Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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TV and more ...
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Nomar Garciaparra is in tonight's starting lineup for the Dodgers. The most recent assumption has been that Ramon Troncoso would go down to the minors instead of Blake DeWitt, so that DeWitt could back up Garciaparra at least until Andy LaRoche's return, but we'll soon see. Chin-Lung Hu could take on that role, and DeWitt could go down.
* * *
Welcome back to the bigs, Joe Thurston. Boston called him up to replace another former Dodger, Alex Cora, who went on the disabled list.
* * *
Baseball America's list of executives (which isn't perfect) lists 10 GMs for the Dodgers.
I think the Dodgers were going by the list that Baseball America uses:
http://www.baseballamerica.com/execdb/?show=franchise&fid=lad#gm
12
Ask these guys
http://www.bb-ref.com/pi/shareit/5X6r
Mmm, tasty, delicious crow!
If you cook up crow right, it tastes just like raven.
A. USC
B. UCLA
C. UCSB
My comment to Marty was something like I guess the Dodgers don't recognize the New York Times style guide.
I think they list UCSB for Trainwreck.
Nice to finally see Nomar back in the lineup. I hope everyone gives him a chance to contribute instead of looking for every little flaw in his game like they do with Pierre.
UCSB is quite random.
Chub Feeney
Horace Stoneham
Spec Richardson
Tom Haller
Al Rosen
Bob Quinn
Brian Sabean
Sometimes these guys left and came back so there are numerous Grover Cleveland type situations.
I wouldn't be surprised if the person who wrote the question went to UCSB.
Anytime before the game starts.
I don't think it will be Troncoso, because of the aforementioned streak of 10 games in 10 days. The Dodgers probably feel they need twelve pitchers for that stretch, and if they send Troncoso down tonight they can't recall him until April 26.
Garciaparra close to returning to the team
>> but because Las Vegas has an early start (11a.m.) at San Bernardino with the Inland Empire 66ers and frigid temperatures were expected, that assignment was nixed. <<
Las Vegas is actually playing a night game in Salt Lake City. But why would Doug Padilla think that Las Vegas would be playing Inland Empire? Or am I missing something.
http://www.presstelegram.com/moresports/ci_8939876
vr, Xei
Doug Padilla's column was also in the sister paper LA Daily News. That passage was cleaned up to the following:
"The original plan was to have Garciaparra play one more rehab game today in San Bernardino with the Inland Empire 66ers, but that assignment was scratched"
I thought it was reported yesterday that because Vegas had a night game tonight, Nomar wouldn't be with them because of the late travel. I'm guessing the San Bernardino game was nixed due to the frigid temperatures? Maybe a sentence or two got accidentally cut out of Padilla's Press Telegram column.
That makes it sound like LaRoche is just asking "Hey guys, how far you going? I'm going to Florida. What? You're going to Atlanta. That's cool. Can I get a ride to there?"
http://tinyurl.com/4x97mm
Perhaps they could just put Young on the DL and say he's still suffering the effects of being conked in the head with the ball. They've made up similarly bogus injuries before, in situations where they were in danger of losing the player.
Me: "Where are you coming from?"
Kid: "Home."
Me: "Where is your home?"
Kid: "California."
Me: "No, I need to know the street and if you're coming by car or by bus?"
Kid: "We're walking."
Me: "Are you in Los Angeles?"
Kid: "I think so, let me ask my mom."
Huh? What?
Kid on phone: "How do you get to the library?"
Me: Hard Work.
Wooooooo!
And of course I don't like Pierre playing over Ethier, but Ethier has played 14 days in a row, so I wouldn't exactly call this a platoon. Let's just assume the top of the lineup carries us like last night until proven otherwise.
Meh. Andruw got a raise after his worst year in the bigs.
Before the year, there were some huge numbers thrown around concerning his new deal. Obviously hes not going to be this bad for much longer (one would hope), but this start raises a bunch of questions that need to be answered. But if he has the equivalent of the 2007 Jones, he's going to lose at least $30 million.
- Will Carroll
Oh, wait, no one bet me. Darn it.
{Shuffles feet, looks glumly down at ground}
I'm gonna take myself for a walk.
https://bronxbanter.baseballtoaster.com/archives/891907.html
Be sure to bring a bag...
Its also the perfect night to start Nomar. After all he'll be facing Paul Maholm of the lifetime ERA 4.60 Maholms. Its a nice soft spot for him.
But after a 60 minute work conference call, I definitely need a break so I can return afresh for Nomar's 4, one-pitch at bats tonight.
One other good thing about Nomar starting now he should get a number of days playing at big league at bats to really get a better picture of where he is at now and probably for the rest of the season. If he does nothing now than it will make it far easier to play La Roche without getting into an immediate platoon, giving La Roche the constant big league at bats he needs...Can't wait for the game
The A's beat the Indians that day in 18 innings, by a score of 18-17.
PHI 201 201 702 000 000 201 - 18
CLE 203 011 601 000 000 200 - 17
Rommel gave up 29 hits in 17 innings. And got the win!
The NL record is even longer (according to SABR records lord and master Lyle Spatz) at 18 1/3 innings by Zip Zabel of the Cubs on 6/17/1915 against Brooklyn. The Cubs won 4-3 and Zabel gave up just 2 runs in his 18 1/3 innings.
84 - I'm a sick, sick man, I think I would have appreciated the second half of that game more than the first.
I think it's more of a situation were they wanna GIVE Pierre a game he'd sat for 2 games straight, I think it's more that than anything.
I think the rationale behind the rest before an off day is to maximize the off day, so he gets 2 full days (even though he might pinch hit tonight) while only missing one game.
It took just 4:05 to play.
I counted 89 total baserunners in the game.
Cleveland shortstop Johnny Burnett was 9 for 11 in the game.
Cleveland led 14-13 with two outs in the 9th when Jimmy Dykes reached on an error by Cleveland first baseman Ed Morgan. Al Simmons walked and Jimmie Foxx singled in two runs.
Foxx hit three home runs and drove in eight.
Cleveland used three pitchers and Philadelphia used just two.
By contrast, during Sunday's 1-0 game between the Dodgers and Padres there were nine pitchers in the game.
>> So, when it comes to batting average, perhaps the skill that we should be tracking is the rate at which a batter makes contact.
Contact rate (at-bats minus strikeouts, divided by at-bats) is a statistic that is far more stable and projectable. League level rates run about 80%. Our .300 hitters often come from those with contact rates greater than 90%. Batters with rates less than 70% typically have trouble keeping their batting average above .250. <<
http://tinyurl.com/54mplj
That should be the rationale with Russell Martin one would think, he's getting hot though.
>> "The best thing that's come out of the whole bad luck part of (the rash of injuries to the third base position) was Blake DeWitt," Torre said. "We certainly got a peek at a guy who didn't come to spring training with it, and found himself playing on opening day. So whatever happens for him from here on out has certainly been a positive for him and us bothto watch the way he's handled this stuff and to know that he's there in the event that we need some help." <<
http://tinyurl.com/44xoxx
And if Houston and San Antonio hold their current leads, Suns & Spurs will meet in the first round.
...at home. They're currently 17-23 on the road.
Utah/Houston are slated to play as 4/5 seeds in round 1 (assuming the Spurs and Rockets win tonight). Presumably, the Lakers will play the Hornets, Mavs, Suns, or Spurs in the conference finals.
This guy deserves a shot at the #5 spot soon.
Sending Troncoso down was also a good move. Nomar cant play everyday at 3b.
I thought you were naming the Lakers' potential playoff opponents, but I see you were just grouping the 1-8-4-5 seeds together, the Lakers half of the bracket if you will. My bad.
Edwin Jackson
W2 - 1L
ERA 2.84
19 IP
14 K's
10 BB's
Eric Gagne
1W - 0L
ERA 7.20
5 IP
6 K's
1 BB
3 Saves
Guillermo Mota
W0 - 0L
ERA 2.45
3.2 IP
4 K's
4 BB's
Joel Hanrahan
W0 - 0L
ERA 9.00
7.0 IP
9 K's
6 BB's
Odalis Perez
0W - 3L
ERA 4.35
20.2 IP
13 K's
9 BB's
Cody Ross
24 AB
0 Dingers
0 RBI
1 BB
1 K
Bret Tomko
1W - 1L
ERA 2.08
13.0 IP
6 K's
3 BB's
That was Chris Duffy.
Nice, I won't even ask what his MPH readings are, bottom line (small sample, blah blah) is he is getting the job done.
He's crafty, is what it is.
You'd almost feel sorry for Mal-holl-um, but, nah, we'll take this.
Apocalypse!
Maybe he got some hitting pointers from DeWitt.
She and her husband at least got blankets out of the deal.
When I asked her once about who her favorite Pirate was when growing up and I suggested that it might have been Willie Stargell or Dave Parker. But I forgot about her age and she told me her heroes were Andy Van Slyke and Barry Bonds.
Grittiest inning of the season..
Nice drag bunt by Pierre for an RBI.
I really do kinda feel sorry for Malholm. Kinda. Not really.
No gloves for Russ.
No gloves for Russ.
No, wait, we don't call him that. Gritty McSlap?
Slappy McInfield?
I have no problem with Pierre bunting there. He was just trying to get on base, plus it got (only) one run home.
At least he reset the lineup for the 2nd.
I know the TV in my room is a half second faster than the living room TV, thanks to the wiring.
---
Good to see Kent smiling after that near collision with Kemp. Even better to see no one actually colliding.
Sir, should we turn on the runway lights now?
No... that's just what they'll be expecting us to do!
You are killing me. Collectively, you are Rick Monday. All this Slappy McBuntGritSmallBallScrap business, and not one of you -- NOT ONE! -- mentions the score of the ballgame.
Take that, Nuggets fan! :)
4-0 Dodgers after 1.
Pirates just tried to make it 4-1, but Nady got Bisoned by a mile at the plate.
4-0 Dodgers.
I'll go get my egg timer now.
"Pittsburgh makes so many mistakes."
Kemp nails a runner running through a stop sign - a sign of the tables turning over a year or so ago!
Sometimes I think Penny is a marvelous country hardball thrower, but hasn't the faintest idea about pitching. We really could use Maddox or perhaps Koufax to sit in the dugout and call his games.
5-0 Dodgers (for Terry's sake.)
That was ripped.
Can't say this has been a dull start to this game.
---
More of this, please.
TBS no longer carries Braves games, unless they are on one of the Sunday MLB games they cover.
I no longer have the big iron on my hip.
Icaros (wearing Ghame Over shirt): Hey Yhency, have you seen this shirt before? It's you. We made this for you. See, there's an "h" right here.
Brazoban (looking at me like I'm a nut): Okay, thanks.
I don't normally do such things, but I felt this had to be done.
The last guy to have three in a game was Edgar Martinez in 2002.
Chad Kreuter is among the names of the greats who have had three sac flies in a game. Kreuter did it with the Tigers.
231 Awesome, Icaros. He's probably already forgotten Eric Gagne.
The last 2 dodger half innings i've missed have resulted in 9 runs. i'm thinking i should just not watch any more games.
Rats!
http://www.bb-ref.com/pi/shareit/6myj
I wouldn't say they'd be missing Glavine, Bob.
Didn't have the chance. It was awkward enough. But I did wear my DT shirt to this afternoon's game. The fans there don't seem to care much about the Dodgers.
Minotaur's best inning last night was when he picked off a guy at second, then picked off a guy at first, then froze the batter with a ridiculous curve for strike three. I was laughing like a little girl.
Despite Fogg, the Dodger offense appears cleared for takeoff.
OK, I'll stop.
Don't put Beimel in.
---
Boy, CC Sabathia's off to a fine start.
http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/MIN/MIN200007030.shtml
David Ortiz as a Twin had 3 RBI (2 SF and a walk) against Boston on 7/3/2000. That's the most since 1956.
I give up. I'm laying down my keyboard to Bob, much like The Police to U2 at Band Aid.
(Okay, no more sarcastic comments from me.)
No keep it up. I may get woozy later tonight because I can't eat anything more because I have to get a cholesterol test in the morning.
I believe the test will show that I have some.
So you're saying that you will be So Lonely, and that no one will Stand So Close to [You]?
[picturing the moment as it happened, chills running thru my spine...]
As the "Twilight Zone" taught us:
PEOPLE ARE THE SAME ALL OVER!
Bad is my favorite U2 song ever, and the Band Aid version is the best.
And then on May 1 and May 3, 1986, Vince Coleman and Don Mattingly had three in a game.
Is that appropriately Starkian? Or does that qualify as a boring historical anecdote?
And they never will.
First off, your anecdotes are never boring.
Second, does SABR have regional meetings besides the big national conference? I'm thinking of joining.
There are regional meetings and the San Diego chapter (the Ted Williams chapter) is quite active.
The L.A./Orange County Chapter (Allan Roth) is not the most active. Probably because I'm vice president.
I answered it above, but Loney needs a hit to keep his streak going. Sac flies don't get you off the hook.
U2's "Pride" (In the name of Love, MLK version) is ONE of my favorites, I still remember hearing it for the first time in my little red truck, one of those life changing moments.
I think that because the Dodgers have played in three World Series at Yankee Stadium made it less necessary to get the Dodgers to play in the Bronx.
The question is now moot.
seems like he's aiming for the fences tonight.
Tix for Police seem still available for both Concord and Mtn View shows up here, to answer Fanerman's question.
And I'd forgotten that Elvis Costello was opening. Go, Hallux. Have a blast. Meet girls. Etc.
Okay, off to watch "Blast of Silence."
And 7 more while in Brooklyn.
I've seen Elvis 4 or 5 times. At least 2 of those were covers tours. Another one was a country tour. I'm hoping this is hits. The country show was horrid.
Bob, thanks. I just joined.
I don't worry about things that happened before I was born.
Especially when I can use that qualifier as an excuse.
Definitely hang onto your tickets. Andy's blistering solos and Stewart's work on the skins alone are worth the price of admission.
>>Talked to Dodgers OF Andruw Jones today and he said that he had made an adjustment in his swing that is helping him break out of his slump.
Jones said his upper body was not balanced correctly and ce[nt]er[e]d on his legs. After reviewing film, he said he made the adjustment which has helped him collect a few hits recently.
"I'm just trying to stay in between my legs," Jones said. "Sometimes you think you are comfortable and you actually are not."<<
And on cue, there's a nice hit from him.
I hate when bands option a second night, and don't get me started when the "second" night is the night before the "first" night...
I swear, I'm super excited for the show. I just wish that one of my friends was.
The only time the Dodgers ever approached the LA chapter about a meeting was back when Dan Evans was GM. He had a day at the stadium ready for us.
Then Paul DePodesta got hired. DePodesta was not particularly interested in talking to SABR members. Surprisingly, DePodesta would not fit in well at a SABR convention. More people at them want to talk about things like the 1920 American Association pennant race or baseball in Pennsylvania prisons.
A.J. Burnett is hoping not to play the role of Ed Rommel.
I have no clue, I really doubt it is ice I'm thinking it's a heading pad of some kind, you ice your arms when your done pitching at least that's how I was thought.
err, that should be HEATING pads.
Lakers get Denver, New Orleans gets Dallas (who blew them out a bit tonight).
I think the Lakers have a pretty good road to the Western Conference finals.
I've also never been to Hollywood Bowl, so I'm double excited.
I've been to the Hollywood Bowl a bunch of times. It's fun in theory.
Don't try to park at the Bowl. Go for the Park and Ride.
Man, Blast of Silence is really good so far. Too bad I can't keep from peeking at the Dodger game.
Note to offense--hello, are you awake? We are still in OK shape, but we haven't seen you since the second inning. Is Pittsburgs pitching really this fantastic?
Note to offense--hello, are you awake? We are still in OK shape, but we haven't seen you since the second inning. Is Pittsburgs pitching really this fantastic?
Nothing's wrong with Penny physically, just Torre's decision.
If you're 10 minutes away, just walk or take a bus. That cab is going to be very expensive.
Incredible.
Buck Showalter last night on Baseball Tonight completely dismissed Jeff Kent's HOF credentials. I'm not the biggest JK fan but come on!
Per Baseball-Reference.com, Pettitte's most similar players are:
1. Jimmy Key (915)
2. Dwight Gooden (914)
3. Dave McNally (898)
4. Lefty Gomez (880) *
5. Ron Guidry (879)
6. Frank Viola (875)
7. Dazzy Vance (874) *
8. Bruce Hurst (874)
9. Mike Cuellar (873)
10. Lon Warneke (871)
116 Fernando Valenzuela, 1986
108 Don Sutton, 1969
103 Fernando Valenzuela, 1985
100 Fernando Valenzuela, 1987
87 Mariano Duncan, 1989
Matt Kemp has moved into a tie for 35th on this list with 41 (alongside Wilkin Ruan, Kevin Brown, Burt Hooton and Derrell Griffith). Of course, if he draws one walk in 2008, he's bounced.
http://www.baseball-reference.com/pi/shareit/Tx2n
Did you try StubHub? They usually have tickets, but sometimes at a premium.
Aren't those moments more mood changing than life changing?
I phrased it that way for dramatic purposes, I went on my marry ignorant ways once the song was over...
It's 44 games by Willie Keeler in 1897. George Sisler started the 1925 season with a 34-game streak.
Btw, you'll be amused to hear that Pirates fans commenting on Bucs Dugout think that Vin Scully is "an ass" (direct quote, among other negative comments about him). Tres amusing.
Bob, didn't you collect baseball cards? More often than not, the cards of a certain year contained pictures and team alliances of the prior year. So, 1968 Topps featured, for the most part, 1967 baseball players (when Roseboro was on the Dodgers).
Baffled
395 based on the Pirates games I've listened to, they should be happy that their broadcasters aren't drunk, and are watching the game.
That said, there's no real rhyme or reason as to how Topps decides to handle a player that has switched teams during the offseason. Andruw Jones' 2008 Topps card has him on the Dodgers, for instance.
Now I'll root, root, root for the Pirates fans in question to get scurvy.
Everything's coming up Juan!
Ha!
http://tinyurl.com/5fhszd (NSFW)
That reminds me, didn't we burst there bubble on the opening of there new stadium?
Ugh. No.
I don't have the cards in front of me, but I believe Dontrelle's 2008 Topps card is as a Marlin while Miguel Cabrera's is as a Tiger.
One of the great and hilarious quirks of baseball cards, especially Topps, is the awful airbrushing of other teams' logos and colors.
Though I do have to agree with the air brushing.
Do they still do the rookie/traded second sets?
Though I do like the Pac Man sound effect that pops up when an opposing player strikes out.
I hate that yelp more than anything ever.
ole
ole
ole
http://tinyurl.com/5sby7c
man, if you want my mind to go crazy with bad thoughts, do that cheer, ugh!!
and I hate a lot of cheers- even Zombie Nation for Dodger home runs.
I just remembered the last time I moved and how long it took to pack.
They were pretty cool, though, in a completely goofy way, especially the Loney one.
Also, Carl's Jr. is called Hardee's in the South, not that I would eat there.
The Cabrera card was airbrushed too.
http://tinyurl.com/69e23u
Yet he had an above MLB average season, in all three main categories.
BA: .278 (league avg. .270)
OBP: .359 (avg. .330)
SLG: .433 (avg. .430)
Not great, but certainly not deserving of the sneers he gets here.
Especially if you recall that for a bad spell for us last year, he carried more than a few games with his hot bat.
What was the MLB average for a LFer last year?
There is another one I really really dislike but I can't remember it right now.
Wonder what xeifrank thinks of this.
I will admit to enjoying watching the Brazilians play.
Part of the derision of Gonzo is because he wasn't exactly a willing participant in his non full-time status. Pierre was everyday Juan last year, so there were 3 guys for the other 2 spots. Gonzalez was the worst of the three, especially factoring in defense. Yet he played the most (of the 3).
I understand that. But keep in mind we didn't have high expectations for him when he got signed. And I'm not saying he had a great year. Just that he gets a lot of bad press here on Dodger Thoughts. He doesn't deserve it.
Normally I'd say Broxton needs the work, plus there's an off day tomorrow. But, Big John pitched Sunday and Monday as well, so there's really no reason for the appearance tonight. Not the best way to start day 1 of the 11-man staff.
I think he deserves it. Why should low expectations be his salvation? He can't play defense. He hits below average for his position, and he was a main contributer to last season's clubhouse drama, despite being a supposed team player.
Dude has always been a politician with the press, too.
Good point. Maybe Topps can airbrush an attached arm on Proctor's 2009 Topps card!
My impression was that at this point in his career, Gonzo only has the endurance to put up decent numbers for half a season.
/Sorry
Someone needs to tell Torre that just because it's the ninth inning, he doesn't need to bring in Saito. At the same time, tell him that the 8th inning = Broxton every time either.
Wouldn't it make sure sense to use Park up for a few innings here? Isn't that why we have two long relievers on the team?
Haha, and I'm not even a Star Trek buff.
Go Dodgers! It shouldn't have been a rubber game, but we'll take it. Let's keep it up, team! And everyone hit.
Kemp is at .310. Just try to sit him now.
Ethier: .308
Pierre: up to .281
Jones: .157 with two more strikeouts today.
Yeah, I know batting average is a "lesser" statistic, but it's handy. It's time to sit Jones for a couple games. If it worked for Kemp (or so we were told that was the reason for the first benching), then it should be good enough for Jones.
Night all. Good to go in to the off day and road trip with a coupla victories.
Hasta.
It was the Westside Rentals guy.
He gets more air time than some players. He was on during countless UCLA games, during the Tournament, and this Angels game.
So Kennedy and Lyons think the Dodgers have lost a lot because they've played against good teams and good pitchers.
They're not the best in the business for nuthin', folks.
Hey, did you get a chance to read that New York magazine piece on D.B. Cooper I mention a month or so ago?
Good, n'est-ce pas?
Take your time, I'll hold your drink.
Who's with me!
(anyone?)
Id rather pull for the guy who has a chance to be here for the next 6 years.
FWIW: Torii has also been one of my non-Dodger favorites, ever since he robbed Bonds of the homerun in the all-star game.
504 I was just joshin' around.
505 No.
And Amelia Earhart was sippin' umbrella drinks somewhere.
I was talking to a mega normal middle age gentlemen at Outback the other night and all the sudden he starts talking to me about how the moon landing was faked.
Or to be more precise, he said, "...I'm just sayin'" over and over.
It was really strange for me. This guy was more normal than my dad, then all of the sudden WAHM! he hits me with the crazy stuff.
I'm trying to think of the right analogy for the moon, it's one of those places you really want to go but then you get there and just shrug, and say, "really? this is it?"
Kind of like my experience of going to Havasu.
Plus the ad's message assumes you believe Carmax's sticker price is already ideally low. Says who?
It's one of the most insultingly stupid ads I've ever heard.
(Oh, is this off topic? I missed the game b/c I was at my son's play. Thrilled to hear Charley Steiner say the score when I finally could listen in the bottom of the 8th.)
You folks need to work in a public library sometime.
You'll get your fill of conspiracy theories. You also have to learn nod sympathetically.
I did alot of that with this guy. In a way, because it's actually hard to refute what they are telling you. They're usually very articulate and VERY well read in theories they speak of.
I mean if I told you cheese was actually blue. What could you say?
Just outer space. The show premiered in 1965. That was a full four years before the putative lunar landing.
As long as I know the moon is there then I am fine. Wait... is it there??
If there's no moon out there, then a lot of people are going to have to reschedule their Seders for this weekend.
[sorry]
I guess he has had a bit better of a career than Darren Dreifort.
I say we blow up the moon. It would be a hoot.
A giant lasar from Caltech?
Oooo. If it misfires, perhaps we can make a very large container of jiffy pop popcorn.
Errgg. It's late.
And those guys hate the moon.
Sometimes it does seem as though Kemp's mind is elsewhere. I hope the new coaching staff can turn this basketball player into a baseball player. He could be a really good one.
He hasn't been playing baseball all that long, if I recall correctly.
I'm pretty sure Discovery has done a documentary on it as well.
http://shopping.discovery.com/product-52214.html
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn4786-no-moon-no-life-on-earth-suggests-theory.html
http://spiff.rit.edu/classes/phys235/no_moon/no_moon.html
http://content.scholastic.com/browse/article.jsp?id=4850
Astronomy is great until you have to learn how to compute orbital velocities and all that lab stuff. I really struggled.
553 Carl Sagan was a huge fan of the silliness. Huge fan.
By the way, if Cooper died in the jump, how did some (but only a very small amount) of his cash end up buried next to the bank of the Columbia River, hundreds of miles away from the plane's flight path?
I work in engineering and the writing skills of some of my colleagues is abominable. I applaud more writing intensive studies in the sciences and you efforts towards that goal.
559 Wolves.
Our gifted Matt Kemp simply doesn't focus on what's in front of him. Besides the baserunning and the throwing home goofs, while in the on-deck circle he spent more effort on checking out the stands than checking out the pitcher. Our Nick LaLoush.
These new lights are more intense for sure. I wonder if that will cause outfielders to lose more fly balls.
It's a bummer when the guys sitting behind you steal your Dodger blanket from under your seat. It looked like a decent blanket.
Assuming Cooper did die, It's hard to imagine that some family member or friends in the Pacific Northwest wouldn't tie the disappearance of someone they know, who looked like Cooper, to the hijacking.
Most people just don't disappear into thin air without somebody putting two and two together.
He had to wait a little longer than expected, but Dodgers Manager Joe Torre finally got a look Wednesday at the lineup he thought he'd start the season with.
With Ethier on the bench and Pierre in left?
That appears to have happened to the people in the New York Magazine article. I tend to assume all these people who claim Cooper was their husband/uncle/neighbor/etc. are kooks, but what if one of them is really right?
With the return of Nomar Garciaparra from the disabled list, the Dodgers finally were utilizing a lineup that somewhat resembled what they thought they would have on Opening Day.
Which I guess means any combo of Kemp, Ethier, Pierre and no DeWitt.
It wasn't until Day 15 of the regular season but manager Joe Torre was finally treated to the lineup he envisioned this spring.
Texas Red would be a good name for Kent.
Derek Lowe vs.
wait for it.......
Buddy Carlyle
.407/.500/.695
59 Abs.
Gwo Hongzhur
Another 2006 would be good enough.
I ordered it from Amazon because I had a gift card.
>>James Loney has extended his hitting streak to 15 games to start the season. Juan Pierre and Rafael Furcal had team-high hitting streaks of 15 games last season. Loney's is the longest streak since Nomar Garciaparra hit in 22 straight in 2006.<<
See if you can figure out what it is.
595 Ned isn't the only one who would be uncomfortable with Hu and Abreu up the middle. During ST I would have been fine with it, but I'm less inclined to count on Abreu for anything now. Kent and Furcal have been two of our best offensive threats. While I suspect offense will be made up elsewhere it is still a scary thought.
Furcal is at least equivelant to Jeter and Michael Young right now, and they're both getting absurd amounts of money. Furcal will get that, and deserve it.
Wouldn't Loney's streak be the longest since the aforementioned streaks of 2007?
The list is very short actually- id be curious to see it.
I give him a pass for last year due to the fluky injury and being rushed back too early.... it hurt to watch him try to play last year, I guess we will see how this year goes, but it looks good so far.
Love to see Furcal-Hu up the middle.
That's not true at all. Many people felt that the contract was Colletti's biggest stroke of genius. Even the BP folks who look critically at the Dodgers thought so.
How are the free agent 2B?
Per Cot's Baseball Contracts, here is next year's FA class:
Second Basemen
Jamey Carroll * CLE
Ray Durham SF
Mark Ellis OAK
Marcus Giles COL
Mark Grudzielanek KC
Orlando Hudson ARZ
Jeff Kent LAD
Felipe Lopez WAS
D'Angelo Jimenez STL
Pablo Ozuna * CWS
Nick Punto MIN
Jose Valentin NYM
Jose Vidro * SEA
Ellis, Hudson, and a bunch of crap.
* Note: the star means that player has a 2009 option in his contract.
http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/front/5708800.html
*I have a ton of respect for Furcal as a guy who came to LA on a somewhat controversial high priced free agency signing and responded with the best year of his career. That doesn't happen to the D's very often.
The list is very short actually- id be curious to see it.*
Kirk Gibson's 1988 for one springs to mind. Not just for the postseason heroics, but he did post a career high in OPS+. Oh yeah, and he scored from 2nd on a wild pitch to win a game! :)
Likely Colletti targets:
Ray Durham SF
Marcus Giles COL
Mark Grudzielanek KC
Jeff Kent LAD
"The thing is I didn't want Houston to find out from somebody else," he said. "I wanted to find out just from my face. I'm a man and I'm responsible for everything."
But not so much of a responsible man that you wanted them to find out just from your face before they gave you the contract...
Technically, Houston didn't give him the contract, but rather they traded for it.
http://tinyurl.com/3zta8s
...followed Tejada in the Dominican from about the time he was 13. He must have started using a false age really early on.
It's pretty obvious that it's a seller's market for free agents now and for the foreseeable future. They can get not only a lot of money, but longer contracts than teams want them for ideally. That's the nature of the game. They get these "insurance" years at the end of the contract when they probably won't be worth those large sums, but that's the only way to get them now, in their prime. Does anyone think that Alex Rodriguez will really be worth 25 million 10 years from now? Unless, of course, inflation catches up. But even then, he'll surely be several years past his prime.
We're so used to getting vets way too late, in their declining years. For those to be even marginally useful, they need to be short contracts. (And even then, we criticize Colletti for getting them.) To get a great player in his prime, you just have to pay for what will probably be the beginning of his decline, over the rates (probably), in order to sew him up for his good years when he's a known quantity. When the time comes, IF we have a better youngster waiting in the wings, we trade him and pay par of his salary to a team that needs to him as a stopgap.
We do not have anyone better than Furcal anywhere near ready, as far as I am aware. It will be worth signing him on to a few extra years if we need to. Otherwise, some other team will.
Kent?
Furcal?
Lowe?
Loaiza?
Nomar?
Loaiza is replaceable with league min. Kent probably is replaceable with (Hu/Abreu). Lowe is a tougher one, but we do have some good young pitchers in the minors. Nomar is replaceable with young talent (LaRoche/DeWitt). There should be money in the coffers to sign Furcal if that's the direction we want to go. Am I missing anything else?
vr, Xei
Given that all 4 players will still be under Dodger control next season, can you envision us keeping all 4 players and doing the same thing next year?
Extreme generalizations are not a good idea. They're usually inaccurate, and thus don't work in your favor. They allow the other person to avoid the point you're trying to make and focus instead on identifying the ways in which your generalization is wrong.
Here's what I came up with a few months back for 2009:
Let's look at the likely 2009 payroll to see where the Dodgers stand (I'm making some assumptions, but bear with me):
Starters
C - Martin - $3.5m (estimated as "Super Two" arb)
1B - Loney - $500k (3rd year)
2B - Abreu - $400k (2nd year)
SS - Hu - $400k (rookie)
3B - LaRoche - $400k (2nd year)
LF - Ethier - $2.5m (estimated as "Super Two" arb)
CF - Andruw - $17.1m
RF - Kemp - $500k (3rd year)
Total Starters - $25.3m
Bench
OF - Pierre - $10m
OF - Repko - $1m (2nd year arb)
C - John Q. Backstop - $1m
1B - Mark Sweeney Type - $1m
IF - Lucille II Type - $1m
Total Bench - $14m
Starting Pitching
Penny - $9.25m (option picked up -- I've seen this reported as low as $8.75m)
Billingsley - $500k (3rd year)
Kuroda - $10m
Schmidt - $15.5m
Kuo - $500k (3rd year)
Total Starting Pitching - $37.75m
Bullpen
Saito - $6m (1st year arb eligible)
Broxton - $2m (1st year arb eligible)
Proctor - $2m (2nd year arb eligible)
Brazoban - $1.5m (2nd year arb eligible)
Meloan - $400k (2nd year)
Seanez Type - $1m
McDonald Type - $400k
Total Bullpen - $12.9m
Chaff
Nomar - $1.25m (part of deferred signing bonus)
Loaiza - $375k (optioni buyout)
Furcal - $4m (deferred signing bonus)
Total Chaff - $5.625m
Total 2009 Payroll (estimated) - $95.575m
The Dodgers could certainly afford Sabathia or extending Furcal, but it's not like we have a windfall of cash to spend.
I'll have to find 2010, but we might only be in the $60s right now.
I'm just spit balling here, but could DeWitt and/or LaRoche make the move to second?
Hu
Kemp
Ethier
Loney
Jones
LaRoche
Martin
DeWitt
(pitcher)
seems like a pretty decent line up for a few years to come
Here's a quick estimate of 2010, with some erroneous assumptions made of course:
Starters
C - Martin - $8m (4th year; 2nd year arb)
1B - Loney - $3.5m (1st year arb)
2B - Abreu - $500k (3rd year)
SS - Hu - $400k (2nd year)
3B - LaRoche - $500k (3rd year)
LF - Ethier - $4m (4th year; 2nd year arb)
CF - Pierre - $10m
RF - Kemp - $3.5m (1st year arb)
Total Starters - $30.4m
Bench
OF - Delwyn Young - $500k (3rd year -- I think I left him off 2009)
OF - Repko - $2m (3rd year arb)
C - John Q. Backstop - $1m
1B - Mark Sweeney Type - $1m
IF - Lucille II Type - $1m
Total Bench - $5.5m
Starting Pitching
Billingsley - $4m (1st year arb)
Kuroda - $13m
Kershaw - $400k (1st full year)
Kuo - $1m (1st year arb)
Withrow/Elbert - $400k
Total Starting Pitching - $18.8m
Bullpen
Broxton - $4m (2nd year arb)
Proctor - $3m (3rd year arb)
Brazoban - $2.5m (3rd year arb)
Meloan - $500k (3rd year)
Seanez Type - $1m
Seanez Type - $1m
McDonald Type - $500k
Total Bullpen - $12.5m
Detritus
Nomar - $1.25m (part of deferred signing bonus)
Total Detritus - $1.25m
Total 2010 Payroll (estimated) - $68.45m
Yeah I know, it was a slip of the toungue. I do try to avoid those generalizations, but I do slip from time to time. I'm not always perfect :)
Is Hu any more qualified to bat leadoff than Pierre...?
Hu's career minor league:
.299/.345/.424/.769
Pierre's career major league:
.301/.348/.374/.722
In the DT archives from December 2005, I hedged my bets. "Again, to sum up - as an individual signing, the Dodgers are overpaying for Furcal. But we really just can't evaluate the signing until we see the other moves the team is making. Signing Furcal to this contract is a calculated risk, with potential of both reward and failure. It's too soon to know." But I also wrote, "Is this Furcal acquisition like getting the Delino DeShields of daydreams without trading a Pedro Martinez for him?"
Here's a comment from the thread:
15. natepurcell
the furcal deal is getting a lot of different reactions.
it seems, the sabre minded, pro depo supporters like this move....
So soon we forget. Why did Lasorda trade away Paul Konerko? Because Karros was having the best year of his career and Konerko, at that moment in time, didn't appear to be nearly as good as Karros, who was just entering his 30's and was not expected to decline as fast as he did. So here we are again. History about to repeat itself as it tends to do. Furcal is as hot as Hell itself and we all love him for it, but that just makes it all the more imperative to let reason and not emotion guide our actions. I say Campanis had the right idea when he said better to get rid of a player a year too early than a year too late.
39. Steve
I think everyone agrees that Furcal is not going to be worth what he is getting paid. But at three years, he doesn't kill you. Now the question is who you surround him with. If you surround him with Izturis and Pierre, you're screwed. If you surround him with Bradley, Kent, and another solid platoon at first, you may have something.
I say we trade Hu and Justin Orenduff for Jason Isringhausen. Tommy told me bullpens win championships! :)
I guess that would make Martin the lead of man, a la Kendell in his prime
Wow, Stevestradamus!
54. Steve
I'm stunned at how well I'm taking all of this.
You could be a major league manager...!
85. regfairfield
I'm not terribly excited about this. While it is far from the worst case scenario, it seems like money could have been better spent elsewhere.
Is anyone else concerned that Furcal set his career high in WARP by 3 this year? If it turns out he was just trying to get a contract, there is basically no difference between him and AP.
"It's something that happened the first time I signed my contract," Tejada said. "I had no intention of doing anything wrong. And now I feel like I'm 25 years old, maybe younger. I feel my legs are stronger than I used to be feeling. I feel great. I have a lot of energy."
Going by those numbers, it really does make no sense to re-sign him. However, PECOTA doesn't know Furcal was hurt last year, but hi projection isn't much worse than a natural regression from his 2007 projection.
I really was not trying to argue whether people here felt it was a bad contract or not.
Tejada: "I had no intention of doing anything wrong"
Tejada lies about age
Tejada: "I had no intention of doing anything wrong"
OK, I feel dumb. Who was AP? Not Pujols, was it?
Antonio Perez, I presume.
Furcal signs 3 year deal
November 2005 - everyone loves the 3 year deal
May 2006 - Furcal sucks, Ned's an idiot
Sept 2006 - Furcal ends up awesome, Ned's best move
Sept 2007 - another bad move by Ned
April 2008 - Ned's best signing, we should resign him and negate the great signing with a bad signing.
A Jones
Jan 2008 - 1/2 the camp says it was a good signing, Joe Sheehan of BP says it was the best FA signing of the winter. 1/2 the camp led by D4P say it was another Ned blunder
April 2008 - the 1/2 camp who liked the deal is now down to 1/10 and everyone is kicking a man known for long slumps while he's down. He's booed beyond belief by a crowd who has seen him get maybe 50 at bats.
Sept 2008 - the 9/10 camp of April will learn the lessons that sometimes slumps look awful but to read to much into it is a waste of time. Or the 1/10 crowd learns that sometimes a player just loses it. I'm betting against the 9/10 crowd.
OK, now I feel dumber. I figured you meant Furcal was no different than AP by selfishly playing for a new contract, but then I thought Antonio Perez never played for a contract.
Reading the statement now, something like 10 minutes (or 28 months!) later, I get what you were trying to say.
Cue the Fredo "I can handle things, I'm smaaaat!" clip for me.
It wasn't just Andrew who was drinking the AP koolaid back in the day. Many posters no longer here felt he was going to be the guy even though he had no supporting peripherals for such a stance. 2005 was a strange time.
The fact that we had to talk about players like Edwards, Philips, Grabowksi, AP and others is something I hope we don't have to go through again.
SOME people tend to overestimate home grown talent/potential and assume proven performers are replicable by near equivalent minor league numbers projected.
Looking back, its funny how certain players names got brought up like how signing Furcal protected prospects from being dealt for guys like Julio Lugo, or Nate proclaiming that only Adam Dunn could be considered for Joel Guzman.
There were questions about who we could get for Izzy around the deadline (Greg Maddux).
And Canuck and Nate were discussing which high school pitcher the Dodgers should draft and no, the Minotaur's name was not mentioned.
I probably chimed in a few days later when I got back but those were interesting times back then.
Why are Repko and Brazoban on the list--making $4.5 million combined in 2010?
The market has changed a lot since then, probably in small part because of the per-year amount given to Furcal.
His defense, at least according to zone rating, was off the charts good though, which is pretty surprisng.
It's more of a placeholder than anything, but it's not out of the realm of possibility that both Repko & Brazoban will be around for their final year of pre-free agency in 2010.
http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/LAN/LAN200508140.shtml
I walked out of the bar that day with a very triumphant smile on my face.
Throw out last year because he played injured. 2006, the second half, he was playing at pretty much the level he's playing at now, and he did it for three months. It's not a fluke.
Hu in his dreams never approaches this level in his prime, let alone the next few years. This conversation is ridiculous.
Just perusing through some individual players' splits on Baseball-Reference.com I have found so far the following high run months on LA Dodger history:
Davey Lopes, May 1979 - 29 runs
Maury Wills, May 1962 - 28
Pedro Guerrero, June 1985 - 27
Shawn Green, June 2002 - 27
Now, what was it Vin brought up about the Dodgers' Record when Raffy scores a run? It was some ridiculous number, something like an .800 winning percentage when he scores.
Furcal's not equivalent to Jeter.
Furcal's career line: .286/.351/.411
Jeter's: .324/.388/.462
You have a point about Michael Young, but how much exactly does he make? Just because 1 team overpays for their player, doesnt mean the Dodgers need to as well.
Furcal, on the wrong side of 30, would be very fiscally irresponsible to extend at his current rate. Now sure, overpaying for him (since he's a pretty good player), is better than overpaying for crap like Ned has done in the past. But in the end, its still valuing someone more than what they need to be valued at.
Traditional slap hitters that arent exactly OBP machines are not worth 13 mils a year.
I'm sure there will be something more worthwhile to spend 13 mils/yr on.
If the Dodgers get a good year out of Furcal, they should thank him for his services and be happy they got 2 out of 3 good years out of him. The same thing should happen with Lowe as well.
I haven't yet found any LA Dodger April to beat Davey Lopes' 24 runs in April 1975, so I'm sticking with that for Furcal to shoot for until I find out otherwise.
Also note that Jeter's power has declined the last four years.
Trade for Dan Uggla.
You get the power back that you are losing in Kent, plus he wont cost very much.
She told her that when she grows up and there aren't any tress left it will be all her (4yr old) fault. And that if there are any trees left it's because she (9 yr old) saved them.
Are these paper towels in a public restroom, or at home...?
688 -- And just like that, God is back in his heaven and all is again right with the world.
What part of the conversation is ridiculous?
The part where not choosing to pay a player in his 30's 15-20 million a year and replace him with a guy making the minimum who can replicate the defense, and whose offense other then stolen bases might surpass the 15-20 million dollar guy in the 3rd year of the deal?
I like Rafy Furcal and felt he would have a break out year but I'm also not keen on breaking the bank on a speed SS in his 30's. We've already seen how valuable his legs are to his game. He's played 13 months on his contract and been highly productive 5 of those months because of leg issues. That is someone you want to gamble a 5 year mega million deal on? Not me, so if I'm ridiculous then so be it.
I'd be more then happy with a Loney, Ellis, Hu, LaRoche/DeWitt infield and spend the money elsewhere. An Ellis/Hu combo up the middle would be better then the Izzy/Cora days with offense to boot.
Now if Rafy would sign a two year deal, I'd be all over that.
03-.450
04-.471
05-.450
06-.483
07-.452
I think it is more hyperbole or judgemental to conclude that Jeter's the worst SS in the major leagues:
His last 4 seasons of Rate 2:
04- 93
05- 103
06- 108
07- 98
Sure, Jeter is overpaid. But thats because the Yankees overpaid just about all their core guys when they resigned them all.
There isnt all that much decline in Jeters #s. Last year was pretty much right on his career avgs (yes SLG down from 5 years ago)
2006 I think he was 2nd or 3rd in MVP voting with a very good year.
The Dodgers are 112-53 (.679 win%) when Furcal scores a run:
2006: 56-30 (.651)
2007: 50-18 (.735)
2008: 6-5 (.545)
For comparison, the Dodgers are 48-27 (.640) when Pierre scores a run:
2007: 47-27 (.635)
2008: 1-0 (1.000)
I'd be happy with Mark Ellis. Not Kent's power, but very solid all around, always underrated. Okay, Hu and Ellis. With the Minotaur pitching, we don't need that much power up the middle. ;-)
To make that comparison fair, seems like you'd only want to consider games in which both players played.
Exactly, he'd have to suck in 2008 to take a two year deal. Basically if he has the 2006 2nd half season in 2008 we should expect him to break the bank via free agency and we should not get involved because we do have a legitimate replacement.
Now I have to admit everything I know about Hu's defense is built on scouting. I've haven't seen enough of his game to make any kind of an subjective opinion. However when all the scouts call him the best defensive infielder in the minors and Joe Sheehan foams at the mouth when talking about his defense then I'm going to go with the conventional wisdom that the guy can handle the rock. Offense can be made up elsewhere but I love a defensive SS. Probably from watching to much of Mark Belanger when I was young.
Not really. It was a direct answer to 682 , and I included Pierre for comparison because both are leadoffy types.
ouch.
We would also be prepared to take an offensive hit at SS and/or 2B if -- and I realize this is a big if -- Andruw reverts to some semblance of the hitter he was just a few years ago.
vr, Xei
Setting aside that "team record when Player X scores" is probably a meaningless stat, it's especially meaningless when you compare two players without looking only at games in which both players played. For one thing, Furcal's record is probably hurt by having Pierre also in the lineup (instead of, say, Kemp), whereas Pierre's record is probably helped by having Furcal also in the lineup (instead of, say, Lucille II).
Hey Canuck if you ever get a scouting report on Jonathan Dutton from the Great Lakes team can you pass it on to me.
Or could Furcal, as he ages, move to second?
I don't see an heir to Kent in our system that could leave us better off than a Hu-Furcal middle infield.
I tend to agree that Furcal is a Jeter-level player and would be worth signing to whatever the market demands. I'd rather McCourt sink a lot of money into a great-hitting everyday shortstop than almost anything else, at least until Martin, Loney and Chad become eligible for FA.
Furcal is not just a great hitter for 15 days at a time. He is a great hitter, period, except when he's trying to play on a bad leg.
Last year the Dodgers were 14-2 when a pitcher scored a run, and they are 1-0 this year.
http://www.bb-ref.com/pi/shareit/M78N
vr, Xei
vr, Xei
I'm not arguing that it wasn't a meaningless stat, but feel free to spend the extra time searching through game logs for when both players played. One thing I know for sure: Every game Furcal scored a run, Pierre played.
It seems like you argue just to argue, even over frivolous crap like this.
I really agree with your Tejada comments. How he can say that crap with a straight face. I hope the Orioles sue him and I'm irritated that I ever advocated trading for his lying butt. It is one thing to lie to get to the big leagues, but once he's proven he's belongs, he has to come clean, especially after the age gate thing.
Or at least when you do come clean don't make any side comments about manning up or doing the right thing. Just admit you pulled a con game on the Orioles and while your sad they were fleeced, your enjoying the money they sent your way.
Intuitively, that doesnt make sense.
That'd be like every time a batter makes one more single, instead of making an out, it would mean he'd be .789 runs better than he was before. Would that be true too?
Take a player that has 600Abs, and that player gets two more infield singles instead of outs---that he's going to be 1.57 runs better than he was before. How can two singles as opposed to outs create 1.57 runs?
How accurate are pure judgment calls be when analyzing defensive ability on a +/- system?
Its like someone can come up with any type of defensive statistic to explain what we already know, when really there isnt an additional explanation necessary.
Preventing runs comes down to the pitcher preventing HRs, preventing XBH, and preventing walks. If you run a regression with runs allowed against HRs, XBH, BBs, and then just say singles allowed--->I think its rather obvious which are going to be significant variables and which would not be.
If preventing singles (which by most cases means better infield defense) is not as significant as the other variables, then why put so much emphasis on it?
I heard an argument on here the other day that Greg Maddux wouldnt be a good pitcher with the Dodger defense behind him. But what made Maddux a great pitcher was that he didnt allow home runs and didnt walk people, two things where defense doesnt come into play.
Sure there's a marginal value in everything surrounding baseball--> including defense. But I think's its being mis-evaluated by some in the statistics community.
Maybe my developed bias from the Beltre/Cora/Izturis year is clouding my judgment on the issue...but no one will ever convince me to put so much emphasis on defense when there are clearly other more significant variables in preventing runs---that are much easier to see and less subjectively explained and analyzed.
SHAME!
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