Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
Jon's other site:
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TV and more ...
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
* * *
It's baseball time. Forget all the petty worries, breathe deep, and just enjoy the day.
Update: Nomar Garciaparra and Kristen Chenowith have been scratched from today's lineup, the principals said this morning. More information to come.
http://www.weather.com/outlook/events/sports/tenday/37550:20
I'll take the over.
"The older you get, people lean on you more," he said. "It comes with the territory. You become more team-oriented. The focus becomes less on you and more about chemistry and picking each other up. I see myself growing into that type of player."
-LATimes
Oh well, if it is that late, I can watch(?) live when I get home from work. conflicting with the NCAA game of course!
Meanwhile, I'm going to the Yankees-A's game tomorrow night and might run into the same problem: rain.
Building an ark,
C
Every day is RMMD.
How do I get tickets to the make-up game?
I am a Dodger fan but an East Coaster(W.Ma);
must be heredity from Brooklyn ancestors.
What is toughest is all the home night games at 10 pm. It gets worse, seems like the last 6 weeks is all interdivision night games.
What a great run you guys are having and no end is in sight!
I've spent some time on the west coast and it rains very differently there. It rarely rains at this time of year, but if it does the fronts move glacially, and if you lose one game to rain, you'r apt to lose a whole series.( I believe I remember it happening).
Sorry to be a wet blanket. Lets hope its so light we get all games in.
To everyone going to the game, have a great Opening Day. I think today's game is going to happen. Tomorrow -- iffyer.
Hey Sam DC, what's this Bowden is saying about the Nats will have a "special guest" at their home opener?
Maybe someone got confused with this post ;)
https://dodgerthoughts.baseballtoaster.com/archives/10982.html
Repko will get two hits, steal one base, and score at least one run.
Sandy Alomar will get at least one hit, one which will be at least a double but the Braves will run wild because Lowe is on the mound.
If the Dodgers win Baez will get the 1st save of 2006
I think that the Braves success has not been built solely upon the talents of Schuerholz, Mazzone, or Cox. I think that it has been an organization-wide philosophy that has created the amazing run. Schuerholz is a shrewd GM, Mazzone had a philosophy of pitching that created a lot of success, and Cox has both kept a stable clubhouse where players can be comfortable and know what's expected of them. In addition, the Braves have a great minor league system that ingrains the Braves philosophy in the players as they come up through the system. By the time they get to the majors, Braves pitchers had been exposed to Leo and Bobby's philosophy from their minor league instructors abd can step in.
Basically, I think that the Braves success has been the result of a very stable organization that has allowed talented people, from Schuerholz to Bobby to Leo to the minor league instructors and coaches, to do what they are good at for a long period of time without drama or chaos. Braves prospects are able to grow in that enviroment, and for some reason, outside players are able to flourish in it when they get here, probably partially because Schuerholz and his people seem to be very good judges of talent.
That's why I'm not too worried about Leo's departure, because I think a lot of his success has been aided by the health of the Braves organization, and if Roger McDowell buys into the organizational philosophy, he should be able to be successful here as well. Leo is a great coach, but the strength of the Braves organization has been the fact that it has not been dependent upon any one specific asset to be succesful. I think that keeping a stable organization is an aspect of a team's success that many teams miss the boat on because they don't have immediate gratification.
Good times.
I have just been informed that the flyover will be something in a little higher price range than a Jet Blue airliner.
http://www.latimes.com/sports/baseball/mlb/dodgers/la-sp-baseball2apr02,1,4390105.story?coll=la-headlines-sports-mlb-dodger
and how it can involve loss of confidence as well as strength/power/endurance. What really bugs me about steroid use in baseball is that it's really hard for a fan to know who's a kid who's been mishandled and lost his confidence, and who's suffering from a withdrawal of juice. Brown's article also quoted Colletti as saying that the GM or the scouts rely on "eyes, intellect and intuition". Again, as a fan, you just don't know what factors a GM has taken into account when he decides to make a trade.
The same is true of players who did really well 2 or more years ago, got injured last season and are coming back this year. Are they a shadow of their former selves because of the injuries, or because they can't rely on a chemistry set any more? Sorry if I'm revisiting old ground here, but it really p*sses me off not knowing whether I should have sympathy or contempt for these guys.
34 Yes it's true -- love those runnin' hard Nationals. Soriano stealing second in the second inning of an 0-0 game, with the Count 3-1 to the batter, no less.
Meanwhile, Livan gets a single in his first AB (love me them pitchers who can hit), and leadoff man not-Ryan-Church is promptly asked to bunt, at which point David Wright throws out the less-than-nimble at second. Gonna be fun year for DC fans.
ESPN has changed the look of their Gamecast. I'm not sure if it like it or not -- there's a cute animation for pitches and for balls hit into play.
They seem to have lost their fascination of overdone flash, praise be.
Dale Murphy - yay!
Was it the mole or the Mormon?
Something tells me that does not bode well for Reds' fans.
LA Times says Dodger game is safe from the Weater: "It's now official: the gathering storm that should snarl rush hour commutes Tuesday morning is not expected to delay the opening of the baseball season this afternoon. 'The Dodger game will be safe,' said Stuart Seto, a specialist with the National Weather Service."
By the by, greatest possible title for this thread.
''Do I use VORP?" Colletti said, referring to one such sabermetric tool, Value Over Replacement Player. ''I may be using it and not even know it, and if I am, it's nobody's business. There are a lot of different criteria in judging players. I think I use, um, esoteric qualitative mathematical review times five. That's one of them.
http://tinyurl.com/pjbqr
There was no way to know.
oh wait....
http://tinyurl.com/ezwvd
And The Old Friend looks the Friend of Old.
In the 80s, if someone suddenly lost weight, many people whispered they had AIDS. Today, they whisper "he used to be on steroids."
Wow, this is bizarro-MLB.
Am I missing something, I must be, because he's supposed to be somesort of "legend" but I see him as more of a curse.
Living Will
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
While watching a football game a couple weeks back, my wife
and
I were discussing life and death. I told her, "Just so you know, I
never
want to live in a vegetative state, dependent on some machine and
fluids
from a bottle. If that ever happens, just pull the plug."
She promptly got up, unplugged the TV and threw out all my
beer.
Some days I hate being married to a smartass.
This message has been brought to you by NBC.
Nationals down 3-2, open up the 8th with a single from Soriano and a double from Zimmerman. Third base coach (Beasely or something) sends Fonzy, who promptly gets thrown out by the relayman at the plate. To make the first out, in a one-run game. Gonna be a long year of "aggressive" baserunning for DC fans, allright.
I am not going to anymore classes today, including my sports appreciation class hahahah. I love MLB package!
Wagner's debut
nomar is out of the lineup because he [ ] a [ ] muscle.
Having to suffer with Charlie and Rick fills me with yucky yukky where's choi?
strained a rib muscle!
I like the pastel wall too. I never liked the dark blue.
its the braves brainwashing!
also, does anyone think the jimmy rollins hit streak is sustainable?
And remember how Vinnie counted Kent's errorless chances to start last season? Not this year.
Is this a sign that this season will be the opposite of last? :)
thursday, billingsley on the mound for the 51s. i cant wait!
I'd say this game is over. Its going to be hard scoring more than 3 runs a game this year with no power.
But it doesnt really matter when your pitcher gives up homers.
Derek Lowe must give up the most inordinate amount of HR's for being a GB pitcher.
With his ace Oliver Perez nursing a 2-1 lead in the 6th with 1 out and 1 on, Tracy pulls Perez. 5ip, 9k, 3h, 1er, 93 pitches. He brings in the RHP Salomon Torres to face RH Carlos Lee and LH Fielder. Torres gets out of it, but has now walked the first 2 batters in the 7th with no out.
Here we see two classic Tracy traits at work:
1) Protecting the fragile psyche of his starters by seeing to it that they can get the WIN. If the game is 1-1 I honestly think Perez stays in.
2) Overthinking the lefty/righty matchup by replacing an effective pitcher with an inferior one. Lee had an infield single and a walk in his first two ab's vs. Perez.
ERA: 27.00
Batting Avg: .000
Assuming Lowe doesn't give up 5 runs this inning, there's only one way to go.
It's going to be a great year.
Instead he goes with the guy with a career .685 OPS because of his "amazing defense."
"Cirillo singled to left center, Weeks and Hall scored."
3-2 Milwaukee. Torres will take the loss.
Yea...
They lost 95 games last year. They will almost certainly be better this year.
I guess this is what Tracy is talking about when being put in "positions to succeed".
Rainout expectancy: 3.2%
Dodgers get no hit expectancy: 24.45%
Nomar gets hurt expectancy: 109.5%
http://tinyurl.com/pec8h
It seems in his case to be a remarkably suitable last name.
thats the beauty of an ersty :)
Yep. Saenz may be a Professional Hitter, but he's no Proven 100 RBI Guy.
No peeking.
I've never even heard of this Capps guy (and I know almost every player in the majors), yet he's trying to keep a game close on opening day?
Then again, their pen might just be that bad.
vr, Xei
It takes experience* to hit the ball softly enough for the runner to advance. Repko made a common mistake among younger players by lining that ball hard.
*See: Alomar Jr., Sandy
Sutcliffe totally buried Nomar in that last inning.
However, they both seem to think what Ned did this off-season was "unbelievable"...?
What exactly was "unbelievable"?
And with Hudson's single I realized Brazoban is likely our best hitting pitcher now that Weaver and Jackson are gone. And he is probably our best righty PH tonight (Ross gives him a run for his money)
our offense is just as bad if not worse as last year
the lineup today is an embarassment
Small ball rules.
Indeed.
Vlad with a 2-run homer in the top of the 1st.
Colon strikes out the side in the bottom half.
A Korean word of lament, like "Woe is me..."
Alomar repko and the pitcher at the bottom of the lineup is such a powerfull 7,8,9. (sarcasm)
What's up with nomar being injured, saenz can't play everyday.
Is nomar on the DL?, if so, who got called up?
If you can't tell i'm frustrated.
Did David O'Brien just call the Braves manager the singular form of his last name? LOL
At least Jeff Kent's alright. Jeff Kent's always alright. Right, D4P?
"Baseball and Writing," by Marianne Moore
http://tinyurl.com/zeb6r
It probably helps if you're in your late forties or early fifties; that way you'll recognize the names.
Wrong. Jeff Kent is always wrong. And that's regular wrong, not hot wrong.
we still have a shot
$11.5 million for a 40 year old first baseman? Is that a good deal?
Vs having anyone else at 2b, i would say yes.
Tell me any 2b that we could get that can produce the same production as kent, or anyone we allready have.
hong chih kuo
24 yr old stud lefty who has had two TJ surgeries.
364- it is Joe West
Kuo's still only hitting 88 on the gun today, what gives?
92 according to espn.
The left-handed-hitting Loney would likely get playing time at first base over Olmedo Saenz versus righties. He could have a little short-term fantasy value.
It's on Dodgers.com. It says that Nomar is likely to be place on the DL and that Guzman could also be called up. I think I'd call up Loney, he's a little bit more polished.
just not the kind we wanted.
2007 is now!
what was the idea bringing Brazoban in?
"[" Nbr "]"
Yes, it was catchable. If anything, he kind of overran it, in that it fell on the homeplate side of his glove.
Ouch...
So sample some of this expert commentary. This is not made up...
- Kennedy is at bat, but he is grounded out by the time he makes it to first base.
- Molina makes a sweet hit that goes deep right field. He easily runs to second base for a great double.
- Erstad gets another shot at bat. He makes the most of it with a nice double to get on second base.
"Nomar Garciaparra will probably go on the DL Tuesday with a strained intercostal muscle that first bothered him on Sunday.
Garciaparra said he felt tightness in his right side during pregame warmups yesterday. "I kept swinging and kept feeling it," he said. "I was hoping it would feel better today, but it's still pretty sore." Garciaparra added that it was an injury he's never experienced before. It looks like he'll miss two or three weeks, putting Olmedo Saenz and James Loney at first base. No word yet on when the Dodgers are planning to fire GM Ned Colletti."
Garciaparra said he felt tightness in his right side during pregame warmups yesterday. "I kept swinging and kept feeling it," he said. "I was hoping it would feel better today, but it's still pretty sore." Garciaparra added that it was an injury he's never experienced before. It looks like he'll miss two or three weeks, putting Olmedo Saenz and James Loney at first base. No word yet on when the Dodgers are planning to fire GM Ned Colletti.
LOL, rotoworld takes a shot at Ned.
We debate Repko constantly, but there's really no one who doesn't believe this. We have to take Grittle as we find him.
Maybe Drew will speak up about playing CF. Little goes with his vets, and that should take priority over the scrub.
Also, it is the first game, so maybe we should let Little get his sea legs. Brazoban was once Ghame Over, and he may have just thought that MLB experience was worth more than Kuo or Osoria. If Little keeps on trotting out Brazoban to get torched, that's one thing, but it's the home opener. And it sounds like Repko should have caught that ball, anyhow.
WWSH
It's amazing that we suddenly have NO depth at first.
"we'll need a player from Vegas"
"freakish injury for Nomar...a lot of good young players in the minors half a year to a year away"
actually no one can fault this game for any of top-of-the order hitters today.
The story on Dodgers.com makes it sound as if the DL for Nomar is pretty likely.
Mr. Loney, carpe diem.
Well, if the conspiracy theorists have it right, it might be more accurate to call Colletti a Kent signing.
You guys don't want to trade prospects, but apparently you don't want to play them either.
Also, send Repko to AAA and call up Guzman to play LF. Drew in CF. Cruz in RF.
I'd rather not see anymore of Repko nor Loney.
http://www.retrosheet.org/boxesetc/B04050LAN2004.htm
I'd prefer to keep Repko, but shuffle Ross off someplace else.
Up the middle defense is more important than corner defense.
at least you know loneys going to be play really good defense.
Thanks for clarifying.
Loney gets his chance. I hope he makes us forget Choi---sigh....
WWSH
aybar and loney would probably hit the same.
I think thats what the Dodgers will do. Unfortunately, neither Robles or Martinez has the upside that Willy Aybar has. I'd rather go with the younger player if they are going to play everyday at the MLB level.
Play Aybar and Guzman both everyday for LA, with Lofton, Nomar on the DL.
Aybar would probably walk alot more and hit for the same amount of power. You guys forget that Loney repeated AA last year, and that Aybar actually hit well in about 100 at bats at the MLB level.
loney age 21 at AA last yr 284/.357/.419 11 hr
taking into contest park and league factors, and that scouts still project loney to fill out, gain more strength and hit for more power, I would probably callup loney because he has the chance to hit for more power then aybar.
That gives me the heebie-jeebies. Put him out on waivers.
"We swing here (1,2,3) and O"
It didn't hurt Ernie Banks's chances of getting into the HOF when he moved from short to first.
clown babies.
Yeah, I think it's a dumb argument for predicting that Kent won't move to first. A better one might be that he's a better defensive 2bman than 1bman. Something I didn't think possible. And that, if Colletti weren't insane, it'd be a lot easier to find a backup 1bman with value than a backup at 2b.
But Kent at 1b means more ABs for Ramon II. With the Lofton plan on hiatus, that's gotta be Colletti's ex-Jint priority.
Something of a surprise, given that Durham was mostly hitting sixth during the spring. If he can stay in the third spot and Bonds remains healthy, Durham's value would get quite a boost. Bowever, it's likely that Steve Finley will bat third when he's in the lineup.
I love Felipe Alou!
Yeah, that was funny. He was literally saying that Kent wouldn't swing at a pitch out of the zone while Kent was swinging at a pitch out of the zone.
Nope, we need a sacrifice bunt right now.
Grits, please take out Alomar now!
[New Dodger Player] will probably go on the DL [day of week] with a [type of injury] [body part] that first bothered him on [day of week].
[New Dodger Player] said he felt [adjective] in his [body part] during [an activity] yesterday. "I kept [action verb] and kept feeling it," he said. "I was hoping it would feel better today, but it's still pretty [adjective]." [New Dodger Player] added that it was an injury he's experienced [a number] time(s) before. It looks like he'll miss [a number] weeks, putting [Cartoon Character #1] and [Cartoon Character #2] at [baseball position]. No word yet on when the Dodgers are planning to fire [job title] Ned Colletti.
Is Navarro dead? Should we notify his next of kin?
No it isn't. That error took place with one out, as did LaRoche's HR. The error cost one run, not 4. Unless you're going to make the case that HR was also Kent's fault because he unnerved Lowe.
514- the golden sombrero is 4 Ks. Platinum (which I've never heard of) is probably 5 Ks.
In the end, though, if we lose, as we probably will, barring a pretty miraculous rally, the blame lies squarely with Lowe, who had a horrible day. Yeah, Grady might have done this or that, or Repko might have made that catch, or Kent not make taht error, but really, it's the starter that lost this game.
But hope lives at Chavez Ravine!
WWSH
we probably all agree with that. but its just so much more fun to poke fun at everyone else as well.
Hope Lives.
I don't think Navarro got the memo about hitting singles this inning.
Colon's 1st 3 IPs: 9 batters, 9 outs, 0 hits, 0 walks, 4 K's
Next 2 IPs: 8 hits, a walk, a HBP, a HR
3-3 in the 7th.
Nomar on a bum rib.
"J.D. Drew! J.D. Drew! J.D. Drew!"
replaces the Hee Seop Choi chant
I'm just sayin'...
off to class.
I'm increasingly alarmed at Lowe's inability to not give up HRs. That was DePo's rationale for bringing him to DS after all--that his extreme groundball tendencies would fit perfectly in this park. But the guy seems to be a total headcase or something.
WWSH
only pitch him in night games. i am dead serious. look at his night and day splits.
day- 4.37 era 1.43hr/9ip
night- 3.16era .96hr/9ip
I'm not sure when the last time the Dodgers scored 10 runs without hitting a home run.
I have a personal safety update for any future RF Pavilion dwellers: wearing the hat of any MLB team other than the Dodgers will get things thrown at you. Used to be this was only true of the Giants, but now the Braves (understandable, if not impressive), Cubs, Blue Jays, and Angels are no good either. Oh well. Lots of profantity, loads of failed The Waves, four trips by the LAPD (or the County Sherifs, I couldn't tell which) in to the seats, but no arrests or medical attention rendered. Most beachballs in play at an one time: aprox. 17!
I guess what I meant was "Why hasn't Jon made an appearance since the end of the game?"
What a wasted game. The offense was fine, but the pitching stunk.
I'm increasingly alarmed at Lowe's inability to not give up HRs. That was DePo's rationale for bringing him to DS after all--that his extreme groundball tendencies would fit perfectly in this park. But the guy seems to be a total headcase or something.
An article on Dodger thoughts about Lowe's ongoing divorce would seem to verify this headcase theory. The Red Sox did not want to sign him because of his drinking problem. He is being given amphetimines too. This is a perscription for failure if you ask me.
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