Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
1) Wild pitcher manages to bail himself out of trouble: June 21, July 13, July 28, August 10
2) Wild pitcher sinks under the weight of his own mistakes: June 26, July 2, July 7, July 23
3) Wild pitcher shakes it all off and finds comfort, joy in strike zone: June 15, July 18, August 5
"We live in a cynical world," Jerry Maguire said, and it's true. It's hard to find faith in the first of these Chad Billingsleys, hard to believe that it is internal guile and not external luck coming to his rescue.
Of course, it's some undefined combination of the two.
Billingsley does have some tangible things going for him that help diminish the damage of walking an astonishing 4.6 batters per six innings. When batters do make contact, more than half the balls they hit are on the ground. Among National League pitchers who have thrown 60 innings or more this season, Billingsley ranks 13th in that category. And when the ball gets in the air, the damage isn't too bad, either: his opponents' slugging percentage of .383 is 15th.
Those stats only encourage the seat-of-the-pants argument for Billingsley to trust his stuff more, which is all well and good except for 1) it's easier said than executed and 2) the question of whether that trust will backfire, with an increase in slugging percentage allowed. Billingsley's batting average allowed on balls in play, .277, is perhaps unremarkable, but if anything, it shows that luck has been a bit on his side.
It's possible that in some of his outings, Billingsley has walked the right guys, that the reason he gets out of some of these jams is that he knows which batters to go after. I'm not saying this is what happens all the time - Grady Little's avuncular chats at the mound don't usually come after Billingsley has walked Albert Pujols - but there have been moments where Billingsley has clearly picked his battles.
Billingsley could be the rare pitcher who wins despite high pitch counts. There is an exception to every rule. It's not as if any other Dodger starter is regularly turning in complete games, so there's no reason for Billingsley to be held to that standard. While his longest outing is seven innings, his shortest is five. I don't see a lot for him to be ashamed about there.
But we live in a cynical world. We don't want to bank on Billingsley being an exception to the rule. We want him just to rule, period. That tough out he gets with the bases loaded, we want him to get before the bases are loaded. Those bloopers and bleeders that every pitcher allows - let the leadoff batter be the one who hits them.
To some extent, we would rather see Billingsley challenge the batter and give up a home run than shy away to a walk. Not because the homer isn't more painful, but because we believe that Billingsley has the talent, more often than not, to get the batter out when he does go High Noon on them.
But for that to work, we have to be willing to accept the wounds that come with the dares and double dares. All of us. Billingsley's stuff is good but not overpowering. Simply throwing strikes won't provide a shield. That's a daunting reality for anyone to face in a pennant race (a reality that will have a manager considering his alternatives from time to time).
We live in a cynical world, and Billingsley lives there with us. Hopefully, that doesn't rule out any happy endings.
* * *
Maybe Billingsley isn't the second coming of Drysdale or Sutton. Maybe he's the second coming of Bill Singer (the athlete, not the latter-day misogynist). Or Pete Richert. Or Omar Daal. Or (insert run-of-the-mill Dodger pitcher here).
Who really knows?
I don't know many teams that can say the same about their five starter. In fact, I don't think I know of any.
"Of course, it's some undefined combination of the two."
I don't know if not getting flustered falls under "internal guile," but it must help that he doesn't scream at himself a la Jeff Weaver when he walks a couple batters.
6 - Oh, with baseball managers, is it really so impressive?
My expectations for Billingsley have been lowered to #3 starter over the next 2-3 seasons.
K/9 and HR/9 just havent been near dominant enough. The GB tendencies are ok, but nothing overwhelming. Nothing earth shattering like Blanton, Lowe, or Wang.
Very underwhelming rookie season, considering the hype. Am I disappointed? Yes.
But on to the next guy. Hopefully Elbert can be that #1.
The problem with the "better than anyone else's number five" arguments of course is that many of Chad's fans are hoping for him to be more than a good #5.
I'm off to what promises to be an extended war of bedtime attrition, so I'll just note that Jon's Pedro is pitching well in the early going here at RFK.
If I was charting the Dodgers:
#1- Penny
#2- Lowe
#3- Maddux
#4- Billingsley
#5- Hendrickson
Now, if I wanted to evaluate these pitchers, respective to the entire sample: I'd go:
#2- Penny
#2- Lowe
#4- Maddux
#5- Billingsley
#5- Hendrickson
I might be slighting Penny a bit. He's close to a #1.
including Blanton in gb/fb ratio comparison doesnt make sense at all.
I thought his GB/FB was a little better bc I knew his HR rate was very low (only 11 in 150IP).
As a result, I had hoped the Dodgers could find a third #2/3 guy as an alternative to having to overpay for a true #1. That's why picking up Tompko and Seo this year didn't make me smile.
my response: his outstanding minor league record indicates he will be a very good pitcher. While he hasn't been flawless in his big league debut, there are alot of things a Dodger fan should be excited about if they watch him pitch. This is his age 21 season, he will PROGRESS to the mean as he matures. And the mean, indicated by his strong minor league record is of a very good major league pitcher.
end of rant, i have to pack now.
After all, non-horses can't go more than eight innings, no matter how few pitches they've thrown.
Joe Morgan said so.
1 C Young
2 Arroyo
3 Zambrano
4 J Johnson
5 Carpenter
6 Oswalt
7 Webb
8 Penny
9 Schmidt
10 Smoltz
Incidentally with the Cubs Maddux had the worst LOB rate in the NL at 62.7%. That jumps to a ludicrous 84.6% with LA. His FIP was 3.69 with the Cubs, something I totally overlooked when we acquired him.
Would that be something you'd be interested in?
One thing that jumps out at me is that all of the pitchers on that list are big strikeout pitchers, which makes sense bc thats usually the only way to ensure stranding baserunners.
Maddux having a poor LOB isnt a surprise bc he doesnt K many people.
Billingsley being on that list, without an impressive K rate, is quite the feat tho.
Lofton, CF
Nomar, 1B
Drew, RF
Kent, 2B
Ethier, LF
Betemit, 3B
Martin, C
Billingsley, P
Looks like the everyday lineup.
Guess Lugo is a utility player now.
Not true, he's a rookie pitcher @ 21 years of age just trying to contribute, I'm really intrigued by what has unfolded with Chad, I really hope he pitches well today.
20 - Billingsley is capable of reducing his walk rate, likely to benefit from the reduction and likely to become a quality pitcher. The mystery, for me, is only how long this will take.
I don't think too many people are giving up on Billingsley. Some might be tempering their expectations, especially for this year. That's not the same thing.
I admit that I root for the Red Sox due, mostly, to marrying into a New England family. However much I want them to do well, though, I enjoy the heck out of the annual "the end is nigh" moment which happens to be occuring right . . . now!
This series between them and Detroit features 2 teams in great position on paper, but who are probably gripping pretty hard at this point. Although, I guess the cold reality of the AL is that a couple of real good teams are going to be left on the outs.
Chad is the first really hyped prospect to make to the Dodgers during this current run.
Sure, Martin and Ethier have done great and others have filled in but there is no question that Chad has been among the top prospects for a few years and the top pitcher talked about for many years.
Expectations are hard to temper and with the great performances of Papelbon in Boston, Jered Weaver and to lesser degree, Joe Saunders for the Angels, Justin Verlander in Detroit, Florida's group of rookie starters and then the ace of the group, Liriano in Minnesota, lots of Dodger fans wanted their own baby pitching ace to live up to all the billing.
Whether or not he does, tonite's start or even the rest of 2006 will not answer but we should judge Chad on his own merits.
Good luck Chad and go spear some Marlins.
(interior limousine)
Eric: Uh, where do you live Bob
Bob Ryan: Wha?
God Bless Martin Landau
MLB Audio stopped working on my Mac around the All-Star break.
So, despite paying for both to ensure always getting to follow the game, I'm left with Gameday and the stupid Giants-Padres.
I know many others have it much worse than me, but I'm really hating the world right now.
My advice in these situations is to start from a base, e.g., not being dead and then work your way up through things that make you happy. Eventually things won't seem so bad.
I believe Bob reported earlier that there's never been a team that went all season with zero CGs.
We'll see what Frank does. 5-run lead and 77 pitches, 2 hits, for Pedro through eight.
I'm having a hard time getting past not being dead right now.
Seems like death might be warm and trouble-free.
And why was this post not titled "The Three Faces of Chad"?
I still can't get Dodgers on Demand, the cable guy told me "it would work for sure this week"
1. Lose the Mac
2. Are you dissing Gameday...?
Already covered on the Griddle Sam.
Seems like death might be warm and trouble-free.*
death in IMO is a black hole of nothingness, thus you are correct sir.
Icaros don't get rid of your Mac. Don't become one of "them." I'm counting on you. Don't give in to the Microsoft corporate drones.
I look at you as a shining light in an ever-increasing fog of PCs.
That will change though as three of them haven't played or finished yet.
Err, make that, time of the game in Washington....
it was kind of clutch, he atleast scored one. NY fans probably booed him huh?
Remember I own a Prius. And I own a Mac. Do I own them because they are necessarily the best product on the market?
No, I own them to take over the moral high ground!
I gave up my car and bike commute. I rent when absolutely necessary (though I am probably going to buy the Prius plug-in when it becomes available or possibly have a car custom made as an electric).
I use Linux (though I also have a WinXP box).
To top it off, I am vegan. :)
I had the opportunity to come to LA last Thursday on business and catch the first win of this new steak. I was struck by Chad's competitiveness and, more significantly, his inability to hit 92 on the speed gun.
After the game, I turned on the AM 980/post-game talk (can't get that in Sacramento) and listened to the mostly endless parade of intoxicated Dodger fans. One sage caller from Riverside made the obvious point: 5 months into this season, Billingsley needs to skip a turn or two, if he is going to be of any value the next 6-8 weeks.
In the 8 weeks since Billingsley was called up, he has made 11 starts and 1,098 pitches (100 p/g avg.). In no game has he thrown less than 91 pitches. He is 21 years-old.
The wise man from Riverside calmly said to the clueless talk-show host who mistook the call as a sign of giving-up on the young phenom: "...have you ever pitched? Do you have any idea what it is like to 'hit the wall'? If they don't give this kid a break, they will peel him off the wall and it won't be pretty."
You're not one of them Class 3 vegans are you? You know, the ones that don't eat anything that doesn't cast a shadow.
Should we call you "St. Paul" from now on...?
It's baffled the Gameday operator so you better explain it.
On second thought, you're an attorney. You've forfeited all claims to moral superiority...
I'd still like these media issues to be resolved, and I can't find a working MS Word program that I don't have to pay for (I have no moral ground to speak of).
Bob: What do you think about using the conjunction "It's" (as you have) to mean "It has", when technically it should only mean "It is"...?
You understood what I meant didn't you? If you don't like it, take it with the International Tribunal of Contractions (ITOC) that convenes bienially in Antwerp.
Instead of first and third, one out, it's runner on third, two out. Runner at third doesn't score. Leyland is angry.
I hate you for making me type all that.
I'm no longer welcome at ITOC, after I caused a scene over the word "won't." I mean, come on: how do you get w-o-n-t out of w-i-l-l-n-o-t? Plus, why is OK to say something like "Why won't you go with me," but not OK to say "Why will not you go with me?"
I have great respect, though, for Linux.
It also rocks.
Man Fingers Fingers in Bracket Mess Up
But shouldn't each contraction have only one unique meaning? Should "It's" be able to stand for both "It is" and "It has"?
All I can say is, as cynical as this world is, at least Chad doesn't have to live in Tommy Lasorda's cynical world. He'd have Billingsley on a one-way ticket to palookaville by now.
There are two kinds of ingenues: The ones who are afraid to make a mistake, and the ones who aren't afraid to make a mistake. Both kinds cause their own particular problems. Both kinds can be undone by their predilictions, but hopefully they learn just in time to balance their natural talent with proper respect for their roles. Chad probably will learn to "trust his stuff" but not fully til next season.
Assuming the Dodgers make the playoffs, I'm not sure I'd have him on the 25-man roster if I had to decide today. He doesn't seem ready for that kind of pressure.
No, I've heard the "Mac makes viruses" theory as well.
Probably true.
What's your action?
Making big words shorter and shorter ...
97 Hey, it was an opportunity to bring up school house rock. Cut me some slack.
Detroit beats the Red Sox 3-2.
Maybe I didn't hang around with enough nuns.
http://www.opensourcemac.org/
Sounds like NeoOffice or AbiWord might be what you're looking for. And they're free, of course.
As an aside - if you consider contractions just words, then your objection to "won't" has no basis.
Oh, it has a basis all right. Yes indeedy-do. "Basis?" "Check."
BTW: I use "It's" to mean "It has" all the time in speech, but I never feel right using it that way in written form.
they pull you're ear when you don't behave!
Thanks. I'll give those a try.
True, I write speechy-sounding words like "kinda" and "sorta" and "gonna".
Tell me about your car.
It's got a V-6...
(but why not "It has a V-6?" And definitely not "It has got a V-6.")
Where is your dog?
It's left the room.
(But why not "It left the room?" And probably not "It has left the room.")
Maybe someone else will think of an essential, efficient use of "It's" to mean "It has." I couldn't.
4.0 IP, 6 H's, 3 ER's, 1 BB, 4 K's
His numbers for the season still look good, though:
36.0 IP, 28 H's, 0 HR's, 5 BB's, 52 K's, 2.00 ERA
That's similar to my problem with "won't" and "don't". If "don't" truly stands for "do not," why does it sound so wrong to say something like "Why do not you want to eat now?"
It's been a long time,
now I'm,
coming back home.
4.0 IP, 6 H's, 3 ER's, 1 BB, 4 K's
I'm still very happy with the innings & K's
Is that different from NeoOffice, which I'm downloading now?
By the way, everyone, I know next to nothing about computers, except that I sometimes hate them.
Great lesser-known Beatles song.
Maybe it would sound a little better as "Why do you not want me to eat now?"
http://tinyurl.com/jj7vn
You don't hold your position. Let the Hun do that.
This NeoOffice says it's from OpenOffice.org, so it's probably the same.
what does it mean if my laptop's wireless internet access hangs up (e.g. pages not downloading, streaming music coming to a halt), but if I gently whack the bottom of it against my knee, the hangup stops? Does the data get clogged like a wad of hair in the drain? Am I loosening the data bits by giving them a physical jolt?
Man I am so getting a Mac next time. Jobs has me right where he wants me.
(I may have these outbursts throughout the night.)
I thought it was a dump truck.
Or your wifi switch is on the bottom and your leg is switching it off and then on again.
The lack of proper diagnoses led to players playing with injuries for the most part. The players weren't tougher. They were just more expendable.
4 K's, no BB, 1 hit (but caught stealing); minimum number of batters faced.
throw it outside well off the plate
if he keeps that up, he's good for 6 or 7 no?
Has Werth been getting paid? This seems like weird behavior for a guy who's cashing Dodger paychecks.
Does that mean that the performance enhancers taken nowadays have a negative effect? Also, If they didn't work out all year or lift weights in the past, would they have made them less susceptible to injuries and missing games during the season?
This porridge is too hot
2) Wild pitcher sinks under the weight of his own mistakes:
This porridge is too cold
3) Wild pitcher shakes it all off and finds comfort, joy in strike zone:
This porridge is just right
6 K's through 5
187 - where to?
Do you know of any source that lists how many times the disabled list was used by teams, and by player?
You are complaining!??! or just being sarcastic...
As for the training, I think it would - if only because it allowed them recovery time. And considering that the vast majority of injuries we seem to be seeing are muscle pulls, strains, and sprains, it would suggest that the problem may have to do with the training that many players use.
Then again, guys like Nolan Ryan and Roger Clemens extended their careers because of training, so the kind of training done also matters.
Let's not go comparing the kids start to one of the best pitched games of our generation. Not exactly fair or telling.
Not really. Those are mostly around the Pheonix area and Tucson's about 90mins south of Pheonix and im mostly busy during the school year. I do see some Tucson sidewinder games though. those are fun...especially dollar beer night.
Also, there were scope surgeries nor Tommy Johns so when guys finally got hurt, they were done for a while.
mlbtv is a lifesaver!
Billingsley, that is.
What a pitch by Billingsley! (looked like a slider)
2 hits, 2 K
His strikeout/walk numbers are much better now
I predict Billingsley will make hundreds of dollars playing this game.
Would that be something you might be interested in?
Sorry. Couldn't resist. Yay Chad!
I'll be happy with a win
It would be less difficult then to figure out the last time somebody homered in extra innings to end a 1-0 game this time.
actually yea, one of my best friends is coming out with me. Hes going to fly to philly from tuscon on sunday (he goes to villanova) so we are going to party it up AZ style over 4 days or so.
Have a great year you guys. Sorry, I'm a little verklempt!
Warren Brustar?
Let's limit it to people on the roster now.
You could just toss fattys up there and let him hit it.
That's correct.
Look for a cameo by Warren Brusstar in the RGC on August 19.
Name that town.
http://tinyurl.com/pcozk
We will be at the Brewers/Rockies game on August 24, however.
A kind thank you to everyone who's actually remembered me. I took a break from posting, mainly because I've been busy with school and such.
And I'm rooting for the Giants.
Shoot me.
Icaros,
I have MS-Word (and the rest of the Office) suite for Mac.
Openoffice might work better. The version I have always takes a long time to open up the application.
The Behemoth.
Probably not.
Did you notice that F.P. Santangelo has been talking too close to the mic? Every "p" sound grates my ears.
"That P itch was off the P late."
I know. I'm really just mad that my Extra Innings isn't working and I just missed Billingsley's best game by far in the majors.
310
Thanks. I'll look into that.
http://www.oconomowocusa.com/
Not really. I've been more distracted by his sounding 16 years old.
Parade.
By the way, anyone else hear Skip Bayless this morning on ESPN saying the Bums will win 59 of their last 60? Is that a reasonable expectation at this point?
I don't know if it's possible to compare Bills' start to Maddux's, given the different career contexts, but they both seem incredibly gratifying.
I wonder what completely off-key headline the Times will give this tomorrow? "Lofton Lofty?"
From the book, which is excellent and very damning to Bonds::
" 'Guys still give me a hard time about it,' says Tankersley, who has gone on to a career toiling the minor leagues. 'But the way I see it, if you're pitching to Barry Bonds, it means you're in the big leagues. Plus, I was a part of history.' "
But "Good" silly.
Menomonee Falls
@ Kettle Moraine
@ Hartford
Wisconsin Lutheran
@ West Bend West
Beaver Dam (Homecoming)
West Bend East
@ Watertown
Madison West
The battle between the Coons and Beaver Dam should be full of delightful misinterpretation.
I also like the fact that Kettle Moraine High just took a name that is so straightforward since it's a geographical feature. It's like going to a high school called "Mountain."
That's it, I'm moving to Wisconsin. Not really.
She went on to UC Berkeley you know.
But she really just calls it Cal.
If either one of them pitches, the Cubs would tie the NL record for most pitchers in an extra inning game.
Any schedule that has the Pirates on it for 12 games is a good one.
Excellent point.
Pirates/Cubs/Brewers for 9 games, and then the some more whoopings of the Rockies to dole out.
Unless the Dodgers just get totally worked against the Padres/DBax, they might be able to coast into the NL West title.
Given the shot from the blimp, it looks to be a couple of ants and a termite. When did we sign them?
Thats 11 games made up in 18 days unbelievable.
Andre Ethier is on top of the division!
Whoa.
Yankee fans in the 1950s worried more about the Soviets invading Europe than we do today.
Have a great trip Sam. Hopefully when you get back we'll have won 28 out of 29.
But we know how we rate....
Don't worry, he'll end up doing something like that.
The emptiness will be too much for two weeks.
http://tinyurl.com/cveua
It's absolutely crantastic!
Sele - 49.71
Lowe - 50.58
Hendy - 44.13
Penny - 53.75
and based on a sample size of 3
Maddux - 67
I think somebody at Round Rock and somebody at Iowa is getting ready to come fill in tomorrow.
Besides, I've been driving so much that it's nice just to kick back and relax.
Add one.
Baseball-Reference lists Dummy Hoy as a similar batter to Brett Butler
Three stars for the game:
1. Billingsley - great pitching performance
2. Lofton - his fielding may be shaky, but he can still hit
3. Kent - just for the nice play in 8th getting the out after the runner slid past second
It would be more like an 1880s situation. If Hill couldn't pitch anymore, he'd have to go in to the field and they'd have to rotate positions.
Dodgers .5333
Brad Ausmus is catching his 18th inning.
A game shall be forfeited to the opposing team when a team is unable or refuses to place nine players on the field.
The stats would stand. It would just go in to the record book as a win for the team that was awarded a forfeit. There would be no losing or winning pitcher since this is extra innings and the Cubs would only forfeit if the game were tied or if they were ahead.
Yes, but if we were in the same division, we'd each be "0.0" games back of each other.
There have been other teams that have used 25 or more players, but it's been after 9/1 or in one instance, it was in April, but that was in 1959 and teams were able to carry an extra five players for the first couple of weeks.
The A's used 30 players against the Angels in a 15 inning game in 1972.
Lots of good Griddle stuff.
Or entries. I'm breathless with anticipation.
Tom Henke got the save. Somewhere, Jae Seo weeps.
http://www.retrosheet.org/boxesetc/B08100LAN1995.htm
It may be a Fortress of TimmerTude. I'm not really sure.
http://tinyurl.com/kkkmh
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