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4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
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11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Nine years after the Dodgers drafted him as a fifth-round selection, 30-year-old right-hander Scott Proctor will put on the Los Angeles whites and pitch for the team, after being acquired today from the New York Yankees in exchange for infielder Wilson Betemit if a single, unsourced report from ESPN.com's Buster Olney is true. (Update: The Associated Press confirms the preliminary agreement.)
Four years ago today, the Dodgers traded Proctor and Bubba Crosby to the Yankees in exchange for Robin Ventura, who batted .220 but had an OPS+ of 101 (100 being average) for Los Angeles as the team finished second in the National League West. (At the time, I called the trade "pointless.") Proctor became a major leaguer the following year with New York, and after two seasons of relative ineffectiveness, he came on in 2006 to throw 102 1/3 innings of relief (83 games) with an ERA+ of 125 (100 being average), striking out 89 while allowing 122 baserunners.
This season, Proctor has pitched 54 1/3 innings with slightly more difficulty ERA+ of 113. Beyond that, he has allowed 82 baserunners and eight home runs. His strikeout rate is declining. And he's been more lucky than unlucky, given that his fielding-independent ERA, according to The Hardball Times, is 5.49. He may be a victim of overwork, but that isn't likely to change in Los Angeles.
Still, with Rudy Seanez, after 3 1/2 months, finally becoming as unreliable as one would have expected in March, and with Dodger starting pitchers struggling to pitch past the sixth inning, even an average relief pitcher could help. Almost all relief pitchers have short shelf lives of effectiveness, and the Dodgers will just have to hope that they catch Proctor before he completely expires.
To shore up their banged-up pitching staff, the Dodgers traded a more valuable player than Proctor by shedding Wilson Betemit. While no All-Star, Betemit, particularly against right-handed pitchers, was quite simply one of the Dodgers' best hitters. He was often mocked for his propensity to strike out, but those strikeouts distracted the critics from realizing his value.
However many times he made an out, it was more rare than any Dodger infielder except Jeff Kent and James Loney. His slugging percentage was also higher than any Dodger infielder except those two. Much has been made of Nomar Garciaparra's July hot streak, yet few noticed that Betemit was even hotter, with a 500 on-base percentage and .667 slugging percentage.
Betemit lost fans because simply because of the type of outs he made, not because of the quantity. He was a book judged by its cover. And that always makes me sad.
That fact remains that the Dodgers will stick with Garciaparra and Kent at third base and second base for the remainder of the season as long as they stay healthy, so that there was no starting role for Betemit. And with Andy LaRoche, Tony Abreu and Chin-Lung Hu in the minor leagues, the Dodgers are also covered for the future. At least one of these players has a higher ceiling than Betemit.
One underrated consideration of the trade might be that the Dodgers, having already discarded Marlon Anderson, now find themselves losing yet another left-handed bat off the bench. They still have Luis Gonzalez or Andre Ethier on the days those outfielders are resting, but that's really it. Righties Olmedo Saenz, Ramon Martinez and Mike Lieberthal make up the rest of the bench, pending which hitter the Dodgers add to the roster. (If no other trades are made today, the Dodgers would probably send down Eric Hull or D.J. Houlton to make room for Proctor and keep the pitching staff at 12 pitchers, and then call up another hitter.)
I would have much rather seen the Dodgers give Jonathan Meloan a shot at aiding the bullpen before acquiring Proctor. In fact, trading for a middle reliever is almost by definition against good judgment, unless you're giving up a fringe minor-leaguer in the process. But given the reality that they haven't tried Meloan yet, given the pressing need for pitching help so that they can ease off Seanez, and given that the Dodgers were probably never going to warm up to Betemit even though he hit 19 home runs in 330 at-bats as a Dodger what can you say? You just hope for the best.
It only makes sense if there are more moves being made.
Also, I'd prefer Dotel over Proctor. I hope Farnsworth is a throw in and we get two arms out of it. It isn't a done deal yet, is it Jon?
1) DFA Hernandez or send down Hull
2) Call-up a position player (LaRoche or Young?)
Young was an infielder before moving to the outfield. He was a solid second baseman. If Kent is down for a little while, that might be the move.
I just looked up Scott Proctor on Wikipedia. As Wikipedia is wont to do after a celebrity death, they've already got him traded back to the Dodgers in July 2007.
Looks like the guy is a hothead! Two retaliatory beanings...and about a month ago, he set his own equipment on fire after some bad pitching.
Like you crazy kids like to say, I'm "meh" on this deal. I'm glad to have some help in the bullpen for the next few weeks, but it seems like we gave up a lot to get Betemit based on his potential, and now have only a mediocre middle reliever to show for it. There must have been some internal frustration or disappointment with him.
Also, those who said Betemit playing second base on Saturday was a showcase were clearly proven right.
Assuming Betemit can play 2B, Church and Rauch for Betemit and a decent pitching prospect might have made more sense for both clubs.
Not the Minotaur or anything like that. Greg Miller maybe? Too much to give?
HR/9: poor
BABIP: average
whip: below average
hr/9: below average
k/bb: poor
bb/9: poor
k/p: average
era: average
Me don't likey those #s. This is a throw away trade considering who we gave up.
vr, Xei
Not crazy about the trade, but if it was a choice between Betemit and Laroche to go, I can deal. I don't get it from the Yankee standpoint. It's not like he's going to get a lot of playing time at short, third, or even second.
"I am not a big Proctor fan by any means, but it seems a little presumptuous to assume the Meloan would come in and pitch as well in the majors as he has in AA. How many times does a young player fall flat on his face when promoted."
Nobody's assuming Meloan would pitch as well in the majors as he has in AA. They're assuming that he could pitch at least as well in the majors as Scott Proctor can, or Rudy Seanez, or Roberto Hernandez.
Young, extremely high strikeout pitchers tend to dominate in the majors fairly often, immediately after getting called up. Their stuff usually prevails. Look at J. Weaver, F. Hernandez, Zumaya, Verlander, Gallardo, Lincecum for examples. If anything they tend to have a period of immediate success followed by a few struggles once the league adjusts to them.
vr, Xei
He has power. He is versatile, can play any infield position, switch hitter. I like him on my team especially since we only gave up Batting Practice Baez to get him.
We should have gotten more for him than Proctor straight up. Hopefully there is more to the deal than reported so far.
I'm going off somewhere to dream about Mike Trombley.
Proctor gives them a little more insurance in that area.
Also, Andy LaRoche may have finally convince the Front Office that he is the heir apparent at 3B, and I think Ned liked what he saw out of Abreu at 2B.
Am I crazy about the deal, no, but given the other rumors out there, at least this one won't make me grind my teeth at the Stadium tonight.
vr, Xei
Yeah this is the guy who's gonna help us get to the postseason............
I feel exactly the same way about this as I did about Hee Seop Choi. Both guys are young "three true outcome" players. The team didn't recognize (or didn't value) the upside of either, especially the huge power potential. Both were let go for less than they were worth (Choi was DFAd). Both blows are softened by the presence of a probably superior prospect on the horizon (Loney for Choi and LaRoche for Betemit), but in both cases, the prospect was blocked by Nomar Garciaparra.
I'm sure Proctor will help in the short run, but the short-run bullpen problems are due to injuries, not low quality. So the only justification I can see for calling this a balanced trade is if the Dodgers have a very high discount rate -- that is, if marginal improvement in August 2007 is perceived to be more important than bigger improvement later on (obtained through Betemit's performance or the performance of a better return on the WB trading chip).
I'm in the upset-but-it-could-have-been-worse camp. I think Betemit can be a star. If he can raise his BA to the .270 range, with all that patience and power, he can star for someone.
As for what this means about Colletti, well, it's another poor, needless, but far from disastrous trade. He remains hyperactive, but for whatever reason, knows enough to avoid the D4P type debacle. I used to read the tea leaves, inferring Colletti's player-evaluation criteria, and dreading the huge blunder. Now it looks more and more as though the small trades, while generally not to my liking, are all there is.
So Colletti may be a moron, but he's a risk-averse moron. It'd be much much worse if he were a risk-loving moron.
vr, Xei
I approve of the simplicity. I hope you and I are wrong but I feel like Ned had to make some kind of move and this is what he did to appear that he wasn't going to war with Roberto and his ancient arm.
Ughh.... I'd rather have Al Reyes.
Considering those tendencies, maybe the Dodgers hope to be able to save Meloan for the post-season. That was a very effective strategy for the Angels(FRod) when they won the World Series
Again, I thank the heavens Kim Ng is in there. Protecting the boss from himself.
-trade furcal for snell
-sign arod for short
only way to amend this trade!
Proctor is a piece perhaps, but we need more than one arm.
What is Proctor's contract status?
man, you guys are writing some good stuff today or maybe I just agree with what you guys are saying a lot today.
So don't trade him.
vr, Xei
Then why trade him at all? Especially for garbage!
Good point. The price of pitching is steep this July and we need pitching. You have to give up something to get something. It would seem that Betemit would have brought more based on his age, contract status, and upside. However, it is what the price is now and Ned wasn't going to sit pat.
I just hope we have another arm coming. If we really want to make a run at this, we need more than Proctor.
We could've held on to Betemit and traded him in the offseason for more of a return.
Scott Proctor p
1 year/$445,923 (2007)
re-signed 3/07
1 year/$352,675 (2006)
ML service: 2.010
32 "They would likely rather bank on Mueller helping Nomar to turn it around this year, with LaRoche coming up next year and lots of other ways to fill 2B."
So are we eating $10 million next year, or is Nomar going to be a bench player?
Personally, I'm in the camp that Eric describes so aptly in 25.
The problem with this stems from defining "more". People define "more" differently, and I think it's say to conclude that Ned defines "more" differently from most SABR-minded folks.
Which pitcher gets dumped: Hull, Houlton, Hernandez, or Seanez?
Which hitter gets called up: LaRoche, Abreu, or Young?
I think it will be Hull and Young. Though if I were making the decision, it would probably be Hernandez and LaRoche.
40,41 I don't agree that Proctor is garbage and I think he is a better pitcher than Seanez and Hernandez.
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=6527
And here's one vote for giving Hull a chance over Hernandez.
I'm assuming Abreu will get the call up over LaRoche, since Abreu can bat both right and left...?
Don't mismanage the good player.
Why would you be excited about Proctor and not like Chubbs?
What can he possibly become, other than a bench player, unless he is traded?
58. Yep!
vr, Xei
Queue: Standing ovation from crowd at Dodger Stadium
Abreu if healthy. If not, it depends on if Kent is able to go. Nomar to second and LaRoche to third? Not likely. I think Ramon M will play second this series if Kent can't go. I'd prefer it to be Betemit, but if the trade goes through, that option is gone.
Hull first to go with Roberto on a very short leash.
Only thirty tw days until the return of Giovanni Carrara?
It really needs to be LaRoche up. This will give Nomar some more time at 1st (leaving Loney as an impact LH bat off the bench on certain days).
Cards are shopping him and the Cubs and Indians are interested. Jayson Stark says the Dodgers are working to acquire him for a mid-level prospect as of Tuesday afternoon. Jason Isringhausen is also available, but he says he would not waive his no-trade clause even if his new team exercised his $8M option for 2008. The Tigers like Izzy. Russ Springer is not available....This rumor was last updated on 10:32 AM - Jul 31, 07. The source of this rumor was Jayson Stark.
People are lining up for standing ovations?
Pertains to Troy Percival
Proctor's performance (and peripherals) indicate that he is not good. It may be overuse, or whatever. But he is not good.
Pretty much.
Yes it's Troy Percival
Betimet became expendable because there was no place for him to play this year or in the next couple of years.
It's not a great trade, it's not even a good trade, but given the shakiness of the bullpen as of late, it's also not a bad move.
It is, I suppose, a traditionalist trade.
I just don't think it's smart. And it reinforces the negative things we think about Ned.
(Yes, I'm afraid I'll be here all week.)
Do you think Proctor is better or worse than Seanez? Hernandez?
Nice of you to come out of the woodwork. I think you showed up last year when we dealt Aybar for Betemit but at that time I disagreed with you as I liked the deal.
Why would I want to rub it in?
Jay Howell and Jesse Orosco helped a great deal, although we did get them for a guy who won the Cy Young Award a couple years later.
We also made an excellent trade in getting Paul Quantrill (and Izturis) for Luke Prokopec.
Trade Proctor for Percival!
(He's just resting, pining for the fjords... Er, where was I?)
Like I said before, if the bullpen in a month is Proctor and Meloan (along with Brox and Saito) instead of Seanez and Hernandez, I'm happier with that bullpen, is all I'm sayin'. I do hope we see LaRoche get another chance sooner rather than later, though obviously the team needs another lefty off the bench. Which, as was mentioned earlier, may mean the team could regret DFAing Marlon. But anyway... as long as my favorite prospects are protected, I'm feeling okay.
July 31, 2003: Acquired INF Robin Ventura from the New York Yankees in exchange for OF Bubba Crosby.
Result: Ventura became one of the better bargain acquisitions, solidifying the bench as a left-handed hitter and the clubhouse as a stable veteran presence.
2007: Proctor for Betemit
WHAT?!
I'd love to see what the AGMs think of this deal.
And then Jeff Shaw helped the team, too, though we all know who they gave up in that deal.
Brad Penny - 46.8 VORP (teh trade), Martin - 35 VORP(drafted before Ned was here), Jeff Kent - 33 VORP (originally signed by Depodesta) and Derek Lowe - 26.5 (signed by Depodesta). Who are the worst everyday players? Nomar - .2 VORP (trailing Jason Schmidt, Derek Lowe, Randy Wolf and Kuo in value as a hitter) and Juan Pierre - 3.2. This team is winning because of Paul Depodesta, Logan White and Dan Evans and in spite of Ned Colletti. Trading one of his best moves away is one more step in the wrong direction.
-Jeff Shaw (lousy trade, but it wouldn't be a stretch to say he "helped")
-Yhency
-Quantrill
-Mota
Anyway, I can't figure out why we didnt' just bring back Carrara, or Mike Fetters.
And a lot of people will look very foolish. But it's just my opinion. We'll see.
Nice to see that everybody beat me to whatever points I had in 114.
Just another 2 things to make me feel old.
If he goes there, they're winning the World Series, of course. Which they may do even if he doesn't go there.
Yay!
I already look silly on the Betemit age thing. I keep forgetting about that.
Big time 2nd baseman have to exist to go after one. They just don't materialize out of thin air. The reason Kent is still valuable is because of the lack of big time 2nd baseman. Even now he's the 4th best offensive 2nd baseman in baseball. Utley ain't going anywhere.
Cherish these moments, Brian Cashman.
Betemit, who lost his job as the starting third baseman in May, is a 27-year-old switch-hitter with 10 home runs, 26 RBIs and a .231 average who has shown considerable improvement since Bill Mueller took over as hitting coach six weeks ago.
Bill Mueller gets more good press than Barack Obama.
I should add that, for those not arriving early, near the intersection of Morton Pl. and Park Dr. (entrance to Elysian Park near Academy Rd. stadium entrance) is not a bad place to park and walk. Hard to describe precisely where it is so I'd suggest google-mapping it.
If it's not ludicrous, I'll do it.
This deal was made from a position of weakness and I can think of no rational defense for the trade.
If Proctor turns around his CY peripherals (54.1/IP 37/K 29/BB) and actually becomes a league average 7th inning pitcher, his value will remain far below that of Betemit (0.359/OBP and 0.474/SLG%).
What sickens me about this deal is that at 26, Betemit is about to enter the most productive 2-3 years of his career. In contrast--only once in his 4-year MLB career, has Proctor allowed fewer hits than innings pitched and he has NEVER had a 3:1 ratio of strikeouts to walks. In fact, other than in 2006, Proctor's peripherals are markedly below the MLB average for middle relievers.
Melon and probably 2-3 others from Las Vegas or Jacksonville would have been more productive and less expensive.
This is just a disgusting waste of talent and resources. A conclusion that I am reaching on far to many of Colletti's transactions.
It's a great idea, by the way.
Wily Mo + Craig Hanson?
I have been parking on Academy Drive, closer to the light by the Academy Gate. Now that I think about it, does anyone know of a better place to park for someone walking to the Top Deck (outside of the stadium). My wife really hates the stairs, but I like the workout.
Jonah Keri:
Looks like Gagne might go to the Red Sox, possibly for Kason Gabbard and David Murphy
Anybody notice how studiously I'm sticking to parking, and avoiding talking about the Betemit/Proctor deal. Not talking about this trade is great!
Couldn't agree more. Ned couldn't get a starter so he panicked and picked up a reliever at any cost. Betemit played good defense at 3rd and could handle 2nd as well as Kent so he was versatile. Also, he had power and left handed power, which we desperately need. His OPS was well over 800, a fact that can't be ignored (does Ned even know what this statistic is). I think Meloan could do as good a job at the 7th inning as Proctor. Not a good trade in the short-term and potentially terrible in the long-term.
Ned continues to fail to impress me. I liked the Betemit for Aybar deal as one of the only deals that I liked Ned making (Izturis for Maddux being the other). A few others have turned out well that I hated at the time (Ethier), but at this rate, I'd much rather have Bill Stoneman as my GM.
thats all!?!?
Am I overvaluing Betemit here?
Once again, any bay area DTers who wanna join Icaros, me n' Paul tonight to watch the game at the 4th Street Bar and Grill, drop me a line. underdog8@gmail.com. We'll be there around 7. I'll be increasingly afraid to watch any of these games out in public here because of the pending Bonds record - who knows, he could hit one off Penny tonight - but it should be fun to watch it (or suffer) with others.
Maybe Scott Procter will be the lucky victim.
I am definitely not rooting for it to happen to us, but if it does happen on Thursday, I will be excited to witness history.
I was killed yesterday for saying we will never win a WS with Coletti in charge and that we win in spite of him. That might be to harsh and agree that the man needs more time, but trades like this don't make me feel any better, that's for sure.
that said, getting Betemit for him was, obviously, a steal--
After that probably comes Martin's walk off grand slam. Just once, I'd like to be able to say, "I was there."
The Bonds Killer?
"Beimel has allowed only one hit in 14 career at-bats against the slugger. 'I watched guys in the past try to pitch around him and mentally I think he can feel that and he can sense when somebody is afraid of him," Beimel said. 'I've always tried to go right at him and be aggressive.'"
And will Torre allow him to replace the sainted Miguel Cairo as utility IF!? I devoutly hope so, but have my doubts......
Btw, one more comment on Bronx Banter, re Proctor:
33. rbj
Another one who liked Proctor and kinda sad to see him go. Word is, Scotty's right arm has already flown out to LA, it's so happy to get away from Torre.
Yes, which is why he'll undoubtedly be called on to pitch to him. It was really more about picking odds on who he'd face who wouldn't walk him.
1. he makes a trade at the deadline so people can't say he didn't.
2. he gets rid of a player who has no place in the line-up and who seems to have no favor with the team.
3. he picks up the middle reliever we apparently need. (though do we need him?)
i think most importantly for a gm.
4. it puts betemit in a new team where he virtually has no chance of excelling now or in the future. all he can play is backup 2nd and possibly 1st? Can he even play first?
i've read that betemit might be a safety just in case a-rod opts out. why anyone would opt out of 25 million dollars is beyond me.
sure, betemit has potential. but by colleti trading betemit to the yankees, ned's assured himself of being able to say. sure we got a rent-a-reliever but look at betemit; he doesn't even play.
Does anyone else remember my dream from a year plus ago with Kershaw and some groupies and his agent -- Nate Purcell? I hardly remember the details anymore.
I do remember that it was in a public setting and there was no groupie-business, if you were worried.
If we can win the division with a little duck tape, I'd take a short series with Penny, Lowe, and Bills and a pen of Brox and a healthy Sammy.
Unless we get a SOLID number two starter, we shouldn't sell the future. And if Kemp or Loney go, I'll be beside myself.
If Kershaw or LaRoche is traded, I'm not going tonight.
Which minor league pitcher would you rather give up for Blanton?
A. Kershaw
B. Meloan
Keeping TINSTAAPP and Kershaw's youth in mind, I'd trade Kershaw over Meloan.
Betemit cannot play second base as a regular. A team can put him there, like a couple teams put Alfonso Soriano there, but Betemit can't play the position on a regular basis any more than Soriano could without harming his team. Abreu is an excellent defender at 2B, and when he is playing in the middle of the diamond with Chin-Lung Hu at Dodger Stadium we will have the best double play combination in baseball, much like we had when we had Cora and Izturis, but the difference will be that Abreu and Hu will hit the ball all day long.
Abreu has a good chance to be a much better hitter than Betemit. Not a little better, a lot better. People are not taking account of the fact that Betemit is four years older than Abreu. When Betemit was the age Abreu is now, 22, Betemit hit .262/.315/.414 in a full season of Triple A. Abreu was hitting .347/.397/.503 in Triple A when he got called up this year. For those who are not pleased with Abreu's MLB line of .288/.328/.415, maybe they would be a little more appreciative if they just considered that Abreu hit better in the majors at age 22 than Betemit hit in Triple A at the same age. Right now, Abreu is not a finished product, any more than Betemit was four years ago. Yes, at his current level of development Abreu is too aggressive at the plate, but there is plenty of time to polish the rough edges, since he is not expected to be a regular for us now, and won't even be expected to be ready for that next year, with Kent still on board in 2008. Next year Abreu and Hu should be playing every day together in Vegas. 2009 will be their time to take over from Kent and Furcal. Be patient.
1. He was once one of the Braves Top Prospects but he disappeared from that list long before the Braves traded him for Aybar and Baez.
2. The Braves don't give up on many GOOD prospects - give them that!
3. Betemit has great talent (so does Kyle Farnsworth) but his struggles show that 50% of his problems ARE 90% MENTAL (thanks Yogi).
4. These types of players tantalize you, but rarely deliver the goods. Maybe he will, but the odds aren't good. Not many players with his expereience make 180 degree turns.
I disagree that Ned was dealing from a position of weakness. 3B seens to be a strength for us: LaRoche, DeWitt, Bell, even Abreu are waiting in the wings for Nomar to stumble (more)... and LaRoche is truly "on fire." 3B is our strength and Wilson Betemit had no place to play, and he's not a 2B - way too big!
It kills me when I hear "Ned could have gotten more for...."
Why didn't he? Maybe someone offered more and Ned said "No, I can't do that. It's not fair to you."
Everyone should realize that Ned (or any GM) will try and maximize any players' value. Ned has made some bad trades in that he has been loathe to trade any of our top prospects so far and the trade material hasn't been good, so what we get in return may not be good. The key is to keep on trying.
I think an experienced bullpen guy will help. Proctor should be better than 4 of our current bullpen guys: Seanez, Hernandez, Hull and Houlton. I too want to see Meloan and I think it will happen shortly. Ned just wants to make the transition as easy as possible for him.
I also would rather see Abreu, Young or LaRoche than Betemit.
Wilson Betemit may ultimately be a decent (not good) player - Journeyman, I would predict, but he had no future in LA.
No, but what is your point. Haren was better then Mulder the day he was traded.
about 70 long minutes away
will that mean that Jose Cruz will finally be paid by us to not play again?
email me: xeifrank@yahoo.com
vr, Xei
HA!!!!!!!!!!!
I don't know how you define uncommon, but there has never, ever been a significant number of people at Dodger Thoughts giving up on Loney.
What a dumb move. He is going to opt out in two years and leave LA no matter which team in LA he is on.
I think we can call that a "win" for Texas now.
I do agree with Canuck above that I don't feel like Abreu gets quite a fair shake by some here. I mean he obviously has some things to improve upon on offense, but this was his first taste of the major leagues this year. I'd like to see him develop more power, but overall I see a lot of potential with the guy. And he's 22.
---
Shaun on Bronx Banter was asking about the possibility of Proctor starting at some point. He has in the past. I could see him as an emergency starter but not any long term solution. But that was something that had never occurred to me.
I want to be a trade deadline "Incomplete"
Scott Proctor = Edwin Jackson
That is what I'm afraid of.
Willy Aybar = Domican Lindsay Lohan
I liked it better when we were losers for getting Brad Penny and Steve Finley.
oops, Dominican (sp?)
Well I know for a fact that Boston was on his list of teams he had to waive a no-trade clause for. In fact, they may have been the only team.
----->
SEA, ARI, STL, BOS, CLE, PHI and DET
I do not like him as a corner infielder in 2007.
John McEnroe just left me a message for you , "You CAN NOT be serious."
Who should be the Dodger 3b in 2008
¤ Nomar Garciaparra 15%
¤ Wilson Betemit 22%
¤ Andy LaRoche 62%
Votes: 98 :: Comments: 0
ESPN is American Airlines.
Quantity vs. Quality.
Hahaha... Kruk'er just said he has no idea what SD is doing- "Let's get 18 bench players and see if one gets hot."
Let's try to get a starting pitcher for a well respected but non-essential prospect. And then go home.
277 Great question. I could have just said "the airline industry" instead.
so now it's 5 guys. This keeps getting better for Texas
Logan White liked Beau Jones going into the 2005 draft enough to state after the draft that he was prepared to draft him if Hochevar was not there with our pick.
And as with Abreu/Betemit, it's not an either/or thing. I liked Choi and I like Loney. So did many others. If, say, this year, it came down to Choi vs. Loney, that would have been one thing. But that was never the dilemma.
I have no recollection of many people saying that the Dodgers had no future first baseman when Choi was DFAed. The controversy then was Choi vs. Garciaparra, not Choi vs. Loney. History will now state that Choi was not meant to be, and sure, there have been some dissenters about Loney, but I'm quite confident that there has never been a fierce anti-Loney crowd.
In fact, though this itself was folly, I would say it's more representative of the group's feelings toward Loney: https://dodgerthoughts.baseballtoaster.com/archives/12427.html.
Billy Beane: I'm in your farm systems, picking through your prospects.
Boston got Garnett.
though i couldn't care less about basketball
Wouldn't say I gave up on him but I sure lowered my expectations.
Discussing Bonds and reinforcing the ludicrous (and, frankly, idiotic) article he wrote today.
Sorry if this post offends, but I think it does have something to do with the Yankees desire to trade him despite their struggling bullpen. On a baseball note, I am worried that Torre used him so much last year that he's just out of gas.
Then he goes to Vegas and turns into George Brett and hasn't looked back. So there you go...
He does only have one homer in the last month or so. His extra-base burst that he arrived in LA with seems to have really cooled. Hopefully he gets it going again (or is at least allowed to).
http://www.knbc.com/sports/13790391/detail.html
And I hope I was dating Jessica Alba.
Those Pads will be fun to watch but I wouldn't want to hang them on my wall. Haven't they gone over the roster limit yet?
Only 30 minutes left. I feel like we need Dr. Strangelove in here just in case.
People like his writing and he's a nice person. I don't get it, but what are you gonna do?
Unless it was rhetorical. In that case, we just laugh and cry about it.
It never ceases to amaze me how these guys have tv jobs when they never say anything relevant. Steve Phillips was an awful GM...so why do I want to hear his critique?
The only guy who seems to have any common sense is Gammons. Sure most of his rumors never pan out, but whatever, he KNOWS baseball.
If it was Juan Pierre Bobblehead night then that would be a disaster but no one is going to throw a Golden God Bobblehead onto the field.
no...it was/is that Loney is not good.
Hadn't thought of that, but scary.
/was at '95 ball giveaway game that had to be forfeited
Bonds hits the tying homer in the first inning. Some fans throw their Russell Martin bobbleheads on the field, but it is limited. The toys, and the fans who threw them, are removed, and then the game continues.
In the third inning, Bonds hits the homer to pass. More fans -- many more -- throw bobbleheads onto the field. The umpires, fearing disaster, call the game. A forfeit.
Question: do the stats count?
I remember being very moved by Plaschke's piece on Sarah Morris a few years ago.
I'm a fierce defender of the idea that there are different POVs on Dodger Thoughts, but it's not really in the nature of the people who come here to give up on a 21-year-old position player whose progress was hampered by an injury.
A year from now, we'll be able to recall people who were willing to trade LaRoche. But as with Loney, it's not a large number.
For touchy-feely, human-interest features, Plaschke is the absolute best.
For sports takes, he's awful.
No they don't. Stats in a forfeit don't count unless the game is official.
I sit out there, so I know someone who had a few Heinekens will chuck one out at him in LF.
I bet that is Bonds hits his tying homer in the first, we won't even see him play defense.
I think he was concerned about Loney's (lack of) power, which seems like a legitimate concern. Check out his July split:
.300/.360/.400/.760
That line seems to perfectly encapsulate the concerns that some have about James.
Only 20 minutes to go...
Okay, why are the Dodgers pursuing Percival, too?!
Doesn't make him a good writer. Doesn't mean he has any credibility about baseball. But yes, he finds great stories, and that's a talent, and I genuinely compliment him on his talent to find great stories.
It is sad that I cannot expect a Major League GM to know what I know; to know what nearly everyone here knows. Real performance indicators are so readily available -- how is it that we can quickly find them, and Ned Coletti cannot?
It's trades like this that drive me to prefer Diamond Mind Baseball over the real thing. It's much easier on the stomach to be able to enjoy simulated games without the simple-mindedness and backward-thinking baseball men in the Dodger front office mucking up the abundant young talent in the farm system and the Dodger dugout.
I need to drink a V8.
I am not rooting for this to happen, for obvious reasons. I don't root for people to get hurt, I don't root for the Dodgers to add games to the loss column, and I don't root for people to act stoopid.
That said, it would be weird if he tied and passed the record but then had to do it all over again... and there is a part of me that roots for weird things. Again, I hope it doesn't happen, and it likely won't, but... weird.
this reinforces my suspicion that most people are dumb.
Sigh.
While enjoying your 6th plate of nachos in the AMPM all you can eat pavilion, Barry Bonds' 755th career home run lands in your tub of cheese dip. You:
A. throw it back
B. call security
C. continue eating
Yep. And yet, they get paid millions to do what they do. And if they do poorly, they get their contracts extended.
Can't find a Betemiiiiiiiit.
It is still my favorite headline from Jon.
LOS ANGELES The Los Angeles Dodgers announced today that they have re-acquired right-handed pitcher Scott Proctor from the New York Yankees for infielder Wilson Betemit, according to Dodger General Manager Ned Colletti.
"Scott has a record of durability and success in one of the major markets in the country," said Colletti. "We see him as a solid addition to our bullpen down the stretch."
Proctor, 30, is tied for fourth in the American League this season with 54 appearances, one year after leading the AL with 83 games pitched in his first full big league campaign. He has logged 54.1 innings this season which also ties him for the fourth-most in the AL after leading all Major League relievers last season with 102.1 innings.
Since the start of last season, Proctor has thrown 156.2 innings, more than any other reliever in the Majors while his 135 appearances rank third in the Majors behind Jon Rauch (141) and Matt Capps (136). During that period, Proctor has posted a 3.62 ERA.
In 2007, Proctor has posted a 2-5 record and 3.81 ERA while registering 11 holds for New York. He has allowed just nine of 31 inherited runners to score (29 percent).
The Florida native rejoins the Dodger organization four years to the day he first left. He was originally selected by Los Angeles in the fifth round of the June 1998 First-Year Player Draft and was traded to the Yankees with outfielder Bubba Crosby in exchange for third baseman Robin Ventura on July 31, 2003. Proctor attended Florida State University, where he was 10-2 in 60 career games.
Proctor has appeared in five postseason games over the past two seasons, posting a 1.50 ERA (1 ER/6.0 IP).
Betemit, 26, batted .231 with 10 homers and 26 RBI in 84 games for the Dodgers this season. He was acquired on July 28, 2006 from the Atlanta Braves in exchange for right-handed pitcher Danys Baez and infielder Willy Aybar and batted .241 with nine homers and 24 RBI down the stretch for the Dodgers.
The switch-hitting Dominican Republic native played primarily third base for the Dodgers while also appearing at second base, shortstop and right field this season.
Are the Padres just stockpiling everyone?
That seems an odd statement. Who cares if he was in a major-market?
Don't you know that those "intangibles" are more important than actual performance? DUH!
Duh! Because it proves he can handle pressure and scrutiny.
C'mon Ned, just give Meloan a shot.
Is 29 percent good, bad, or in the middle? And is there someplace I can look this up?
For a 26-year-old power-hitting, high-on-base infielder, we should've been able to do better than Scott Proctor.
Unless Bob Davidson is at the game tonight, there won't be a forfeit.
... Eh, I haven't booed Bonds in many years.
I'd be more inclined to boo the Dodger pitchers (specifically Chan Ho Park) who didn't send Bonds twirling into the dirt in his next at-bat after the pirouette homer. I'd also be more inclined to boo Bill Russell for not being a leader, and not taking a moment to address a situation where his team was being embarrassed on the field. Could you imagine Tommy Lasorda letting that pirouette slide?
That's an interesting thing to contemplate. An embarrassing thing if true. I'm not sure that it is true - though it's probably true enough.
I tend to be against low-strikeout rate pitchers. A big moment for me was applauding the choice to trade Prokopec instead of Gagne.
Also, back when Joel Guzman was the bees' knees, I fretted over his plate discipline and thought he was overrated. Then, when everyone started trashing him, I continued to fret over his plate disicpline but thought he was underrated.
And I sold high on Reggie Abercrombie, so to speak.
But I guess I tend to be pro-prospect. But more relevantly, I feel, is that I tend not to be impressed by what prospects get traded for. If the guy we're getting is worth it, I can let the prospect go.
Wilson Betemit never set fire to his equipment.
... Well, that's going to be my last post about the Dodger GM this season. It's nothing that most everyone here hasn't said already. I mean, the illustrious Greg Brock has pretty much nailed my thoughts on everything -- almost to the letter.
I just wanted to get my 2 cents in; it's been a busy day at work, and I just found out about the trade about 20 minutes ago.
I see him as someone without "hand", who is easy to manipulate.
vr, Xei
I feel like a lot of people that we didn't get value for Betemit, but I'm not that upset because he is in a spot where he just wouldn't get to play much.
Hold'em Logan--just a few more minutes!!!
647. Maddux also melted down in the playoffs.
Maybe so. But as I watched that game I had the feeling that things might have gone a bit differently for Maddux had there been someone in left field who could actually play defense.
If he's got a good head on his shoulders, it's symbolic and funny. Or he's just mental.
... Ahhh, yes. We all want the hand. Hand is tough to get. You gotta get the hand right from the opening.
Betemit is out of options but he has never established himself as an everyday player. He certainly won't with the Yankees barring some injury to their infield. Since they don't pinch hit much in the AL, it wil be interesting to see where they slot him in their lineup.
So, go ahead, give me Wilson's 3 outcomes, his home run pct., but he wasn't in the future for the Dodgers and he probably was always going to be tough to deal because he has to stay on the MLB roster.
The Dodgers have pitching problems, they are trying to solve them. Does this move preclude a Meloan call up, probably not. Would Meloan have solved all their bullpen issues, probably not.
I believe answering three of your own questions in one comment is grounds for reporting you to the Multilateral Commission for the Elimination Of Jim Tracy-like Rhetorical Questions.
so it's betemit's fault that the dodgers pencil nomar into the lineup when betemit is out OPSing him by .140?
establishing depends on people allowing you to play.
Confusing. I get that trading Cordero might have been hard, but I'm surprised no deal could be worked up for Rauch that made sense on both sides.
Chris at Cap Punishment has been fond of pointing out lately that the CW on Bowden has just totally flipped -- he used to be seen as a flailing transaction machine (PT Bowden!), and now he's seen as overly cautious/demanding and unwilling to pull the trigger. Just odd.
The comment record in one thread is over 1,600, but I'll start a new thread before the game.
There were 186 comments in the previous thread dated July 31. So we passed 600 by about 1 p.m.
Has Juan Pierre?
"Establishing yourself as an everyday player" isn't something players can just do: it's up to Management.
On July 3, Betemit went 3-4 with a HR and a 2B. He was benched the next day.
On July 14, he went 4-6 with HR and a 2B. He was benched the next day.
On July 18, he went 2-4. He was benched the next day.
On July 21, he went 1-2 with 2 BBs. He was benched the next day.
I believe, and so do many on this board, that Betemit was more valuable than the front office thought he was. I think he should have been able to bring more back in trade than Scott Proctor, a very average middle-inning relief pitcher.
To tie it back to my wild analogy: If the Dodgers have to trade Betemit, at least get the steak and lobster. If they have to acquire Scott Proctor, at least get the change back from the kid.
Fine then, if you won't pay $100 for a Big Mac, you don't have to. You're still hungry though.
Then again, we have Eric Cyr in the minors -- who are we to be casting stones?
"Establishing yourself as an everyday player" isn't something players can just do: it's up to Management.
The guy was our starting 3rd basemen this year.
He had his chance; remember?
Now is he a good player? That is a different question. But Juan Pierre has at least convinced 4 different organizations that he should play everyday. Wilson, hasn't with two and probably won't with the Yankees.
If you're really, really hungry, and there's no place else open, and the owner of the McDonald's is being a jerk and trying to gouge you, then maybe you go up to $10 or $15. Any more than that and, well, it won't kill you to skip a meal.
I have officially beaten this analogy to death, and then some.
Seriously folks, I doubt that our GM was being generous when he offered Betemit. That was simply the going rate for a buyer of pitching at the trade deadline. Simple supply and demand.
Now whether he should have felt compelled to spend the money in the first place is worth discussing...
Ned is Mayor McCheese.
>> NOTES -- The 51s placed outfielder Choo Freeman on the inactive list following the death of his grandmother, and pitcher Dwayne Pollok was promoted to Las Vegas from Class-A Inland Empire. <<
http://www.lvrj.com/sports/8825242.html
http://www.economist.com/finance/displaystory.cfm?story_id=9448015
He had his chance; remember?
Betemit had one bad month.
Nomar had 2 bad months.
Pierre has had 4 bad months.
He did his bit in 330 at bats here to earn the job but it was given to someone else who did NOT earn it.
Betemit's number one Pecota comp is Carlos Guillen in 2001. When you check it out you can understand why. Ned better hope that Pecota is wrong because otherwise this trade will look as bad as the one that sent Carlos Guillen for a middle infielder who was out of baseball within a year.
I suspect the Ramon starts at second against Lowry. Don't be surprised to see Delwyn there. The best high school athlete I've seen as a coach (although I was coaching cross country and he played football and baseball).
I'm glad he'll get a shot as a role player. He's ripped it up in AAA this year. The pride of our Antelope Valley!
Abreu hasn't played in a week, injured. Delwyn can play second base just fine.
Now hit a ton in your first 10 AB's so the team likes you.
That said, If Delwyn is called up and Roberto is DFA the Dodgers lose Betemit but gain Proctor and Young.
This myth still seems to be floating around out there, and I'm not sure why. Young was, by all accounts, a really bad second baseman who has made himself into an OK outfielder. From last week's Baseball America profile:
-----
Before the 2004 season, the Dodgers suggested he move to the outfield, but Young talked them into letting him stay at second for one more season, hoping to change their minds. By the end of the season, it was Young's mind that was changed.
"I'll be honest, my defense was terrible. I had so many bumps and bruises that most second basemen didn't have. I was fighting a losing battle," Young said. "It was a pride thing. I didn't want to admit I failed."
-----
I don't think Young can play second base anymore, or really that he ever could. I would also be shocked if we actually got the opportunity to find out.
But it's not a huge deal. I agree with you.
Delwyn, just shake a magic 8-ball. And rake.
That is one way to cover one's bets, I suppose.
If Kershaw got traded, I would not be the one to worry about.
opens the door for a Snell trade announcement.
But it is going to be tough to watch Betimit hit home runs over that Yankee Stadium right field porch.....If he gets playing time he hits 25-35 ding dongs...
I know I'm late on all of this, but I'm not a fan of the deal...
I won't otherwise comment on what it means to harp on the "blocking" of talent and then complain when someone just removed a player standing in the way of some other player believed to have talent and who otherwise appears to indeed be knocking down the door right now. Oh, and the new kid, well, at least he can't be taken out of the game or otherwise struck out looking simply by changing the pitcher and the hand he throws the ball with, which was always Betemit's fatal defect and reduces him from steak to that 99 cent double cheeseburger, at least in light of everything else.
>> Every time Barry Bonds heads to the plate looking to tie Hank Aaron's major league home-run record of 755, Kramer and about 103 of his cohorts will shield their eyes with their "Bond-folds" blindfolds and proudly display their BoycottBarry.com T-shirts. <<
## The Asterisk Party, a group designed to promote awareness of baseball's drug problem, will hold giant foam asterisks in protest as well. ##
http://www.dailybreeze.com/sports/articles/8828027.html
He didn't deserve a spot in the starting lineup two years ago, now, you have to give a guy with Betemit's skill set a lot of rope to hang himself with.
good luck Atlanta!
The Pirates are also delusional.
Although I've lurked here a long time, I only signed up to post today. I expect I'll go back to lurking now. But thanks for not chunking any GatorAde bottles at me.
Hey, if you haven't cut it at 24 and displaced all-stars like Furcal and Chipper you just don't have what it takes. I don't care if you've got the best IS somethings in the world on your current team, you were a sub you shall always be a sub. What do you mean Ryan Howard was in the minors at the same age as Betemit. Are you kidding me, the Phillies knew what they were doing. He was percolating, percolating I tell you.
-Trade Pierre, Hu and McDonald for Snell
-Trade Furcal for Manny Ramirez
-Sign Arod for a billion dollars to play short
-Win World Series
I think Steve's disdain of relief pitchers far exceeds his disdain of Juan Pierre.
I'm picturing Tom Hanks in Cast Away (2000) yelling from his boat, as his volleyball disappears over the horizon.
"WIIIIILLLLLSOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOON!!!!!!!!"
long time lurker first time poster!
I'd argue that bad trades can be reasonable btw. (if not Reasonable)After all we don't know a trade is bad until laters, right? The Ventura trade is still alive!
for easy reference....
484 ToyCannon is taking over the anger department right now.
I'm just happy Ned Colletti didn't mess up too badly. Which is sad.
JoeR (Syracuse): I assume Betimet a better run producer than Nomar at this stage of his career, and lots cheaper. Do you think there was any thought to moving Mr. Hamm?
Trade Deadline Team: I'm not sure there's much thought in Chavez Ravine, period. Committing to Nomar at 3B smacked of desperation to begin with, and now the Dodgers are locked in since LaRoche isn't hitting any this year. This is the rare trade deadline deal that hurt a team both in the near-term and the long-term. Really , I think the Dodgers are one of two or three teams out there that don't understand the basics of how you create runs -- that's why they signed, and why they took one look at Betemit's .220-something batting average and punted on him.
"Committing to Nomar at 3b smacking of desperation to begin with, and now the Dodgers are locked in since La Roche isn't hitting any this year"
The man just hit his 11th home run of the MONTH. And we pay money and listen to their chats to gleam information from them. Nate insults Dodger managment and yet he himself doesn't have a clue what is going on with the Dodger's themselves. It is your job, pay attention or don't give advice.
I think this is bogus. Ned didn't set out to trade Betemit for the best player he could get in return: Ned set out to acquire a relief pitcher. Once that decision was made, he then contacted teams regarding relief pitchers and which Dodger players they would want in return.
Given Ned the maximum benefit of the doubt involves concluding that he got the best available reliever for Betemit, not the best player. It's possible (though unlikely) that Proctor was also the best player available, and if he was, it was by coincidence.
Let's put it this way, GMs whose feet will be on the fire by the "tough" LA press corp and local talk radio guys will be:
1. Mitch Kupchak, why couldn't he convince Kevin McHale that Kwame Brown, Andrew Bynum, Brian Cook and Jordan Farmar were not equal to the Celtics' offer.
2. Bill "I don't know why I even have a phone in July" Stoneman for yet another trade deadline with no trades.
3. Ned Colletti, who will get praised for not giving up the kids, trying to solve a need with little cost (my prediction for Tony Jackson's thoughts) and from Mason and Ireland, trying to get better.
That's the LA sports media folks.
To be honest, I still think he is going to get injured and I am quite surprised he hasn't. Got to give him credit, because he has put the work in to be in good shape.
489: I am actually Tom Hanks posting here, so it's all good.
--
What's a link to that Nate Silver chat?
I actually sort of agree with that. I don't think Ned pays any attention to sabermetrics at all. The only metrics where Nomar is superior to Betemit is BA and strikeouts. I guess that was the deciding factor.
The Dodgers are scoring runs at a decent clip this year, but I really do think that's despite Colletti, not because of him. Pierre has not contributed to the offense in any meaningful way, and I think he got lucky with Gonzo. And with the fact that the farm system was loaded with ML-ready talent when he joined the club.
I'm shocked.
I would think even the most casual observer of minor league stats would have noticed LaRoche's improvement after he came back from LA.
And ToyCannon's right, we (at least me and ToyCannon) certainly pay them to be more than just casual observers.
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/chat/chat.php?chatId=332
"molokai (LA): La Roche isn't hitting this year? He just hit his 11th home run of the month. MONTH
Trade Deadline Team: I love you, Nate, but you missed this one. Andy LaRoche is ready for his close-up right now, and every day he spends blocked by Nomar Garciaparra's contract is a massive mistake.
At least Garciaparra is now the third-best option the Dodgers have at third base."
How bad a trade can it be if we get another 3 years of control in Proctor? Can he start? Will Bull's arm fall off if he keeps pitching the 8th so often?
Call up Meloan and we have Meloan, Beimel, Proctor, Brox, Saito available for the last three innings of winnable games...Seanez and Hernandez have potential to get it together...until then...mop up duty only.
I love you, Nate, but you missed this one. Andy LaRoche is ready for his close-up right now, and every day he spends blocked by Nomar Garciaparra's contract is a massive mistake. At least Garciaparra is now the third-best option the Dodgers have at third base.
I am going to keep saying this, he decides whose on the 25 man roster so if they win, lose, score or don't score, its because of the guys he puts on the roster for Grady to manage.
Its clear Frank likes Ned. The Dodgers announced yesterday that they have already sold 3.5 million tickets this year for the 4th straight year or since McCourt bought the team.
I am not saying you have to like Ned or agree with him, but its his team now so I just don't think you can say that they do anything despite him being the GM. Its just not logical, he has the Com.
On the other hand, LaRoche is the one we're looking to for the future, so Betemit was going to get traded eventually and hey we need all the pitching help we can get. Maybe the switch in leagues will help him out. Only Colorado in this division throws out a lineup to be scared of so hopefully he can mow down the Padres and the Giants. Note to Scott, your Dodger career will be insufferable if you give up 756 this week.
I'd like to have done better, but Betemit was on his way out one way or another. I just hope that when the time comes, and it will be soon, LaRoche will be able to wrestle the job away from Nomar. At some point, we have to get the balls to figure out something to do with him to get LaRoche in the lineup like we did to get Loney in. Also, if we think Meloan can't hold up to the rigors of being in a big league bullpen, we should have traded him with Betemit to get something than Proctor in return.
I don't know what ticket sales have to do with anything, in this context.
In fact, trading for a middle reliever is almost by definition against good judgment, unless you're giving up a fringe minor-leaguer in the process.
Yep.
It's obvious. The boss (Colletti) picks the workers. If the job gets done (team wins games) despite repeated bad trades, it means that the writer disagrees with the merits of the discussed trades. It's also the post hoc fallacy, as 518 points out.
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