunt also played for the Mets that day. The Mets were managed by Wes Westrum who had taken over for former Dodger player and manager Casey Stengel, who retired after breaking a hip in July.
In the ninth, rookie Ron Swoboda led off with a monstrous home run to left field to make it 4-3. But Koufax got the last three Mets to get win number 20. The game was over in a brisk 2:07.
To say that Koufax had a good year in 1965 would be an understatement. He went 26-8 with a 2.04 ERA and 382 strikeouts (then a record in the era of pitchers throwing from 60'6"), and, of course, a perfect game against the Cubs on September 9.
Other pitchers had some good years. Don Drysdale was 23-12 with a 2.77 ERA (He also hit 7 home runs). Claude Osteen was 15-15 with a 2.79 ERA. Jim Brewer had a 1.82 ERA out of the bullpen and Ron Perranoski had 17 saves with a 2.24 ERA.
The Dodgers hitting wasn't great, but it was adequate for the era and the cavernous dimensions of Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers batted .245 and hit just 78 home runs. Jim Lefebvre and Lou Johnson led the team with 12 home runs apiece. Maury Wills batted .286 and stole 94 bases. Johnson was called up from the minors to replace the injured Tommy Davis, who was out with a broken ankle.
At Dodger Stadium, the Dodgers batted .239 with a .309 OBP and hit just 26 home runs. On the road, the Dodgers batted .251 with a .314 OBP and hit 52 home runs. The pitchers had an ERA at Dodger Stadium of 2.31 and 3.33 on the road.
The Dodgers won the National League with a 97-65 record, two games better than the Giants. The Dodgers won 15 of their last 16 games and gave up more than two runs in only two of those games. The Dodgers threw seven shutouts in that stretch.
In the World Series, the Dodgers faced an unfamiliar foe in the Minnesota Twins. The Dodgers dropped the first two games in Minnesota, but came back to L.A. to win three straight to go ahead 3-2 in the Series.
In Game 6, Mudcat Grant homered and threw a complete game to give the Twins a 5-1 win. But in Game 7, Koufax, on just two days rest, threw a 2-0 shutout against the Twins, striking out 10. It was the fourth World Series win for the Dodgers in 11 years.
Thanks to the Los Angeles Times, BaseballReference.com and Retrosheet
Few players without AA experience get to play in the AFL, so I wouldn't expect to see Denker, Dunlap, or Dewitt there. Last year, 6 of the 7 Dodgers that played for the Scorpions had AA experience.
any questions you have, he will answer, only open til 5pt though!
Yes, I heard that also.
Fortunately, Vin's cleaner than Mark Grace.
Seriously.
This isn't reshuffling deck chairs on the "Titanic". It's more like putting in a new roll of toilet paper in the steerage bathroom on the "Titanic".
very true, he wasnt very annoying. he almost always made contact and was a good PH. although he is the definition of banjo slappy.
So, that would seem to eliminate Edwards, but why would the Red Sox have wanted Mike Edwards?
i hate being runner up to these types of things.
cabrera, ichiro, probably others i cant recall now. they should be in dodger blue!
we were runner up in the bidding. the sticking point was that the marlins offered to pay for his younger siblings education or something like that.
Ichiro had already gone to spring training with the Mariners, who are partly owned by Japanese investors.
Besides the Dodgers were already paying a lot of money to Shawn Green to play right field in 2001.
Yes, but the Mariners got to pick first.
Hey, we got some good .... things .... from Darren Dreifort....
true, but if they actually went by worse record instead of alternating leagues, we would have picked first :(
By Dodger standards of that era, Dreifort was a great first round pick!
If by that you mean that DePo has exchanged one player who JT wouldn't use for another, then you might be right. But it seems clear to me that, offensively and defensively, Jose Cruz Jr is better than Mike Edwards. Enough better to matter this year? Probably not.
110 Where does this sadistic hatred for Repko come from?
No hate at all. He just isn't very good at anything, except running fast. What's infuriating is that Tracy insists on playing him as often as possible over players who are clearly better than Repko. Not Repko's fault by any means.
Before he was hurt, Ledee, which didn't happen often enough. Now, Jose Cruz. Even Edwards was better than Repko.
Repko's fun to watch. Maybe he puts butts in the seats by getting his uniform dirty unhelpfully. But he's not (yet, anyway) a major leaguer.
Actually, I'm guessing that DePo got Cruz precisely to get Repko benched. First Werth, then Ledee got hurt (in the most recent wave), so Tracy kept turning to Scrappy. So DePo said, fine - here's a real OFer. Play him instead.
But he's no Loren Murchison on the basepaths.
Hardly. The problem with those 3 mistakes was that they put the lie to his one claim to a starting job. Everyone knows he can't hit, but the story was that he was outstanding defensively. Unless the team is full of hitters, I think that's a lousy sole qualification for a corner outfielder, but at least it was a point in his favor. But now we know that he really isn't good defensively either. He's fast and fearless, but not very smart. The one he blew in RF on Sunday was funny. He ran full speed into the wall on a ball that bouced off the wall about 20 feet out of reach. By "giving it his all," he ended up misplaying it, and gave up at least one extra base (I don't remember exactly).
So Tracy had a bad reason for starting JR, but at least a reason -- good defense. But now we know that that isn't true either. He's not without value, but he shouldn't be sucking up 4 ABs/game.
Giants down 3-0 to Braves in 6th...
Conine just had a very professional and veteran at bat. In other words he's an old guy whose profession was hitting in that at bat. Baseball seriously needs some new adjectives
Given how bad a hitter Izturis is (his fluky April/May included), with zero power and zero patience (unless last night represented some sort of new leaf), he's not worth much money, and I'd trade him in a heartbeat to someone who overrates him.
I'm beginning to miss Kaz Ishii, who at least had no delusions of adequacy.
James (Long Beach, CA): Does Jacksonville have the best assembly of talented minor league players that you have ever seen right now? Their teams is packed with talent, Guzman, LaRoche, Loney, Greg Miller, Edwin Jackson, Billingsley, Orenduff, Russ Martin. What minor league team would even come close to comparing?
John Manuel: (4:59 PM ET ) Yes. That's the cover feature for our next issue, as a matter of fact, and I've got about 2,500 words left to write on that. It's an amazing amalgamation of talent that is more balanced, deeper, more varied than any prospect-laden farm team I've seen in my 9 years at BA. So with that said, look for that feature next week on BaseballAmerica.com, let me get back to writing it and thanks for all the great questions. I'm out.
Izzy
Robles
Bradley
Kent
Phillips
Cruz Jr.
Valentin
Navarro
Lowe
Rollins
Lofton
Utley
Abreu
Burrel
Howard
Bell
Lieberthal
Myers
Except for Kent & Bradley, ours is a lineup worthy of the Kansas City Royals. If we beat the power-laded Phillies tonight, there should be a parade.
Feh.
Here's hoping that Phillips shows us all up and contributes offensively.
Glaus cleared the bases with a double to make it 6-4 Marlins.
Now Old Friend Shawn Green is batting.
And he hasn't made a single dumb play, that cost the team an extra base or run.
Brian Giles home run last night for the Padres was his first since July 22. Giles hit just one home run in all of July.
The Braves bullpen is not very good.
He got the first out! Wow!
That isn't a real Grabowski with Livan hitting.
The last one prior to tonight was done by ....
Mike Lowell.
So the Mets jumping out to a 1-0 lead isn't cheering anyone up?
Sorry, I meant to put the link in.
http://www.retrosheet.org/hidden.htm
Jeff Kent is making me reconsider my desire for no more presidents from Texas.
Hope Vinny feels like Jeff Kent tonight.
OK, what the hell does that mean?
i was also wondering "who" talks about celery sticks at midnight.
True explanation: Thank goodness for Google.
http://www.swingtime.co.uk/Reviews/gigs/jaycraig.html
Maybe this is some weird 1950s double-entendre. "Do the celery stalks at midnight?" "Oh you naughty girl!"
Lurking in the moonlight
What's this funny nightmare
All about
Celery stalks at midnight
Mounted on their broomsticks
Gliding through the treetops
In and out
It's like a bad dream
A crazy kind of mad dream
Must have been something that I ate
No doubt.
Celery stalks at midnight
Lurking in the moonlight
What's this very funny nightmare
All about
Lyrics and Music by Carl Sigman, Will Bradley, and George Harris
And they say they don't write songs like they used to?
bonds
bells
boones
schofields?
You don't want to put in a geographic modifier in front of "brain dead" there?
Alous are one pair as are the Bonds.
no; nor will i refer to cream of wheat, lest the wrath of jim tracy fall upon me and those i hold dear.
Anyone else's gameday audio fading in and out?
THe lesser of Izturis/Robles over AP.
Valentin over Ledee.
JP and Navarro playing in the same game.
Izturis leading off.
Ehh... I could get into the acceptance mode if our best team was out on the field, and even it still lost. But until that happens, I cant quit yet.
What about Jason Phillips and Satan?
The wonder of baseball over football is the absence of halftime.
Halftime shows are the scourge of mankind.
Halftime shows and malaria are the two biggest threats to mankind to be precise.
gotta love the mole cam
Did it show Jim Tracy attached?
I apologize for calling you the Spawn of Satan. Clearly, you are just his unwitting stooge. However, I'm sure Derek Lowe has horns. There is a reward for turning him in.
Then stop stalking Carolyn Hughes! It's so creepy!
nah, not quite. but he was gazing adoringly at it from the dugout, i'm sure.
The answers were
Barry and Bobby Bonds
Moises and Felipe Alou
Jose Cruz Sr and Jose Cruz Jr
Ken Griffey Sr and Ken Griffey Jr
Gus and Buddy Bell
I'd be willing to bet his OBP is below .300 by the end of the year.
And he'll have had the most at bats on our team...
The top four Dodgers in ABs are Izturis, Kent, Phillips and Choi.
JP doing his best to not get walked.
Izturis
Choi/Saenz
Drew
Kent
Bradley
Ledee/Werth
Valentin/Perez
Phillips/Bako
is downright dreamy compared nights like tonight where there are 7 pitchers batting it seems.
The Dodgers need to call up Jose Flores, put him in right, and switch Cruz to center. Then we'll be the only team in history with an all Jason OF AND an all Jose OF
"Hee Seop Choi has been maddeningly inconsistent all season, and fails to deliver in the clutch. His coaches believe he lacks the baseball savvy to succeed at the major league level."
Phillips goes 0-3 and leaves runners on first and second
"The Dodgers received an intangible boost today from Jason Phillips, who heroically returned last night from the same hand injury that has kept J.D. Drew out for several weeks. Phillips hit the ball hard several times, but more than whatever might have resulted from his at-bats, he set the bar higher with his inspired and often extraordinary play on the field. Jim Tracy declared "You can see the difference when old Jason is out there in the lineup behind Jeffrey. They have to come in to pitch to Kent, and that means good results for me...I mean...us."
And Jeff Kent and Milton Bradley homered at some point."
I'm just trying to come up with excuses for JP. ;-)
You can use Repko as a pinch runner. And Choi would be more likely to hit a home run. And Ledee is probably marked for "emergency use only".
Looking at it now, the 3-4-5 hitters have rocked Lowe pretty hard tonight, maybe it's for the best after all...
There was the matter of the big home run that Abreu hit.
And the big double he gave up.
And the fact that Lowe isn't all that good.
Lowe must lead the league in unearned runs and also in QS where he gives up more than 3 runs.
Sanchez got all 3 batters he faced on August 2 in Washington, but he came in with a runner on.
If you want a pitcher who started an inning and went 1-2-3, it would also be Sanchez, back on July 29 against St. Louis.
Lowe should get credit for a QS. I doubt there are many times when a pitcher squeaks by as much as Lowe did tonight.
vr, Xei
vr, Xei
"Tracy wants to get Ricky Ledee's bat in the lineup"
That better be true. I'm already amazed Repko isn't playing today.
anyway, i'm leaving tomorrow for about a week or so to drive across the country. i could use the time away from the dodgers, i think. at least the A's are ahead of the angels at the moment. [knock on wood]
it's like i just had this realization about the dodgers and i couldn't really explain to myself why i bother at this point. it's incredibly deflating.
Go back to 101
I thought it would cheer people up today!
I've driven across country, by myself. My eight track took a crap in the Florida Keys...made it all the way back to Kansas before having a Burning Need To Fix It. Beware of Kansas.
When you want a guy to hold down a tie game for two innings the day after you have him pitch three runs down, it quickly leads to overuse.
No Met or Padre has ever thrown a no-hitter.
The title of the song and book is an homage of sorts to a joke, which is slightly less famous than "The Aristocrats". It's just a pun about celery moving around under the cover of darkness. It's just a weird image.
Why Vin mentioned it, he probably thought that the shattered bat looked like a celery stalk by the sound it made when it shattered. And the song and book title came into his head.
The emergency catcher will be either Derrel Thomas or Trenidad Hubbard.
David Ross got a single.
You are not meant to get a no-hitter if you give up hits to BOTH Miguel Olivo and David Ross in the same game.
i was at a game where derrel thomas caught. i believe he was the starting catcher. he hit his only home run of the season at that game, too.
vr, Xei
:( :(
But there. I've said it!
But there. I've said it!
I won't say it again!
Any volunteers for closer?
This season is over for us. From now on, I am only watching games as a scout for 2006. So far, as someone posted earlier, the list is short: Drew, Kent, Bradley, Gagne, Penny and Choi are the only safe players in my book for the major league roster.
I expect nothing of this team for the rest of the year. We should all focus on speculation about next year.
Dodgers, please make me eat crow. Though I recognize it would be a miracle.
This is my mantra.
I would assume it's pretty bad. Every team is pretty bad when losing after 8.
Then again, I've seen the Dodgers win twice coming from behind in the bottom of the ninth, which is usually more than most people see in a year.
The A's win .Their lone all star, Justin Duchscherer, took the win. Sorry if I'm beating a dead horse, but wouldn't be crazy if the WS team's only all star was a middle reliever
and on the other hand, it seems my ghame over shirt has now attained a sort of ironic propriety again. at least yhency's being consistent.
thanks for the well-wishes, guys. i'll try to check in.
j/k it's still a cool shirt.
i think i am in acceptance now too. oh well, time to look forward to the offseason to see how depo fixes this mess, next season, and our very high draft pick in next years draft.
Has anyone noticed that the content at BTF (Primer) is less insightful than it used to be?
I would love to see more links similar to what Jon has done here at DT. It would be cool to see some nice analysis on the Nats (just using it as an example) or some of the teams that I know in passing.
Instead, we get steroid threads on a daily basis. How the heck is that a Baseball Think Factory?
I get the very bad feeling that if Choi was given the same at bats Howard is, they'd be the same player.
All i want to see the rest of the year is Choi start at 1st, AP start at 3rd. Make Robles the starter at SS. Izzy should be utility infielder.
It'll never happen.
The Dodgers, right now...
...have a guy who hits so-so for a catcher starting at first base.
...said catcher plays only because the manager has some personal vendetta against the better player.
...continue to give the ball to our worst pitcher in the most important situations.
...overwork one of our decent relievers to the point where he's basically average at best.
...bat 2 of the worst 3 hitters on the roster 1st and 2nd, every single day.
This is getting ridiculous. The way the team is being run is a joke. Period. And Depo better do something about it ASAP, or I'm going to officially blame him as much as I do Tracy. There's no reason to wait until the end of the year. No reason. Fire him or get some balls and team him that it's going to be done a certain way.
So what do we do? AAA him and give him time to learn a new pitch? Change the rotation and have him pitch close games earlier (7th and 8th innings)? Use him in the Erickson slot? The kid's young and has a functional arm, apparently. Or was last year and the beginning of this year just fluky and he's really incompetent, and we should have traded him back in May?
Trading our way into barely competent relievers (see Urbina, Ugueth) is not a formula for success. If this franchise is going to be long-term successful, it has to develop arms like Brazoban's. So this is an important and meaningful test, and it goes beyond whatever random inning Tracy pulls out of a hat and decides to pitch him.
So what do we do?
If they had a reasonable chance at being successful, I could see Braz being demoted to low leverage situations. I might not agree with it, but when games actually count, it wouldn't be a terrible decision.
As it is, they need to keep trotting out Sanchez, Schmoll, Brox, and Braz as often possible as long as it doesn't mess with their development.
Beating the dead horse to death, if Tracy doesn't get it that the time has come to put future prospects out there, he should be so fired his children are fired.
I actually think the usage of the relievers is consistent with that. Yhency, Schmoll & co. need to either work through this, or fail and be gone. If Yhency is going to become a Scot Shield type for us next year, it'll be because of his f-ng up this year, instructively. If does not necessarily mean when, however.
Hope Gagne comes back 100% next year. It's easy to take it for granted until it's gone
Braz is 25. Sanchez is 25. Schmoll is even younger IIRC. We are not playing for anything. The season is over.
Sometimes you have to change just for the sake of change. So something has to be done with Braz. But in principle, I agree with 414. We take our lumps now in the hope that these players, who are within the organization and appear to have major league level arms, can improve their control and learn from their mistakes.
That doesn't mean that I would be upset about Braz going down to AAA, if he got regular work and worked on his mechanics and possibly another pitch (though his problem lately is just an obscene WHIP, including three walks tonight). I do get upset when one of our young relievers has a bad inning, and all of a sudden people want to waste time, money, and energy on Paul Quantrill or Mike Remlinger, who are the same damn pitcher but ten years older, more worn out, and useless.
411 Put him in the Erickson slot while he learns a new pitch. Make Schmoll and Brox the set-up guys, Duaner the closer and Gio and Alvarez the mop-up guys. And when Brox matures make him the closer.
And we'll still blow 40% of the games.
I'm still not in ACCEPTANCE until after this weekend. I'm enjoying my games damnit despite the pen that blows and Jim Tracy!
read paragraphs 4, 5, 6, 8, 10, and 11. The rest is BS.
the writer makes a couple errors (like saying that Antonio Perez is the Dodgers best hitter, even though Jeff Kent is), but she is ok in the paragraphs mentioned.
Rumor has it this Dodger team started the season 12-2. Really.
All for the best I guess.
But I should be enjoying a nice concert at the Hollywood Bowl. Box seats too. You know, people don't bring beach balls to concerts there.
The bullpen is catching alot of heat for the loss today and in general, as well it should, but bullpen battles are fought on two fronts and the war is really being lost on the other side..that is..the other team's bullpens are shutting down this lineup.
If you look at today's game, the late inning bullpen collapse catches your eye..but the real story lies in all the 0s the Dodger lineup put up in the late innings after the starter was pulled and the bullpen was inserted. However, this has been an ongoing problem for the dodgers since the all-star break which has been overshadowed and hidden by the bad bullpen. In fact, the lack of offense in the late innings has probably added to the bullpen problems as relief pitchers pitch under the added burden knowing it is unlikely that they will get support.
This is supported by team statistics:
Representing BA, OBP, Slg and OPB
overall .258 .327 .404 .732
7th+ .245 .322 .358 .680
close and late
.237 .329 .344 .673
Overall numbers are pretty bad but offense simply fall of the table by the time we get to close and late. Over a 20 point dip in BA and nearly a 50! point dip in OPB. Clearly, the Dodgers are getting handled by bullpens. However, one might argue, Is this part of a general ML trend and not just a LA problem? After all, bullpens are specialists and relievers, fresh arms and lefty lefty and righty righty matchups to shut down the best hitters ..nasty side armers and odd deliveries especially made to shut down the right handers or left handers in the lineup roam the bullpens of MLB (remember this point). One might think so, but take a look at the corresponding stats of teams opposing the Dodgers:
overall .272 .332 .440 .772
7th+ .283 .362 .457 .819
close and late
.283 .375 .467 .841
OK..the Dodger bad bullpen weakens the arguement that the bullpens tend to generally shut down offenses..but at keast this is useful to show us the bullpen is not the main culpret for late inning ineptness. The batting average for opposing teams only rises by 11 points vs a 20 point late inning dip for the Dodger offense.
Lets take anothe statistical sample from a team with a very good and balanced offense. The Red Sox:
overall .283 .362 .455 .816
7th+ .273 .353 .441 .794
close and late
.305 .380 .486 .866
There is about a 10 point drop off across the board for 7th on but the offense actually gets better in the late innings and close games. The fact that this team plays with a DH should actually mean the offense should do worse since an extra batter isnt coming in to hit for the pitcher in late innings.., but anyway, lets look at a NL sample for consistency...another good and balanced offensive team. St Louis:
overall .270 .340 .431 .771
7th+ .267 .345 .411 .755
close and late
.261 .332 .374 .706
Only a slight drop in 7th+ and a single digit drop in close and late.
However, not every team can be the powerhouse Cards or Red Sox right? This kind of thing is a part of why they are good teams and doesnt necessarily prove the Dodgers stinkiness is attributed to their late inning offense right?..Wrong. Take a look at their closest team in W-L (Seattle) and their closest division neighbor (Arizona).
Seattle:
overall .257 .315 .393 .708
7th+ .253 .323 .364 .686
close and late
.251 .329 .375 .704
Arizona
overall .259 .334 .424 .758
7th+ .264 .351 .415 .766
close and late
.285 .364 .455 .819
Seattle only suffers a minor dip overall while Arizona actually gets better.
What does this all mean?
On the surface, it means opposing bullpens are having unusual success against the Dodgers and there is something inherantly wrong with the lineup that makes it vulnerable in this way. The comparatively weak teams sampled, Seattle and Arizona, have similar overall numbers to LA but do not suffer this extreme drop off so its not just overall ineffective offense.
Below the surface, there are two things going on. Firstly, there is a tactical problem here. Baseball managers dont really contribute alot to a game in a tactical sense..but what they can do, they do it in the late innings. Tracy defenders can argue about injuries and lack of talent but when the same 8 guys start doing significantly worse during the late innings, it means Tracy is getting outmanaged and opposing managers are getting the bullpen matchups they want pretty much want...which leads to the second point. Strategy. Managers do effect game strategy by putting together a line-up card and Tracy has been putting out a lineup featuring a heavy dose of right handed bats bunched together in the middle..even when facing right handed starters and despite the fact he has a perfectly good left handed power hitter available to him in Choi (250 14 hrs in 250 AB). Im not going to argue whether this affects overall production against the starter but this lineup is easy pickings for a bullpen and makes an opposing manager's life very easy. Against a balanced lineup staggered with lefty and righty hitters, a manager has to think about whether to pull his struggling starter for his side arming right handed specialist as the right handed 3 hitter comes up if the 4 hitter is a lefty power hitter. Why? Because he will have to pull the specialist after one batter or have him face a lefty that can read his side armed deliver like a billboard...and then use a lefty specialist and lose that pitcher due to the right handed 5 batter..etc. Managers never have this problem against th Dodgers..the struggling starter that might have stayed in for one more batter in order to save the specialist would get pulled right away since the specialist would get to continue to face right handed hitters. The lefty gets saved for later innings as well as the rest of the bullpen. Tracy doesnt even utilize Choi off the bench correctly. The Dodger middle is riddled with weak hitting righties like Phillips and Werth but the lone left handed hitting power threat is used to pinch hit for guys near the bottom of the order leaving the middle of the order intact.
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