Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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TV and more ...
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
"In his search for a third baseman, (San Diego Padres) General Manager Kevin Towers even called the rival Dodgers," wrote Tom Krasovic of the San Diego Union-Tribune. "'We asked them about Joel Guzman,' Towers said. Guzman, 21, was playing left field in Triple-A, but the Padres, who employ former Dodgers GM Paul DePodesta, believed Guzman could play third and that he would be available cheap. On Monday, the Dodgers traded Guzman and a Single-A outfielder for Julio Lugo, a free agent-eligible infielder."
It probably would have taken more for the Padres to get Guzman. The Dodgers wouldn't want a potential mistake staring them in the face 19 games a year. The Dodgers' last trade with San Diego was the epic acquisition of Widd Workman for Jim Bruske on July 23, 1998. Los Angeles hasn't traded with San Francisco since 1985 (Candy Maldonado for Alex Trevino).
In the same Padres notebook, you can read about ex-Dodger Chan Ho Park's recent struggle with lower intestinal bleeding that caused him to lose "half of his blood volume," according to Krasovic. The Padres expect a full recovery soon.
Oh, and for the record, I don't ever want my beloved blue crew trading with the Giants unless it's clear the battery chuckers up north are being fleeced. Nothing less than Toby Hall for Jason Schmidt or hang up the phone.
Q1) Why does Ned Colletti continue to deal with the Tampa Bay Devil Rays? Isn't he worried that they're trying to take advantage of him?
Ken: he's dealing with tampa now because they are out of the race, and also because they are unloading expensive players. most teams are still alive.
Q2) How far away do Dodger scouts consider Scott Elbert from the majors - is
there a chance we could see him next year?
Ken: elbert is at double-a, so next year is a possibility.
"The Red Sox made a call to the Dodgers concerning outfielder J.D. Drew, a player they've coveted because of his on-base percentage, but a no-trade clause in his contract ended the conversation quickly."
(The flip side of that would be guys like Dan Evans and Depo who had things that were out of their control color everyones perceptions of them.)
Not only that he's picked up several useful parts like Bellhorn, Mueller, Arroyo and Pena for peanuts.
Well that's what I meant, he's a good GM to be sure, but he's not perfect by any stretch like many want us to believe. Remember, he's also tried to get rid of Manny, easily their best player, traded away Sanchez and Ramirez, who look like they're going to be studs, traded arroyo and then had pitching problems. I just find it funny that some guys are above regular criticism.
I'm aware of that. The thinking behind that comment though is that the money spent on Drew could go toward a cheap Lester/Hensen and a player at or near Drew's caliber, resulting in the best team.
Lee is definitely near Drew's caliber. Will he cost more? Maybe. But are you saying that you would rather have Drew than Lee and Lester/Hensen? Even if it did cost a little more? You said it yourself, it's about fielding the best team, not money. Or maybe the money saved on Drew could go to sign another starting pitcher. In the end, this argument is pointless since Drew will be a Dodger for the forseeable future anyway.
Lee is also older and entering his decline period, where power tends to slip faster than OBP does.
Is there more recent research that refutes that?
It's possible that hang up was his player option but since Hacksaw was said it was a no trade clause than I have to believe he was just wrong.
Extremely probable, considering we are talking about Hacksaw.
I remember those too, but after reading in Moneyball that the A's believed OBP was the last thing to go down(about David Justice, I believe), I started thinking about it a bit more. Batting averages do go down in the decline period and are a good indicator, but all of this depends on the type of player. A selective hitter like Drew should not see much drop in his OBP and probably not his BA either. He looks for mistakes by the pitcher, and his walks aren't a result of pitchers nibbling around the strike zone. Carlos Lee get's on base because pitchers are afraid of getting into his power zone, he's not quite selective and as his natural power decreases, his walks and his BA may go down. He is already a natural power hitter, so the power spikes we could expect from an uppercut swing compensatng for decreasing leg power, bat speed, etc. shouldn't manifest in his case.
I didn't bother to check while writing that, but looking at their PECOTA projections on BP, it seems about right. They see stable OBP for Drew with a slight decrease in power, but some drop in OBP for Lee with a significant power drop.
One more interesting thing about PECOTA, Izzy's contract is entirely in line with his monetary valuation at shortsop in BP's system. You gotta believe Depo was looking at that...
I'd be more surprised if Ned didn't try to keep Maddux around. The guy is a quintessential Colletti player.
i recall them doing that with runners. mason would call and ask about the chances of a made up american marathoner in the boston marathon, and hacksaw would spend a minute or two talking about that runner and how difficult it would be to beat the ethiopians or kenyans. almost as good as the guys who would call in and flush the toilet.
even though i live 1700 miles away, some friends and i still belt out some hacksaw classics: "down it, firefighter!" and "la jolla, i want to hear from you!"
good times.
When Ned wants Devil Rays, he goes directly to the source.
I also get the decline years concept. But, in the next 5 years, what exactly will Drew decline from? A .390 OBP and...what, chronically fragile knees? Will the decline years be good on those knees? I guess I'm just not sure normal 'decline year' projections will apply to JD Drew.
Lee's body of work has been over a heck of a lot more PAs than Drew with Drew's injury problems and all.
How hurt is Nixon? Were the Sox looking for an expensive fill in, or is there now reason to wonder whether Drew might opt out of his contract? Actually, this is completely made up, so it isn't grounds for anything. My mistake.
The Red Sox do things like pick up Mike Stanton to be available for two regular season games.
It's a very strange world the Yankees and Red Sox inhabit. I would not want to be part of it.
That world is sometimes referred to as "ESPN"
I've always regarded the rest of the AL East as kin to Europe's Low Countries. When war breaks out between the superpowers, their lands will be ravaged and thousands will die.
I think this is the worst year we're going to see from Drew in this contract, barring a major injury.
John Kruk is right, the dodgers need to get a rookie or two in this lineup.
Because the Minnesota Vikings are a high-class organization!
I remember listening to him once call a Chargers game and hearing him use a mild profanity when a Chargers lineman jumped offside. Something along the lines of "D-----, Shawn Lee (a name along those lines), that's the third time you've done that at a crucial time. That's inexcusable!"
Except he was really angry. It sounded most unprofessional.
Joe Sheehan has an interesting free article on baseballprospectus.com on Jeff Cirillo's comments on how the balls are soaked at Coors Field this year.
One little tidbit, Jeff Francis has Batting average against at home this year of .202
http://www.blackathlete.net/Editorial/editorial083001.html
All of Hacksaws major blunders are found there.
http://tinyurl.com/j826a
The Royals announced they have agreed to terms on a major league contract (through 2009) with Hochevar, the No. 1 overall pick from the 2006 draft.
As with several other Boras holdouts, the maneuver worked for Hochevar. After agreeing to (and then changing his mind and declining) a $2.98 million contract with the Dodgers last year, Hochevar pitched in independent ball, flashed three plus pitches and improved his draft standing. He not only went No. 1 overall, but he signed a contract that guarantees him more than 60 percent more money than he declined from the Dodgers last September. His contract also is believed to have escalator clauses in it for being on the 25-man big league roster, which could swell the overall value of the deal to close to $7 million.
I am proud to know naught of Hacksaws nor Bricks.
Sold, for $220,100!
Sheesh. What idiot does their marketing?
(Apologies to their execs if it was contractually precluded.)
All of Hacksaws major blunders are found there.
I wonder how many are accurate quotes. For example he misquotes Campanis. If he can't get a well know quotation right, how can you trust the other so called quotes?
Ken Gurnick is dead to me.
That's enlightening.
For a team that has to worry about 40-man roster problems, signing a recent draftee to a MLB contract might not be in their best interest.
On the flip side, Hochevar might be the most talented pitcher in the Royals system now so it makes sense for them to offer him whatever he wants.
Remember, he was drafted in a slot area where 1 million dollar signing bonuses are high, they offered him top ten signing bonus money and he did not take it.
From what I read, the total amount of the deal could reach 7 million dollars, which is much more than the 2.98 million deal that was initially agreed too.
Don't you just love America.
http://tinyurl.com/rrgv8
Now, I realize it's a long game and the Dodgers felt they had other interests and priorities at stake.
I was wondering about this last night. What is the origin of the term "banjo hitting?"
Far be it for me to question America's Greatest Hero, but the cast of Friends should be on the "Never Existed to Me" list.
That's operating under the assumption that Hochevar is going to be good.
im glad he went to Kansas City.
Me too. Hope he likes losing.
That crafty DePo going after Guzman.
I suppose he then contacted Oakland and inquired about A. Perez.
Is a four year $50 million contract to Jason Schmidt a better risk?
Sigh.
Furcal.
Well atleast he'll be closer to home.
Except The Brick has now entered the realm of wild self-parody (unintentially, of course). Just think of it as comedy, and it's hilarious. Teams win because of "la passion", Kobe can do no wrong, DePo was the devil, and the Dodgers are bad this year because they traded Lo Duca, Cora, and Izturis.
Is he really Bill Plaschke?
Man, what sort of pitching are the Cubs throwing up there today? (Phrasing intentional.)
Man, what sort of pitching are the Cubs throwing up there today? (Phrasing intentional.)
No the contract to Schmidt wouldn't be a good idea, either. Just because one idea is better than the other doesn't mean both are terrible ideas. Hochevar will probably hurt his arm, lose command of one of his pitches, or any other of the inexplicable problems that lead to Oliver Perez type disappearances. This deal is great for him because he probably won't last to see a bigger one. There is some truth to TNSTAAPP
I just to a peek & it's still the same to me?
Meanwhile, still no line-up. Repko's gotta be starting today.
I'm not sure how to respond to that argument. Anything could happen to anyone, but teams still have to have players. I'm just talking about what risks make sense -- acknowledging that they are in fact risks.
I appreciate the point of view that this is just too much money to risk on a pitcher at this point in his career. I don't agree given the market, but I understand where you're coming from, if that's what you're saying.
Anyhow, I am logging off now for a while, so if I don't respond to further comments, that's why.
I really hope so.
This elite class consists of hitters with a long, storied career of terribleness. Neifi Perez is a member of this group, and Royce Clayton is filing for membership soon.
I hope Izzy dons't join that club, but he is nocking at the dore.
maybe they're trying to make their lineup older to vindicate Kruk.
OK, I'll be my own straight man.
I suppose he then contacted Oakland and inquired about A. Perez.
But DePodesta's boss wouldn't allow him to trade Dave Roberts for Perez.
As you were.
What does it say that Kent, Drew, and Nomar are not in there at all?
It took me a while to realize when I was futilely trying to learn golf that the best swings came with almost no sound.
The name is said to come from the twanging sound of the bat at contact, like that of a banjo.
Is winning the World Series and getting in the playoffs continually despite playing in a very tough division just not enough for some of you guys? Is it that you have to do it the right way? I realize that logic is the supposed rationale for sabermetric thinking, but results in the actual (vs. Pythagorean) world actually do count for something.
Sabermetrics is rapidly hardening into dogma. Pretty soon you'll be applying to the IRS for a tax exemption as a church!
http://www.thatsbaseball.org/id95.htm
Wikipedia celebrates 750th anniversary of American independence!
http://www.theonion.com/content/node/50902
I don't like it.
From "trade coverage"
I'm actually not on this road trip, so lineups may be a little later than usual and sometimes I won't be able to post them at all, but please be patient.
I guess we'll have to wait.
is he on vacation or something? (Josh)
And tonight will be the first time for DTers to give the team's only certain first ballot HOFer a lot of heat for not being perfect.
Presumably Josh Rawitch doesn't go on every road trip because he doesn't want to or have to.
Cincinnati and Miami during hurricane season isn't exactly a glamorous trip.
BP did a pretty solid debunking of the value of holding out in the chapter about Varitek's holdout in "Mind Game." If Hochevar really thinks he'll be a star, then why push his free agent period back a year? A young star pitcher five years from now will make at least $15 mil/year, I would guess. Hochevar just gave up one of those years to play independent league ball for minimum wage. Not to mention losing the chance to play for a perennial contender. Good thinking, Luke.
Good to see you again. We ate at Chai's last night. Yum!
In other news, it's really hot today...
Dodgers may need to win today just to not lose any ground to the teams ahead of them.
http://tinyurl.com/zvq3v
The Reds would give up the checkered jersey with a loss today combined with an Arizona win.
Hochevar for $4M
Tomko for $4M
Hendrickson for $?
Another shortstop for the bench @ $4M
Lofton for $4M
on and on. Dodgers blew that one.
It's like Highway 99. It's not very interesting.
156 I remember Judd, but not Widd.
And got to collect TWO World Series bonus checks.
Pitcher Jim Bruske, anxious to get more work on the mound, will get his chance.
With the San Diego Padres.
Dodger General Manager Tommy Lasorda traded the unhappy right-handed reliever to the Padres on Thursday for minor-league right-hander Widd Workman despite the fact that Bruske is 3-0 with a 3.48 earned-run average and despite the fact that the move strengthens the division leaders.
In the new Dodger front office, there seems to be little patience with malcontents, regardless of the cost.
Yep, the "Inland Empire" 66ers.
http://www.ie66ers.com/
Please, this is a family-friendly site.
Not to start an argument from before...but I was the one that posted that and I'm a bit offended. Yes Epstein won a world series, but so has Brian Cashman and he is hardly mentioned in the same way Epstein is. It's a very expensive team with huge resources and they've made their share of mistakes, which are rarely discussed. I'm not saying he's a bad GM, he's one of the better ones, but I think it's ridiculous to label him the "boy genius." Since the WS, he's had a bad Varitek contract, thinking Boomer could pitch, the Clement signing, the Beckett for Sanchez/Ramirez trade that looks bad right now. In the national media(I don't know about in Boston) he seems to get a bit of a free pass because of the WS.
The deal that sent Paul Konerko and Dennis Reyes to the Cincinnati Reds for closer Jeff Shaw on Saturday was among the most-discussed topics at the All-Star break in Denver.
The consensus was that Cincinnati General Manager Jim Bowden outfoxed Tom Lasorda.
Many baseball officials were stunned that the Dodger interim general manager traded Konerko--last season's minor league player of the year--and the left-handed Reyes, who was selected the organization's top pitching prospect last season.
Most Dodger officials believe Konerko will be a 30-homer, 100-RBI player for the next decade--and scouts in other organizations agree. Reyes is considered a potential 200-inning-plus pitcher.
Promote him!
"The Dodgers and Seattle Mariners have resumed talks about left-handed pitcher Randy Johnson. The Mariners want right-handed reliever Antonio Osuna, who was bumped from the closer role by Shaw, and second baseman Wilton Guerrero."
Jul 26, 1998
"The Dodgers soon could be sending out another youngster for a veteran pitcher. Unless that pitcher can get them to a World Series, let's hope that youngster is not Adrian Beltre or Wilton Guerrero." - Bill Plaschke
I have to admit that made me chuckle.(I love Tommy)
:o
To think what could have been....
Yeah, we like Grasshopper too, though we have only been there once. We're waiting for the weather to cool off (and bugs to go away) before we go sit outside there again.
So...what's changed?
And Konerko would just be blocking Loney, anyway... (just kidding)
Lugo, 2B
Drew, RF
Saenz, 1B
Ethier, LF
Betemit, 3B (good to see Dodger Thoughts taking the Pearl Jam reference a step further)
Martin, C
Repko, CF
Maddux, P
The Betemit comment is Rawitch's, not mine.
I wish the dodgers still had a team there. Where is the nearest one? Vegas.
Furcal
Lugo
Drew
Saenz
Ethier
Betemit
Martin
Repko
Maddux
"The Mets deal for two fresh arms, then surgucally attach them to Victor Zambrano."
more: http://www.theonion.com/content/node/51322
183 Repko batting 8th? WFT?
given that Kenny is batting .294 overall and has been very steady offensively all year, despite his occasional defensive issues, it would be hard to justify pulling him from the lineup altogether.
If by "hard" you mean "easy," then I agree.
I thought back in the day (when Pujols was just an unknown first-baseman) we were interested in trading for him, but balked when the asking price was Edwin. Am I just mixing up two different trade rumors?
June 3, 1993
"While the Dodgers waited in the No. 2 position, the Seattle Mariners, who have the first pick in today's amateur draft, reversed their field Wednesday, deciding to take shortstop Alex Rodriguez of Miami's Westminster Christian High over Wichita State relief pitcher Darren Dreifort, who will now be selected by the Dodgers.
The Mariners had been leaning toward Dreifort as a pitcher who could become the bullpen closer when Norm Charlton possibly leaves as a free agent after the 1994 season. However, a club official said Wednesday that the Mariners were now favoring Rodriguez because of his potential as an everyday player and the physical gamble involved in drafting a pitcher."
Ugh. We have been hanging out at Whole Foods lately to take advantage of their AC. We think my wife's boss (another "George") may be a business partner of Restaurant George, but we're not sure. They're very "hush hush" about it. Her boss is cheap too, so it would be a good match...
Oh, never mind.
Sigh.
Of course Rodriguez has really been stinkin' it up out there in the Bronx.
A-Rod attended a Christian high school...? I guess they skipped over Luke 12:15...
Don't you know what the saddest words in the English language are?
"Mark Hendrickson gets the start for the Dodgers tonight."
yeah those papers make you're heart pump a little faster then you'd like it to.
Seriously.
LA received 3-1/2 seasons from Shaw where he delivered 129 saves with a very good ERA+.
Meanwhile, what did the Reds get?
Reyes delivered 3-1/2 seasons of middling middle relief before he was packaged with Pokey Reese to Colorado for not much.
Konerko had an OPS+ of 73 in 81 plate appearances in Cincinnati, then was traded straight-up for Mike Cameron. While Cameron (plus old friend Antonio Perez and current friend Brett Tomko) was flipped a season later for Ken Griffey Jr., Konerko developed into an above-average power hitter on the South Side. But not too much above average - check his OPS+, even when he was hitting 40 bombs a season.
Verde has gotten better than it used to be. I got deathly sick the last time we ate at Vin Rouge (back in February), and we haven't been back since. I'm not sure the food caused my sickness, but my mind connects the two.
My wife just told me to tell you that the food has gotten a lot better at Parizade too. She works in the building, so she eats there a lot...
"Thou shalt not pop up with men on base"?
Speaking of ridiculous contract years: check out Javy's 2003.
>>ESPN says Javy Lopez to the Red Sox.<<
Oh well, I thought that since Toby Hall was so unhappy he might go there.
217 Sure, we'll take him.
Some of the "mistakes" you point to are borne of scarcity. This is what I keep going back to, in terms of how Colletti gets judged too. Hendrickson was a terrible pitcher to pick up, just awful, ridiculous...until you look around and see how few other options there were. A lot of GM "mistakes" are simply filling gaps with the best available option, taking a chance that player X will turn out okay after player Y has proven to be incapable of filling that slot.
If Varitek had been allowed to leave to get that bad contract somewhere else, would you have had a higher opinion of Epstein if he'd signed Bengie Molina? Or if he'd traded for Paul LoDuca? Mike Piazza? The option of somehow corralling Joe Mauer (or Russell Martin) wasn't available.
Sometimes, even the smartest GM has to settle for the next best option, or even the least worst option. Around here, GMs who do that get called "stupid," and I think it's somewhat lacking in insight to view their decisions that way.
P.S. I don't think Cashman lacks for credit, although his payroll is tens of millions higher than the next-highest. That does affect how much credit he gets. Not too many teams can afford to say, "Oh well, our $13 million outfielder got hurt, let's replace him with another $13 million outfielder." Not even the Sox, generally.
totally agree.
All the more reason to get it done now.
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