Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
Jon's other site:
Screen Jam
TV and more ...
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Framing discussion of the Dodger bullpen struggles in terms of "Who should be the closer?" is a pretty big waste of time. The problem isn't who pitches last for the Dodgers, it's that the pitching staff simply hasn't been able to hold leads consistently, whatever the inning.
It's frustrating that we have four starters with ERAs under 3 (granted, one of them is Sele), and we're still under .500.
Kent is 6 for 28 and Furcal is 7 for 25. Drew was 3 for 27.
Aybar is 1 for 2. Garciaparra is 4 for 7!
As for the rest of the season prior to that, there's certainly some truth to what you say.
4 I had mixed feelings about Grady leaving Baez in for the whole debacle yesterday. On the one hand, he's the closer (for now) and you have show them some faith that you believe in them (being a closer is as psychological as it physical). On the other hand, he clearly didn't have it yesterday, he was being shelled, and to not at least have someone up in the bullpen at some point in the ninth is inexplicable to me.
If the Astros can temporarily demote Brad Lidge from closer duties, well, then...
But LA's bullpen is a work in progress, a work that may not be clear or finished until the All Star break.
Miller- 22 IP, 0.82 ERA, 0 HR, 11 BB, 24 K, 21 yr old
Alexander- 16.1 IP, 0.55 ERA, 1 HR, 7 BB, 24 K, 25 yr old
Alvarez- 23 IP, 3.13 ERA, 4 HR, 3 BB, 23 K, 21 yr old
Diaz- 13 IP, 3.46 ERA, 0 HR, 5 BB, 4 K, 22 yr old
Hoorelbeke- 20.2 IP, 0.44, 0 HR, 8 BB, 16 K, 26 yr old
Ojeda- 22.1 IP, 2.42 ERA, 0 HR, 10 BB, 21 K, 22 yr old
8 True, but I think they made they move now directly based on his struggles in the past month - struggles which may be partially psychological based on the playoffs last year. So it's all connected...
I think they should activate Rick Honeycutt - his sinker is just what we need!
I expect the Bucs to score as the Marlins are starting Brian (9.42 ERA) Moehler.
But to Jon's point, most agree on this site that Baez is very unreliable, so if he would have come in during the 8th instead of the 9th the same result would have occured. Yesterday, I would say the 8th inning was actually harder by batting order than the 9th. So how do the Dodgers make Baez more reliable, and why did he fail on so many two strike pitches, it is not like he walked everyone. To me yesterdays problem, Baez not being able to finish should be correctable.
John Bolton is always ironic.
22 You mean "unlucky." ;-) I'm tivo-ing today's game. Will be good to fast forward to the low, er, highlights...
Anyway, this subject is too painful and fruitless. On to happier things, like kittens and puppies and the bright, sunshiney weather, and happy Mother's Day.
Also, old friend Antonio Perez is starting, but remains hitless, bringing him up to 0-23 with 12 K's. I was always a fan of his, it's too bad he's not proving his detractors wrong.
It's a Latin word that is borrowed from the Greek.
I only took one year of Latin and that was back when Jimmy Carter was president. And we didn't get through all the declensions and conjugations even.
But I'm prepared to use the accusative case!
Yup!
But he's OPSing .111, which I believe suggests that his IsoD is also .111, which is pretty decent, isn't it?
http://tinyurl.com/qepyo
Imagine what we can trade for all of those guys! Kemp for Halama. Guzman for Walker. If we're lucky and catch Bowden on a bad hangover, maybe we can get Eischen for only Orenduff and Miller. The possibilities boggle the mind, if in fact the mind can take it without simply shutting down and resigning itself to a blue haze of persistent mediocrity.
(Thanks, FB. I needed that.)
His ERA was over 15 in San Francisco. But in Tampa Bay, he's just a bit over 7.
That's the entire point. Why would you trade for someone else's shoddy bullpen?
He did not give up a homer.
This is not a drill.
Don't fall for it. Scott Erickson will bring nothing but pain and misery. He stinks, blames his defense for not helping him, and can't break glass with his fastball.
He is Evil Incarnate. When Satan created a washed up long reliever, he looked at Scott Erickson and then he wept upon seeing what sort of weapon he had let loose upon the world.
atleast he hooked up with a pretty girl.Poor Erickson man! he use to be a good pitcher.
very true!
Being a Baez booster and of course a Dodger fan, yesterday was hard to watch. I'm rooting extra hard for Baez because I don't want Ned trading for more bullpen help but if he continues to implode I'm afraid that is what he will do. My master plan of Baez pitching well, Gagne coming back, Kuo and Broxton providing great setup help so we could flip Baez and Izzy for something marvelous is in tatters.
I was thinking, "of course he got a hit, Erickson was pitching to him," but I see Erickson was pulled a couple of batters before that. Perez even drove in a run (which was charged to Erickson).
Amen.
Flanders, Flanders, Flanders!!!
Padres 1
Cubbies 0
I think I remember reading in "Moneyball" that OBP was roughly 3X as important than SLG with respect to creating runs.
huh?
Baez for Brains will suffice.
Doesn't he have a hole in his swing?
(Flees the scene ...)
An excellent .439
Not totally sure, but it might go something like this:
1. a one point increase in OBP would be expected to increase runs scored by 3X.
2. a one point increase in SLG would be expected to increase runs scored by X.
[Nate faints]
Ring the bell: school's in session.
This is a flaw in management of pitchers. The hook should be applied in all innings, equally.
By the way, I think OBP is worth 2 times SLG.
So do I include the "-" or not?
badly, I would say
http://www.sabr.org/sabr.cfm?a=cms,c,834,17,0
Felipe Alou, bunting with his best hitter, in the 1st inning, against a pitcher whose ERA is 6+.
How can we blame the student when the teacher has control of the lesson plan?
Jim Tracy, you sir are no Felipe Alou.
The way Bonds runs these days maybe! the ball was hit hard.
The A's scored their final run of the game against the Yankees on just such a play today.
After Tracy moved Bay back up to fourth, and their subsequent 8-2 thrashing, the poor Pittsburgh fans are going to be chewing their own limbs off trying to figure out why Burnitz is hitting in front of Bay for the rest of the season.
Khalil Greene started having a good year once I put him on my Bizzaro All-Star ballot of the worst players at each position.
Time to fill in a new one.
Their only real black holes are Castilla and Adrian Gonzales (whenever he plays 1st). But Bellhorn had been playing there and doing pretty well.
[121] what on earth would the cardinals need a light-hitting first baseman for? i think they have first base locked up for the next decade or so.
Pujols is on his way to 80HR's, thereby re-establishing a "clean" record in a "post-steroids" era.
So that would make the AL inflation rate, about 30 percent I suppose?
I'd probably wouldnt, just because Bay has already been Tracyed. You cant get rid of that stank.
20yrs old.
Single A- .289/.344/.457 career line.
Position: Third Base
I havent checked his stats this year. Are they alot better?
Nothing stands out so far.
he plays second base and scouts say he has plus power and power is the last tool to develop. He could develop into a chase utley type second basemen. Which would be nice because the Dodgers did draft Utley to only lose him to UCLA.
314/378/436 (BA/OBP/SLG). And Vero is a pitcher's park, is it not?
What's his ETA in the mlb? Later then 2008?
Why not just keep Denker at 2nd, instead of "hoping" for something out of Dewitt that he has yet to show.
5IP 3H 1ER 3bb 9k
pretty good numbers except for the walks. He is falling behind in counts too much trying to nibble on the corners. I think he is scared of throwing it right down the middle because it'll end up in the bleachers (day game, vegas, etc). He is probably thinking he has to strike everyone out.
My mother told me that one way for a wish to come true was to sit in the corner quietly and not think about Kevin Elster.
they played at columbus and you're right, Denker did outproduce Dewitt at Columbus. But look at Denker at vero last year and this year. He has been HORRIBLE. Flat out, no twisting anything, just horrible. Also, his actions at 2b were very poor defensively and dewitt was athletic enough to become a solid second basemen.
I am honestly perplexed by Denker. A 19 yr old mashing like he did in the SAL should not be facing this much difficulty hitting A+ pitching.
It should probably be noted that Dewitt has hit .250/.308/.383 on the road this year, and .381/.444/.476 at home.
Right now Denker is struggling horribly, while DeWitt is hitting 324/388/449. I think by the end of the season Kemp and DeWitt will be the top two prospects in the farm system. Those two along with Martinavarro gives the Dodgers some pretty good homegrown talent at up-the-middle positions.
One that sticks out:
OF- Ryan Carter-
107 ABs
43 Ks
6 BB's.
Thats Abercombi-esque
good one.
I was going for a very obscure reference there.
nice job, saenz
finley's close to the 300/300 club, and henderson is 3 homers shy.
Tough to say. Authorities have only succeeded in locating his mother.
matt kemp is showing this year that home-road vero splits mean nothing.
That's about a week's worth of topics on another board.
Isn't it thick up there everyday? All that smug and what not.
you're right caseybarker there right next to the ocean.
Kent hits a meaningful home run off a pretty good pitcher too.
smug, not to be confused with smog. Sorry about the South Park thoughts. Won't happen again.
Kent is on a tear.
I would give a rookie a little more then 25 ABs or so to determine if he is ready. I honestly would just let him keep playing and dont draw any conclusions until july/august.
A lead. If only I had confidence in our bullpen. Saito probably isn't available today, I would think.
They're not going to trade Patterson.
Nate:Seo?
Unless Bays a gauaranteed 40/.300 man.
203- replace him with Livan though. Despite his bad start, he's a pretty solid and durable pitcher.
hah nah. I have no beef with Seo.
Kent is showing some range at 2B....I hope Jim Bowden is watching
not yet. Maybe in June/July or something.
Seo What?
Thats really all that needs to be known.
If baseball is fair, the Giants will lose this game for that decision alone.
I guess I'm being a little bias, I thought it was a strike!
Good one, Nate.
I hope that Odalis climbs back into the rotation. Not that he has much of an incentive...
I wouldn't doubt that, but at least it's not the NBA.
I sense a grass roots movement to get rid of it.
I'm not exactly a Finley fan, but I do feel sorry for him in regards to that and would consider it justifiable if he took a bat to Bonds's head. But I'm sure everyone will be happier if I don't start on the Bonds-at-first rant yet again.
So, Russell Martin can lead off in the 8th!
I don't think he did!
On second thought, maybe pitching in general isn't his thing.
Gag. I knew there was a good reason I never liked that color.
I will let others attempt that.
I know!
Yet.
He's leaving it all out there.
Hamulack?
That choice of names is not the best there by his parents.
stop making me hungry.
a - Batted for Seo in 7th
Lofton will bunt here. Is Drew allowed to pinch hit on days he doesn't start?
Why Beimel? We want the Bull!
They had him worming up
I'm afraid we seem to be worse off with a 3-10 run lead than with two with an inning of two to go.
We may lose a lot, but we really put it to every other teams ERA
If it didn't hit Vizquel's glove, then Vizquel just had an Eric Karros reaction there.
Vin just noted that the ballpark scoreboard gave the error to the Dodgers.
LOL!
The Coliseum isn't run down. It's just unattractive.
And unless you want garlic fries, the concession lines are pretty fast.
In 51's news, Loney finally homered, and Carrara gave up a run and has the bases loaded, one out
Fookie does it again. Lucille you bum!
It's ALT+0153 on a PC. It's Option-2 on a Mac.
Just curious.
Yes.
They have the worst prospect ratings I have ever seen!
Ok this is ridiculous! Giving up home runs to Durham, I even felt it would happen.
Update: Giving up a HR to Durham = Grabowski Principle
oh man! LOL!
Yea I've seen them. They are very different from the norm. But, he has his own ranking metric that he uses and displaying power potential for positional prospects at a very young age is a HUGE factor in his metric. For pitchers, control is the huge factor in his metric.
I have no beef with his rankings, its certainly unorthodox but to maybe counter all the negative, he did have hunter pence at #4 and look at what he is doing this year. He also did have matt kemp at #17 and look at what he is doing this year.
That's a lot of dubyas.
He's kinda reminding me of sanchez, remember sanchez added a changeup and he became a totally different pitcher, i'm wondering if beimel did the same.
http://tinyurl.com/gspf6
Destroyer of repetitious jokes
"Though he played some at catcher last year, most doubt that his major league future includes catching and I see his future as a first baseman who eventually and consistently hits around .290 with 25 home run power. I rank him as high as he is because he's young enough that he should have a longer and more productive career than many others on this list who will have better individual seasons without the longevity."
SO his metric isnt all bad. It sure is unorthodox, but he has had a lot of hits.
is bo a pro or joe?
I watch it. I like it when the athletes actually really try, because then the Joes can not do anything.
449
He really tries to project what players do in the future. I just question having Mike Carp number 9 and Billingsley in the 60's and Felix as the third best minor league pitcher. I just do not like his rankings. They may make a lot of sense far down the road.
The first Joe just managed a paltry one home run...
why is that?
I think its his giant head and eyes. His eyes always look half closed. Although he doesn't look as high as Dave Roberts.
I don't know where to begin...
Don't the Giants take the opposite tack basically-Dropping veteran pitchers high contract demands?
I think the averages are against giving a good pitcher a long contract(see Brown, among others.)
Same thing with McCarver...he's so bad I can't believe it yet he does the WS.
On a side note, I missed today's game...went to the beach. Great day. Great win. I was worried yesterday's game might have started us on a slide.
After that, we had had enough hiking for the day.
I'd give Ned a little credit there. Dodgers newbie GMs have been so dumb over the years when it comes to dealing with Boras. Deciding not to give Weaver the "discounted" three year/$27m doesn't smack of genius, but compared to some of the deals done with Boras clients, it's a credible move.
Ultimately, the results are the measure, and it appears the LAD avoided flushing a lot of money on a minus producer, while also getting two Top-30 draft picks.
Not sure Nomar's the Giles comp vis a vis the LAD. Furcal's the comp. Dodgers signed him for similar money they offered Giles. So far, Giles gets the nod, but it's so early.
new world record.
Still don't like them any better, and will not be going to see Snakes on a Plane this summer. Entertainment Weekly had a photo of one of the giant snakes in the film - took three people to carry it around.
Oh, and the father told us the reason he shot at the snake right over our heads - when if any of us had raised our heads even slightly we might've taken the bullet ourselves - was because the snake was chasing us. Just to clarify why he took such a risk. It made us all feel better to know that he wasn't just being trigger-happy, but on the other hand, it freaked us all out more to think of the snake on our heels.
Meanwhile, I just watched my Tivo of today's game and, since I, like a lot of people, was pretty darned cranky yesterday, let me say something positive - most of which have been uttered here already... But nicely done comeback game today for the boys in blue, they didn't let today get them down and they didn't let the very hot Jason Schmidt get them down either. While yet another strong effort by a starter was wasted in terms of Seo not getting the win, I'll take it.
Also, nice to see the Giants D let them down today after the Dodgers D did yesterday. Much better defensive effort all around. And Bonds goes homerless, even sweeter. Again, I'll take it.
I doubt snakes would chase after people haha.
Oh one more annoying thing from being at the game yesterday (and hearing it again today on TV) - the # of Giants fans who boo every time a Dodger pitcher didn't throw Bonds a strike, even if they were pitching to him. Basically, they boo if a pitcher doesn't serve up a fat, juicy pitch. I actually yelled at a guy yesterday who said, "Oh come on, pitch to him!" when Sele was obviously pitching to him, just carefully. Bunch of ignoramuses...
'night all!
Homestand: 0-6.
Ranks 3rd in the I.L. in OBP at .439.
Has 1 hit in last 18 at-bats (.056).
Reached base with a hit or walk in first 20 games with PawSox before going 0-3 in a 7-inning game on May 5.
Had 8-game hitting streak April 19-27 (.379).
Last HR: 4/21 at Durham (off Jason Cromer).
I think I'm going to make this a weekly thing...
And Bonds himself seems to have a perpetual "I can't believe this guy's not just serving me up one" look on his face these days. Too bad for him that Brett Favre isn't a MLB pitcher - I've always disliked Favre on general principles anyway, but I really disliked him giving Strahan a freebie so that he could break the sacks record. It cheapened the accomplishment so much.
http://www.dodgertown.com/index.cfm
There's a joke at the bottom of the page.
The only record chase to rival this one for a sour taste was (if I recall correctly) Phil Niekro's hobbling pursuit of win #300. It was, like, enough already.
Although, I do find it amusing to see King Barry embarrass himself out there all the time, and it's not like I want to see the Giants win any games, so sure, go ahead and leave the liability out there...added advantages are ever more wear-and-tear on his knees, and the likelihood of more and more AL teams realizing as the season wears on that he's not worth bothering about as a DH - next year will only see him decline further, after all. Even on Athletics Nation, where posters are usually smarter, some of them were falling all over themselves in today's game thread over the idea of Bonds DHing for the A's next season.
I thought it was Weaver that turned it down. Doesnt it smack of non-genius to even offer that to him in the first place? Certainly non-genius for Boras not to accept.
you're right
The Giants now are in last place and bickering among themselves. Apparently Worell got pissed when people went up to Bonds after the game. Worell is quoted on AP as saying , "what did he do today"..I only hope things continue like this.
520 I think The West Wing has provided some of the best writing in the history of television. I'll miss it.
I was considerably relieved when my best friend, pregnant with my niece, told me that she had no intention of raising her daughter to be a princess. I dislike baby clothes, but at least I didn't have to hold my nose and buy any pink, lacy junk.
But if you do go, we want a full report, of course! :)
That would be Sheen, by the way. Amazing knuckle ball for a high school kid.
I'll never forget what he said before his first marriage and during his first divorce: Before the wedding, he gave a beautiful statement about how his wife was an angel sent from heaven to guide him on this journey, and during the divorce he said that it was like a car - if it didn't work, you just trade it in. What a contrast.
Oh, well I do hope that is so.
*Not that all humbling experiences succeed in humbling...
I just love that line.
You saw the first one or the "redux" in the theaters?
Most of Florida I can take or leave. I did like some of Miami, but I'm not really interested in going back. The Coral Castle is one of the coolest places I've ever seen. (Not close to Orlando, unfortunately - it's in the Miami area.) And there's the Everglades, a worthwhile day.
The area around Orlando is pretty bland and dreadful, though. I was there at the end of high school, and we were driving from Disney World to see Universal Studios. Booooring drive.
"Charlie don't surf."
At least it's not my parents' old house in Marin. Up there on the hill they had the kind of big red spiders that are really good jumpers, and knew when you were coming. Sometimes I felt like I was trying to kill a grasshopper. Sort of like how a hitter must feel with a knuckleball, I suppose.
I think Billingsley threw about 100 ptches in five innings. He had 9 K, 3 BB, and many 3 ball counts. Vegas won 15-5. I heard that the strike zone was awfully small today.
If you can't disprove global warming, just get rid of programs that might gather evidence of it, after all. There are other benefits as well to the current amount of money being budgeted on Mars.
And Marty, I agree. I really am endlessly grateful to live where I do, with the number of terrific restaurants and all the fresh food items that are readily available. That's what my mother hates most about living in Sarasota - the fish is generally fresh, obviously, but many vegetables, not so much.
And deburns, I don't know if we're thinking about the same thing, but there's a bottle of wine one of my salespeople gave me that I've been saving for something in particular, myself.
Since I don't cook, I bring the wine every year for the dinner.
I seem to go in phases. I'll drink nothing but red wine for a while, then I'll drink nothing but white wine for a while, with occasional shorter periods where I drink both. I've been in the latter recently, but I can tell a red-only phase is kicking in.
"Al" "co" "hol"
"Al" "co" "hol"
Which did not stop me from watching Thief, but at least that show pretty much wrapped everything up in its 6 episodes - there was certainly much more story it could have told if it had been picked up for another season, but it found a way to end at a reasonably satisfying point. Plus, Andre Braugher and Mae Whitman were well worth it.
"Then he went on the record for the first time in several days. His message was clear he doesn't like pitching in relief.
"When you make a lot of money as a starter, it's not reasonable to make that money throwing one or two innings out of the bullpen," he said. "It's not good for any owner."
Perez, who is owed $21 million through next season, said his unfamiliarity with the bullpen makes it a challenge...
Little and pitching coach Rick Honeycutt want him to spend time on his delivery, but Perez doesn't believe there are any problems.
He's so me-first and arrogant. At least he's right in one thing-- he's too expensive to play out of the pen. That's why we need to move him.
If I were Odalis, I'd be pretty angry too.
Could the Dodgers maybe have treated OP a little nicer (in addition to what they've already done in overpaying him for his performance)? Perhaps. It feels like there were some things going on behind the scenes that we don't know the whole story about that might explain things better. It might also be a case of the Golden Rule: OP is a jerk, and so other people are jerks to him.
I'm sorry for what he's going through with his mother. But at the same time, I know that I can't screw up on my job because I'm upset over a major personal crisis, and his poor job performance long pre-dates this horrible turn in his mother's health.
If I didn't think OP could help this team, I certainly wouldn't care, but starting OP is in the best interests of the Dodgers.
I don't think Sele is a better pitcher. But for what we're paying him vs. what we're paying OP, he's much better value, and more importantly, Sele doesn't block one of our pitching prospects. OP needs to go.
So in other words, we're just basically supposed to keep throwing OP out there to pitch badly because we're paying 9 million for the privilege, as opposed to throwing a lesser-paid pitcher out there to pitch badly. That's what's nicer about less expensive guys; at least you know you're getting what you paid for. With the guys like OP, you have to watch and know you've been suckered.
588 ...your team has issues. I thought it was "our" team?
http://tinyurl.com/qw77u
I'd take Cliff Floyd for Odalis and $5M. Floyd fills a void on this team for lefty power (no Choi comments, please). This allows Ethier to go back down to Vegas, and makes Cruz a 4th OFer/starter against lefties.
Dodgertown was, of course, deader than a doornail, but still in my estimation well worth the side trip. There's a gift shop that's open. There're streets named after Dodgers that you can photograph. Plus we actually got play ball on the field at Holman. Mind you, we had to use an imaginary ball and bat, but whatever.
Plus, if you're going now, you'd stand a good chance of catching a VB Dodgers game, no?
Here are the numbers:
Brett Tomko, (4-1, 2.93)
Derek Lowe, (1-2, 2.98)
Brad Penny, (3-1, 2.66)
Aaron Sele, (1-0, 1.98)
Jae Seo, 1-2, 5.31 (But obviously he pitched well yesterday)
Not too shabby.
Sele goes up against Jeff Weaver on Friday. While I'd say both pitchers are due - Sele to come back to Earth, Weaver to not be horrible - I'm looking forward to that one.
Comment status: comments have been closed. Baseball Toaster is now out of business.