Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Six-foot-six left-handed Vanderbilt pitcher David Price, poised to become the No. 1 overall draft pick in major-league baseball next week, could have joined the Dodger organization in 2004 after he was drafted in the 19th round. But this wasn't necessarily a case of the Dodgers letting someone get away because they preferred to spend money on, say, mediocre major league talent.
From Teresa M. Walker of The Associated Press:
Improving his draft status wasn't why Price chose college over professional baseball. Price said he simply wasn't ready, a fact he made clear two weeks before that draft.
And now?
"I'm just 10 times the player I was whenever I came here. My stuff has gotten better. The most important thing for me is mentally. I was not ready for that out of high school. Now I feel like I can do anything," Price said.
Some people just want to go to college. It's very possible that out of high school, Price had his price, but it's hard to fault the Dodgers when it appears he's so much better off for having spurned them.
But we can certainly wonder what might have been ...
* * *
In December, I suggested that despite their lack of star power, the Dodgers might be able to win with "supreme adequacy."
While the Dodger lineup doesn't look overpowering in the middle, it may be among the best in the National League top to bottom. While (Juan) Pierre will have one of the lowest on-base per-centages of a leadoff or No. 2 hitter, the Dodgers' No. 8 hitter (Andre Ethier? Wilson Betemit?) could be the best around. I am very open to the idea that with superstar talent at a clear premium, there may be something to the idea of trying to dominate with depth, with supreme adequacy. (Luis) Gonzalez might not be an ideal signing or even a sensible one, but there might be something to it.On a much broader and insightfuler level, Nate Silver of Baseball Prospectus explores this idea:
There are two ways to build a winning baseball team. One way is to have a few players who are extraordinarily good. Alternatively, you can have few players who are extraordinarily bad. Conversely, there are two reasons that baseball clubs fail. They can have an absence of good players or an abundance of bad ones.
This distinction might seem at once too basic and too esoteric. Nevertheless, it is something that can get lost in our obsession with replacement level, which begins to assign value at a relatively low threshold, and seems to divide players into good, "gooder", and "goodest." If you take two teams whose offenses are both 180 runs better than replacement, for example, that doesn't tell you very much about how those teams are composed. You might have one team who has two stars with VORPs around 90, and a bunch of zero-value scrubs (in VORP) rounding out the roster, and another team that has no star talent at all, but gets a 20 VORP contribu-tion out of each of its nine regulars.
So, you're probably asking, is it better to be sharp or be flat? And is it better to be natural than either of the above? There are intuitive arguments either way. On the one hand, it's generally much cheaper to exchange replacement-level talent with average talent than it is to replace average talent with superstar talent, particu-larly if you have extra financial or scouting resources at your disposal. There's little chance that the Yankees will still be employing Doug Mientkiewicz, for example, if they've limped back into the race by the trade dead-line, and their marginal gains are going to be very high once they replace him. On the other hand, sharp teams do not do a very good job of diversifying themselves, and may be more vulnerable to injuries or other kinds of attrition problems. The Cardinals, who were an extremely "sharp" team heading into this season, are a good example of this; then Chris Carpenter gets hurt, Jim Edmonds and Scott Rolen start showing their age, and what you're left with is a team that... well, falls flat.
It's almost like you have two of Bill James' seminal concepts at loggerheads. The Talent Pyramid would tend to suggest that sharp teams have an easier job of improving themselves, while the Plexiglass Principle might favor flat ones. My hunch is that that the argument for sharpness prevails; in fact, I'm almost certain that being sharp is better than being flat, though I don't know if it's better than being natural. But I haven't run the numbers yet, and that's going to need to wait until next week.
Gonzalez, by the way, is third among Dodger hitters in Value Over Replacement Player so far this year. (Brad Penny is fifth!) Gonzalez's OPS+ of 119 is also third among Dodger regulars, according to Baseball-Reference.com. It's hard to argue that the Dodgers have had a supremely adequate lineup when four positions are below average offensively, but the pitching - with a staff ERA+ of 121 - has made up for it.
* * *
Rafael Furcal has been a hitting machine of late, but it is interesting that he is in his longest stretch without a home run 241 plate appearances - since a 2001-2002 period in which he went 287 plate appearances without a homer.
His longest homerless stretch in his major-league career was during his rookie season in 2000, when he went 433 plate appearances before knocking his first major-league home run on September 2.
Furcal's most recent home run was September 19, 2006 against Pittsburgh, the Dodgers' opponent this weekend.
* * *
Today's 4:05 p.m. game:
I'm actually very happy that Price is headed for the DRays. I can easily see a scenario where they become my 2nd favorite team. Right now they are 3rd.
We're not going to have Logan White for too much longer; we should take advantage of him while he's here.
thanks.
in regards to goldstein picking Main for the dodgers, i really dont know.
pros
-electric fastball
-knockout curveball when on
-one of the most athletic players in entire draft
-workable change with a chance to be plus
-fierce comepetitor
-quick, loose arm action
cons
-really struggle on the showcase tour last summer
-when he just trys to overpower with just fastball, he is really hittable.
-had a bout of shoulder tendonitis his junior year
-more of a smallish, RHP
http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/6868932
Many quotes from current teammates.
I think he was set on going to college, period. I don't think he had a "price."
I believe he thought going to college--especially a school like Vandy--could only help him and would pay off big time later on (like now). Vandy's Corbin is good at developing the mental side, which is what Price said he needed.
There was some risk of injury, of course, but it appears Price's decision will prove to be right for him, not so much for the Dodgers.
SS Furcal
CF Pierre
1B Nomar
2B Kent
LF Gonzo
C Martin
3B LaRoche
RF Ethier
LH Hendrickson
well before oswalt, it was pedro. Now its probably going to be lincecum :(
As in what happens tonight, hopefully...
There's also Pedro, of course.
Greg (C-town): Keith, I am sick of all this "prospect" talk. Our two biggest prospects are flops, Jeremy Sowers and Andy Marte. While a guy no one ever heard of has out dueled Johan Santana twice, Fuasto Carmona. Why can't we just talk about what's going on now instead of who will be in someone's rotation in 2009?!?
SportsNation Keith Law: Sorry, Greg. Joe Morgan will be along shortly to chat with you.
If Schmidt comes back in the next 10 days, Hendrickson could have one more start. I don't think Schmidt replaces Kuo/Bills in that spot.
This sets up a situation where both Tomko and Hendrickson are back in the bullpen, I suppose there is always a minor deal that could be made but we will leave that for another day.
I can't imagine Grady will stick with him much longer unless his performance improves.
I am hoping for Hendrickson to get pounded, Billingsley to come in and shut em down with the bases loaded and then the offense to pick on the beleagured Nat pitching staff with La Roche hitting his 1st majore league home run thus giving us a win and a win as this would be his last start as a Dodger.
Kuo then needs to do his part on Saturday.
I'm being greedy but I want a six game sweep.
That is going to be a late night flight on Monday, probably arriving in San Diego around 3-4 in the morning and then playing that night.
>>> Los Angeles last shutout an opponent for an entire series when they blanked Houston in all four games of a set in September of 1966. <<<
http://www.nbc10.com/mlb/13411564/detail.html
NL
Year HR/G Slg%
2007 0.893 .402
2006 1.097 .427
%decrease 18.6 5.9
AL
Year HR/G Slg%
2007 1.026 .418
2006 1.123 .437
%decrease 8.6 4.3
I don't know if those changes are that significant without trending over more years - not enough time right now, but at glance 2005 looks somewhat similar to 2006 - but gut feel is that an 18.6% decrease in HR/G is notable. ("Game" is team-game, twice the number of actual contests.)
I'm glad to see LaRoche in there today at least, and won't say anything about Martin starting again :-)
Btw, I think Main will be gone by the time the Dodgers pick anyway. It's amazing how all over the map the mock drafts are though - with Smoker, for example, going anywhere from around 10, 11, to after the Dodgers pick.
For many reasons, there is no chance of Pierre going to the Yankees.
"Hiram's coming!
Hiram's coming!
Hiram's coming!
Guys, you better hide your bat
Your favorite bat!
Hiram's coming and the cards say ...
Broken bat, oh broken bat, oh broken bat!"
Where's inside sources?
Call 213-745-1980 and ask the City Section office.
well at least Vinnie will be well rested for that game. Ken Rosenthal's read on Russell Martin was o.k. IMO he could have done better.
Exactly what i was thinking Bob
The starters those days were Ramon Martinez, Orel Hershiser and Bobby Ojeda. The day after that was when Dennis Martinez tossed his perfect game against Mike Morgan (who allowed only two unearned runs).
11. Blake Beavan, rhp, Irving (Texas) HS (15)The Dodgers are one of a handful of teams believed to be hot for Beavan, whose season has been over for more than three weeks.
was it do to injury Nate?
They have Rizzo now. They're not going to blow it.
I thought Wily had a gun which made him unique to the weak and fleet crowd.
Roberts arm was okay, nothing special but I don't remember it being weak.
Crisp has gone bust. Marte's on his way.
Renteria did well to get out of Boston and back into the NL.
nah, high school season ended.
Sizzled to the tune of an eight-game hitting streak of his own, during which he was batting .414 (12 for 29).
``I made some minor adjustments,'' Gonzalez said. ``I worked a little bit with (hitting coach) Eddie (Murray), just trying to shorten some stuff up a little bit.
http://www.insidesocal.com/dodgers/
Paging the superstud prospect "innings eater"...
i've heard it get's trouble some at times.
DFA Hendrickson.
{In Maxwell Smart voice:} How about 2 innings and the team still within a touchdown?
He'll be the guy NEXT to that guy.
Hobbs! Get back here!
9-9 -- 7-0. Claude Osteen pitches CG, 3-hitter, 5Ks, 0 BBs. John Kennedy gets 2 of 24 RBIs he has that year.
9-10 -- 1-0, 10 innings. Phil Regan ("The Vulture") gets win with 1.1 innings of relief behind Don Drysdale. Al Ferrara drives in run with 2-out PH single in bottom of 10.
9-11 (Game 1) -- 4-0. Sandy Koufax with CG, 6-hitter, 6Ks, 2BBs. Wills 3x4. Dodgers get 6 hits.
9-11 (Game 2) -- 1-0. Joe Moeller goes 5, Bob Miller 2, Regan 2. Miller WP. John Roseboro drives in run with PH single.
Losing pitchers -- Bob Bruce, Mike Cuellar, Larry Dierker, Chris Zachary.
Times of game (in order): 2:08, 2:30, 2:07, 2:13.
That's Bob Carpenter. I own a Bob Carpenter brand scorebook.
Apparently, he fills most of the orders on his own. When my brother Tom ran into him in St. Louis, he remembered my name from that.
This leads me to believe he does not have a big customer base.
106 - an obvious second to the motion of a Hendy DFA
The golden god is...er...Golden!
SD
PIT - Rain Delay
SF-2
NY-0 1st
COL
STL 6pm PDT
i hear ya underdog
I wonder if Ned has an extension offer ready yet. If so, that "C" captain's patch would look awfully good on his right shoulder
The Dodgers had LaRoche try to steal a base? Are you kidding me? Ron Cey had more footspeed.
155 - Worked well. 9 pitch inning
I used to love the delayed steal in my high school days
opporphyrin.
Do I win the Bee?
andy doesnt have ADD, adam is the only one.
Does 7 for 10 lifetime now qualify as sufficient grounds for repealing the 13th Amendment?
players are on the field in Pittsburgh.
As Carl von Clausewitz said, "Baseball in the NL West is the continuation of politics by another means."
that was too funny Bob.
I still predict we will eventually beat Micah like a drum. Just takes a little time to get used to the idea that this guy is pitching in the major leagues with his stuff.
http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/6868932
younger & more upside, Hendy is doing a serviceable job so far today though.
Gonzo's arm was really exposed there.
That was a hard hit ball.
Rodriguez wears True Religion jeans.
$300 a pair. His photo in the Post yesterday
is contributing to a buzz on Wall Street,
their stock is up about 20% this week.
geez when dodgers are considering calling up Houlton who is horrible, this team needs just ONE more quality, consistent starter...hopefully schmidt will come back to be effective
Peavy is a guaranteed loss.
Yeeeegah, what was that??!
Oh, I guess that makes sense.
Brazoban 16.20 ERA?
hmm...
Nomar's OPS is below LaRoche. Just above Pierre's and Penny's.
Who isn't? Even the Red Sox started Julian Tavarez for a while. Maybe the Padres. If Schmidt is healthy and one of Kuo/Billingsley works out, the Dodger's starters look pretty good.
Right?
I am just saying that Chad is Grady's number one guy in 6th/7th inning and until someone else looks like he can handle that job, Grady is not going to move Chad.
I also heard A Martinez say that Kuo is not in some spot start on Saturday (although if Chad isn't used today, I wonder if he is still thinking about Kuo) but whoever pitches on Saturday is going to start in that spot for the immediate future.
(that looks like something spelled backward, but it isn't)
thanks Dave, i've been really busy lately.
As much as I don't believe in him long-term, in the short term, Seanez has essentially proven himself capable of being a third setup man.
I'm not trying to pick a fight; I genuinely don't think I understand the point you're making.
Yeah -- and only the bat of Juan Pierre got the grounder to second in the first place.
If Kuo can't cut it or something happens to the other guys than Chad will get his chance.
but isn't it about time we give bills a chance in lurtch's spot?
http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/LAN/LAN200705140.shtml
http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/LAN/LAN200705150.shtml (x2)
Saturday
Kuo called up to start, LaRoche sent down -- Abreu stays around in a platoon with Betemit while getting spot starts at 2B and SS
Soon
Martinez DFAed, Kemp called up -- with Abreu as the new utility guy, Martinez is redundant (and not a good player). Kemp goes into a platoon with Ethier and spot starts for LuGo and Pierre occasionally
Once Schmit is ready
Hendrickson traded or DFAed -- Billingsley continues to be the multi-inning setup guy, Tomko goes to long relief. Billingsley is next in line in case Kuo falters.
Eventual Roster
C - Martin, Lieberthal
1B - Nomar, Saenz
2B - Kent (Abreu)
SS - Furcal (Abreu)
3B - Betemit, Abreu
OF - LuGo, Pierre, Ethier, Kemp, Clark
SP - Schmidt, Lowe, Penny, Kuo, Wolf (Billingsley)
RP - Saito, Broxton, Billingsley, Beimel, Tomko, Seanez, Brazoban
i've trained my mind not to feel anything when i see that
Really like your ideas there. With Abreu, Martinez does become redundant, but I can't see us getting rid of him.
Hendrickson really has to go, so that'll be interesting to see what happens. With our surplus of pitching we can pretty much afford to either DFA him or trade him for a bag of balls.
If you'll check around I think you'll find Houlton's stats much improved from last year and Dodger brass talking about how better command of his FB is a big reason why.
IMO, the worst he would do is the equivalent of Bombdrickson. He did that well the year he was with the team, and he's improved over that. At least he should have upside.
Probably a moot point. Wouldn't appear he's likely to get a shot unless there are injuries.
Normally I can't stand that either, but that was a fastball right in his wheelhouse. I'm okay with him taking that shot there...
Two, starting with that extra inning game against the Padres, Chad really began to be a dominant and efficient pitcher but he was also adjusting to the bullpen.
Three, Tsao, brillant in the first month (or lucky based on BABIP) blew up in Atlanta and was shut down later in May, Brazoban had been shaky to begin with and now with his exit today, his immediate future is questionable.
Four, only Derek Lowe has shown that he can get into the 7th inning on any consistent basis, so Grady is thinking that he needs to get 3+ innings each night and for Tomko is only used in blowouts (either way), Seanez had been that guy before, and with Tsao/Yhency not securing that role and the desire not to overuse his main 3 guys, that is where Chad fits in for now.
Okay I'm done. Actually, and this relates to the offense, since they are not scoring as many runs as they did last year, the margin is smaller so I think managers become even more hesitant to change something that is working.
In closing, yes, but only for the short-term. I hope that he tears up AAA pitching and becomes our starting 3B next year.
Sorry about the rare triple post.
Not that I mind, but the Nats' announcers sure do like to take extra long pauses between saying anything.
Shawn Chacon is shutting down the Pirates through 6.
(ah, I see. I misgoogled him as "valdes")
Shocking self-sacrifice from such a young player. That really bodes well.
On another note, one of the 7 spelling bee finalists is surprisingly good looking for a speller.
The Dodgers probably have the 3rd best starting rotation in the NL West.
Well, the speller I'm talking about has a gender advantage over Double E.
I now have a large poster of Eric Enders up in my bedroom.
But I think I've said too much...
It's a longer story than that. In fact, I wrote a letter. Bob has seen it. He said it looked like it was scratched out in a Montana cabin.
Yours or their reply?
I think "letter" and "manifesto" are now templates on Microsoft Word. You go to "Page" and then "Style."
I think they've also built in a Manifesto Wizard.
argh. and he k's looking.
WWSH
Shows you that gameday can be more accurate than the umpire.
WWSH
WWSH
Are there any other criteria for your streak other than being a starter and giving up 4+ runs?
Because I have a different leader.
His name is Koufax.
http://www.baseball-reference.com/pi/shareit/qVJK
they bring up his demise with the red sox altogether too frequently.
Shawn Chacon?
Which makes it more weird.
http://www.bb-ref.com/pi/shareit/HtEC
Why did Sutton not get any interest from the Dodgers when he split from Atlanta?
I wondered the same thing.
Moot point.
it's seems like it would be such a natural job for him that you suspect there is a conflict with sutton somewhere in the organization.
http://tinyurl.com/2thsou
Nice that he has options. I expect SD would like to do that draft pick over. You don't go cheap with the number one pick. EVER
darn it.
I suppose something had to happen after kicking their muppet 10-0 and 5-0.
baseball is a cruel and unfeeling, uh, matron.
http://tinyurl.com/2ts8xv
Russell Martin wanted to win--I could tell. You won't keep him omn a team that chooses when to win
I hope this strategy works on the Mets and the Padres.
From Diamond Leung's blog.
perhaps I am looking too hard for a silver lining, but the shoulder is better than the elbow.
I guess its good that Brox gets to have an inev. bad outing when it couldn't concievably count.
Baseball is a very cynical sport huh?
389 Starting pitchers have to be planned in advance so they are properly rested. It's not going to be changed on the day of the game.
Padres still lead 3-2 in the 11th.
Because the ball didn't go over the fence. The ball bounced off the top of the railing in right field.
It was a very tough call.
Bard and Black were ejected.
But again, the Padres still lead 3-2 with a runner on 2nd and no outs and the Pirates having to face either Meredith or Hoffman.
The team needs to make a decisive--and correct--change at starter #5, while hoping Schmidt comes back somewhere near what he was the last few years.
If there were no better choices available, the team would be justified in sticking with the likes of Tomko and Lurch and hoping to go .500 in their starts.
But there are at least two better choices, not counting Schmidt.
Kuo and Bills would do no worse than Tomko and Lurch have done lately. What's the risk?
No more starts from Tomdrickson.
Make the move. Now.
And back onto the field? If it went into the stands, isn't an in-play railing kinda stupid?
Any suspension by Bard would be appealed and deferred to some time when it coincides with a hamstring pull or a hurt thumb.
Such are the way of baseball suspensions.
410 He'll appeal any suspension anyway, so he'll probably still be playing when they meet the Dodgers.
The ball hit a railing that keeps people in the RF seats from plunging to their deaths on the field.
The ball bounced back into the field.
It likely won't matter as it's 4-2 Padres with Hoffman in.
The ball hit a railing that keeps people in the RF seats from plunging to their deaths on the field.
Are Buc's fans that close to suicidal? RFK probably needs a rail like that; from what I've read, the place already smells like death.
I can understand a player hating to lose a HR, but the Padres already led; going ballistic is a bit much.
took my 5 year old to the 51s v Sounds game tonight. Decent crowd we were a few rows up from the 51s Dugout (1st base side). Umpire had a moving strike zone. Juarez wasn't sharp, started hanging some. So, my son was willing to go down to sit by the bullpen to watch eckert warm up and I was hoping Miller, too. Not 3 minutes later, guess who shows up? David Price. I tried and tried to get my son to go up and say "hi" or get him to sign something, but he's still a bit shy. It sounded like Lamura got him tickets. A few minutes later the whole entourage and various Vandy teammates appear. Sitting all around us. They were all friendly and soft spoken. I'm trying to watch Eckert warm up and a foul comes our way, misses Prices finger tips by a couple inches and grazes one of the cute girls.
Miller had some control sturggles warming up and pitching. He looked like hes coming around on top, and rotating his hand out too much. Hard to say, my eyes are not any good anymore, plus I had 3 hours sleep last night in preparation for a weekend in Atlanta. It was very cool to see Price and the Vandy guys. I told them I'm a UT guy and I was rooting for them.
Saw a good number of Dodger hats and shirts. I think I was the only one with the DT T-shirt, though.
Now I'm off to catch the Tivo'd game. I'm sorry I'll miss most of the comments for the next few days, but no time. Oh yeah, Loney made some great plays in the outfield. Wilson Valdez looks good in the field.
I think SD will be there in the end, but I am not so sure about Az.
I wonder if they went out of their way to avoid giving him "colour" or "organise."
For what it's worth, I would have replace Hendirckson after the trainer came out for a visit. Look at it as an opportunity to make a change without having to plan ahead.
People say I look like: Turtle from Entourage
Best nickname you ever had: Turtle
Shrek reminds me of: Jonathan Broxton
FYI: LeBron basically just beat the Pistons by himself in double OT by scoring the last 25 points.
So who is Donkey then?
Booya.
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