Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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TV and more ...
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
What will the order of finish be in the National League West? That was my question of the week at SI.com's Fungoes, and five bloggers from around the division replied.
And also because those are exactly the current standings... way to go out on a limb there, Geoff. ;)
I'm predicting the Dodgers come from way behind and take the division. They still have plenty of games left vs SD and Arizona.
Of course it reminds me of when I was caught masturbating and my father told me I'd go blind if I did that. I asked if I could just do it until I needed glasses.
I'll go down with the ship. But with 24 more games in our division, 6 more with the Snakes and 6 more with the Pads, I BELIEVE!
If we acquired Wells we would pay the prorated portion of the league minimum, with San Diego paying the rest of the contract.
This is assuming Wells has been officially released.
A spot start for James McDonald would do him well I wouldn't mind at all seeing him pitch in a ML game this year.
The only part about David Wells I understand is SD letting him go. In his last 4 starts he has lasted a total of 16 innings and given up 26 ER's. His BEST start was 5 IP; 5 ER. The other three were all much worse. Surely we can do better in house rather than going outhouse (pun intended).
Calling him equally effective is a stretch.
8 Don't let one bad stretch dissuade you. If the options are Wells, and four man rotation, I'd go Wells, since we obviously don't trust Houlton.
Before Boomer got crushed in his last two starts for the Padres he dialed up 3 decent games in 4 starts against the Giants, Marlins, and Mets.
The Dodgers for whatever reason have little faith in DJ Houlton even though he outpitched Stults in AAA. We are beggars at this point, not choosers. Hendy should just stay in the bullpen where he seems to be more effective, and Tomko should just get released. Then the Padres can pick him up and it will be like we both traded bad contracts and they both get fresh starts.
It was the heat! =)
Kids don't masturbate anymore? Must be to busy playing video games. What has the world come to.
I didn't imagine that we'd be going into battle with some of the guys we need to come through for us now. But it is a funny game.
The D-Backs got really hot and so can we, right? They aren't five deep in the rotation either, they picked up Byung Yun Kim, right?
We can still get this done. Webb is the real deal, but that bullpen is still suspect. The Pads have holes and injuries. This is not over.
And I NEED to believe...
I propose a contest.........
He mentions it about 2/3 of the way down his post. Starting a new book project.
http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/no-mirage-in-arizona/
We have Shea at 3b, Juan Pierre playing every night while either Kemp or Ethier sit, Ramon Martinez finding playing time 3 or 4 times a week, Kent unable to play much to often, the Tomato flailing much to often, Tomko pitching much to often, and Meloan, Hull, D Young, and Betemit are on the wrong roster.
The only thing I believe is that we will get our hats handed to us during this road trip and I doubt we will even be worrying about the WC when we get back.
This was a bit confusing to me, but I looked it up and Lugo missed time due to a finger injury on July 25th. Did this ever come up in the "Kill Ned" firestorm?
Oops, that's from the bio of Joel Guzman, the accordion player.
Why shouldn't the Dodgers be viewed in the same way? Wasn't the fatal late July/early August swoon a product mostly of a teamwide offensive slump? And now that it seems to be over, the Dodgers look a lot harder to beat.
The other theme, that Arizona has built an insurmountable lead, seems way off. They had a good run at a good time, but they aren't going to play at the same pace the rest of the way.
San Diego, LA and Colorado are still in the race, as far as I'm concerned, because we're all still playing each other. Any team that gets hot like AZ got hot earlier this month can win the division. And while AZ looks formidable, I don't think you can call them consistent enough to be assured of maintaining their lead.
This is who LA needs to be able to count on to carry the team: Penny, Lowe, Saito, Broxton, Kent, Martin, either Furcal or Pierre and either Loney or Kemp. Proctor, Hendrickson, Seanez and Hernandez also need to hold firm. From Billingsley, Tomko and Stults, all we need is five decent innings. From whoever plays 3B, we just need them to take a lot of pitches before GIDP. From Sweeney, all we need is him to carry a calculator, or maybe a little radio so Rick Monday can tell him how many outs there are...oh wait!
I imagine we get most of those guys on the roster for the last 28 games. Betemit could have helped us if we didn't need an arm so badly, but Abreu and LaRoche both going down along with Nomar made a guy like Shea make sense for now. We also needed bullpen help and you have to give to get so....
I declare we need to go 24-14 and we can extend the season. If Penny, Lowe, and the good Bills show up 80% of the time, we are in about 21 of those games and just need to do what we did against Houston and Colorado offensively. That wasn't an explosion, but we got some key innings going and had better AB's. Take a walk, some running, an occassional ball in the seats, etc.
With Stults, Tomko, or maybe Wells or McDonald, we stay in another 10 of those games. We need the back end of our bullpen to come through, and Beimel, Proctor, Brox, and Sammy can do that.
Limit the times Roberto and a tired Seanez can hurt us, and we have a legit shot at this.
24-14 is realistic. The Pads and the Snakes have had runs, we haven't. We were solid in the first half and had a bad stretch in July and early August. Some breaks coming our way and some solid fundamentals and we can be the Cinderella team this October and maybe into November!
I BELIEVE!
And I hope Jayson Werth doesn't make us pay the next three games. And there is always a guy like Jeff Weaver each season, someone who was given up on and came through big for a short stretch. Maybe Boomer wants to stick it to the Pads and he has a shot at that with us. Maybe. Believe.
Colletti is like the prodigal son, wasting an inheritance he didn't earn while the good son(s)- Depo and Evans- are tolling away on the farm.
Colletti is like the prodigal son, wasting an inheritance he didn't earn while the good son(s)- Depo and Evans- are tolling away on the farm.
Mmmm....fatted calf....
Colletti is like the prodigal son, wasting an inheritance he didn't earn while the good son(s)- Depo and Evans- are tolling away on the farm.
Maybe he did and that is why Kemp, Ethier, Loney, La Roche, D Young, Billingsley, Broxton, Kershaw, and McDonald are still in the organization instead of playing for Texas.
We can do this. We aren't loaded and we have shown we are vulnerable, but we have talent and two and half very solid starters and a great back end of the bullpen.
Believe! We had fewer weapons in '88 and did it. If Lowe can dominate like Orel did (not likely I know), but if he becomes and automatic win, we can ride that momentum.
Mmmmm....fatted calf.....
Meanwhile all of those prospects could be sorely missed by the Braves eventually, I'd think Salty would be among them.
But would you expect more than that for two bad teams playing on a day that was likely really hot and a workday to boot?
If Bonds had still been going for the home run record, there might have been more people.
Like 4500.
40 - Well, if our slide would have continued then maybe Colletti would have been forced to apoligize. Remember when Depo was absolutely crushed in the media for signed oft injured players like Drew with predictable results? Yet, there is no outcry even though two/fifths of the Dodgers opening rotation was a code red injury risk that has subsequently (and predictably) resulted in Hendko.
-- the point of saying that is: be thankful the Dodgers didn't fall into the trap!
Its IMO one of the best high school movies to come along in a long long time.
http://www.baseballmusings.com/archives/022452.php
I'd be curious if someone had a grid handy to demonstrate that a 2 games or more lead on August 20th is generally insurmountable.
Assuming it's true, I wonder whether there are offsetting effects from the current configuration of baseball -- greater parity, the division alignment, the WC, the greater emphasis on the draft, etc. And/or if the nature of the team ahead in the standings makes a difference. If it's an experienced team with past pennant races under its belt, perhaps that team holds onto a 2-6 game lead better than a team like AZ or Milwaukee, which is mostly riding raw young talent.
What Arizona's done is very impressive, to be sure. But I think their current lead is nothing more than a continuation of a cycle of ups and downs affecting four teams in the NL West that are basically evenly matched.
So many bad points so little time.
1) Why can't Plaschke's crowd be right? At one time winning now made sense. At one time the Dodgers had a nucleus of players who they thought they could build a team around. Trading chips (a DePo saying) were available to improve the ML roster. Since then the roster has changed in several ways that trading the kids for immediate improvement does not make sense. Only a fool would not change course when things (personnel) have changed.
What things? Losing Drew, Nomar declining,
Kent staying healthy, the ups and downs of the pitching staff. The kids are now older and much closer to being an immediate help than they were only a year or two ago.
Besides, teams were demanding too many of the best prospects to make only one deal. Just because at one time you believed in winning now does not mean that you lose common sense and do whatever it takes to get a certain player when you know you are more than one player away.
Folks wondering about the D-Backs and esp. their bullpen, the rumblings out here are that the Wily Moe Pena deal was actually a three way that will bring just-off-the-DL reliever Jesus Colome out west (with prospect Chris
Carter to the Sox).
http://tinyurl.com/26o9ol
Colome was having a real good year before he got hurt. With an infected bottom.
I assume he just wants to change teams to avoid getting heckled by his former teammates.
There was a two game comeback, two four games, and a six and a half game comeback. It seemed strange to me to, but recent history has shown that teams don't lose comfortable leads after mid August.
That was painful to read.
I still have hope, but no matter what, I am enjoying the kids getting more and more playing time.
I was at the game on Saturday, and someone needs to work with Kemp on tracking flyballs/line drives. It was hard to watch that night.
http://www.truebluela.com/story/2007/8/10/195629/671
https://dodgerthoughts.baseballtoaster.com/archives/15213.html
With a lead of two games or fewer on September 1, the Dodgers have lost as many titles as they've won - three good, three bad. Out of seven September 1 leads of more than two games, the Dodgers have successfully closed out six. The biggest September 1 lead they have blown was 3 1/2 games, in 1962. (It was even worse than that, as you'll recall or see below. And 1973 was nothing to smile about, either...)
Enders is right... I've been Logikreader'd
We're due to learn more over the next few days:
Dodgers pitcher Wolf set to test shoulder
>> Wolf's left shoulder, which has kept him out of the Dodgers' rotation since July 3, is pain free, and Wolf will attempt to throw on the side next week, either Tuesday or Wednesday.
A pain-free session would be the first step toward a possible September return, but Wolf said that if he experiences any pain during or after the session, he will stop throwing and his 2007 season will be over. <<
http://www.presstelegram.com/dodgers/ci_6654857
Lowe will not be back in 2009 so the GM better resign Penny for the $18M a year it is going to cost.
2.5 games out of the WC. 16 out of 19 on the road. Too much time watching and thinking about this stuff. I need some Pepcid...
Also, if they bring a beach ball, is that confiscated, or are people allowed to play with a beach ball under some kind of mercy rule?
Actually, I think the "win now" crowd is hoping for a little more than marginal improvement. ;)
So if the WS isn't the goal, what is?
I've been one who advocated judiciously trading prospects if the right deal can be found. That doesn't mean I want to dump them for some incremental benefit.
As for few, if any, pitchers coming back to anywhere near what they were before injury, if you just mean injuries in general, that's objectively false. Are you referring to Schmidt's injury in particular?
When I think of all the worries people seem to find
And how they're in a hurry to complicate their mind
By chasing after money and dreams that can't come true
I'm glad that we are different, we've better things to do
May others plan their future, I'm busy lovin' you
1-2-3-4
Sha-la-la-la-la-la, live for today
Sha-la-la-la-la-la, live for today
And don't worry 'bout tomorrow, hey, hey, hey
Sha-la-la-la-la-la, live for today
Live for today
As of this moment LaRoche is still on the 51's DL. So the Dodgers prediction that he would be coming off last weekend was apparently too optimistic. I haven't seen a later update so far.
The same kids that Plaschke says we protect are the ones he wanted to trade two years ago. The change is that we kept the kids, and so now we have a nucleus (unfortunately it is bit heavy with neutrons like Pierre, Gonzo and Nomar).
Just because at one time you believed in winning now does not mean that you lose common sense and do whatever it takes to get a certain player when you know you are more than one player away.
I guess you are a win now person? My point being, how much did Lugo contribute to the Dodgers triumphant march to the World Series in 2006? That ship has sailed and we are left with nothing, meanwhile Guzman has 7 years of eligibility. If there actually had been a World Series then maybe it would have been worth trading all those prospects, but instead nothing happened and many kids are spent.
75 - That is the point though, players like Lugo, Proctor and Hendrickson are at best marginal improvements. That is the ceiling: slightly better than nothing. I am not against trading prospects at all cost. If Miguel Caberra was available then see ya and good luck, but when you trade a lot of potential for the certainty of not much then eventually you are going to lose.
https://dodgerthoughts.baseballtoaster.com/archives/702742.html
The issue is not the timing of his return, but his capacity.
https://dodgerthoughts.baseballtoaster.com/archives/703024.html
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EuuVIJ1hnOM
Peavy has an $8 million option for 2009, so ain't gonna be in there.
http://tinyurl.com/28l52g
Basically a bunch of studio guys; AMG sez there were at least three different "groups" which comprised The Grass Roots at different times.
I have their Greatest Hits album and wrote a blog entry about them once when I was doing Sunday music features two or three years ago.
http://tinyurl.com/39kmp7
You seem to be assuming that a "win now" person would necessarily agree with those trades. I'm only saying that the desire to win now and the desire to make only helpful trades are compatible, not mutually exclusive.
If there actually had been a World Series then maybe it would have been worth trading all those prospects, but instead nothing happened and many kids are spent.
Sometimes it seems as though nothing less than a certain trip to the WS will warrant trading a prospect, but there is nowhere near the certainly that the same prospect will guarantee any amount of victories later on. There's no certainty either way, so I'm not sure a staunch "keep the prospects" approach or a "win now" approach will ever be optimal. I think you've got to take it case by case, evaluate how winnable the league is year to year, and how special your prospects are. If a trade can help you in a winnable year like this one, you should do it. If you can only get "marginal improvement," you pass.
If that sounds argumentative, it's not meant to be. Just trying to express a respectful difference of opinion.
Penny
Lowe
Billingsley
McDonald
Kuo
torn labrums take forever to get back to the previous level. Last year my buddy and I both had our tears fixed, and he actually had his surgery with the same doctor as Schmidt (which is why i knew Jason was having surgery 2 days before it was announced- my buddy was in the office when Schmidt saw the doctor). Before his surgery, my friend was throwing in the upper 80's. Now, around 15 months after surgery and on a strict rehab plan designed by Ellatraj, he's in the low 80's and still rehabbing. He plays for Northwestern, so if it takes a 19 year old that long to get even close to where he was, i dont want to imagine how long it will take Schmidt. As for me, i wasnt planning on playing ball in college, so i didnt attack rehab that hard. Over a year later, i can still only play catch for a few minutes at a time.
http://www.bobshannon.com/fred/letslive.html
"Sha-la-la-la-la-la, live for today
And don't worry 'bout tomorrow, hey, hey, hey"
May be the worst rhyming attempt - that actually does rhyme - in the history of pop music. Hey, let's tack a "hey" at the end and it'll rhyme with "today"!
Gonna have a good time
Hey, hey, hey!
No taunting me! I'm feeling quite vulnerable now! I may just take my ball and go home.
Everyone will think they're tied except Xeifrank and I.
http://alyssa.mlblogs.com/alyssa/2007/08/the_gift_of_bas.html
vr, Xei
Yeah, but I'll be 42 this winter!
A brother of mine who is 46 has been diagnosed with a torn rotator cuff.
Just simply from being old.
He's getting PT for it.
24-14 doesn't sound that far fetched I think it's doable, of course it doesn't mean we'll win the NL West (Wild Card hopes) but I'm just saying....
They were Games 3 through 40 and Games 4 through 41.
I think he also hurt one of his oblique muscles earlier in the summer.
But that was when he was playing "Capture the Flag" with my nephew and nieces.
That's the problem with uncles like us. We don't have the same exercise regimen as fathers.
3 IP, 1 H, O R, 2 BB, 5 SO
Marty sucks! Marty sucks!
http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/no-mirage-in-arizona
Suns 2, Mississippi 0
I don't know but in the back of my mind (way way in the back of my mind) I wouldn't mind getting a steriod shot just to see how much harder I could throw a ball or how much farther I can hit a ball. "But I'll probably just stay in Aurora" :o)
He was even doing stuff I've neved heard him do before. Like, "2 balls and 2 strikes, the Dodgers are up by 3 in the top of the 7th" instead of the usual "2 balls and 2 strikes, and back to my story about the time when I was bowling with 2 balls and had 2 strikes".
I thought about Jon's recent vent on DT about Monday not mentioning the score and am almost willing to bet someone saw that and said something. I bet they hired an intern who only job is to periodically come in front of Monday when he is commentating and hold up a poster reminding him to mention the score mid-inning.
Anyone else notice this at all?
Matt Kemp
Jeff Kent
Wilson Betimit
Russell Martin
Andre Ethier
James Loney
1 vet.
4 first or second year players.
one guy on the yankees....
your cup size smaller
A lot of women have surgery for that.
4 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 7 K
Suns 2, Braves 0
If I remain pain-free I will be come a steroid spokesman.
If cortisone were a prohibited substance, then baseball and most other sports would never be played.
Guess we haven't definitively established whether or not Pierre's OBP'ing at the reported .325 clip.
I'll take you frame by frame it
To have y'all jumpin' shall we singin' it
You down with OBP (Yeah you know me)
Who's down with OBP (Every last homie)
http://tinyurl.com/2npypa
I'd like to be surprised that articles like this still get written, but I read FJM too often not to know better.
Shadrick reports "Kershaw in a little bit of pain as he leaves the mound."
As thus why he is the Minotaur.
Pierre's lack of walks isn't because he's an undisciplined hitter. In fact, he rarely chases balls out of the strike zone and more often than not, pitchers challenge Pierre because they don't want to give him a free pass knowing how disruptive he is once he gets on base.
Pierre has a theory to why he doesn't walk as much as other guys. He said pitchers know, first of all, that he isn't going to hit the ball out of the park and secondly, they don't want to give him a free pass because they know he'll probably end up at second base, so to a pitcher a walk to Pierre is like giving up a double.
"I think moreso they know I'm not going to hit the ball out of the park and that's why they're not afraid to throw a fastball right down the middle when they fall behind 2-0," said Pierre, who has stolen 18 consecutive bases without being caught. "What am I'm going to do, go up there and take all the time? I feel I have a better chance getting a hit than a walk, and the number's show that."
How many times can the writer write the same paragraph?
When [Pierre's] hitting well, he's in the leadoff or No. 2 slot, but when he's slumping, manager Grady Little hasn't hesitated putting Pierre in the seventh or eighth slot.
"When I'm hitting good, my on-base percentage is high and that's just the way it is," Pierre said. "The Dodgers knew that before I came here. It is what it is. I just go out there and play the game, and I don't get caught up in all of this."
'77 represents the high-water mark for Reggie in OBP and SLG. Was also his career year in HRs with 32. And he walked 104 times [he never had so much as 80 walks in any other year].
In 1983, despite having little power (.131 ISO) and lots of speed (90 SBs), Raines managed to walk 97 times! Willits this year (and pretty much his entire minor league career) has showed the power of his grandmother (.048 ISO), and good speed (25 SBs), yet has manged to walk 3.5x more than Pierre.
It's a Tommy Lasorda-esque type move, I love it. It beats having the likes of David Wells wearing Dodger blue.
May I ask what are your reasons for that? I would love to hear some arguments for that instead of just "gut instinct".
sounds good. maybe i'll take a scouting trip up to phoenix and see him pitch.
Kershaw's box score line today: 6 IP, 2 H, O R, 2 BB, 8 K
I know which one I'd rather have.
Assuming Loney has been replacement level this month (which seems about right) the Dodgers would have seven more runs right now. How much would that really help?
.287 .413 .636 54 HRs, 119 BB
100th and last is 1992 Frank Thomas:
.323 .439 .536 24 HRs, 122 BB
I'd hazard a guess that 1977 Reggie Smith falls close behind.
Brett Butler had a .377 career OBP with a .376 Slg%. (BB averaged 4 HRs season; JP's career high is 3 HRs, twice, but still, BB is a popgun, power-wise.)
Teixeira's box score line today: 4 AB, 4 R, 3 H, 6 RBI, 1 BB, 2 HR, 1 2B
Kershaw's box score line today: 6 IP, 2 H, O R, 2 BB, 8 K
I know which one I'd rather have.
I would add:
Teixeira: Age 27, soon-to-be-expensive
Kershaw: Age 19 (third ever start at AA), cheap for years
Atl before Tex (through 7/31): 56-51, 3.5 GB the Mets, 1.5 GB in WC
Atl since Tex: 10-8 (66-59 overall), 5 GB, 1 GB in WC
192 He's been less than replacement value. He has 3 RBI's and 2 runs scored this month, with but a single multi-hit game. That is wretched. He also had 9 RBI for the month of June. Even more wretched. He had an 8 game hot streak the last week of June or so, but since then, he's seen his AVG drop from a high of .478 down to .307. So that's about a .175 drop in AVG in a month and half. Wretched. There might also be a problem with your VORP, since Tex is a tad bit more than 7 runs beyond one James Loney as of late. More specfically, there's 19 RBIs in August to 3, 7 HR to 1 [the HRs very nearly swallow whole the claimed VORP difference all by themselves], and need I go on? The VORP may be right, but if so, that only means that Loney is playing at a non-MLB level right now and so we see Saenz and Sweeney playing in his stead.
what do you think we could have gotten Tex for?
DBacks down 6-0 after 1.5 innings in Arizona.
I'm back on the hope-for-the-division bandwagon.
3, 2, 2, 6, 8, 8, 8
* 1960-61 out of 8 teams, other out of 10 teams
C Jarrod Saltalamacchia
SS Elvis Andrus
RHP Neftali Feliz
LHP Matt Harrison
LHP Beau Jones
That's the offer the Dodgers would have had to match or beat. What's a comparable haul from the Dodgers? Loney, Hu, Kershaw, and ?
I have read a few well reasoned articles about how the D-backs, who have scored less runs than they have allowed, will not revert to the mean. But you know how hard I am wishing that at the end of the year, I can write a piece called "The Pythagorean Revenge".
209 I don't know, though I wish I did, as it has become painful to watch. The danger here for Loney is that Shea outhits him until Nomar comes off the DL and then maybe Grady leaves Shea at 3rd and moves Nomar back to 1st.
CanuckDodger is right, the cost of obtaining Teixeira highly outweighed the benefit, short term and long term. Growing pains are, by definition, painful. But the benefit of sticking it out with guys like Either, Kemp, and Loney - who have all shown flashes of brilliance - can (and likely will) outweigh the cost of stumbling through this season.
he's still very young. I think this is his age 19 season. I also think the results from most of his starts this year have been skewed by being injured or trying to come back from injured. He missed a significant chunk of time earlier in the year to an injury Although I don't remember what exactly was wrong with him.
Assuming he is physically imposing, are pitchers really that uninformed? The guy has never hit a homer in the majors, and has hit less than 1 per 100 ABs in the minors.
Prior to Wills, the list of the top 15 base stealers in major league history had not changed in nearly 30 years. In fact, all 15 at the time, with Hall of Famers Billy Hamilton, Ty Cobb and Eddie Collins at the top of the list, had retired before Wills was born. Wills also opened the way for Lou Brock, Rickey Henderson, Ozzie Smith, Joe Morgan and many others to follow. I know it is not cool to value the stolen base today, but in Wills' day it was significant tool for the Dodgers, in part because no one else came close to him. Wills gave the club incredible life and gave of himself without holding anything back. He played in all 165 games -- including the three playoff games -- in 1962 -- a mark likely never to be broken. In his first eight years in the league, 1959 through 1966, the Dodgers won four pennants (59, 63, 65 and 66) and three World Series (59, 63 and 65), and lost the pennant once in a playoff (62). I know his OBP is not good, but that criterion was not even born when he played. Wills should be in the Hall of Fame as one of the most significant players in the 1960s. His stats compare favorably with the six other shortstops in the Hall of Fame who played most or all of their careers since 1950 -- Robin Yount, Ernie Banks, Phil Rizzuto, Pee Wee Reese, Luis Aparicio, and Ozzie Smith.
But let me ask you this, from the best of your recollection, in his average at bat, how many pitches out of the zone does Pierre see? It may just be my visual cortex, but it doesn't seem to me that he gets to let pass all that many pitches out of the zone. But as I otherwise said, I am not trying to excuse his low OBP as he and his OBP are what they are and if they aren't good enough then they aren't good enough and we need to find a replacement. It doesn't otherwise truly matter to me since it isn't his low OBP that makes him unnacceptable to me, I mean, even if he had an OBP of .370, he'd just be like the guy with the .333 OBP given that he'd need all those extra runs coming from the extra .047 in OBP just to make up for all the extra runs scoring as a result of all those souls taking that extra base on his arm.
I'm not sure it's fair to say it's not "cool" to value the stolen base today. I think many of the folks who criticize basestealing these days are focused more on success rate than anything else. But it's a small point; I enjoyed reading your comment.
You put it very well. Wills was often the only offense the Dodgers had. He was a terrific ballplayer.
But seriously, does it matter why a guy isn't performing? Pierre just doesn't cut it.
(I didn't list 1959, Wills first year: Dodgers were 4th in runs/game. Don Zimmer played more SS than Wills, but was an offensive black hole.)
Dodger ERA ranks (1959 - 1966):
3, 1, 6, 3, 1 (2.85), 1 (2.95), 1 (2.81), 1 (2.62)
The three best ERA are the pennant years.
And yes, DC is Dist. of Columbia. I had forgotten Wills was from here. Wonder if the team can get him to appear at the youth baseball academy -- like the one in Compton -- that is to open here.
That was not a valuable stolen base attempt by Phillips with the top of the order coming up in the NYY/ANA game.
At the end it almost sounded like she was quoting the Bible. "Never lose hope. Have faith. Find compassion. And know we are all in this together."
1Co 13:13 So these three things remain: faith, hope, and love. But the best one of these is love.
Back on topic: With such a low on base percentage, it's really remarkable how Juan Pierre is running away with the stolen base crown. For tomorrow, I think the Dodgers have a pretty decent shot to beat the Phils in the series, but it could go either way, even for Tomko's start.
(Was actually an outstanding play by both Posada and Cano to get Figgins there. Unbelievably close.)
Aparicio's teams got to two World Series and won one of them (Baltimore, 1966).
Wills had two monster seasons in steals, 62 and 65 (104 and 94).
I think Wills will have trouble making it into the HOF in part because of his disastrous year trying to manage Seattle while under the influence of several different illegal substances.
Also: Rick Sutcliffe sounds like he's been hitting the sauce again. I feel like I need to stick a babel fish in my ear every time he speaks just to help me understand what he's talking about.
And I can't believe anyone here's spending time arguing about Juan Pierre when you could be watching the new Flight of the Conchords again - if you'd Tivo'd it.
It's probably simpler to correlate the value of a stolen base to the number of runs scored rather than slugging.
253
Tony Womack led the NL in steals in three straight seasons with OBPs of 326, 319, and 332.
It is replaying on HBO right now, so you do not even need a Tivo.
Here's my old Maury Wills take.
https://dodgerthoughts.baseballtoaster.com/archives/11028.html
257 Well I'm tempermentally not inclined to use such strong language or to float such a sharp accusation, I too had been thinking that Sutcliffe seems really disjointed and confusing. And he's really repeating himself again and again and again.
Well, I won't be the target of scooplew's ire now.
With Todd Helton coming up behind him.
Again, that is why I question reckless basestealing. Unless you're real sure you're gonna make it, it's a real bad move to take yourself off the bases with Todd Helton coming up.
(And I wasn't watching, so it might have been a botched hitnrun and not a CS.)
You're talking about Clint Hurdle here.
Do the math.
And I've now done the math.
(looks it up)
Wow, Hawpe's not even batting .200 against LHP this season. Ouch.
261 I respect Jon's opinions and piece from 2003 about Wills. I just disagree.
>> The Dodgers don't trust their fans to sit through a rebuilding year, even when it is desperately needed.
Rather than tear down a team, slash payroll and start over - which rivals in San Diego, Arizona and Florida have done with great success - the Dodgers patch up a flawed roster, roll it back out there the next April and wait for their 3 million wide-eyed rubes to pass through the turnstiles. <<
http://www.dailybreeze.com/sports/articles/9253896.html
Wow, the Rockies lost at home in a game that Matt Morris started.
260/262 - True, and true. You can watch some of their videos on the HBO site, at least.
Would be fun - or scary - to have Mark Grace and Rick Sutcliffe in a broadcasting booth together.
Pitching.
>> Martinez took three pitches, then lined a 2-and-1 fastball from Jeremy Affeldt into center field to score Andre Ethier and Martin for a 4-3 lead. Martinez raised his average from .167 to .180 with two hits Sunday.
"I was watching (Jeff Kent's) at-bat and I noticed that (Affeldt) wasn't throwing a lot of strikes," Martinez said. "I wanted to take a strike and make sure I got a pitch to hit.
"I've been working hard. I've been going through a little slump - all year, I guess - but I've been working hard with Manny (Mota) and Billy (Mueller) and it paid off in that at-bat, I guess." <<
http://www.dailybreeze.com/sports/articles/9253901.html
Manager Grady Little wouldn't make any assurances about Kemp's staying in that spot, but said, "You'll see him there a lot. We like the way he's getting after it day after day."
Kemp said that he was seeing better pitches to hit as a result of batting behind Juan Pierre and in front of Jeff Kent. Because Pierre is a threat to steal (he has 50 stolen bases), Kemp says he sees more fastballs when the center fielder is on base.
"You get a good chance to get some RBIs," Kemp said. <<
http://tinyurl.com/3dzumw
Two have been by Brewers pitchers (Villanueva and Wise) in games in which they beat Arizona by 9.
There have been 4 in AL games and 2 in interleague games, one by an NL pitcher in an AL park and one by an AL pitcher in an NL park.
vr, Xei
The Dodgers will counter by getting 10 singles in each game, but no more than 2 in any one inning.
However, there seems to be correlation with Slg%; the '63 - '66 Dodgers are 8th or 9th is Slg% every year, bettering only the expansion Mets and/or Colt45s.
So maybe when Wills' OBP was highest ('63), partly due to his above-norm walk rate, he helped pull the runs scored up, when his OBP was closer to average, the impotent offense was completely exposed for what it was.
(I may be wandering close to a rule 4 violation.)
Take a look at the standings on 8/20/06 and compare to 10/01/06. The Diamondbacks lost 12 games to the Padres in 40 days!! 12 Games!! It ain't over until October. Peace.
Old friend Brady Clark, playing for Portland, went 2-4 with 2 runs.
Someone asked earlier, but I don't remember seeing an answer - why did Penny get moved up in the rotation if Tomko's starting today? You risk injuring your best starter by having him go on short rest and now you unleash a flyball pitcher in a bandbox that houses the NL's best offense. Am I missing something here?
Surrounded by Yankee fans they seemed resigned to losing the game, even when they took the lead on the Posada HR. Strange to hear the fans talk about a team having their number and then watch it unfold just like they said.
Girls in Yankee garb for somer reason look hotter then girls in Angel garb.
308 -It's the pinstripes!
309 - Betemit looks good in pinstripes.
311 - Therefore Betemit is hot.
http://tinyurl.com/29g9d5
http://tinyurl.com/29g9d5
Hey, I just woke up.
Bada Bing Club Selling 'Sopranos' Items (SFW)
http://abcnews.go.com/Entertainment/wireStory?id=3502164
I like transplanted Yankee fans. Just like the young Dodger fans who have never tasted success, the young Yankee fans have never, not be in play for a World Series. Why wouldn't they be arrogant about their team?
Those of us old enough to have enjoyed the Dodger World Championships are the same age of the Yankee fans who remember the lean years. You sit at a ballgame with an older(30+) Yankee fan you better know your stuff because they have been the most knowledgeable fans I've ever sat with.
Looking at Joba's stats at Nebraska, they really werent that eyepopping. Amazing what he's done this year.
http://tinyurl.com/2st5yl
They are also like UCLA basketball fans who are in the 50s. They expect the team to go 30-0 every year.
Or maybe like the little kid I saw last year leaving the Rose Bowl who was very upset that USC lost to UCLA. I realized that he was about 10 and he likely had never seen USC lose to UCLA, especially where he knew what was going on.
Never meant a Pirate fan.
So have the 90's and the 21st century been lean enough for the Dodgers to lose all those "bandwagaon" fans from the early 60's?
Ned also had some GLOWING praise for Kershaw in this article:
http://tinyurl.com/2vo54k
Dad telling it like it is.
"His consistency and his approach to hitting, from what I have seen, has been pretty bad this year," said Andy Van Slyke. "You can't be 6-5 and be a singles hitter, that is just the way it is."
And I turned 30.
I'm 6-5 and I think of myself as more of a doubles/gap hitter.
Yeah, it's Kershaw's character. That, and the 94 mph fastball. But mostly the character.
Happy 30th, 8 more good years:)
I don't think Colletti was referring to personality with "character." I think it was a more global description of Kershaw's overall abilities, including his psychological makeup.
I would like to hear scout's define character but I think it has more to do with work ethic then good/evil character issues.
By the by, Pedro should be back in about two weeks. It'll be interesting to see how he looks.
Sorry about that, thought I'd lost the 1st post when I refreshed and didn't see it. Didn't mean to make the same point twice.
I'm in my prime at 41 and I'm look forward to my birthday in 2008 when I'll be in my prime again.
Happy Birthday GB, give me a call later.
Tony Jackson sure likes to complain on his web based log type thing. Elevators, cookies, Philadelphia.
It's like reading my grandmother's blog, if she had one.
"Last July, Colletti was able to grab Greg Maddux, Julio Lugo (caution to self: refrain from various DT rule violations at mention of that name) and others with deals for prospects, but so far this summer they've only made smaller deals, adding reliever Scott Proctor and infielder Shea Hillenbrand as well as Sweeney.
"Still, it's hard to second guess them for playing it cautious with top young players such as Kemp, Ethier, Loney and Kershaw, who some view as one of the two or three best pitching prospects in the minors. "They absolutely did the right thing," one competing GM said.
http://tinyurl.com/259phs
And yet no one ever mentions the shrewd pickup of Toby Hall.
"Real Good" sounds so grating to me.
I have UCLA-Oregon and UCLA-ASU left over and if anyone wants them for face value at $35 each ($70 for two), you can drop me an email.
The BYU tickets are headed to Lindon, UT and the Washington tickets are headed to Snohomish, WA.
Snohomish beats Lindon in the "cool name for a city" contest.
347 There's a very good reason for that.
"He's going to be a real, good pitcher."
My new rule is that I will not comment on anything about English grammar unless I learned it from watching "Grammar Rock."
So, remember,
Lolly, Lolly, Lolly
Get your adverbs here!
Out of the frying pan and into the fire.
He cut loose the sandbags,
But the balloon wouldn't go any higher.
Let's go up to the mountains,
Or down to the seas.
You should always say "thank you",
Or at least say "please".
You're wearing your squeaky shoes
And right there taking a snooze
Is a tiger, so how do you walk on by?
Silently ... silently ... silent ... L-Y
This has been noted on this blog, but: Tom Lehrer rules.
Go Nats!
He's taking his 1.429 OPS out for a ride in Houston, and needs just a single and home run to get his season cycle in.
And he's been pitching OK, too.
Incidentally, the city was originally called Stringtown because all the houses were built along one street.
The top end guys they need to hold onto (Kershaw, Kemp, Billingsley).
Everyone else should be available for the right price.
That said, I don't think many managers would start Tomko here. The stretch run is all important, and this is messing with at least 3 of your rotation's schedule to make sure you get your fifth starter an additional start. I this not mostly true?
Yes, but the people of Lindon are paying above face value for the tickets so they are my friends.
He's made some well received trades -- Kearns/Lopez last year, Vidro this offseason (which today has essentially boiled down to Vidro for Wily Moe), a spent Vinny Castilla for Brian Lawrence (even though Lawrence then broke down). And he hasn't made any real bad ones. He's brought a lot of young pitchers into a depleted system. And he seems to have hire a good team -- esp. getting Mike Rizzo from AZ. There is a sense he asks for too much to get deadline deals done, but at the same time, most folks have felt its better not to make a trade you'll regret and reports are that the deadline offers he was getting were just not very compelling (no one really knows of course).
It was odd for him to sign Young and Belliard to extensions this year, and sabr-type fans questioned those moves, but casual fans and traditional sportwriters liked the signings.
And they have done a good job getting their draft picks signed.
He's a blowhard of the highest order, and I don't agree with all his moves (I would have really pushed to trade Rauch at the deadline, for example), but most fans, including me, think he's done OK.
>> Making this visit even more special is the fact it might be Lieberthal's last as a player. Dodgers general manager Ned Colletti said last week he hasn't given much thought so far, either one way or the other, to Lieberthal's option, and Lieberthal says he will retire if the Dodgers don't exercise it.
"I really don't want to play anywhere else," he said. "If there was a chance somewhere to catch every day and see if I could still do it, maybe, but that isn't going to happen." <<
http://www.presstelegram.com/sports/ci_6674828
http://raysblog.joesportsline.com/2007/08/19/disco-inferno.aspx
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