Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
For all the consternation that one might have about some of Grady Little's decisions, for me Friday night's game was all about pure baseball highs and lows: The exhilaration of James Loney's second home run, tying the game in the ninth inning, nearly offsetting the spirit-melting depression I felt when Rafael Furcal made his seventh-inning error. I can't remember the last time I felt so knocked off my feet by a misplay - I guess I had gotten caught up in the fever of the Dodgers continuing their comeback up the standings this week and the sublime pleasure of watching Loney, Matt Kemp and Chad Billingsley put the Dodgers in position to move another step closer to the wild-card lead. But with that low Furcal throw that Jeff Kent couldn't handle, everything seemed to just fall apart; MacArthur Park melting in the dark, all that sweet green icing flowing down. Not even Dan Ortmeier's game-winning homer for the Giants in the bottom of the ninth felt worse; that didn't take away a game the Dodgers had in the bag. The error, the error.
I won't bag on Grady for his moves last night. It's too easy and it's been overdone already. But I really don't understand his line-ups anymore. How can he justify not starting Ethier, Kemp and Loney everyday? They are the freshest and the best offensive players on our team right now. To sit Loney for Hillebrand or Nomar is inexplicable. Same for Gonzo for Ethier. I really want to like Grady and understand this, but by any measure, I can't.
Little's belief is "these older guys came thru before, they can do it again" and "how can you rely on the young guys, they have no track record or experience in this kind of pressure"
1.5 games sounds better than 2.5 but we're still very much in this thing, I'm just gonna sit back & enjoy the ride, weren't we like 6 games back 2 weeks ago.
Young guys don't "come through" because they're sitting on the bench.
-dressed up as kurt rambis with sweat bands, headband, short shorts and thigh high stripped socks
-pre-partied for a date dash
-went to a date dash
-got blitzed at the date dash
-probably caused sorority drama due to my, umm...philandering.
-got left behind at the date dash somehow.
-somehow got back to my house
-checked DT, saw loney hit two bombs billingsley pitched well and broxton gave up the GW homer. Oh and the inevitable loss of Logan White. so i drank some more.
-stared at my ceiling fan until 5am when i sobered up.
-walked and danced two miles to go pick up my car.
-drove around downtown in a daze.
-went to the westside to watch the sunrise over the city
-went to starbucks
-went to the driving range
-loaded the washer with laundry
-told everyone on DT my wonderful night when no one cares.
-about ready to do it again since its the first home football game of the year tonight!
soundtrack for my night:
Okkervil River-everything
Neutral Milk Hotel-in the aereoplane over the sea
The National- boxer
sleep is for suckers.
Sleep is for suckers.
Not to sound over negative, but that was an EPIC loss. Playoff teams dont make those mistakes. The Giants lineup is terrible, and we got a great game from our starting pitcher. That is a game we needed to win. What is the point of making the playoffs if we are going to play like that.
BTW: This is begging for more explanation.
heh nice.
you should do yourself a favor and check out those bands i mentioned.
They weren't feeling the prospect talk so I had to switch to plan B.
loney away: 391/439/719
loney home: 244/303/290
But I agree that I thought Kent could/should have been given the error.
I have seen many critical Dodger Giant games over the years in person, and the sting is still fresh from last night, I still see in this team a resiliency that some of the other Dodger teams did not have. I hope there can be a great breakthrough this weekend that will continue to the San Diego series. There is still hope.....Grady give Nomar a rest today and put in La Roche
logan white....for every position
Well said Sir, that's my Pet Peeve with Mr. Grady Little as well.
With runners on & a possibility of scoring some more insurance runs, would you do what Grady Little did? I'd go with a pinch hitter, I will say that Billz had Bonds coming up & he made him look foolish, So I guess I can see Gradys thinking there, a little bit.
ps But Beimel makes Bonds look bad ALL THE TIME, so there you go...
49 I choose the latter...
Tony Jackson takes up the Grady messed-up cause.
On his blog, Jackson also was surprisingly optimistic (for him) after the loss.
o.k. o.k. so you guys a perfect then!?
Grittle on Billingsley:
"He had done such a good job for us, and he wasn't going to be left out there to get into too much trouble at that point in the game," Little said. "Not at his age (23), and not with what he had done so far at that point in the game.
I doubt Loney needs to rest. Not at his age (23).
And I really hope Nomar is a benchwarmer next season. Fat chance of that, though.
I can't possibly see that happening, not after yesterdays performance.
http://tinyurl.com/ynqtvx
"Manager Bud Black wouldn't commit to his plans for Brett Tomko yesterday. But he said he believes the right-hander returns to San Diego on a mission.
"He has something to prove here the last few weeks of the season," Black said of Tomko, 34."
Furcal, SS
Pierre, CF
Kemp, RF
Kent, 2B
Gonzo, LF
Martin, C
Loney, 1B
Hillenbrand, 3B
Wells, P
Or possibly just drawing, but no quartering.
The former Navy guys are holding out for keelhauling I imagine.
Last night, Tomko did all right, with 3 scoreless innings at Coors. The Padres lost the game anyway, but maybe he needed the change of scenery.
Did you hear that his next plan is to start pinch-hitting for the younger guys, mid at-bat, once they have two strikes on them? Grady feels it'll damage their emotions too much to get a third strike at these tender ages.
Hillenbrand in for anyone.
Thats just bad baseball no matter how you cut it.
I'll be taping today's game so while you can't blame me if they lose you can blame my Tivo, I guess.
Is there anyone else out there that could be considered a zero tool player? How about one that's getting starts for a contending team?
92 My cure today is similar - go to the park to hear Michael Franti/Spearhead. And probably get second-hand stoned by accident, too.
I don't think Grittle is as bad as some here. But it does seem like a problem that the team would be better off if terrorists kidnapped a third of his starting lineup on any given night.
SS Furcal
CF Pierre
3B Nomar
2B Kent
LF Gonzalez
1B Hillenbrand
C Martin
RF Ethier
P Wells
Right...by accident.
Always stay away from second hand smoke, kids. It's nowhere near as good as the real thing.
And I do agree, I give Grady props for at least changing his mind about sitting Loney. If nothing else. I guess there's always something to carp about in the lineup - today it's Hillenbrand and Gonzo. What will it be tomorrow? Anyway, hope those guys prove me wrong and the Dodgers win today. Otherwise I may have to get firsthand stoned.
I'm now getting some ideas for the karma ritual you and I need to perform. An exorcism, if you will.
WORST
Wed, 4/18 at COL (L 7-2)
Pierre CF
Furcal SS
Garciaparra 1B
Lieberthal C
Ethier RF
Clark LF
Betemit 3B
Martinez 2B
BEST
Sun, 9/2 at SDP (W 5-0)
Furcal SS
Pierre CF
Kemp RF
Kent 2B
Ethier LF
Martin C
Loney 1B
LaRoche 3B
This has become the case for me in recent years. Even if the dumb move luckily works, I'm usually shaking my head about it more than I'm cheering for it.
This doesn't sound good for your physical or mental health.
Yes, there is doubt. You can't control the environment that much.
I think all the times Pierre batted eighth also featured other distasteful aspects, like Kemp absent or Nomar playing.
I know, "that's why they play the game", but still, it's frustrating.
Bradley for Ethier
107 ,113 Pierre has batted 8th twice (June 9 & 10 in Toronto) and 7th four times. If you factor in the Canadian exchange rate, he actually batted 6th!
And of course Furcal heals his ankle, Loney and Kemp prove themselves for starting jobs, etc etc.
That's the problem. It's hard to just relax and enjoy the season - we're in a pennant race after all - because we have to suffer idiotic management.
Why would Little plan on playing Hillenbrand at first for Loney? Now he can't do that because after Loney nearly hit 3 home runs last night, even Little realizes that sitting Loney for Hillenbrand would make him look like a moron.
Billingsley probably could have pitched the 7th and 8th with no problem - he was shutting them down. Then Saito closes it.
This constant juggling of lineups can't be good for the players' heads. Nomar should stay on the bench, along with Hillenbrand.
Almost everyone here could do a better job managing this team than what we have to suffer with Little.
The same goes for Colletti. Loney totally deserved to be our starting first baseman coming out of spring training. But we are stuck with Nomar. And we're apparently stuck for 4 more seasons with a center fielder who has no power, not even gap power, and no arm. Then he keeps signing mediocre over-the-hill vets, primarily ones even the Giants cast off. Geez.
Is there any doubt that he will be replaced by another "proven veteran" who's at the end of the line? Probably somebody like ex-Giant Moises Alou. Except he's having too good a year. Sammy Sosa perhaps?
Ooh, and Cody Ross for former top 100 prospect Ben Kozlowski.
Yep, that's what I'm afraid of too, Eric. It reminds me of a wreck on the freeway that's 900 feet away from you. You know you can easily avoid it, but your steering wheel is broken.
in there spirit I'll set it at 2.
If we set it at 1.5, I'll take the under.
When Jim Tracy kept playing Jason Phillips despite his clear incompetence, that struck me as a man-crush thing. Dr. Melfi might even go further and see it as displaced emotion for his real crush, Heart and Soul LoDuca. But I think Grady gets afraid of delivering bad news to players. He doesn't want to be disliked.
Just laugh at the insanity.
He creates this feeling simply because he doesn't say anything. He gives 3 word bovine responses.
Someone in the press needs to stop being tentative and flush him out. Pepper him with annoying questions. Then maybe he'll be riled into actually expressing himself like a human being instead of a cow with lockjaw.
He's been making poor decisions since Boston. We have a right to know who we're dealing with.
(Then again, it may be that he has nothing to say, simply because he has nothing to think. And his exterior blankness really is a reflection of his mind. Scary.)
If Colletti brings in a bum, it'll be a bum fourth outfielder. I'm sure he was eyeing Randy Winn last night. Is Jeromy Burnitz still active?
While I am not surprised at the odd decisions by Little, considering the fact that he did the same things with the Red Sox, the simple fact is that most managers in baseball suck. If Little were fired, who would you replace him with? I live in NY, and watch Willie Randolph and Joe Torre, both well-regarded managers, make the same stupid decisions that Little does. Even if you go back over Dodger history, which of our past managers would you want in Little's place? Tracy or Lasorda, both of whom get plenty of brief on this site? Bill Russell? Even my grandfather, who was a huge Dodger fan, told me that he thought Walter Alston was an idiot. While I do not support many of decisions that Little makes, (and would have left Billingsley in the game last night) he does things that I have seen other, well-regarded managers do. Frankly, I do not expect much out of managers, so nothing Little does really upsets me, especially since I do not think he is worse than most of the managerial lot.
As far as the line-up, since Colletti took over, Martin has become entrenched behind the plate, Loney is our regular first basemen, Kemp has pretty much become the everyday RF, and Ethier starts 80% of the time. In addition, Billingsley is now part of the rotation and Broxton has been allowed to blossom in a set-up role. After years of watching the Dodgers lack of home grown talent, I am pretty happy with the developments of the past two years. And, even though he didn't acquire or draft most of the talent, Colletti hasn't traded any of it away, as some people keep expecting him to do any day.
Finally, as much as people go crazy when a veteran starts over a young player, LuGo has had some good games in recent weeks, and Ramon Martinez won a game for us a few weeks ago as well. The fact is that the Dodgers are not going to bench Pierre, and they are not going to completely stop playing LuGo, and they are not going to play an all-rookie lineup the rest of the season.
I understand that we are all passionate fans, and when we lose we express our frustrations in sometimes angry and irrational ways--fire the manager, DFA this veteran--but the fact is the Dodgers are probably not going to make the playoffs this season because Wolf and Schmidt got hurt. Now, maybe that is all Ned's fault too, but if you had a healthy Schmidt and a healthy Wolf, you would not have had Tomko and Hendrickson in the rotation for such a long time, and just 3-5 more wins would have made us a first place team.
Please my friends, don't despair--in 2008, I guarantee that James Loney and Matt Kemp and probably Andre Ethier will play everyday, and that Shea Hillenbrand will not be on the team.
But your point is taken.
That said, maybe the best thing for this team's future would be a younger manager who would relate to the younger players more directly. (Not to say the young guys don't like Grady, because I think at least some of them still do, but that would probably be a better fit for the future.) But I still like Grady personally, and hope he figures out that consistent lineups with the best players will lead to the team winning, more important than the egos of veterans.
Fingers crossed...
Funny, I'm all about consistency, but I remembered this quote from Aldous Huxley that made me wonder: ""Too much consistency is as bad for the mind as for the body."
Oscar Wilde also said consistency is the last refuge of the unimaginative. But then Oscar Wilde and Huxley never managed a baseball team!
They just did it too late.
Doc Holiday: You know Morg, Wyatt Earp is my friend, but I believe I'm beginning to love you.
46.2 IP, 2.31 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 35/12 K/BB, opponents hitting .186/.240/.317.
What's great about the Mets is that they've had quite a few pitchers on their team throw no-hitters with other teams later on: Nolan Ryan, Tom Seaver, Dwight Gooden, and David Cone.
Did I miss anyone?
But like everything in life, a virtue becomes a vice when pushed too far. The main chit Grady has to offer is playing time, and too often his decisions seem to be influenced by a desire to look like he's being fair to everyone, and to keep anyone from becoming disgruntled.
That's the only explanation I can think of for starting Hillenbrand today, or at any point for the rest of the season. LaRoche, Nomar and Ramon Martinez are all ahead of him on the depth chart. But Grady likes everyone to love him. I sometimes wish we had a manager like Casey Stengel, who said:
"The secret of successful managing is to keep the five guys who hate you away from the four guys who haven't made up their minds."
And:
"Son, we'd like to keep you around this season but we're going to try and win a pennant."
And:
"You gotta lose 'em some of the time. When you do, lose 'em right."
Octavio Dotel started with the Mets and later pitched one inning of a combined no-hitter for Houston at Yankee Stadium. Billy Wagner, now on the Mets, completed the no-hitter.
Well done, men.
I could not contain myself and I was just going around saying, "I love James Loney."
Then pure sadness.
Maybe something in between Grady's niceness and Lou Pinella's Incredible Hulk would be the best bet for a manager.
You could divide the players into three classes in two different ways:
By role:
1) starting pitchers
2) relief pitchers
3) position players
By status:
1) well-paid veterans
2) younger, lesser-paid playes
3) fringe players just happy to have a job
Starting pitchers you only have to worry about one out of every five days. The relievers have to be told what to expect everyday. Position players all want to play, but there are just 8 or 9 spots (depending on the league).
By economic class, the veterans expect a certain amount of respect because of their status. The younger players want a chance to prove themselves, so they can become members of the upper class of veterans and collect the big checks. The fringe players just like getting the paychecks and they have to worry that they can be cut off with little warning.
Peter Drucker would have a hard time coming up with a theory of management for all that.
One of the factors affecting the pennant race which I haven't heard discussed is the fatigue factor: How many rest days remain for each team? How many time zones must teams travel though in these last 3 weeks? There is quite a difference between team schedules. For example, while the Dodgers and the D-Backs have 3 days off, the Pads only have one day (Sep 10!). The Dodgers, also, do hardly any traveling, while both the D-Backs and the Pads are earning lots of frequent flyer points.
Another factor is the home/away winning % combined with the winning % against each division. The Diamondbacks, for example, are only .479 against western division teams.
Still another factor is the home field advantage which plays a huge role in the last week of the season: Where does each competing team finish the season? At home? or away? The Dodgers finish the season with 6 home games, while the D-backs are away for 6, and the Pads are away for 7.
I did some research before Friday night's game and the results, I believe, are surprising, and even exciting.
METHODOLOGY TO DETERMINE FATIGUE FACTOR: I gave one win per each rest day, and one loss per each 5 times zones of required travel
METHODOLOGY TO DETERMINE WIN FACTOR: I multiplied the number of home games remaining by the current (Sep 7, am) home win%, ditto the away games by the away win%, and averaged that sum with the # of games and win% against each division
METHODOLOGY TO DETERMINE HOME FIELD ADV
I gave one win for each final-week series at home, and one loss for each final-week series away (max. 2 wins or 2 losses).
from Fri 7 sept till end of season:
DODGERS:
Win factor: 11.5 wins
Rest factor: 2.6 wins
Home field factor: 2 wins
record Sep 7 till end of season: 16-6
final record: 90-72
D-BACKS
Win factor: 10.5 wins
Rest factor: 1.6 wins
Home field factor: 2 losses
record Sep 7 till end of season: 10-11
final record: 88-74
PADRES
Win factor: 12.9 wins
Rest factor: 0.2 loss
Home field factor: 2 losses
record Sep 7 till end of season: 11-12
final record: 87-75
ROCKIES
Win factor: 12.1 wins
Rest factor: 1.8 wins
Home field factor: 1 win, 1 loss
record Sep 7 till end of season: 13-10
final record: 85-77
I calculated the wild card teams,too:
Phillies: 13-10, so final record 86-76
Brewers: 14-9, so 85-77
Cardinals: 9-16, so 78-84
Cubs: 11-12, so 82-80
Braves: 10-12, so 81-81
Needless to say, these estimates are based upon past performance, only, and do not take individual performance or streak-quirks into account.
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