Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
Jon's other site:
Screen Jam
TV and more ...
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Lofton, CF
Lugo, 2B
Drew, RF
Nomar, 1B
Ethier, LF
Betemit, 3B
Martin, C
Maddux, P
in case anybody missed today's line up on Jons previous thread. I think Lugo has magical powers over grady :o)
Who the heck did I offend, and how?
Rupert Murdoch, when you cut off his limo in traffic, back on September 17, 1998.
He copied down your license plate.
Padres up 4-1 on the DBacks in the 9th.
Catcher George Kattaras appears to be the player headed to Boston.
It wasn't me, Mistah Fox, it wasn't me!
The Yankees and Red Sox played a 9-inning game in 4:45 recently.
so i'm guessing it was a good 16 inning game, wow 9 innings at 4:45 that's a bad 9 inning game.
I'm not saying the Hendrickson trade was any better, but at least we truly have the minor league depth to make a trade like that and have a truly dependable replacement.
Oh, so it was just as long as a yankee-red sox game.
Yes! No stupid trade from Ned.
I say unto to you Mr. Robinson:
BWA HAH HAH HAH!
http://tinyurl.com/oxynr
I must be driving Mr. Baseball Manager crazy. Good times.
Especially if they replace him with Dusty Baker!
I repeat my comment from 19 in regard to Dusty Baker coming to DC.
5-3 Tigers.
Scott Proctor hung a slider to Craig Monroe for a 3 run homer with two outs and the score 3-2 Yankees. Joe Torre is really overworking Proctor. Torre is doing to Proctor what Jimbo did to Mota.
It's now 5-3 Tigers.
alex white attended first day of classes at UNC so we lose his rights.
However, Akins decided to attend riverside CC so he will be a draft and follow for us and we control his rights up until one week before the 2007 draft.
so theres a good chance we can snag akins.
http://dodgerblog.typepad.com/sports_baseball_dodgers/2006/08/tk_title_1.html
And I was worried about what Ned was going to do.
IMO the Padres know they don't have anything for the future, so they wanna win now.
21 - I was at an O's/Yanks game at the end of '02 when Soriano was sitting on 39 HRs and iirc 41 steals at the time.
He put up a nice big clutch 0-5 with two whiffs. Good times.
yes sir.
Good Lord.
Yeah, no opposite-field HR here, DJ...
I've been getting more into hockey since Alex Ovechkin showed up here. He's something else.
But wasn't Hamulack a "fresh" arm? He has actually pitched reasonably well in his most recent stint. I don't understand calling him up for a few days and then sending him down when he pitched OK.
But that was just stupid. Really, really stupid.
"Tad Iguchi makes all the plays, especially the productive outs. He's Ozzie Guillen's MVP."
Do with that what you will.
BELIEVE ME I KNOW! :o)
I guess that's not against the rules when it can be misinterpreted positively.
Like that would be a useful thing to have!
The anti-Ryan Franklin.
anything Bin Laden is not fun nor funny.imo.
He also has struck out only 14.4% of his ABs.
Give somebody a cellphone with text message service and they can express any opinion they so choose.
As long as its one of the three options listed.
I wasn't alive to see Ruth or Mays. I guess that goes without saying.
Vin said the old joke used to be will we catch Osama Bin Laden first or will Aaron Harang get a hit first.
I'll give this to Greg Brock...He was the best Greg Brock I've ever seen play baseball.
I dont think it could go in effect this offseason. it is just way too soon.
Its just a rumor and it should not effect this year so Lugo should still net us some picks.
99 I think Vin said the joke was in the Cincinnati locker room last year.
STOG does rhyme with log...
Yes, the Padres beat Arizona 4-1
The Reds gave us that run, and it is a bit troubling that two innings we've had first and second and about 0 outs, and can barely get any runs in.
58. katysdad
Regarding an earlier thread discussing draft picks and the new CBA, this just in from Baseball Digest Daily:
"Many rumors are circulating stating clubs have been notified that, as a result of the new CBA, they may not get draft pick compensation for departing free agents. This is completely false. There has been no formal or informal communication on this subject. I have confirmation from two very high level sources indicating that absolutely no memo has been circulated among the teams. There may come a time when compensation is removed, but we still appear to be far from that day."
it's weird to explain because of my spelling skills, but he dose hold a regular job & i'm guessing he did watch & moderate last nights game, maybe he's just a little tired & needs some R&R?.JMO.
I can only picture Jon with a beard. :o)
i can only picture jon as brian cashman.
I thought it was more like Plato's description of a philosophy king.
B A, Bay
B E, Bee
B I, Bicky By
B O, Bo
Bicky By Bo Be Bo Bay
Bicky By Bo Boo
The way they are playing there's a good chance they'd blow it.
I'm not very imaginative.
Case closed.
No, I'm not kidding.
so Brian Cashman?
Cool. I learn something new here every day.
Jon Weisman is many things to me.
122 - Did you see that motorcyclist on Letterman the other day?
And whoever asked about INVINCIBLE last night, from what I could tell Papale saw the lineman was leaning by looking at his fingers and audible'd to change the coverage. That's about all I can say without spoiling the best part of the movie for everybody.
I read somewhere that Watterson said that he named Calvin and Hobbes after the two early-modern figures--John Calvin and Thomas Hobbes. I assume it must be a sort of ironic thing--both chaps have to count as some of the more grim and dour in western history. I usually mention this to my own mids in western civ.
WWSH
So nobody looks like Paul Mazursky either? You're not married to Anne Francis?
agreed but with Orel Hershiser's body. Robo Weisman!
Life is cruel sometimes.
Or be quite troubled by it.
Let me count the ways.
149 mentions a calculator showing the win expectancy in each possible situation; so you can go (same inning and run differential) from, say, man on first no outs, to man on second and one out, and see the change.
I copied this table once, which is a little easier, or at least quicker to use. Unfortunately, I don't remember from where. Use a monospaced font and put tabs between columns to see it correctly:
Outs Runners Expected Prob > 0
0 --- 0.49 0.275
0 1-- 0.88 0.435
0 -2- 1.13 0.633
0 12- 1.50 0.636
0 --3 1.37 0.837
0 1-3 1.75 0.870
0 -23 1.98 0.860
0 123 2.37 0.882
1 --- 0.26 0.159
1 1-- 0.52 0.276
1 -2- 0.69 0.414
1 12- 0.92 0.425
1 --3 0.96 0.667
1 1-3 1.17 0.653
1 -23 1.40 0.686
1 123 1.57 0.678
2 --- 0.10 0.067
2 1-- 0.23 0.128
2 -2- 0.33 0.224
2 12- 0.44 0.231
2 --3 0.38 0.275
2 1-3 0.50 0.286
2 -23 0.61 0.277
2 123 0.76 0.321
It clearly shows the negative value of a sac bunt, in average terms; it doesn't adjust, say, for a pitcher up with the score tied in the bottom of the ninth.
Off day tomorrow, too.
Are you gonna answer me, Mr. Big Man?
I think breaking ALL Jon's rules would make this the best comments thread in the history of the internet! (Rule 6)
On a different note, any minor league afficianados here? How is Van Slyke the younger doing and projecting out?
bluto
Setting: clubhouse, Dodger Stadium, on an off day or at another suitable time.
HOF Sandy Koufax drops by. He starts talking pitching with future HOF Greg Maddux.
The ultimate power pitcher and the master craftsman pitcher would not seem to have a lot in common. But they begin to talk.
A silence falls over the clubhouse.
Fortunately, someone thinks to turn on a tape recorder.
Hey....it could happen....
By the way, Pitt the Elder was Britain's greatest prime minister.
it's kind of like the teacher not being hear!! Jon!!! you're so cruel! & tempting at the same time.
Lord Palmerston!
pitching the 9th is the true test, but i'll be happy with 7 or 8.
June- .188/.212/.375, 32 ABs
July- .268/.349/.339, 56 ABs
August- .283/.356/.377, 53 ABs
MP at age 20
Prime Minister at 24
Dead at 36
Govern fast
Drink a lot
Leave a bloated corpse
http://www.olivercromwell.org/exhibition/ex14.htm
200 - Bottom of the page.
200 - Bottom of the page.
200 - Bottom of the page.
(Rule 8. We're almost there!)
so the first column is outs, then runners, then chances of scoring, or is it expected runs scored? And what's the last column?
so the first column is outs, then runners, then chances of scoring, or is it expected runs scored? And what's the last column?
so the first column is outs, then runners, then chances of scoring, or is it expected runs scored? And what's the last column?
only because he trusted Maddux to be near the bag.
Outs
Runners on base
Expected runs to score
Chances of scoring more than one run
Sorry, the last column is the chance of scoring at least one run not more than one run.
First column is outs, then runners, then expected runs scored. The last column is the probability that at least one run will be scored; yes, the label is a little cryptic.
Typical sac bunt (man on first, no outs) drops run expectancy in an inning from .88 to .69!
to be honest i'm still trying to understand some of the terminolagy of it.
As well as knowing more about baseball, Bob also types faster than I do!
nah! i kind of like it because i know some people can go over boared (including my self)
1) Pitt the Elder
2) Lord Palmerston
3) Benjamin Disraeli
You can email me your essay on your picks and I will decide the winner. The winner gets a Ministry of All the Talents t-shirt.
Very little love for William Gladstone or Wintson Churchill.
(that should take care of #4)
(No? Dang it.)
Sorry, the nominations are closed.
I believe it to be the most misunderstood post of the evening.
Unfortunately, people started asking where there was a posted code of conduct and that forced Jon to take action.
You just like Pitt the Elder because he fought to repeal the Stamp Act on the colonies.
Thanks. And man, with all those fly balls Tomko gives up, who else fears the ineveitable blow up of Brett?
This is a freakishly talented group of people.
I like to see that opposite field homer from him on the righthander side.
Then again, I am enjoying it now that we've adopted the "let's hit it over that wall out there more" strategy.
greg beat me to the punchline.
It wasn't my post.
It's what I do.
In 5th grade, I was in a play and portrayed Ben Franklin. Pitt the Elder was one of the characters, but I had to call him "The Earl of Chatham".
60.1 IP, 49 H's, 19 BB's, 54 K's, 2.98 ERA
If he is not put on the 40-man roster before the next Rule 5 draft, he is definitely getting taken away by another team, and he is good enough that we won't be getting him back. We should call him up now and see if we have something in him. The fact that we are talking to the Red Sox about a fat 43-year-old southpaw and are willing to give up God knbows what to get him when Stults is wasting away unnoticed makes me sick.
In my 5th grade play, I played Oceanus and I had to scold Prometheus and tell him that "you must become humble if Zeus is to forgive you. Remember, a vain tongue is subject to correction".
Subscribing to the maxim that "He who governs least, governs best," the greatest British PM is easily The Duke of Wellington, who led the government for one month (11/1834-12/1834).
There are too many people to thank so I'll close by saying I prefer my t-shirts to be sized XL.
I almost forgot what those were like!
back to back to back!
Time for them to regroup--after all, that is the team they are chasing for the wild card!
That is quite possibly the worst interpretation of any set of interpersonal dialogue in the entire history of human communication--nay, the entirety of entity-to-entity data transfer in the Milky Way Galaxy.
"My Prize Question therefore should be, To discover some Drug wholesome & not disagreable, to be mix'd with our common Food, or Sauces, that shall render the natural Discharges of Wind from our Bodies, not only inoffensive, but agreable as Perfumes."
Oops, I meant 279.
Just another fellow I have demanded satisfaction of.
The Cardinals are 19-6 against the West and the Mets are 20-7.
I'd pass on resigning Nomar, and play Betemit, Furcal, LaRoche, Kent in the infield.
Yes, but I thought rule #9 was only meant to be taken literally. After all, there is no traditional taboo in baseball about talking about a sweep; in fact, usually half the fans show up with brooms if it is a possibility that day. Where is the list's Hermeneutics and Exegesis department?
that infield looks pretty good. Although I do would like Loney to play somewhere on the Dodgers.
It's a cruel trick of the English language that resigning and "re-signing" mean basically the opposite.
Has made me do a double take more than once in the papers.
Some stadiums just let people bring in little whisk brooms.
Who, before going to a baseball game says, "Hey honey, pack up the kids and a broom, we're going to a ballgame!"
The only reason for having a broom around is if the police declare shenanigans.
I also think we need to take it slow with Laroche because of his labrum. Don't push him too hard. I would maybe start him at Vegas at the beginning of 2007 and go from there.
Usually the problem comes in a sentence like "Nomar is thinking of resigning".
I dont think there's much chance Nomar comes back at all. There was at one time quite a bit of pressure to resign him early in the year bc he was on fire and carrying the team, but he's really slowed down since then.
and theres that .380+ hitting 22 yr old 1b down at AAA
But Colletti and Ng can do the math and know they can get a better deal. Nomar would have to get very hot or lead the Dodgers to the World Series to get any consideration.
not if his health doesnt permit it.
I looked him up having never heard of him.
Its not a bad fate but our farm should do better.
Bill Hall has a 907 OPS this year. Why do you "fear" that?
Thanks, beautiful.
vr, Xei
329,330 I think you are right. And as appealing as Nomar can be there is that AAA guy. If he was 25, I would be sure his average would dip a bit in the Majors. At 22 its possible he may get a bit better!
So I expect a little more power next season, which will make the team that much better.
But I think if we replace him with Loney, we do need to build some more power into the lineup. So where would that power go? Seems like it would have to be Kemp and if so, is he going to play Center? If not Kemp, who? And more to the point for now, where?
I forgot to do that and i'm going to have to score myself an error on that play..
Tacos and a Dodger win though, I can't be mad
That's kind of mean, dontcha think? Grady's a likeable enough fellow.
I'm not sure where to get it but Kemp, and maybe later Laroche. One good thing is that players often develop a bit more power as they mature and even age. I think Furcal, Martin and Ethier will add more power as they get older, and even Loney.(Betemit of course) Maybe this is one place we add a
Free Agent, though I think it will come.
Dodgers .5338
A line-up that looks like this is formidable:
Furcal
Kemp
Drew
Kent
Ethier
LaRoche/Betemit
Loney
Martin
We lose Garciaparra and Lofton and neither of those guys were real power hitters anyway. We would have a net gain of power and still do well in the batting average/OBA department that has been the real driving force of our offense this year. Meanwhile the money we save from not paying Lofton/Garciaparra buys a good starting pitcher.
Some people tend to use the term as a pejorative. You didn't. Fair enough.
And of course, if I was GM, I'd put in a call to Cashman about A-Rod. But that's just me.
Another vintage performance tonight and some good solid defense behind and including Maddux and some good situational hitting. I still don't know about sending Drew all the way with one out when a triple would have set up a possible run and Nomar did hit a medium deep fly to right that would have plated an extra run, but that is quibbling on an otherwise great night. I can sleep well tonight, great August folks 21-7! They need a reasonable September 16-13 or 17-12 should take us home!!
Good night! Off day tomorrow!!
It's in our platform.
Getting Maddux at the deadline has saved our season along with Billingsley's strong performance. Disappointed with Penny's 2nd half but he still has time to finish up with his best season.
alternates are usually better looking than the regular uniforms.
Other agree
Check the last comment
https://griddle.baseballtoaster.com/archives/317999.html
These and similar questions explored in today's Post (on A1, no less!).
http://tinyurl.com/pvg3w
Was kind of the authorr not to frame his article around whether the team can match the Senator's 113 losses from 1904 or the Expos 110 from 1969, but I guess those both appear out of reach.
I didn't know the Dodgers still used an alternate uni. I thought it was exclusively white at home and grey on the road.
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