Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
1) The Dodgers had their most hits in more than 75 years, setting a team record for Los Angeles.
2) Aaron Sele almost duplicated his last home start (against Milwaukee). He was on the ropes early, gving up six hits before he got his seventh out - but recovered and cruised long enough to get the win, again.
3) Jose Cruz, Jr. made a fine throw from center field with one out in the second inning to hold a runner at third base and essentially enable Sele to turn things around.
4) Sele's offensive support in his three starts for the Dodgers is 9.7 runs per game.
5) At one point I wrote down on paper, "If you don't homer off Jeff Weaver, you've failed." Weaver had allowed a home run in every start he made this season since his first start, but managed to give up 11 hits in 4 2/3 innings without being taken deep.
6) Andre Ethier got two hits off Weaver, a single off Angel lefty specialist J.C. Romero and a homer off Brendan Donnelly on his way to a 5 for 5 night. Ethier found a clever way to preserve his perfect night - hitting a sacrifice fly in the eighth.
7) Nine Dodgers had multi-hit games Friday.
8) Ethier did miss a chance to become the second No. 16 to go 6 for 6 this decade for the Dodgers and the third Dodger to get six hits in a game in May in the 2000s.
9) In the last two games I have attended. Ethier has batted 10 times, and he has hit the ball solidly all 10.
10) Rafael Furcal was caught stealing in the first inning in a steal attempt that reminded me of Oscar Robles, but he made a great backhand play at shortstop in the fifth in support of Sele.
11) The caught stealing might have been the only thing to prevent the Dodgers from scoring in every inning. They settled for tallies in innings 2-8.
12) From innings 2-5, the Dodger scoring was 1111. In the sixth inning, the debate became if the Dodgers got to 11 runs, whether that would be counted as part of the picket fence.
13) "Billie Jean" by Michael Jackson was the background music for the mid-game blooper reel. Explain.
14) Willy Aybar went 2 for 6 by the skin of his teeth. His double in the fifth inning, which broke the game open, barely got past first baseman Robb Quinlan. His infield single in the eighth was one of a few lazy plays by the increasingly checked-out Angels - Hector Carrasco failed to cover first.
15) Aybar can make good plays on defense, but he did not field with authority. The first hit of the game was a hard grounder that got past him - difficult, but a play you want him to make. He later backpedaled on a rather easy chopper. But that was the worst of it.
16) Russell Martin (3 for 6, plus a throw-out of Chone Figgins trying to steal) just looks fantastic.
17) Surpassing the inanity of the scoreboard note mentioning Martin as the 222nd Canadian in major-league history was this one for Sandy Alomar, Jr.: "Debuted his 'Sandy Alomar Steak Sauce' in 1998." The question isn't even whether this is the best thing you can say about Alomar. Is this the best thing you can say about his steak sauce - that it debuted?
18) Letting Aaron Sele bat with the bases loaded and one out in the bottom of the fifth inning, knowing he might only have an inning left? Nah.
19) Aaron, at least bunt or take the intentional strikeout in that situation. Don't hit into a double play.
20) Ethier played the entire game, and I mean played it, throwing out Mike Napoli at second base in the ninth.
21) The Dodger bench is so thin right now, they can't even replace players in a blowout adequately. J.D. Drew also played the entire game. (Kenny Lofton is expected back Saturday.)
22) Thanks to the Dodgers scoring at least 10 runs, those of us who were in attendance can go to Hooters to get 10 free chicken wings within 48 hours.
23) Do we have to?
24) Does the offer expire 48 hours after the game ends or 48 hours after the 10th run? These are big questions.
25) The Dodgers had their low point with a five-game losing streak that occured inside of three weeks ago but seems like further in the past. The Angels are having their low point now. And it's lower.
And all it means is we have a new game tomorrow.
* * *
6/23/1930 vs Pittsburgh.
The Dodgers won that day 19-6.
19 of the hits were given up Pittsburgh starter Heine Meine. They had 12 in a row over 2 innings. The last 10 batters in the sixth inning got hits with 2 outs and the final out was made on the bases. Then the first two Dodgers got hits in the seventh.
The 12 consecutive hits remain a major league record.
True to new Dodger tradition, Weaver got booed pretty good on his way out but that could have been Angel fans expressing their displesure with their $8M man.
Ethier - .317
Martin - .325
Aaahhhh the future feels good. At least for now.
My niece told me it was the best game she's ever been to. Other then a shellacking we gave the Reds in another lifetime this was the best offensive night I've seen at DS. Plus it was much more enjoyable because Nomar/Drew/Ethier/Aybar are all on one Roto team.
Sweet team right now, a blend of speed, power, patience, youth, and veterans.
Even with the output tonight there weren't enough hits to cover all the good things the Dodgers did. Another fantastic game for Nomar. He has really won me over. I knew he could hit if he was healthy but his defense has been great. I love that they play War's Low Rider when he bats, both he and the band being from Whittier. Did I hear an MVP chant for Nomar tonight?
During the, I believe it was the 3rd inning, the broadcast put up some clips from the pre-game warmup batting practice thrown by Eric Gagne (including a couple of nasty-looking curves). The worrisome quote, though, attributed to Grady Little and paraphrased here:
'Gagne looked so good today, are you sure we need to wait two weeks before I get him back?'
Obviously not verbatim, but the gist of it (as relayed by Vin Scully at least) still worries me. Granted, it could have been in joking fashion and I missed the humor, but considering that one of the few things I have consistently disliked about Grady Little's managerial tendencies both before his time here in LA, and since he's arrived, is his use of the bullpen.
What pitch is Sele throwing? The index finger is on the top of the ball in the middle and the next finger is on a seam. Thanks
Anyhow, I just finished the 6th inning which was a blast to watch. Two great observations:
1. Vin was trying to draw an alanology to JC Romero's nightmare of an inning and compared it to a time when he sat down on a sharp piece of "medical equipment" protruding from a trainers bag in the dugout that required 4 stitches.
2. At the end of the 6th, you could tell that Vin was trying to give his usual end on the inning summary "9 runs on 9 hits..." but you could tell from the brief pause, that he tried to tally up the hits and runs, and just said, ahh screw it, 13 runs minus 4 is 9, "so the dodgers score 9 runs..." To open the top of the 7th, when the telecast picked back up, Vin opens with, "Well the dodgers have broken the game wide open - 9 runs on 9 hits by 9 different players..."
The dodgers have droppen the middle game of both of their last 2 3 game series.
Here to hoping we can keep it going.
Furcal - up 11pts to .238
Cruz Jr - up 5pts to .241
Nomar - up 14pts to .351
Drew - up 6pts to .296
Kent - up 10pts to .243
Aybar - down (19pts) to .381
Ethier - up 95pts to .317
Martin - up 31pts to .325
Saenz - up 21pts to .318
14. I'm not ready to start thinking about next year. Especially when there is so much to focus on for this season.
Also, didn't realize Billingsley is now the heaviest pitcher at LV. Being shorter than most righties, will he have to watch the wieght as he is only 21?
Approved.
I think Sele is throwing a change up in that photo. Taking your finger off the ball is a common way to change speeds without altering your delivery.
But sources list his nickname as "The Count of Luxemburg (sic)".
If they keep up this pace for the season, their 852 runs will break the previous LA-only record of 842, set in 1962. (And that '62 mark came in 165 games.)
The post-1900 franchise record is 955 runs, set in 1953. This was most likely the best team in the "Boys of Summer" era.
In 1894, the Brooklyns scored 1,021 runs - in only 131 games.
To soon to say that Aybar needs work at 3rd. I will agree that he has looked tentative but it may have something to do with the new Dodger background. He doesn't seem to be getting a good read on the balls. He has quite an extensive history at 3b in the minor leagues and I've never seen a scout writeup that said he couldn't play a quality major league 3b, they were only worried about the power. Course he looks bigger then he used to and maybe that is affecting his fielding. Given the number of balls hit to a 3b if he can give me a 280/370/450 line I'd be more then happy to camp him at 3b unless he proves to be Huff awful.
Btw, this was probably mentioned somewhere last night and I missed it, but Greg Miller pitched 2 scoreless innings in relief for Las Vegas last night (he did also walk 3 and gave up 2 hits, but also struck out 2.) Billingsley goes tonight, again against the Springfield, I mean Albuquerque Isotopes.
WHAT?the records were set in '74 & '02 no?, if this was discussed already my apologies.
Everybody scored a lot of runs in 1894.
The average team scored 7.36 runs per game that season.
Or as Brain would say:"Same thing we do every night, Pinky, try to take over the world".
that's what I was thinking.
Your mileage may vary.
Was that before the defense starting wearing gloves?
These are wonderful problems to have. I keep making the point that this team is DEEP. Think about it... we have a real problem of how to fit in:
Izturis
Repko
Aybar
Guzman
Navarro
Cruz, Jr (assuming Ethier stays in left)
Loney
It seems that none of those guys deserves to sit or stay in the minors but none of them have a place on this team (at least when it is healthy which it essentially is or could be in two weeks).
Tha's a LOT of extra players with a LOT of talent.
Tell me why I'm being overly optimisic about the future and the present.
reading your post made me wonder when the first curve ball was thrown, I remember reading (as a kid) in the public librabry that the first curve ball was thrown around the 1890's no? I tride searching for the answer on the web with no luck.
librabry
That's "liberry" to you.
o.k.
http://tinyurl.com/mo8b5
your the best Bob thank you very very much.
That sounds very 'Rex Hudler'.
I watched the game last night on KCOP, and tried to listen to the radio (and Vin) along w/ it, but the radio was about 5 seconds ahead of the tv. :(
"Cummings pitched every inning for the Mutuals that year" reading this blew my mind. WOW!
If you're standing about 45 feet away from the batter and throwing about 50-60 mph, it's not like your arm is being strained.
It wasn't until the 1880s before teams started getting a second pitcher on their squads. There was very limited substitution in baseball until the 1890s. Baseball was like soccer was until the 1970s. If you started, you played the whole game.
Why did pitchers only throw 50-60 mph back then?
They were throwing underhand or submarine most of the time. Overhand pitching wasn't allowed at the time.
Also if you're standing so close, you don't get enough distance for the ball to accelerate to top speed.
Besides, early baseball wanted the ball put in play and people running around.
No lofton.
No replacement guy like martinez giving a regular like kent the day off.
The sad thing is that the folks on dodgers.com are praising ned for assembling a great offense even tho only furcal, nomar, and ethier are ned pickups that were in the lineup last night, and the folks on dodgers.com are very hesitant about playing the prospects because they don't want them rushed, and they hate cruz playing over lofton.
So half of that lineup last night were composed of guys they have some sort of problem with, but yet ned is a stud for assembling a great offensive team.
Face it if the dodgers end up being sucessfull this year its going to be because of the prospects and the depodesta acquitions, and big bad ned is going to get the credit.
By the way, i got banned again from dodgers.com for being too "moneyballish".
I'm a little irritated that Grady didn't post the same lineup as yesterday.
sarcastic alert.
What did you say on dodgers.com to get kicked off? Be honest.
I'm not sure, but no foul language.
I am just way too "moneyballish" for them to handle i guess, and i think they have some narcs there.
I did point out bluntly that most people there are "casual fans" that don't understand stats and look at meaningless team dependant stats.
They hate cruz a lot because to them he only walks and never does anything else.
And they love lofton because he makes things happen.
I did respond with lofton sure does make things happen he makes the overall team power decline when he's starting just about everyday.
you don't like the stolen base, bunt & so fourth
........
Not sure, but I think it has something to do with complete sentences and not booing Mike Piazza.
As for the Dodgers, scouting director Logan White isn't beholden to high school players. It may look that way, because he drafts a lot of them, but that's more the result of the industry increasingly pursuing college talent. With more and more teams going in that direction, the top high school players don't go as high as they should.
The frontrunners for Los Angeles' No. 7 choice are a pair of high school pitchers, Texas lefthander Clayton Kershaw and Virginia righthander Jeremy Jeffress. But if the University of Houston righthander Brad Lincoln were to fall to the Dodgers, they'd snap him up. As for picks No. 26 and No. 31, Los Angeles will take the highest players on its draft board after seeing how the top of the draft unfolds.
what is "moneyballish" type behavior?
I don't know but they keep labeling me a "moneyballer".
I thought moneyball was for low payroll type of teams.
I just believe that the ability to get on base(obp) and hit for power(slg) is the way to score runs, and vice versa for pitching, the pitchings ability to shut down the teams ability to get on base and hit for power is the best combo.
Not to mention capitalizing only the first letters of sentences and proper names, and using no more than one exclamation point per post.
you don't like the stolen base, bunt & so fourth
No, if i remember correct, in the beginning of last night's game, grady sent the runner furcal who got thrown out, and didn't grady try an unsucessfull hit and run play?
The people at dodgers.com love the stolen base, bunt, hit and run.
They love the scrappy lofton.
If you want to get technical, "Moneyball" is probably about exploiting market inefficiencies to gain an economic edge on the playing field.
Reading your posts the last year or two, you are all about power power power. Last time I checked, power was in extremely high demand around the league.
So I don't look at you and scream to myself, "Moneyballer! Moneyballer! Burn the Moneyballer!"
Reading your posts the last year or two, you are all about power power power.
I do value obp a lot.
I believe obp is the #1 source for runs scored.
I believe power(slg) is the #2 source for runs scored.
I don't value speed and defense unless the guy who has obp and slg also has speed and defense, meaning i can't stand guys who only have defense like izturis, and i can't stand guys who have only speed and a decent obp like lofton especially since he plays an outfield position.
I've never brought up or complained about the dodgers obp because i knew even before the season started that the overall team obp was going to be fine.
Izzy playing SS is out of the questin for you then.
Izzy starting for the Dodgers anywhere is out of the question for me.
Izzy playing SS is out of the questin for you then.
Yes, unless it is for a short time to raise his trade value, if that is possible.
So I don't look at you and scream to myself, "Moneyballer! Moneyballer! Burn the Moneyballer!"
So what kind of label would you use for me considering my philosophy is this?
I just believe that the ability to get on base(obp) and hit for power(slg) is the way to score runs, and vice versa for pitching, the pitchings ability to shut down the teams ability to get on base and hit for power is the best combo.
Would you call that sabermetrics minded?
Or no?
And --whew-- thank God Ethier caught up to that one. Guerrero's the one guy that scares the devil out of me in the Angels line up. Uh. That came out weird.
And hey, if our offense continues as it has, no worries, right?
Why does this game seem... not destined to be a pitcher's duel?
...
...because then we can stop freaking hearing about it as much. (Er, maybe.)
Bonds kissed the Oakland crowd when he stepped back out of the dugout. Hah. I'm sure they kissed him back.
Peaking will result in a high hard one. If you were peaking it couldn't have been above HS ball without suffering any consequences.
I got in a fight with a guy for doing what you did. (sunday league) cheater!
Blanket statement, with added evidence today.
I would rather have Erick Aybar then Izzy. He should flash the same excellent defense but with more speed and more gap power. Of course the way Angel prospects have sputtered he may be nothing better then Neifi Perez.
because they bat 3-5.
Thats true. But I'm not sure why people are afraid of getting hit. More specifically, why they dont have confidence that they can get out of the way of a pitch even if a pitcher was throwing at them.
did you watch the russ springer-bonds incident? lol
Handy to know for an AL pitcher.
because they bat 3-5
My innocence is ruined. I thought RBIs were a skill...
he got out of the way 3 times before he got it. What I'm trying to say is, if the pitcher really wanted to hit you, he is going to hit you...eventually.
sometimes words come right after the high heat resulting in...
this is baseball you never know.
Steiner again: "It's plenty deep... it's... off the wall for a double!"
People who run networks are money fans.
"You hit home runs by taking good swings."
Thanks, Mike.
For a guy that isnt a total banjo hitter (Furcal hit 15HR's last year), he sure does try it alot.
Is that you over there on dodgers.com?
http://www.forums.mlb.com/n/mb/message.asp?webtag=ml-dodgers&msg=62437.1&ctx=0
If it is, be carefull not to be too "moneyballish" you might get banned, because billynono and joe bfstplk among a few others are narcs.
Bunting if you're Rafael Furcal is probably a very good idea, considering how horrible his hitting has been.
Steve Lyons called it "surprising".
I would too.
what would i get banned for?
This should help.
http://tinyurl.com/fkw3x
Simply disagreeing with the "anti-moneyball" narcs.
Depodesta is know as the devil over there, if you seem to have anywhere near the philosophy of depodesta, the narcs will turn you in to the moderators.
They did it to me.
"I've got this really good stuff, man. This new defensive metric, man. It's mind-blowing. I'll give you a good price, seriously. Oh man, mods, let's bone out, MODS!"
well Molina isn't the swiftes of foot.
LOLzz.
In a funny way its true. Its like they cant be infected with intelligence over there, it would mess up their community as a whole.
Bingo, i couldn't have said it better.
The mean is mean.
I should say if Kennedy lazily flys out on the 2nd pitch, then leave Tomko in.
No. Erick is a much different player than his brother Wilber. He doesn't walk much, so his OBP is average dependent. He plays SS, but might end up moving to CF. He's fast, but also a very poor baserunner. Erick is the more talented brother, but I think Wilber will have a better career.
Kennedy has an OPS of .740.
Everyone else in the Angels lineup is around .700 or below.
They really are bad. Are the Washington Nationals even that bad?
I prefer Willy Aybar to Erick. Not too many hitters have the patience Aybar displays.
Am I correct that the Clippers game 7 isn't till Monday -- they skip fri-sun??
And passed on just for visual stunningness w/o a real point, the bottom of the 11th from Shea today, one run game, courtesy of gameday:
"Bottom 11TH B:1 S:3 O:1
David Wright strikes out swinging.
Bottom 11TH B:3 S:3 O:2
Cliff Floyd strikes out swinging.
Bottom 11TH B:2 S:3 O:3
Xavier Nady strikes out swinging."
Did anybody else see Marty...er, Michael Barrett living the dream today?
Go Wilber!
day game after a night game. I thought alomar should have gotten the start today. even though he is 23, he still needs regular days off to keep fresh for the whole year.
Somebody should tell the umpires of MLB.
So you're not a Rex Hudler fan I take it?
But having Joe Beimel strike the heart of your order out has to be the low point for the hitters.
No wait, Rivera's picked off and all is well.
So what about the news on Dodgers.com that Aybar is being tried out in the OF? It would be nice to have a little more flexibility there, especially since it sounds like Repko will be out for awhile longer.
sarcastic alert.
Lyons is one of the guys, I don't know the other guys name.
Lofton looks clueless at the plate
Lofton looks clueless period.
235. Shields is just another middle reliever in the same way that Carter is a proven closer.
Interesting.
Baez for Shields?
Either that, or Grady's toying with the idea of Baez pitching two innings.
WWSH
I believe that he won't be a free agent until after the 2008 season though.
is it raining out side?
I would greatly appreciate any updates since gameday decided it would die.
5-4 Dodgers men at 2nd & 3rd with Cruz Jr. batting, full count.
Just for those of you that are boyscouts.
A little heavy on the Lofton hate around here, coming into today his OBP is still an above average .342 and his 10/10 steals are an asset as well. I'm not saying he's amazing, but he's not struggling enough to deserve any hatred.
I just don't want him racking up 4 or 5 at bats per game over guys like ethier and repko who could be part of our future either as starters in ethier's case or as a backup in repko's case.
And i don't want lofton starting over cruz who is known to have power and can put up at least as good of an obp if not better as lofton.
I wouldn't mind lofton if grady used him for what he's worth and that is speed, as a pinch hitter/runner late in the game when we need to steal a run.
Schmidt threw 132 pitches, which shows you not only how much stamina he has but how much confidence Alou has in his bullpen.
Raffy single, Martin scores as the throw to the plate is late, Martin seems to know how to use his speed very well.
Cruz is known to have power? The guy with the .362 slugging percentage? I do like Cruz, but he is best used as a 4th outfielder and platooner. Repko has a decent case to start over Lofton, so it'll be interesting once he comes back how everything plays out. Keep in mind that Ethier has never really been mistaken for a CF either, so Lofton only has a slight effect on him.
If you look at cruz career stats you will see some power, yes he hasn't displayed it so far this season.
As far as lofton's effect on ethier, there has been times where repko and lofton have played over ethier and there have been times where cruz and lofton have played over ethier and keep in mind that drew can play cf, so i don't buy that lofton doesn't have any effect on ethier's playing time, because lofton clearly does have an effect on ethier's playing time.
Bottom line, lofton has kept others from playing.
"we wan't a catcher not a belly scratcher"
Kendall?
What about Aybar??
SS-Furcal
3b-Aybar
1b-Nomar
RF-Drew
2b-Kent
CF-Kemp
LF-Ethier
C- Martin
Joe Blanton if we're lucky. He's having a terrible year. Richie Robnett is a pretty nice prospect too. I don't know if Beane wants to trade for a catcher with Jeremy Brown being close to the majors and Kurt Suzuki being their catcher of the future.
Cruz hasn't hit 30 homers since 2001, his high since then was 21 two years ago. Cruz is pretty much your typical 4th outfielder nowadays - OPS in the .775 range, mashes lefties, and plays adequate defense at all three outfield positions. He's a very valuable guy to have on the team, but since he doesn't have a ton of power or speed he doesn't really deserve a starting spot at this point in his career.
And lofton does deserve a starting spot?
Cruz has a higher obp than lofton right now, god knows who has way more power(cruz), i don't see how lofton should be starting over any of cruz, ethier, repko.
I will say that out of all those guys the only one i see as a future possible starter is ethier, but then again with guzman and kemp on their way....
My basic arguement is why start lofton over prospects/youngsters when they are producing as much and even more than lofton.
What's the point?
absolutely nothing. The A's have a decent catching prospect of their own. The best we can hope for with Navarro is to package him with someone like Izturis to sweeten the pot for any deal...other than that, I don't see us getting anything for him alone..
I don't know if the Angels are really a great team. In fact, I think they have a good chance to be very mediocre this year. Their offense aside from Vlad Guerrero is league average or worse at just about every position, their defense is not that great, and the fluky pitching they had from last year doesn't seem to be carrying over this year.
The struggles they're having don't seem too unreasonable.
338. Beane would definitly see value in Navarro, kinda like Depodesta did. Suzuki is the same age as Navarro and hasnt seen AAA yet, I dont think Beane would let Suzuki or Brown stop him from getting Navarro.
But with Kendall, Beane acquired him specifically for his "intangibles". He knew full well that Kendall was on the downside of his career and was being paid alot of money.
So even the people that generally know what they are doing, still get caught paying that Veteran Leadership premium. It makes little sense.
well, it makes no sense for Beane with Suzuki, Brown, Kendall, AND Melhuse. Even though Kendall stinks he isn't leaving that team....and Navarro is no better than Melhuse anyways.
I think at this point a long-term 7mil a year contract would be suspect unless we grabbed a young superstar and got him cheap for a long time. We can approximate anyone that cheap from our system.
I thought Beane got Kendall because he had a good OBP? At least he used to, anyway.
Navarro, Izturis, Broxton, and Orenduff (plus cash to cover part of Izturis' salary) for Upton
or
Navarro and Guzman for Upton.
Lineup of the future
1. Furcal SS
2. Upton CF
3. Drew RF
4. Kemp LF
5. LaRoche 3B
6. Aybar 2B
7. Martin C
8. Loney 1B
345. Beane could unload Kendall if he got Navarro, and Brown and Melhuse are backup catchers and Suzuki has less than 200 ab's above A-ball. Stathead like Beane love Navarro, PECOTA sees Navarro as being the third most productive catcher under 24 in the game, behind Mauer and McCann. It even likes him better than Martin.
LaRoche
Guzman
Navarro
Elbert
... and two of the following list:
(Kuo, Orenduff, Abreu, Loney, Repko)
to FLA for Cabrera and Willis
I'd give anyone not named Billingsley for Cabrera..obviously, as long as it was within reason (meaning not giving up like 8 prospects). I don't want to go anywhere near Willis...that guy is by far the most overrated pitcher in the game. If Florida was smart, they'd cash in on him now while they can.
I couldn't disagree more. The marlins got a lot of good prospects this offseason. As you're seeing now some are already paying dividends. If anyone trades for Cabrera they're going to have to give up top tier prospects to get him which will load their prospect pool even more.
I just can't see them paying Cabrera money, especially when they haven't paid anyone else...trade him, and in a couple years they're going to be stacked again with great young pitching.
from what I've heard there locked for a while.
Man, the Nationals hate that guy.
Willis and Cabrera are one thing, But giving up much for someone who isn't a proven major leaguer almost makes me say "Uncle"
Or fly ball?
Third base is his best spot and he should be adequate there. In more than 500 games at 3B in the minors, Aybar was graded as an average to slightly better 3B (not that fielding percentage is a great indicator, but he was good for about a .942 FP at third). He played about 150 games at 2B, starting with his Double-A season. His actions at 2B weren't good. Royster, who saw a lot of him, said as much. He had some footwork problems around the base.
By all means, if he's going to play regularly for the LAD, keep him at 3B. It's hard enough to adapt to the majors as it is.
Aybar has needed a bit of time to settle in at most every level (save as a MLB hitter).
In the minors, he had a rocky first season defensively (.908) but followed with 3B-FPs of .948, .947, .944 (after the year at 2B) and .963 in 78 games at 3B last year. He started 29 DPs in 110 games at third in '03.
As for Aybar adding muscle: Yes, he was quoted as saying in the LVegas paper that he hit the weights hard this past winter.
My guess is that if he added 10 pounds of muscle, there's a bit of adjusting to be done defensively.
There will be some growing pains. You just hope they're manageable. Ideally, Furcal would be playing great defense next to him - but I don't see that happening.
I see Aybar as a guy who would hit 14-18 home runs, 25-32 doubles and draw 50-60 walks, while giving you some pretty nice offensive versatility through an ability to spot your leadoff man and bat second, five, sixth, seventh and eighth. His approach also lends itself to some promise as a PH.
He averaged about 12-13 HRs from 2002-04 in the Florida State League and Southern League, which are pretty fair tests for a kid whose age ranged from a young 19 to 21. Another encouraging indicator: In about 2700 PAs, his K/W strikeouts ratios were pretty good.
I believe he's still filling out a bit. He's also still acclimating to a boatload of variables. Only in the past winter did he become marginally effective at speaking English. I also think Eddie Murray could be good for him -- maintaining two swings is so tough, and who did it better than Murray?
I'm hoping someone on the staff can coax a little better footwork out of him -- but that's mostly up to Aybar.
Perhaps I should go review another film, so somebody can complain about the Reds signing Joe Mays to a minor league contract.
Do we have anybody remotly close to a Shields down in the farm? rubber arm & all?
It's one thing to have promising talent in your sytem and a promising young players on your 25-man roster. It's quite another to have good development situations at so many levels, as they have now. Aybar, Ethier and Martin are getting regular playing time, but there's enough veteran talent to shield them and the divsion doesn't appear strong enough to cause panic moves or create a more intense climate than a young player needs (of course, a few injuries could cause McCourt to order wholesale changes).
It's also interesting that you're seeing young players who have served worthy apprenticeships, and young hitters that arrived here with a demonstrated approach to hitting that increases the chances of success.
Aybar got to amass about 2,700 minor-league PA, plus the major-league primer last September. What better time than now to see if he can do it? I love that Ethier came up in Oakland's system and is pretty advanced for a rookie (even without the full TripleA season). And when's the last time the LAD had three young hitters such as Aybar, Martin and Ethier who had consistently shown good hitting approach at several minor league levels?
I'm not saying any of them is a great hitting prospect, but there's proven aptitude, talent and favorable timing.
And it seems like others in the minors will have reasonable chances to maximize their talents. Loney and Guzman won't be asked to carry this team and can proceed on a favorable development track. Sele's three good starts can only encourage the club to give Billingsley more development time (I don't see the LAD repeating the EJax mistake with Billingsely).
A guy like Kemp likely would've been rushed up to the big leagues a few years ago. Here and now, he's apt to get the needed development time. The pressure's also off LaRoche a bit, which I think may have helped him increase his walk rate.
The longer this team can be in the mix without doing anything stupid vis a vis its young players, the better the chances of building something very good and lasting.
And let's not forget: Most of Little's managing career was spent in Atlanta's system. He knows young talent and knows a thing or two about how to develop it. That can't be said of many major-league managers.
Bottom 1ST B:0 S:0 O:0
Eric Reed singles on a bunt ground ball to catcher Edwin Bellorin. Eric Reed advances to 2nd, on throwing error by catcher Edwin Bellorin.
Bottom 1ST B:0 S:0 O:0
James Shanks singles on a bunt ground ball to pitcher Chad Billingsley. Eric Reed advances to 3rd, on missed catch error by second baseman Sergio Garcia.
Bottom 1ST B:4 S:0 O:0
Matt Cepicky walks. James Shanks to 2nd.
Bottom 1ST B:1 S:3 O:1
Jason Stokes strikes out swinging.
Bottom 1ST B:3 S:2 O:2
Jason Wood pops out to first baseman Joel Guzman on the infield fly rule.
Bottom 1ST B:0 S:0 O:2
Scott Seabol hits a grand slam (11) to left field. Eric Reed scores. James Shanks scores. Matt Cepicky scores.
Bottom 1ST B:0 S:2 O:3
Paul Hoover lines out to center fielder Jeff Duncan.
Interesting SI poll asking MLB players to name the most underrated and overrated players in the league. Dodger players made both lists.
Underrated
#6: Buell Miller
Overrated
#4: DJ Drew
#5: Nomah
http://tinyurl.com/zuaby
Uncle Miltie and I share the same dream about Upton being our CF. Other then the both of us being Clipper fans it may be the only other thing we agree on.
Great to see our two best hitters on the overrated list. I mean that in a positive way since I have very little respect for a ballplayers opinion reinforced by the incredible ignorance they display when they become color analysts. I was hoping Orel would be able to breakout of the tunnel vision but so far I've been unimpressed.
At this point in the season I'm a huge Little fan. He makes mistakes with his bullpen but seems to learn from them. That is all I can ask.
I'd give them for Upton, andthats generous for a minor leaguer.
It makes its predecessor called Suasquatch look like an Academy award winner, which is really saying something.
http://www.minorleagueball.com/
Just our luck to be in such a great draft position in the worse draft year this century.
Sign Luke, get the college kid, and then take a chance on the HS kids in this years draft. What is the point of being a hard liner if he develops into a front of the rotation starter. If we don't get this done, my opinion of Logan White is going to drop a little.
http://tinyurl.com/syez9
It's full of errors. I realize that the author of this article has a serious disability, but that should not excuse her for making errors such as:
"The Dodgers made Furcal the richest shortstop in history"
I assume she meant in terms of annual salary which would be incorrect. A-rod and Jeter definitely make more.
"Navarro wasn't performing when he got hurt, and the Dodgers had both Navarro and Martin in the organization."
I didn't realize that a catcher hitting .280/372/.387 was considered not performing
"Therefore, when Izturis returns, why isn't anyone talking about making Furcal a super utility player like they are about Izturis?"
Is she insane? Furcal is not going to accommodate Izturis. I realize that she likes Izturis a lot (so do I), but she needs to use a little common sense.
"Although Furcal has many more stolen bases than Izturis, Izturis has played for former Dodger manager Jim Tracy, who didn't prize the stolen base. I believe Furcal has had the green light to go any time for almost his entire career. However, Izturis hasn't. Given the opportunity to steal, Izturis probably would have nearly as many as Furcal."
More assumptions. She assumes that Izturis would steal as many bases as Furcal, despite:
1. Not being as fast
2. Being a worse baserunner
3. Not getting on base as much
"I feel the Dodgers can use both Furcal and Izturis. They need to find a place for both in the lineup. I don't know how Colletti and Little will solve this pleasant problem. It will be interesting to see the solution."
MartinBillingsley, oldbear, and Steve- I hope you have a barf bag handy.
I actually found here suggestion of going after Brian Giles as a leadoff hitter interesting. The problem is, Giles wanted to stay in San Diego (as she noted in the article). There's a lot of stuff that I didn't agree with (the Pierre suggestion which I didn't even mention until now), but the lack of research involved in this article is what really made me go Milton.
Call me cruel, but this was a very poorly written article.
I think its great that she takes the time and effort to write articles. But I dont think its cruel for people to criticize the content either, since her physical limitations shouldnt be an excuse for poor intellectual argumentation.
I don't disagree, but for me, this is the kind of draft that separates the great scouts from the others. As the Rockies scouting director noted, some interesting players emerged from the 2000 draft (including his RF, I believe, Hawpe, who's a pretty decent player as a converted 1B who's coming along this year.)
And it's also a draft that places extra emphasis on your development people. If the "sure" talent is less plentiful and you have extra pics, you're probably more incline to go for riskier guys with good upside. That's where development acumen becomes more of a factor (not a strong suit for the Dodgers). The draft-and-follow game also becomes more interesting with this kind of draft. IIRC, Laroche was such a player.
I'm also as willing to blame Hochevar for this mess as I am White. Ultimately, the athlete hires the agent -- or in this case, agents -- and it is the athlete who decides whether to sign or not.
The Hochevar saga comes down to Colletti. If a deal's going to get done with the LAD, Colletti's in the best position to do it, because he had nothing to do with the squabble and can enter this as the holy innocent.
I thought she was some kid. I hardly waste my time at Dodgers.com anymore, besides the "Dodgers' notes" articles.
I think they have a pretty good idea about Loney but with Nomar's impressive start, especially his defense and the situation in the outfield, it is much more likely that the next position player that comes up is someone like Guzman in a corner OF spot and they want to get him at bats.
she has a right to her own opinion but she has to expect criticism of it; especially if it lacks logic.
bases loaded, zumaya on the mound and griffey at the plate. Griffey bombs one for a grand slam.
"so what nate? he hits bombs all the time"
the gun read 104mph on that pitch.
it's her opinion! but I see your point. I don't agree with everything Bill O'reilly says but I still respect the dude.
409- I'm an equal opportunity critic. I am criticizing her errors and lack of ability to think with a little common sense. Izturis may be her favorite player, but as a writer, she needs to separate her affection for a player and look at the situation.
The dodgers are a good team, and have a chance to be a great team. Our starters lead the league in ERA (and that's with the awful pitching of Perez, and inconsistancy of Seo)And we are near the top of the league in runs scored.
We have won 11 of our last 13, and don't look like we're slowing up anytime soon, especially with the return of Gagne looming.
Seriously, the dodgers RIGHT NOW, are very interesting.
You don't have to write a nasty e-mail. Just write her an e-mail telling her where you disagreed and asking her what she meant.
E-mail can be civil!
Can wars?
We certainly agree that the LAD right now are very interesting, and not only as a major league cub, but as an organization. That was the point of my too lengthy post.
I can't agree that the LAD presently are a good team -- OK to pretty good, yes, with the change to be good, yes, even the chance to be very good this year if they get lucky. But the bullpen and defense aren't what I would call "good." I'd rate the bullpen mediocre and the defense so-so.
We certainly agree that the LAD right now are very interesting, and not only as a major league cub, but as an organization. That was the point of my too lengthy post.
I can't agree that the LAD presently are a good team -- OK to pretty good, yes, with the change to be good, yes, even the chance to be very good this year if they get lucky. But the bullpen and defense aren't what I would call "good." I'd rate the bullpen mediocre and the defense so-so.
I remember hearing tales of Union and Confederate soliders calling truces to offer each other Dijon mustard for their sandwiches.
Like I said, with the return of Gagne looming (and hopefully Carter being sent down or traded for good), the bullpen will improve.
If Broxton can continue being lights out, and so can Saito, and Baez go back to being decent, with a healthy Gagne, this team has a good shot at having a very good bullpen.
Also, as for the D, Nomar is the only first baseman in baseball with out an error with 200 chances. Furcal been coming around for sure (did you see that play on Friday?), and the outfield does play good D. I mean, this team isn't the 2004 dodgers defensively, but they make all the plays when the have to, and don't make mistakes. A prime example of bad defense would be the angels (overruning balls, lettng people reach on Ks, misjudgeing balls, and so on.
I mean, if those two things get ironed out, I don't see where you think this team isn't good.
I will send the evil forces of Opus Dei to take care of you. Being Catholic, I know the secret phrases to get them to my dirty work.
Obviously the first error you cite is correct regarding salary. Furcal doesnt make as much of the annual salary or total contract of the big power hitting shortstops. However, Furcal is the highest paid Dodger shortstop ever. Since the site is about the Dodgers maybe that could have been implied. Obviously that could have been spelled out better if that is what she meant.
The point about whether Navarro was producing when he got hurt is debatable. He looked horrible despite his bat. His defense hurt the team alot by not blocking pitches. Catcher is mainly a defensive position with good offense being a bonus usually. In my opinion his bat did not make up for his--in my opinion again--sloppy defensive play. He obviously was hitting. The author never claimed he was not hitting. Now if the author were critiquing a player like a first baseman or a left fielder then the reader would have to assume that the author meant offensive production since those positions are much lower on the defensive spectrum.
I think attacking the author on the point about whether Furcal should be made into a utility player misses the point that it was a rhetorical question.
The stolen bases point you make glosses over 2 key words-- probably and nearly. It is her opinion based on the 3 or 4 facts she writes before her opinion that Izturis, given the chance, Probably have stolen Nearly as many bases. The author qualifies her assertion twice. It is debatable and the opinion does have facts that back the author up. Not that there isnt factual evidence to the contrary. You point out contrary evidence. Would the article have been a lot better if the author had taken on objections to her opinion/contrary evidence and dealt with it? Of course it would, but that doesnt make her opinions wrong...and it does not invalidate the facts she uses as the basis of her opinion. Just because there is evidence that contradicts a person:s opinion doesn:t invalidate the opinion. She just fails to address the other side of the argument.
411 Finally, the author doesnt need to be objective, it is an opinion piece.
you're assuming Gagne returns which isn't set in stone. Sure he looks okay now, but he's coming off his second major elbow surgery in a year and for all we know he'll break down in another week. I hope he dominates, but we can't assume it.
I'd grade our bullpen not as mediocre, but as bad. We really need to find a way to ditch Hamulack and Carter..if this means taking a chance on the waiver wire then by all means do it, because they can't be worse than those two guys.
As far as D, Furcal is coming around which is nice. You're right about Nomar, he's been good. We're a little shaky with Aybar...I really like him, but it's the truth. Our biggest defensive upgrade is Martin. It looks like he's flat out won a job with his play which is a nice to see.
Let's just hope Gagne comes back to dominant form...I'd feel a lot better with Saito/Gagne anchoring the bullpen and it'd probably lead to a lot more wins.
And can somebody explain to me how Ruth only won 1 MVP in his entire career??
thinkblue0 that's your quote secod major elbow sergery? I don't agree with the 2nd major part.
I consider that pretty major.
it's not second major type sergery though! imo
Lou Gehrig was the MVP of the AL in 1927.
2. Gibson
3. Aaron
4t. Ruth
4t. Bonds
vr, Xei
I'd grade our bullpen not as mediocre, but as bad. We really need to find a way to ditch Hamulack and Carter..if this means taking a chance on the waiver wire then by all means do it, because they can't be worse than those two guys.*
In that Gagne is still an if, and our bullpen has 2 stiffs right now, you're right. But IF Gagne come's back and dominates, we can have a very good bullpen with Gagne, Broxton, Saito, Baez, and sometimes Bimel.
There's still a question of whether he'll ever be effective again, though. There's a reason they don't just pull that nerve out in the first place. I hope nothing but the best for Gagne, but I won't be surprised if he doesn't have any much control upon returning. Being able to feel where your arm (and each of its parts) is in relation to everything else is kind of important to pitching.
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