Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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TV and more ...
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Wednesday was the first day in my memory that I read all the comments on Dodger Thoughts as they passed but didn't participate once. The primary reason was that I was a bit burned out from the previous day's discussion on the Mark Hendrickson trade, which many of us found worth examining to a degree beyond its importance to the Dodgers' immediate fortunes. Sort of the way we examine the Dodgers to a degree beyond their importance to our living and breathing. We just do.
As the day went on, there were a couple of places where I felt I could jump in and say something without it sending me to bed with a cold compress on my forehead, but each time I was on the verge, I found myself in love with the idea of continuing my fast. Many times, comments are like Lay's potato chips and you can't stop at one.
So instead, I silently digested another Dodger wipeout at the hands of an American League team, digested Odalis Perez's latest outing, digested Cesar Izturis' OPS finding its home below .700. I rooted for the Dodgers to make a game of it - just make a game of it - and Olmedo Saenz heard me with his three-run double.
My father-in-law, a Mets fan, made a joke about which one of us will be unhappier reading the papers following Wednesday's games. I courtesy laughed. Clearly, I would be unhappier, given that his team is in first place by a lot.
I watched the bottom of the first inning of the morning's game on TiVo after the kids were in bed and decided that Perez probably couldn't reach the infield grounder that set up Minnesota's grand slam, no matter how much effort he might have made. All along, I thought about writing something, but I never did.
For my first three decades as a Dodger fan, that's pretty much how it went. I would have mostly an interior dialogue. Dodger Thoughts came about when I saw an opportunity to stop talking to myself all the time. While there hasn't been a day that has gone by when I haven't been grateful that outlet, Wednesday was nicely nostalgic, nicely peaceful. It was nice to have some alone time.
And today, the Dodgers are still the Dodgers.
Yup. And Lays is still making chips. Munch as many or few as you want. They'll make more whatever you decide.
My optimism about Hendrickson is partly due to the fact that he's spent his whole career in the AL so far -- the AL East, for that matter, which has traditionally been the best of the best (although I think the Central passed them this season.) Hendrickson will come over here and face a steady diet of San Diego, San Francisco, Arizona, Pittsburgh, Washington, etc., and he'll feel like he's back in AAA. Every NL lineup except the Mets and the Cardinals has holes. What team presents any NL pitcher with a lineup approaching what the Yankees, Red Sox and Chisox put out there?
In the event Hendrickson does well and catches on with the fans, do you think they'll start selling fake beards at the souvenir stands?
The bag or your pants...?
I like both.
And the relationship is probably causal.
And Jon, living on the East Coast, I know what it's like to talk to yourself about the Dodgers.
No on Escobar until he deletes that MySpace page.
Grab Nate...Grab like something that grabs very well. A claw, maybe. Yeah, grab like a claw.
I believe the technical term is "Fat Tub of Goo"
I didn't realize Mark Hendrickson was EVIL. If I didn't know any better I'd have to guess that most of the posters think Hendy's Lucipher himself. LOL.
And to think Hendy's been lucky all season while OP has been unlucky all season. It was hard to just type that.
You people fail to realize that Seo and Beaz, on paper, are good trades, just like the Hendy deal.
Lets examine the Seo/Hamulak for Schmoll/Sanchez deal.
Seo was something like 8-2 with a sub 3 ERA in the 2nd half last season. Thats a sub 3 ERA in a lot of innings. Why would anyone expect that to double? Schmoll is complete trash who will never dawn a major league uniform again. Sanchez is the only person Midas has ever traded away that hurts a bit.
Trading for Baez made all the sense in the world. He proved he could close out ball games. He saved over 40 the year before. Midas was being proactive. He wasn't going to wait for Gagne to get hurt. He went and got him a 40+ save man. Not too many have that on the ol' resume. And look what he gave up. 2 pieces of garbage. Jackson is TERRIBLE and Tiffany is a BUST. The Drays made a TERRIBLE trade. They could have had so much more for Baez at the end of last year. They got stuck with trash. LOL. Carter was a no risk throw in that didn't pan out. Big deal. He was thrown into the trash bib in Vegas where he belongs.
And now the boys in blue get Hendy and the majority of you act like the franchise is crumbling. LOL. Navarro is overweight garbage. He's a scrubby Mike LaValliere. Good riddance to bad rubbish. Hendy has to just keep pitching like he's pitching and the boys in blue will win 60% of his starts.
:)
It's gotten to the point where I don't even realize I'm doing it.
He may be crazy. But it just might be a lunatic we're looking for...
Gagne's save streak is meaningless itself. It was his ungodly K and BB rates that made him great, not the fact that he didn't blow any three-run leads in the ninth-inning for two years.
Jon's post once again reminds me of the great puzzle of baseball fanship. Why in heaven's name do we care so much? On a rational level, this stuff really doesn't matter, but, well, that's not the way it works.
Anyhow, I don't like the trade, but as some others have said, even in baseball terms, it isn't the end of the world. I still like DePo more, but Choi's and Perez's struggles only show what DePo himself said--baseball GMship is as much art and science. I liked my chances with him more, and I have my worries about Ned, but the net affect on the team this season won't be huge.
WWSH
Andre is a nice player, a fourth outfielder. That does not mean we should trade him. All times need solid role players.
Same thing with Aybar, he is no future all-star, but a decent back-up, that does not mean we have to scrub him to some other team.
Let us keep our guys, enjoy the season, and look for solid free agent help in the future.
The Hendricks trade was not that BAD, just a little pointless. In the end, I do not think he is going to be any better or worse then Seo or Odalis.
I still think (and hope, alot), that Odalis can pitch atleast at a league average level.
I am the ultimate lurker around here. I've checked the board basically every day for over two years. I bet I've read 95% of the comments in that time. I feel like I know all the regulars like good friends. Things that happen at work will remind me of people from the board. At this point I can read through the posts without looking at the subject lines because I know immediately by tone and content who most of the posters are. When I'm arguing with someone in real time about the Dodgers I'll frame both sides of my own argument and think to myself "nate would say" etc... My mom even reads the board and we regularly refer to posts in our discussions.
How strange is it that if I were to have approached the group at the game no one would have any idea who I was? Does this make me selfish? Am I missing out? It's such a strange social phenomenon. And I wonder how many more there are like me on this board?
There are times I would like to open the bag of chips and even feel that I have some sort of duty to do so. But then again, there are others who know more about just about everything that has to do with baseball. For someone reason on this off day I feel the need to wax poetic and say thanks for being so great Jon (and everyone at DT). It has been such a pleasure to be (however quietly) a part of this community for the past few years. Perhaps I will now put down the chips and receded back to the corner and try not to laugh too hard at Bob's next joke. Or maybe the chips will be too good...
One of the things that pushed me over the top to participate was the passing of my #1 "Dodger Friend". He and I would discuss the Dodgers and baseball at length, with his death, I miss the discussions.
This place has had an even greater meaning to me in the last few months.
And welcome aboard :)
I don't know if this relates, but to whatever extent people are afraid to comment because they're afraid of being ragged on too hard ... I'd like people to keep that in mind when they respond to things they don't agree with. This place isn't supposed to be a playground where only the toughest survive. It should be a place where, as corny as it sounds, everyone gets to play if they want.
Dialing down the hyperbole whenever we can is one idea I have. I think we can have plenty of fun without exaggerating things. And in general, there's still too much mocking of other people, on all sides of the conversation. There's still too much mocking of opposing points of view instead of responding respectfully.
Just something to keep in mind. We're pretty good, but we can do better.
I still think (and hope, alot), that Odalis can pitch atleast at a league average level.
GIVE UP ON OP. He's garbage. Period. It doesn't matter that he was league average in the past, he's a league offensive slump buster now.
Also, I would have more hope for Hendrickson to pitch near, or a little below league average, especially looking at what he does on the road.
31 - Humbling, isn't it?
I think there is some medical truth in that statement. I myself have been suffering from depression for many years now and I know that the bi-polar disorder known as the Dodgers has contributed to many of the pharmaceutical companies profits. I think maybe the Dodgers should be a sponsor for Lexipro.
I also am really strongly committed to the belief that the pitchers we picked up in the off-season were competent pitchers and that Grady Little's misuse of the bullpen created a trickle down effect that caused both psychological and mechanical problems. I still have no logical explanation for his abnegation of the spot lefty. He has rarely, if ever, used it all opting instead to use his lefties in righty type situations. Also, I do think that one of his fatal character flaws is his fear of going out to the mound due to the Donnie Moore/Bill Bucknerish nature of his destruction in game 7/ALCS. Not to excuse the pitching performances but this has been a big contributing factor to the staffs continued problems.
I really think to myself, can this guy really have slipped this much and how much of it has to do with bad luck?
I am not expecting much from Odalis, but hey, we are Dodger fans, we can always hope.
BA against by year.
2003 - .229
2004 - .237
2005 - .244
2006 - .298
OPS against by year.
2003 - .673
2004 - .685
2005 - .674
2006 - .749
41 saves in 49 opportunities including 7 of 7 against the Yankees. (But there's no pressure pitching against the Yanks. LOL)
I guess Baez was just "LUCKY" over the course of 3 full seasons. ::rolls eyes::
I think there is some medical truth in that statement. I myself have been suffering from depression for many years now and I know that the bi-polar disorder known as the Dodgers has contributed to many of the pharmaceutical companies profits. I think maybe the Dodgers should be a sponsor for Lexipro.
I also am really strongly committed to the belief that the pitchers we picked up in the off-season were competent pitchers and that Grady Little's misuse of the bullpen created a trickle down effect that caused both psychological and mechanical problems. I still have no logical explanation for his abnegation of the spot lefty. He has rarely, if ever, used it all opting instead to use his lefties in righty type situations. Also, I do think that one of his fatal character flaws is his fear of going out to the mound due to the Donnie Moore/Bill Bucknerish nature of his destruction in game 7/ALCS. Not to excuse the pitching performances but this has been a big contributing factor to the staffs continued problems.
The last thing I'd say is that Little has been perfect, but I think mainly the problem is that the starters get pounded half the time.
You guys can rag on me later, but I think Baez will turn things around.
No, he will never be Eric Gagne, but I think he will give us a better performance before all is said and done.
WHO will be available in the free agent market, that is what I want to know. We have some rookies priced below their worth the next few years, we need to take advantage of this situation and sign some good players. I just hope there are guys out there, especially arms.
And the angel fans are giddy over their 7 games under team?
But in all honesty, he has to be a contender for Manager of the year in the NL for keeping this ship afloat with the decimating injuries we've had.
All eyes are now on Ned, I suspect. But is there really any motivation for him to do anything more than get "enough" to win the west?
vr, Xei
What does the Dodger GM, Ned, need to do to make this team an A level squad?
Thank God Ned was able to coax Furcal, Tomko, Alomar, Mueller, Martinez, etc. to hop on board the Dodger train.
That seems weird to say in light of his recent history but, man, was he fun to watch at the plate.
If this were New York, which has a savage press power, any recalcitrance on the part of the PR guy (my apologies Mr. Rawitch) would be met with a loud boot to the posterior and out onto Fordham road or Steinway. There is none of that pressure in sunny LA
vr, Xei
Have we all become Goody Two-Shoes? ;)
"Man, that poster is so eloquent and has been hesitant to post here. How am I ever going to post?"
So I say, for one post, on an off-day, Lurkers Unite.
"My name is Bonnie and I'm a Lurker and a DT addict"
Unlurker Day!
njr and El Dios Azul, welcome and bienvenidos. No more shyness, please.
I think a higher percentage of commenters here were DePo supporters because there were few other places for them to go without being attacked in ways more vicious than I would ever allow here.
Conversely, there are plenty of places for Ned supporters to go, so it seems like there are fewer of them here.
Beyond that, I think most people here look at the moves both GMs have made and like some and dislike others. The idea that we will defend one transaction to the death because of who made it is, as was implied in 44 and 46, is completely false. Example: Do you not see the many people criticizing Odalis who by and large liked DePodesta?
To which I reply:
Where's the problem? Heck, I rely on the fact someone is going to make a better case than me. Then, I take the information I get from this site and sound smart to my friends.
My secret? I don't do research. It's tiring, sometimes confusing and gets in the way of my snack and snooze time. So, I contribute by bizarre obsessions with fringe first basemen with the aural power to change the fate of a team by his mere presence (this player really, really, REALLY needs no introduction).
Seriously, welcome aboard. If your first post is any indication, my role as resident nutcase is secure in the DT firmament while you'll have plenty of company in the house of reason. Just know that the crazies on the DT board (there are a few) get stared at more at the DT outings. It's a nice little perk.
Whether those kids pan out or not, they all had value beyond what the Dodgers received in return. Baez blew eight saves last year, Carter is a marginal middle reliever (now in AAA), Hall is a career backup, and Hendrickson is a below league average pitcher (this year's anomaly not withstanding).
I don't think Colletti got blown out of the water in any of those trades, and I don't think the anger is justified for this most recent trade, I just don't think it's a good sign of things to come.
Ethier is doing very well in his rookie year. Remember Repko? So many ragged on him after (and during) his first season.
I say that you will not know what he has until he plays a few seasons. Do the Dodgers have the patience to see if he is an above average hitter?
for 3 pieces of GARBAGE in Jackson, Navarro, and Tiffany any day of the week.
76--
I miss him too. I remember the first time I was at DS and the whole stadium started chanting "HEE SOP CHOI". I thought perhaps all would be right in the world. If he really turns out to be a bust (by talent or by circumstance) it will be a sad day for many on this board.
You bring up a good point though-- maybe the way to get involved is to pick an obsession and post about it all the time.
How about DodgerThoughts for GM? (Think Greek Chorus with Jon as the leader).
This posting thing is addictive...
I guess that would make me the Bill of the ball.
That's cool. Of course, days without Scooter news would be most days. Luckily, the Dodgers are off no more than one day a week.
Where's the problem? Heck, I rely on the fact someone is going to make a better case than me.
Thanks, njr and SB. SB is right. This is the first step to wisdom.
If I may, I'd like to share two pieces of advice that I received that have stuck with me, the first in grad school, the second from a colleague several years ago:
1. It is always better to try to open a debate than to try to finish one. The first gets you cited as a creative thinker; the second as a deluded egomaniac (if at all).
2. Truth is a direction, not a destination. Don't ever make the mistake of thinking you've arrived there. At best, you're on the right path.
76 So do I get any attribution when I do my exhaustive research?
I agree with Jon, that you will find that some here are really into the minor league folks and Baseball Prospectus, Baseball America, Bill James, etc., and from my review of "The Best of Dodger Thoughts", which is still available and makes a fine book to take on outings to the beach or stadium, this is a forum to discuss those viewpoints.
Without researching, I am guessing that the day the music died (Depo fired) was among the darkest on this site but we have recoverd and now we have a lot to look forward to as the second half approaches.
So welcome aboard lurkers and feel free to dip your toes in the water.
Just don't try to pretend to know more about our minor leaguers or Nate will come after you, ha ha.
Your life will never be the same. When I came across DT I had a great job, a great wife, great kids and now I've lost my job, my wife, my kids and I use all my unemployment money to keep my high speed connection going instead of paying rent in the cesspool of a rental that I'm now confined. Lays are now my only source of food. Beware this DT, BEWARE
I'm sure that Jim Colburn would have been more helpful. Also, wasn't Honeycutt one of those <100 pitch count pitchers?
His upside could be...Trot Nixon?
Ethier is hard to pin, since his best seasons have come when he's a bit old for the league (MVP of AA as a 23 year old, .825 OPS as a 22 year old in high A).
Virgin DT poster: Yes, sir.
Longtime DT poster: Are you listening?
Virgin DT poster: Yes, I am.
Longtime DT poster: Peripherals.
I have a lot of conversations about baseball with one particular guy at work -- a Cubs fan. I think it would be fair to say that this guy buys into a lot of the old-school thinking... for example, when he wants to support an argument that a player is making a valuable offensive contribution, he cites RBI.
The main difference between us, though, is that I tend to see front-office maanagement for what it can be, where he sees it for what it is. When I criticized the Navarro deal -- and believe me, I used much more forceful language than it deserved -- he said, "You're going into Bizarro mode." By that he meant: if a better deal for Navarro existed, Ned would have got it. GMs do not make trades they don't need to make.
If I was feeling uncharitable, I would say that he was making the "it's-easy-to-GM-from-your-couch" argument (which I think is a bad argument). More charitably, he has a point, of course -- we don't know everything that goes on behind the scenes.
But all that said, I just have to believe that things can be better, that there is an optimal way to construct a team. Nobody's going to be perfect, of course, but ya gotta try. If you're constantly resigned to feeling "Well, I guess that's the best they could do," before long, you're OK with giving your young pitchers to Dusty Baker. Nobody should have to live with that.
Here's why I love DT: it helps me with that hope. Also, it gives me fantastic arguments I can use to shove in that guy's face.
As much as I think I know you all, who is it that always posts their delicious sounding dinner menu? Howard? LAT?
Anyway, that reminds me of one of the more useful facts I've learned here at DT. Asparagus makes your urine smell, but only if you have the gene that allows you to smell it. I've amazed my friends with that trivia!
I'll leave you with my opinion of the trade. Bleh, at least at the end of the day, even if we DFA Hall, we didn't give up Liriano and Nathan for him. And at least the Giants did and we don't have to face him several times a year.
Help me out and top that quickly!
bluetahoe, I only rarely agree with your points, but I dig your optimism. I really love this team, too -- they're fun to watch, even when they lose.
Keep it up. Don't let anybody grind ya down (not that I think anybody is grinding you down, or that you would let anybody do that).
Btw, I asked this on the previous thread but it was the equivalent of waking up and saying something profound in a meeting after everyone had gone home for the day.
Actually this isn't profound at all, but just a question: Will Scott Elbert be promoted to Jax soon? Does anyone see a chance he could get promoted when rosters expand this year, or more likely next year?
Meanwhile, sort of like Jon, I'm retreating into my own world today with the Dodgers off, and thus not likely to lose to the Twins, and hope that I, and they, recharge batteries in time for the Angels.
Good post, HK. This is the essence of the "you don't know - you're not in the room" argument, and it contains a fallacy. Certainly Colletti knows more about the players, the market, and the pressures from the owner than we do. But that doesn't mean that he uses that information well. It also doesn't mean the opposite.
To conclude that this was the best he could get for Navarro, or else he (with all the info) would have done better, is to grant that he and we agree on the measure of quality. And even then, "best" might not be better than no deal at all.
Or, it might be the case that Colletti is a DePo clone, KNOWS full well that he didn't just improve the team or the organization (insofar as Navarro was in AAA), but was under tremendous pressure from the owner to DO SOMETHING, and should be considered a hero for at least doing no serious harm - maybe now he can hold onto the real prospects a little longer.
We, of course, don't know the circumstances. We DO know the players involved in this deal, and some think that it was pointless at best, wasteful (of Navarro, who might eventually have brought more) at worst. We don't need to know WHY Colletti did it to make that evaluation. The speculation begins when we ask why. Does he think he improved the team? Was he making a deal just to make a deal? Is he Sabean-lite, desperate to increase the average age of the team? Or was he using misdirection to quiet McCourt/Plaschke types? Who knows? It's fun to guess, but we don't know his motives.
But as any prosecutor will tell you, while motive is helpful to know, you don't need to prove motive to convict.
If today, Lurkers Unite, then I must get in on the action. I'm a DT addict for sure. I hope commenting doesn't become too addictive for me or I'll never get anything done at work...
Talk to you soon...
Plus, he is a football guy. He has a daily football fix even in the offseason.
Maybe, I'm a bit biased beacuse in my life, it goes the Dodgers, then all college football, followed by any other kind of football and then the rest of baseball.
The other problem with that argument is that in the end it means we have nothing to talk about.
Just as Ned has limited amounts of information, so do we, and we still should do the best with what we have. And I do think that this trade wasn't all that great in terms of the actual value of the players. It may still be understandable from Ned's perspective in a trade market so thin on decent starting pitching, but the statistical value of the players, their contract situation, etc., should count for something...
WWSH
http://tinyurl.com/q7mo7
Another sign of that -- and this is completely OT -- Dan Neil. I don't know anything about cars, but that guy is a great writer.
The other problem with that argument is that it seems to suggest that every would make the exact same decisions, given the same information. That's clearly not true. It's not only possible, but likely that there is variation between GMs in the types of players they're interested in, such that a given GM would likely accept a different set of players in return for trading a given set of players.
And just to be fair, I thought Depo should have gotten more in exchange for Dave Roberts than Henri Stanley. I didn't for one moment think that Stanley was "the best" deal Depo could make. Nor do I think "nothing" was the best that Ned could have gotten in return for Choi and/or Ross. I mean, even Dave Ross fetched a cool 75 large...
That said, they should have gotten more for him.
To all you lurkers, I know I've posted plenty that wasn't worth much. I enjoy the "Info" that goes around, and sometimes enjoy the sort of community-of-Dodger-Fan-ness of it, but to me it's the quality of posts and the sort of Jazz-like riffs that develop that make me just go: "wow" -- that and I just laugh alot.
99 and 107 - as to Colletti and the trade, it is easy to make snap judgements (I'm as guilty as anyone of that) and that's why I asked "could someone actually be after ALomar?", because sometimes GMs make moves towards some other end without ever achieving the end.
We can move on to the Carter trade if you'd prefer...
I'm just glad that he pitched yesterday so I don't have to worry about facing Jered Weaver this year.
You don't really have to worry about facing anyone.
Search the archives.
PS: You should also acknowledge that some people evaluate the "goodness" or "badness" of trades based on "outcomes," and some people base the evaluations on "information available at the time of the trade."
Either way, you are correct and I stand corrected.
I haven't tried to make pizza yet, but I'm not going to start today since it's about 3000 degrees outside and the last thing I want to do is turn on the oven.
And Mr. Linkmeister, I'd borrow something from the food section if there was something worth borrowing :). The Times food section has to be one of the weakest in the country.
Stands beside us, and guides us,
Thru the night with a light from above.
vr, Xei
One tidbit:
If you think the first half of the season was hard to predict, just wait for the second half. That's because most rookies have never played a six-month season. Not only will young players face the physical challenge of a longer season, but also some will feel the pressure of a major league pennant race. "To be able to survive takes the right balance of young players and veterans, especially as you get closer to October," Indians G.M. Mark Shapiro says. "The Dodgers have veterans, guys like Kenny Lofton, Jeff Kent and Nomar Garciaparra, who can take some of that pressure off the young players."
Freddy - .363
Nomar - .362
This total non-sequitur brought to you by the Baltimore Opera Hat Company
145 I saw the a bit of 3 Men and a Baby last night starring Mr. Danson and I noted two things, that movie really does not work (did it ever) now and it hard to separate Sam Malone from Ted Danson, I always thought Becker was just a more bitter Sam Malone.
Was that good old Marvin weighing in on the Navarro trade?
Has anyone heard any more news about Gammons?
In other news, I just found out that I'm moving offices. I get to leave the closet that I'm currently in and go to another closet. Joy.
I had an experience last night that perhaps only another DT reader might appreciate. Of all things, I actually met Nancy Bea Heffley. She was the "mystery guest" at the "What's My Line" show at the Acme on LaBrea. It took panelist Kitty Felde (formerly of KPCC) about two minutes to figure out who she was (and the panelists were wearing blindfolds).
Anyhow, after the show I made a point of introducing myself to Mrs. Heffley, who was there with her husband. And of course, I told her exactly what any other DT reader would have said: "Your're part of what I love about Dodger Stadium, and it's a shame that you don't get to play as much as in the old days, and most importantly, don't let the McCourts drive you away!" Or words to that effect.
She was very gracious and told me she gets along well with Frank and Jamie. She also told me two interesting things: first, that what she plays is on a two second tape delay, so she has to use headphones to hear it (that must really make it hard to avoid mistakes), and second that she also listens to Vinnie on the headphones and that often he will mention a song on the air as a cue to her to play it. I doubt this happens that often any more, but it was a nice story.
I don't mean to revive that argument from a few years ago about recorded music versus the organ at DS, but I thought I would share this encounter with probably the only other people in the world who would (I hope) find it interesting.
All you guys are so great to read, and you kept my spirits up even during a dreadful series like the last one, thanks to you all.
It's a nice moment for me when before a game I'll stop talking long enough to listen to her play something on point for the day's game. "Oh -- it's -----" I'll say, to no one in particular, who won't care.
I know, now I've made him blush. Shame on me.
That and Jeff Kent.
Plus, if you hadn't learned how to respond well to pressure, you probably wouldn't have made it all the way to the majors in the first place.
I don't know how far I want to go in my takedown of Kitty Felde. I didn't like her, so I didn't listen to her.
Actually, speaking of chemistry, Verducci's next paragraph was this: One NL G.M., however, says youth will be especially important this season, the first in which amphetamines have been banned in the big leagues. "I expect if there is an effect with amphetamines out of the game, it will show up in the second half," he says. "And the players who will have more trouble keeping their bodies ready to play are the older players."
Another Dodger related snippet from same article: "At this stage of a player's career it's about making adjustments, and Matt's been making them," Colletti says of Kemp, who at week's end was hitting .324. "Young players often succeed at first because of adrenaline and the newness of it all. But as Grady says, at this level the games do come fast. And advance scouts are very good at what they do. You learn quickly what scouts think can be exploited in your game.
"So soon after that initial rush the great unknown about a player is, Can he adjust? Matt looks like he's here to stay."
oldwhatshisname would have been envious of Jon's fast response. :)
Greg Miller article that came out today.
156 and earlier posts. I saw the bad posts, and this is what happened:
The Wolf: You must be Steve, which would make you GregBrock. Let's get down to brass tacks, gentlemen. If I was informed correctly, the clock is ticking, is that right, Jon?
Jon: Uh, one hundred percent.
The Wolf: Your wife... Bonnie comes home at 9:30 in the AM, is that right?
Jon: Uh-huh.
The Wolf: I was led to believe that if she comes home and finds us here, she'd wouldn't appreciate it none too much?
Jon: [laughing] She wouldn't at that.
The Wolf: That gives us exactly... forty minutes to get the f&&& out of Dodge. Which, if you do what I say when I say it, should be plenty. Now, you've got a corpse in a car, minus a head, in a garage. Take me to it.
But surely there's room for more than one food poster here at welcoming Dodger Thoughts?
We need a theme song, along the lines of "Green Acres:"
Dodger Thoughts is the place to be...
Bad language, we don't like to see.
Yikes. I didn't realize how badly the 51s week was - as bad as the Dodgers'. They were smoked by Tacoma, and one-hit in the last game. At least Miller pitched well in the one inning in the middle game.
My computer's great, but oh, Chavez Ravine!
"Blog spreadin' out so far and wide
Keep Anaheim, just give me the Dodgers' side."
In the picture with that article, Greg Miller has a bit of a Sad Opie look to him, doesn't he?
We should start a "separated at birth" thread in this blog at some point.
1) Cesar Izturis and Wayne Brady.
He is only 21 yrs old, doesn't turn 22 until November so he has plenty of time on his side. His stuff is just wayyy to good to waste in the bullpen.
Ive seen this for awhile but Greg Miller has the best stuff out of any pitcher in our system.
oops, I've said this
But who is? Who is? [trailing off wistfully]
Dioner "I'm worth more then a pitcher who has been one of the worst starting pitchers in MLB baseball from 2004-2005" Navarro.
I'm Superfly TNT...I'm the Guns of the Navarone.
BTW any word on Orenduff, injury reports are pretty sketchy from AA.
good point, although I just can't let someone call Navarro trash and let them get away with it.
He's been out with a sore elbow the past like 5 weeks. I think they are trying to rehab it before shutting him down entirely for a Jobe speciality. Kinda sucks because I bet he would have gotten a spot start sometime this year and Oldbear can go crazy for him.
118
every few hours or so...
No clue, haven't heard anything. Maybe by this weekend.
Now we need musicians and GarageBand, and we can make an .mp3. We'll be the hit of the Toaster!
I was going to make a really obscure 80s music reference to his last name - "Wouldn't it be good to be on your side? I got it bad, you don't know how bad I got it" - but wasn't sure it'd be worth it.
I was hoping the smily emoticon would ensure everyone knew I was kidding. That's why the internet invented them. Though, I have a friend who goes ballistic everytime someone uses an emoticon. Good writers don't need them, blah blah blah. So I make sure to end every sentence with one when I e-mail him :-)
And often it something does not work out to the degree you thought it would, when you try to rationalize it, the logic seems lacking.
Let's take poker for example, by now if you have seen it on tv or played yourself (No Limit Hold em), you probably have a fair idea of what a good starting hand looks like. Last week I was playing a 1-2 NL cash game in Vegas and a guy lost a hand when a pair of nines flopped up on the board and his two pair lost to three nines. But the guy who had the three nines only had a 9/2 in his starting hand. He had stayed with that hand before the flop, even calling a $10 raise. The guy who lost was incredulous, he kept asking the guy what made him call his raise, etc. My point is that whatever answer he got, he wasn't going to accept it as making any sense.
Now lets bring this back to baseball, Joe Sheehan, a Baseball Prospectus author and someone who a lot of people here would agree with (for instance he thinks the D-Rays were the winner in the latest trade), said in the same chat that he does not know what has happened to HSC except perhaps that he was ruined by the clubs he played for by their mismanagement.
There are at least two ways to argue this point (which I will do tomorrow at the Petco event). One is that he never played for a team or manager who appreciated his skill set or two, maybe the skills that folks that BP value do not represent everything that you need to be a MLB player.
Anyways love the forum
C - Russ Martin
1B - James Loney
2B - Willie Aybar
SS- Wilson Valdez
3B - Andy LaRoche
LF - Joel Guzman
CF - Matt Kemp (or Ethier)
RF - Andre Ethier (or D. Young)
SP - Chad Billingsley
RP - Jonathan Broxton
No Kendrick or Weaver but this team would have probably would have sent a fair share of these guys to the Futures game or AAA All Star game.
If I win it, look for another Griddle contest. Or I may give it to the person who finishes last in the World Cup contest.
An org can only send 2 players to the Futures game but you're right about the all star game considering the AA suns are sending 9 to the Southern League all star team with 3 more that made it but have been promoted.
that's over, what, like 3/4 of a season?
Its bizarre until you look at who was available/ready at AAA/AA last year compared to this year. Then, it makes sense.
http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/news/story?id=2504783
http://popsugar.com/8434?sidcheck=1&idcheck=1
I'll be watching the Rockies tomorrow night at Safeco.
I know who I will be rooting for.
FOUR WAY TIE! FOUR WAY TIE!
sigh...
Off to play soccer - night everyone!
Some things are bigger than winning and losing.
IT'S A CHANCE FOR A FOUR WAY TIE!
Jon Miller: ...and that's the last out. This is very unusual, Joe -- both the Giants and the Padres managed to lose this one.
Joe Morgan: Well, Jon, neither team deserved to win this game. Neither team did the little things you need to do to win, and so, neither deserved to win. Both these teams played to lose, so neither won.
Jon Miller: But Joe -- baseball is a zero-sum game! Surely somebody had to win.
Joe Morgan: You cannot call either of these teams winners, because neither of them played to win.
Jon Miller: [pops cyanide pill]
They never say that but I am guessing that has something to do with it.
Looks like the Pillsbury Doe Girl.
I still wonder why pitchers throw out of the stretch when there are runners on 3rd, 1st/2nd, or 2nd/3rd. I think the chances of steals in that situation are low, so why not wind up and just try to get the batter out the best you can.
BTW - This is Morris' second start, still no Kershaw outing.
A lot pitchers lose something in the stretch. Also, if you are comfortable in your wind-up and getting guys out(meaning you are always pitching in a wind-up), it often takes awhile to get a grove in the stretch.
242 JoeyP S-a-y What? (think Jim Healy)
a Sign Language knowledgable gorilla is better then Monday.
right now, I don't really care about hits or runs allowed for Morris. K's and bbs are what he should be focusing on.
What about HR?
Maybe this will bust him out of his slump.
I love the play-by-play guy! After Herndon gives up the HR to Van Slyke, he says, "Welcome to the Pioneer League."
Not really too worried about homeruns with a curveball pitcher in a pretty big hitters league like the pioneer league. Mosr of those stadiums are in very high altitudes.
Martin C
Just like Grady's lineup.
Andy was pretty fast, IIRC.
What do you know about Jonathan Dutton LHP drafted in 2005, he's now 2-0, 11 IP, 13 H+BB, 12 K.
I guess that first inning brought up Morris's pitch count so he could only throw 2 innings today.
Dutton was drafted in the 2005 draft late, out of a HS in san diego. I honestly didn't realize we signed him until he showed up on the GCL roster this summer. He is only 18 and left handed which means he is a sleeper and someone we should keep an eye on. I don't know much about his stuff yet though. But he is listed at 160lbs or something so he obviously needs to get bigger and stronger.
13th round Steven Johnson
14th round Scott Van Slyke
I'm sure Nate (among others) is hoping for similar results with Akins and White also being drafted 13th and 14th respectively.
268 Had a K but a wild pitch awarded first base to the first hitter of the game.
first inning he struck out the first batter but he reached base because the ball got by the catcher.
yes very much so. White is looking for 1 mil though so I think we have a better shot at signing local kid Akins then White. But I would love to have both. And D'alessio. I want him too.
I think he has some projection left in him since he only weighs 160lbs.
D'alessio sounds like he wants at least 3rd round money, so we will see, the next signee will probably the first baseman from Canada.
I missed the fireworks, of course. Very funny presentation for the unexpecting -- Marty's talking smack about being the number one food commenter, than someone else says "oh my" and then someone remarks on landing in the middle of a shooting war, and I'm thinking, "I think Marty was kidding people . . ."
Anyhow, all the good DT vibe has me ramped up for the All-Star break pledge drive -- People get ready, there's a (low pressure, only if you can, feel no obligation) fundraising train a coming . . . .
SDSU Pitching Coach Rusty Filter: "John is a talented left-handed hurler who was one of Rancho Bernardo's top pitchers on a senior-dominated staff. Even though he went 8-1 as a junior, he kind of escaped a lot of attention. We look for him to develop physically, and as he does he could become a dominant pitcher at the collegiate level. Also, he has the confidence of having played in one of the top programs in the country under Sam Blalock."
good (anything positive)
Martin 0.4
Ethier 5.0 (really good)
Nomar 3.3
bad (anything negative)
Drew -3.3
lofton -3.4
furcal -6.6
mueller -2.6
kent -1.5
http://tinyurl.com/kqjjt
He's got an OPS of .853 as a rookie, versus JD Drew's .846. His BA has been there consistently, although his power has faded (.373 SLG in June). Maybe it's just not a good month; Jeff Kent had a .189/.310/.244 line in April, and he's been playing since Ethier was 10 (to the day if you want some really freaky trivia). But if hitting .317 is having a bad month, then this guy's a future first ballot hall-of-famer! Is it the 5 GDP's (Nomar and Lofton are tied for the team lead with 8)? Kemp does only have 1.
Kemp reminds me a bit of Repko in as much as he's too raw. His fielding needs a little refinement, and he needs more plate discipline, a lot more. He's got more power, which gives him a nice OPS of .894.
The point is that Ethier and Kemp have room to improve, and they both will. Whether Ethier will be a home run machine is still hard to say, and he's not speedy on the bases like Kemp, but there's still room for improvement.
http://tinyurl.com/ncsax
C - Victor Martinez (CLE)
1B - Paul Konerko (CHW)
2B - Luis Castillo (MIN)
3B - Miguel Cabrera (FLA)
SS - Angel Berroa (KC)
CF - Gary Matthews, Jr (TEX)
LF - Preston Wilson (HOU)
RF - Jeromy Burnitz (PIT)
and the Theoretical Gold Gloves
C - Ramon Hernandez (BAL)
1B - Chris Shelton (DET)
2B - Placido Polanco (DET)
3B - Mike Lowell (BOS)
SS - Adam Everett (HOU)
CF - Carlos Beltran (NYM)
LF - Ryan Langerhans (ATL)
RF - Brad Hawpe (COL)
"We hope that by making a series of starts down there, he can regain his consistency," manager Jim Tracy said. "We hope he can relax and have the opportunity to think through a lot of the things that we've been working on with him."
There's your problem.
I agree. I was about to say that. That turf in minny is brutal.
He walks more than Ethier.
He sees more pitches per at bat than Ethier.
He hits for more power than Ethier.
He hits the ball in the air more than Ethier.
I just think there's still a biasness in baseball against 3TO hitters. Power guys strike out. They always have. I dont think Kemp is going to change that.
Kemp/Repko have athleticism in common, but I dont see much else. Repko was 24 when he came up and was for the most part brutal. Kemp's been great so far.
I think considering their ages, Kemp has alot more room for improvement than Ethier/Repko.
Talked about this last nite, but I dont see the difference between Ethier and Cody Ross. I doubt either is anything more than a 4th OF'er at this point, with Cody getting a slight edge bc he can play CF. I'll be surprised if Ethier hits .300 all year. If he played CF, he'd have a lot bright future I think (talking about Ethier). Maybe they can convert him?
bias is bias is bias :-)
11 HR, .233/.298/.384
Player 2 - 1997 (rookie year)
26 HR, .248/.315/.499
Which would you rather have?
would you trade Chris Capuano in the final year of his contract along with Jim Edmonds at $29 (so neither are keepers) for Kemp at $1 through 2008 and JtD at $4 through 2008?
Fiction/Nonfiction, doesn't matter.
The Great American Novel -- Philip Roth (my favorite baseball book ever)
The Natural -- Bernard Malamud (Avoid the movie at all costs)
Non-Fiction
Ball Four -- Jim Bouton (my first awareness of greenies)
Best of Dodger Thoughts -- J. Weisman (can't sing, can't act, can write a little)
288, meet Brad Ausmus.
298 -
Fiction:
Sidd Finch, by Plimpton
Underworld, Don DeLillo
Non-Fiction:
The Worst Team Money Could Buy, Bob Klapisch
Juiced, Jose Canseco ;)
Dray fans called Hendrickson "Lurch" and Hall "Tubby" after teletubbies.
We need our own!
1. The Baseball Reader: Favorites from the Fireside Book of Baseball (1983) (Transcript of Vinny's call of the 9th inning of Koufax's perfect game, among other great reads, Mike Royko's piece on why he hates New York is classic)
2. Eight Men Out, Eliot Asinof (More reporting than story telling but goes into the details of why those players acted the way they did)
3. The Glory of Their Times, Lawrence Ritter (Just some great stories about the beginning of baseball)
Greg Miller gave up 2 runs and 3 hits, the first 3 batters got singles on the first 8 pitches thrown that inning, he then got a strike out and two ground outs. 24 pitches and only 12 strikes in one inning of work.
Does Kemp get the ball in the air more? He has a 1.25 GO/AO vs Ethier's .97.
Ethier's not gonna be a big power guy probably, but I think he'll at least hit for average and give you a .800 OPS.
It's weird to argue these two, though. But we're just an injury away from not having to argue.
306 - Nate, you could confuse Padre fans everywhere by calling Hendrickson "Gwynne"!
307 - either Danys Baez or Bronson Arroyo. Nothing in between.
307 - 4.12 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 7-7. I think he'll regress a bit, but DS is more of a pitcher's park and he won't be pitching on that turf (if it's anything like Minny's, it's gotta be rough on fielders).
298 - Moneyball. =P
I'm not Marty or bonnie or LAT or whoever... But it was darn good. :)
Saturday, I'll be at Napa Rose, a restaurant at the Disney California Hotel that is really good. It's a friend of mine's 50th birthday party.
First, he will face the angels. Not a huge threat.
Then the Giants, and depending on if he starts the first or second game after the all star game, he'll start one or two games against the cardinals, he will also face the Padres, or Nationals soon.
If he starts the first game, he will only face the cards once.
If the starts the second, he'll face them twice.
So obviously, let's hope he only starts one against the cards.
Did you ever ask her if she knows the Koppen family. Lisa, Lynn or Teri? (Teri is my wife)
http://tinyurl.com/lp3ss
I get my data from ESPN.
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/players/stats?playerId=6481- Ethier.
It shows Ethier at 1.42 G/F.
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/players/stats?playerId=28476
It shows Kemp at 1.09 G/F.
I'm pretty sure Kemp hits the ball in the air more often (when he hits the ball), than Ethier does.
Ethier actually hits the ball in the air more than Kemp does, if we factor in strikeouts:
This is from ESPN so its not up to date:
Kemp- 76ABs FB- 28.9% GB-31.6% Ks: 39.5%
GIDP-1.3%
Ethier-108Abs FB-30.6%, GB-43.5% Ks: 25.9% GIDP:4.6%
Martin-130Abs FB-26.9% GB-56.2% Ks: 16.9% GIDP:4.6%
Either Martin is extemely fast or extemely lucky. I cant believe Ethier/Martin have the same GIDP rate, when Martin hits the ball on the ground alot more.
After looking at these lineups, its definitely possible that Ethier hits for a higher average than Kemp. I'd even say its probable. He hits a higher percentage/ab of balls in the air. I didnt realize that before. However, I think Kemp will have the higher OBP bc he walks more, and probably will hit for more power, as he doesnt hit the ball on the ground as much.
I still believe Martin is in for a large regression. But Ethier's surprised me. He's done a better job than I've realized.
VANSTON, Ill. -- Northwestern University football coach Randy Walker died of an apparent heart attack Thursday night. He was 52.
Walker died after feeling chest pains around 10 p.m. at his suburban Chicago home, said Mike Wolf, the school's assistant athletic director for media services.
"This is a devastating loss, not only for our athletic program, but for the entire Northwestern community," athletic director Mark Murphy said in a statement early Friday. "Randy truly embraced Northwestern and its mission, and cared deeply for his student-athletes, both on and off the field."
Walker was the first Northwestern coach to lead the school to three bowl games. The Wildcats lost to UCLA 50-38 in the Sun Bowl last December.
In October 2004, Walker checked himself into a hospital after experiencing chest pains. He was diagnosed with myocarditis, an inflammation of the heart muscle; the condition is not a common ailment, and is usually caused by a virus.
And then something that I have thought about for a while, the possibility of Jeff Weaver possilbly coming back to the Dodgers?
If the Angels are going to release him or give him away I'd definitely do it. Odalis + $10 million cash for Weaver?
By Bill Shaikin
Times Staff Writer
The Angels might send Weaver to the bullpen or release him if they cannot trade him. The Dodgers are looking for another pitcher.
... He signed a one-year deal with the Angels instead, but he has not pitched well and they have not played well. The Angels would like to make room in their starting rotation for his younger brother, Jered.
Jeff Weaver is making $8.3 million this season, but the Angels already have paid half and might pay some of the remaining half in a trade. If they release him and he signs with another team, the Angels would be responsible for all but a prorated part of the $327,000 minimum salary.
"The plan was this: Avoid the high-end free agents when possible, because of their cost not just in big-league payroll, but in compensatory draft picks. When the Dodgers courted Vladimir Guerrero after the 2003 season, for instance, he had not been offered arbitration by the Montreal Expos, and therefore was not subject to those compensation rules."
And this: Just pick the best player. Although the draft swung toward college players, and still leans toward them, the Dodgers have fairly consistently selected high school players. Of their current top 10 prospects, five (Billingsley, Broxton, Scott Elbert, Blake DeWitt, Kemp) were drafted out of high school, two (Andy LaRoche, Martin) out of junior college and three (Guzman, Tony Abreu, Chin-Lung Hu) were foreign-born, undrafted free agents. In the 2006 draft, the Dodgers, in the seventh spot, took the first prep player left-hander Clayton Kershaw, from Dallas.
Through his research, White came to believe the "Moneyball" system had devalued the high school player, leaving better prep players available later in the draft. Because the Dodgers generally picked middle to late in the first round, he said, "For a good college guy to get to us at 24 or so, somebody's going to have to make a mistake."
White also found that although exceptional high school players those who become everyday major leaguers and All-Stars generally take longer to reach the major leagues than college players, the difference was less than he thought: half a year to a year.
He asked his area scouts to be especially aware of a player's competitive makeup, then trusted the scouts' judgments. In the 2003 draft, the Dodgers believed Kemp, who split his time between baseball and basketball at Midwest City High in Oklahoma, probably could be had in the 12th round or later, but selected him in the sixth.
"Logan loved the kid," Evans said, "and he relied on the area scout."
http://tinyurl.com/rvmcd
Even with the signings of Lowe, Kent, Drew, Furcal, and Mueller, the Dodgers have only lost one first round pick in 2005 (as well as their supplemental when Hochevar did not sign).
http://tinyurl.com/ha3bx
Wait for the Angels to DFA Weaver.
Pick-up Weaver for the league minimum.
DFA Oh-Dallas.
All works out in the wash.
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