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I just poured myself a glass of Wilson Betemit, and I can't say yet whether it's half-full or half-unfull.
Many now consider the third baseman who helped key the Dodgers' late-July rally into playoff contention after coming over from Atlanta to be the biggest question in the Dodger infield. He tailed off toward the end of the season, finishing his Los Angeles debut with a subpar .257 EQA.
Arguably, the best-case scenarios at third base for the Dodgers would be for top prospect Andy LaRoche to go all Russell Martin on Betemit's Dioner Navarro, or for James Loney to play first base so that Nomar Garciaparra can move across the diamond. Both notions have their merits; neither is an even-money bet for April.
The midrange possibility platoons the switch-hitting Betemit with the right-handed LaRoche. Betemit has been notoriously awful against left-handed pitching in his career, OPSing .624 with a .276 on-base percentage.
Whenever anyone brings up Betemit's right-handed struggles (which have been perplexing because he's a natural right-hander), my first reaction is to point out how few opportunities he has had. He had 11 plate appearances against lefties in 2004, 84 in 2005 and 81 in 2006. For a player who just turned 25, I don't think this is enough to suggest he is hopeless from the right side of the plate.
(As you may recall, there is disagreement over what Betemit's actual birthdate is. Although some sources list him with a July 22, 1980 birthdate, I have joined others in concluding that his actual birthdate is November 2, 1981. The discrepancy arose from the falsification of Betemit's age so that he could sign with a major league organization sooner.)
Anyway, while it's true that he may never show prowess against lefties, it's too soon to close the door on him.
Against righties, Betemit has shown enough for people to drink a toast: a career .810 OPS, with 30 doubles, 18 home runs and 53 walks in about a season's worth of plate appearances (567). He has struck out 130 times in that span, but that shouldn't move anyone to tears.
Maybe the league figured out Betemit at the end of 2006, but would you disagree that odds are that a 25-year-old will improve?
Against the kind of pitcher the Dodgers will face much more often than not, the Dodgers have an .800-plus OPS third baseman. Against lefties, the Dodgers have, perhaps, a No. 8 hitter, but perhaps something more if LaRoche can play. (And I could stand to see Olmedo Saenz get a spot start there.) It's not the dominance at the position anyone would hope for, but there's no black hole there.
Meanwhile, the left fielder with the resume, Luis Gonzalez, OPSed .740 against lefties and .819 against righties at age 39 last year while playing half his games in a better ballpark for hitters than Dodger Stadium or Turner Field. Sure, the Dodgers might have Matt Kemp boosting the outfield at some point in 2007, but it's not clear to me that Betemit or third base should be the bigger concern for Los Angeles.
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I just poured myself a glass of Brook Lopez, and it's completely full!
(Clippers reference)
Plus, Boom goes the LaRoche just doesn't work.
It's not impossible that Loney could beat out Ethier for a starting job, by the way, is it?
Strike that. I'd hate to see him in Vegas, so I guess the outfield is okay, but it's still a waste.
Great line.
UCLA and Stanford play Sunday, not Saturday, so don't wait up.
There are advantages, though. They get tip off of the Lakers/Hornets game in less than three hours!
Mobley cut Lawlers Law down at the knees.
Betemit will be given at least through April and probably May to lose the job. If Betemit is really bad and LaRoche is really good it is more likely LaRoche would be at third May 1, just not likely.
Now if Loney has a really great spring I can see Nomar moving to third or even left and either Betemit or Gonzo sitting.
Tatis and Martinez could be competing for the utility roll but I don't see Tatis in the mix for starting at third.
If all the older guys do well in spring will it surprise anybody that the 51's could have a really great team starting the 2007 AAA season?
By now, I know the outcome of the game.
If you tell the score of the game to Rick Monday, you will be assured that no one else will ever know it.
Does anyone know what was promised him about this, if anything?
I'm guessing LuGo was pretty much guaranteed a starting position as well.
*eBay sellers who don't accept payments via PayPal
Interesting article I found when doing my prep for Fantasy Season (notice capitalization).
http://www.sportsline.com/mlb/story/9949470
Using their (admittedly slightly sketchy) model, Betemit could be quite the source of power they are looking for. I look for him to hit around 20-23 HR and Jeff Kent to hit that many as well what with his newfound love for exercising in the offseason.
while opinions on betemit seem to be split, i sure read a lot of reactions from braves' fans who were upset at the trade.
he deserves at least a half season to prove hiself as ready for prime time, but the AAA performance of laroche will no doubt be a factor as well.
Or if, say, I started a motor oil recycling company, but instead of recycling the oil, I just dumped it down storm drains? Well, maybe I'd go to jail, but you would still be a PayPal user. You're history's greatest monster.
Enlighten me, oh owl-killing one, as to the evils of PayPal.
Weird.
Bryan, if these recent Dodger grads still qualified, where would they rank in your 75? Matt Kemp, Russell Martin, Andre Ethier, Chad Billingsley and Kuo?
All right, we'll run through this quick. I love Kemp, his power-speed combination seems fantastic, and his athleticism is off the charts. I worry about his ability to hit a breaking ball, however. He's a better prospect than Carlos Gonzalez {#19}, so we'll stick him right in there. Martin would be extremely high on this list, I think the world of his defensive abilities, which will be combined with average offensive skills (above-average for a catcher). Martin and Tulowitzki would be neck and neck (#12). Ethier, man, I don't know. I think his great season was a little fluky, but he's still a very good young player. I'll say he's right behind Adam Jones (#29). Chad Billingsley would be close to Adam Miller for the third pitching prospect award, and my new love for Miller probably puts him right behind (#11). I would put Kuo down as the third-best Dodger southpaw in the system (a ridiculous statement), and he'd probably be right around the range of Mike Pelfrey (#31). Logan White has done one helluva job, hasn't he?
The number in paranthesis, I put in just to point out where the prospect would be ranked (I moved players back with the additions, so Kuo would have been 27th, but instead he was 31st. This is in addition to numbers 16, Kershaw, 18, Laroche, 20, Elbert and 37, Loney. The future is bright (especially for LHP with Kuo er Guo, Elbert and Kershaw).
Betemit could be a Sexon in that if he hits 35 homeruns it will come with a .235 batting average not to mention his vior, xyz, vorp, aztz, or obaha scores.
I guess I take that to mean that Betemit has been guaranteed the starting job and LaRoche has no chance of supplanting him.
See 24
Juan Pierre is the center fielder, no matter how badly he performs. I could see Betemit losing his job out of Spring Training, and taking on the Lugo role from last year
LaRoche's best scenario is to leave a very favorable impression on Ned and Grady. The competition at third in my view is between Betemit and Loney if Ned has the guts to move Nomar to third.
If I were GM I would be more confortable in letting Repko have CF if I knew I had a plan if he fails. That fall back plan might cost me $9M a year but I wouldn't let that $9M backup plan force me into making it my first choice.
I don't think Pierre has a lock on CF, at least not a Brinks lock.
But you know, friends, Panda Express is Chinese for "yummy" (according to Rick).
Short of injuries, I expect Betemit will be the opening day third baseman, but I know that Pierre will be the opening day center fielder. Pierre could hit .100 in Spring Training and still be there when the season opens.
A healthy Repko definitely would have kept Kemp in the minors at least until September.
Now he is back to being a guy fighting for a spot but he knows that Pierre, Gonzalez, Anderson and Ethier are all locks to be on the club. His competition is probably down to Kemp and the Front Office would rather see Kemp play everyday in Vegas than sit up here.
The best case scenario is Pierre having an unnaturally high BABIP, hitting in low .300s and posting an OPS ~.780-.790.
And since he always performs badly, no one notices anyway.
But as Jon says, even if JP were to go ofer March, and make 10 errors, the only way he wouldn't start Opening Day would be if he were injured. And he never gets injured.
Another way of thinking about this is that at the plate compared to Pierre, Luis G. will look good. And in the field Pierre will look better than Luis G.
Also I guess I should hope that Pujols, Grady Sizemore and Johan Santana get traded to us in a four way trade where we only give us Kent, Lowe and Nomar (and Hendrickson).
We are stuck. Fortunately, we can win with Pierre, but we will be winning in spite of him, not because of him.
I am late to the Stanford party, but I was telling my friends to watch how good the Lopez twins were and they left the bar very impressed.
"I don't know why people like the home run so much. A home run is over as soon as it starts....The triple is the most exciting play of the game. A triple is like meeting a woman who excites you, spending the evening talking and getting more excited, then taking her home. It drags on and on. You're never sure how it's going to turn out."
- George Foster, 1978
Unfortunately for me I knew how it was going to turn out and I'm sure it wasn't with the success rate of Furcal going for 3rd.
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