Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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TV and more ...
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Vin Scully expressed some exasperation - which is so rare that it's always news - at the Dodgers swinging too often at the first pitch lately. As usual, he's justified. Scully obviously doesn't think there's no occasion for jumping on the first pitch, but you can tell he thinks the Dodgers have become too impatient.
"It's amazing - absolutely amazing," Scully said after when Matt Kemp grounded out on the first pitch with the bases loaded and two out in the bottom of the fifth inning Tuesday.
I get a little impatient when people automatically criticize hitters for swinging at the first pitch, but yeah, the team seems a little skittish right now.
The Dodger pitching is so bad at this point, they've managed to make Adrian Beltre look like a star player again.
I'm not panicking, and I certainly hope management doesn't make any desperate trades at this point. As horrible as our pitching looks, I think bad luck is part of it and the trends of statistics will come to our aid.
Can't recall a time that Vinny was so honest with an opinion like that. I know he hates beachballs and loves children but after listening to Vinny for 37 years I actually have no idea about what he thinks about how this game of baseball is run.
http://tinyurl.com/fa29d
Tracy's quote at the end of the article had me shaking my head.
Apologies if it's already been discussed.
Derek Lowe has made a few comments about pitch counts (like his spring training remark about why he throws the first pitch down the middle). Your chart also revealed that LA is 3rd to last in starter innings in the NL. The Dodgers had that one game - Billingsley's debut - against Chris Young where he threw 100 pitches through 5, and they won the game off the bullpen. That was the only game they've won in a week, and they can hit last place again tomorrow if they're not careful.
Everything else was bad. Except Canadian Bacon. He was good. The Bison had an all around horrible game.
http://tinyurl.com/n47ye
"Tough question," Beltre said, pausing in search of the proper words. "I'm playing here right now. I'm going to do my best wherever I play."
Obviously Beltre wants to be in LA.
So.....
Brett Tomko, Odalis Perez, James Loney, Aybar
for
Beltre
His contract was frontloaded, so he makes about $11.25 million a year. If they didn't have Betancourt, a Furcal for Beltre swap might not be a bad idea. I don't think Beltre has every used steroids. I talked to someone who works high up in the Dodgers organization during the offseason and he said that they were contemplating going after Beltre. I think he's capable of hitting 25 HR, posting an .800 OPS and playing excellent defense at third. Is that worth $11.25 million a year? Nope, but it's better than paying Tomko and Perez about that much through next year.
The reason why the Mariners do it is because Beltre has 3 years left on his contract after this year, while Tomko and Perez only have 1 year. Both pitchers would probably pitch better at Safeco and I think Odalis would thrive in the American League with his changeup. The Mariners desperately need more young players to build around. They would probably see Loney in the mold of a young John Olerud. Safeco is a park that is much better for left handed hitters. Seattle prides themselves on being an excellent defensive team and Loney has gold glove potential. Aybar can fill in at 3B, at least in the short term and eventually become a good utility player who can accumulate 400-500 at bats alternating between LF, 3B, 2B, and DH (kind of like Chone Figgins).
Andy LaRoche's most recent injury might affect his best defensive asset, his arm. Besides having an excellent arm, LaRoche is a pretty average defender. A move to 1st base should be considered (especially if Beltre is acquired).
20,20,20,20,20,48,20,20,20.......What else could it have been?
I think he's capable of hitting 25 HR, posting an .800 OPS and playing excellent defense at third. Is that worth $11.25 million a year? Nope, but it's better than paying Tomko and Perez about that much through next year.
I'm not so sure that Aybar wont be better than Beltre the next 2-3 years. I do know for sure that he'll be alot cheaper.
If you think Beltre can OPS .800 for 11.25 mils, why not give Aybar that same chance?
Your deal is good for 2007 (getting rid of OP/Tomko probably a good deal). But I dont think it makes any sense for 2008 or 2009.
I just dont understand giving up Aybar, when he can do what Beltre does for 1/10 the cost. Even if Aybar plays 2nd, he still has more value at 2nd than Beltre would playing 3rd just bc of their salaries. You'd have to get Seattle to throw in some salary if I were ok'ing that deal.
Tomko's been in Seattle before. I dont think they'd want him back.
And I'd like to make a plea that we can keep the Izturis discussions from become Choi II. There is a lot of room to profitably argue about his value and his best use, but I would very much like not to read a bunch a comments that start with potshots at "most of you" who supposedly hate him or love him. I just read all the comments from last night -- people clearly have a wide range of views on Izturis and, right now, there is no DT consensus.
I for one am happy for him to have made it back so quickly, and I hope he does OK.
I noticed Russell Martin swinging at the first pitch the and flying weakly to right in the 17 inning game Saturday nite and wondered what his rush was. On the other hand, these kids have played quite well and looked really promising.
I keep telling myself that this season isn't the end all and be all since our future looks very bright (if we don't panic and trade away the young talent). But this is by far the longest draught I've experienced in my almost 50 years as a Dodger fan. I don't want to be one of those 89 year old geezers who waited 50 years for a world series like they showed on TV during the Red Sox and White Sox World Series wins the last two years, but sometimes it feels like it since I was 40 when we won in '88.
As far as the hitting woes, I think that everything starts off of your starting pitching. I don't think it is an accident that as soon as the pitching slumped that the hitting tried to compensate by doing too much. They need to get their starting pitching turned around and I don't think it will take that much. Tomko has good stuff but can't locate. That's what Honeycutt and he should be working on. Sele needs to keep challenging hitters and reduce his walk count. Brad Penny has to continue to be a pitcher not a thrower. Loew needs to keep the ball down, heck they all need to keep the ball down. Perez, well who knows?
The bullpen is fine. I mean, I really think they are fine. The problem is that Little doesn't use the spot lefty at all and that has altered his lefties mechanics. He also leaves the starters in way too long to save the pen then can't seem to negotiate his way out of the situation.
The pitching problems are solvable internally. Maybe one more starter.
Third base, hmmm?
I just don't what to think you.
You and your open-mindedness will kill us all!
The obvious answer is age since your using numbers from when he 1st starting playing as oppossed to middle of his peak.
Only 2 tickets left for DT Friday Night game. Thanks to Suffering Bruin who snagged 10 tickets for himself and friends. Looking forward to meeting everyone and we all already have our tickets so go early and watch batting practice and maybe the "Blue BiSon" will put on a show. He sure looked like a 21 year old last night. Has Lofton been showing him how to run routes?
The Mariners would have no interest in any of those players. After being spoiled with Beltre's defense they are not going to let Aybar play 3b. They have Sexson and no need for Loney. They aren't going to unload Beltre to get rid of his contract just to bring back 2 bad contracts in OP and Tomko. If they move Beltre is will be to reduce payroll now and in the future.
Like a trekker who finished a long unwashed journey across the mongolian plains, or like a Trekker who spent four days sleeping in his car in the parking lot outside the Tucson convention center waiting to get Gates McFadden's autography?
I've seen him been selective at the plate.
He doesn't like rutabaga.
At least Kemp can recognize and select meatballs.
Not as much math as the WBC.
Thanks,
And yet I still screw up the math! Because you know, adding 3 and 1 together can be hard!
As foods with a k:
There's
kale
ketchup
kidney beans
kielbasa
kimchee
kiwi
knackwurst
knish
kreplach
kugel
kumquat
And a whole bunch of dishes in Japanese.
https://dodgerthoughts.baseballtoaster.com/archives/409923.html
he got really lucky one year?
Right now, Izturis has an OPS of 1.000!
I'm wondering if I have keyboard aphasia.
Or maybe some chemical imbalance created by an excess of kohlrabi. I hope Dr. House's gang isn't going off to search my apartment to find out.
I'm gotta get there early, it will be interesting to see Kemps aproach during batting practice.
About 22 cases per year I think.
*Crickets*
Hello?
Plus, if I remember correctly, those records were supposed to be sealed. Never explained how the good doctor got a hold of them.
42. Well, the character was a felon before he shaped up and went to med school. Car thief, I think. But yeah, House is a jerk. That's what makes him interesting.
As someone who spent a good part of last year in hospitals with crappy diagnosticians (took 'em 6 months to figure it out), I love the show, and, unfortunately, understand most of the medical stuff.
I thought it was sort of a claw hammer dealie.
At first they gave him one treatment, which almost killed him. Then they searched his home (without his consent), then they tried a second treatment, but before it got underway, the diagnostician had a brainstorm and then GoBears got jammed with a needle in an uncomfortable place and he ended up better.
No, really. The 2nd question every doctor asked me (and I was seen by about 40 doctors, more because UCLA is a teaching hospital than because I'm so special) was "how tall are you?" That question became tiresome enough, that I just started making things up. I'm actually 5'10" or 5'11" (somewhere in there), but I amused myself by seeing if they'd blink when I'd say 6'6" or 5'1". Most didn't.
The first question every doctor asked was "have you been using cocaine?" I've never even seen anyone else use it, let alone touched it myself, but I thought it odd that that'd be the first question each time. If nothing else, it told me that they were following some script instead of, you know, thinking.
He really went to Stanford.
When my doctor prescribed statins for me, he asked "Do you have high blood pressure?" I said, "Well, when I saw you last week, you said I didn't." I thought they wrote down things like that. Unless they just write down my initial BP reading which is always stratospheric.
Foreman: Maybe he bumped into the top of the doorway.
Chase: Impossible. The doorway is six feet, three inches off the ground. The patient said he was 5-foot-10.
House: Did you actually measure the patient?
[Foreman, Cameron and Chase look at each other.]
CUT TO:
Foreman: He was 7-foot-2. How did you know?
House: Does the name Kareem Abdul-Jabbar ring any bells?
55. Nice.
I think Marty's date with a big long scope could be Dodgers-related if the tailspin lasts much longer.
This is the first Dodger game I've seen since I left LA again a couple weeks ago, and I'm pretty psyched about getting to see Chad "The Impaler."
What a pal.
That's kinda weird, why start him thursday when he's ready & willing now?
They weren't that bad as I discovered. The worst thing was a fasting cholesterol test and all that meant was I just stopped eating after dinner and went to bed early and then go to the lab really early.
I asked for the test Marty spoke of since my mother passed away from colon cancer, but I was told I still needed to wait another ten years.
(Don't answer that; I've been avoiding it for years. My excuse is that my lousy health insurance will make me pay at least 50% of the cost of the test, and I don't have that kind of spare cash.)
There was a test that involved popsicle sticks and carboard that I will not describe further.
I'm just glad I don't have to deal with that for another decade or so.
I'm trying to gain some context on, say, where Matt Kemp's PPA fits with the average for a MLB hitter. And would love to know just how successful, on the average, MLB hitters are when putting an 0-0 pitch into play (including home runs).
Mercy
cold, just cold
So, if you want to see which is the best count to hit on, you have to remove all the strikeouts from the calculations.
I just remember somebody saying that Izzy would start at 3rd "tomorrow"... not sure if that was posted yesterday or today.
So, for once, "I don't know" is really playing third.
I'm always baffled by this comment and see it quite a bit. How can someone thats been in the league 9yrs, has a mediocre K rate, an even worse HR rate, be considered to have "good stuff"?
Will Tomko still have "good stuff" when he's 38 and has a career ERA of 4.80?
If Tomko had 'good stuff', he'd have better pitching results. He doesnt, and thus hasnt.
it's kinda of funny when you make a mistake Bob. You jix your self
I'm not sure about the excellent defense part. Beltre's career Rate2 is 99. Last year it was 102, this year it is 97. His best Rate2 was 109. His worst Rate2 is 86. He's just average in every regard. For 12 mils, I'd pass.
Fielding analyst John Dewan, who combines statistics with exhaustive video review, is also sold on Beltre's defensive skill, although it appears Beltre, nagged by a hamstring injury, was less effective in his debut season in Seattle.
Here's an excerpt from Dewan's The Fielding Bible (which I strongly recommend):
"...is one of the very best fielding 3B in the game. He has fantastic range, particularly to his right...slumped in Seattle..was still +11 in enhanced plays, eighth in the majors. But he was +30 in each of the previous two years, ranking second both times."
Interestingly, Dewan said Beltre should have won the 2003 Gold Glove over Rolen, citing a +30 rating compared with Rolen's minus-7.
LA Observed is linked at right; click through today's morning roundup to read the whole thing.
Was my religious training lacking?
In terms of fastball velocity, Tomko has good "stuff," and his slider's bite/speed also rate above average.
Of course, those are two of several factors.
Does the ball go where he intended? Do his delivery create deception or do hitters see the ball well off him? Is his fastball straight?
Those factors and others can strongly mitigate the overall value of a pitcher's "stuff."
The "stuff" raves are often overdone, sometimes meaningless and can miss the point more often than not.
"Stuff" refers to some very specific factors that are by no means determinative of success. Good "stuff" theoretically can reduce margin for error, but at some point, performance tells the greater truth.
I'm going to the game tonite. gonna get there early to see BP. I heard ichiro sometimes catches flyballs between his legs during BP. I'm also anxious to see Chad.
Not when they're playing the Giants.
there was an article in the Times about the veterans taking the rookies under their wings a couple of days ago...and we also have a batting coach...why doesn't anyone tell the rookies to take a couple of pitches before they go up to the plate?
secondly, as for our pitching, I am not sure whether our staff is lousy or we have a lousy pitching coach...I suspect it is a little of both...none of the pitchers are improving, but are, in fact getting worse as time goes on...
I said a while back that this team would go nowhere with Little as manager, and believe that now more than ever...his coaches just make it worse
Not in Tomko's case. Tomko is like the hard-throwing FTOGS. No pitches. No stuff. Nothing. The void.
Not when they're playing the Giants.
Point taken.
I can't say I find that a particularly apt analogy. The Bataan Death March wasn't "just kind of there" or lacking excitement.
2 questions:
1- Are there really Star Trek conventions in Tucson?
2- Tucson has a convention center?
http://tinyurl.com/hk5w7
93 - this situation just begs for Mark Cuban to step in, no?
94 - "The Korean Right Handed Terry Mulholland" immediately brought an image of Bruce Chen to mind, even though I am 105% sure that he is both Panamanian and left handed...
On Tuesday to reporters, White Sox manager Ozzie Guillen referred to Chicago Sun-Times columnist and Around the Horn contributor Jay Mariotti as a derogatory name for a homosexual.
Angry with a recent column by Mariotti critical of Guillen's handling of recently demoted relief pitcher Sean Tracey and upset with Mariotti with columns of the past, Guillen said to reporters when referring to Mariotti before Tuesday's game with the Cardinals, "What a piece of [expletive] he is, [expletive] fag."
Before writing the column, Couch asked Guillen for an explanation. Guillen defended his use of the term "fag" by saying this about homosexuals and the use of the word in question: "I don't have anything against those people. In my country, you call someone something like that and it is not the same as it is in this country.''
Guillen said that in his native Venezuela, that word is not a reference to a person's sexuality, but to his courage. He said he was saying that Mariotti is "not man enough to meet me and talk about [things before writing].''
Guillen also told Couch that he has gay friends, attends WNBA games, went to a Madonna concert and plans to go to the Gay Games in Chicago.
I wish Tracy had done the same thing a few years ago. It certainly would have sped up the process and maybe we would have had a decent manager the past few years.
http://youtube.com/watch?v=uEYCN3hVTYI&mode=related&search=
Guillen also told Couch that he has gay friends, attends WNBA games, went to a Madonna concert and plans to go to the Gay Games in Chicago.
Oh, you went to a Madonna concert. Clearly, your comments were misinterpreted.
I don't know about Ozzie's country, but in my country, we have a word for people who use that kind of justification for hateful speech. That word is moron.
That's what I heard, anyway.
I don't think Aybar will ever touch 20 home runs, and a .800 OPS.
Not sure if this exactly answers your question, but here are some stats when the count is 0-0:
Dodgers
.340/.343/.508/.851
Opponents
.365/.375/.572/.947
in 192 career mlb abs, Aybar had a 851 OPS.
it might be a small sample size, but it still proves your statement wrong that aybar will never "touch" 800 OPS. because right now, he is more then touching it.
Its not like the guy hasnt hit doubles or HRs since he's been up. He's hit 3HRs in about 100 AB's. Thats 15 a season.
Plus he might improve.
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