Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
With Bill Mueller nearly hitless in May and Willy Aybar coming up hot from Las Vegas and knocking a ninth-inning pinch-hit RBI single today, some naturally will wonder if Aybar should be in the lineup.
It's a fair debate - at least, I don't expect unanimity. The key is to have the debate on the right terms. It should be whether on an average day, Aybar is better than Mueller. It should not be whether Aybar is better at his best than Mueller is at his worst.
Yes, Aybar can go out there and hit better than .050. So can Mueller.
Baseball is not automatic. Baseball is constant adjustments. A .300-hitting baseball player doesn't hit .300 all season. He has .400 streaks, and .300 streaks, and .200 streaks, and .100 streaks and everything up, down and in between.
Sometimes players go in the tank, and sometimes players are ready to take the world by storm. We need to step back and have perspective.
I like Aybar. I'd like to see him play. I don't see harm in giving Mueller a day off. But I honestly don't know who will be the better hitter going forward. I don't think it's clear. I just know that Aybar has really come on over the past nine months, and that Mueller is someone who has made successful adjustments his whole career.
* * *
Eric Gagne feels good, according to Ken Gurnick of MLB.com.
I'm rooting for Gagne, but I no longer ascribe any meaning to his self-diagnoses.
In happy theory, though, the return of Gagne and the apparent maturation of Jonathan Broxton could really make the Dodger bullpen look a lot better. Gagne is tentatively scheduled to start a rehabilitation assignment in Las Vegas in two weeks, Gurnick writes.
* * *
Today's loss was a shame, but it feels different than the losses of last week, when the wheels were flying every which way off the Winnebago. This loss feels more like a flat tire - just fix it and move on.
I'm unman enough to admit that I usually call AAA for that. Given the number of Las Vegas 51s now on the Dodger roster, I guess the Dodgers have already done the same.
http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news?slug=ap-pirates-testytracy&prov=ap&type=lgns
Tracy never slumps.
"Oh, that's our shortstop."
I'm glad Fookie is finally coming out his slump. He's starting to rack up the extra base hits. Along with his walks, he may set a career high in OPS this year.
Oh, and I think Jason Bay 6th speaks for itself.
You don't realize how messy changing a tire is until you have to do it wearing a suit with a white shirt and tie. I had to do that once coming home from work in Century City to Simi Valley.
The warning that comes with me leaving my lights on in my current car has probably saved me a number of AAA calls. In my Scirocco (1985-2002), those lights got left on too many times. Though I did get a totally righteous set of jumper cables.
Then again, I'd rather have two Baezes than a Hamulack or an Osoria.
(Time for Bob to throw in a "24" reference.)
My previous car was a 4x4 truck. The first weekend I had it I took a trip to Arizona. I left the lights on all day and wore out the battery. When I tried to jump it, I fried the computer which caused it to stall whenever you took your foot off the gas. Since it was a holiday weekend there were no dealers open so I had to drive it all the way home without taking my foot off the gas. When I had to come to a stop, I'd throw it in neutral and keep gunning the accelerator.
The alarm system on my camaro used to be very inconsistent. I went to the bank one time and ended up getting locked in my own car with the alarm blaring. There was nothing I could do for at least 15minutes. The Bank teller came outside and stared at me as did many passerbys. The alarm finally had mercy and I then went into the bank to deposit a check only to have to goto the same teller who did not approve of my obnoxious alarm.
Jack Bauer just looks at coffee and it gets him wired.
Then he shoots it.
I finally parted ways with my '84 Prelude, which was bought when I lived in LA (stupidly, I fell in love with a used car with no air conditioning, in LA), but despite it's other problems by some miracle it never got a flat in the 7 years I owned it. My bicycle is another story...
Dodger Math: http://dodgermath.com/?p=337
WXRL through May 3rd (a week old, but I don't have access to the PECOTA stats on Baseball Prospectus) has Baez at the second-worst WXRL on the team out of the relievers. "Keep in mind that WXRL isn't a strict measure of pitcher peformance, but a measure of how well a pitcher has performed in important situations...
So far, Baez has allowed two earned runs in 14.2 innings, but he has also allowed three unearned runs (which came due to an error that he committed, and, even worse, has allowed seven of his 11 inherited runners to score."
So while Baez has pitched fine in non-pressure situations, he has been at his worst exactly when the team needs him to be at his best. In other words, the absolute worst possible quality in a closer. Gagne never seemed to have that trouble under pressure. There is of course a claim that, much like "clutch hitting," being able to pitch in pressure situations is relatively mythical, but I would argue that it becomes a more valid issue when discussing the role of the "closer" as, effectively, that is why you have him on the team, is to be able to pitch well in short but pressure-filled segments.
http://4q.cc/index.php?pid=top100&person=chuck
That sounds special. Was that in your Saab?
http://www.notrly.com/jackbauer/index.php?topthirty
And of course, the anti-Chuck Norris facts:
http://www.pointsincase.com/anti_chuck_facts.htm
Example: "If you can see Chuck Norris, he can see you. If you can't see Chuck Norris, you may not realize how much he's actually aged."
Here's a quick history of booing.
http://www.slate.com/id/2141597/?nav=tap3
or 85% of his recent 91 mph fastball = 77 mph ?
OT - For those of you with a Bay Area connection, specifically Berkeley, the famed Cody's bookstore on Telegraph Ave. is closing later this year.
Is it closing before August?
where are you gonna put aybar? i dunno, third base?? nice title
the real key is going to see if the dodgers can win tomorrow. what i really mean is, lets not forget that there are certain etheral factors that the dodgerdemons cast down on us that could have us losing the next 2 or 3 in a row and then how good does our 5 game streak look? the dodgers need to pick back up and get another streak going.
http://tinyurl.com/esq7f
It is set to close on July 10. If Cody's can't survive, it doesn't leave me with much hope about the other independent bookstores around here.
It is set to close on July 10. If Cody's can't survive, it doesn't leave me with much hope about the other independent bookstores around here.
It is set to close on July 10. If Cody's can't survive, it doesn't leave me with much hope about the other independent bookstores around here.
There is another Cody's on the trendy Fourth Street shopping corridor in Berkeley and they also just opened a big Cody's in SF.
Whenver I have leftover food after eating in a restaurant, I try to give it to a homeless person (which in Berkeley are everywhere) and I'm surprised on how picky homeless people can soemtimes be when it comes to free food.
It reminds me of when (and this is why I've been adamantly anti-Border's since) a few years ago when my favorite bookstore since childhood - the Earthling in Santa Barbara - had to close a year or 2 after a Border's moved in literally a block away (and a Barnes and Noble, too). Bastards.
If you're going to buy books online, buy from Powell's books (based in Oregon) or similar indie booksellers.
Powell's is an amazing bookstore; I would highly recommend a visit whenenver anyone is in Portland. My favorite indie bookstore is Tattered Cover in Denver.
Underdog - You must work a few blocks from me; I'm at 2nd and Market.
vr, Xei
If you break down, get a flat etc. on any state highway you can get assistance. My advice for someone with a flat on surface streets? Look for an on ramp. It's a joint project between CHP, Caltrans and - watchout Mr. Timmerman - the MTA.
Check out:
http://www.mta.net/projects_programs/fsp/fsp.htm
Frank Robinson hates Ryan Church. Tonight, wanting to give Soriano the night off after his 0-5 (4Ks) last night, OF Daryle Ward gets the start over Church in LF.
With the Nationals' bullpen woes (another small implosion last night), I wonder what it would take to get Church for LF. Tim Hamulack and a low-grade prospect? Of course, new Nationals ownership to contend with, so hard to tell.
I actually always enjoy driving in big cities (e.g. SF, Manhattan). I figure unless you hit someone while driving you'll never get pulled over for speeding, etc.
http://images.gaslampball.com/images/admin/sutcliffe.mp3
Speaking of which, does anyone know of any decent used book stores in West LA? The Bay Area and San Diego are full of them, but I have not found any good ones around here for
1. Academic texts
2. Just regular novels.
It's been all art books, or Christian books, or other specialty stuff.
Thanks.
But now he's in a 1-7 slump...
The dodgers need to get to the point of building around prospects, i'm tired of them having bad contracts (perez) and old veterans that are pretty much worthless (lofton).
How about signing nomar later on (if he stays healthy) to a 3 year deal, he's from southern california, he might sign a lesser kind of deal to play where he's from.
http://tinyurl.com/oee24
He sounds more high than drunk. I guess it's kind of sad since he used to be an alcoholic (I think)
It was Padres TV.
https://griddle.baseballtoaster.com/archives/372626.html
When I wax philosophical about my time in Berkeley, I think first of the Mexican food. La Fiesta, Zona Rosa...thank God for Gilberts down here.
1-1 Nats vs. Reds in the 9th.
Runner on third with one out and Freel hits a fly ball to left and Church gets and ....
Phillips holds on at third.
No homers tonight so far; just read from the Capitol Punishment guy that there have only been 8 homerless games in the history of this park.
I would have mentioned this sooner but had some wicked DT server errors.
Jonathan Melon's final line: 2 IP, no baserunners, 5 strike outs. Nice start, hopefully he can build up arm strength and become a nice starting prospect
And it wasn't a homerless game in Cincinnati. But Freel giveth and Freel taketh away.
I agree that he should start in the minors but he projects to the pen in the bigs. 5Ks in 2IP and no hits and no bbs certainly is a good sign that he is over his injury and his stuff is strong.
he has a very nice 1-2 punch fb/knuckle curve combo (i saw him pitcha couple of times at U of Arizona), and he is a beast on the mound. He is huge but not fat huge, just broad chested and strong.
Only out in the inning came when Freel got caught off second after his double.
I'm sure Bob will already have explained.
Sample comment from Nationals' game chat"
"672. Lets go wilding. Ed"
Meanwhile, the Yankees and Red Sox are still playing. They are heading for hour #4 and they are just in the top of the ninth.
Tracy planned to make a significant lineup change before Thursday afternoon's game against Arizona was rained out by dropping Jason Bay from No. 3 to No. 6 in the batting order. But Tracy kept the weak-hitting Burnitz fifth in the order despite a 2-for-32 slump that has cut his average to .185.
Tracy also defended his decision to keep giving regular playing time to others who have not produced during the Pirates' 10-25 start -- including utility man Jose Hernandez -- by saying he has few options.
http://tinyurl.com/s2wws
Oops, sorry.
There's such an obvious joke to be made about Matsui's broken wrist and his well-publicized love of pornography, but this is a family board, and I'm staying away from it.
http://tinyurl.com/s5yny
110 - Isn't that SHINJO you're thinking of?
Wouldn't surprise me at all if the NYY go after Jayson Stark MVP Shannon Stewart instead of Hunter...just my $.02...
Unless my hunch is correct: Bill Mueller, I believe, is playing hurt -- not just "sore" but hurt in a way that hinders performance. His "sore" knee appears to be affecting his throwing, perhaps his hitting. I've see a lot of him, and he's not quite moving like he normally does.
Prediction: Mueller goes on the DL within a month.
Nope, I'm thinking of Hideki...
http://tinyurl.com/f9adb
If Izturis is healthy, he's the best defensive SS on this team, a nice insurance to have.
I fully understand that Furcal's offense is a nice bonus when he's playing SS like he can -- but I go back to my comments this winter, that Rafael Furcal will be in CF by the end of this contract. He might deserve to be there sooner. So far, his defense for the LAD has been subpar. That's not at all surprising. Maybe he shapes up, but he's got multiple obstacles that appear chronic.
Just to be clear: Furcal can still outproduce most SSs in the NL, largely because of his leadoff skill set. But it'd be silly to jettison Izturis and I highly doubt Furcal ever gives the defensive value that Izturis did in 2004.
But I do agree that Mueller looks like he's playing hurt.
Furcal's best position down the road is CF -- unless he can't read a flyball, which certainly could be the case. Of course he'd have to buy into it, which is a big, big if.
My big point there is that Izturis should be kept. The Furcal yellow and red flags to which I referred in the offseason are still there. I doubt they go away.
As for the other guys:
Ethier is more of a LF than a CF. Guzman is a corner OF or 1B (I like him long-term at 1B more than I do Loney. I also believe he's a pretty good trade candidate down the road. And it's no crime if Guzman spends most of 2007 in Triple-A, after a callup this Sept.)
Drew certainly could be an everyday CF, but he seems pretty set in RF. I know he says that RF is harder on the knee, but I believe overall CF would be harder on his body.
Repko is a fourth OF.
Kemp is OK in CF but probably ends up in LF or RF -- and we're still probably talking late 2008 or 2008 for him.
Admittedly, I'm more pro-Izturis than most people here. I have no illusions of him being the offensive player Furcal has been and should be. But I believe Wallach's bottom-hand strengthening paid off in 2004. Izturis became a tougher out (people rightly say Tracy over-exposed him in the No. 1 spot, but as important, Tracy wore him out in 2004 -- SS/leadoff is exhausting. Go back and check out how little rest he got). I think Izturis' offense improvement carried over into 2005. Until the hammy gave way in early June, the OPS was over .800. He obviously loses value at 2B, but the LAD shouldn't shut the door there.
This pitching staff will need help with run-suppression. A healthy Izturis could still be the best defender, by far, in this infield.
The point is, we don't really have much more room in our outfield, 3 people can't be "LF/RF ers"
Just for fun in 2008:
LF Kemp
CF Furcal
RF Drew
fourth OF -- Ethier (realistically, you could get him 300 ABs)
fifth OF -- Repko
1B Guzman
What do you expect Tracy to do? It's not like he had a plethora of options. He was trying to do make that group the best they could be.
Besides, he (Tracy) played the game.
* please don't jump on me. I tried to make a funny based on Tracy's comments in Pittsburgh today.
A player in Mexico, Geraldo Sanchez, had a streak of 1418 games ended when he couldn't get a flight to his game because planes were grounded in the city he was in because of forest fires.
Will the LA Times dare send Plaschke or Adande to peak in at a game? Do either of them know the names of at least three playes on the team?
A what?
A plethora.
Oh yes, El Guapo, you have a plethora.
Jefe, what is a plethora?
Why, El Guapo?
Well, you just told me that I had a plethora, and I would just like to know if you know what it means to have a plethora. I would not like to think that someone would tell someone else he has a plethora, and then find out that that person has no idea what it means to have a plethora.
Actually, I've given Tracy solid marks for the bulk of his tenure. He mostly did an excellent job in 2004.
As for his use Izturis in 2004, I aggree the options weren't great to rest Izturis -- but I recall a few times that I thought he could've rested him in some lopsided games. Another thing he could have done a bit more: Piggyback a travel day with a planned off day. A few of those can really pay off.
One thing Little is doing very well is finding as much rest as possible for his veterans and keeping the bench involved as much as possible.
In 2005, Izturis was rushed back after the hamstring injury was first repored -- and it got worse. I'm not blaming Tracy for that one -- just another example of dubious injury management by the LAD.
Does anyone else- analysts, commentators, bloggers, espn guys, anyone else are as clear PRO-CF furcal as Dsfan?
this is going to be a brutal war. I am fully expecting both participents to coming out swinging, trading knockout blows after knockout blows.
his BABIP is .274 which is kind of low.
if he is still hitting this bad after 250ABs or so, then you should start to worry.
I assume that you saw the minor league splits thing at BTF today right?
As for other issues, I'm not sold on a guy with a .295 career OBP moving Furcal off of his natural position. Considering that Furcal is more than adequate with the glove, Izzy doesn't get to move him anywhere.
Besides, I don't even think that Izzy will end up deserving more ABs than a guy like Ethier.
yes i saw that. thats really awesome.
Especially now that he can't feel it when his ulnar collateral ligament pops.
home: 333/403/551
road; 361/435/623
LHP: 364/462/709
RHP: 333/383/493
Just to be clear, I'm not saying Furcal to CF this year (later in the contract). And like I said, Izturis is likely to have a setback or two on the comeback trail. I'm certainly not saying you just hand Izturis the SS job this year. But I think he can help there and at 2B this year.
And no, I don't think anywhere else -- blogs, ESPN, newspaper -- has anyone been talking about Furcal to CF. As you know, I was saying it this past winter, partly because I believed his SS play was subject to fairly rapid decline. So far, I'd give him a C-minus for his play at SS.
this guy is making the ultimate minor league reference site. its awesome. splits galore!
There's NO WAY we should move Furcal from his position in the first place. Not to mention, Izturis being in the lineup takes AB's away from guys who can actually hit. Izzy can't hit, I'd much rather have Furcal plus whoever-is-in-center field as opposed to Furcal and Izzy. While he's good defensively, he's not THAT much better than a lot of other guys in the league...I view Izzy as I do a guy like JT Snow...a late inning defensive replacement.
On a side note, I read tonight that the Nats new ownership may be open to trading Johnson and Guillen. Johnson is a guy I've wanted here since he was on the Yankees...I'd still love to have him even if it meant moving Nomar to the OF. Guillen could also be a really nice addition in LF. Having some combo of Drew, Kent, Nomar, Guillen in the middle of the order would be really nice...probalby won't happen, but I can hope right?
http://dodgerprofiles.blogspot.com
Because of his surname, Billy G must have been the original "I Don't Know" third baseman.
Hu's on second.(although he's not hitting yet at Jax.
I weigh in as an Izturis fan. I think 2004 is representative of what he can do healthy.
I fear the kind of trade we might lose him in with this outfit, if we don't keep him till he can somehow prove himself. I also know you can't hold all the marbles forever.
I know Iz is a better fielder than Furc, but it probably isn't as bad as it looks right now. I think Furc's just going through a little "thing" since hitting LA.
Billy hit a home run and Don Sutton pitched a shutout in a 1-0 victory on my 1st visit to Dodger Stadium.
Interesting read, but he sort of neglects the canon . . .
I like what DSFAN says but I see no valid arguement for moving Furcal off his position. If he ever does move to CF it will be much later in his career not during his 3 year stint with the Dodgers.
After watching Mueller run, he appears to be hurt and I hope he's not hiding an injury from management. It should be obvious to Little that Mueller is not moving as freely as he was early in the year. When you have an option like Aybar, you rest or DL the hurt player and play the hot player. I'm not advocating Aybar taking Mueller's spot in the lineup, just let him play until Mueller heals. Was it just me or didn't Aybar look much bigger this year?
http://tinyurl.com/nl7at
That's sort of the problem, isn't it?
A .711 OPS and overrated defense (rate2 of 94) in a good year?
Furcal's horrendous start has yielded an OPS of .642.
Be interesting to see how he does against Penny tonight - have a feeling, given the past, he may tee off on him tonight. Hopefully Penny pitches well overall.
mlbtraderumors.com
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