Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
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4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
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7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
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More than one columnist has written recently that the Dodgers need to do something even if that something is stupid to show that they're serious about winning.
Yes, in multiple articles, columnists have actually cited bad deals as examples the Dodgers should follow. Better to move than stand still, they say even if that movement is backwards.
Really.
I don't think there are too many people who want the Dodgers to stand pat. No matter your beliefs, no matter how much you love the Dodgers younger players, you're going to see places to improve an 82-win team.
But it seems to be a somewhat radical view in Mainstreamland to advocate only for positive change, rather than change for change's sake.
Most would love to see Johan Santana pitching for the Dodgers next year, for example. Maybe it will happen after all, it's only November. But at some point, the price for Santana may well become too steep to be sensible, because if you're going to end up giving him the richest pitcher contract in history, you might want to have some talent (even better low-cost talent) to support him, rather than leaving the cupboard bare for him. And certainly, you don't want to give up major talent for Santana only to lose him a year later to free agency. It's the Kobe conundrum, isn't it?
So, if it becomes senseless to trade for Santana at this point, does it make sense to substitute a shaky pitcher for him, just for the sake of doing so? That's how you get Brett Tomko, folks. Or even Esteban Loaiza. Or as a few sages would have said, even before last season, Jason Schmidt.
I'm concerned that Matt Kemp's low-walk totals could keep him from being a true superstar instead of a superior version of Juan Encarnacion. I don't think James Loney is going to homer at the rate he did last September, But I do know that whatever their limitations are, they can improve the Dodgers just by getting more at-bats next season. Just by playing the right guys, the team will be making positive changes.
The starting rotation is more complicated. Derek Lowe, Brad Penny and Chad Billingsley are set, but as far as the final two spots in the rotation go, Jason Schmidt, Esteban Loaiza and James McDonald might be below-average in April, because of age (old or young) and/or health. It's dicey to go into the season with those five.
Me, I'd be willing to spend money to sign an extra starting pitcher as insurance but only if he doesn't block McDonald or Clayton Kershaw long-term. I'm perfectly happy to overpay for someone if that pitcher isn't an albatross someone you start out of obligation. You always have to be willing to let the right pitchers be in the rotation, regardless of their contracts.
If you're going to waste money, you have to be willing to waste it. You have to be willing to admit that what might have made sense at some point stops making sense at another point. (That's assuming it ever made sense at all.)
Barring that, I look at Lowe, Penny, Billingsley, Schmidt and Loaiza and see, really at worst, three sub-4.00 ERAs and two sub-5.00 ERAs. That's not a golden rotation, but as I wrote for SI.com earlier this year, that's not as bad as you might think nobody gets five pitchers with above-average ERAs. And it keeps the door open for a talented minor leaguer to break through without any grief.
Adding another sub-5.00 ERA to the mix might not hurt the Dodgers if they use him correctly, but it isn't really going to help the team a whole lot. The Dodgers already have that kind of arm in their minor-league system.
Sometimes, not spending money is cheap. Other times, it's prudent. We can all disagree on where to make the distinction, but if you don't accept that there is a distinction, you're lost.
Update: Jerry Crasnick surveys the starting pitching market at ESPN.com.
* * *
Terry Tiffee. I don't have a joke here - I just like saying, Terry Tiffee.
Yes, I know it's just a rumor, but this is the nicest one I've heard yet.
Santana, in my mind, is worth 2 current young starters plus a prospect. That is, that is what the Twins should demand. I'm not sure we should give that up. If they would take Ethier/Broxton/Kershaw or something like that I could deal with it. I'd be conflicted, but I could deal with it.
I didn't remember Pat Hentgen wearing #1, which would certainly explain your analogy.
I just think that's one of my favorite inexplicable traditions in baseball. For some reason, pitchers simply do not wear single digit uniform numbers - there isn't a rule that I know of or anything (like in football). It just simply isn't done. I can really only remember one or two instances in my lifetime.
Old friend Eric Gagne would also seem an attractive buy low deal.
You can't have too many pitchers.
I justed watched some video on Kuroda and was pretty impressed with his stuff. The one thing that scares me from what I saw (and granted its a small sample size) is his command or apparent lack there of. In the 2 videos I watched, he didn't walk anybody but several hitters worked the count pretty well against him and he served up some pitches that certified big leaguers would probably hammer. You can't get away with belt high fastballs down the pipe in the bigs, even if you're throwing in the low to mid 90's. That being said, he certainly looked a lot better than Tomko, Hendrickson and other yahoos that we used in the back of our rotation last year. Is 4/45 million worth it? I don't know, he looks like an good #4 or 5 starter to me.
But I don't think Loaiza's 2007 should be used to determine how he will do in 2008.
No one's disagreeing with that.
First reason is his age. He's going to be 36 years old for the 2008 season.
The second reason, is he really hasnt been "solid" the last several years. He was bad in 2007, bad in 2006, good in 2005 (but played most of his games in Washington), bad in 2004, and good in 2003.
He's on the downside, he gives up lots of homers, he doesnt strike people out--he's thoroughly mediocre at this stage of his career. Plus, he makes 7 mils bucks a year, and has the PVL that takes away a spot from a high upside youngster.
I rate Loaiza/Pierre/Nomar in the same boat. All costly mediocre vets that prevent youngsters from having a clear chance to play. Their mere presence on the team is a hinderance to the Dodgers success.
I look at Lowe, Penny, Billingsley, Schmidt and Loaiza and see, really at worst, three sub-4.00 ERAs
Thats exceedingly optimistic IMO. I think Penny/Billingsley are good bets for under 4.00 ERAs. But Schmidt, Lowe, Loaiza have a very mediocre, costly, veteran stench to them. I'll be shocked if the Dodgers get 4 good years out of Lowe. I think he falls off this year, at least with an ERA over 4.00.
http://tinyurl.com/25ohh4
I think I might be leaning towards a two year deal (with a possible option for a third) for Carlos Silva to round out the rotation.
Loaiza is nothing more than depth at this point. McDonald is probably better right now, but he has options, so he doesn't get to be the first choice. Without Loaiza, we have to turn to Stulton if McDonald gets hurt, or we start burning option years on Kershaw, which can become a serious problem if he ever gets hurt.
i hate to say it, but his stuff reminds me a lot of Tomko....not to say he is that bad, but stuff-wise very similar....
Bring him back, or Kuroda, and the rotation has plenty of depth, with no one blocking The Minotaur and McDonald in the future. If Schmidt comes back solidly, all the better. Loiaza will be a cranky if useful 6th starter, imho. That all comes fairly cheap, and you didn't have to give up top young players to get a guy you can try to sign after the season.
Carlos Silva or Kyle Lohse for 5 years gives me the chills.
Hendrickson/Tomko were "depth" last year. They should have never started a game.
Without both of them, maybe Billingsley actually gets to start for a full season.
With Loaiza making 7mils, I'd rather turn to Stults as "depth" if it comes to that, and spend the 7mils on a better player.
Colon wouldn't bother me, as he's obviously had the good stuff before, yet he might be a guy willing to pitch in the bullpen if he falters early.
I, personally, would be OK with going to war with Penny, Lowe, Billz, Schmidt and Loaiza. We still have Hendrickson (or do we? I can't keep track) for a "holy crap please why God why" emergency start. And we have McDonald a phone call away.
But if we go with a stopgap for a year, I'd go after guys like Colon, Matt Clement, Jason Jennings, etc. ... guys that have been productive in the past but hampered by injury. We don't need 40 starts from these guys, so why not take a stab in the dark at a guy that potentially give us a sub-4 average?
As for Kuroda, I'd say look elsewhere. He has alright tools, but outside of Saito and our "contender" status, there's no reason why he should choose Blue over the Mariners.
1. Seattle. (Kenji at catcher is the biggest reason; plus it's a Pacific Rim city)
2. Dodgers. (Saito, contender, and don't forget LA's a Pacific Rim city, too, with a large Japanese and Asian population as well as having a history with Asian players)
3. Everyone else.
I like Mark Prior's talent but with his history we might as well invite Darren Dreifort to spring training, too.
We have depth, spend the money on someone (AJ) that can put you over the top. Or don't spend, save the resources for next year.
Also, from Plaschke's relatively decent column today, can the Coliseum be torn down? Isn't it a historic landmark? I was under the impression you couldn't tear those down...
For some reason that song always makes me think of Bill Watterson (I have no idea why). I really miss his stuff.
vr, Xei
So, if USC moves to the Rose Bowl, will they let the Bruins and Trojans wear home uniforms for the games like they did in the old days?
No. USC is the home team in odd-numbered years and UCLA is the home team in even-numbered years. So it is and so it shall be.
Also, from Plaschke's relatively decent column today, can the Coliseum be torn down? Isn't it a historic landmark? I was under the impression you couldn't tear those down...
You can tear down historic landmarks if you really want to. There's just a lot more paperwork involved.
Another thing that intrigues me about Kuroda is his relationship with Saito. I think one of the main reasons Saito is so successful in America is his preparation and his work ethic. I know nothing about Kuroda but I'd be willing to guess that they are similar in their ways also Saito would help him make the cultural transition a little easier I think.
I'd stick with what we have, let the youngsters in our organization have their chances and suffer with their growing pains, especially given our history of signing lame pitchers in the free agent market.
You hope Lowe, Penny and Billingsley are steady, you hope the position players continue to develop, and you hope the young pitchers adapt in a reasonable amount of time.
Now the Twins need to trade Santana to the Yankees for Melky Cabrera (and others). Apparently the Yanks want Rowand if they trade Melky.
Those are too many names to be expressed as a rebus.
http://www.startribune.com/blogs/neal/?p=276
Bartlett's a really good young player, too. I dunno, I'd call that trade a wash, given how much it improves the Rays pitching staff. Maybe Young moved a trash can and they soured on him there.
55 - Bartlett is 28, and can't really hit.
I agree that he is just depth in my mind, in case someone gets injured. I would not count on him.
Matt Garza is a decent pitcher, but they must just not see all the projections for stardom that Delmon Young had.
I assume they aren't going to use Dukes.
Would people here rather have Matt Kemp or Delmon Young?
62
Your expectations for Loaiza are colored by his time with the A's. The same reason Billy gave him that deal in the 1st place is still true.
61
The Rays need a defensive SS not an offensive whiz. Bartlett will fit in perfectly and the current rotation of Kazmir/Garza/Shields/Howell/Neiman/E Jackson/Sonnanstine and a bullpen that now includes Wheeler, Reyes and Rincon. With Price, McGee, and W Davis 3 of the top ten pitching prospects in baseball they will have plenty to choose from as they decide who to keep and who to deal.
Kazmir would fetch a ton this winter.
The outfield right now will be Crawford/Upton/Baldelli with Gomes manning DH. Old friends Guzman and Ruggiano will back them up. And cellmate Mr. Dukes is still hanging around. With Pena/Iwamura/Barlett/Longoria they are also set in the infield.
D Young has has the same plate discipline issues that Mr. Kemp needs to overcome and his power just hasn't been very impressive. Even with D Young being a number one pick, I'd expect Matt Kemp is looked on more favorably in the baseball world. Plus he doesn't have the stigma of having thrown a bat at an umpire, only moving a trashcan.
Oh, they also get the number one pick this year, so Mr. Alveraz your future is waiting for you in Tampa.
I am getting into this a bit late, but why should we care how much Loaiza costs? Colletti got him as a rental that we didn't have to give up anything but money for, so if he works out great, if not, Torre will not hesitate to use whatever resources are at his disposal.
Two more thoughts:
1) Given the arm problems many young starters have had with the jump from the minors to the majors (Liriano, young Weaver, Josh Johnson, Anibal Sanchez), I think that it is a blessing in disguise that Bills has so little mileage on his arm. He has now had two years to ramp up his innings to the 200+ level instead of making the jump in a single season. It sucked watching Tomdrickson, but it helped us in the long run.
2) With regards to what Jon said about a veteran pitcher signing blocking a youngster, I don't think that will be an issue unless two FA pitchers are signed long term. Lowe and Loaiza are gone after this year, with Penny and Schmidt after 2009. Any signing we make this year for a Kuroda or someone like Silva would not block any of our youth in the long term. Kershaw still has not sniffed Vegas, Elbert needs another year to ensure that his arm is OK, and McDonald has a spot open if anything at all goes wrong this season.
If they trade Garza AND Johan, their rotation would look like:
Liriano (age 24 in 2008)
Bonser (26)
Baker (26)
Slowey (24)
Pitcher received for Johan
That's still a good rotation, but add in Johan and Garza and it's at or near the top of the league.
On the other hand, their offense improves with Young and I'm assuming they would receive a 2B/3B and/or OF in the Johan deal.
I don't remember a trade with two really good young players (both Young & Garza are 22) for some time, maybe since the Dodgers traded a 21-year old pitcher with a 148 ERA+ over 115 IP for a 24-year old 2B with a .277/.367/.373, 106 OPS+.
Only 27 walks in 771 major league at bats.
That was in his age 20/age21 years, but plate discipline just might be a thing that cant be learned at the big league level. That is, if a player didnt walk in the minors, he wont in the majors.
If you live in the Pasadena area, his new office digs are next door to my family's favorite Thai place: Saladang Song on Fair Oaks. The office is kind of a little hole in the wall with lots of nice cars outside.
I like to think the "on the farm" updates at Dodger Stadium started indirectly because of Dodger Thoughts.
carry on!
"Catcher Chad Moeller, impressive in a September callup but taken off the Major League roster, signed with Washington."
Moeller had a single and HBP in nine plate appearances over seven games. He caught 29 innings.
Course his brother will probably make that age 22 season look like chickenfeed when he does it. I'm so glad that the Diamondbacks will not control little Upton during his peak years.
vr, Xei
TB's insistence that he was actually a second baseman for so long...
I used to think that but Jose Reyes changed my mind and then when I created my list of great young seasons several of those players developed much better plate discipline as they got older.
I know that the Twins have no interest in fairness, but a Hughes/Cano for Johan swap would fair and beneficial for both teams.
Actually SS, he only played 2nd base for the 1st time in 2007. They tried it and it didn't work out. Doesn't matter where he plays on the defensive spectrum, he will be one of the most exciting offensive players in baseball for the next decade.
If I was the Twins I'd be trying to get LaRoche, Kershaw, and D Young. I'd love the two D Youngs to get on the same team.
... two of the D Youngs ... don't forget Delmon's older brother in Washington.
Maybe someone could then pull off the Cabrera Trifecta (Daniel, Miggy, and Melky)
He was impressive in the bullpen. He had to listen to Roberto everynight and feign interest.
I would like to see how our D. Young could do in LF with about 400 PAs unfettered by JP looking over his shoulder.
But he really took that HBP well.
I swear Gurnick came to Dodger Thoughts and saw us calling for Moeller and thought this guy must be good.
Since he obviously thinks LaRoche is worthless, I'd like for him to explain why Boston or Minnesota would LOVE to get a prospect of that calibre.
Ha!
I actually think if Gurnick were to check in on Dodger Thoughts (assuming of course he doesn't actually hate the team) he would post an article with an opposing view.
I typically try to keep my negative opinions of sportswriters to myself (save for Plaschke and Simers), but Gurnick seems to have a sarcastic/negative sort of vein running through all of his Q&A columns on the Dodger site. You can certainly tell that his checks come from MLB rather than Chavez Ravine.
He looks much shorter on TV, probably due to his heft.
Not as good as Andre Ethier will do.
http://tinyurl.com/373zdp
in 2012?
Are they going to switch to a neutral site?
34,000 seats? 34,000??
???
Yeah, I love that part. They know they will never draw 40-50 thousand fans, so build a small, intimate stadium.
The implication is that Tampa Bay will not actually be in the world series that year but will let the other teams play at their stadium.
A far fetched joke, but I LOL'd it.
The only way that stadium would host World Series games in 2012 is if they are played at an alternate site.
By trade: Santana, Bedard, Haren, Blanton, ???
By FA: Silva, Lohse, Jennings, Colon, Prior, Gagne, Wolf, ???
By Minors: Meloan, Houlton, Stults, Elbert, Kershaw, McDonald, ???
Ned has to be careful. He's building a team for Joe that has to perform well for the next 3 years, not just 2008.
..and, the A's will probably do the same thing. Hey, you gotta know your limitations.
Oh, a non-believer. By 2010 you will be a believer. By 2012 it will not be their 1st.
Or Hugh Downs
They made a rendering of the stadium and it looks really nice and unique.
http://tinyurl.com/3c34lq
Terrific blog post on the economics of baseball vs. football, particularly in regards to the discrepancies in player salaries.
Delmon Young would have flattened the trash can with a baseball bat.
http://tinyurl.com/2vbvus
Has it been noted yet that both of those schools discontinued their baseball programs?
Look around round round
Look around...
and maybe some pitching will come out to play.
Leiber is my choice even though you didn't think enough of him to list him. Short contract for a reasonable amount of money with a good chance he'll outperform Silva, Lohse, Jenning, Wolf, and Colon. He's been better then a league average pitcher 9 out of 13 years. Didn't fare very well in offensive park at Philly. Home run ball is a worry but if were just looking for insurance until Kershaw, McDonald, and Elbert are ready, he's my pick.
You also don't have Kuroda on the FA list, and we did send a 3 man contingent to talk to him so that is not just some empty rumor.
Has anyone made the "Stay away from the cans! He hates those cans!" joke about that? I think of that line every time I see someone make a trashcan reference.
Was always a fan of the Siouxie and the Banshees version. All the songs they did after that... not so much.
But I think Kent was the real "Jerk" there.
"The new phone book's here! The new phone book's here!"
I've seen her a few times. She had an intoxicating way about her when performing. My wife can't her, says it all sounds the same, but then she doesn't like Neil Young so I discount her musical taste. Neil and Siouxie are better listened to alone anyway.
April 2007 seems like a long time ago now for Cruz Junior.
how would hunter know?
If i were the twins...my package for Santana
Cano
Hughes
Austin Jackson
Then sign Cameron to play CF
that lineup would be awesome.
Last night, during the Laker game, he admitted that his signing was mapped out at a Del Taco!
http://tinyurl.com/yqurzv
Apologies if already linked.
Del Taco: Hi may I take your order?
Reagins: Yes, I'd like a taco, a macho burrito, and Torii Hunter.
Del Taco: Want fries with that?
Do I get to put a quarter in and run the motor boats from the side?
1. USC and UCLA are scheduled to play at home on November 8th.
2. I cannot see Pasadena and the surrounding communities sign off on the 100% increase of football games.
Also, USC would face a much larger issue of getting their students out to the games.
In 2009, there are two dates where both schools are scheduled to play home games at the same time. Because of that, there are only 9 combined home dates for both schools.
Who could they offer?.....Pelfrey and what else?....doesn't seem like Milleadge has much value now that Young is in town...
Twins should ask for Martinez and Mulvey.
But if they gave up any of those guys, their weak system would be terrible, so I do not expect the Mets to get him.
... or Kevin Malone.
He then went back and closed the door awaiting Saturday's game.
Sending me the pictures ahead of time really defeats the purpose of creating a puzzle.
I am ignoring this issue.
So how about that George Washington game tonight?
Er, wait. Other people read this blog, too, don't they?
Okay, never mind. That name really doesn't lend itself to a very good rebus puzzle, though you've proven me wrong before.
"Forget About It"
Stars: Burt Reynolds, Richard Grieco, Phyllis Diller(!), and Raquel Welch.
Maybe a few minutes, but I would probably just have him sit.
USC Mascot,
Percy, dog from Pocahontas movie
+
Valerie Hogan
- Lake Eerie
Apparently, there are going to be a ton of recruits at the Texas game. Possibly even a few big time national recruits, so I want us to put on a real good showing then.
That includes the crowd, you got to rile them up BH.
KC can even attract Japanese managers.
Or Americans who have managed in Japan.
On a side note, I really hope we're at the top of the list for Kuroda. Looking at the market, I'm just as terrified of a Lohse signing as I am Rowand. Heck, I'd rather just plug Houlton in than give a guy like Lohse a sizeable contract.
True. But now they do have a middle of the order that's some combination of Young, Mauer, and Moreneau. If they found some way to pry Hughes and Cano from the Yanks, they'd be replacing Garza and replacing Hunter with Young with the added bonus of being able to plug in Cano.
So far, I really like what the Twins are doing.
http://tinyurl.com/35cwtk
'"I've felt we had a deal with them twice," Moreno said of the Marlins, who apparently cut bait and decided they needed more in exchange for the 24-year-old slugger....
'"It's going to be hard to give up that talent," he said. "They're doing it to everybody. I read that the Dodgers' [general manager] Ned Colletti had a deal, and they changed [players] on him.'
If the Young-Garza et al trade goes through, the Twins' non-MVP infield looks like this:
2B - Alexi Casilla
SS - Brendan Harris
3B - Nick Punto
It seems a must that the Twins get Cano and Melky (or Austin Jackson), plus a pitcher in a Santana deal.
Delmon and Cuddyer are 2/3 of a good OF, but they need a CF to round it out. This lineup is potentially really good:
C - Mauer
1B - Morneau
2B - Cano
3B - Casilla/Punto
SS - Harris
LF - Cuddyer
CF - Melky
RF - Young
with a potentially great young staff:
SP - Liriano
SP - Hughes
SP - Slowey
SP - Perkins
SP - Baker/Bonser
CL - Nathan
RP - Neshek
RP - Guerrier
Who knows if the Yankees would give up those three for Santana, but if I'm the Twins I settle for nothing less.
Couldn't agree more. The Twins are in the driver seat right now. If the Yanks REALLY want Santana, they're going to have to give up a package of Hughes/Joba, Cano, Melky.
Just talked to James Shields, he said the Garza deal was essentially done. Take it for what it's worth.
That's got to be really irritating. The Marlins need to just decide on a deal, and do it. It's either that, or you lose him to free agency.
Too bad we will probably never know what Ned offered.
HA!
Name dropper! :)
181 - Mr. Stephen here has expanded on what I was referring to in 159 . Their non-Delmon OF looks better than their non-Morneau infield. If they can dangle Santana for a stud OFer or stud IFer, I bet they try to upgrade the infield.
184 - It's also a very strong possibility they dump Nathan as well.
lol. I grew up with the guy!
Is it possible that what we offered will start to look good in comparison to the Angels? This is one fickle ball club.
If they Yankees trade Cano, they'll need a 2B.
could you imagine the combined haul they'd get if they really did decide to deal Santana AND Nathan? Sheesh.
I think it's pretty settled that Kent will be back.
I don't even think shady car dealers try the bait-and-switch anymore.
"He wants to play," GM Ned Colletti said. "Not once did I hear an indication that Jeff Kent is retiring. If he had a change of heart, I would have heard about it."
I guess that's not 100%, but it's seems a pretty safe bet.
There have been numerous quotes from Ned and others in the Dodgers organization that point to Kent coming back.
I'd be shocked if he doesn't come back at this point.
That said, I do want Kent back for one final year of curmudgeonry.
hahah...I'm not a big fan of the guy either, but he does still produce at a decent rate.
Wait, that doesn't seem right.
Can anybody tell me why the Rays are not trying to trade Delmon for Johan straight-out? Is Garza really this good...or has Delmon's value fallen this quickly?
Curmudwhat??
It took you 7 years to finish high school??? :)
Kinda snarky... the point is, Dmitri was the absolute definition of a "buffed" athlete in high school.
vr, Xei
218 He was thick, buffed out then. He's much bigger now.
222. a Bulldog.
vr, Xei
http://tinyurl.com/2fpf2a
vr, Xei
vr, Xei
As for the news: she's rich, pretty, and her parents approve. Yep, Hee, run as fast your legs can carry you.
vr, Xei
I guess it depends on the team. It is crazy to think that Kent is guaranteed more money for next year than I will ever make in a lifetime, and there is a possibility he might turn it down.
238 - Older than "A man, a plan, a canal ..."?
Now that is big time.
I went to high school with the Howard sisters (Sherri, Tina, and Deneane) and they won a state championship in track for my high school all by themselves. I think they got 48 points at the state meet. The coach found a non-Howard sister to fill out the two relays.
>> In the poker game that is free agency, the Dodgers are the guy who folds immediately after he sees his hand, drinks a beer or two and then goes home early. <<
## And they can forget Andruw Jones. Apparently his career-low batting average of .222 last season didn't dissuade his agent, Scott Boras, from asking for another absurdly large sum of money. ##
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21998479
1. Rafael Furcal, SS
2. Nomar Garciaparra, 3B (at least until Andy LaRoche takes over)
3. Matt Kemp, CF
4. James Loney, 1B
5. Russell Martin, C
6. Andre Ethier, RF
7. Delwyn Young, LF
8. Tony Abreu (or Jeff Kent, in which case you move Kent up to 6 and drop Ethier and Young), 2B
9. Pitcher's Spot
From top to bottom, this is a championship winning line-up. These kids will only get better as the year goes on when given the confidence that comes with full-time starting jobs and this is easily at least competitive with the Colorado Rockies team that got to the World Series this year (even without a Matt Holliday) and sets us up to be much better than that in the near future.
And the starting rotation goes like this:
1. Brad Penny
2. Chad Billingsley
3. Derek Lowe
4. Jason Schmidt
5. Esteban Loaiza
You can give either Bartolo Colon or Randy Wolf short-term, incentive-laden contracts to back that up and at some point you've got young kids coming up behind all these guys.
At the end of the day, we can do without trading anyone (except Juan Pierre) and we will when a championship at some point over the course of Joe Torre's contract.
http://www.baseballamerica.com/today/prospects/news/265252.html
Honestly, it's enough to make you want to throw up your hands in exasperation. Or just, you know..
233 - Put it in the other thread.
Makes sense! But since your Beatle ref in the subject title inspired mine I put it here without thinking. :-)
251 - Actually, I think that line up can win the NL West, and then depending on the match ups in the play offs, I could see it win in the play offs.
In my case, it took 24 years, but the point still is true.
Also, I think Ventre's boss probably fits that description.
To Texas:
Kent $11M
Pierre $8M + $28.5M
Stults $390K
To Baltimore:
D. Lowe $10M
Hendrickson $3.9M
E. Abreu $390K
Scott Elbert $62K
Ramon Troncoso $62K
Blake DeWitt $62K
Ivan DeJesus $62K
Vincente Padilla $11M
Jason Botts $390K
To LAD:
Miguel Tejada $13M
Erik Bedard $7M
If we trade Kent and obtained Tejada he could replace Kent at 2B (same or better offense, better defense) if we gave him a contract extension. Tejada wants to play for a competitive team.
Texas is looking for a CF and a 1B/DH which Pierre and Kent (closer to home) would be PERFECT for. Texas is probably not happy with Padilla considering his production vs his cost.
Baltimore could have Lowe replace Bedard for 08 with Elbert ready for 2009. Padilla provides starting depth for 2008-10. Position players Abreu/DeWitt/DeJesus/Botts replace Tejada and provide depth in a rebuilding organization. Relief pitchers Hendrickson and Troncoso strengthen a weak Oriole bullpen.
The LAD OF would be Kemp/Furcal/Ethier.
The LAD IF would be Loney/Tejada/Hu/LaRoche
Kent and Pierre would be history.
The LAD rotation would be:
Penny/Bedard/Bills/Schmidt/Loaiza/McDonald
"They're looking for four guys, three of them major leaguers and two of them pitchers," Moreno said
http://tinyurl.com/2h4h9k
I'm guessing they would want both Billingsley and the lefthander who shall not be named from the Dodgers.
Come on man, that is definitely not going to work.
do the Delmon for Garza trade.
do a Cano/Hughes/Austin Jackson trade
do a Joe Nathan for Bill Hall + Manny Parra trade
Sign Cameron to a 2yr contract until Jackson is ready
lineup
C Mauer
1b Morneau
2b Cano
ss Casilla
3b Bill Hall
lf Cuddyer
cf Cameron
RF Young
Liriano
Hughes
Baker
Slowey
Parra
Thats pretty kickass.
Furcal
Martin
Loney
Jones
Kent
Kemp
Ethier
Laroche
Penny
Bills
Lowe
Kuroda
Schmidt
Now THIS lineup can compete with the big boys for a championship.
It's just to much talent both the Twins & Marlins are asking for I'm glad upper management is staying the course. I also think the Dodgers have a legit chance at Kuroda which is good I guess, I haven't seen him in action to really be excited about him.
As much as I love the promise of Kemp and Kershaw, I'd strongly consider giving them up in a deal for Santana. Include Broxton to allow MN to trade Nathan, and I have to think that's pretty tempting to the Twins. It's a lot for us to give up, but our rotation would be stout, and the offense we'd lose in Kemp could be at least partially offset by signing Jones (which Ned probably wants to do anyway!). We'd miss all of those guys obviously, but Santana's the kind of player that makes a good young team like we have a serious contender to win it all right now. And obviously we'd still have a great young core to contend for the length of Santana's deal.
Can you imagine rolling out Johan, Bills, and Penny for a playoff series?
Any Dodger lineup for 2008 or 2009 that does not feature Juan Pierre in CF, or, heaven forfend, LF, is a pipe dream.
(It's also exceedingly likely that he'll be in the 2010 and 2011 lineups -- linesup? -- but I'll resist codifying those years into law at the moment.)
if everything were to pan out yes, but I can also imagine Johan going the Darren Dreifort way, it's always tricky when a pitcher seeks more than 5 years specially a guy his age (not to mentioned all the talent it's gonna take just to bring him here) I think NedCo is a little gunshy slash wiser now specially knowing what happened to Schmidty. So far I like that he's playing it cool. Sign Kuroda & A. Jones & I'll really call it a successful off season.
ps I'll give the offseason an A+ if we dump Pierre to the white sox or something. ;o)
http://tinyurl.com/2at3m3
I like the Cameron solution.
Johan will be 29 on opening day, and has been the best pitcher in MLB for 4 or so years. If there was anyone to give a 6-7 year contract, it's Santana.
Truth be told, I'm actually thrilled that Ned hasn't done anything significant yet. I wouldn't be at all upset going into 2008 with basically what we have now (plus another starter hopefully). I'm just surprised we seem quick to pass on Santana when we've been in heavy on Cabrera.
The two are not similar. Not remotely. Not in any way, shape, or form. The only thing they have in common is that they both made a living throwing baseballs.
Santana seems like a guy that will age well (though obviously you never know). Not a real bulky guy, doesn't have a rough delivery at all, and has a great feel for his change-up. All bode well for the future. Eric's right, if there's ever a pitcher that you could feel "good" giving 6/$126 to, he'd be the guy.
Now whether you should ever give that kind of a contract to a pitcher is obviously an open question...
Tacks Latimer was one of the players traded.
He was not the most famous one, but I like the name.
I realize there have been some crazy deadline deals in the past, but at least that was by teams who knew they were on the brink and needed that one extra push.
After reading some of the stats and projections over at Bronx Banter about Santana though, I'd be less enthused to give up both Kemp and Kershaw in a Santana deal. Something along the Kershaw/Ethier/Broxton lines might still tempt me. Don't know if that would be enough for MN, but it could end up being a situation where the Twins have location dictated to them based on Santana's no-trade and who's willing to part with young talent AND pony up for an extension.
The Red Sox gave up Hanley Ramirez (who's offensive skills Kemp reminds me of) for Josh Beckett and it worked out well for them....but the Sox have Manny and Ortiz and thus don't miss Ramirez' bat so much....If the Dodgers give up Kemps bat for Santana, it will be felt...
Accepting the inevitability of Pierre in the OF, make that deal and sign Andruw for CF. That of course leaves Nomar at 3B, but hey, we have Santana! :)
thats a joke right? NO chance shmidt has a chance to be good? he had 1 injured year...previous years he was one of the top NL pitchers if not the best.
I hear you Eric, but I wonder if there's studies done on what age ranges pitchers tend to get hurt (I'm no expert) I'm thinking pitchers are more likely to get hurt (Tommy John surgery or other) in there early 30's of course there are pitchers that are blessed with great arms & never get hurt BUT do you wanna roll the dice SPECIALLY knowing ALL the talent the Dodgers will need to give up? I wouldn't.
I like it for both teams.
Twins still need work to do.
Drysdale was how old when he retired?
As we drift away from the steroid era, could it be that more value will begin to be placed on higher acheiving, younger players?
i'm thinking we could do something with laroche, kershaw, and meloan. and throw in pierre :)
The first three pics are hilarious! This is one of the best rebuses yet.
-- and you said you were no fun!
1. We are the Dodgers with tradition with Asian pitchers.
2. He is friends with Saito
3. He has the same agent as Saito
4. We would probably offer him the same compensation as other teams.
I also heard he wants to pitch in a warmer climate, so that gives us the edge over the Mariners.
Thinking about it some more, we'll probably sign Kuroda, non-tender Hendrickson and put Loaiza in Hendy's spot.
probably a minimal upgrade as the floor.
I think the Twins would hold out for Kemp. Kemp/LaRoche/Kershaw would trump Melky/Cano/Hughes, if the Yankees would even do that.
A 6 or 7 year deal for $150-$175 million and he (Santana) were to cease being effective due to injury or other reasons would be painful enough.
If the same happened in addition to giving up Kershaw, LaRoche and Kemp? Well, in my mind it would be devastaing for the Dodgers.
Yes, I understand that some don't want to look at the worst case scenario, when pondering a deal such as that, but I don't see how you easily dismiss that given the "total" price tag.
Should the Dodgers try to sign him for two more years?
Warmer than Hiroshima? Or warmer than some other city in the U.S.
Hiroshima is plenty warm.
Warmer than Hiroshima? Or warmer than some other city in the U.S.
Hiroshima is plenty warm.
He's not around. But he's used to getting blamed for everything.
What will the terms of Lowe's next contract be?
Lowe will be 36 in 2009, so my guess is 3 years / $40 million.
Should the Dodgers try to sign him for two more years?
God I hope not. Next offseason, Peavy, Santana, Sheets, and Sabathia could be free agents. While it's unlikely all of them will be available, I'd wait and see before prematurely extending Lowe.
His agent is Boras and with the weake pitching market, Lowe will probably try to cash in again. I don't think he is coming back. Frankly, I wouldn't want him back. Getting 4/4 good to very good years would be amazing and I would just keep my winnings and walk away from the table right there.
Sometimes you just gotta walk away!
2009
Penny
Billingsley
Kuroda
Schmidt
?????
If one of Santana/Sheets/Sabbathia hits the market, Ned's most likely gunna go hard after one of them.
Maybe Kershaw or Mcdonald....or maybe Elbert!
Man, looking back, Elbert going down is a bit devastating right now. He was basically on track to be 1B to Kershaw's 1A as far as left handed pitching prospects go.
That would have given us an extra chip in the trade talks this winter.
Stupid 2004 draft class.
--
For those of you scoring at home, UCSB prevailed vs. Washington in men's soccer playoff game tonight, 1-0, and will travel to Ohio State to play the Buckeyes this weekend.
#1 seed Boston College was upset by UMass today.
What about that?
Have Lowe's stat's been that bad?
I obviously do not follow NCAA futbol that closely, but the rankings seemed odd.
But hey, we won it all as an unranked team last year.
Bora$.
OK, Lowe's outta here.
Retract 325.
If I know Lowe may be working out of the bullpen at some point during his extension period, that would make me value him less, not more.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hiroshima
Boras in his glossy notebook is going to show GMs about Lowe's durability in his career and how he is such a great bet to pitch effectively until he is 42 and he deserves a 6yr deal.
In conclusion, He's going to want more years...and probably more annual dollars.
If the choice was to extend Penny or Lowe going forward, I would pick Penny because I feel more comfortable extending a 30 yr old than a 36 year old.
Hear Hear.
I do think that Lowe is the type of pitcher that could be effective well into his forties. Boras will probably get 4 years out of a club like the Mets who will be hungry for an innings eater. Whatever Livan Hernandez gets this year, Lowe will get two times the money.
He sees the Twins/Rays deal as putting LA back in the picture for Santana, who could be gotten, hypothetically, for a third baseman and a pitcher. LaRoche/Billingsley gets it done, he suggests.
I don't want to do that deal. Billingsley is an ace who won't cost a hundred million dollars yet and trading LaRoche widens the hole at third base.
But it isn't an unreasonable deal.
I have been able to appreciate DePo retroactively. Horrible media presence, but he sure was good at getting value out free agency.
It would be interesting to see where the Dodgers would be if DePo was still here...
The Dodgers.
Any contract with team options benefits the club more.
335
That's not unreasonable at all. But the fanboy in me won't give up Billingsley.
Nope, sorry.
Giving up Bills defeats the purpose....he is far from a prospect....
I agree RE: Billingsley. I would give up LaRoche, Kershaw, McDonald, and even Meloan for Santana rather than trade Billingsley.
And I'm not just saying that because I own a #58 road jersey. (I also own a Raiders #18 jersey)
Lowe has alot of experience as a reliever.
Most of his innings as a starter have been with the Dodgers.
We're paying Loaiza $7,000,000.00 on a flyer.
In a couple of years,$10,000,000.00 might look like less than $7 mil. does today.
We also know what we're getting with Lowe (Sinkerball/groundball pitcher).
Boras ends it for me though.
Howland had long hair and sideburns in his playing days.
Maybe this is his new way of rebelling.
I absolutely agree that $10m might look less in a few years than $7m today, but I think (hope?) that there will be more alternatives on which to spend the extra money than we had with Loaiza.
In other words, Loaiza was worth the risk because it was for only 1(+) year, at a rate less than it would cost in a weak free agent market (Silva, Lohse). With Lowe, I hope there are more alternatives than Silva & Lohse.
You don't have to be smart, but you shouldn't be so much of a lound mouth that it becomes a hindrance and distraction to the team.
Lowe just doesn't think before he speaks.
His forkball is dirty, but he doesn't throw it that often. I'm surprise his K-rates are as low as it is, as he has pretty decent stuff.
He looks like an older, poor man's version of Dice-K.
I would like to think that Odalis would have fared better if (a) he acted less childish, and (b) his injuries were dealt with in a better manner.
I wish that we were the only team bidding for Johan.
Then we could offer Minor Leauge pitchers and keep Billingsley.
I don't see how trading Billingsly adds more starting depth
Do you think he would be a sub 5 era guy here?
I was telling my friend how his delivery looks just like Matsuzaka's.
Yes, his control should allow him to post a league average era I would think.
His upside is that he is an unknown to major league hitters and maybe his stuff (like Saito) plays up in the states if he starts throwing his secondary pitches more.
And that for me, is where the interest stops.
Build an altar for the Minotaur in every Dodger household in the world.
Saito is earning $1.75 mil.
Saito is going to help recruit Kuroda.
Kuroda will get $10 mil.+++?
Adds a good point, I wonder how much of a raise Saito will get? He deserves to be paid around 8 mil but being on rookie status basically, he is at the mercy of his employer.
Probably a 100% raise in base (to 3.5) plus qualifier bonuses?
Kemp's First 2 Seasons
AB: 446 Hits: 139 Runs: 77 RBIs: 65
HRs: 17 SBs: 16 BA: 312 OBA: 344.
Mondesi's First Season
AB: 434 Hits: 133 Runs: 63 RBIs: 56
HRs: 16 SBs: 11 BA: 306 OBA: 333.
Two years later, I'm still looking for evidence that this is based on more than Plaschke and Simers' own dysfunction, in contrast to all the patient, thoughtful and lucid interviews I heard him give.
That's just Saito's situation with the work rules.
There is nothing fair about it, especially when you consider what Loaiza gets.
I know that the Dodgers didn't create Loaiza's contract, but he's here none the less.
Maybe Saito will get a Kuroda signing bonus.
Is Ned Colletti all that more interesting of an interview than Paul DePodesta?
He earned $500k in 2006, and $1.3m in 2007 ($1m + $300k in bonuses for appearing in 60+ games)
If anything, Colletti sounds a bit annoyed during press conferences.
And has a mustache.
Maybe something like 2 years / $8m plus incentives. It would be a service time record for a pitcher I believe, but Sammy is certainly a special case.
Then again, these things always seem to come down to whichever side (team or player) using the negotiating hammer when in possession of it.
I'd like to interview The 'Stache™. I bet there are some great stories in there!
I see him making about $2.5 mil with escalators that will make the deal worth about $3 mil. That would still be a 200% raise.
358
Kuroda is considered to be one of the better pitchers in the league on a mediocre team. Saito was thought to be a washed up bullpen guy that might be able to hold down the sixth or seventh inning at best.
It is based on my own perceptions of him in front of a camera, not on the content of his remarks. I always thought he looked uncomfortable and shy at his press conferences and had very little charisma.
When I read his remarks in the paper/online, he reminded me of Theo Epstein. Thoughtful, practical, and logical. This is only based on my impression of him.
(I want that to be a joke)
Padres assistant.
Special Assistant to Kevin Towers in San Diego.
He was impressed by Russell Westbrook.
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