Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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http://www.retrosheet.org/boxesetc/B05070SEA1998.htm
The Padres are starting Rob Bowen at catcher. Starting your third catcher isn't nearly as much a surprise as his position in the lineup, he's batting cleanup!
I thought there was a promising young prospect the LV 51s who has experience & desire to play shortstop while also getting experience in the outfield & firstbase. I'm not inclined to rush anyone but given the choice between putting Izturis & his bat regularly in the outfield and rushing up Guzman I'm inclined to lean toward Guzman.
And to think, we let Edwards and Valentin just walk away.
With our GM's approach to team-building, I fear that we are in for a long stretch of mediocrity. But at least we'll have Jose Oquendo Jr. on the team...
Did I miss something here?
Maybe they're planning to move him off the roster soon?
The 1st half of the season is gonna be tuff, but the second half of the season, the team could improve if proper decisions are made (a trade for pitching, and bring up top prospects that are ready) plus get gagne back.
And neither teams looks like it has the remotest idea of how to do it.
He pretty much gave Bradley, AP, and Choi all away for nothing.
One good thing about Ned's bargain basement clearinghouse is he shouldnt have any problem finding customers.
Farmer Ned has the lowest prices in baseball.
Yep i'm concerned about that too.
Trading MLB level merchandise isn't the problem. Receiving MLB level merchandise in return seems to be the problem.
so that means he still has about 75 innings to disappoint me.
You hit the exacta with fotgotten and then recieved.
I aim to keep most of my glaring errors in the math area.
Is if Colletti wants a utility man, wouldn't Delwyn Young be, like, perfect? Sure, they'd have to lose Cody Ross to free up a roster spot, but, aren't Dodgers named Ross pretty useless after they get their 2 HR game in Pittsburgh in April?
Also--Perez was good. Change in velocity is more affective than pure velocity and Perez is of an age where experience and learning should work together (I know O.P's incosistancy is mysterious).
Navarro--Although I'm a R. Martin fan and kind of hope he gets the job, there is nothing like results. For a wimpy Dodger offense he gets 2 of 3 RBIs.
ESPN box score for the Dave Ross game is here:
http://tinyurl.com/z5w6v
Retrosheet's website said the 2005 data would be up by Opening Day.
Obviously it isn't. Since it's a volunteer organization, the people who must do the final work on the data must be tied up with annoying real world responsibilities.
Since Dave Smith is quoted in the New York Times today using 2005 data, it's obviously done. So it's the people who have to make everything all HTMLish.
I guess the problem I'm having is that that what he seems to want doesn't make sense to me.
He singled. The Cardinals had their backup catcher (Gary Bennett) and Jim Edmonds (who is hurt) available.
The Cards had a lineup featuring Scott Speizio batting 6th and still won. Pujols did contribute somewhat with 3 homers, including the walkoff homer
Mike Maroth now leads the league in ERA. I don't see that lasting
That should be good for something out of Mike's Rants and Bad Altitude.
Althought it'll be hard to switch from the "Little People, Big World" marathon on TLC...
I BELIEVE NOW!
So far, Choi has been worth nothing to the Red Sox. Also, we didn't really need AP, Ramon Martinez and Robles can both do that job just fine.
As for Bradley, do you really think there was any chance of him staying after the run in with Jeff Kent?
Rex Hudler and Joe Morgan can't annoy me (much) if I can't hear them. Lead me not into frustration.
Same for basketball a lot of the time. It's not like I actually need someone to tell me what I'm seeing.
For football, I still find the analysis helpful. 30 years of fandom, and I still learn stuff. Much more complicated game.
Now let's take a look back at the first aid section ....
Before we hit the Bs, let me tell you about Farmer John ..."
"Now batting, number 13, Manu Tuiasasopu."
And that's one of the easy ones.
And Martinez and Robles can only "do that job just fine" if that job doesn't involve hitting well.
And, by the way, James Loney was less productive with the bat at double-A Jacksonville last year than Choi was in the major leagues. His glove is better, though, and defense (especially at the legendary "corner where we put old fat guys") wins championships!
Loney is only 22, let him develop. Also, Martinez has hit well when put in. Choi didn't have a high stock at all when let go. And Bradley's stock was even worse.
sell high, buy low. Ned isnt very good at that.
And Choi, he was awful during the WBC, and the best we could have gotten for him was Graffinino.
You sound like a laker fan who wants to trade Sasha V., Devan George, and Jim Jackson for Kevin Garnett.
then dont trade him. try to work it out. If his value is so low, build his value back up. Because if he plays, he will produce. hes a good player.
And Choi, he was awful during the WBC, and the best we could have gotten for him was Graffinino.
again, then dont trade him/release him. He had an option available. Use it! Letting him go was short sighted and unwarranted.
You sound like a laker fan who wants to trade Sasha V., Devan George, and Jim Jackson for Kevin Garnett
what Laker fan wouldnt want to do that trade?
It wasn't gonna work with us. We did try and work it out, he went through anger management, and still had that explosion with Kent.
Keep Choi? Why, so he can cut down Loney's playing time in AAA?
what Laker fan wouldnt want to do that trade?
That's not the point, the point is, you've gotta trade value, to get value.
it would be nice to still have AP, considering all the injuries thus far.
I'll see your question and raise you two: How is Nomar's recovery going? Do you think a reinjury is in the cards?
But are you alive...?
And, by the way, starting center fielders who hit for power and average are not comparable to the Laker flotsam you referenced in 48. Bradley is at least Smush Parker. And nobody said that we should have gotten Alex Rodriguez for him. Putting stupid words in other people's mouths and showing how superior you are for being against them is not intellectually honest.
How about Kwame Brown?
Alou is finally in the Giants' lineup, which means no Finley to serve as an easy out
Next big fight is Corrales-Castillo III.
The fight I want to see is Ricky Hatton-Floyd Mayweather. Mayweather I've read wants to fight De La Hoya, even though De La Hoya is like the Nomar of boxing.
Go Dodgers!
The 51's would probably rather see Choi playing 1st than James Loney, if AAA championships are worth winning...
on another note, i really wanted beckett back in november/december. Too bad Colletti come on board too late.
No doubt you'll be watching it on your plasma from Wal-Mart.
And the Evil One, Randy Winn, will be in center field.
The dream fight I always wanted to see was Mike Tyson vs Roy Jones JR. Mainly bc Tyson is a small heavyweight, and Jones (albeit smaller), had much superior boxing skills in his prime that I think it'd be a great fight.
Of course now, I'm not sure if any would pay to see it.
But 5-6 yrs ago when Roy went up to light heavyweight and Tyson was still somewhat of a factor, it would have been one of the highest grossing fights of all time IMO.
The reason the heavyweight division is poor now is because there are basically two classes fighting. You have the "super heavyweights" like Lennox Lewis, Klitchko's... and then the smaller guys like Tyson. Putting them all in one division just didnt make much sense to me.
I counted last night, and might have missed some current Dodgers with recent Giants ties:
Kent, Cruz Jr., Mueller, Martinez, Tomko, Ledee, Lofton. Miss anyone?
The first three are useful. Feh on the rest. Colletti has no imagination at all beyond "safe veterans." I'm distressed to learn that he's only 52. He's young enough to know better! Younger than Bill James, ain't he?
Not sure Ledee deserves the "feh"
Fehr enough...
he is doing well but his power still hasnt really blossomed yet. his ISOp is .138 so far and for playing in vegas, that really is unacceptable.
hopefully he can get it up to .200 at least by the end of his vegas tenure.
Joe Morgan's commentary is just a running commercial for his book "Baseball for Dummies"
And it's "hara kiri," "Hara" as in "stomach" and "kiri" as in "cut." Sorry, just a pet peeve of mine. Everyone gets it wrong.
Anyway, I too advocate just lowering the volume. Too bad there's no way to lower just the announce volume but keep the game sounds (pitches hitting the glove, the crack of the bat on the ball, etc.).
8^)
Oh, I thought it was 腹切
I'm horrible with okuriganae.
Why is Felipe conceding the first inning and batting Bonds cleanup?
HAHA, is Pedro Gomez really stationed in his own little box next to the SF dugout?? That's sooo stalker-rific!
its seo. saito is a middle reliever.
pretty good rate.
By the way, my first post here. Great site. It's nice to see smart people talking about baseball.
can you please stop calling him saito? His name is Jae Seo. Its like that one guy that keeps trying to call Odalis peanut.
Keep the ball down buddy!
Don't worry, we're a warm and welcoming bunch.
But I do think there are more Korean readers than Japanese readers.
Gammons just said that ned told him that the dodgers are going to be a very young team come next year.
And mentioned guzman,ethier,billingsley,martin,broxton
way to go Seo. GOOD PITCHING
Or bad hitting...
Try? There is no try....
129 - Nate, alls I'm saying is: just be glad Colletti doesn't have a Gameday picture.
Does anybody know where those weird multicolor sleeved undershirts that Vizquel and a couple others are wearing, came from? I don't remember seeing those at all before this season...
It's making me sick listening to those idiots Miller & Morgan actually openly rooting for the Giants.
Or is she around to provide EVEN more questionably useful info.
these on the field reporters are completely useles...just bells and whistles. Most of them just talk nonsense...speaking of, did anyone hear Lidnsey Soto (is that her name?) after the game last night say "Little had a brilliant strategy of having his offense get timeley hits."
That made me want to drink bleach.
You gotta be joking about that? wow!
This shouldn't surprise me but I guess almost six months w/o ball has its impact.
And by the time I type this, the Giants have gone down also--amazing.
Time of day and all that, but still...
I can imagine facing Drysdale, Koufax, Gibson or Marichal at this hour. It's a wonder there weren't no-hitters every time they went out at twilight.
What the heck kind of attorney are you, anyway? Are you on the Good Side or something?
I, of course, am thrilled. It almost makes listening to these ESPN announcers making fools of themselves worth it.
KEEP THEM AT BAY SEO.
Not bad. Sorry if I jinxed them.
Was it just not close enough to the bag?
Finally we're out of this half.
OK, look for the review on Wednesday or Thursday.
On another topic, apparently Ross wants to stay in the majors.
I am everyone's humble servant here. It makes up for everyone having to read about a lot of 19th century baseball games. They seem to be congregating at the beginning of the season.
Well, this one is over.
I can't believe it --Joe agrees with Izzy
Oh--be scared --JD and Kent are coming.
Will there be a time when Lofton will NOT hit into a double play in a game-critical situation?
At least with repko or ross they were batting towards the bottom of the lineup.
It is Easter Sunday and a lot of people have family obligations.
As for that DP, I don't believe I have ever in my life seen that happen.
its a loss!
For those not watching, Lofton bounced to Durham at second, who forced Furcal at second. Vizquel then turned all the way around and threw to Feliz at third who tagged out Ross who had rounded the base.
that's exactly the problem. Lofton shouldn't even be here in the first place. I still can't believe we couldn't have made a better offer for Crisp...heck, I'd be happy to go out and get Freel.
I think he was just showing off.
It's nice to hear that Izturis might be our best friend. He refuses to go to the outfield, and we trade him for something useful. I'd like to thank Morgan and Miller for hyping him as one of the "best shortstops in the league!" Raise that value, baby!
It is a balk when,
(d) The pitcher, while touching his plate, throws, or feints a throw to an unoccupied base, except for the purpose of making a play;
Since Loney was not holding on Sweeney at first, Seo was just throwing the ball to nowhere in particular, which you can't do.
At least one of those descriptors is accurate.
Why not throw to first?
Why couldn't Ross get back? It looked like he started to dive, but then stopped.
The Tim Hamulack experience.
Since I like seafood so much more than meat, the whole Lenten sacrifice thing confused me as a kid.
There's lots of stuff that needs to be fixed that Ned seems to think is okay.
#1 Carter stinks. The guy really does...and now with Gagne AND Brazo out he takes a stronger role...I'm sorry, but he shouldn't be in during real tight situations.
#2 We need some production out of first base. Everyone loves Loney but the bottom line is that he can't hit yet and we have no idea what's going on with Nomar. If we had a power hitter at third it wouldn't matter as much, but we don't. It amazes me that year after year we manage to not go out and get that extra power hitter that we need.
I prefer his Extremely Straight Fastball to his Floating On A Tee Curveball, but find his Barely Moving Slider to be the best pitch of all in his arsenal.
Exactly, i agree.
It is a balk when,
(d) The pitcher, while touching his plate, throws, or feints a throw to an unoccupied base, except for the purpose of making a play...
--but 1st was occupied. Or is the point that the throw in question couldn't have been for the purpose of making a play?
The irony Joe Morgan.
Of course its Kent's fault he gets hit in the head. The wisdom of Joe Morgan.
back of the head.
I think that since Loney wasn't in a position to make a play, it had to be a balk.
I've seen that called before.
I've also seen first basemen run in to make a play, but those are usually called plays. I remember a Saturday afternoon Game of the Week where the Billy Martin A's had the bases loaded with 2 outs and a 3-2 count with Tippy Martinez pitching. Rickey Henderson was on first and he ran in and grabbed a pickoff throw and ended the inning.
Rickey didn't like that.
When your Proven 100-RBI Guy is hurt, you gotta score runs any way you can...
and bringing in the sinker baller to a batter that has grounded into like 5 DPs already is another good move.
i just hope loney surprises me here with at least a sac fly.
Of course, if it were Tracy, Hennessey wouldn't have been pulled until after he'd coughed up the lead, so Alou's a rung above him on the ladder, that's for sure.
Wait, its probably McCarver. Imagine a game with Morgan and McCarver...I think that'd tear a whole in the space/time continuum.
Shut up, Morgan.
thanks, Bob!
[PS--cut @ paste #s for links to previous posts?]
That movie looked absolutely horrendous. Guess he's hurting for cash or something.
The latter, thank you.
Ha!
is career .234 "fine"?
will Joe comment on that graphic?
these are rhetorical questions, sports fans...
Because they were "exploding" up in the zone!
Or am I wrong?
And hit Bonds on his elbow armor, to boot.
Ouch.
And if he were on Washington, he'd be 10 HBPs away from getting a free dinner courtesy of the Jose Guillen Frequent Beanballer Program.
....why????
Unless Hamulack is just that good.
Either way, something needs to be done because our bullpen stinks and our offense isn't good, yet again.
I've had enough of him for this game.
go with your best pitch.
Yes. The pitcher can take his time warming up.
Bob, did Kuo go to the WBC?
When a pitcher takes his position at the beginning of each inning, or when he relieves another pitcher, he shall be permitted to pitch not to exceed eight preparatory pitches to his catcher during which play shall be suspended. A league by its own action may limit the number of preparatory pitches to less than eight preparatory pitches. Such preparatory pitches shall not consume more than one minute of time. If a sudden emergency causes a pitcher to be summoned into the game without any opportunity to warm up, the umpire in chief shall allow him as many pitches as the umpire deems necessary.
He was so-so. Taiwan's team was pretty bad.
yeah, it's not very savvy to have your #5 man sac bunting with two on and no outs...you're giving up an out AND taking the bat out of the hands of one of your better hitters.
I'm thinking of starting a fan club for elbow chips.
"Kuo came to Spring Training this year as a long shot to make the club. Participating for Taiwan in the Classic didn't help the new staff's evaluations, although he said his decision was a no-brainer: represent his country while satisfying a military obligation that had been deferred while he chased his baseball dream."
LOL!! hahahahahaha!!
Who's doubting Ned now?
And you allow the defense to dictate how the inning will proceed, giving them the chance to get out of it facing only one batter instead of two or three. Even if Cruz had hit into a double play, we'd be better off with a runner on third and Mueller batting.
That guy is going to be a thorn in our sides this entire year.
Wow, Kenny Lofton with some Rickey-style disruption...and now there are two men on for everyone's favorite 2B...
Although I'll gladly donate to the "get rid of Lofton now" campaign fund as well.
Count me in with a donation.
In which the Dodgers have scored 3 runs.
"groovey" natepurcell! :o)
there's no reason to be surprised over this. We have Navarro who can't hit, Loney who can't hit, and a pitcher in our lineup. That's 1/3 of the lineup right there. Not to mention our only power threats are Drew and Kent and Drew isn't even THAT much of a power threat.
The bottom line is we need someone...whether it be Dunn or Cabrera etc etc. if we really want to do some damage. Otherwise, we're going to have to endure a lot of 2-1 games in the future...
This, again, is not a Save Situation®
you're absolutely right, and even though I don't dislike Ned, it shows his absolute failure with our CF situation. We gave away a great CF AND a good utility player for a minor leaguer. If you're giving up a really solid every day center fielder you HAVE to get at least one major leaguer back. Then we go out and sign Lofton which is basically a minus...so when he gets hurt because he's 90 years old, we have to go with guys who shouldn't be starting.
I find it very hard to believe that we couldn't have made a better offer someone like Crisp. Heck, we could probably go out and get Ryan Freel right now. I wouldn't mind having him in center...he's better than Lofton, Repko, and Ross. The way the CF situation has been handled is almost embarrassing.
crisp would have cost andy laroche and probably something else.
Gah, I hate losing to the Giants.
Yeah. Baseball should be pretty embarrassed right now that the Post-Roid-Crackdown-Bonds can barely get the ball out of the infield.
great pitching no hitting in one series.
I'm not surprised.
But I'm happy because I sense Boras is not doing well in the perception dept.
Its the little things.
This season is going to be really depressing, isn't it?
It is pretty ridiculous.
I can't stand loosing to the giants. I don't feel good right now.
I can't stand loosing to the giants. I don't feel good right now.
I can't stand loosing to the giants. I don't feel good right now.
JUST KIDDING!! :o)
Steroids don't kill baseballs: muscles do.
have you gotten the computerized WAKE UP CALL from motel 6? It says "congradulation you've just won 10,000000.00 million dollars" NOT FUNNY FOR A POOR GUY LIKE ME!!
Thank you ESPN once again for making the story, instead of reporting it.
Like Andrew Shimmin says above, it's a commercial.
Sheesh.
495 - Also Jason Repko can be expected to OPS well into the .900s, Sandy Alomar and Cody Ross will both hit over .450, and Nomar Garciaparra will spend most of the season on the DL.
Wait, you know what, that last one could NEVER happen.
Why is Scott Elbert not pitching at Vero Beach?
Is he on the DL?
Also I see the Dodgers got Mike Mcgrew back.
I happen to know that there is a bit of a row over at ESPN over the Bonds thang. The problem is that they have contracted themselves to the independent company producing the reality show and there is a school of thought that backing out opens the network to lawsuits. Think about it: you refuse to air a program because the guy essentially did nothing wrong.
Now, there is another school of thought, led largely by producers and talent, that the Bonds reality show makes the network look like a cheerleader for a man who may be (and probably is) a steroid user and a perjurer. This does not make a network look good and several people at ESPN know this.
For what it's worth...
his line on the season so far
9IP 7H 1ER 0HR 5bb 6k 1.00era
Perusing the box score, I wonder under what conditions would Jose Cruz be bunting? I suppose it is supply and demand -- if you flood the market with outs, they ultimately lose value, and become free.
Would you rather Cruz bunt or GIDP?
Well, smart guy...?
but I guess the season's young.I have 5 Suns games later in May I can go to.
That's not even getting anywhere near college sports, where the network has completely lost any sort of moral responsibility. Does anybody else here recall the "USC greatest team ever" discussions BEFORE they played Texas? The 7 days a week coverage of the Trojan football team in the couple of weeks leading up to the Rose Bowl, while the Longhorns got significantly less exposure? Because the last time I checked, they lost that game.
Though hey, at least USC came in 3rd or 4th on their 'greatest ever' list. That has to count for something, right?
Note: this is not an indictment of USC - they should take all the coverage they can get. But seriously, how are other schools going to be able to compete in terms of recruiting? "Come to USC, and you'll have TV cameras following you around everywhere you go, and we can guarentee that even if you never play a down you'll get drafted in the 7th round of the NFL draft."
-shrug- I'm not a big fan of the folks up in Bristol.
I don't think they should cancel the Bonds reality show, unless it's drawing the kind of ratings that would get any other ESPN show cancelled, and I don't know if it is or not. But it seems to me that there is a middle ground here between cancelling the show and turning Giants games into one big commercial. Granted, Morgan probably can say whatever he wants, but there's all the "cut" footage, the montage, and such which made the game story about Bonds even though he played no real role in the game tonight. Now if they'd made the story about how Bonds was doing nothing this game, that would at least have had the virtue of being grounded in facts, but instead we get the outright skewing.
Grits is proving to be a worse in game manager than Jimbo. Not pinch hitting for Lofton with Repko was inexcusable.
The umpires were awful in the series. If Hamulack really wanted to hit Bonds intentionally, you would think that he'd drill him in the back, not right above his elbow armor. Ned might be frustrated with the team's bullpen, but I'm a lot more worried about the lack of power. Bill Mueller is a nice player, but you need power from the corners. We can't afford to have a guy like Loney in the lineup, considering that we have almost no power at other positions and since 1st base is typically one of the easiest positions to find power hitters. Releasing Choi and giving away Bradley are really starting to come back to haunt Ned.
our guys in the low minors havent really hit a lick so far. Hu is currently hitting .344 or something with a pretty good ISOp. Dewitt, laroche and hu have been controlling the strike zone pretty well. Russ Mitchell down in columbus has a very nice line of .400/.607/.357. Although he is a bit old at 21.
other then those players, everyone else seems to be struggling so far at this period in the season.
Not pinch hitting for Lofton with Repko was inexcusable.
This will require some explanation, though I assume it has something to do with a LOOGY.
The umpires were awful in the series.
No explanation required. They are awful in every series.
Since the DP Lofton hit into went 4-6-5, he doesn't get credited with a GIDP. Is has to be a force at both bases or one where the tag is at second base.
Its as if Jim Tracy never left and DePo was never the GM.
It'll hurt worse in 2007. Alot worse.
"Midas" will make it happen. Just believe.
From Dodgers.com
Saito's roles: Manager Grady Little has liked Takashi Saito from early in Spring Training, and he likes him so much now, he's using him in two roles.
Little said Saito will be used sometimes as a setup man for closer Danys Baez and sometimes earlier in games to extricate the club from jams with runners on base.
"Sometimes you save the game in the sixth or seventh inning," said Little. "We just have to be careful we don't use him too much."
Little used Saito on Thursday, Friday and Saturday and was hoping to stay away from the Japanese import Sunday night. He said left-handers Hong-Chih Kuo and Tim Hamulack could assume the setup role when Saito is unavailable.
That's what i was preaching all offseason.
So i agree.
Nomar still owes us nine home runs, so what are we worried about?
527 - Why not use Kuo as the smokejumper? He even impressed M&M tonight, no?
530 - Wasn't Loney supposed to hit those 9?
I'm going to disagree because I don't think you need power from any specific position. For exmaple, we can just say Kent's power at 2B makes up for the lack of power at 3B. The problem, in my view, is that you just need the power no matter where it comes from.
Having Mueller, Loney, Furcal, Lofton, Navarro in the lineup doesn't give us the power we need. I love Mueller and Furcal, don't get me wrong...they play their roles well. But, we need someone in the middle of the order. I think Ned would be insane not to go after Cabrera...give up anyone but Billingsley. I'd have no problem giving up Guzman and another prospect or two...we're talking about a top ten hitter in the game. If you could put Cabrera in the middle of the lineup with Drew, Kent, Cruz and hopefully Nomar we'd be fine.
Other than that...I wouldn't mind nabbing Freel for CF...I just don't think Loney is going to cut it...so if Nomar isn't back, we may need to get someone for 1B. We just can't afford that lack of offense in the lineup.
from one of the most avid dodger prospect fans on here, i agree. Giving up guzman and even russ martin for miguel cabrera would draw massive praise from me.
I'm a firm believer in keeping the prospects. The only time I have a problem dealing them is if it's for a rental or an average player.
If you can nab one of the league's best, you HAVE to pull the trigger
Ryan Freel? Really? Aside from speed is he even any good?
he's young, cheap, and has shown good numbers in the two seasons he's played a good amount of games. He has been injury prone in the past, but he's already off to a good start this year as well.
He also had two seasons with 37 and 36 steals....gets on base...in other words, better than the 87 year old lofton aka GIDP
I think that exact thing happened with the Lakers last year.
I'm still down for Adam Dunn.
the reds really baffle me...they don't play freel every day, and last year they had Dunn bat 6th a large portion of the time. Completely illogical.
Now he can play first base.
So no thanks, i'd rather build for 2007 and beyond.
Haven't we learned our lesson.
1 player (cabrerra) minus 2 or 3 top prospects = net loss.
To me billingsley, guzman, ethier, martin, laroche, broxton are all off limits.
The free agent market this coming season is thin again, and we will have to fill alot of holes.
No outfielders on the free agent market that i'm interested in.
And the only outfielder on our roster right now that i'm totally satisfied with is drew, but i also like cruz.
I don't agree with that.
but if you trade guzman in a package for cabrera, cabrera probably moves to LF, where guzman would have played.
Sorry about being firm on this but anyway i look at it, it is a net loss.
.280/.391/419
those are minor league numbers for both martin and navarro. Navarro also was younger then martin in each level of competition. Asking for Martin over navarro should not be a holding point in a deal when you are dealing with miguel cabrera type players.
how is it a net loss?
They can have any of hu, abreu, diaz, kemp, orenduff, dewitt, young, aybar and any other lower level prospects i missed (i know young and aybar are in AAA) plus if they want any of the junk we have on the team right now like izturis, repko, ross, lofton, martinez, carter, hamulack, osoria, tomko, and navarro (navarro is not junk tho).
While I love many of our farm players, I can't agree with this statement. Prospects are great, but that's still all they are - prospects. Just think of it this way: remember when Edwin Jackson came in during the latter parts of the end of, what was it, 2003? He was a fireball-throwing, "can't-miss" prospect who outdueled Randy Johnson in what I believe was his first professional start. HIs last start would be 6 sccoreless innings against the Giants, where he struck out 7, including one at bat where he made Bonds look just silly (rather like Broxton v. Pujols, methinks) He started 3 games, in which his ERA was under 2.5. He was 19 at the time.
We just traded him and Chuck Tiffany for Baez and Carter. Point being that players don't always pan out. A player like a Miguel Cabrera, e.g. a top-25 (top 10 might be pushing it a bit, though he was ranked 8th last year for all positional players in VORP) player is very rare. 'Top 25' means that arguably he should be the, or very nearly as good as the, best player on almost every team in the country. Even with certain fluke possibilities, it's very difficult to argue against getting a guarenteed star, even if it means giving up two possible stars.
Sure, I remember the Pedro trade - losing arguably the most dominant pitcher in the league for a several-year stretch. But by the same token, there have been plenty of 'homegrown' prospects that haven't really panned out but had a fair amount of positive press and could have likely gotten more when they were still in the minors than they ended up gaining for the Dodgers once they hit the major leagues.
Plus, it's not like Cabrera's an aging player on the decline. He's 22. If anything, he is effectively a 'best-case' scenario for a player like Guzman or LaRoche. And if you really think that both JtD and LaRoche are "can't-miss" to end up like Miguel Cabrera, the best hitters in the country within the next couple of years, I would like the number of your kool-aid dispenser because you have way more faith in our prospects than I do (I think one of them probably will end up very good, and both should be solid, but I'd trade two 'solid' players for a 10-year All Star).
Stuck for all eternity with only Ned Colletti for company? Don't give the devil any suggestions, please.
And as I predicted would happen, the anti-Loney brigade is starting to wave the flag. He needs his season in Triple A before he will be really ready, but even now the statistical signs are pointing to him being the high average hitter I am expecting. 36 MLB plate appearances so far and only 2 strikeouts, and more walks than strikeouts. Outstanding contact ability for someone who is probably a year short of belonging in the majors. Loney's batting average on balls in play right now is extremely low, so that will inevitably rise over time, and rise a great deal with more experience. Loney turns 22 in less than a month. Konerko was 22 when he hit .215/.272/.306 for the Dodgers through 49 games. Had Dodger Thoughts existed in 1998, I am sure posters would have been moaning and groaning about that. Lasorda certainly hadn't seen anything to make him think twice about dumping Konerko for Jeff Shaw. The next season, in a White Sox uniform, Konerko hit .294/.352/.511 for the full season. I doubt Colletti is going to make the same mistake, especially with Logan White advising him.
On another note, I'd love to see the Dodgers trade for BJ Upton. I know top prospect for top prospect trades are rare, but....
Cesar Izturis, Navarro or Martin, and Elbert or Broxton. I know that's a lot to give and the D-rays still probably wouldn't accept that package, but if there was someway we could acquire BJ Upton without giving up Billingsley or Guzman, we have to do it. Upton is a major league ready hitter right now. He could be our CF for the next decade.
The Marlins would be improved and to be honest, so would the Dodgers cuz Cabrera can take over LF or 3B. Cruz can play RF with Drew playing CF. And we can be solid defensively with an IF of Mueller, Furcal, Izturis, and Kent or Mueller, Furcal, Kent, and Loney.
And we get Billingsley, Orenduff, Elbert, etc :)
We can keep running this straw poll if you like; show of hands, who wants Loney liquidated? Anyone? Bueller?
I don't understand why you're so desperate for everybody to hate him, but I can't imagine you'll have much success with it. Good luck, though.
Konerko enjoyed hitting in very hitter-friendly parks and leagues in the minors. That is the problem with comparing past Dodger hitting prospects with the current crop. The only time Loney has ever played in a hitter-friendly league (Rookie Ball) he slugged over .600, and injuries have hindered his record, but anyway, my point was about the folly of taking a MAJOR LEAGUE rookie's slow start too seriously, and any way you slice Konerko got off to a slow start, as most rookies do.
No one here wants to just get rid of Loney, he is only 22, but this clearly isn't his time.
I don't want Loney advanced to the bigs until he's clearly ready, or, until he's the best option available. He is, or seems to be, the best option as the left handed half of a 1B platoon, while Nomar convalesces. Once Nomar comes back he should go down to AAA as was planned. If he plays well there, and doesn't reinjure himself, he should come up next year, or towards the end of this one. If Nomar can't come back relatively soon, then the Dodgers need a better plan B if they hope to get anything much out of 1B, this year. That's the whole of my point. If we're writing of 1B production on a whim, then so be it. If not, Loney doesn't look to be the answer, yet.
If he's good enough for the majors, he should be good enough to beat up on the PCL, right? Yes, lots of players get brought up before they're ready and spend a couple of years stinking. So what? Is that some glorious, character building rite of passage? What's the profit in doing it that way, for any one?
Unless your point is that he'll get better, faster, being over matched (the reason he's likely to spend this year stinking, if he passes it on the big team) then I can't see any benefit at all in just giving him the job, damn the consequences. If the better/faster theory is your point, you still have to demonstrate that the more rapid improvement is likely to be worth the obvious losses (money and 2006 production).
I read back through the thread; the very worst thing said about Loney was that he projected to be league average at his best. Not an endorsement, but also not the same as calling him garbage. The prevailing thought is that he isn't ready. You seem to have exactly that opinion, so it makes no sense to accuse DT posters of being reactionaries. Your rapid deployment Loney protection system needs a less hairy trigger.
Nobody hates Loney. Everybody wants him to do well. We're all eager to see the farm club produce big league talent, but most of us are willing to wait for the talent to be big league talent.
And to revisit the Konerko thing, I am not saying Loney now is exactly like Konerko as a prospect. Their statistically underwhelming starts to their major league careers at age 22 is what I was comparing. As prospects, if you adjusted for radically different minor league league and park effects (and Loney's playing through some injuries), Konerko as a prospect certainly looked more like a future slugger, but Loney's contact skills and swing make him look like more of a high-average pure hitter than Konerko looked like as a prospect, and while Konerko's defense at first base was poor even in the minors, well, we all know what Loney can do defensively (I am sure everybody has been impressed with Loney's defensive performance in a Dodger uniform so far).
Loney has never hit for a high-average in the minor leagues. Nor has he hit for any power. Izturis makes contact also. But he doesnt hit the ball hard. Making contact doesnt mean much if you dont have the SLG to back it up.
The only time Loney has ever played in a hitter-friendly league (Rookie Ball) he slugged over .600
Vero Beach has an insane HR factor last year. Like 1.62. Its a great environment to hit for power in, and Loney hit all of 7 HR's there. You are looking at the 170AB's he got in rookie league. I'm looking at the 1400AB's he accumulated since then. He doesnt look like a prospect. If he wasnt a 1st round bonus baby, he wouldnt even be on the 40-man roster IMO.
I certainly dont 'hate' James Loney. I'm just not sure why the Dodgers are spending time/money on trying to develop someone whom at best will be like JT Snow. JT Snow wasnt even league average as a 1st basemen. I certainly wouldnt want Snow (in his prime) as my 1st basemen, so why Loney?
Shouldnt the goal be to develop above average players at every position?
.280/.352/.411 in the minors...And this guy is supposed to play 1st?
Theres no comparison between James Loney and Paul Konerko either. Konerko's minor league numbers are vastly superior that its not even worth discussing.
It seems Guzman can play just about anywhere and probably has a better chance of producing than Loney.
Guzman could be called up and get consistent AB's playing 1st, SS, or the OF.
He'd be our 6'7 Figgins. Forget Izzy.
Let the Destroyer be that guy.
As I already expained, Konerko played in far more hitter-friendly environments at every level, even more friendly than Vero Beach, so his minor league numbers are irrelevent to this discussion. You want comparisons that are relevent for Loney's 2005 season (when Loney wasn't hurt for the first time since 2002), playing in the pitcher-friendly Southern League at age 21? Here are some players who played in that league at that age and their stats:
James Loney: .284/.357/.419
Dave Justice: .227/.333/.336
Bernie Williams: .281/.409/.414
Shannon Stewart: .287/.398/.390
Torii Hunter: .263/.324/.401
Loney's batting average is right in between Bernie Williams' and Shannon Stewart's, both high-average major league hitters for the bulk of their careers, and Loney's slugging percentage is the highest of all.
Throw out the name J.T Snow all you like, but his minor league record is FAR less impressive than Loney's. As far as your speculation about why Loney is on the 40-man roster, let's just say the Dodgers know a lot more about Loney and his potential than you do.
will they all be up by sept.?
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