Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
Jon's other site:
Screen Jam
TV and more ...
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Well, the last place I wanted to end up was on the wrong side of Firejoemorgan.com, but there I am (as well as on Bleed Cubbie Blue). No fun being lumped with the lunkheads FJM typically goes after.
Of course, maybe I was asking for this sort of treatment with my approach, but I just wish the critique had been more fair. There's a difference between exaggerating to make a point and just flat out changing what I was saying (as when he discusses the point values of my rating system.)
In general, most of the national feedback has been negative, with people either critiquing individual ratings or the system itself. Some of those criticisms were fair given what I had outlined in the introduction, while others seemed to just ignore that part.
But, I always say, the burden's on the writer to be clear and convincing, not on the reader to be clearly convinced. One thing I might have done differently would have been to document more clearly in the column itself the detailed stats and scouting reports everyone compiled.
I'm still happy with what I set out to do, even if I'm now a category at FJM. I've enjoyed reading the site enough in the past, so it's only fair.
Update: My squad of tireless defenders has e-mailed FJM, and he has updated his post with some kind words. And his point is well taken - whatever my approach, I should have shown my work, especially in a mainstream forum like SI.com. Lesson for me, and no hard feelings.
I'd imagine it would be closer than you'd think.
I think it is cool in a way to get blasted by FJM. Besides, you know you are not like pretty much everyone else they blast on that site.
Maybe you should have thrown in a food metaphor.
Because I am.
Get it done, Dan!
I did not realize they got divorced. I was hoping we get to see her rip into Joe McDonnell.
WWSH
Definitely the laziest FJM article I've seen them write. He doesn't seem to understand the aim of the article, instead taking potshots at the simplicity of it. Is he trying to say there's some sort of magical formula to calculate a team's depth?
They've been divorced for a while, but in the Oregon media guide Bellotti is pictured with his ex and they are described as "being together."
But it's believed they didn't get remarried.
I think Lute Olson had something to do with it.
"Should we pick up Aaron Fultz?"
"Why? Our bullpen is already set, and he's a below-average pitcher."
"Wrong! He technically qualifies as an average pitcher. Two points, not one. This will put our pitching staff at 16 points, and the next best team in our division only has 15."
"Get it done."
I was kind of hoping that he'd at least use Jeff Weaver in the example instead, since he's a starting pitcher. He even quoted the bit about starting rotations. I think FJM got lazy, or just wanted to give Jon a hard time.
I wonder how often they try to rip people that link to them.
The championship is guaranteed.
Here's how the interview went:
"Do you know Scott Proctor?"
"Yes."
"Do you get along with him?"
"Yes."
"Do you think he's ready to go in now?"
"You mean, as in now, December?"
"Yes."
"Sure."
"You're hired!"
Also done are the Steelers' chances of making it past the 1st round.
Has FJM ever issued a formal retraction of a whole article?
You were right the first time.
The Steelers were poised to lose to Jacksonville at home (or San Diego on the road) in the first round anyway.
Having said that, I have to say that anyone who hates Joe Morgan can't be all bad.
>> Andruw Jones
There's a widespread perception that Jones posts big numbers against mediocre pitching and disappears against the frontline guys. Just for kicks, we took a spin through some of his individual matchups to see how he fares.
As it turns out, Jones is a career 2-for-13 (.154) against Brandon Webb; 3-for-16 (.188) against Aaron Harang; 7-for-37 (.189) vs. Pedro Martinez; 8-for-45 (.178) against Brett Myers; 3-for-20 (.150) off Carlos Zambrano; and 1-for-15 (.067) vs. Jake Peavy.
But it's not all gloom and doom. Jones wears out Roy Oswalt to the tune of a .538 average (7-for-13), and he has six homers in 45 at-bats against Brad Penny. <<
http://tinyurl.com/yow4gx
Conlin couldn't have said it better.
WORLDS ARE COLLIDING, JERRY!!!!
WWSH
Jon, you're very gracious. I agree, if you had stated how you derived these ratings from well-accepted stats and were simply making a coarser-grained ranking on staff quality, FJM would have had no basis to complain.
I would be interesting to take your "judgment" on the numbers and translate that into numbers (e.g. three straight years with ERA+ above 120 means super-above-average), but it's still a useful exercise, despite what KT says.
vr, Xei
The same could be said....
I had heard of this blog but never read it until now...seems like a good place for informed fans to cathartically point out the dumbness of the baseball establishment...
I suppose it's a fun thing....
And since I compiled one of the sixteen summaries that Jon used, I take 1/16 of the hit by FJM.
The Padres also agreed to deals with catcher-first baseman Robert Fick and switch-hitting outfielder Jeff DaVanon.
http://tinyurl.com/369mfm
I'm going to have to listen to that at the gym tomorrow morning to properly calibrate my ire.
Upon further review, Fick & Bennett are NRIs to spring training. Not as cool as Gary Burghoff, obviously.
He didn't say anything bad, he just didn't remember your name.
Wow, I was way off! :)
To recap:
1) Michael Barrett signed a major league deal for $3.5m
2) Robert Fick & Jeff Davanon signed minor league deals with invites to spring training.
There was a blurb today about a new Billy Joel song that was written last month, and the song seems like a rant, but it really isn't. If you read the article about it, it's a song more in tune with "Goodnight Saigon." I won't post a link for fear of Rule 5.
Anyway the point is, read the entire story and get the facts straight before making judgement. FJM simply misinterpreted Jon's system or perhaps made some assumptions, but I do appreciate that he understand Jon's intent.
I thought it was a useful exercise, and the fact you chose to support a worthy cause was the cherry on top for me.
Here's to a hoping a large African bird poops on Ken T's head some day.
http://www.pakin.org/complaint
"Why? Our bullpen is already set, and he's a below-average pitcher."
"Wrong! He technically qualifies as an average pitcher. Two points, not one. This will put our pitching staff at 16 points, and the next best team in our division only has 15."
"Get it done."
______________
As usual, if nothing else, the people at FJM made me laugh. As a complete aside, I recently saw Ratatouille and reading FJM tonight reminded me of Peter O'Toole's monologue about critics near the end of the film.
That, in and of itself, is a nice thing. Not as nice as, you know, not being mentioned there, but still. Pretty tender, as FJM de-pantsings go.
And for those of you that don't read FJM, you really should. It's a must read.
Please let Mike Bellotti be the next coach at UCLA. I promise to do stuff better, and do other stuff not as poorly. I promise to give money to charity, provided said charities take non-paper money. I promise to call my grandmother once a week, despite the fact that she is thoroughly depressing. I will also club fewer baby seals.
Yours in faith,
Gregory DeSean Brockerson III
Last year, they were 41 free agent signings for at least $10M/2+ years. 5 of those deals were teams re-signing their old players back.
So far, now beyond a month after the free agent period has started, there has been 17 similar signings with 5 of those again being players resigning with their old clubs.
Part of that could be the lack of talent available (when Carlos Silva is the top pitcher by years and total amount, you have some issues) but it just seems that when A-Rod reupped with the Yankees, the air fell out of the Hot Stove balloon.
Probably Kyle Lohse and Mike Cameron are the top remaining free agents, so for now, the Hot Stove is turned off.
The Mets remain on the sidelines for now.
The Yankees have paid the most to keep A-Rod, Posada, Rivera and Pettite.
COME ON!
1. Did the intro to the most recent episode really indicate (as it seemed to) that the Springfield in the show is Springfield, IL...?
2. If so, is that a big revelation, or did we already know that...?
I'm surprised, then, that I haven't heard anything about this anywhere.
The chalkboard sequence at the beginning has Bart writing:
The capital of Montana is not "Hanna"
I don't recall any reference to Illinois.
During the couch gag, when they panned out from the couch, they panned out from the Illinois area.
I may need to change my handle to Sando.
http://tinyurl.com/hdfhj
If "The Simpsons" Springfield were Springfield, Illinois, it would then have to be compared to the real city.
And I must have missed the gorge when I went to Springfield, Illinois.
Not if it insists on calling you "Timmerma" and nothing else.
My name is Erão.
(sory Timmerma)
But is that as good as the Ron Mexico name generator?
http://ronmexico.kainalopallo.com/
The more you know!
2008: $7m
2009: $10m
2010: $12m (would have been first year of free agency)
That seems reasonable enough. He made $6.45m last season, so he probably would have received a higher number than $7m in arbitration this year, even though he put up a 5.17 ERA (83 ERA+).
He's been very durable. Only 6 pitchers in MLB have more IP from 2004-2007. Dontrelle's ERA+ over that span is 108 in 862 IP, just a shade above $126 million man Barry Zito's 107 ERA+ in 859 IP.
You will learn my friend that such guessing gets very tiresome after you hit 30.
Or in my case 25.
There are people for whom I don't need a list, or an occasion (the other problem with gifts is they shouldn't have deadlines), but for the bulk of the socially obligatory gift giving I do, I'm not too proud for the list.
actually my folks are on a trip abroad and i'm an only child, so pretty much it's just my girlfriend i have to worry about. and that always requires guesswork anyway.
Do you get an employee discount at the airport gift shop...?
Bruce Markusen did Card Corner for a long time at BTF.
D4P - Some rain, and may you find a place to plant your sword in a geographic area desirable to both of you
Jason/Humma - good health for your new borns
Bhsportsguy, GregBrock, Trainwreck,Bob Timmerman - a UCLA head coach you can be proud of or one you can make fun of. Not sure which one you want.
Vishal - the ability to pick out the right gift
Dzzrat - sunshine
Daniel Zappala - another Italian in Utah
Marty - health for the dog
Andrew Shimmin- better taste in clothes - ( couderoy?) and a Diamondback wild card
Sam DC - a kickbutt new stadium to take your son to and a healthy John Patterson
Eric Stephen - an OPS+ of 810 for Jeff Kent
Regfairfield - Andy Laroche starting at 3rd base on opening day
El Lay Dave - Don't you have it all?
XieFrank - Guo becomes the surprise of 2008 in a good way
Nate - another dancer, one is never enough
Canuck - may Abreu be as good as you say
For the Boss - continued passion for the Dodgers so the rest of us can bask in it.
For the rest of the Dodger Thought Community my biggest hope for you is that Juan Pierre is not wearing Dodger Blue by April 1st, and you and your families all have a safe Holiday season.
Thanks, TC.
God bless us, every one.
Merry Christmas to you as well, Toy Cannon, and may the Ferndale Wildcats continue to take America by storm.
Merry Christmas & Happy Holidays to the entire Dodger Thoughts crew.
And I hope UCLA gets Bellotti, so LA can have potential top 10 matchups for the next decade or so! Nothing would be better for the rivalry.
1. Jon wanted to reflect on the depth of these rotations, no one uses 5 starters in a season.
2. Jake Peavy can lose, and Brett Tomko can win.
3. I dont understand the last part about Tomko being super durable and the above average fall back guy not being able to reap benefits. So Tomko is so durable he can block better pitchers?
I dont get the overall message.
It's been a long, weird year for me, and my friends here have really me through. So thanks.
-- Sam
Merry Christmas TC and everyone else here. Thanks to all of you for waisting so much of my time ;)
Jon: Thanks for the site, it is so much more than just a place to talk baseball.
Bob: Next year, cherry pie!
ToyC: Healthy bodies for the Clippers.
Nate and Canuck: An infield of Loney, Abreu, Hu and LaRoche to start a meaningful game in 2008.
GregB: The opportunity to proudly go back to Rose Bowl.
Trainwreck: Kevin Love, Pac-10 Player of the Year.
To all new fathers: The best holiday season ever, and bedtime stories of how the mighty Kirk Gibson did not strike out.
Eric Stephen: Witnessing the Dodgers winning a game at PetCo.
Sam DC: Good parking at the new ballpark.
All the best to the DT community, I think we have a lot to look forward to in 2008 but through it all, the Blue and White still tugs at the heart and nothing is better than hearing Vin start off the season with another "Hi Everybody!"
1. While no one uses 5 starters in a season some teams will obviously have to rely on depth more than others. I guess a good reference would be that you can usually pencil in Jake Peavy and Roy Oswalt for 200+ IPs of ace-like performance where as a player like Ben Sheets will put up ace-like numbers but remains a huge risk to make 30+ starts. So shouldn't Peavy and Oswalt be rated higher than Sheets based on the fact that they will probably give your team a better overall performance? If not, shouldn't somebody like Rich Harden also get a 4? Depth matters less with a rotation of more durable starters right?
2. Agree, Peavy can lose and Tomko can win but when you combine their records at the end of the year (assuming they both stay healthy all year), wouldn't the expected winning percentage be around .500? Shouldn't Tomko's negative value take away from Peavy's positive value? I don't see how a zero really reflects poor pitching, it just kind of chalks it up as neutral. Again that was a hypothetical situation, I know Peavy and Tomko won't both be fixtures in the Pads rotation next season.
3. I think I worded that one wrong, if you have a stud prospect like Kershaw but a super-durable, below-average pitcher in your rotation doesn't the prospects value diminish because he's blocked by dead-weight? Another good example I found was Tampa Bay, they get 5 points from the up and coming department and while some of them may get significant time in the bigs, I don't really see all of them contributing to the big-club in '08 (I could be wrong). Should their collective value outweight Kazmir who is clearly Tampa's ace and needed for them to compete?
Again I could be way off base and but those are honestly the flaws that I saw in the points system.
---
"Is there anything sadder than homeless robots at Xmas? Only drowning puppies, and there would have to be a lot of them." - Amy on Futurama
Merry Christmas to everyone, particularly the ones who gave during the Weisman's Kids charity drive:
Strike4
BHSportsguy
Kevin Lewis
Hubert Hsu
dminnick
njr
thebigGrabowski
fanerman
paranoidandroid
screwballin
driches
Ben Blakley
BigCPA
berkowitz28
Eric L
overkill94
I really hope I didn't miss anyone. Thanks again.
And yet no one has thought of a sextant as the ideal gift for me.
Don't drink and drive.
New post up top.
From pointers to pizza places in Blackhawk, Colorado to free tickets from Toycannon. Being Me and Ed's brothers with CanuckDodger. Marty, just talking about Arthur Lee and Love. Trainwreck being a Pete and Pete fan. Eekrock, who works at my hometown record store I frequent weekly. Bob for referencing "No Time". I cant put into words how awesome this place is. Thanks guys.
I have become very proficient with Google as well.
Sigh, I wish I hadn't been so broke the last few months, or I would've contributed more to the sites and causes I love. Next year fersure!
LOL, not nearly, but I do seem to have everything I need - what more could I ask for? (I am accepting applications for anyone who would volunteer to take over my mortgage payments, college tuition payments, etc., etc.
You're welcome.
Look at the bright side. Sixteen months is not that long to be unfunny. And now, you've clearly broken the dry spell. :-)
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