Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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TV and more ...
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Hope you'll excuse or enjoy the following stat-happy cruise ...
Some people value walks, others value the stolen base. Right now, the Dodgers are getting close to the best of both worlds. The team ranks second in the major leagues with 197 walks, fourth in the majors with a .357 on-base percentage, tied for first with 42 stolen bases and tied for sixth with an 80.8 percent stolen-base success rate.
That, plus some strangely effective pitching - the Dodgers are third in baseball in ERA despite being 19th in strikeouts per inning pitched - has soothed a power deficiency that has left Los Angeles 21st in the majors in hitting home runs and 16th in slugging percentage.
The sluggish strikeout rate for the pitchers, plus the fact that the Dodgers have been slightly lucky as far as the opposition's batting average on balls in play (.288, 11th-lowest in baseball) has me thinking that the pitching has a good chance to decline. However, if the team can preserve its judicious rate of home runs allowed (sixth-best in baseball), the ERA might stay reasonably in line.
Meanwhile, there's every possibility that the Dodgers will avoid an on-base slump, thanks in part to the recent additions of Willy Aybar and Russell Martin. Walkers such as Rafael Furcal and Jose Cruz, Jr. must also be given due credit for their strike-zone judgment in a season in which pitchers have had no reason to fear challenging them.
In addition, even taking into account Furcal getting thrown out on five of his past nine steal attempts and Kenny Lofton's somewhat strange adventures trying to take an extra base, the team's baserunning looks like it can continue to be an overall asset. When it comes to baserunning, good or bad, I'm guessing that what you see after 40 games tends to be what you get for the whole year. Maybe I'm wrong.
In any case, baserunning is secondary to on-base percentage - the team wouldn't have all these baserunning opportunities if they weren't getting on base to begin with. With both things working, at least for now, the Dodgers have found a way around their power shortage. Isn't it nice that despite all fears, walks have been embraced (however accidentally) by the current Dodger team?
* * *
Though they helped market the concept of "Tracyball" in embarrassing fashion, I've been impressed with how clearheaded the Pittsburgh beat writers have been in evaluating Jim Tracy's tenure with the Pirates. In calm fashion, while keeping in perspective the overall situation in Pittsburgh, they continue to raise questions and poke holes. The latest example is this chat with Dejan Kovacevic of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette:
nice_throw__Barry: Under "Lloyd Tracy" the Pirates have been playing very poor fundamental baseball. I have not been cynical and have preached to my friends to give Tracy's staff 2 months for the teaching to set in. Will Tracy be able to stop the 5 years of poor fundamentals, or will a change in players be the only cure?
Dejan Kovacevic: So far, it seems just about everything Tracy preached on a daily basis through spring training has failed to come about. More walks? No, last in the league. Throw more strikes? No. Moving runners along? Not at all, as has been highlighted in these past couple of games. Steals? Good ratio -- 21 of 26 -- but not much of a total. Winning one-run games? Well, you know how that one has turned out. It remains to be seen how much of this is on the coaches and how much on the players, I agree. For the moment, though, it looks bad for both.
Steve_Z: Geez Dejan, Tracy's killing us with Jose H. and Jeremy B.? What's he thinking about?
Dejan Kovacevic: On the first count, Tracy clearly feels a loyalty to a player who did quite well for him on a 2004 Dodgers team that he holds in - how to put this? - the very, very, very highest regard. Just as clearly, that player is no longer the same, and one wonders how much longer this can last. As for Burnitz: Don't overthink it. Management signs someone to a guaranteed $6.7 million, and he is going to play. Even Burnitz has acknowledged this much.
lz1: Jim Leyland has done wonders with the Detroit Tigers this season so far. How do you think he would have fared in comparison with Jim Tracy if Leyland was indeed the current Pirates skipper?
Dejan Kovacevic: Probably better, but maybe not for the reasons you think. I will cite two: 1. He was intimately familiar with the talent at hand from having spent so much time at PNC Park over the past few summers. As a result, it is far less likely, I think, that he would have tried to alter anything about the styles of Zach Duke, Chris Duffy, Jose Castillo and others. That might have allowed all those players to continue their natural progressions. 2. He would have thrown enough food about the clubhouse to feed half of Sudan. ...
* * *
Yeah. Whatever happened to Grittle's aversion to "that Oakland thing"?
How long will pitchers continue to avoid challenging them?
Also, Furcal, Drew and Kent have always been fairly decent in drawing walks. Garciaparra is showing better plate discipline while still mashing the ball and while 2 out of 3 kids have shown good eyes in the minors, we'll see what happens when the league sees them a second time.
Baseball.
What happens when Navarro comes off of the DL? vr, Xei
Now, I haven't played in 10 years and have forgotten everything.
We had lots of our own lingo.
The weird thing in pinochle is trying to remember that 10s beat the face cards.
Bob_M: I agree with playing the youngsters. Even if it does not improve the record, it will make for a much more interesting season. What would most people rather see, an aging veteran who had an average career try to hold on for one more season, or a youngster trying to sink or swim?
Dejan Kovacevic: If you ask the upper levels of Pirates management, they seem convinced the public in Pittsburgh would prefer to see a "competitive" team -- a term I hear often -- as opposed to one that is young and takes its lumps. I would beg to differ, but no one is asking me.
Wilbur_Miller: Has anybody in management been able to explain how the Burnitzes, Simons and Randas of the world make the Pirates "competitive?" I mean, really, how connected to reality are these people?
Dejan Kovacevic: Well, that aside, the larger issue, Wilbur, might be how connected they are to the fan base. Only about 99.9 percent of the mail I get strongly, vocally advocates going young. Now, I understand that I am hearing mostly from diehards and the club has to sell tickets to all types of fireworks lovers, but that general sentiment -- and you hear it all over -- has to represent enough of a groundswell to justify doing the right thing.
Bob_M: As a side note, I always enjoyed your writing on the Penguins, and now with the Pirates. I hope in the near future you are writing (and I'll be reading) about meaningful games after the All-Star break.
Dejan Kovacevic: I appreciate that, Bob, but I'm afraid meaningful baseball will have to hold until next April. Unless, of course, the team goes young. That, to me, would represent something plenty exciting to cover and, from a reader's standpoint, to follow.
How does defense figure into all this? Yesterday, I think they had 2 outfield assists at the plate and 3 double plays. Save for that Aybar error in the first and a missed (albeit tough) diving try in center, could snappy defense be helping in keeping the team ERA so low? Any stats available for that?
Why this comment?
[Isn't it nice that despite all fears, walks have been embraced (however accidentally) by the current Dodger team?]
What makes you think it is an accident? Didn't Grady come over from the RedSox who were one of the most patient teams in baseball during his reign? Manny, Ortiz, Nixon, Varitek, Mueller and Damon are all known for the ability to take a walk.
That was funny.
I'm currently addicted to Caylus, but I'm not any good at it. My favorite (non-current addiction category) is El Grande or San Marco...
I would say that Backgammon, Gin, Hearts, Monopoly and Scrabble have been my most common non-computer game pursuits - off the top of my head, anyway.
For the pinochle fans, my brother pulled double Aces-around in pinochle one time (only time I've ever seen it - it basically ends the game) and forgot to "bury." As his competitive older brother, I sure wasn't going to remind him. Once we'd played a set of cards and it was too late for him to correct his mistake, I pointed it out, voiding the hand, and pretty much ending his willingness ever to play pinochle again. That was rougly 25-26 years ago - I think he's still ticked off.
Best part. One of the other guys (not my friend!) asked if the Cubs could do better by adopting the White Sox smartball approach. Baker basically said, "[profanity] smartball, [profanity] smallball, you give me those starting pitchers and I'll win playing baseball."
True story -- I've got pictures.
If your kids like the big board, try Railroad Tycoon. They should be able to handle it if they can handle Puerto Rico. It's a very good game and the big board is very cool.
If you like board games, you might want to check out some of the games Daniel and I have been describing. Rather than Monopoly's roll-and-move-and-do-what-it-tells-you philosophy, these games are all about choices -- there are any number of things that you CAN do, but you have to choose one or two of them. They're less luck-dependent than Monopoly, more about making a strategy and implementing it without incurring the wrath of your opponents...
Of course, it should go without saying that my all-time favorite game was Strat-o-Matic.
Strat-O-Matic taught me about Sliding Billy Hamilton.
Backgammon is something that comes along in your life and then leaves like acne. Well at least in acne's case I hope so.
Jon, you have a typo in the last paragraph before the Kovacevic chat stuff: "...the Dodgers have found away around their power shortage."
Wait a second...are you my long-lost brother?
DL? vr, Xei
what dose that mean?
vr, Xei I mean.
that's a new one to me. Where do you come up with those words?
you were in the navy? how many push ups could you do in your "hay day"?
you were in the navy? how many push ups could you do in your "hay day"?
atleast he threw out, the Colorado runner.
Drew vs. Jennings 4/11 all singles.
Gomes vs. Halladay 3/11, 1 HR with 6 Ks.
Halladay certainly has pitched better but Drew does seem to swinging and missing at a lot of offspeed stuff, outside his PH homer.
that's pretty good. now that you mention 67 in 2 minutes I gotta time my self.
What well known Dodger from the past was a World Class Bridge Player?
Gomes is a real good ball player, good choise, He (as you probably know) played in the Mexican leugue for one year.(to work on his swing or something) his parents are from Portugal I think?
As the three time champion of my keeper league (for whatever that's worth) I'd sit Gomes. Halladay is just too dominant, and Drew isn't hitting all that great right now but there's always at least a good chance he can draw a walk or two against Jennings.
While Gomes is dominating....I wouldn't trust him against Halladay...he's just too good.
I can loan him my leather Viking mask.
Single
RBI Double, out trying to advance to third
He has homered in the first inning. The Angels are leading 2-0.
Wow Bob, this is the first time I ever see you make a typo. what's the world coming too!
Who'd he play for, Bob? Granada Hills High? I know I covered some of his games.
I make lots of typos. I also leave out words frequently.
86
The Baseball Cube lists Gary Matthews Jr. as going to Granada Hills. His father went to San Fernando.
The short time I've been here I've never seen a typo from you.
Thrice ironic! Well played!
Huddy is a psycic (sp?)
Just now, tied in the top of the seventh, Jose Vidro led off with a double and Robinson promptly had (best hitter on the team but recently struggling) Nick Johnson bunt him over to third so that (struggling all year, first night back off the DL) Jose Guillen and (promising but erratic rookie) Ryan Zimmerman could bring him home. It worked, in the sense that Guillen sac flied and the run scored. But of course that's all they got; we'll see if it holds. Last night, the Astros scored 10 off the Nationals.
2. Oh, as I'm typing OF PH Daryle Ward and Alfonso Soriano b2b homers to extend the lead to 4-1.
3. Last night, Gigantor pitched an ining and a bit then came off the field and threw up due to food poisoning. Bowden quoted in the paper the next day as saying the play on the field made him want to vomit. If there's a single thing that bugs me the most about that guy, it's the way he incessantly rips his own players to the press.
4. Smallest Nationals crowd ever at RFK last night (18,302 plus me).
Just now, tied in the top of the seventh, Jose Vidro led off with a double and Robinson promptly had (best hitter on the team but recently struggling) Nick Johnson bunt him over to third so that (struggling all year, first night back off the DL) Jose Guillen and (promising but erratic rookie) Ryan Zimmerman could bring him home. It worked, in the sense that Guillen sac flied and the run scored. But of course that's all they got; we'll see if it holds. Last night, the Astros scored 10 off the Nationals.
2. Oh, as I'm typing OF PH Daryle Ward and Alfonso Soriano b2b homers to extend the lead to 4-1.
3. Last night, Gigantor pitched an ining and a bit then came off the field and threw up due to food poisoning. Bowden quoted in the paper the next day as saying the play on the field made him want to vomit. If there's a single thing that bugs me the most about that guy, it's the way he incessantly rips his own players to the press.
4. Smallest Nationals crowd ever at RFK last night (18,302 plus me).
Jon - do you know if anyone has ever tried to challenge that statement?
The Post sometime recently said it is very unlikely any deals get made until July -- after the draft and after new owners have a chance to get settled.
I'm not Jon, nor do I play him on a message board. But one way of challenging (or, rather, explaining it if it's "true") would be to hypothesize that A-Rod gets better pitches to hit during "meaningless" situations than during meaningful ones. I don't know whether that's true or not, but it sounds good.
I figure Soriano is almost a definite to go. If some team is able to land Nick Johnson they're gonna be real lucky. Great ballplayer.
As for Livan...they might as well get what they can for him and not have to pay him 7 mill next year.
Børk börk børk!
Børk börk børk!
Well, of course not! It's the WaPo, isn't it?
At this stage I'd be afraid to talk to any reporter on the record about anything, even my opinion of the Nats, what with the AG intimating he'd prosecute reporters to get their sources and all.
Børk börk børk!
Shoot -- and here I was all eager to pick up a CG on my fantasy team.
you gotta get rid of CG as a category in your fantasy league...one of the most pointless stats out there.
I believe it was two years ago Livan Hernandez led the majors in CG...and like half of them were losses.
For Pittsburg:
- McLouth doubles to left.
- Wilson sacrifices him to third.
- He scores on Sanchez' groundout to short. (At this point I'm sure Tracy is thrilled about his in-game management)
- Bay homers to left.
Sounds like Tracy put Bay in a position to succeed. Had there been pesky runners on base, he probably wouldn't have gotten such a good pitch to hit.
he's pitching in Dodger Stadium though, I think he'll do alot better here. should be interesting.
why?
There are forces at play here more powerful than you could ever hope to understand.
Of course, maybe the two groups have been getting along too well. Afterall, the happy pairing of Swede Levov (rhymes with The Love) and a Catholic girl, didn't end well for anybody.
Just a little park-effects observation.
Maybe Carter also...
he,he
These are known to be BBs, causing extra pitches, getting to your lead-off, and other subtle things.
Has Bowden ever ruled out making a trade?
Some info on Hill: http://tinyurl.com/hjw5d
we should acquire church instead of promote kemp or guzman.
We can get Church for nothing, given the depth of our system, and given that Bowden misses Endy Chavez. Who's the little guy at Jacksonville who steals all the bases?
todd donovan. hes not with the Dodgers org anymore.
we can probably give him a couple middle reliever prospects for church.
He stole like 65 bases for the blue last year! (AA JAX)
I have been wondering if the Dodgers stay in it come July what Colletti would offer Kasten/Bowden for Soriano.
Scary.
How many innings has Dodger pitching gone without giving up an ER?
They should have the legs bobble no?
I'm embarrassed to admit that I rooted for the Angels in the 2002 World Series (well, they were playing the Giants). That organization and their fans have become absolutely insufferable since then.
where would soriano play. OF?, We have a log jam as it is.
Tonight might be the most boring game of the season.
I'd like to apply the overly used but statistically unsubstantiated metric of catcher's influence on ERA Jon wrote of last week and hope that Martin can "fix" carters problems if he comes in to a close game.
And they lead 2-1. The Braves only run came on a homer by the pitcher, Jorge Sosa.
Børk börk børk!
Lots of 1 run wins?
Luck?
Didnt Hurdle leave Jennings in last week to lose the game with Nomar at bat?
Its good Hurdle remains in relative obscurity managing in Colorado.
Wow, awesome chants of "BULL$#&%" at Shea after Chase! Utley! takes one in the stomach from Darren Oliver in the top 16th! This game RULES!!
Is this deja-vu?
K. Lofton safe at first on right fielder B. Hawpe's fielding error, K. Lofton to second
Thank you.
Just weird programming.
Hawpe dropped the fly ball and Lofton went to second.
Wait for it ...
Hürdy gürdy smürdy!
Hürdy gürdy smürdy!
The Phils were just Beltran'd.
I guess they left Madson in relief a little too long - 7 innings was his limit.
Its the other guys that cause problems.
Can you please sign Sal Fasano to be the Dodgers' back up catcher next year?
Sincerly,
Dodger Fans of NAMBLA
My Cougars advance to the championship game Saturday afternoon at Dodger Stadium and will be big underdogs to #1 Chatsworth.
Both teams have won the City championship six times and the winner will be the first team to have seven postseason championships.
Kennedy won in 1981, 1985, 1989, 1995, 1996, and 2000.
Chatsworth won in 1983, 1990, 1999, 2001, 2003 and 2004.
Mörk smørk börk!
Everett - USA
Beltre - Dominican Republic
Johjima - Japan
Petagine - Venezuela
Betancourt - Cuba
Ichiro is on deck to break the string.
Sadly, Alex Lindstrom, the last big leaguer born in Sweden, was not available to play.
Skål, tomtegubbar!
This is Carter time.
Skål, tomtegubbar!
This should be Broxton time.
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=2438825
We win again!!!
I, I, I Vilma! Ve love our Vilma!
could it be that in those bullpen sessions, perez is showing no improvement. the more they expose him, the greater the chance that he becomes untradeable, and giving us another carlos perez sitaution.
aside from giving the guys regular apperances, maybe he's also getting the bullpen ready for gagne's return.
fool moon today, or something.
7IP 2H 1ER 1bb 6k
on the season he is:
44.1IP
3.25era
7.11 h/9ip
3.45 w/9ip
10.16 k/9ip
.81 hr/9ip
The walks are a little high, but lately they have been down. Homeruns could go down as well but looks solid so far.
Jayson Stark is gonna have a field day with this one, David Bell managed to drive in five runs and also leave 6 on base. And so it begins...
Steve, will you be watching King Cole (pssh, who was that other kid in the AL that we were calling King last season?) tomorrow night?
Marlins LHP prospect: Josh Johnson
Dodgers RHP prospect: Chad Billingsley
Johnson is already in the Marlins rotation and has looked fairly good his first few starts. His HR/9 is insanely low.
yea I saw that. Probably made the members of nambla super proud :)
Cesar, what if they sign someone better than you?
Billingsley was vastly superior to Josh Johnson when they were in the Southern League last year.
Johnson's stats:
139.2IP
3.87 ERA
8.56 h/9ip
3.22 w/9ip
7.28 k/9ip
.26 hr/9ip
billingsleys stats:
146 IP
3.51 era
7.15 h/9ip
3.08 w/9ip
9.99 k/9ip
.74 hr/9ip
the only thing Johnson did better was allow less homeruns. Every other catagorey Billingsley was superior.
LOL, that was a great south park episode
-------
From Bronx Banter comments:
5. joejoejoe
. . .
Six Degrees of Scott Erickson
As a rookie, Scott Erickson was teammates with Jim Dwyer (1), who as a rookie was a teammate of Joe Torre (2), who as a rookie was a teammate of Warren Spahn (3), who as a rookie was a teammate of Paul Waner (4), who as a rookie was a teammate of Babe Adams (5), who as a rookie was a teammate of Jack Beckley (6), who was a rookie in 1888.
Can anyone make a chain from a current Yankee player (or any current player) all the way back to 1876 (first year of organized baseball) in six steps of teammates? I used rookie years above but you can use any year players were teammates if you think it will help. I don't know if it can be done but linking Harold Baines to Minnie Minoso seems promising.
It's a complex deal to evaluate -- certainly not a bust and many would say a huge success. I do think that if they can now flip Soriano for a couple top shelf prospects, it makes it much harder to argue that the deal was not a total success.
Here's a sample: "'Mr. Niednagel has identified 16 basic brain types and says Mr. Bowden's is similar to that of Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart, Teddy Roosevelt and computer entrepreneurs Bill Gates and Paul Allen.'"
www.tinyurl.com/jbljg
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