Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
The last time the Dodgers did not hit 10 home runs in a full month of baseball was June 1992, when they hit eight. The 1992 season featured the three worst Dodger home run months in recent history: August (10) and September (11). The team managed 72 home runs that season.
So far this month, Olmedo Saenz and Nomar Garciaparra have each hit two home runs and Andre Ethier one. The rest of team has gone 471 at-bats without hitting one out.
No, I don't have a joke here.
* * *
Friday night, Albert Pujols successfully tagged up from first on a fly ball in front of Kenny Lofton well inside the warning track in center field, providing the latest example of Lofton's defensive disaster zone.
Lofton's only function now is to be a table-setter, and with his on-base percentage at .400 for July, that much he's doing. He's the yin to Cesar Izturis' yang, who theoretically drives in enough runs with his glove to compensate for a .316 on-base percentage and .657 OPS.
I'd argue that the Dodgers can afford one dog in the outfield and one dog in the batting order when the rest of the team is producing. As we know, the rest of the team isn't - and with J.D. Drew and Jeff Kent out, we're going to have to chew on it a good deal.
People like me are wary of playing Olmedo Saenz too much, especially against right-handed pitchers. But maybe the team should be squeezing a few more at-bats out of him with both Drew and Kent out.
And until Matt Kemp or someone with a power bat returns, ready or not, I think we'll have to suffer Lofton's defense a little while longer.
* * *
Russell Martin has escaped the No. 8 spot. Yep, it was about time.
I also promise not to incite any Cardinals fans.
He was limping pretty badly when he left last night.
The Pirates are thought to be interested in Dodgers SS Cesar Izturis, who could replace Jack Wilson if the current Pirates shortstop is shipped out of Pittsburgh at or before the trade deadline or during the offseason. Izturis was a favorite of manager Jim Tracy when Tracy managed in Los Angeles.
Cesar for Tom Gorzelanny!?!?
afterall Izturis is an All Star ;)
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=2527276
Stan from Tacoma
I'm looking forward to next year's SABR convention so I can go visit my brother and his family.
The SABR group will be in all different colors so it won't matter. There predominantly fans of teams from Chicago, New York, and Boston.
A man can dream.
that his hitters aren't gold
And he's wanting some major league hitters
When he gets one he knows
If the team needs a run
With a swing he can get what he paid for
There's some words on the wall
But he wants to be sure
Cuz you know words like Cruz have
no impact
In the mind of the fans, there's a songbird who sings
Somtimes the need for speed is misgiven
They couldn't "incite" a ham sandwich.
Or something.
And yes, hooray for Marty's pooch.
HOLOGRAPHS!
Well, I'm sure it's nice to have friends like Miltie, Brock, and myself around to encourage you...
Not to mention your capital letter quota...
But that's the point: we're trying to help you break the cycle.
2) It may be that the myriad injuries to JD Drew's legs have totally sapped his power. Never a real bomber to begin with, we could be seeing the beginning of the end here. Unfortunately, the worse he gets the more likely that he exercises his option.
...and is there anybody here who can tell me how far in I have to get before "Syriana" starts actually making sense?
Looks like Gameday again tonight.
But it's great to have him home and my other dog is much happier now. He goes back to the vet for more therapy Monday, but this weekend should give me a good idea of what I'm looking at when he comes home permanently.
It's things like his situation that make it easier to just watch the Dodgers whether they are winnig or stinking it up. It's a nice diversion no matter how bad they are.
First Round (incl. Supplemental) update.
Season to date:
Clayton Kershaw 16 IP, 13 hits, 2 ER, 1 BB, 23 K. (GCL)
Bryan Morris 23 IP, 26 hits, 9 ER, 12 BB, 26 K (Pioneer)
Preston Mattingly .351/.390/.426 in 100 plate appearances. (GCL)
All I can say during this slump is thank god for Lofton. Although as Jon points out his D is nil, he proves that they are not throwing vertual balls every game or two.
"Who goofed, I've got to know."
And remember, if you ever meet Tommy Lasorda, don't ask him what he thought about Dave Kingman's performance.
What changed?
I guess I should do the math, huh?
Where have all the good pitchers gone? The NBA...?
Clutch hitting is overrated.
Clutch hitting is overrated.
Power is overrated.
Power is overrated.
Power is overrated.
11 days before the prospects are safe!!!
Both are required, but I'd rather have power.
But still, this is absoultly embarrassing. How can we possibly not even hit Weaver.
Thinkingblue I think has grown alot as fan this year. Welcome aboard TB.
Don't ask me how I know, I just do.
its nice to see that a black man hitting home runs. so, of course he is juicing.
Mine still works, and I think 91 and 83 are registering rather strong returns.
i am sorry.
No, this is a joke.
4, 0, 12, 6, 4, 3, 0, 4, 0
If that were the case, there would be no zeroes.
Anyone heard from Toby Hall lately? What kind of season is he having? The soul of any pennant contender is Toby Hall.
Second, the only reason this team won at all during the first half was their offense which we all knew was dangerously predicated on guys getting hits with men on base. That was why this team struggled against good pitching and now they are struggling against everybody.
During the first half, Russ Martin, Aybar or Izzy would have got a hit in that first inning to really set up the inning.
After Nomar got a hit in their first at-bat with man in scoring position, they have again gone cold going 0-7. Last night, I witnessed them go 0-10.
So sure, Sele and Lowe have not helped during this streak but nothing hurts a team like a hitting slump, it affects everything connected to the team.
As to whether this team is buyers or sellers, I say neither. I only see three guys that have some value to trade and even those guys probably won't move due to roster considerations.
1. Iztirus - possible but I still think he will be here for the season.
2. Baez - Don't laugh, the way bullpens are today, he could be in a deal though it would be hard to see him go through waivers so probably only before July 31st.
3. My surprise candidate is Derek Lowe, though his recent performances and the fact he has 3 more years on a contract would say no but he has that post-season experience and maybe the Yanks or even Boston could want him.
Other than that, there are too many holes for one deal to cure. If Jim Bowden gets desparate and wants only Joel Guzman for Soriano, than I might do that but other than that, I just don't see much out there.
Sir, everyone knows that Ned Colletti is why we won in the first half. He is genius personified, and the only reason I haven't built a golden replication of his likeness in my backyard is that I ran out of gold building Jim Tracy's.
Just build a likeness out of stone and get Midas himself to come over and touch it.
"There was Charles Barkley, uttering his famous: 'Bad team, man. Bad [bleeping] team.'"
Hey, my thoughts exactly.
"He iced the injury after the game and got into a hypothermic chamber at home afterward."
Has Drew moved to Neverland Ranch? Has anyone out there ever known anyone with any kind of "chamber"' at home?
I aspire to one - I don't care what kind it is.
Its amazing that it is so clear what would help this team, but ned/grady just don't get it.
And when i say help this team, i mean help to make a push to win the division but not the world series, only trading away the future will make us competitive for a world series.
This team lacks power and pitching.
Pitching i have no in-house solutions for.
But power can come from bringing up kemp, laroche, and guzman, and bringing repko back.
And dropping some dead weight like izturis, lofton, ledee, cruz, alomar, martinez, i can go on and on, and i'm not saying drop all the dead weight, just enough to open roster spots for the names i mentioned above.
After the All-Star break it has been the Giants and the D-Backs turn, Fortunately again the team with lead in the division has decided to go in the tank, Padres are on their way to 2-7.
After tonight, I can go back to my usual position of rooting against the Giants.
The farm system was expected to contribute in 2007, I don't think any of the listed players will help.
But is Repko Repko? I mean, who is the real Repko: last year's version, or this year's? Maybe he got a lot better since last year. If Albert can do it, why can't Ja(y)son...?
I can't remember exactly when I resigned myself last year or after which injuries, but I think it was earlier. Anywho, the division is so bad I'm hanging in there but it is a short stroll to "go for the draft pick!". 11 days.
The Dodgers have gone 16-26 since June 2nd, and have fallen 2.5 games back.
This game makes me drink.
Well...yeah!
Can anyone be worse than izturis and lofton, and so far this season both cruz and ledee are performing like slap hitters.
We need power, laroche/ kemp/guzman/loney/repko > izturis/lofton/cruz/ledee in power.
By the way i left loney off the list in my last post by accident.
Sigh
I need a drink, too.
I am firmly not in the "this year's team will have a worse record than last year's team" camp. But it is still painful to watch this slump.
sigh Did I mention I need a drink? I'm going to watch the end of Fargo now and forget about this game, yah.
Help us Obi Wan.
It's a shame to see Gio's talents wasted on a team like this...
Bring up some power hitters already.
While it seems like he is more on pace to hit 20-25 homers in a full season than Schmidt like numbers, he does appear to do well once he gets adjusted.
The cries for "power" are wasted on the ears of those who seek to build a team instead on "speed and athleticism."
http://ats.ctsnetjournals.org/cgi/content/abstract/22/6/572
torn labrum be darned.
Exactly, poor philosophy.
The 2006 team has had many of its players on the field so far, often with quality rookie backups. That's what makes the losing so much more disheartening.
Technically, I didn't say "scrappy," but I guess that was probably implicit.
My prediction for tomorrow:
Dodgers 2
Cardnials 3
Billinsley with 6 innings, 2 runs, Marquis with 7 innings, 2 runs, and Baez blows the game.
Well Quentin is also 24 and Matt is 21. Quentin, like Ethier, should be pretty solid in his first year since they are basically ready now.
Is Ethier is the only bright spot for this team right now?
Then, call up LaRoche, even if he put up the Jax numbers, he would be usefull. Izzy couldn't hit a ham sandwich (yes I know, that joke's getting old).
I'd much rather have aybar at shortstop, yes defensive doesn't really matter to me, look where its getting us this year and look where it got us in 2003 with the best pitching by far to boot.
Yawn.
Night folks.
lol.
yea you're right, 309/.419/.483 would only be just "usefull"
I'm cranky, sorry.
lather
rinse
repeat.
He might be usefull on the White Sox, but with us he is plain awful.
What oft injured Dodger outfielder was spotted after the game in a hypothermal chamber with Marty's dog?
Is it possible there is some connection between all of the "oblique" injuries around the league this year and some new training/exercise techinique? Namely "core strength"?
Isn't Nomar a behind-the-scenes poster guy for a "core" oriented trainer?
Seems reasonable, since there is a new emphasis on this kind of trainng.
On another note: Kenny Lofton looks absolutely lost. My god.
He just misplayed a ball BADLY.
Oh, blow it out...
-----
Btw, the Rockies were one of Sports Illustrated's picks this past week for teams that could be most dangerous in the second half, and they've been even worse than the Dodgers have for the past 10 days. Which means, SI's missed it, and/or the Rockies could still pull things together, and if they can, the Dodgers still can, too.
If there's a Russell in your fifth spot
Don't be alarmed now.
It's just a shake up of the line up.
Yes there are four outs you can count on
But in the long run
There'll soon be a Repko to come on.
We have NO power now. Something must be done - and preferably from within.
I'm an advocate of bringing up the kids and letting them play. If we don't win ths year, we'll be better set for next year.
I think Dodger fans, in general, would rather root for home-grown products - despite what A. Martinez and other commentators may say. It's one of the only traditions we have left.
From what has been going on thus far, each one of these teams can win 12 out of 16 or lose 14 out of 18. Right now the Padres can't pitch, Dodgers can't do anything, the Rockies lack of offense has caught up with them.
The Giants and D-Backs have both come out of the cellar to now head the division but that could change next week.
The Dodgers now have to go into getting back to .500 and not worry about anything else, If they don't leave next town on the 31st at .500 or better, then you can circle the wagons.
But Tampa is so far away.
Sigh. Back to Fargo. I'm really going this time. Night.
So of course, we'll go down 1-2-3
I feel my brain swell like meningitis
With the slightest mind motion
Givin me the notion
That I got it bad
I think I got a brain tumor
Brain rumor
Such a pain to analyze the strain and then understand it
Wait, wasn't I going? I think my g/f switching the TV to another horrid Sci Fi channel movie kept me logged in.
Billingsley will snap the streak.
even with a small sample size, it's bad
lofton 731 ops (bad for an outfielder)
nomar 950 ops (good)
ethier 912 ops (good)
martin 789 ops (good for a catcher)
aybar 783 ops (good for a 2b)
izturis 675 ops (bad for any position)
cruz 739 ops (bad for an outfielder)
On top of a bad pitching staff, we are in trouble until something in-house is done.
Amen to that.
for some reason, I fear a Guzman for Maddux trade, but maybe I'm just paranoid...
You have a reason to be paranoid.
I call him a country bumpkin because that's just how he comes off to me.
I try to be positive as much as possible...I know this isn't a world series team...but when we have a GM, who besides the Eithier trade, has made awful move after awful move I have a hard time being positive.
The thing is, right now we should all be ecstatic...we're on the cusp of showing the rest of the league our young players....I have a hard time being ecstatic when our GM is getting guys like Mueller, Lofton, Hendrickson, Tomko etc etc etc.
We have a lot of money coming off the books this year and I'm almost already depressed at the thought of what Colletti is going to do with it.
Is Ethier is the only bright spot for this team right now?
And the response should be something like:
Yeah, if you don't count the bright spot under Colletti's hairpiece
Let's get creative out there, people.
I'm about as pessimistic as you about this season but pretty optimistic about the future.
And now I leave you all to clean the litter box and then go to sleep.
(Until I hear "I Got You Babe" on the radio and it's time to get up again.)
This season has gone pretty much exactly how I thought it would. But in terms of winning the division from this point, I think one has to look at upside regarding each team. The Dbax have it, if they keep playing their rookies. The Padres have it, mainly bc they are still above .500 and have gotten an atrocious season out of Jake Peavy in doing it. He's 4-10 with an ERA near 5.00. There's upside in that a dominant pitcher wont be terrible for the entire season.
What is the Dodgers' upside? Who's going to improve off their 1st half performance? Odalis is the only guy I can think of, and he's not even in the rotation. The BA w RISP was due to regress, and the pitching just isnt that great. Even Derek Lowe was pitching way above his head the first 2-3 months of the year.
This was a poor team in 2005, but mainly bc of injuries. However, the starting pitching was not improved, while the offense got weaker (power-wise), older, and more expensive. Just an overall bad job all around.
I'm looking forward to who the new GM and manager will be next year, if the McCourts still to their previous management philosophy.
I'm more concerned with the money that is guaranteed to mediocre players next year, and I'm none to confident that Ned will be able to move their salaries. Izzy, Mueller, Hendrickson, Tomko= 17 mils worth of very hard to move parts. One good thing DePo did was cut the "average" player out of the Dodgers system, by moving arbitration eligible players like Loduca, Cora, Mota, and a big money guy like Shawn Green. I'm not sure if Ned is too good at the art of salary dumping, and he'll need to be unless the McCourts up payroll substantially.
We need that extra cap space to make a move. I know quite a bit is coming off, but some guys are set to get raises like Kent, OP, Tomko, and Hendrickson. Its just a bad situation all the way around.
The Dodgers start next year at 86 million dollars, I don't know if we can do all that much with that.
Ned's gotten rid or gave up on the following young players. In so doing, he also gave money to expensive mediocre veterans that did not improve the team, but rather just added more financial in-flexibility for the future:
Choi, Bradley, Perez, Jackson, Tiffany, Schmoll, Ross, Navarro, Ruggiano, and Houlton.
but not super expensive players who were meant to help supplement and buffer until more of the youth
Well, its been a complete waste of time and I'd say a failure.
Bring Kemp back up. Dump the old guys and get ready for 2007. I've had it with this GM and all this old school thinking.
We are at close to 110 million right now.
Leaving close to 24 million available.
Plus if we can dump tomko and izturis.
Plus if mueller's contract is insured.
We don't need much, we just need to promote the prospects, add 2 starting pitchers (zito, schmidt) and re-sign nomar or give loney 1b.
But i agree that ned did a piss poor job with money.
The key is the starting rotation, we have plenty of offense if the prospects are promoted and everyone stays healthy.
And as much as we can bitch about this slump, I see some very new names putting the D's down, and that can't happen.
I actually don't think unloading Izzy, Tomko (whom my friend calls Tomkowned since he stinks..."you just got Tomkowned" is his fav phrase) and Hendrickson will be hard.
If we can unload those parts, it ups the money we can spend by a decent amount. Everyone keeps talking about the prospects that were given up weren't great...I absolutely agree with that, the problem is we gave them up for bad players who make more. Why not just give Jackson Baez's job? He couldn't possibly do much worse. That's the philosophy I don't get...Ned gets garbage veterans who make more when a rookie could do just as bad for 300K
Giving Kent the extension was the biggest mistake I could think of. I wonder if that guy has any trade value this offseason...doubtful...but if we could unload him with the rest, Soriano and Schmidt wouldn't be out of the question.
At this point, I'd unload players and get anything for them. We're not keeping Lofton anyways...why not just get a random prospect for him and give Kemp every day AB's? It's sad to say, but Baez might actually have value...why not ditch him for anything?
I've been holding off judgment on Ned for a while...thankfully he hasn't traded away top prospects, but the trades he HAS made and the signings he's made are just downright bad.
I said which of the Dodgers top prospects did he trade away? I don't miss a single one of those players listed above (Houlton's still with them, in Vegas), with the possible exception of Navarro, and not that much.
That's all I had to add to this.
that's not the point. The point is these guys were traded away for veterans who stink and make multiple times more money. If it's done once or so...no biggie...but our 110 mill is filled up with a ton of garbage because our GM loves the veterans no matter how bad they are.
When Ned came in my biggest fear wasn't the prospects leaving, it was attaining bad old players who make a decent amount of money...my fears came true.
Provided he does this.
http://tinyurl.com/nrk5a
Now, its not Izzy's complete fault the Dodgers are losing obvioulsy. I dont think anyone would blame him soley. But just the coincidence of his coming back, and the slide are very close.
vr, Xei
C: Martin
1B: ?
2B: ?
SS: Furcal
3B: LaRoche
LF: Ethier
CF: Kemp
RF: Drew/(whomever takes over for him when he gets injured)
Presumably 2B would be devoted to Kent, or perhaps Izturis if Kent's injury forces his retirement. Etanislao Abreu (I love that name, BTW) should provide some insurance if one of Kent or Izurtis doesn't cut it. The real question this offseason revolves around 1B: does Ned sign Nomar to the long term deal that he's certainly seeking or does he turn the position over to Loney, who Ned seems to admire (please don't mention JT Snow).
The question I have for the Dodger Thoughts community is; would you rather have Nomar or Loney and the extra $6-$10M of payroll that would be available? My gut tells me that Ned should let Nomar walk, but my gut has been wrong before. The thing to keep in mind here is that the starting staff seems to need at least one more starter (in addition to Penny, Lowe and Billingsley).
On a side note to Nate if he's here, what do you think of Jesus Castillo; I know Logan White mentioned him before the start of Rookie ball. And what do you think of the lower minor pitching depth of Kershaw, Morris, Johnson, and Wall (you can include Bastardo if you want)?
Nomar has stuggled lately, as has Drew. Kent has been injured and the pitching staff has continued to suck. None of these things should be blamed on Izturis.
The root problem of your McCourt-Loria comparison is that while Loria only cares about money and little about baseball, McCourt cares too much about public perception and too little about the long-term direction of the team. As far as your Bills/Dodgers comparison, the Dodgers spend money and operate in a relatively free market while the Bills operate in a small market with little finacial resources (compared to the Dodgers) and in a league with a significant payroll cap (compared to MLB). McCourt isnt trading away prospects, and even if you see Ned as Frank's proxy (which you shouldn't) trading away Tiffany and Jackson isnt all that bad because they arent exactly on track to be productive major leaguers and Navarro was expendable because of Martin. How do you explain the trade for Ethier or the fact that the vast majority of prospects have not been traded, or the earlier trade for Brazoban, also under McCourt's watch? I hate the Hendrickson trade, but there are much better comparisons to be made than the Buffalo Bills. If you are saying that the Dodgers are going to four consecutive World Series', then I'm not sure I get your point.
Kershaw is an outstanding young pitcher, and so is Morris. The sky's the limit as far as their potential is concerned. Johnson and Wall I am concerned about right now because they both missed their turns in Ogden's rotation. They could be hurting. Anyway, they are opposites as pitching prospects. Johnson is unbelievably polished for his age, but is only 6'1" and his fastball is probably not going to get much better than its 90 MPH velocity, likely limiting his ceiling. Wall is 6'6" and thin as a bean pole. His frame is likely to get much stronger with age. He is all about projection, what he MIGHT become with age and experience. I don't know a thing about Alberto Bastardo scouting-wise, but I know all I need to know: his utterly fantasic name alone should guarantee that he is a Dodger for a long, long time. I won't even care if he sucks.
I'd love to know.
I dont really have a problem with their budget. 90-100 mils a year should be enough to win consistently. However, the correct allocation of those funds is where the problem lies. The leadership of the McCourts is severely in question due to their pandering to the LA Times, despite apparently not realizing that LA will draw fans no matter whom takes the field. That miscalculation is the unfortunate thing.
Same thing goes for Lofton. If Ned doesn't start ditching soem of Lofton, Baez, Tomko etc then something is wrong.
However, the downside is that with Gagne gone, perhaps Baez believes he'll get another shot at closing in 2007 and accepts arbitration. Dodgers would then be shafted, stuck paying 5mils for a middle reliever.
Lofton--he should be dealt or just released. He has no value at all to the team in 2007. Dodgers wont get any draft picks out of him, so just let him go.
I cant really see anyone else on our team having much value in a trade. If Saito is only on a 1yr deal, he might be attractive to other clubs. He can always resign with the Dodgers at the end of the year if he wants to come back for 2007.
I'll be very surprised if Ned sells anything though.
Spend enough to ensure winning?
Tell that to the Mets, who flushed million in Flushing on detritus. Or many other clubs.
The Marlins won it all for $50 million. The A's are good every year for less than $70 million. The White Sox and Astros didn't spend all that much.
It's about making smart decisions. The Dodgers' batting average on decisionmaking needs to improve, at several levels.
Spending gobs of money on Drew, Perez, Lowe, Gagne didn't exactly ensure winning.
Maybe developing a good starting pitcher just once out of every five years would be more productive than ignoring several red flags and giving tens of millions to Odalis and Gagne. As for the Kent extension, just what winning did that $11 million commitment ensure?
The Red Sox and Yankees can almost spend whatever it takes to make up for their mistakes.
http://www.tbo.com/sports/rays/MGB1KN1WYPE.html
Lofton
.296/.354/.378/.731
Cruz
.237/.359/.379/.739
Scott Kazmir
https://griddle.baseballtoaster.com/archives/441105.html
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