Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
The Dodgers placed J.D. Drew on the disabled list July 4, 81 games into the 162-game season. Since then, the Dodgers' biggest remaining left-handed power threat, Hee Seop Choi, has started 16 of 59 games and seven of the past 42.
Yes, I realize Drew and Choi don't play the same position.
Antonio Perez, whose on-base percentage is exceeded only by Jeff Kent on the active roster, has made 17 starts since Drew's injury.
And the great defenders playing third base ahead of Perez are ...
September 10, 1963
Sandy Koufax threw a complete game win for his 23rd win of the season and struck out nine to bring his season total up to 276, breaking his own National League record for most strikeouts in a season by a lefthander, as the Dodgers beat the Pirates at Forbes Field, 4-2 before a crowd of around 11,000. The win improved the Dodgers record to 87-57 and kept their lead over second place St. Louis at three games. The Dodgers magic number for clinching the pennant was now 14.
The Dodgers scored in the first on an RBI single by Ron Fairly and added a second run in the sixth when Pirate third baseman Bob Bailey threw away a Frank Howard grounder to let Fairly score. Wally Moon hit a 2-run home run in the seventh to put the Dodgers up 4-0.
In the bottom of the seventh, Koufax retired the first two batters, but gave up a single to Ted Savage, who ended up at third when left fielder Tommy Davis misplayed the ball for an error. Bob Bailey followed with a single to drive in Savage. Roberto Clemente homered off of Koufax in the eighth for Pittsburgh's other run.
1963 was the Year of Sandy Koufax. He went 25-5 with a 1.88 ERA and 306 strikeouts to win the pitcher's Triple Crown. He would do the same in 1965 and 1966. Koufax was named MVP of the NL for 1963 and he won the Cy Young Award. Koufax also threw 11 shutouts.
Don Drysdale was no slouch on the mound either going 19-17 with a 2.63 ERA. Ron Perranoski pitched in 69 games out of the bullpen and went 16-3 with a 1.67 ERA and 21 saves.
Tommy Davis led the NL in batting average at .326, the last Dodger to win a batting title. Maury Wills, after stealing 104 bases in 1962, dropped down to just 40 stolen bases in 1963, but it was still the most in the National League. Howard hit 28 home runs, but somehow managed to drive in only 64 runs.
The Dodgers would win the National League with a 99-63 record, six games better than the Cardinals. A three-game sweep in St. Louis from September 16-18 dashed the Cardinals hopes that they could catch the Dodgers in another late season swoon like they had done in 1962.
In the World Series, the Dodgers met their traditional nemesis, the New York Yankees. The teams had met seven times previously in New York and this would be their first bicoastal World Series. The Yankees had won 104 games and had won the last two World Series.
But the 1963 World Series would be no contest. The Dodgers would sweep the Yankees behind some incredible pitching.
Koufax struck out a record 15 batters in a 5-2 win in Game 1. Johnny Podres and Perranoski combined for a 4-1 win in Game 2 at Yankee Stadium. Coming back to Los Angeles, it got worse for the Yankees. Drysdale threw a three-hit shutout in Game 3 as the Dodgers picked up a 1-0 win. And in Game 4, Koufax went the distance again as the Dodgers won 2-1 despite getting just two hits. Frank Howard hit a home run off of Whitey Ford and Willie Davis hit a sacrifice fly to score Jim Gilliam who had reached on an error.
It would be hard to find another season in Dodgers history that was more satisfying than 1963.
Thanks to Los Angeles Times, BaseballReference.com and Retrosheet
1. We still don't know if Choi can cut it as a starter, since he didn't get the chance.
2. Milton did not learn to control his anger.
3. The more we hear about our "great" prospects at catcher, the more I wish we had La Duca back.
4. The Dodgers defense really did stink.
5. Thanks to injuries, we really have no clue if DePodesta's moves were good or bad.
6. They still only grill some of the dogs at the stadium.
7. Tracy displayed all his worst attributes as a coach and few of his best.
8. Most of the Dodgers who weren't injured played up to their potential, and the team still stunk.
9. Few heroes, few memorable moments. Even in a losing season, I would expect more.
10. The Dodgers still have a chance to make the playoffs while being 14 games under .500. Come to think of it, that's not frustrating, it's just sad.
All in all, for me, this has been the most unsatisfying season I can remember.
But Tracy does not believe it. Both within the organization and within the clubhouse, I suspect Tracy is not alone.
Haven't these people suffered enough?
follwed by 5 on the list above, mainly cause the press, not my own belife. I think it was good enough. The injuries are something I have never seen as a dodger fan. Maybe I am wrong? Maybe someone can point out a more injured season to key players in the last 20 years?
Seriously, I agree with you; the injuries have been horrific and I wonder if they have been historically so.
I do not concur with point #2. The Dodgers catching situation would not be any better if they were saddled with a longterm contract for Paul Lo Duca.
And I think Navarro is developing much faster than Lo Duca did.
Lo Duca did not get called up until he was 26 years old and did not become a regular until he was 29. Considering Navarro's youth and his respectable showing with the bat, I'm not unhappy.
I don't do research if I have to perform a math function during it.
Except for magic numbers.
San Diego has a magic number of 16.
I corrected Timmerman, I corrected Timmerman...
I liked Lo Duca, but seeing him traded didn't bother me for a second. Throw in the fact we have super-prospect Martin in the wings, and it's all good at the catcher position.
Yes, but then you spelled my name wrong. ;-)
And you call yourself an educator!
I demand you return your degree to UCLA!
We have exacting standards at UCLA. We just don't let anybody in.
I'd like to summon Mark Twain to my defense who said, "I don't give a damn for a man who can spell a word only one way."
Yeah, it's no defense at all but it's all I got.
Crushing, really...
I will be heading out soon with ddger, bokonon42 and Jim Hitchcock to go root on ... somebody.
The head of FEMA is in trouble because on his resume he said in one of his jobs he was "assistant city manager" when in reality he was "assistant to the city manager."
Yes. I also love the way that people in denial about our pitching staff blame Choi for their problems.
choi has had 882 at-bats in his major league career, from ages 23-26, and he has hit 39 home runs. that's one every 22.6 at-bats. maybe they tend to come in bunches, but considering he only plays occasionally, i'm not surprised at that. and this is all as a young player. he's more than proven his potential to deserve a fair shot at being the starter, day in and day out.
33 -- why let facts get in the way?
And oldbear, yeah I think we should keep Bradley, too. He's worth nothing. Nobody wants him. Lock him and Jeff Kent in a room with a shrink for a week (and hope the shrink isn't found dead afterwards) and see what happens.
1) The St. Louis series in May, when people still wanted to believe that the pitching staff was decent, regardless of the 163 hits the Cardinals got in that series. In a season rife with bitter ironies, the irony here is that Choi was the only reason we won even one of those games, taking advantage of the birth of the Grabowski Principle.
2) The play in Chicago, where the runner was out anyway, and after the game, Choi didn't run to the manager going "As long as I'm Asian, I'm OK."
That's the third sign of the Naccarato Prophecy's foretelling I think.
The itnesrenitg tnhig abuot spilleng is taht sduteis hvae shwon taht as lnog as the frsit and lsat lteter of a wrod are in the corerct piositon and all of the ltetres are psrenet, the wrod can sitll be raed.
So why let sellinpng get in the way?
We could call him that, but there will likely be a bunch of us here doing the self-immolation thing too.
I think that everyone can agree that LaDuca is the better player today. It all depends on your needs. Are you building for the future or trying to win today.
3B Aybar
1B Choi
SS Robles
2B Kent
RF Cruz
C Navarro
LF Valentin
RF Repko
P Lowe
If you also looked at his expected OPS which considers the # of line drives that a player has hit, he's been a very unlucky player this year.
I really think all this complaining about Choi's playing time is missplaced. Obviously Choi is not only a better hitter, but a better defensive 1B than Phillips. But phillips has only played 19 games at first. If Choi had hit like David Ortiz in those 19 games, I dont think that it would change very much in the standings.
If the question is why are the 2005 Dodgers 20 games worse than the 2004 Dodgers, Phillips over Choi for 19 games doesnt even begin to provide an answer.
i'll drive you in son. LOL!!!!!
i guess tracy gave up on the hit and run combo at the top of the order for this game (werth,robles with daddy after). LOL!!!!!
whats up with valentin and repko.
That's really just a one headed monster. Saenz/Choi would be a two-headed monster.
This is the strangest argument I have ever seen for playing Phillips over Choi.
3. robles (start, him sure, but bat him 3rd??)
7. valentin
8. repko
though i guess repko is a little understandable if ledee's hamstrings are acting up. but where's werth? i can only imagine:
"jayson, you've been walking too darn much lately. i'm gonna sit you down a game to think about it, son. maybe you ought to spend some time with wallach..."
However, I go back to the point that once Bradley went down and it was clear that the Dodgers weren't going to make a big acquisition, Tracy and DePodesta should have talked and figured out a way to get Choi into the lineup more. They didn't and we paid the price.....It would be awesome to go back to the time Drew was injured to the present look at some of the match-ups and project what might have happened.
its part of it, along with the rest of the millions of tracy blunders.
44. Lo Duca's opb is 349, Navarro's 362. Navarro has only caught 22% of basestealers, Lo Duca has caught 25%. I dont think there is any statistical argument that Lo Duca any more than 1 win better than Navarro.<<<
The statistical sample is too small to mean much. In the first half of the season I guess that Izturis was the (one of the) best SS in baseball and then in July-Aug he shouldn't be on the 40 man roster(statistically)
I agree with you. I doubt the Dodgers would be that much better if Choi were playing everyday.
It still boggles the mind that with a team that already lacks power (even with Drew) that Choi wouldn't play.
My own rant...
If Tracy is so worried about the infield defense, why isn't Valentin playing 3rd? Is it because of the knee? Valentin is supposed to be a pretty good defensive IF. If he isn't playing 3rd, should he really be in the lineup at all? If the defensive metrics from the past are correct, playing him anywhere but the left side of the infield seems to negate his strengths. He's been such a lousy hitter that playing him in left isn't doing the team any good.
Soon coming will be the sound of seven horns and from the sky, the four horseman of the apocolypse. Wait a second, no, it will just be the Notre Dame/Michigan game!
Go Irish!
Jon,
Are you suggesting in your post that J.D. Drew would have made the difference in the Dodgers season?
This entire season is the result of one thing--that trade last year and the efforts to dismantle a division champion in the off season by thinking they could replace quality people with affordable others on paper.
Yes, I'll agree we seem to have a good stock of future hopefuls, but what is that compared to what we are witnessing today?
What good is all of that supposed talent if its going to be either traded away or allowed to sign else where when they are just coming into their prime? I'm sorry but it all stinks. It's like buying junk stock on the margin. Stock that is a complete gamble that you still bet the bank on.
Look at the people that are making the decisions on and off the field. Tell me that they don't need to be put out to pasture.
They Shoot Horses Don't They?
look, with all the injuries, even if antonio perez and hee seop choi were getting the playing time they deserve, the dodgers would still not be going anywhere in the postseason. this team needs jd drew, milton bradley, eric gagne, and cesar izturis all healthy to be a good team, and it probably needs choi and perez playing too. but the fact that choi and perez are not playing, even when they should be, and ESPECIALLY when people like phillips and valentin and edwards are starting in their stead, speaks volumes about how screwed up the management of the team is, and that's why we complain. wrong is wrong.
I can hardly wait to hear your explanation of JD Drew bunting.
should i keep going on.
Just because I didn't post it earlier...
CF Roberts
2B Loretta
1B Fick
RF Giles
3B Randa
LF McAnulty
SS Greene
C Olivo
P Hensley
1. what's wrong with the trade last year? would we be better with lo duca and mota than penny and choi and navarro? absolutely not.
2. which quality people did we let go? steve finley (.227 EqA)? adrian beltre(.261)? alex cora? i guess dave roberts would have been nice to have around, but that's not why we're losing. on the other side of the coin, is derek lowe affordable? jd drew? odalis perez? jeff kent was pretty affordable, i think, but he has produced more than the value of his contract so far. i don't see where you're going with this, tommy.
Best answer: Because he gets to face Jeff Weaver four times a year.
Next Best Answer: Because the Giants are dumb.
The answer to the first question is obviously no. A terrible bullpen and injuries have sunk this team.
The answer to the second question is more complicated and murky, but we do know that the Dodgers bunt less than most NL teams, i saw a list for this somewhere(unfortuanatly i dont remember). But i think this needs to be discussed more.
As to the third question; watch the Angels or the Cubs, or the Yankees, or the Nationals and tell me that Tracy is worse than those managers. The problem is that we have been comparing Tracy a perfect standard. Its like saying we should trade Choi because he's not Albert Pujols. If Depodesta really thought that there were better managerial candidates out there, he wouldve hired them last off-season.
The other problem here is that while we point out his mistakes, because there obvious. What about when he makes the right moves? Is everyone saying here that every move that tracy has made is wrong? The complaints about tracy are similar to the complaints about Choi; the media only notices his defensive shortcomings and his strikeouts, ignoring his homeruns and walks. If you are going to argue that Tracy, on balance, is a bad manager, you have to fill out the other side of the ledger, and then way the wrong moves against the right ones. I dont see anyone here doing that.
1. what's wrong with the trade last year? would we be better with lo duca and mota than penny and choi and navarro? absolutely not.
If THE TRADE included Navarro it would have been more balanced...it didn't. It left a hole at catcher in a pennant race, a hole in the bullpen.
In-game decisions are... a lot of chance I think and I don't think Tracy can be "blamed" for them. When I said wins in 77 I mean wins in the sense of about 10 runs (ie, player x is worth 2 more wins than the replacement player). I think leaving in a pitcher too long is not as significant as not playing the right guys, plus all managers make those mistakes from time to time. I think everybody is exagerrating the blame on Tracy.
Still, if our manager and general manager were on the same page, I think we'd be right in the thick of things in the division race (.500ish and either 1st or 2nd by a couple games). I think if everybody was as healthy as we hoped (130 games out of Drew, Bradley... Gagne here, etc), that would have made us a 90-win team.
OBP .343 SLG .340
Navarro's stats now
OBP .362 SLG .313
This team is now in shambles.
Steve -- you'll be happy to know that Gigantor is back, starting (starting?) tomorrow for the Nationals.
how did it leave us with a hole in the bullpen? brazoban pitched better than mota down the stretch, and gagne was underused if anything in the playoffs. our bullpen was fine without mota. and if you want to complain about last year's pennant race, go ahead, but we did win the division, in part thanks to the deadline moves, and frankly that team was not in the same class as the cardinals even with lo duca. and this doesn't even take into account the fact that lo duca has a horrible slump the during last month of the season every year: remember, he hit .189 last september for the marlins, and he is a career .227 hitter in september. so, you're trying to tell us that having him around for the end of the pennant race wouldn't have left us with "a hole at catcher"?
and if we kept him, we wouldn't have tried to get navarro in the offseason, and frankly he's got to be worth more than lo duca over the next few years because of his age and inexpensiveness. put it this way: penny is worth more than lo duca, and choi is worth more than mota, so if anything the trade was unbalanced in our favor. no complaints here.
It won't take long for the league to figure him out and cut his BA down...
Valentin: .610 OPS
Repko: .628 OPS
Lowe: .337 OPS
The only part of last years team that wasnt subject to massive turnover was the bullpen, and the bullpen has been this season's greatest weakness. It seems to me that Depodesta didnt turnover the roster enough.
I have to get running here for a birthday party in Belmont Shore, but I'm going with this for the same reasons you suggest: All of the decisions have been wrong decisions. I also think it's pure speculation to say what kind of year these guys would have had if they were still in LA.
-Beltre's in a completely different league that features a designated hitter. As well as in an environment he didn't want to be in the first place. (He wanted to be in LA, right?)
-LoDuca: Well, you don't get rid of a hard to fill spot like the one behind the plate. At the plate, was it going to be any worse? At least LoDuca would throw some guys out once in a while--while many of you think his defense was suspect, I think he was better then Piazza behind the plate. (sacralige as saying that might be.)
-Dave Roberts: What a great move that was. Most here didn't think much of him as a lead-off hitter. What is the team in dire need of at this moment, or are you convinced that Werth striking out the majority of the team is an asset?
Who did we get in return for him?
What has Dave done since that? World Series Champion and soon to be crowned Division West Champion.
Who did we get for him again?
The replacements:
Bent Mayne, David Ross, Jason Phllips, Mike Rose and a Dioner Navarro who may or not be ready for the major leagues. Imagine him learning the position as a back-up to LoDuca?
Brad Penny: 7 wins, 10 losses, since his aquisition but he's got an ERA of 3.82 for this season. WOO WOO!
Yes, we needed an arm, but giving up the nucleus of your team to get it is a huge mistake.
Lets not also forget to mention the teams which preportedly never want to do business with DePodesta ever again after his shennigans during the Shawn Green dumping.
I know I don't match up anywhere near any of you in regards to stats and theories and stuff. All's I know is that this team sucks, and as a lifelong fan, and yes, and opinionated one-I hate it.
He just looked out to me.
It's probably impossible (or very difficult) to figure out how far Tracy is from the "perfect" manager because we'd have to factor in in-game moves, which I think is silly for reasons I said in the previous paragraph. The fairest amount of "blame" we can put on Tracy is probably only quantifiable by the players he does and doesn't put on the field.
But it seems like some people here are judging him against the perfect manager and not a manager who can replace him.
Predicting that Drew would miss a lot of the season because of injuries would not be a stretch. He had missed a few games because his knee hurt b4...
not to mention the fact that green now gets to feast on dodger pitching. in 12 games against the dodgers he has 5 homers, 3 doubles, and is OPSing 1.085
he wouldn't have had a chance to do that if he was still playing for LA :)
Agree!
It's not just stats and theories and stuff you're short of.
that's like if you have a friend you meet up with for a drink after work, and he tends to run a little late because his boss keeps him after closing time sometimes. one day, he gets mugged and beat up and shows up to meet you 20 minutes late. do you tell him that it's "not a stretch" that something like that would happen to him, because he's usually late anyway? no, because it's totally unrelated.
anyway, jd drew's knee is doing fine, from what i understand. i think he's on the DL because he got hit right on the wrist by a 90+ mile-an-hour fastball. can one predict things like that from year to year? maybe if you're a psychic.
Hobo, Yes, I was of course refering to defense. Offensively, he's going to a hall in Cooperston, NY isn't he?
I like that thought about comparing Tracy to the perfect manager. Someone is finally utilizing some common analytical sense to all of this.
WARP in 2005
Lo Duca 3.8
Mota 0.7
total 4.5
Penny 3.9
Choi 2.0
total 4.9
you dont want me to compare the salaries.
Hey, go ahead and insult me all you want, feel free. This ADD mind of mine learned to let it go in one ear and out the other a long time ago.
Boo hoo. Poor you.
Fallout, Glad to see I'm not alone.
Read my post #141 under "To All the Tracy-Bashers I've Loved Before" (Home page)
It sure got a rise...
Looking at WARP, the big fall-off from 2004 to 2005 was in the bullpen. 67% of the WARP difference between the two teams can be atributed to the bullpen, and half of that to Gagne's absence.
Which is obviously the point
It sure got a rise...
Which is obviously the point <<<
We agree...?
You are obviously letting your computer do the thinking for you. You see, some guys are born winners, guys like robers and lo duca. If you ever have questions about whether someone is a born winner or not, ask Bill Plaske, but usually they produce a lot of scrappieness. :)
Erickson, Carrara, Tracy, Repko, Edwards, Valentin.
But Penny/Choi for Loduca, and then getting Finley last season were great moves.
Never mind that the winning percentage last year before he was traded was higher than the winning percentage after he was traded, and that the majority of last year's wins came before he was traded.
Didn't you just do what Vishal criticized?
as for beltre, the league adjustment thing can only explain so much. how long does it take? he CHOSE to go to seattle, and he's getting very handsomely rewarded for it, so i don't know why he's not happy there. if he isn't, i can't feel too badly for him. frankly, it looks to me like since his foot stopped hurting, he's back to chasing the low-outside slider again. and we all know he can do that here in LA just as easily as he can in seattle.
and to close the book on lo duca, i'll take navarro at his price, over lo duca, at his price. i'm happy with that. navarro's not THAT much worse, and he has potential to be better. plus, i'd rather spend the money on better players than on overpaying lo duca like florida has.
Huh?
That is crazy on so many levels. A few quickies: (1) um, how does Guzman feel about his manager saying, essentially, that he sucks so bad he needs to be sat down to keep from making it worse. (2) I'm sorry, Guzman's season as the highest paid National position player is what it is (and its not pretty). The grownups around major league baseball are just not going to be fooled by this trick. (3) Have any of these people ever heard of Ted Williams. Sheesh.
Robinson has gone from being a great player/bad manager to being a great player/cantankerous old guy/certifiabily crazy manager. Anyone catch the two-out hook of Halama after giving up a single run in the first inning ther night, leaving his already overextended bullpen to throw 180 plus pitches in a game where they were in deep water after 4 innings regardless.
By the way, I saw your note about Gigantor. I hope the nickname catches on. I have not TMed it.
might turn out as good or better than perez as the future 2b after kent leaves.
159.I would venture a guess that there is a high correlation between winning and good statistical performance. <<<
It's like a guy who gets a base hit and is later thrown out on the bases for making a bad decision. There are a lot of players who do things like that. But, it's not in the numbers.
His .347 OBP doesn't compare that favorably to say, Antonio Perez (.375)
(or no, beause as the second out in the inning, it's not really productive to move the man to third)
(but wait, what if there's a wild pitch?)
Is it only because Tracy does not (yet) have an irrational hatred of him?
Yes. And it was a dumb move then, too.
Coincidentally enough, that same manager has managed about half of the current Dodger roster this year. Jerry Royster.
I have the same problem...
Personally, I would rather watch them play and decide for myself if they can run the bases or play defense or anything else.
Because he's only 22-33 on steal attempts.
He's also 33 years old.
come on. a majority of the season (3 months of baseball, april through july) was played before lo duca was traded (2 months, august and september). they did have a little better winning percentage, though, it's true. there's a good article on salon written after last season about that very thing(you have to watch a commercial to read it though, so i'll excerpt a little):
http://www.salon.com/news/sports/col/kaufman/2004/10/04/monday/
excerpt: *The Dodgers did play better before they traded Lo Duca than after. They were 60-42, a .588 winning percentage, before the trade and 33-27, .550, after it. But it sure took a long time for the chemistry effect to kick in: Before they went into that 10-game tailspin in mid-September, the Dodgers had played .590 ball (23-16) in 39 games after trading Lo Duca, almost exactly as well as they'd played before.
But we have to count that tailspin. It's not as though that .588 pre-trade winning percentage didn't include some cold stretches. The Dodgers had eight- and six-game losing streaks with Lo Duca onboard.
The drop of 38 points in winning percentage translates to two extra losses over the 60 games after the trade....
And how does the loss-of-chemistry argument account for the way the Dodgers recovered from that September cold streak and played well down the stretch -- the exact opposite of what this team has been known for in the last decade? And what about that come-from-behind division-clincher? Aren't these the sorts of things you need good chemistry to be able to do?
By the way, the Dodgers also got Bill Murphy, a pitching prospect, in the Lo Duca trade. They turned around and sent Murphy to the Diamondbacks for Steve Finley, who provided some production in center field and hit that division-winning grand slam Saturday.*
His ERA may be in the 3.00-3.30 range.
Thats the reason for the drop off in winning %. Schedule strength.
You keep saying, "are you trying to suggest ..." - I think you need to read me a bit more literally. All I'm suggesting is what is plainly there - I think Choi and Peres should have played more.
The main difference in the 2 situations is that Hernandez was the best player on his team, while Guzman is the worst.
I don't see how anyone can argue differently. But some will...
BTW, LoDuca could also play some OF. Uh, LoDuca in LF or Valentine?
people should be excited for aybar because he played this year hurt. he was on and off the the DL since the end of may with groin and hamstring strains. Before he went on the DL, he was abosolutely crushing the ball with around a .350 average in AAA. but after he came back from the dl, it seemed to diminish his power.
still, aybar managed 26 doubles so he did show gap power and in AA jax last year, he did hit 15hrs (one less than guzman) with 27 doubles.
add in the fact that he rarely strikes out, has a very good k:bb ratio and good overall OBA and plays very good defense, there is a lot to be excited about over willy aybar.
although if he does end the season strong, his trade value will be considerbly higher in the offseason.
2005 ZIPS- 199ip, 131k, 62bb, 3.53 ERA
2005 actual- 197ip, 132k, 46bb, 3.65 ERA
but yea, i think aybar could do it. he has power growth as shown by his doubles power in the minors. aybar also switch hits, so he would be subjected to the tracy platoon.
okay a little prospect love here.<<<
I wish I could see him for myself to see how he looks at the plate.
But, unfortunately I had to move to N.CA a few yrs ago and am stuck watching the Giants.
234- I like Aybar better than Perez. He should be a solid all around player. I see his future at 2B.
233- agree, Lowe will probably start to really decline in year 3 of his contract, but like you said, I'd only trade him if we could get something of value in return (a young SP)
lowe is gassed. i think that ends lowes no ER streak. what was it at? how many innings, anyone know?
Pitching around him to get to Randa<<
speaking of Randa, that was a good trade for SD
Giles
Abreu
Dunn
I wouldn't mind getting any of those three over the offseason...
how old is duaner? 26? i think in the offseason depo should lock him up through his arby years.
considering what was given up to get each player, the cruz trade was better.
That would put us 6 games out.
We then have 17 games left until the last padres series. If we can 3 games during that 17 game stretch (do able), we'd have a shot.
.261/.316/.408
considering they gave up their best SP prospect, was it good because randa was it a big name? i dont get it.
Bonds will be activated Monday (Giants announcers)<<<
Hope he gets hit on the knee. I like the Giant announcers but I do not agree with how much they are promoting Bonds ignoring his steroid issues.
I'd love him, but I'm not sure what to make of the contract
Not much fun to watch BB.
IMO, i enjoy it. its the game within the game. the battle between the pitcher and batter to control that one at bat. personally, i love players that work the count.
They are in a pennant race and needed a third baseman. have to pay the price.
Did Repko bring back a homer, or is Gameday lying?
I think not.
thats fine, it still wasnt a "good" trade.
randa is playing very average to below average.
"Special lineup: Manager Jim Tracy, no stranger to inventive lineups, trotted out another one Saturday afternoon. Willy Aybar made his first Major League start, playing third base and batting leadoff, while Hee-Seop Choi batted second, dropping Oscar Robles to the No. 3 hole.
"Tracy said Ricky Ledee's sore hamstring and the drastic righty-lefty splits of Padres spot starter Clay Hensley were the genesis of his idea.
"'Lefties are hitting .308 against him and righties are hitting .122 [entering Saturday],' Tracy said. '[Derek Lowe], the last three starts, has been brilliant. You need to provide him good defense.'"
Lets have the Dodgers win tomorrow. Then make up 3 games out of the 17 left before the last padres series.
It helped to keep them in 1st. What did the Dodgers do? Give up?
we saw his struggle early this year, we saw him develop the change and now we see him becoming an elite relief pitcher.
i bet we could get a kings ransom for him in the offseason... not that i want to trade him but yea...
It'll either be Choi at 1st. Or Kent at 1st, with AP at 2nd.
cruz has produced better than randa so i dont know what you are talking about. oh and if you think they are still in first because of joe randa then i guess our views conflict too much for us to agree on anything.
they are still in first because the NL west is a horrid division.
Again, and for the last time. The Dodgers have a third baseman. His name is Antonio Perez. He is better than Joe Randa, or at least was before Joe Randa became an auxiliary member of the LoDuca Cult.
they dont have to even be prescription, just for looks is okay too.
anytime. who starts on the mound? orenduff?
319 -- arm angles.
"kept in first place?"
Unbelievable is right. No one said that.
>>>His name is Antonio Perez. He is better than Joe Randa<<<
Who was comparing the two? You are making up your own arguments.
nate - what do you think of next years draft? Looks like the Dodgers will be drafting in the top 10 (it really hurts to say that), but will get a chance at some really elite amatuers. I really hope that the DBacks cant sign Upton and he reenters next years draft and slips past the small market teams to LA. Of course, thats a pipe dream.
he is a lot like mota IMO. but the best part is that when we got mota, he was around 28 and it took him a couple of years to become an elite relief pitcher and soon his prime will be over. sanchez is only 26 and is his arsenal is almost exactly like motas.
286. natepurcell
It helped to keep them in 1st. What did the Dodgers do? Give up?"
I am done with you. You are not worth it.
the guy i want is matt laporta from florida. he is LFer converted from catcher and is the biggest bat in the draft. unbelievable raw power and great batting eye. hes the guy i want.
And the Giants lose so the Dodgers are ... for the time being ... tied for third ... I think.
It sounds like a song, but it was a beautiful day for a ballgame....
Big diff in kept them and helped...
what are his numbers after the wilkerson bomb? if you dont mind putting them together.
the prep class isnt bad, i really like devin shepherd and cody johnson as the positional players and im fond of matt latos in the pitching department.
i dont think laporta is represented by boras... yet.
The one run was the loss in Colorado
laporta does go to florida though, so he has the "southern" part down.
To be honest, I'd prefer he walk the first 4 if he needs to
of course he was a sophmore last year and with natural progression hes probably going to hit 350+ this year. laporta also hit 26 homeruns and slugged 700 last yr as a sophmore.
hes going to be scary next year.
Anyway, thanks to Jon for making that possible, and to Bob for the invite. The weather was perfect for a day game...light cloud cover most of the game. It was great.
Did Lowe just throw like a girl?
When I said that at the stadium, I got a withering look from the six year old in front of me. P.C. training starts early in L.A.
She also looked like she weighed about 100 lbs.
I could barely sleep last night, which was unusual for me. My sleep patterns were all messed up because I didn't eat dinner until 11:30 pm because of the radio thing. Traffic problems precluded me from stopping along the way to the game (signals were broken through much of the San Gabriel Valley).
Then to top it off, I think I got bit by a mosquito right between my shoulder blades around 3 in the morning which started to itch.
I was operating on a lot of coffee today.
Abreu, Martin, Guzman, Ruggiano, and Garcia all have hits (Guzman a double) good for exactly one run. Juarez hasn't gievn up any runs through 2 IP
1-0 Suns
i hope this isnt a small sample size but rather a progression what we can see him from next year.
Welcome to the board and I totally agree with your comments on A Perez. I'm sure that if he had become the starting 3b he'd be hitting around 250-275 right now if he faced RHP on a daily basis. As I've said before on this board his whole OBP is boosted by his batting average which is only at 316 because of his high rate on BBIP. Remember when he was hitting 345. Now he is at 315 and soon he would be under 300 if given a chance.
Perez is probably not the answer but he does deserve a chance. Even if he really is a 250-275 hitter that is better then what we've gotten so far from the JT favorites.
Edwards is not the answer and should be a usefull utility player.
Valentin is not the answer and should retire today. Why he plays anymore and why he is even on the roster anymore is beyond me. Maybe he's a good clubhouse influence or he plays card with JT.
Robles can't be the answer if we also start Izzy at SS. The lineup can only afford one of the two.
Is Aybar the answer? He would probably do better then anyone we trotted out there this year but to expect him in his 1st year to be a big plus would be expecting to much. I don't think he has the power to stay at 3b which is why the Dodgers moved him from 3b to 2nd in the 1st place. He only played 3b this year because we had a need. I've heard but not seen that he plays an above average 2nd and 3b defense. He very well could play 3b for us next year and then move to 2nd base when Kent moves on or the Dodgers could simply move Kent to 1st next year and put him at 2nd. Most minor league analysts do not consider him a top prospect. Baseball Prospectus was the exception. I tend to trust BP as I've checked them out against the competition over the last 5 years and they make some mistakes but they do a better job then BA in identifying prospects who can actually play in the major leagus. JMO
MiLB.com again doesn't have the advertised Suns audio, but you can get it here if you don't mind registration:
http://930thefox.com/
Featuring Underwater Joe Block tonight, for some reason.
A Martinez posed the same question about Chan Ho. He came up with the same conclusion we did; he will be remembered fondly.
Naturally, that means he will be booed.
I mean this in the kindest possible way, but I'm picturing "Bring it On" starring a taller, thinner Bob Newhart.
College football. Talk about pacing in a sport.
And for our host, the Cardinal have an 11-point lead over Navy in the 4th.
I guess it figures that right after I post the info, they'd lose the signal.
Sigh.
Stanford has not had much success on long road trips. The Cardinal last won a regular-season game east of the Mountain Time Zone when they defeated Notre Dame 33-16 in South Bend in 1992. Since then, the Cardinal are 0-9-1.
Stanford and Navy have played twice before: in 1954 (a 25-0 Navy win) and 1965 (a 7-7 tie). This will be Stanford's first game against one of the service academies since playing Army in 1979, a 17-13 loss. The program's last win against an academy school was a 67-14 home win over Army in 1975. The last road win at an academy school was a 38-3 victory at Army in 1971.
--San Francisco Chronicle
Russ Martin is apparently bickering with her a little bit.
http://www.930thefox.com/930thefox_audiostream.html
Bob Timmermann- doesn't wear a watch; not a stickler for shaving. Just as much fun to watch a game sitting next to him as you'd think. Futzes with his cell phone.
Ddger- doesn't wear a watch; does wear one of those visor dealies. Doesn't have sufficient respect for the sun/insensitive to the sun protection needs of white people.
Jim Hitchcock- Wears a digital watch, doesn't talk nearly so loudly as the screeching kid behind me, so I couldn't hear most of what he had to say.
Screeching kid behind me- Likes beachballs and the wave; not at all shy about whipping me in the head with his rally towel.
Thanks, Bob, for the ticket and thanks to all for the company.
http://players.eonstreams.com/FastAim/Player/Player.php?PlayerID=60#
5-0 Suns.
Get the brooms ready.
6-0 Suns.
They're a Cubs farm team. They have the Southern League pitcher of the year, Ricky Nolasco (14-3, 2.89). And he has the second-best ERA in their rotation (Pinto, 2.78).
Our bats will be tested.
- Larger than life poster of J.D. Drew adorns the smoker's Corner of Shame.
- (One of the too few things I did hear Jim Hitchcock say) the sound system is old. Maybe forty+ years old.
- Between innings "Kiss-cam" came dangerously close, a couple of times, to becoming between innings "Second-base-cam".
Great game for Juarez, he deserved the shutout. He may have just pitched himself out of the Dodgers system, I'd imagine he'll be one of the better Rule V eligible
molokai@yahoo.com put Dodger Thoughts in the subject.
# Juan Rivera singles on a line drive to right fielder Joshua Cowles.
# Adam Godwin hits a sacrifice bunt. Fielding error by pitcher Mike Pete. Juan Rivera to 2nd. Adam Godwin to 1st.
# David Sutherland reaches on force attempt, throwing error by third baseman Dallas Morris. Juan Rivera scores. Adam Godwin scores. David Sutherland to 3rd.
# Russell Mitchell singles on a line drive to left fielder Bradley Coon. David Sutherland scores.
# Jason Mooneyham hit by pitch. Russell Mitchell to 2nd.
# Pitcher Change: Rafael Cruz Chavez replaces Mike Pete.
# Juan Apodaca out on a sacrifice bunt, catcher Brett Martinez to second baseman Billy Boyer. Russell Mitchell to 3rd. Jason Mooneyham to 2nd.
# With Jesus Soto batting, Russell Mitchell caught stealing home, catcher Brett Martinez to third baseman Dallas Morris, Jason Mooneyham to 3rd.
# With Jesus Soto batting, passed ball by Brett Martinez, Jason Mooneyham scores.
# Jesus Soto grounds out, shortstop Hainley Statia to first baseman Mark Trumbo.
Classes have started, so I no longer have time to watch the games, but I'm still reading all the posts.
Steve, how you can bang your head against a wall for so long is amazing, but you make me laugh consistently.
football coach with the initials JT?
I was wearing a watch. I always wear a watch. I would wear a watch in the shower if I could.
I usually shave, but I haven't gone to work since Wednesday so I had a "House, M.D." look.
YOU'RE RISKING A PATIENT'S LIFE!
I attended two sporting events today where the team I was rooting for outscored the opponents 3-1.
Dodgers 3, Padres 1
UCLA 63, Rice 21
Dodgers
Suns
Raptors
Longhorns
Now, I'm hearing Larry Bowa saying how Barry Bonds will help the Giants catch the Padres.
Yeah, you keep on believing that Larry.
If I could grow a proper beard, I'd never shave again. I've been waiting twenty-five years but it's still a patchy mess every time I try. Much like Jim Tracy or Paul DePodesta (as you prefer) I'm a tragic figure.
I like to wear a watch so I can find out when I can go home.
At the game, I used the clock on the scoreboard to check the time because I use that to mark the official time of the game.
The Rose Bowl doesn't have a time of day clock. It's very annoying.
Stan from Tacoma
(it takes quite a long time to read all the posts, maybe I'm a slow reader).
Really enjoyed reading RDGC today. Thanks Bob for sharing that. It would have been exciting to follow the dodgers that year.
I was in the presence of some extraordinary gentlemen for this afternoon's game.
Really unnexpected and pleasant surprise in seeing Choi start and perform well.
Bob as usual was as informative in persons as he is on DT. There was a near accident though when a line drive foul ball was headed straight for Bob but fortunately a kid's glove knocked it down just in time.
Thank goodness, can't imagine what DT would be like without Bob input.
Enjoyed seeing Jim again after the Dunn Outing. Jim will get to watch Beltre in Seattle soon.
Bokonon42 needs faster connection at home to keep up real time with DT. I also wore a watch and short sleeve shirt so I don't know how you missed it. Being asian gave me an advantage against the sun so I was able to wear short sleeve shirt compared to others wearing long sleeve shirts.
Anyway, thanks Bob for a great enjoyable afternoon.
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