Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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TV and more ...
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Some useful information provided Tuesday by Dodger Thoughts commenter Bhsportsguy relating to the idea of the Dodgers somehow shocking us and ending up with Alex Rodriguez:
1. A-Rod can opt out of his contract 10 days after the conclusion of the 2007 season; the latest that would be is November 11, 2007.
2. Players can begin to elect to become free agents for a 15-day period after the season concludes. So if the season ends on November 1, the period is between November 2-16.
3. Free agents can begin talks with other clubs starting on the 16th day after the end of the season. So, that would be November 17 in this scenario.
4. Not really related, but the last date for teams to file their reserve lists for both their minor and major league rosters is November 20. (This is in regards to the Rule 5 draft.)
5. December 1 is the last day for teams to offer arbitration to ranked free agents to be eligible for compensation. (List usually comes out around the end of October.)
6. Not really related to this topic, but the Rule 5 draft will be held on December 6.
7. Player deadline to accept arbitration is December 7.
8. For those on Mark Hendrickson watch, the last day to tender a contract is December 12, but that decision will probably be made prior to November 20 for roster protection considerations.
9. If a team signs a ranked free agent prior to December 1, the team that lost the player will get compensation. (But there will be fewer ranked free agents due to changes made in the last CBA.)
So, there is nothing that can happen between now and at least the first week of November. So kick back and enjoy the playoffs; the Hot Stove won't get its first logs for a few more weeks.
* * *
Enter the True Blue World Series contest and win your choice of a Matt Kemp, James Loney or Russell Martin t-shirt.
Definitely a good interview.
Anyone hear Tim McClelland on the Dan Patrick show this morning?
He says he got the call right, and that the two replay angles can't help to disprove him. Says Barrett's foot was not grounded and that Holliday got the plate in pushing it away. Also mentioned that had Barrett hung onto the ball, Holliday would have been out.
I thought it was pretty stand-up for an umpire to go live on the air so soon after the controversy.
Thanks for the clarification on the dropped ball.
...10 days after the conclusion of the 2007 season; the latest that would be is November 11, 2007.
Good grief. I remember being shocked when an SI issue covering the conclusion of the WS was dated November 1. (A Reds year maybe? 1976?). I know there was November baseball in 2001, but that was due to rescheduling after 9/11, wasn't it?
"Rodriguez may void after 2008 or 2009 unless club increases 2009-10 salary by $5M/year or $1M more than highest-paid MLB position player
no-trade clause
club may offer salary arbitration if Rodriguez voids contract 2007-09, but club may not offer salary arbitration after 2010"
So if he opts out and they offer him arbitration and he says "no" does that mean that whoever signs him has to give up a draft choice?
Jeter did, that was the 2001 WS.
I heard the tail-end of the Patrick inteview. He told McClelland that he got the call wrong (in his non-confrontational way). McClelland said to the effect, "that's what makes this country great, everyone can have their own opinion. But mine is the one that counts."
McClelland certainly had the best view in the house.
Almost certainly so. I can't imagine the Yankees declining to offer him arbitration. It could happen, but it seems implausible.
Boston over Anh, Clev over NY
Boston over Cle
Cubs over AZ, Col over Phi
Col over Cubs
Boston over Col
So if the umpire ruled foul and all the runners stopped and returned to their bases, but the replay indicates fair, what then? If the umpire indicates HR, the batter (and runners) jogs around the bases, but the replay shows "hit the yellow line" or something, what then? Ground-rule doubles?? Yecch.
Having a tiebreaker game decided in extra-innings on an extremely close play that could have been called either way seems pretty fitting to me.
Instant Replay challenge rule. If a manager wants to challenge a play, umpires watch instant replay camera. If correct, the play is overturned, and the umpire who overthrew the play cannot personally eject the manager. If the manager is wrong, the opposing manager gets to select the player of his choice to be ejected.
I read this as saying that the Yankees can keep A-Rod without even signing him to a contract extension -- just by increasing his salary for the two years already on his contract by $5 million/year. Is that correct?
If so, shouldn't the Yankees do this?
Under that scenario, Chipper Jones or Teixiera would never see the end of any game.
I prefer no replay in baseball ever. Let it be the one sport that is played out on the field instead of on TV sets.
Brosisus hit his in the ninth inning off of Byung-Hyun Kim to tie the game.
In the three November World Series games in 2001, Derek Jeter was 2 for 11.
Jeter did hit a home run in the 10th inning of Game 4 of the 2001 World Series, which started on October 31 and finished after midnight.
Holy...crap...
I can't believe that GMs don't universally want to "stick it to" Boras by not giving in to his demands. But there's always some moron willing to do whatever he wants.
Please, GMs, I prithee: don't pay $20 million/year for Jones.
Instant replay would be a total disaster in baseball.
You'd think Sabean will be paying big for somebody.
If your team wins, you can probably make more money for yourself than you can by "sticking it to Boras."
Baseball teams are competing with each other, not Scott Boras.
Rowand has always jumped out at me as a "Colletti Guy". That said, I think that Ned will be more focused on 3B and will allow the Kemp, Pierre, Ethier OF another year to mature.
It is scary to think of Ned panicking after missing out on A-Rod, Jones, Hunter, and Santana and picking up Rowand for 4 years and 40 million...
I understand completely. The problem though is that in game theory, "cheaters" win, at least in the short term. While social welfare may go down, their private welfare goes up.
But in baseball, cheaters don't necessarily win. GMs who sign Barry Zitos and Andruw Joneses to 100 million contracts aren't exactly getting a leg up on non-cheaters. They're just making themselves look stupid, and making things worse for other GMs.
I'm not suggesting formal collusion: I'm just suggesting common sense across the board.
It seems rather unanimous that the Bums should make a run at A-Rod, but other than that, anything?
I guess I'm distinguishing between Boras clients who are worth a lot of money (e.g. ARod) and Boras clients who aren't (e.g. Zito).
Boras is not going anywhere and is a necessary evil that GMs will eventually have to deal with because he keeps picking up guys like Rick Porcello and Dice-K. He is continually restocking the cupboards with young impact guys.
Colletti may as well get it over with and prepare to bid around 4/$140 on A-Rod...to start.
He's not PVL material; only 29 right now.
http://www.baseball-reference.com/j/jonesan01.shtml
Hibernate.
That puts me on the ARONs, shall run roll call?
To follow up, I'm talking about situations where winning and sticking it to Boras are symbiotic. (e.g. spending $100 million on something more useful than Barry Zito).
In my 40 years of watching baseball, common sense has never seemed to prevail in baseball from management.
I'd bet that the common sense gene has mutated as the earth tries to rid itself of our species.
I thought in 2005, Rowand was considered one of the best defensive centerfielders in baseball.
That's how I would implement it. However, I'm not in favor of it for anything but home runs.
The earth is lucky that so many of us appear to have the same goal.
Schuerholz said the team got an offer from Boras last December but quickly realized it was far more than anything they would consider.
Boras withdrew the offer, believed to be in the $20-million-a-year range, over the summer when the Braves never responded, Schuerholz said.
"What that did was to signal what we could fully expect," the GM said. Asked how much Boras was asking for, Schuerholz held his right hand over his head. "I can't reach that high," he quipped.
"It was so far removed from what we could even consider doing," Schuerholz added.
"We have to use our assets in the most effective way to put the best 25 people on the field," Schuerholz said.
(Yahoo Sports)
Barry Bonds - Raises Hand
I see their point, but disagree. I believe that for the paycheck those guys would get, they would likely not provide enough improvement over Ethier.
For me, it's ARON.
... I don't think there should be any form of instant replay provision in baseball, particularly any rule that allows for ejecting a star player from the game -- I think that's a slap in the face of paying customers.
I am a fan of the human element having a place in baseball; there are three rules I would implement with regards to umpires:
1 - No umpire should use his position of authority to grind an axe against a player, or to fuel a rivalry or grudge against a player.
2 - No umpire should make a spectacle of himself, or otherwise make a mockery of the game he's working.
3 - All umpires should be subject to detailed evaluation after each season, with all umpire errors archived and organized according to different situations (balls/strikes, calls at bases, implementation of on-field rules in a prompt manner, professional conduct, etc.) -- and before he is permitted to work in the major leagues the next season, he should receive training in any situation where he is evaluated as unsatisfactory.
I am on that bandwagon with one small (OK not so small) exception: Miguel Cabrera.
Therefore: Andruw, Hunter or Rowand > A-Rod to the Dodgers.
That said, if he is available and if the Dodgers do not hamstring themselves in other areas by giving up too much for him... because he is one of the best players in baseball, I will happily accept him on my team.
I now expect Howard Fox to find something in my comment and make a play on words to imply that Miguel Cabrera is fat. Howard -- the floor is yours.
If that given is wrong -- and it might be -- then ARONS falls apart... but I just can't imagine it's wrong.
How about Pierre as the emergency catcher??? He and Piazza can compare throws to second base.
You may be the sole member.
I am not one to love the fact that Pierre is our everyday CFer, but I do not think that he is so bad as to say that we can not win with him on our squad. Most of the ammo assailing him revolves around his contract (too long for too much money), but his contract is not debilitating as a percentage of our overall payroll.
I think that it is safe to say that Repko, when healthy provides the same play for a 90% discount, but Pierre was on a Marlins team that won the WS.
I don't think that he will be the reason we win a WS, but I also think that we can win despite his shortcomings.
Maybe the equivalent of both Lieberthal and the Tomato last year (since he could fill both roles)?
Cooperation has the best payoff (i.e. keep player salaries down or at least reduce inflation), but trust is highly problematic. By paying Andruw $20 million per year an owner is not screwing the other owners. But he also isn't leaving the hunting ground empty handed.
74 - I'd be willing to join that group. But I'm more prone to the Young At Second and Kent Anywhere Else Club, right now.
Ethier has shown he can hit for average with decent power. Its not a stretch to figure he could hit 20-25 homers over a full season next year imo.
Presumably you don't mean Kemp+Loney+Pierre for Santana. But that is one way to get rid of him. :-)
And I don't think he's leaving the Dodgers, for a variety of reasons.
But aren't there negative externalities from the standpoint of other GMs? If Jones's crappy .222/.311/.413/.724 line is deemed to be worth 20/year, won't that inevitably drive up the price for other players above what it would have been if Jones "only" signed for 5/year?
http://www.truebluela.com/story/2007/10/3/11133/6919
Playing devil's advocate here, but that's about league average production from a LFer (his OPS+ was 104 last year). If leftfield and thirdbase are your only realistic areas to improve, can you do better than league average production there?
First, I disagree that his defense has hurt more than his offense. He's the worst CF bat in the game.
Second, even if defense is his worst shortcoming, moving him to left will make a difference in, what, ten runs over the course of a season? Maybe? He'll still have the opportunity to be terrible in LF.
Finally, as the worst CF bat in the game, he'd also be the worst LF bat in the game -- only the difference would be a lot greater. Ethier is likely, at worst, an average LF.
And: the $20 million that the upgrade in center would cost is better spent elsewhere.
But really, it depends on where you hit him. I think he'd be a great player to put in the 2 hole. Line drive hitter, decent power, gets on base, doesn't strike out. I don't expect him to be a 3-4-5 hitter (that's what Kemp, Loney, and Martin are for). He'd probably also make a pretty good 6 hitter, but that's where I expect LaRoche to end up long term.
But another problem, as I see it, is that his arm is not his only defensive flaw. He gets horrible jumps and takes inefficient routes to the ball. In CF, his speed can make up for some of that - there's so much space out there that he can outrun his mistakes some of the time. In LF, balls would bounce off the wall before he could get to them.
Granted, this would probably matter about 3 times a season, but it's a reason that both offensively and defensively, CF is the only place he's remotely useful. If he can't play there, he can't play anywhere.
I watch him and he looks terrible to me, but it is certainly possible that with his speed, he is getting to balls that other CFs might not get.
I would encourage you to try to figure it out.
So I'll take Ethier, Pierre, Kemp, plus $20 million to spend elsewhere on the team.
it would be a small insult to nomar, but nomar's only signed for one year, unlike pierre, whose anchor is fixed for four more.
i see a move for a 3b as more likely than a cf.
Are you sure? Pierre had 366 putouts alone this year, and I think he must have fielded more than 9 singles to center, so I think 375 is very low.
But I do believe that the offensive deficiencies are greater than the worst defensive deficiences. I also believe that trying to solve the defense problem without looking at the team as a whole is foolish. I'll stand by my answer in 103 .
Gotta go to a meeting, which is too bad, because I love arguing about this stuff.
Don't say the L-word!
If were not replacing JP and replacing Ethier I don't see the point unless your name is Barry Bonds.
Year BA/OBP/Slg/OPS+
2004: .310/.361/.544/126
2005: .270/.329/.407/93
2006: .262/.321/.425/87
2007: .309/.374/.515/125
Which Rowand will someone be getting in 2008? I think signing Rowand is also buying high.
If the McCourts just want to bank that money, ok. But it still doesnt make the team better.
If they want to put it into the A-Rod fund, then great.
But just automatically assuming that 15-20 mils would be better spent on someone other than Andruw Jones may not be realistic in this off-season.
557!
Chet Lemon had 524 in 1977 for the White Sox in just 149 games.
Shall we mosey on over to HA or MBR for our game threads?
Generally, isn't home plate equidistant for all OFs except for the part of CF that is deeper than the LF/RF walls, at which point the CF is not generally throwing runners out at the plate, but just trying to hit the cutoff?
If Ned has even a little confidence in LaRoche, he could sign a lefty platoon mate to go with Nomar (is Tyler Houston available?) and let LaRoche kick down the door from Vegas.
I'm not convinced, though, that $15 million on Jones is a significant upgrade over Ethier or Kemp.
Regular season games aren't subject to blackout.
But seeing 16.5 mill combined for Pierre and Nomar made me wretch. Is there ANY possibility we could dump Nomar's contract on someone for a D-level prospect?
Bay is signed reasonably for the next couple years and could provide a nice LF bat with Pierre (gag) and Kemp. Eithier would be the odd man out.
Dunn has one year left if they pick up the option. He K's a ton but I wouldn't mind having 40 bombs on the team next year.
If the new GM in Pittsburgh were to dump Bay, he might get fired before Opening Day.
There have been some rumors going around that Bay might be available. who knows?
136-
True, but the bottom line is that we need someone who can hit a baseball over a fence. I agree with everyone that replacing Eithier makes no sense for the most part, but if it's for a Dunn or Bay then it probably is worth it to get that proven HR bat in the lineup.
Go do some work!
Not if he were to get Ethier and McDonald from LA for him. That would be a similar trade to the one that brought Bay to Pittsburgh in the first place, which is about the only thing the Littlefield did right in his whole tenure.
If the Reds pick up his $13m option, Dunn has a no-trade clause until June 15, 2008, and a limited one after that.
The question is, what does an extra, 30 home runs accomplish over the course of the season? And really, given the natural progression of Ethier and Kemp, it will likely be much less than 330 HRs.
Let's just ship him back to the Cubbies, do they have a good SS or 2nd baseman?
Of course, in a vaccum home runs are overrated, 30 home runs from Tony Batista means a lot less than 30 home runs from Travis Hafner.
Would that have been enough for the Dodgers to over come their other flaws and injuries this year? I suppose if all 42 runs came against Colorado, San Diego, and Arizona, it would have.
Still, what can we expect in HR totals from Ethier and Kemp, allowed to play a full season next year? And what would Dunn's projection be with only three games in Cincy instead of 81?
Nomar's staying in LA, but can he play 2nd? I think he'd be a defensive upgrade over Kent. I think Brad Penny may be a defensive upgrade over Kent.
I would have made that deal in a heartbeat if I was San Diego, but you can make a reasonable case that the Padres could have won 4 straight division titles had they held on to Bay and Perez. (I realize trades don't happen in a vacuum)
Giles, 2004-2007: .280/.384/.443, 122 OPS+ in 2654 PA, $32.5m total salary
Bay, 2004-2007: .281/.373/.514, 128 OPS+ in 2482 PA, $5.66m total salary (plus two more arb years in 2008-09)
O.Perez, 2004-2007: 101 starts, 588.2 IP, 98 ERA+, $5.027m total salary (plus arb in 2008)
It just means he's not necessarily better than Ethier (though I'd take him over Pierre).
If he's not and they're basically a push, and if Ethier's offense is basically a push with Jones/Rowand/Hunter's offense, then doesn't the idea of signing Jones/Rowand/Hunter add up to paying $15-20 million for the CF defense upgrade, Ethier's production, and the ability to trade Ethier?
I do not advocate a one-trick pony like Dunn for the Dodgers, but it is a bit disconcerting not having a player hit as many homers in two years as Prince Fielder hit this year alone.
I really am tapped as to what to want from this offseason. I like an offensive core of Martin, Kemp, and Loney but I do not see LaRoche and Ethier being a part of the long term plan if they can trade them for parts. I do not necessarily agree, but I think that is the way Ned will see it.
Looks like we have a ball game here.
He is not great. He is slow minded and pseudo sophisticated. He speaks in questions so as to come off as reflective...introducing every notion, no matter how banal, in the form of an "intriguing" question...oooh how coolly regal and detached. Inquisitive! Don't we know, only barbarians would be so uncouth as to have Opinions. His brain works at the speed of molasses, which I suppose to some gives the impression of thoughtfulness. He's not a bullying ape, which is all we can ask for on radio, I'll give you that.
36 "GMs who sign Barry Zitos and Andruw Joneses to 100 million contracts aren't exactly getting a leg up on non-cheaters."
Well the theory is still correct, you pay more, so you can get better product. No one says it's a sure thing in practice, or that management will be a good judge of talent. But yes, in probability, paying more WILL give them a leg up. (And speaking of game theory, you sort of stacked the deck there with the all-too-perfect examples of Zito and Jones. One could just as easily have sighted examples that did work out.)
I'm not sure if Ethier/Kemp losing playing time to him would be worth it, but I'd take him over Pierre easily.
The 2nd paragraph will hereafter be referred to as opinion 3.5.
Sure, Dunn's defense isnt the best.
But what is more important?
High OPS every day player in the lineup.
Or left field defense?
I'm inclined to always take offense, and stack the pitching staff with ground ball/K inducing pitchers.
Corner OF defense---is it really a priority, when you consider the dearth of Dodger power?
Nor, paradoxically, as a treat.
I doubt that highly.
Not the best choice of words, and he does walk quite a bit, but he has always struck me as a DH after the age of 33 and will be a brutal defender if he is signed for more than 3 years.
He is a sure HOF. He played enough games at 1st base to erase the DH stigma.
163
Your right, Dunn in LF I could live with and yes he'd be be a big enough upgrade over Ethier that I'd be more then happy to have him.
All time ranks:
On base - 18
Slug - 20
Home runs - 18
OPS+ - 19
RBI - 22
Here's one for you: Pierre will be a Dodger through two more presidential elections...
@%*#$
"He played enough games at 1st base to erase the DH stigma."
... He was so bad at 1B that all most people could think about was that he SHOULD have continued to be a DH.
Thomas was poor defensively, slow on the bases, and hit 513 career homers in a juiced-ball era. He might make the Hall but I don't see him as a shoo-in.
Hasn't the presidential campaign ended yet? My Mike Gravel lawn signs are looking a little shabby.
All three ought to be slam dunks for the Hall of Fame. YMMV with Bonds, of course.
I don't know if you are joking, but I am a Mike Gravel supporter.
Go Gravel!
Just kidding. I don't know much about him. I saw him recently on Bill Maher's HBO show, but that's about it.
I want a Gravel-Brownback Unity Ticket!
WARP-3:
Andre Ethier 2007: 5.3
Adam Dunn 2007: 6.0
Future HOF Frank Thomas:)
http://www.truebluela.com/story/2007/10/3/173016/621
190 - Alex Cora and Julio Lugo?
Not a case of false advertising.
With very few keystrokes it could be a pretty spreadsheet.
The RedSox have the most support with 11 entries. I guess it is not just an East Coast bias since I'd say that most of the entries are from the best coast.
Not that I'm a big Rockies fan or anything, but after their dramatic defeat of the hated Padres on Monday, I'm kind of rooting for them. Also, Boston over the fake "LA" team still in it. And, as far as that goes, I'd love to see the Rams back in LA where they belong. Deacon Jones! Yeah!
But in truth I can't help liking both these teams, and even watching the game hasn't weeded out my true allegiance.
Fortunately the Royals, Devil Rays, and Rangers aren't going to be doing much for a while, though I worry about the Brewers.
The Brewers worry about you, too.
Rockies keep rolling. What's gotten into them?
http://www.truebluela.com/story/2007/10/3/1917/19099
Everything went right for them this year.
Not that I have much of a chance, but still.
I may have to come up with another tie breaker by the world series depending on how it looks. I was only expecting about 15 entries, not 35.
Final Score of final game? Any suggestions?
If you want another size, it is possible I can return it and get the size you want, but you'd have to wait until I make a sojourn to the Dodger Top Of The Park store.
I do not see Beckett winning NL MVP.
Is anybody getting the TBS HD broadcast on DirecTV with an HD receiver? All I get is a `searching for satellite signal' notice. Actually, I'm getting the notice on all but ESPN, HBO and Showtime HD channels.
I digress. I get excited about offseasons every year - the possibilities for your team are endless this time of year!
I, too, would love to add A-Rod - I think he gets an unfair rap out here. But I also think the Dodgers could think even bigger. I'm a fan of signing A-Rod if he opts out, then trading for Santana. Yep, that would be costly, but I would try to include Kent and Pierre (Twins may need a replacement CF and always need a DH) and eat as much money as possible, along with either Hu or Abreu (Twins need a middle infielder) and MacDonald. If it costs Kershaw, I'm okay with that. Opinions? Sorry for the long post....
Makes me glad he's no longer in the NL.
Oh how I long for the old Jason Schmidt.
236 - I'd be okay only getting Santana back, but the Twins always have some decent pitching prospects they could throw in. And, yeah, I'd want him to sign an extension with the Dodgers - Zito money, or thereabouts, should do it. But why wouldn't Johan want to stay in LA? Better pitchers' park, easier league, contending team. And we'd have the money, not paying LuGo, Pierre, Kent next year, and then not paying Lowe and Loaiza the following year.
Another idea is to include LaRoche and not include either Hu or Abreu. I know Jon likes LaRoche, and I do too, but I'd move him to make room for A-Rod and obtain Santana. Then, after Furcal leaves, we'd have an all-young positional team save for A-Rod, and a darn good pitching staff, for about the same or less payroll than the Dodgers currently have.
And I think one of the reasons people watch sports is to witness greatness - is there a rule against the Dodgers having a great team rather than merely a competitive team? It's been maybe 30 years since the last great team (the '88 team inspired me, and still does, but on paper it had no business winning the Series).
Going from Clint Barmes to Troy Tulowitski is a huge upgrade.
Per Tony Jackon's ITD
Surgery goes well
Dr. William Meyers repaired a torn muscle in Tony Abreu's abdomen, Recovery time remains six to eight weeks, and he is expected to be at full strength well before the start of spring training.
The Top Chef thread is going up at Screen Jam, I assume?
I'd say that's a bit excessive.
Obviously, today (October 3rd), the Dodgers' chances of signing A-Rod are nonexistent, because he has not even opted out of his contract yet. And I would bet that they will remain nonexistent, because I'm personally guessing that the Yankees will back a dump truck full of money up to his door and he'll never opt out.
Still, "what should the Dodgers do this offseason" is -- and should be -- a major topic of discussion around these parts these days, and ignoring A-Rod is impossible.
I get your point and appreciate the work you did in compiling those dates, but as Shakespeare didn't write when the Dodgers died this year: to die, to sleep; to sleep, perchance to dream; ay, there's the rub: for in that sleep of death what dreams may come...
Yes, until it is impossible, as they song says "to dream the impossilbe dream, to fight the unbeatable foe...."
I am a Top Chef fan too.
Never ever talked about it on Screen Jam though.
I'd note that Alex does work with all models.
252 There was a weird pride in the idea that the team played its last four series against the Mets and Phillies, and played both teams tough (even though Philly won 5 of 7). And over all, there was a lot of beaming about (i) playing .500 ball since May, (ii) beating last year's record despite not having Soriano, Nick Johnson, or Livan Hernandez, and (iii) for the first in three years in DC, not being in last place. Then again, the team lost 89 games, was miles from the playoffs, and didn't have any breakout performances from young players, so most folks tried to temper such feelings. The beat writer summed things up with a "Rarely has mediocrity been deemed so glorious."
1b--.275
2b--.276
3b--.246
SS--.243
LF--.275
CF--.252
RF--.282
C-- .279
3b, SS, CF are the positions the team needs to get better in.
Pretty sad the Dodgers have Nomar (10 mils), Furcal (13mils), and Pierre (9mils) at those positions.
Furcal really needs to step up his game in 2008. By no fault of his own, he's becoming essentially worse since everyone else aroudn the league is seemingly getting better SS's.
I'd be very leary of extending Furcal past 2008, based on this. If SS is becoming a important offensive position, the Dodgers may need to go out and find one or develop one to keep up with the rest of the league.
More stuff per Tony Jackson at ITD
Dodgers cut ties with Stan Johnston
The Dodgers have declined to renew the contract of assistant trainer Stan Johnston, who has been with the organization since 1985. Johnston was the club's head trainer from 2000-06 until Stan Conte was brought in last winter, shortly after Conte resigned as San Francisco's head trainer. At that point, Johnston was moved into an assistant's role to make room for Conte, and assitant trainer Matt Wilson was let go.
Johnston spent 10 seasons as a trainer in the Dodgers' minor-league system before joining the big-league training staff in 1996.
``I enjoyed my 22 years with the Los Angeles Dodgers organization and everything I did to advance and further their commitment to being an outstanding organization,'' Johnston said. ``I am saddened that I am not going to a part the future of the organization.''
A Dodgers spokesman said team officials would have no comment on the matter.
2003 - 91
2004 - 92
2005 - 92
2006 - 93
2007 - 94
Offense is increasing from the position, but not nearly enough to suddenly tank Furcal's value.
I mentioned that I thought the NL west was going to be a great division because of the good young players coming to LA, Ariz, and Colo and he agreed heartily.
http://weblogs.variety.com/season_pass/2007/10/top-chef-finale.html
Spoiler Alert
No worries, I quickly stopped reading.
Great stat, where can I dig up similar stats on NL CFs the last few years?
What grade would you give Ned in terms of financial efficiency? Perhaps Jon could give us a detailed report, but even beyond the Schmidt and Pierre deals, it seems like Ned is wasteful, has basically eliminated the financial advantage the Dodgers hold over most NL clubs.
http://www.baseball-reference.com/pi/bsplit.cgi?team=TOT&lg=ML&year=2007
Thanks
It appears Tony Abreu's surgery went well. A torn abdominal muscle was found, and Abreu will be discharged tomorrow and return to Los Angeles.
If we weren't spending that money, we could let our young players grow into their roles on the team ala Colorado and Arizona.
The Red Sox won 96 games, Cleveland won 96 games, who was more financially efficient?
I know that there is some belief that exists that there is some magical GM out there that will be able to spend wisely and take advantage of their finances but in truth the only way to be financially efficient is to have a lot of young players at the minimum or perhaps at arbitration buy out contracts and to avoid as many long term contracts as possible.
There are just not enough good players to make spending the money you have to spend to get them as free agents to make that a viable strategy.
But in a game where there has never been more money and less available talent, the price of mediocre keeps going up.
Since 2001, the Rockies had not finished above .500 and were 110 games under .500
Both franchises saw huge drops in their paid attendance.
The Dodgers cannot do that. You can't ask 3 million plus fans to go through that kind of development.
All you need is backbone and the ability to ignore Simers and Plaschke and talkradio for a year.
It absolutely is a myth that you can't ask the fans in Los Angeles to endure growing pains. I've seen the people here endure much worse than a 71-91 season.
Not that a 71-91 season is even required. The Dodgers could cut all the players on the team making $10 million or more tomorrow and still win next year.
I don't expect Ned to be perfect. But it is perfectly reasonable to ask that he avoid obvious mistakes.
283 - it would be much easier if the ownership had the wherewithal to just come out and say "this is what we're doing, it's going to take some time, but we're going to be good", instead of bringing in the PVL and building marketing campaigns around them (the Nomar van commercial is the most annoying thing ever).
I don't like jeans either. Khakis for me.
They (Frank, anyway) said exactly that when he hired DePo. Scanman has a record of it on his blog. But McCourt couldn't handle the politics of the LA Media and the Fat Man, thus we are now in a situation where we still have a dynasty in the making, but where our GM can still do that dynasty real harm. We'll see. There is so much talent in our farm system that even Colletti is unlikely to kill it completely.
That is what I think to. Logan White has produced something so good that Ned realizes he should not do anything too dramatic.
As a side note, I wish I had the discipline to avoid reading Plaschke. He's eviscerated Lackey for giving up 4 runs, saying the Angels needed him to carry them tonight - and apparently ignoring the fact that you can not win a baseball game without scoring any runs.
Too many times have we seen a player's performance fall through the floor, only to have him announce after a terrible month, "I'm hurt."
Furcal hurts his ankle in March; in September he gets an MRI. Wolf, Broxton pitch with bad arms.
Enough. Dig through the archives, and you'll see I've made my opinion known.
Conte is the one who should have been axed. Goodness, the Schmidt deal alone invalidates him.
http://tinyurl.com/39scfu
Plus, Lando had a white slave named Lobot.
If the rumors at the deadline were true, I don't even think we can hope for that. Colletti was reportedly itching to let Texas bend him over for Teixeira.
If the rumors at the deadline were true
Logan White and Kim Ng are on the list, as are Paul DePodesta and Dan Evans. But at this early stage, the organization has not named any actual candidates.
LA's the 2nd biggest market in the entire country. I seriously doubt there'd be a drop in attendance no matter what players the Dodgers put on the field.
Mediocre PVL does not equal attendance.
Ugh. Not the Cardinals.
Then they killed him off in a manner most unbefitting for such a righteous dude.
A year ago today we were anticipating a big NLDS game 1 and instead got 2 jokers sliding into home plate on the same play. You know, if it was some other team I'd have laughed my butt off, but that it was the Dodgers... well I still laughed my butt off.
One year later: we're discussing Boba Fett
Me neither. As far as I'm concerned, the books don't exist.
For that matter, I'm not sure the "prequels" exist either.
...and has a better disposition
The Ewok village stuff was fine. The Ewok attack was ok too, except for much of it's success. This is especially true since success was not necessary for the plot. If they had shown the Ewoks mostly getting killed (but also employing some things successfully - such as the various log traps against the walkers, or using spears as part of traps or held placed against the ground to defeat a charge, etc.) rather than actually defeating the "an entire legion of [the emperor's] best troops" things would have been much better.
I didn't mind the complexity. It was the acting, dialogue, plots, Jar-Jar, and animation that I couldn't stand.
And probably some other stuff too.
Won't anyone think of his scrapiness?
Absolutely no offense intended, but 330 is a lot more fun to read if you imagine Dwight Schrute saying it.
THAT IS ALL
Just because something is "for kids" doesn't mean the author should take advantage of the fact that kids won't notice a ton of mistakes/non-sense.
This is especially true considering that their scouting guys aren't going anywhere and the fact that the GM will have a reduced role in the drafts. That situation is made for him.
That last statement sounds sarcastic, but it isn't.
And Harry Potter rules.
"You get to see Darth Vader as a little kid!" etc.
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Hey, less than a month to college basketball!
Car 98 is really out.
Do you guys think the dodgers use stats such as the ones JoeyP provided? And if yes I wonder to what degree. Afterall this isn't fantasy baseball...
The best bet will be the current interim GM who already familiar with the situation.
344 If Furcal is completely healthy, he will have a better year next season.
Unless improved through free agency or trade, 3B will be decided between Nomar Garciaparra and Andy LaRoche.
Right now, the outfield will be Kemp, Pierre and Ethier and unless someone is signed or traded for, that is what we will see on opening day.
SS ought to be pretty easy if Furcal goes back to his 2005-2006 levels.
3B ought to be pretty easy if our starting third baseman's first name started with the letter "A."
Then I will see how well that plays out this year... pitchers I'll use era+, but consider closers for the relief pitchers (they need to rack up saves)
Does DT have a FB league? I am so in on that!
Stars Wars is best enjoyed when we relax our analytical minds and merely tune in with our imaginations and visualizations. So far that may be the best way to watch the Dodgers in 2008.
Kemp, Loney, and Martin as the 3, 4, 5 hitters may be better than Nomar, Drew, and Werth, no doubt better than Nomar, Kent, and Gonzo, but will it be good enough to keep throughout 2008?
Plus, OPS+ is park adjusted, which isn't important in fantasy. You should be loading up on guys who abuse parks like Philly and Colorado.
Given how few GM jobs open up I expect that if Logan or Kim were offered any GM job they would take it, no matter the constraints.
I'd like to see Depo, Evans, Kim, or Logan get the shot in St. Louis.
I think xeifrank has run one for the last two years.
Anyone know who won?
I tried to get into the expanded universe, but just couldn't.
My biggest problem with the prequels (besides Jar Jar) was that it created inherent inconsistencies within the story. Particularly things Obi Wan said in Ep IV about his relationship with Anikan, etc.
No, 2005 still needs to play out. Not signing your number one pick tends to hurt a draft. Bell and Dejesus need to become something and I don't see their odds any higher then Dewitt and Elbert.
Remember he drafted Price and Slavery in 2004 who both were number one picks this year, he just didn't sign them.
Elbert, Dewitt, Orenduff, Wade, and Akin could still make the majors. Nothing changed with Elbert except he lost a year of dvlp. He should still only trail Kershaw and McDonald as far as pitching prospects go, and I'd rather have a healthy Elbert's upside then McDonalds.
Ruggiano became the 1st from that draft to make the majors.
Hmm interesting. What stat categories would be good to look at, other than the usual HR, RBI, avg, and steals stats?
OPS Leaders (Min 120 at bats):
1. Alex Rodriguez
2. David Ortiz
3. Barry Bonds
4. Carlos Pena
5. Chipper Jones
6. Magglio Ordonez
7. Prince Fielder
8. Matt Holiday
9. Albert Pujols
10. Ryan Howard
For goodness' sake, though, pick up one of the Raider's running backs.
At least there is one player from the 2005 draft on the 40 man roster.
Now, to put some perspective on this, you cannot expect to equal the success of the 2002 and 2003 drafts every year, those were rare drafts that produced multiple players.
But given the greater number of picks in 2004 compared to 2005, I do think that 2004 is more disappointing.
Pitching is a lot easier to exploit, I tend to target young guys with good strikeout rates that may not have been successful the previous year (I was able to get Rich Hill, Ian Snell and Adam Loewen very late in my good league) along with guys who had high BABIPs and strand rates. This way, you can assemble a strong pitching staff entirely with late round picks and maybe one anchor guy.
-- and very good note about the aging sluggers; I got burned badly by choosing Edmonds one year.
I know I used that stat one year to pick up Matt Williams.
Generally it helps if you can pick the guy who has an MVP season too.
Star Wars series/franchise/universe might be a tad skewed because of that.
(sheepish)
"I don't care where the stuff I love comes from, I just like the stuff I love!" - Patton O
I guess I should be calling Martin, Kemp, Loney et.al. 'kids' when I'm basically their age.
383 - for some reason, that doesn't surprise me. I just hope that if Colletti makes some crazy trade, it's with the Angels, so I can continue to watch the kids (and even do it in person). I half expect a trade of Kemp/Kershaw for Colon/Figgins this off season.
vr, Xei
389 What do the Angels do with Brandon Wood?
Can you believe these Rockies? I think trainwreck might get his wish.
I'll switch over and repost... thanks bh
vr, Xei
I wouldn't worry so much about "The Rockies Next Year". This season has "Marlins 2003" or "White Sox 2005" written all over it.
[not that the Rox can't keep their players, but from the standpoint that a lot of things are coming together at once]
391 Say it ain't so. Please!
Acquiring Figgins would be admitting that Pierre was a mistake, in other words.
Also, I think they have a high opinion of Figgins and he won't be exactly cheap in salary.
398 - that probably makes sense, but I could see him rationalizing it by saying that Figgins could play second and add some speed to the bottom of the line up. But I hope you're right.
399 - I didn't say it was going to happen, or even that it was likely, just something that if it were to happen, I'd shrug my shoulders and say, "well, I'm not surprised"
NOBODY could be that short-sighted anyway (I had more colorful words).
I'm pretty sure that Loney and Kemp would both out perform those numbers next year. As will Martin (who basically did this year). Heck, even Ethier would be close with another year of experience.
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=3049388&
I'm not against going after a Bay or Dunn, but other than that we should probably stand pat. I wouldn't be completely against getting a Tejada or Glaus either but it depends on what we're giving up....
Loney (96 games): .331/.381/.538, 15 HR, 67 RBI, 41 R, 114 H
Martin (151 games): .293/.374/.469, 19 HR, 87 RBI, 87 R, 158 H
Kemp (98 games): .342/.373.521, 10 HR, 64 RBI, 47 R, 100 H
Ethier (153 games, a few as a defensive sub): .284/.350/.452, 13 HR, 64 RBI, 50 R, 127 H
Those numbers aren't much different, in my eye to what Kent did last year. Kent was basically average on the team last year.
It is a simple thing, but it speaks volumes to me. That is a big chunk of change. Totally changed me from a fence sitter to rooting for the Rockies.
I don't get your point. None of those 4 are a replacement for Kent. Find a 2nd baseman who can produce offensively like Kent.
Now if your saying we can find a 2nd baseman whose defense and offense would offset the bad defense and still solid offense of Kent that is something else.
That TradeRumors post only states the obvious, but you got to give them credit for at least having a grasp of the obvious.
The comments, though, are pretty funny.
I think Kemp will outhit him next year. I'm betting he puts at least 25 balls over the Green Monster next season. ;)
World Series Champions
St. Louis Cardinals (Share of Players' Pool: $20,016,735.81; value of each full share: $362,173.07) - The Cardinals awarded 48 full shares, 7.133 partial shares and 16 cash awards.
American League Champions
Detroit Tigers (Share of Players' Pool: $13,344,490.54; value of each full share: $291,667.68) - The Tigers awarded 39 full shares, 6.67 partial shares and nine cash awards.
League Championship Series Runners-Up
New York Mets (Share of Players' Pool: $6,672,245.27; value of each full share: $124,429.60) - The Mets awarded 40 full shares, 13.333 partial shares and six cash awards.
Oakland Athletics (Share of Players' Pool: $6,672,245.27; value of each full share: $140,624.90) - The A's awarded 41 full shares, 5.80 partial shares and 14 cash awards.
The dodgers have some catching up to do because these young teams in our division are going to only be better next year.
>> Also Thursday, the Padres claimed infielder Luis Rodriguez off waivers from the Minnesota Twins and requested waivers on outfielder Brady Clark for the purpose of giving him his unconditional release. <<
http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/7298302
Wasn't just Jason Bay who lost power this season.
http://www.truebluela.com/story/2007/10/4/104114/192
They would have made the playoffs. That guy just knows how to draw a walk or get a base hit when you really need it. One of my all time favorite players ever. I was sad when the Dodgers let him go.
We need pitching? We've got Penny, Lowe, Bills, Schmidt will be back...we've got Loaiza and probably Wolf again at a discount.
There's nowhere to put another starter.
You don't like Loaiza for '08? ;)
{wretch}
All the dates are shifted ahead one day.
November 30 is on a Friday and December 1 is on a Sunday.
When the Baseball season ends, so does time. All months prior and post to the season dont really matter anyways.
I almost planned my staff's Christmas holiday time off based on that calendar!
wow, it just shows what a sick stretch Loney had. I really hope he keeps it up (dinger wise) I really feel he's arrived as an elite Dodger hitter.
That's pretty funny/shocking when you think about it.
ps the Indians are having there way against the Yanks today, so far.
Ned spins in his chair. "Hey, get me Larry Reynolds, y'know, Torii Hunter's agent, on the phone."
He settles back into chair, unctuous grin spreading across his face. "Yes," he thinks, "this should only take, what, $100 million of Frank's money over six years? Now, what can I get for that troublemaker Kemp?"
446 - that's not funny, not funny at all.
See buddy, it losses it's punch after the 3rd time.
So consider that when I say: Bronx Banter scares me.
I just navigated here to say that Bronx Banter is a scary place. They use words that rhyme with "sum", but that start with "c".
Crumb?
Chum?
That said, what an awesome game in Cleveland.
I don't think Bronx Banter is any different from Dodger Thoughts if Rule 1 didn't exist.
I think it's a slightly younger crowd.
And larger. Or at least verboser.
Yeah, they are talking about taking the SATs.
Suddenly I feel old.
She said she was given "the Clear" by her trainer, who told her it was flaxseed oil.
It's like deja vu all over again.
I wonder if Jon covered her high school exploits?
Oh no, no, no. I've SEEN much worse.
456 Good one, you should have gone for it. They took my needling about even Charlie Manuel would have pulled Wang by now in stride. If you won't, can I steal it or a variant?
Yeah, I have to apologize to Bluebleeder, because I did not want to answer his question on who I thought was going to win the series.
Lord, it seems the Indians are pummeling the Yanks!
And another HR for the Tribe.
Teehee, teeehee.
Oh well, guess we're going to the Super Bowl with Selvin and Bell, unless Travis' appeal comes through. They should just re-test him, but give him some notice so he can refrain from accidentally eating any pot brownies that week.
Man, I missed 30 Rock, what a great show.
456 I can't think of a single Bronx Banter poster who would come here and say that during a playoff game where LAD was getting shelled.
Yes, we fight. But we all love each other.
vr, Xei
And why couldn't Ned have just kept Lofton instead of paying $44 million for Pierre?
Is Pierre in any way better?
Anyway, whatever works for ya!
Now back to The Office!
Most of us really enjoy being public enemy #1. It's kind of fun.
*I don't really.
And he's talking about how the young players on Arizona soaked up the crucial knowledge of how to win from those proven winners (Tony Clark, Orlando Hudson and Eric Byrnes) and how everyone was pulling for each other, etc.
Then he counters that with the Los Angeles Dodgers and how according to "veteran" players, their young players just thought they could toss their gloves on the field and put up numbers and that would be enough.
I am not posting this to rehash what happened a few weeks ago but what I am saying is that our youngsters will carry this with them, fairly or unfairly by many in the media, even those who do not write for LA Times.
I once saw one of the bloggers there warn someone not to use so many f-bombs because otherwise it might get them tagged as a porn site.
But I like DT better.
Okay, night all.
http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/voteless-wonders/
The Dodgers' pitching staff got hit with injuries and the the older players didn't hit well. This is not rocket science. This is not tough to understand.
If the Red Sox win it again, I suspect there'll be tons of articles on Bill James/Theo yet again.
No wonder Eric didnt make it in Oakland.
Having watched the Diamondbacks play the Dodgers several times during the year, I always came away with the impression that the Diamondbacks play the game harder.
Does that translate into wins? I have no clue, what I do know is that numbers wise, the Diamondbacks are not a good team. Yet they led the NL in wins.
Luck or heart? Probably luck, but I'm not close minded enough to think that is always the answer when the numbers don't add up.
All of the other writers in 527 are unlikely to ever become "mainstream" because the media is becoming too diverse with too many outlets.
And there will always be generational conflicts in organizations. It's a matter of self-preservation. The older generation will want to retain its power and influence and isn't going to give it up to a younger generation without a fight.
Do some MLB teams try harder? I can't prove it but I think they do. I don't know how you factor that into statistical analysis.
"Baseball is not about stats"
Cowherd, 2 minutes ago
Playing harder in my context meant the following from observation of the Diamondbacks.
1. Every player ran hard to 1st with full turns, ready to take 2nd at the slightest bobble from the outfielder.
2. Every play in the outfield and infield was backed up properly.
3. All cutoff plays, were executed correctly
It has nothing to do with hitting or fielding, but what you do after you put the ball in play or what you do on defense when a ball is in play.
Did any of this turn a loss into a victory? No, but when your talent isn't very good you at least give yourselves a better chance.
It is quite strange. Several months ago Josh questioned if the Diamondbacks were really a playoff contender. I wrote in response all the reasons I felt they were. None of those reasons came to pass, but here they are one game away from the NL championship series. It is quite inexplicable.
If the Dodgers win next year they will be remembered for winning, until they lose--same with AZ.
AZ had a rookie center fielder that hit 30 homeruns and the Dodgers had a veteran center fielder that hit zero homeruns but has the biggest heart in MLB.
Anyway I hope I didn't pull a rule 3. If I did, I apologize immediately.
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It's been a while since a NPUT, but I was pleased to see most folks agreed w/ me over at Screen Jam re: the Office last night.
---
These playoffs are really going fast, but I'm kinda excited about the prospect of a Mountain Time Zone NLCS. That could be an NL first.
Well, we know that he floats when he's in a kayak. And so does his dog.
But it might be just the kayak doing the floating. Hard to say.
Bright people those English.
501 I'm really kind of a putz -- and not the J.J. variety. You really shouldn't listen to anything I say. Except when I say that BB intimidates me. That's for realz.
539 and related: Regardless of my feelings in the matter, and without wanting to rehash the feud, I will say that I'm very disappointed by the turn of events in the past month. I was really, really looking forward to rooting for this team, and the fact that the kids are as good as advertised is immensely satisfying. But -- and I want to be clear that I am not blaming anyone for what's happened -- the whole situation has left a sour taste in my mouth. I still root for the kids wholeheartedly, but it would have been really great if they could have risen to the top without the kind of moral judgements on their character (whether deserved or not, and I know how I feel about that). I'm still their fan, and I feel that there's still no other way to go with the team, so really, see my earlier comment about not listening to anything I say... I don't really have a point at all, except to say that all of this has been disappointing from a fan's point of view.
Since there haven't been two teams in the Mountain Time Zone since the 1990s, I would say an all-MT NLCS would be a first.
However, Arizona will be playing in the same time zone as the West Coast and Nevada throughout the postseason because DST goes longer now.
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