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Will Carroll of Baseball Prospectus continues to report that Chad Billingsley is more of an injury risk than most of us would suspect. Today, Carroll cited Billingsley's "control problems and questionable stamina."
Billingsley averaged 5 2/3 innings per start last season, at age 23. That number was affected by his transition from the bullpen to the starting rotation. In his first two starts of 2007 (in June), he totaled 7 2/3 innings.
From July 1 to his penultimate start of the season September 23, however, Billingsley averaged six innings a start. I can't imagine much more would be asked for a pitcher of his age, in an era in which you're trying to protect his arm. (His final start, in a meaningless game, was cut short in the second inning.)
During the aforementioned stretch, Billingsley walked 3.67 batters per nine innings, or perhaps more relevantly, 2.45 batters per six innings. Many Dodger fans know that Billingsley sometimes used a lot of pitches to get through a start; nonetheless, his season high was 116 in a five-inning outing August 13. Following that game, Billingsley averaged 15.7 pitches per inning through September 23, walking a batter every three innings. At that rate, Billingsley would get through a typical six innings on 94 pitches, walking two. That doesn't strike me as excessive.
Nothing physically has happened with Billingsley that I know of to justify any excessive concern with him, aside from the fact that, you know, he's a pitcher. I remain confident that, while he might have his rough patches, Billingsley will emerge as a Dodger ace this season. (And gosh, I sure hope I'm right.)
Update: Jinx. Billingsley has minor discomfort in his groin, according to Diamond Leung of the Press-Enterprise.
The discomfort is considered minor, as Billingsley will still throw in a simulated game. That said, he did say that the groin might have caused him to skip a start in an in-season situation.
http://japanball.com/news.phtml?id=11599
I thought yesterday LaRoche's anxiousness would him better suited to starting.
i wouldn't put it past torre to use, "nomar has the inside track" it as a motivational tool to laroche and a sense to the vet that he is getting a fair shot to start.
Bad Control = Bad Stamina
and then how to take that a step further to being an injury risk. I'd say previous health problems (if he had them) would be more of a sign of injury risk than bad control.
I would think that...
Bad Control = Lots of pitches thrown = Shorter stints Poor stamina.
vr, Xei
vr, Xei
It seems a little naive that the school wasn't locking things up in classrooms already. I can understand the close knit community and the excellent standards, but why wasn't there any security in place from the get go. Seems like you assume quite a bit if you think it could never happen in your own school.
There was an attempt to steal exams when I was there, back in the early 80s, as I recall.
http://wcbstv.com/topstories/hair.on.fire.2.663767.html
That made me feel welcome!
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