Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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TV and more ...
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Dodgers general manager Ned Colletti said Monday that with the July 31 non-waiver trading deadline looming, he has yet to find an available player that would justify giving up one of the club's many celebrated prospects.
"But that said, we're still two weeks away," Colletti said.
Colletti acknowledged the possibility that the deadline could pass without the Dodgers making another significant move to follow their June 27 trade with Tampa Bay, when they acquired left-hander Mark Hendrickson and catcher Toby Hall.
"I'm not inclined to trade away players who I believe can have a strong impact on this franchise in 2007, 2008 and 2009 for a player who isn't going to make a significant difference for us over those last two months and isn't going to be of value to us next year," Colletti said.
"So far, I can't say there is one player out there that I feel is a significant upgrade versus the cost of whatever prospects would be going (in return)."
- Tony Jackson, Daily News
* * *
If Jeff Kent has to go on the disabled list, a growing possibility according to Ken Gurnick of MLB.com, who would join the Dodgers?
It could be Jason Repko, whom Dodger manager Grady Little really misses, but Repko is only one hit into his rehabilitation assignment at Las Vegas (in 13 at-bats) and did not play Monday. Further, that move would still leave the Dodgers thin in the infield. If another outfielder doesn't hurt himself soon, Repko will probably either replace Jose Cruz, Jr. or Sandy Alomar on the roster.
Some fans will also clamor for the power potential of Andy LaRoche or Joel Guzman, but the labrum-impaired LaRoche hasn't been hitting much since his hot start in AAA (OPS down to .834) and has been stuck on three home runs, while Guzman's OPS is down to .769.
James Loney, of course, is on fire - his numbers high and getting higher (1.009 OPS) - but he plays first base and left field.
So the most logical choice to replace Kent would be Willy Aybar (.921 OPS), who seems to have at least regained his AAA hitting stroke (10 for his last 22 with two walks) and who has had good major league experience in the infield outside of his June slump.
* * *
The Dodgers are 14-23 (.378) in their past 37 games and have five home runs in 493 July at-bats. If you want a silver lining, it is that their on-base percentage this month (.347) has had almost no negative impact on their season average (.353).
* * *
Update: The Value of Confusion
Kevin Roderick of L.A. Observed quoted former Times science writer K.C. Cole at length this morning about how newspapers and magazines cover science. There was one paragraph that I felt could apply to those of us interested in baseball:
In science, feeling confused is essential to progress. An unwillingness to feel lost, in fact, can stop creativity dead in its tracks. A mathematician once told me he thought this was the reason young mathematicians make the big discoveries. Math can be hard, he said, even for the biggest brains around. Mathematicians may spend hours just trying to figure out a line of equations. All the while, they feel dumb and inadequate. Then one day, these young mathematicians become established, become professors, acquire secretaries and offices. They don't want to feel stupid anymore. And they stop doing great work.
To paraphrase Galaxy Quest, "Never get too smart, never surrender."
For fun, here's a list of how many runs each NL West team scores per hit, on average, and their NL rank:
SD - .5006 (16)
AZ - .5290 (8)
LA - .5306 (7)
COL - .5139 (13)
SF - .5380 (5)
2b - Cesar
3b - Nomar
ss - Furcal
Just thinking out loud.
3 I'd love Blake even though I never heard of the guy before your post. But he plays rf. So...
1b - Loney
2b - Daniella's father or Aybar
3b - Nomah
ss - Furcal
lf - Ethier
cf - Drew
rf - Blake
c - Martin
And then Kent comes back and we can start this all over again. The point is, Blake gives us even more flexibility. I love the guys that can play more than one position; Blake, Kent (probably), Nomah...
(sigh)
Not easy being a GM. I'm going to the beach.
I like bringing on Blake or someone similar more than bringing Loney up but this is my cue to say what-the-heck-do-I-know while mourning the current five game slide.
"Mommy, I can say Nomar Garciaparra."
This team needs major offensive help if we're going to win this division.
10 That's the best kind, IMO. Mainly because it's the kind I'm best at.
The Dodgers seem likely to overindulge the idea that the NL West is "up for grabs." It probably is, but the better course is to make moves or non-moves that can firm up the foundation for 2007 and beyond, with present improvement a modest goal, at most.
San Diego appears as good or better than the Dodgers at handling a stretch "run" (or stagger) because it has the veteran closer and more overall solidty. Further, San Diego is rapidly building for a promising 2007 and beyond, thanks to a young nucleus and impending payroll flexibiliity.
Ideally, every July the McCourts would take a trip to Antartica with no access to internet or cell phone, increasing the chances that the Dodgers could really get progressive in their thinking and approach at a when the future is most likely to be shortchanged or damaged.
I got an idea. Why shouldn't we be sellers? We're 3 1/2 back, and obviously, its not going to take a herculean effort to win this division, but then what?
We've got pieces that are of no value to us in 2007 and 08, when we should be making a major championship push, but are of value to somebody else now. Veteran pithcer in the midst of a career renaissance? Aaron Sele, step right up. Gold glove shortstop with no natural position in LA? You know who you are. Proven winner, and speed at the top of the lineup? I've got a Kenny Lofton in near mint condition. Proven closer? Switch hitting on base machine? There's a very short list of players on the active roster who I wouldn't trade.
Come on. This team's got more tradeable pieces than any team I can remember. I know these guys aren't going to net us a frontline starter, but there's nothing wrong with stockpiling young talent. Maybe get some guys you can flip. Use some creativity.
The Dodgers have never been deadline sellers in my lifetime, and when you think about it, that's absurd.
The amount of sports information and discussion has skyrocketed in this country, but I question whether the actual wisdom is on the rise. Case in point, ESPN, which has become one giant, smarmy bloated ego.
He told me to stop listening to talk radio.
Your plan is too progressive for the Dodgers to put it into place. Drove me nuts all winter that they failed to auction off Kent. You can bet a Beane or an Epstein would have stirred up the market there at the very least. With the Dodgers, nothing. Then the idiotic extension.
Call me nuts, but my belief is that San Diego is getting the jump on 2007-09 while also owning the pole position to win this year's ugly race.
With Alderson in charge, you can assume San Diego has a clear strategic plan that is heavy oriented toward 2007 and beyond.
My suspicion is that under the McCourts, the strategic vision changes by the day.
The only spouse of someone who posts here that I've met is Suffering Bruin's and I think he did well for himself.
So, there, let's extrapolate from that incredibly small sample size!
Well, I didn't really meet her as much as I saw her.
On a personal level, every year my response is the same - as much as possible, try not to view the team's options as a choice between buying and selling, but rather, just try to improve your team.
Being a "buyer" does not mean you have to give away the golden goose. And also, you can be a buyer and seller simultaneously. You can "sell" a guy like Izturis and also "buy" a starting pitcher, in theory, anyway.
This is always a quixotic battle for me, but I think the more nuance we can bring to this discussion, the better. I really would love to get rid of the "buyer" and "seller" terms, because they're just too confining.
I want to feel like you can trade away a veteran without it meaning you're giving up on the season. I want to feel like you can acquire a veteran without it feeling like you're giving up on the future. I don't see why that can't be the case.
vr, Xei
Kent's recommendation, after all, was a factor in Colletti getting the GM job.
I never heard that. If true, I hate Kent even more.
Next year's lineup:
C Russell Martin
1B James Loney (likely)
2B Jeff Kent
SS Rafael Furcal
3B __________________
LF Andre Ethier (probably)
CF ___________________
RF JD Drew (most likely)
Both positions can be filled through the farm system. But is it a good idea to rely on two rookies (LaRoche and Kemp) as your main power sources? A better year from Drew would help, but not be enough. Kent is going to be even worse than he is now.
I agree.
There, Bob, now you've doubled your sample size.
Sure i don't like that he's going on the DL, but i can't think of many if any 2b's with his production when healthy.
Trade people who's trade value is highest right now. How can we get a starting pitcher who will move Lowe back to #3 (where he belongs) and push Penny towards being his very best? (You can talk about Loney, Kemp, Guzman and LaRoche all you want, but the SPs are what I worry about.)
Hm. Garciapara and cash for Jered Weaver. Discuss.
Amen to that.
Why is it on other web sites people say that if you trade away a guy like lofton or izturis and replace them with guys like kemp and aybar you are giving up on the season?
Doing this is actually helping your team.
It blows my mind.
Bob's list the other day really was a good lesson. When every Dodger (save one, perhaps) draws scorn and derision and hate, maybe some of us need to loosen up just a little.
Most of us felt all along that this team was a work in progress, and I understand the fear that this work will go awry. Really, I do. I've lived through every season since 1988 as an adult and I want more for the team. I understand that as a Dodger fan, the stakes are high.
So I'm not talking about being a blind follower of the Dodgers. But maybe what I'm talking about is having a little less arrogance on our parts. We disagree enough on this site - and we've all been wrong enough on this site - to know that none of us knows everything. So calling guys idiots time after time - it is just starting to rub me the wrong way.
This is not addressed to anyone in particular; it's addressed to the group. I know some feel the way that I do and some don't, but just think about it. Sometimes we're right and the management is flat-out wrong, but it isn't universal.
But then again, I was the one who dared to be critical of Russell Martin.
The key distinction, I think, is that Ned should not be phoning non-contenders for players we want, but should be phoning contentders to see how we can help them out.
re 32 I think that's basically right, although the real opportunity to move Kent has came and went this offseason, anyway, because teams like Boston (in perennial "win now" mode) addressed their second base issues.
This should be qualified. While it's no doubt true that a given GM is privy to information that fans cannot access, that does not necessarily mean that (1) all of that private information is useful, or that (2) the GM pays attention to the part of said information that is useful. It may very well be the case, for example, that some of the information available to fans is actually more useful than the information (private or public) that a particular GM pays most attention to.
I reject the notion that those currently in GM positions are indubitably better at their jobs than the rest of us would be, if given the chance. I have no doubt that many DT posters would do at least as well as many of the current GMs at putting a "good" roster together.
As much as I've been dissatisfied with Lofton's play this year, it doesn't mean I dislike him as a player or person. I never root against Lofton. I don't like his style of play and wish that he was on the team in a different capacity (as a bench player). I rooted for Gary Sheffield when he was here and he's one of the biggest jerks around. The one player who I've disliked almost as much as Kent was Kevin Brown. I met him once and all I can say is what a miserable human being. Bob probably knows what I'm talking about. If Russ Ortiz ever became a Dodger, Bob would lock himself into the closest in games in which Ortiz was pitching in.
Nomar has played only 34 games at 3rd (in 2005 with Chicago, with an 83 rate2). Having him move now (as opposed to maybe the offseason) would seem to be hasty and wrought with potential for disaster.
I also wouldn't want to move 3 position players around to temporarily get Loney in the lineup.
That cant' be what Jon was going for in 30, can it? I'm all for toning it down, but I don't want it to be like that Twilite Zone where everybody had to say nice things about the boy.
Seems like the Giants always have those kinda guys.
That said (and sincerely so), I was right about Kenny Lofton. ;^)
Mathematicians may spend hours just trying to figure out a line of equations. All the while, they feel dumb and inadequate. Then one day, these young mathematicians become established, become professors, acquire secretaries and offices. They don't want to feel stupid anymore. And they stop doing great work.
Professors get secretaries?
The right handed Ishii
Why couldn't Saito be 5 years younger? He is so good, but this year will probably be the best season he ever has in the majors. It's a shame. He's quickly becoming one of my favorite players on the team.
It is hot and we have no shade. The team is sweating to death. My team, some of them have run to Tampa Bay with no hope, no prospects. No one knows where they are, perhaps bored to death. I want to have time to look for the prospects and see how many I can find. Maybe I shall find them among the Devil Rays.
Hear me, my chiefs! I am tired. My brain is sick and tired. From where the sun now stands, I will hate no more forever.
Hanging on to hope
When there is no hope to speak of
And the wounded skies above say it's much too late
Well maybe we should all be praying for time
1. Ron Cey could carry the club for weeks at a time.
2. Reggie Smith was the best player on those teams.
3. I liked Dusty Baker too.
But because Garvey got the publicity and seemed more concerned about playing everyday and getting 200 hits, I just didn't care for him that much.
After my the team of my youth departed, others like Guerrero, Piazza, and Mondesi filled some voids. I was a fan of Eric Davis before he was a Dodger, too bad he could not put it all together while he was here.
That was the one where the mean people were wished to Tampa Bay.
Sometimes subscription based services seem to have their upsides.
Jon, you do a very, very good job.
JJ (Iowa): Is it possible that every MLB exec., who has judged the Reds-Nats deal a steal, is wrong? The Reds lost the bigger names but Kearns is injury prone and unfulfilled potential personified with a poor work ethic. Lopez is an error machine with a lot of talent but Brandon Phillips can play SS and both were due huge raises down the road.
Keith Law: It's possible that all those execs are wrong ... but it's really unlikely in this case. Kearns has been healthy all year, and you really have no idea about his work ethic at all. That's one thing that really bugs me - when people with no contact with teams or players try to impute personality traits (especially negative ones, like a poor work ethic) to specific players. You just don't know. Frankly, even when you're in a game, it's hard to adequately evaluate the makeup of a player on another team. You're heavily dependent on hearsay.
Aren't we all.
I will permit no man to narrow and degrade my soul by making me hate him.
My point is, though, that there are lots of fans who are just like what I'm not. Insane partisans. Passionate, with long memories. I appreciate and sometimes envy those kinds of fans. Some of the commenters here are fans like that. I think there's room for them.
If you want to know what I'm sick of: The constant slagging on Colletti. It's as if there's a secret other Colletti who is committing these horrible misdeeds. The alleged misdeeds are usually the stuff of rumors, of trades that never happened.
What's he actually done? Was Baez such a bad idea? For two broken, worthless pieces, he got one of the better closers in the AL, just in case our great closer couldn't play. Baez is no great shakes. But the idea was the right one, and his presence has addressed a problem the Dodgers had. Hopefully, we can trade him off -- and believe me, if we do, we'll get something decent back.
Was Hendrickson such a bad idea? Are there are lot of lefty starting pitchers out there who could be gotten for so little? Seems to me he looked pretty good on Saturday. We've got a serious rotation problem, and this was a cheap-enough fix. The Yankees just signed Sidney Ponson! We know it's tough out there to find pitching.
In Dodger Utopia, Colletti can trade Lofton for Lastings Milledge, or some such thing. But I wish more folks here propose trades that the other GM might actually accept, and would ease off Colletti a little. I think there's a shoot-the-messenger quality to some of the criticism he gets. He can't get us exactly what we need, for much less than it's worth. Deal with it.
Steve, I miss your site to pieces.
"2b - Daniella's father or Aybar"
I like this one. :o)
Lord Byron
Now hatred is by far the longest pleasure; men love in haste but they detest at leisure.
also, there are some professors who get the use of secretaries here. not many, though.
Just to be clear: I actually like Aybar, probably was his strongest backer during the winter and spring, when he had become something of an afterthought in the MSM amid all of the hullabo of BA's prospect lists, etc.
And I still like Aybar. If you inferred I don't like him, I suspect it was because of my posts commending the decision to demote him. At the time, I believed it very possible that Willy was in the midst of cratering at the plate and that both he and the Dodgers were better served by a demotion. Still believe that was the sensible move.
As for who would have played 2B if the Dodgers had done the sensible thing and tested Kent's trade value last winter: Perhaps a stop-gap such as a Loretta, or possibly a Howie Kendrick if you can get him for Kent (doubtful). Perhaps you get Minaya to give you something juicy that can be flipper.
Or Kent himself. My point was and is that the Dodgers should have seen what they could get for him. His value had peaked. My sense is that they were strongly disinclined to go that route. Then came the stupid extension. What's more, the extension was devoid of financial reciprocity on Kent's part.
As for the notion that Kent recommended Ned for the job, those quotes were fairly prevalent at the time Ned was hired.
For me, Colletti's done a decent job so far, with many of his moves subject to later interpration.
Am also with you on the Baez trade.
My greater concern is the McCourts.
Not EJ/Tiff/Navarro for Hendrickson/Hall/Baez. Not giving Lofton/Mueller/Tomko 13 mils bucks. I honestly dont think Colletti is criticized enough. There's a stark contrast between being a good GM, and just being an average one. We had a good one, now we have an average one. Of course there's going to be complaining, when so many things that Colletti does make no sense statistically.
quote from up top.
I'm wondering if Repko is falling in the bad habit of '05 (trying to pull everything)
I hear you, I'm sure he will be o.k..
So what does that make this lineup then,
Furcal
Lofton
Nomar
Drew
Aybar
Ethier
Izzy
Martin
But that's too predictable. I for one didn't really think they'd bring up Matt Kemp straight from AA. So don't rule out the possibility of Toby Hall catching a few games in a row, Martin playing third (he'll try it in practice at least), and then Repko being called up so we can have a centerfielder who has an arm, but still has speed, for the lineup
Furcal - SS
Izzy - 2B
Nomar - 1B
Drew - RF
Ethier - LF
Martin - 3B
Repko - CF
Hall - C
Recall Aybar and Repko.
I really dont like Repko at all, but he hit so well at the beginning of the year that I think he deserves a chance to see if he can maintain his success.
My lineup would be:
SS-Furcal
C- Martin
3b-Nomar
CF-Drew
LF-Ethier
1b-Saenz
2b-Aybar
RF-Repko
No more Izzy.
No more Lofton.
Move Nomar to 3rd and put Saenz at 1st.
Put Repko in RF. He's got a great arm he just takes bad angles. I think he'd be ok in RF. Put Drew in CF.
If it were me personally, I'd probably just recall Kemp and play him instead of Repko in this scenario. But thats not likely to happen.
There are some very promising reasons to be happy as a Dodger fan right now, which I am happy about.
1) We have our catcher of the next 6 years at least, and probably longer, and he hits and plays solid D.
2) Andre Ethier looks to be an above average MLB outfielder for the next several years for cheap prices.
3) Matt Kemp will be the best CFer in baseball in about 2-3 years.
4) Chad Billingsely and Scott Elbert are two of the ten least hittable pitchers under 23, if only they would trust their stuff and throw strikes.
5) Andy LaRoche looks like he will be a bona fide 30 HR 3B, with plate discipline.
6) James Loney is leading the world (Non-Joe Mauer division) in hitting right now.
7) Brad Penny and Derek Lowe (two solid major league pitchers) are signed for the next several years to reasonable deals.
8) Nomar is having a career resurgance while playing for us.
9) Broxton looks like he will be able to be a really good closer in the Gagne type mold, possibly beginning next year.
10) Finally, the last time we lost five games in a row, we won 15 of our next 18.
On Soriano:
"The Dodgers couldn't say no fast enough when Bowden reportedly asked for catcher Russ Martin, outfield stud Matt Kemp and/or pitcher Chad Billingsley. "
On Maddux:
"Folks we've surveyed are betting it's the Dodgers. "They don't have a leader on that staff," says one GM. "So at the very least, he'd be a tremendous guy for [Derek] Lowe and [Brad] Penny and [Chad] Billingsley to be around." "
If you accepted the premise that this was never going to be "the year" for the Dodgers, I think it is easier to sit back, enjoy the good experiences we've had, and be content for now.
Alert Ned Colletti to this.
Just staying positive.
Has he been getting a lot of practice with Microsoft Project and Excel software while in AAA? :)
Aybar's plan to stick with the big club didn't pan out.
what's Schlieffen's? I looked it up on dictionarydotcom & found nothing?
On a completely separate note, it was so nice to get in the car on my way home last night and hear Vin Scully. I caught the Mariano Duncan Incident before getting out of the car, and Vin was doing all he could to not call out Angel Hernandez for rabbit ears. Just brilliant. I was getting far too accustomed to the Steiner/Monday/Ruess on the radio.
I work for a planning agency
What kind of planning agency?
www.wikipedia.org is probably the best source for random factlets like that. It also does pretty well finding things that have different possible spellings, like foreign words.
Dude, post a link to a picture.
agreed, hook it up with the eye candy bro.
R.T.P? easy as 1,2,3, ABC...(the Jackson5)
Sorry bad joke I know, but I couldn't resist.
img.villagephotos.com/p/2006-7/1198838/CarolinaSchoolGirl.JPG
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