Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
(Unless there are two):
National League Wild Card
88-73 Houston (Chicago at Houston, 11 a.m.)
87-74 Philadelphia (Philadelphia at Washington, 10 a.m.)
American League Wild Card
94-67 Boston (New York at Boston, 11 a.m.)
93-68 Cleveland (Chicago at Cleveland, 10 a.m.)
* * *
* * *
I'd like to tell a pensive Jeff Kent to have a little faith. I'd also like to feel more confident that next year won't be Kent's turn to fade or get hurt.
* * *
Rich Lederer has written about the Jim Tracy situation at Baseball Analysts.
Sandy Koufax made his fifth major league appearance on July 24, 1955 in the second game of a doubleheader against the Braves. With the Dodgers well behind, Sandy pitched in relief and held the Braves scoreless. Unfortunately for Walt Alston, the other Dodger pitchers who went to the mound allowed 9 runs en route to a 9-2 Dodger defeat. In his one inning of work Sandy was flawless: no hits, no runs,and no walks.
Thanks to Koufax, written by Sandy and Ed Linn and retrosheet
http://tinyurl.com/bpc5p
You can read what I have to say about Johnson and Valentine further down in the same comments section.
To tie the Brooklyn record, they would need 20 doubles.
RE: Tracy, managers, etc. Shouldn't we expect DePo to pick a manager with the sme qualities that Beane looks for? That is to say, a warm body in the uniform who will play the GM's lineup...
With Jose Macias batting second.
And we complain about Jim Tracy.
Sorry to be so juvenile this early but it struck me as funny.
Nomar is batting cleanup.
I think most of us qualify...
The other thing I didn't understand was in yesterday's LAT, one of the articles suggested they would let Tracy know on Tues, in part to avoid the embarrassment of his going to manage a team with a lower payroll. What did that mean? Why do the Dodgers care where he goes or what the payroll of that team is.
And the Daily News story by Tony Jackson states that the decision on whether or not to keep Tracy is solely DePodesta's.
http://www2.dailynews.com/dodgers/ci_3079372
Wow, never heard thoughts like that expressed before....
This was my favorite line:
In the offseason, he then let Adrian Beltre, Steve Finley, Shawn Green and Jose Lima depart, the players who had more to do with the division title than anyone else.
I have to admit, I stopped reading after that gem.
Of all the midseason acquisitions by all the teams in the majors, the only ones that really made a difference were the Yankees acquiring Shawn Chacon and the Giants getting Randy Winn.
Most teams had to stand pat this year and just patch things together with minor leaguers as need be.
No one forced Tracy to keep sending Mike Edwards and Jason Phillips and Jason Repko out game after game, when there were likely better replacements on the bench for them.
So what implosion is Keisser looking at? Does he think that the Dodgers are going to turn into the Royals?
Columns like Keisser have moved me decidedly into the FJT camp. Keisser wrote that column likely after polishing back a few too many drinks at his desk at the P-T.
Might as well go down swinging!
glad to have you aboard, bob :)
14. Depodesta seems to be more of a consensus builder than Beane, who seemes to like to run the A's like his own personal feifdom. My guess is that Depodesta would rather hire someone with his own ideas and philosophies that complement Depodesta's rather than a warm body; an Earl Weaver-type.
Mrow!
Got stories, Bob? Do tell.
1) One faction in the Dodger front office is already lobbying to hire Orel (would love to know who is in that group)
2) The Mariners recently offered Beltre to the Angels in a trade (didn't say who they wanted to get back for him).
Of course, since L.A. writers usually can't get their facts straight, I'm not sure how much we ought to listen to a NY columnist
If Seattle would be willing to pay 1/3 to 1/2 of Beltre's contract, I'd be happy to have him back. My guess is that wherever he plays next year, he'll have a better season than he did this year (although I doubt he'll ever equal his '04 numbers again).
Houston has a 2-0 lead after rallying for some runs in the 1st. Now in the 4th
Yankees and Red Sox are scoreless in the 3rd
Phillies have a 5-0 lead in the 6th
3B Aybar
CF Repko
SS Perez
LF Edwards
1B Choi
RF Werth
LF Grabowski
C Rose
P Dessens
In Beltre you more or less know what you're getting. The road to Cooperstown is littered with can't miss prospects who never made it.
Guzman and/or LaRoche could probably be packaged to get a very good left-fielder or starter.
Having said all of that, I'm not sure that I would really want to go that route, but sometimes I think we tend to assume that once our Jacksonville team gets here in 07-08 that we'll have 5-10 years of World Series flags flying. It ain't necessarily so.
40--Why do baseball writers continue to unearth guys like Davey Johnson or Jim Leyland? Johnson was actually retired WHILE he had the Dodger job, he just didn't tell anyone. Dick Williams is probably available too, doesn't mean you'd hire him.
You do? Please enlighten the rest of us, because what he appears to have done for five years, nobody wants, and what he did for one year, nobody, apparently, can expect.
Hoston scored another run on an Oswalt single, but Barrett led off the 5th with a homer. 3-1 Astros in the 5th, Neifi up with no outs and a runner on 1st
Boston has a 1-0 lead on a sac fly after the bases were walked loaded
The Pirates, Reds and several other teams are manager-shopping
The Reds found their man already, three days ago. Guess research just gets in the way for busy journalists like Bob.
We have four guys and three slots by 2007, why would we want to reduce that to two? Beltre was 21st in OPS amongst third baseman this season (as classified by Yahoo, Casey Blake shouldn't really count) behind such luminaries as Vinny Castilla, Rob Mackowiak, and Chone Figgins. How much better do you really think he can be? I had some of the lowest expectations out of Beltre out there, and he didn't even live up to those.
Derrek Lee: 1.083
What is truly bizarre is the apparent feelings of betrayal that the sportswriters read into this entire season. We're talking about building a baseball team, right? Not coalition building like zee Germans are working on:
Step One: Sign best available players with money available. (GM & owner's job)
Step Two: Put them on the field in a somewhat cogent manner, and hopefully with some concept of a work ethic. (Manager's job)
If injuries get in the way, then I guess we're all screwed, huh. What's the problem?
The most pressing concern for me is how my analyst & I will weather the PTSD of this season during the winter. Jon? This is a psychological outlet, yes?...
Do I sound frustrated?
Ryan Church had a 3 run homer, 5-3 Phillies
Yankees threatening, 1st and 2nd, 1 out, for Bernie Williams
Let me re-phrase my original statement to read "In Beltre you rarely know what you're getting". I just took another look at his lifetime stats and I could live with 2000 and 2004, but the other years are pretty dim.
On the other hand, can you guarantee me that Guzman or LaRoche will do better? What if they brought a really good starter or left fielder from a team that couldn't afford him and you could couple that with Beltre
having a decent but not spectacular year?
Dodger third basemen have been more productive offensively than Beltre.
Considering who the potential candidates for both major parties may be in 2008, I think we might be better making Beltre President and keeping LaRoche at third.
Ortiz singled in another run, 3-0 Boston. Scott Proctor now pitching
Why wouldn't Dusty pinch-hit for him there also? is the Cub bullpen really THAT bad?
Can you guarantee me Beltre would do better, and do so justifying a salary ratio of 40 to 1? Remember, Beltre went about .255/.300/.420 this year. To contrast, Choi's .257/.338/.455 got him sent back to Siberia.
If Players were not known by their names, but instead known as Player A or Player B, baseball as a game, would, unfortunately, be much better off.
Hey Steve, Gigantor actually had an impact on the wild card race, sort of...he held the Phils scoreless for 1.1 innings
BoSox-ChiSox
Yanks-LAAofA
Right?
It seems like he's the Choi of the Cubs.
Abreu doubles in another run, Phillies up 6-3. Phillies fans are rooting for the Cubs, will they let them down?
Boston is probably the lesser of all those evils.
http://www.retrosheet.org/boxesetc/B09270COL1998.htm
Padres-Cardinals
Astros-Braves
And with Derek Lee standing on deck....
The Cubs should have tried batting out of order and hoped nobody noticed.
This will be the second Cardinals-Padres matchup. The Cardinals won that one.
The Angels won and unless the Yankees rally, they will have home field. Second ALDS matchup between those teams.
First ever postseason matchup of the differently colored Sox!
Even though I like a good series, I wouldn't mind seeing Pods and Astros get swept.
...or Hobos and i jump on the Astros bandwagon cause I want to see Clemens and Pettitte pitch in a WS against the Yankees.
Bob, hasn't every NL team that has played in a Series, played in one against NYY?
15 rushing attempts
62 pass attempting
Nice balance, Martz.
Indeed that is the case.
So if the Astros were to go to the World Series and face someone other than the Yankees (which almost happened last year), then the spell will be broken.
The Dodgers have played in the World Series against all but one of the original 8 AL franchises. They've never faced the Tigers.
Anyone notice that Clemens got his 341st win and 4500th strikeout last night? and then Maddux went today with 300-3000.
Has there ever been a matchup of 300-3000 before? Or two teammates with 300 and 3000? (yes, I guess the 1986 Bosox can count here)
Including a total of 2 HRs in July, August, September, and October.
Seattle, San Francisco, or San Diego?
Since then:
77 games, 37 starts
159 ABs
16 runs
39 hits
9 doubles
2 triples
2 home runs
13 RBI
21 walks
3 HBP
41 strikeouts
.245 batting average
.344 (or so) on-base percentage
.365 slugging percentage
Every season, no matter how poor, needs a highlight.
Yeah, that's what I asked about in 164.
I will cherish this line above all others:
"You (Jim Tracy) will be missed if you do go, but rest assured in knowing you'll be in good company as one of many former Dodgers who got out before the implosion."
BEFORE the implosion???? What do you call 91 losses, Bob? You can be a Tracy-lover (a fraternity exclusively consisting of daily newspaper reporters and ESPN broadcasters) and still give him at least a portion of the blame for this season. Keisser makes him look like an innocent bystander.
The Keisser slam(s) was a low one.
Don't get me wrong, I never cared much for Keisser when he was with the HerEx, but the both of you are taking turns kicking a dead body in the huevos? The two of you are better then that. At least I thought you were.
Fallout,
Thanks for posting the link to Keisser's article.
To the rest of you,
Agree with it or not, hate the author of it or love him to death--it does point out a lot of things. Especially that there are others who follow the team can and do think differently then the number crunchers of this blogsite. Neither side is right nor wrong, its just a lot to palate in this losing season. My worst Dodger year ever. I never once really felt good about this team, even during the 12-2 run.
Did you notice that I apologized for my comment about Keisser? It was out of line.
I didn't like the column though.
Bob - How many double switches, er, doubles, do the Dodgers need to set the record?
No I didn't, so my apologies to you.
You take the total number of years played and throw out the best and worse seasons, then divide by the number of years left.
Beltre is an excellent defensive 3rd baseman. One cannot compare a 3rd baseman to a 1st baseman on just numbers. Everyone who can hit and not field are tried at first base...mostly the older players in the NL after they lose their defensive skills like Piazza.
I think that such a thing is unlikely.
Keisser's article just suffered from having factual errors in it that didn't support his opinions. It was just lazily written and not thought out well.
So if you're not going to evaluate players by their statistics, how else are you going to evaluate them? Do you give everybody a MMPI and place them accordingly?
It's more typical for fans of a team that has collapsed like this one to blame the manager--it's not just a geek preoccupation. I can't recall a time when fans rallied around the manager after a season of such total failure. It would be unusual if it happened this time. Writers like Keisser are letting their dislike of DePodesta cloud their judgement, to Tracy's undeserved benefit.
The fact is, Tracy has little to no track record as a winner. Davey Johnson--I don't miss him, but he came here after having turned around three losing franchises and turning them into repeat playoff participants. Lasorda won seven division titles while he was here, including three in his first six years, and was on the way to the wild card when he retired.
Tracy's done nothing in his five years to give him any kind of permanent claim on the job. Is it all his fault? No, of course not. But has he done anything to transform his circumstances, spin gold out of dross? Maybe last year, a little. Will we have to continue hearing alibis if Tracy's fired? Yes, but at least not from him.
"So if you're not going to evaluate players by their statistics, how else are you going to evaluate them?"
That's the job of scouts. ie: When a scout sees a 16 yr old playing high school baseball does he care about BA,OBA, fielding pct?
When a scout looks at a big league player he take a closer look at a player to form an opinion beyond just numbers that can be had from a computer.
So you subscribe to the theory that DePodesta pays no heed to scouts?
I enjoyed the intelligent discussion of the regulars here. Hope to see you next year.
LOL!!!!!!!!!!!
His patience with Choi was astounding...
I'll do what I usually do. That is, go hear arguments at the Supreme Court.
Why? Because I'm really Ruth Bader Ginsburg.
Can't wait for Joe Morgan and Joe Buck and whoever else gets to do it
I also plan to take an exam on infinite integrals, arc length, and various other fun things at the same time as Monday Night Football (thus I'll be without sports tomorrow). I can't wait...
"So you subscribe to the theory that DePodesta pays no heed to scouts?
No. But, too much heed to his computer. He's out of balance.
The 1988 team: has anyone here figured what the sabermatics was of that team? On paper, I'm sure they looked like a .500 team or less, but they did more with less and with CHEMISTRY then this team ever could. The chemistry wasn't so much in the talent, but the WILL to want to win. And win they did!
SHE IS GONE!!!!!!
The problem lies in the vast majority who believe in this saber stuff, only know numbers and nothing about curveballs. You have a lot of people that want to wax the poetic about VORP and all of those intangibles but couldn't even tell you one thing about swinging a bat or what a player might be doing wrong--not that I could, but at least I try. For as many games as we all watch on T.V.--all of us--because we know we aren't at the ballgame in person because we are all TOO BUSY typing out saberstats on the internet, you would think we could tell certain aspects with replay and close-ups and all of the tricks. You would think once in a while we might have someone here talk about mechanics--we don't.
No, Instead we criticize by the numbers.
(End of season rant coming up)
Look, I'm no fan of Tracy other then he seems like a decent human being that has endured over the last years with an ownership group that is clearly not worthy to be owning a major league baseball team. His game calls have been truly puzzling, but the previous two seasons, he did things that got people thinking big again. EVeryone wants to fire him, but everytime everyone calls for his head, they offer no idea for a suitable replacement! What is going to mak a good manager for the 2006 LA DODGERS? That he follows every move of a GM that seemingly only goes by computer stats and throws everything else out the window? Do you actually think this is a good and attractable work environment to be in?
I think the words in the last days about Jeff Kent are proof of this.
The Team; the ownership, the entire front office staff--they all suck because it starts at the top and goes from down the chain of command from there.
The only person worth salavging in Vin Scully.
Fire them all I say.
This game was kind of like the season for me. The result was dismal, but it had a nice moment for Mike Rose. The whole season was like that--some nice moments for players who are just starting out, some nice moments also for players who won't have long major league careers. The injuries and holes in the roster gave opportunities to players we normally wouldn't have seen.
The epitaph for 2005 could be: "They didn't win, but they were scrappy."
Tommy,
But it's just a different way of looking at how good a player is. There is always a balance to be struck. I think you are overreacting a bit to a bad year.
If you are looking at building a baseball team on the model of the 1988 Dodgers, I wish you well. You can't do it because what you consider to be the team's strengths were only visible AFTER the fact.
The big play of the 1988 World Series was supposed to be based on advice from Dodgers advance scout Mel Didier who said that Eckersley would always try to throw a slider on a full count to a left handed batter.
Except it turned out that Eckersley hadn't gone to a full count on any left-handed hitters in 1988.
The rotation was pretty much the same except that Tudor was hurt and Leary was ineffective, but Ramon Martinez stepped in.
And with all that, those gritty, overachieving, good chemistry Dodgers finished 77-83.
The McCourt Los Angeles Dodgers and the Bush Administration:
We (Dodger Thoughts readers and participants) should look at the way we, as fans handle this ownership, the same we as Americans handle the Bush administration.
--How they got into office/ownership was questionable in the first place.
--Some of us are too freely, ready to excuse the way the team is run on a day to day basis.
--Everything they have done since they got into office/took over ownership has been one disaster after another.
--Prices have alarmingly risen while wages/payroll has decreased.
--Have led us into a battle that we will never win.
Looking forward to 2008--FAST!
Another ignorant bush basher.
Tommy, where do we find this guy?
Speaking as someone who isn't a big fan of the current president, I don't see many (or any) of those parallels at all.
I'm not saying rebuild the 1988 Dodgers. I never said that once. I'm stating that those guys won because of what? (your answer here)
And yes, I've made no bones I'm reacting to a DISASTER year. And it isn't going to get better (IMHO)
The 1989 Dodgers were also a team that was filled with injuries. Lets face it, Gibson was never the same was he? Now I know you'll be able to show me a number that will refute this, but the want to win was gone. Many always want to credit one person with 1988--Orel Hersheiser. Yes, but what about Gibson? What about Hatcher and his timing? etc.
TEAM EFFORT.
1989 didn't have that.
Dssrt Rat, yes, lets make it really snappy! :)
Hmm.....
Hmm.....
Sounds familiar?
(Pitching.)
then how on earth do you locate this mysterious quality and build a ballclub??? and if you can't use it to build a ballclub, then what are you supposed to do instead?
I'm not saying throw out all of the computers in the Dodger--hurrumph--organization. I'm talking about the people that have all of the answers on this site. A computer is only as good as how the information is being used and what is being inputed, as well as being retrieved. I can tell you this--if some of you think you have the same formulas as DePodesta, your kidding yourselves.
Bob, You need to stop reading the saber pages and go back and look at US News! :)
"But it's just a different way of looking at how good a player is."
When you speaking about baseball players, statistics are an incomplete way to evaluate a player. Do you chose a wife by statistics? :)
A good example is the Nakamura. When I read his numbers and heard that he won Gold Gloves in Japan I thought, Wow. He also hit well in spring training. I'm thinking,"Wow." But, when I saw his swing I thought, "Ut ooh."
I did not know this until now.
The point that is if they were the same in 89' as they were in 88' even with the injuries, something was missing from that ballclub. Even when they were at full strength, they didn't even compare to the season before. Something was greatly missing.
I'm sorry a great majority of you don't understand that. Because it would make the end of this season a lot more palatable. It ended for me in February. Before the season even started.
Hitting was missing. LA's offense dropped off by 74 runs, from 628 to 554.
The pitching staff improved by eight runs.
Bob, Your standing at the plate 2-2 count and a man on first, your a righty push hitter, but the pitcher is a lefty: What kind of a pitch are you expecting at the plate?
AVG - Kent 27th at .289 (leader D. Lee at .335)
Runs - Kent tied for 9th with 100 (leader Pujols with 129)
Hits - Kent 21st with 160 (leader D. Lee with 199)
Doubles - Kent tied for 22nd with 36 (leader D. Lee with 50)
Triples - Repko tied for 36th with 3 (leader Reyes with 17)
Home Runs - Kent tied for 16th with 29 (leader A. Jones with 51)
RBI - Kent 8th with 105 (leader A. Jones with 128)
Total Bases - Kent tied for 13th with 283 (D. Lee led with 393)
Walks - Kent tied for 19th with 72 (Giles led with 119)
Strikeouts - Werth tied for 13th with 113 (Dunn led with 166)
Stolen Bases - Perez tied for 36th with 11 (Reyes led with 60)
Caught stealing - Izturis and Robles were tied for 13th with 8 (Pierre had 17)
OBP - Kent was 17th at .377 (Helton led at .445)
Slugging - Kent was 19th at .512 (Lee led at .662)
Sacrifice Flies - Ledee was tied for 16th with 6 (Carlos Lee led with 11)
Sacrifice Hits - Lowe and Penny were 21st with 9 (Vizquel led with 20)
HBP - Choi and Kent were 26th with 8 (Guillen and Jenkins had 19 each to lead)
IBB - Kent was tied for 23rd with 8 (Pujols had 27)
GIDP - Kent was tied for 6th with 19 (Casey had 27)
Extra base hits - Kent was tied for 17th with 65 (D. Lee had 99)
Ground outs - Izturis was 17th with 167 (Pierre had 269)
Fly outs (including popups and line drives) - Kent was 6th with 195 (Carlos Lee had 233)
OPS - Kent was 19th at .889 (D. Lee was 1.080)
Bill James said this is exactly the kind of B.S. he had to endure when he was peddling his knowledge to an industry that no interest in learning anything new, especially from outsiders.
"I'm sorry a great majority of you don't understand that. Because it would make the end of this season a lot more palatable."
Don't let others bother you. Some of the answers on this board are just off the wall like #268. Some aren't reading but only writing. Others...
(not necessarily speaking of today's posts)
There were all kinds of possible reasons why someone would have had reason to be skeptical about Nakamura right from the start. His stats in Japan weren't incredible, he had a major leg injury, he was at or past his prime already, etc, etc.
but that's the thing, the two types of knowledge aren't mutually exclusive. one is acquired through coaching and experience, and comprises the nuts-and-bolts of how you execute the game, and the other is about finding and evaluating strategies for building a ballclub and playing baseball in the manner that will win you the most games.
Since you agree with me. I have to say this, "I like the way you think!"
Wins - Weaver 12th place with 14 (Willis 22)
Losses - Lowe 3rd place (K. Wells 18)
ERA - Lowe 17th place 3.61 (Clemens 1.87)
Games - Sanchez tied for 2nd with 79 (Eyre 86)
Starts - Lowe tied for 1st with 35
Complete Games - Weaver tied for 6th with 3 (Carpenter 7)
Shutouts - Lowe tied for 4th with 2 (Willis 5)
Saves - Brazoban 13th with 21 (Cordero 47)
IP - Weaver 8th with 224 (L. Hernandez 246.1)
Hits - Lowe tied for 9th with 223 (L. Hernandez 268)
Runs - Lowe 6th with 113 (Milton with 141)
ER - Weaver tied for 6th with 105 (Milton 134)
HRs - Weaver tied for 2nd with 35 (Milton 40)
HBP - Weaver led with 18
BBs - Lowe tied for 38th with 55 (K. Wells 99)
Ks - Weaver 23rd with 157 (Peavy 216)
Winning percentage - Weaver 24th at .560 (Jorge Sosa .813)
Total bases - Weaver with 373 (Milton 426)
Balks - Lowe led the team with 2 (Capuano and Myers had 4)
Wild pitches - Sanchez tied for 16th with 7 (Webb 14)
Steals allowed - Weaver tied for 8th with 20 (Maddux 32)
Caught stealing - Lowe tied for 17th with 6 (19-25, leaders had 11)
Ground outs - Lowe was 2nd with 371 (Webb 388)
Fly outs - Weaver 5th with 256 (L. Hernandez 288)
Ground ball/fly ball ratio - Lowe 2nd at 2.82 (Webb 3.60)
WHIP - Weaver 9th at 1.17 (Pedro Martinez at 0.95)
It's sounds as if your all set-up and ready to disagree with me on what ever question I submit! :)
I've said this before--I like the young guys we have and do think we are on some sort of track. I don't think DePodesta is doing THAT bad of a job either. But I also think he is probably under the gun to produce for an owner that is totally clueless. Thus you have the perfect explanation for the 2005 Los Angeles Dodgers. I find it ironic that when you take a person like Milton Bradley, whose intensity is not much different then Kirk Gibson's. He is a leader or, a lead figure in helping the team become intense on winning.
Then you take a Mickey Hatcher who brings on another kind of personaility--one of having a good time while playing baseball. Remember between some of the innings of certain games, Hatcher and a bunch of players getting out and washing the Nissan bull pen vehicle? Remember the shaving cream pie in the face routines? Who played that "Mickey Hatcher/Jay Jonstone roll this year?
I know that stuff doesn't amount to much to some of you stat wise, but when your basically living with each other everyday of the season, your going to have to cut the ice and let loose and have a goodtime. When I was in baseball in high school, I had a coach (manager) who actually went out of his way to make sure he had one inspirational guy, one crack-up guy, one serious guy; and a cast of others. It worked great too, because we won, we won a lot too and eventually got to the CIF finals where we did in fact lose, but it was still great. So I have to admit, I learned a lot from that. The next year, my coach retired, and the new coach, well he didn't believe in any of that other stuff, including me! So losing a good pitcher and a good catcher and a couple of other seniors, plus a lot of character players resulted in the team coming in second to last the following year in league play. Those guys that stayed around for all of it, well they hated the entire year, coach, season, team, team mates, etc. That's what being organized means in baseball. That's why they call it organized baseball. This Dodger team was far from organized.
I don't remember these Dodgers doing that once this year, and while its hard to have a goodtime when your losing and getting hurt and putting-up with a social retard for an owner, you have to play past all of that. Last year, it was a goodtime to see Adrian Beltre finally come into his own and make the season for many of us. All the more reason to see why numbers shouldn't always dictate but should be utilized for a certain direction. But computers cannot calculate personalities. If they did, They would have killed us humans off a long time ago.
All of that stuff amounts to loosening-up, (which some of us on Dodger Thoughts should do and I'll even point the finger at myself too.)
So, I think a lot of this stuff comes from the inability to loosen-up and have a goodtime playing baseball. It's the greatest game ever invented, and its our pastime. Why not enjoy it. (Golf is a Sport, Bob)
The Dodgers need to have a good time playing baseball. That's what this team is missing. It sure wasn't a very good time watching it this year was it?
That's what DepoDesta should be trying to do, create a team that can look past the personalities, enjoy the goodtimes and win. That takes character and it takes talent. But they all work together.
I think that you missed my original intent. It was statistics vs scouting. I was brief in my statement because I was only making that point.
To elaborate. Since the Dodgers needed a 3rd baseman I was surprised that they sent him down to the minors after spring training. After all, his numbers were good.
Sometime later I saw him in a game and like most noticed his unusual swing. I thought that might be a tip off on why he didn't make the club...and why so few teams seemed to be interested in him to begin with.
After seeing a few at bats, I could tell that he had trouble hitting the outside pitch. True, it was not enough ABs to make a decision on but at least I got a feel for what the problem was. Others had already decided that he was not a big league hitter.
Now I know a (not the) reason why.
"statistics vs scouting" the point.
At least I know it isn't falling on deaf ears! :)
How many world series did Bill James manage or play in anyway?
Where can one find his playing stats?
I just did this, and I found out a interesting tid-bit for the explanation of 88'-89' guys:
Bill James Rule #14# When a team improves sharply one season they will almost always decline in the next.
So there Bob, there is the reasoning.
I have the most sneaking suspicion Bill James popularity came from the Fantasy Leagues. Please tell me I'm right, oh please!
and the thing you bring up sounds to me like that classic chicken-and-egg problem; does good chemistry breed winning, or does winning breed good chemistry? or sometimes does it not even matter(see: the cold group of mercenaries known collectively as the 2005 New York Yankees)?
i tend to think that with winning comes chemistry, more than the other way around. that's why, when the dodgers were winning during differnet parts of last year and early this year, milton bradley was "intense" and "passionate" and he got his team "fired up". and then when we were losing, all of a sudden bradley is "angry" and "troubled" and "uncontrollable".
i mean, the mickey hatcher types abound, all across baseball. there are countless stories of clubhouse pranks and loosey-goosey attitudes, attributions of naked batting practice to getting out of slumps. baseball is a superstitious sport, and this stuff happens on almost every team. but only a select few win, and i suggest that ultimately the responsibility for that lies not in some mysterious sense of camaraderie but in the fact that a particular ballclub's parts work well together and they have the good fortune so that enough things fall their way. the good-feeling and personality stuff falls in line along the way.
and playing stats? does a person have to have playing stats in order to credibly discuss the game? if so, what are yours, might i ask? :)
mine are pretty bad. something like .150/.220./.370, but it was the first time i'd played in 12 years and the league was way above my head. i don't have a lot of credibility anyway, though, hehe.
But to let you know, the 8 weeks I was stuck in New York (stuck on my own accord, but that's another story for another time--all golf related) and as I had reported here back in May, June & July, the lack of any real baseball coverage outside of the Bronx & Flushing Meadows. It was all Yankees and a little Mets 99% of the time, and seemingly anytime the Red Sox would lose, they gladly reported it.
So I was inundated with Yankee garbage, morning, noon and night.
Those Yankees, who at the time they were losing most every game, well, they showed them hamming it up for the T.V. all of the time. There was the casual shaving cream piein the face incident by Jeter to Matsui; It made me sick--and shortly therafter they started winning and Giambi started hitting.
So, while they are my thoughts, just like Bill James thoughts, I realize that he is a very devoted individual to keeping his stats, but I have the funny feeling that any personality to those stats is by Mr. James conjecture. Just like us!
290 " i don't have a lot of credibility anyway, though, hehe. "
You lost me. Why sarcastic?
Yes he does work for the Red Sox, and many of the moves the Red Sox made last year wre in fact against the Bill James brand of Baseball Guruism. Many of them were in fact his ideas too.
Could it be that he was working with them as a team, being part of the team? Maybe he was the Geek Guy, Theo Epstein needed for team SYNERGY! :)
oh, that wasn't sarcastic! i'm just saying that i have no real expertise at ALL. i'm just a guy that likes watching and talking and reading about baseball in his free time. nothing more, nothing less.
and i also meant (somewhat lightheartedly) that i'm not very good at hitting, so if good playing stats impart credibility, i'm certainly lacking :)
Tommy, Fallout, I really think the folks you're arguing with agree with most of what you're saying. But knock off the baiting and namecalling. Please.
He claims the team would be better with all of the departed players yet cites no evidence. In fact it's impossible to cite any since it's all speculation. All you can look at is this year's statistics. If you read Henson's article today, you'll see that every player (except for Encarnacion I think) has had a worse year this year than last. All you can argue is that you THINK they somehow would have been better at Dodger stadium. That's an absurd argument. Does that mean Kent would have been better if he'd stayed in Houston? And better still if he'd stayed with the Giants? Would Vlad had been better in Washington? Maybe. But it's ridiculous to argue that.
Keisser also makes the mistake, as other columnists have, of faulting Depo for dumping Finley and not crediting him for getting him last year. In fact, Depo looks very smart, to me, for getting Finley, milking him for everything he's got and then letting him go.
I just don't see how you can say that was a well thought out, well written column.
Who was name calling?
Marty,
I think your absolutely right regarding Keisser as a writer. He hates Notre Dame, or at least used to. I hate him for that reasoning alone.
As far as the other, well, I just don't think it's right that we kick a person down for his compulsions.
Knowing a thing or two about compulsion, I can tell you that it affects every aspect of your life both personally and professionally. Yes, he doesn't have the same view as the majority; It's a discerning, negative view there is no doubt about that but for you--an employee of the LAT, I think it would be in the better interests--YOUR best interests to abstain from being critical of someone in the same business who is clearly affected by a compulsion and is an easy target.
That being--now that the season is over, lets go golfing soon.
http://tinyurl.com/93wv3
I was critical of Keisser and the same organization pays me every week.
Foiled, once again!
Sportswriters putting down sportswriters?
Oh, the humanity! (imagine the Hindenburg going down in flames)
Tommy -- maybe namecalling isn't the right word (although werthgagne certainly called you a name!). It's more the sweeping characterizations of what "the majority" thinks and the sharp comments re Bill James and fantasy league geeks. And you've just brought a pretty hard "you're with me or you're against me" stance to this discussion that seems to not be leaving much room for efforts like those made by Bob and Vishal to find common ground.
Anyhow, just my take, and not really a big deal at the end of a long season. I just personally came by expecting some warm fuzzies and was disappointed to be in the middle of that same old argument. G' night all.
How do I do:
Bold comment:
Link to previous comment:
Italics:
The Bill James thing, well, that was a joke in regards to my post regarding my high school baseball team. The pictures I've seen of James would put him exactly as that, just like a picture of me would.....never mind!
Once again, I'm sorry if it offended.
Sam, the warm fuzzies were very brief.
He is a friend that used to work at the HerEx, but now lives in Philadelphia.
I just thought you may have crossed paths with him at one time. He's a great friend and a really good guy. He used to write Page Two for the Examiner
Tommy -- thanks for 312 and no worries.
I'll answer this much for Bob.
To bold you put a "*" before and after the sentence or word you want to bold. Can't do more than one paragraph at a time, I think.
To link a comment, put the comment number inside square brackets -- "[ 301 ]" but wihtout the spaces between the bracket and the number.
Don't know italics, I'm ashamed to say.
I have a paper copy of the final Herald Examiner sitting in my nightstand table here in DC. Would be hard to explain why, but there it is.
Thanks
We'd have been more warm and fuzzy at the end of the year, but normally after a loss, we like to point fingers.
And I lost my temper very early in the day. I used to be so level-headed. It took me to game 162 to lose it.
I actually have two or three of them that I have stored at my parents house. It was a said day in LA when it happened. There hasn't been a better sports page since.
According to my friend Jeff, they were a fun group. A real family atmosphere. If you go to LA Observed, they have a HErEx tribute page linked over there that's interesting.
Fanerman had a good attitude as well.
Maybe a little too warm and really fuzzy.
(leave off the "S")
The Dodgers brought Sandy to Ebbets Field for a look see in September 1954. Rube Walker, who was back-up to Campy at the time, said after catching him, "Whatever he wants, give it to him. I wouldn't let him get out of the clubhouse." Al Campanis graded him out as an A plus fastball and and A plus curve.
One of my favorite Sandy stories involved Al's son, Jim Campanis, who briefly was a catcher for the Dodgers in the 60s. I gather Jim had not caught Sandy before. Sandy threw a curve, and Campanis rose from his crouch because he thought the ball was going over his head. Campanis never got a glove on the ball; the ball ended up hitting him in the knee.
By the way, the source for the above is from Jane Leavy's book.
Stan from Tacoma
This is not a 'homer' attitude. I didn't enjoy other losing seasons much at all.
Thanks
Tracy and DePodesta both said the Dodgers gave maximum effort throughout the season. However, a scout from an opposing team who watched nearly every Dodger home game said he was unable to get accurate times for players running to first base because they weren't going full speed.
http://tinyurl.com/9y6ak
Absurd.
No kidding.
Didn't seem to have a problem with being part of that a couple days ago.
Stan from Tacoma
"Since I'm the leader, I'll take full responsibility for the poor year we had."
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/recap?gameId=251002128
Stan from Tacoma
Waiting for Repko.
A farce.
And a guy named Theobald (Ron), led the American League in sacrifice hits in 1971 with 19.
So there's the baseball connection.
I hope people find it amusing.
I know I keep saying this but why fire him if he is going to opt out. Its the difference of $700,000. Wish I got severence when I quit.
Who speaks like this?
(Other than Ricky Henderson, of course)
According to the reports, the Dodgers will only be on the hook for that $700,000 if Tracy doesn't find employment elsewhere.
It's kind of like insurance for JT. If he is hired elsewhere, which is very likely, then he gets paid by that team and not the Dodgers.
348 I like the "Writers Blame DePodesta" line. Pretty much the anthem for the season.
349 I've read somewhere that if Tracy manages another team next season, LA isn't on the hook for the $700K. Not sure how true that is, or whether it would be the entire $700K or just something partial. Then again, it's the cost of two Repko's, so it's not like losing it would be the end of the world. But yes, it bothers me that Tracy could get financially rewarded for this.
350 If Rickey had said it, the quote would have been, "Anything is fixable and there isn't anybody who believes it more than Rickey does."
---------
But is it, really? There are three openings that I can think of right now (PIT, FLA, TB), none of which has expressed interest in Tracy, and none of which Tracy should be interested in anyway, if he's smart.
Bizarre on so many levels.
Nixon-like: "We could do it, but it would be wrong."
But also, implicitly competitive with DePodesta. Tracy doesn't seem to understand they have different job descriptions. In his mind, it's not possible to say that both of them share the blame for the season. It's 'I win, you lose.'
This is so far beyond a firing offense, I don't know what else anyone would need. I assume this is what's going to happen, and if it doesn't happen, it's not just disappointing--it's masochistic. I don't care if he was Casey Stengel; you can't manage someone whose mind works this way. I really doubt he's ever going to manage anywhere again. He's cracked.
Stan from Tacoma
Yet somehow Dombrowski holds onto his job? I don't know how long he's been in charge, but I think he was responsible for the AL-record 119 losses in 2003, not to mention the brilliant signings of Ordonez and Percival. I wonder if he was the guy that signed Higginson too?
OK, not really, but it's fun to think about.
The '88 Dodgers certainly seem to have produced a disproportionate share of ML coaches and managers: Hershiser, Gibson, Scioscia, Hatcher, Griffin, Shelby, Dempsey.
Also three MLB announcers in Gibson, Sutton, and Fernando.
Couldn't you see both of them being top 3 candidates for the job, or do you think Detroit will go with a "professional manager"?
For that matter, will the Dodgers? Maybe they could just trade ex-managers, and send Trammell to LA and Tracy to Motown.
I said "not really" because other than wild speculation on this site, I have no reason to believe that the Dodgers are considering Hershiser for the manager's job.
After yesterday, you sounded down right collegial.
Spoken as the guy who tossed the stink bomb into the discussion yesterday. Still feeling bad about that.
"Dodgers Fire Jack Clark" was more like it.
I dunno...especially in Jon's New World Order (his troll crackdown a month or two back). It got a little personal.
Here is the article:
http://www2.dailynews.com/dodgers/ci_3079372
For inquiring minds. :)
I would agree, it was the worst since Jon's crackdown, but I'd seen worse before that. One Sunday, there was this guy insulting everyone pompously, declaring that unlike everyone else, he was applying the virtues of intellect to his statements. I got mad and implied that he was sitting on a toilet while he was posting, and then said he was waiting for a Benny Hill rerun to come on TV. (The guy was in England.) I should never have done that. (He took more offense to the Benny Hill comment than the comment about the 'loo.') I was glad for the 5,000 miles and layers of anonymity on that day. He was mad.
Eric,
In saying Tracy is likely to get hired next season, I meant for any job, be it manager or bench coach or whatever. He might not get paid $700,000, but I'll be pretty surprised if he doesn't end up somewhere.
381 - "Troll" described the onslaught of newbies that instigated a lot of inappropriate discussion, which roped in a lot of otherwise sane regulars.
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