Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Update: This will be the game chat thread.
* * *
Until Tuesday, Hee Seop Choi had not homered since June 14. This relative slump led to his benching - he hasn't started since July 24.
Choi: .333 on-base percentage, .353 slugging percentage
Jason Phillips: .247 on-base percentage, .333 slugging percentage.
The starting first baseman has been slumping worse than the slumping first baseman.
Now, from Steve Henson in the Times, we find the latest rationale from Dodger manager Jim Tracy for benching Choi: Phillips is better with runners in scoring position. Here are the stats:
Choi: .321 OBP, .323 slugging
Phillips: .363 OBP, .562 slugging
Well, whether or not you believe in clutch hitting, certainly up to now Phillips has delivered with runners on second and/or third.
But wait a minute. What if you expand beyond runners in scoring position, and just include any situation with runners on base?
Choi: .336 OBP, .394 slugging
Phillips: .310 OBP, .416 slugging
It's just about a wash with runners on. And in the more frequent situation of no runners on base - when you need a baserunner to kick things off?
Choi: .325 OBP, .507 slugging
Phillips: .270 OBP, .344 slugging
And of course, don't forget their stats against right-handed pitchers:
Choi: .365 OBP, .462 slugging
Phillips: .284 OBP, .362 slugging
Non-news flash. Tracy seeks out statistics to support his desire not to start Choi, conveniently ignoring the counter-arguments.
One possibility that hasn't been discussed is that Phillips will improve as a hitter without the burdens of catching.
Phillips as 1B (2002-04): .359 OBP, .409 slugging
Phillips as C (2002-04): .321 OBP, .381 slugging
But neither matches up to the career average of Choi - the same Choi who "who spent years emitting a few scents of his own at the plate," according to Tony Jackson of the Daily News.
Choi career: .349 OBP, .442 slugging
Phillips is a major league hitter, which means he's going to have some good games, and I couldn't be happier about that.
Choi is more of a hitter, and he will have his good games if people just let him. Like he already has. Tuesday's home run by Choi was only the fourth of his 14 that did not tie the game or give the Dodgers the lead - and yet it still provided the ultimate margin of victory.
Bottom line - there are alternatives to Choi at first base, but Phillips is still not one of them.
* * *
It has been reported that Jeff Kent became the first second baseman to reach the 20-homer mark in nine consecutive seasons in the majors. However, because one of Kent's home runs this season came as a first baseman, people need to hold off on awarding that record.
* * *
Dodger outfielder Jayson Werth has dropped the lawsuit he filed against Ryan Root that accused the former high school teammate of writing letters smearing Werth's reputation, according to the Chicago Sun-Times - but only because Root has succeeded in disappearing himself. (Thanks to 6-4-2 for the pointer.) Werth's attorneys say they might re-file if the letters resumed.
* * *
Marquis Grissom, who hit 42 home runs in his first two seasons after leaving the Dodgers but struggled to a .533 OPS this season, has been designated for assignment by the Giants.
From Ray Ratto of the San Francisco Chronicle:
"You look at what the team went through this year," he said. "I'm 38 and I've been hurt with injuries. I understand what this team has been through. There are no hard feelings. No excuses. I didn't get the job done whether I was hurt or not. People are paying you, and they want you to produce."
What? No bitching? No complaining? No "I have no idea how I tested positive for that .212 average?"
Nope. A simple, clear-headed assessment of the facts, without blame delegation or alibi weaving. Simple, pure Grissom.
Instead, he took his leave of the clubhouse while joking with teammates in his street clothes.
"Why be sad?" Grissom said. "I'm not sad about anything. I'll be fine."
Grissom has 2,251 career hits, 227 homers and 429 stolen bases.
The bottom line is Tracy does not like playing Choi. Don't ask me for a reason. He just doesn't.
Take it from me, you can make numbers do whatever you want them to do to support your cause.
But some numbers are more significant than others.
i don't really buy into clutch hitting though anyway, i was just saying the reasoning is retarded. frankly, as i was saying on rob's blog, i think whatever performance variations there are in such a small number of at-bats w/RISP are pretty meaningless.
(1) Seeing Hee Sop Choi's homer in the eighth, and starting the subsequent Heep-Sop-Choi chant.
(2) Wearing my 'Ghame Over' shirt to the amusement of many Dodger fans sitting around my section. Actually being 'Ghame Over' helped as well.
(3) Watching Broxton throw some gas. How old is he? 21?
(4) Seeing the Dodgers hit four HRs, equaling the total homers I've seen hit in my previous dozen games at RFK.
Not-so-great:
(1) Being dumbfounded as I see Phillips starting at first. WTH? I think my fellow Dodger fan but not so sabr-inclined friend enjoyed pointing it out, notwithstanding my subsequent rant.
(2) Unbelievable humidity and 85+ degree temperatures. I don't recall ever sitting at Dodger Stadium for a night game and sweating so profusely. Despite similar ages, RFK can't hold a candle to DS.
(3) Kent missing tagging Vidro at 2nd base in the ninth, nearly inducing cardiac arrest.
(4) Seeing local boy and Univ of MD grad Schmoll struggle and get pulled.
I splurged yesterday for great seats in the orange down low on the left field line last night, but tonight I'll be back up in purple upper desk seats (sec 452) wearing 'Ghame Over' and a Gagne-esque beat up LA cap.
Other DT readers attending tonight's game?
1) Choi
2) Saenz
3) Kent
4) Perez
5) Repko
6) Beetle Bailey
7) Larry "Bud" Melman
8) Regis Philbin
9) George H. W. Bush
10) Jason Phillips
I waver on a daily basis from "acceptance" that this season is over, to "denial" that we still have a chance to win the NL West. I realize that we're only 4 games out, but even with the sorry state of the division I can't imagine that the winner finishes the season under 500. And when I look at the current state of the team, I just can't envision a realistic scenario where we start winning games at a clip that puts us above the 500 mark. So I am spending more time in the "acceptance" camp these days.
With that in mind, I am curious about our outfield situation for 2006. Is Ledee under contract for next year? I seem to remember him signing a one-year deal only. How about Werth? I don't have any grand illusion that Repko is going to blossom into a dominant major league outfielder, but he does seem much more versatile than Werth. His defense is excellent, he can run, bunt, and should be able to become a capable hitter. I know a lot of people on this site mock the "scrappy" aspect but let's face it, you can't have a team full of prima donna stars. You've got to fill in the spots with some low priced, hard working youngsters. In a nutshell, Repko seems like a perfect 4th outfielder - that defensive subsitution, every fourth day type of player. In my estimation, Werth has been the most disappointing Dodger of this 2005 campaign.
So my questions for you more in tune with this stuff: Can we get anything for Werth? Who is available in the free agent market this offseason that we can plug into left field along with Bradley and Drew. It seems like we've got a surplus of capable (not phenomenal but capable) infielders already in the Dodger system, and it seems like that left fielder slot is going to the big hole to fill during the off-season. I won't be too confident in our chances in 2006 if Werth is our solution.
Tracy is really messing up this team. Certainly we can still play up to .500 baseball and win the NL West, but its not going to happen as long as AP/Choi remain on bench, and the 3 others start everygame.
It aint gonna happen. The only hope now is that JP, Robles, or Izturis get hurt.
Hmm... looking at dodgers.com, there is an OF in AAA hitting .390 with .495 OBP and .622 SLG. His name is Jason Grabowski. Has DePo thought about giving him a shot? Those are great numbers!
vr, Xei
I love the JtD name btw. Took me a bit to research and figure that one out.
vr, Xei
I really doubt that Cesar (or Cristian) will be playing shortstop for the Dodgers much beyond the end of his contract.
. . . there's no Nationals blog anything like Dodger Thoughts. There are some OK blogs with decent writers and good information, but no Jon Weismans and no real community. There are some pretty noxious "chat" zones (one of which attacked Rob earlier in the year . . .). But there's one guy out there who is a very smart and excellent writer, who does seem pretty brilliant "game stories". www.ball-wonk.com. His story about last night's game gives you an idea of the flavor, though it's not his best stuff. I pass it on in futherance of my DC-tourguide duties.
http://www.ball-wonk.com/archives/000456.html
(I remembered this because it echoes 25 above in describing the Nationals' acquisitions of Wilson and Castilla.)
*
Den -- I'll be there tonight, though tonight is my splurge night (sec. 113). Apparently, these seats are within chatting distance of the Dodgers' on deck circle. If you could say anything to a Dodger who will actually play tonight (thus, sorry Suffering Bruin, but I can't get you Choi's number), what would it be?
Likewise, is AP the only player batting .335 that is also a bench player?
Last nite our bench was loaded. Choi, Saenz, AP, Ledee...
Good times. Good times.
Favorite stat that doesn't mean anything but I'll use it like a cudgel anyway: The Nats are 4-13 since trading for my favorite outfielder.
Why doesn't Choi start?
etc.
Just make sure that Milton doesn't ackowledge you. I was sitting behind the visitor's dugout in Arizona with my bro and a friend the day that he got hurt. He saw us in our Dodger gear when he was on deck and actually acknowledged us
During his at bat, he got hurt. We blame ourselves.
Ledee has a 2 year contract I believe. The Outfield figurs to have Bradley, Drew, and Ledee. Repko as a 5th OF isn't so bad because of his defense. Werth figures to be trade bait, but if we can't sign someone like Giles, he might stay. My guess is that LF will be the hole that DePo tries to fill this winter, as our best OF prospect (Kemp) is still a few years away. We could take an interesting path and put Delwyn out there (his defense at 2nd isn't very good, we have other 2B prospects to replace Kent, and he has played the OF in the minors)
"five-tool" player. Keep in mind that he is a rookie & will only improve.
I see, albeit less clearly, guzman ending up at first?
Either that or "Welcome to the swamp. This weather's a refreshing change from the ocean breezes in Dodger Stadium, huh?"
I doubt we'll settle for Repko as a starter unless we absolutely have to. He makes a better back-up.
I'd guess that Guzman would end up in the outfield if not at SS, since 3rd will most likely be taken by LaRoche and 1st by Loney and/or Choi.
Still dont get why people here arent more up in arms about Perez not playing. Just do not get the Choi fixation. Perez would be incredible leading off.
And haven't the Nats lost something like 11 1-run games in a row? After starting the season by winning almost all close games? Last night, they turned a 3-run loss into a 1-run loss, just to continue the string and point up the meaninglessness of the stat.
The only news less surprising than that Bonds will sit out the season:
1. Nats freefall from first place.
2. Brian Roberts turns back into, well, Brian Roberts.
You don't get it because there isn't one.
4. Jim Tracy is an idiot.
Yes, Jim Tracy really is an idiot.
We've also pined for Perez to play 3B more, but, I guess some reasons for the Choi fixation are:
-Jason Phillips! Choi's replacements are less adequate (Robles at least has a glove).
-While jim tracy has an actual reason for benching Perez (defense - may not be the best reason but at least it's a reason), he's given no indication as to why Choi does not play at all.
-Jason Phillips!
-Choi hits for more power.
-Jason Phillips!
-Perez is due to regress a little most likely. Choi has produced at this level before.
Not that we don't want Perez to play. Many, many, many of us would rather Perez start at 3B over Robles, but I guess we see the Choi situation as the bigger injustice. Of course the best line-up we can field has both of them in their respective corners of the diamond. Did I mention Jason Phillips?
"They were called test pilots, but no one knew their names ..."
lets say tracy is going to be back next year. now that season is pretty much done (being realistic), why wouldnt Tracy throw Perez and Choi out there every day just so he can prove his feelings about them are accurate (if they are) and start without the constant questions next year?
See [45] - 4.
What would lead you to that conclusion? Repko has sort of turned my head by doing non-scrappy things like actually hitting the ball and getting on base, but why would he be "well on his way to becoming a 300 hitter." He's a strikeout machine. That was his first homerun since April. What I don't understand is why these would be indications of someone who is "well on his way to being a 300 hitter," but they are indications of failure in hitters like Hee Seop Choi or Jayson Werth.
But, he's got a huge ranch in Georgia, so it worked out okay for him.
vr, Xei
I've never seen a comment from Tracy explaining this situation, and I just don't know how Tracy would be able to justify his decision-making in a way that would satisfy knowledgable fans.
"His decision to start Phillips at first base and continue to use Choi as a pinch-hitter proved astute. Dodger front-office executives have scratched their heads recently, wondering why Choi rarely plays despite carrying an on-base-plus-slugging percentage of .800.
Although the overall batting numbers of Phillips and Choi are about equal, Tracy said the determining factor is that Phillips is batting .315 with runners in scoring position, and Choi is at .177."
... his Double-A transition has been successful thus far, and I am optimistic about his chances to be a useful pitcher.
Thanks, I hadn't seen the actual quote.
As much as I've enjoyed watching Repko play this year, it doesn't make sense to assume he can be a legitimate hitter in the big leagues. Obviously, he's young so he could become a better hitter, and if so would make an excellent all around outfielder. But with such a limited history, and only mixed success during that time, it would be a lot better to bring him along slowly and occasionally as opposed to throwing him out there on opening day and tell him "you're our everyday leftfielder now go out there and hit .300."
54
If Tracy is back next year, than DePodesta is officially spineless. You can't make a radical overhaul of the roster subscribing to one philosophy, and then allow the team to be managed by someone with a completely different philosophy. I am not a fan of DePo and I am definitely not convinced that he will be successful in the long run, but I am even less enamored with Tracy. If his sour mug is still infiltrating my television set in 2006, than DePo will have some serious explaining to do.
What if Choi had actually been above average the last 6 weeks, the site might have changed its URL to www.HeeSeopSteve.com
He has been better since July 1st than Repko (.277/.382/.426 for Choi vs. .304/.345/.430, this doesn't count last nights game) If Repko is progressing to be a good hitter, then you have to apply the same argument to Choi.
http://tinyurl.com/7sjzq
"Perez flys a bit more under the radar despite having more success than Choi."
It's true that Perez has produced more, but Choi has been decidedly unlucky with his at-bats, while Perez has been pretty lucky with his.
See http://tinyurl.com/be75t
I'm not crazy?
I don't mean to say that Choi should play and Perez shouldn't. Clearly, both should be playing a LOT more than they are. Just saying that while Choi hasn't been as successful, a lot of it is bad luck and he has been having good at-bats. The potential is there and easy to see.
1 Taveras Willy -.109
2 Alou Moises -.088
3 Jones Andruw -.063
4 Jeter Derek -.063
5 Blake Casey -.063
6 Mench Kevin -.061
7 Rodriguez Ivan -.061
8 Lane Jason -.061
9 Pierre Juan -.056
10 Hall Bill -.055
and the Clutchiest:
1 Kent Jeff .101
2 Vizquel Omar .092
3 Sheffield Gary .091
4 Encarnacion Juan.084
5 Ramirez Manny .083
6 Mueller Bill .079
7 Kotsay Mark .079
8 Phillips Jason .075
9 Ortiz David .065
10 Edmonds Jim .063
Choi (at -.077) would rank as the 3rd biggest Choker had he qualified. So he and Phillips are quite the case study.
Yeah. Or at least I'm crazy, too.
There is no justification for Phillips over Choi, esp. against RHP. The RISP is the only thing, and that's a stupid stat.
To College Park, Md. [who had earlier commented that it is impossible to tell if a long fly is an out or a home run from the seats in dead center]: One easy way to tell whether something is a home run from anywhere in the park: If the batter is a Dodger, it's a home run.
. . .
Wow. The one John Kruk calls "The Michael Jordan of Baseball" is the 4th biggest choker of the year.
Sorry- that's the difference in BA between RISP and overall.
They don't study up much apparently.
stubbs, I think fanerman pretty much covered it in 52, but I would emphasize two things to answer your question.
First, we understand why Tracy isn't playing Perez, even if we disagree with it. It's because of his supposedly poor defense. Dumb reason, but we get it. For Choi, there is no reason, good or otherwise, beyond either (a) Tracy is a jerk and hates Choi, or (b) Tracy is dumb and doesn't understand that he's benching the better player.
Second, I like Perez and want to see him play instead of Cesar or Robles, at least half the time, but he's really just a better version of those guys offensively. Which is to say, all batting average, little power, few walks. He's better than they are, but not by as much as Choi could be.
So those two reasons explain why the anti-Tracy crowd here isn't talking as much about Perez. most of us want to see AP in the lineup much more often; indeed, as often as we want to see Choi. But we whine about AP less because at least there's no mystery as to why JT isn't playing him.
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=4293
For those who can't read the article since the freebie ended yesterday, basically the above trio is having the greatest season in baseball history not just modern baseball. Of course this is based on Runs Prevented. Shocked to not see a trio like Koufax/Drysdale/Osteen not crack the top ten but I guess that is what happens when you dominate in a pitching era in a pitching park.
"The positive drug test that has left Rafael Palmeiro's legacy in doubt involved the potent anabolic steroid stanozolol.... Palmeiro said Monday that he had never intentionally taken steroids, but stanozolol does not come in dietary supplements and is among the most popular steroids on the market."
http://tinyurl.com/7tbvk
Yesterday, in another thread, I had said that Palmeiro could have run afoul of the test by taking the wrong medicine (or supplement, etc.) ... can't say I feel the same way today.
The way I see it, this is pretty damning evidence. If it's 100% true that he took the stanozolol stuff, it's got to hurt his Hall chances. I guess part of my reluctance to buy this story was just that I'm just way more surprised than I would have been if Bonds or McGwire had been the subject of the story instead of Palmeiro.
1) Robles SS
2) Choi 1st
3) Valentin LF
4) Kent 2nd
5) Bradley CF
6) Perez 3rd
7) Navarro C
8) Repko RF
9) Pithcer/ PH Saenz(R) Ledee (L)
There may be a few too many righties at the bottom of the lineup but the top would be awesome. And before anyone can criticize Valentine hitting 3rd, I stacked 1,2,3 with players that are patient and take a lot of pitches... They may not have averages but Valentine and Choi walk a lot and I figure that by the time a pitcher got to Kent & Bradley the # of pitches thrown would result in them seeing more "mistake pitches".
If memory serves, in past seasons his decisions regarding playing time have always been based on a player's quality of play on the field. This is no longer true, and I'm wondering why.
So, which of the following is true?
1. This year, for whatever reason, Tracy has developed a newfound ability to hold grudges against certain players, and bench them even when their performance dictates otherwise.
2. He is ignorant enough to genuinely believe that Phillips is better than Choi and Edwards/Robles is better than A Perez.
or
3. This is all in my imagination and Tracy has always held inexplicable grudges against certain players.
I thought they didn't disclose the kind of drug they test positive for. How'd it get out?
FLORIDA ST LEAGUE
Best Hitting Prospect - Andy LaRoche, Vero Beach
Best Power Prospect - Andy LaRoche, Vero Beach
Best Reliever - Mark Alexander, Vero Beach
SALLY LEAGUE
(none)
SOUTHERN LEAGUE
Best Strike Zone Judgment - Russell Martin, Jacksonville
Best Baserunner - Todd Donovan, Jacksonville
Best Pitching Prospect - Chad Billingsley, Jacksonville
Best Breaking Pitch - Chad Billinsgley, Jacksonville
Best Defensive Catcher - Russell Martin, Jacksonville
The Triple-A lists don't get released until tomorrow, but nobody on LV really has a chance of making it. Maybe Navarro as best defensive C and that's about it.
117 Well, Tracy did the same thing to Choi last year. Played him for a little while after the trade, then relegated him to the end of the bench. So he plain old doesn't like Choi. Probably because he isn't enlightened as to player evaluation (few managers are).
I thought he got the maximum out of the Cora/Hernandez platoon, but maybe he made the right decisions there for the wrong reasons too (i.e., perception of defensive ability). Who knows?
By defensive reasons I mean maybe when it's close and late or something.
Choi's SLG of .476 has him at 13th of 23 (if qualified) ahead of: Palmero, Helton
Choi's 14HR has him at 15th, in the top 21 only 1 has fewer than Choi's 246 AB (Doug Mientkiewicz 239AB)
Bottom line is that Choi is at worst a league average 1st baseman, and as best something better... Tracy is at best an idiot at worst an idiot who is managing the Dodgers.
Phillips, by the way, would be last in OPS and 2nd to last in slugging...
Now even his defense at second base is being maligned by Tracy and some media members. Until this year, as far as I can tell, he'd always been considered a pretty good defensive 2B.
Of course you play Perez when you're throwing Izturis and Phillips out there. You don't have any other choice. Except of course, to whine in the paper that your offense doesn't score any runs.
Those were the days. I remember thinking "no way he can keep this up", but I wondered why Tracy didn't ride him until he fell back to earth.
(I'd post his batting stats, but they don't exist in Baseball America's DB thanks to the morons at MLB "Advanced" Media, which took over the minor league stat contract this year. And you thought Elias was bad...)
re 117
I'm seem to recall that Karros and Grudz were traded because Tracy didn't want them (bad clubhouse guys, whatever). Granted, Karros wasn't worth much anymore, but he was better than McGriff in 2003. Grudz was certainly better than Cora that year as well.
The Dodgers also got the pleasure of paying Todd Hundley for spending most of the time of the DL that year.
If it is true that Tracy didn't like Grudz or Karros, he certainly wasn't finding excuses not to play them anymore.
The guy wasn't a .300 hitter in the minors, I highly doubt he's going to do it in Dodger Stadium.
However, if we're going to play him, shouldn't he be in CF? Or does he only play the corners? I would think that letting Bradley run a little less would be a good thing, given his leg problems in the past.
My opinion is that Repko is a handly 5th outfielder to have around to play good defense, pinch run, maybe come in to pinch hit occassionly; but certainly not to start. Werth, even at 75%, is a better player. Depo is high on Werth; if he wasn't, Randy Johnson would have been pitching the last half of the season with LA last year. I think that Repko is just another of Tracy's pet players due to hustle or some other BS. And I really don't expect him to be on the roster next season, unless it's as a 5th guy.
Add Repko to the list of guys with inflated trade value due to scrappiness.
Zobrist walks 16.0% of the time, Denker only 15.8% (only considering Sally stats)
We got a thing that's called...Repko love
Zobrirst 17 2B and 2 HR in 247 AB
Denker 23 2B and 21 HR in 358 AB
Zobrist 24 year old playing Lo A
Denker 19 year old (soon to be 20) playing Lo A
Yes, I have issues, but they can be fun to deal with sometimes!
(Odds of getting mocked rise greatly if I post this.)
And is anyone else concerned that the word googol won't be as cool to our children as it was to us (and they won't know how it's really spelled either!)?
Denker 19 year old (soon to be 20) playing Lo A*
You probably already know this, but they've both been promoted to Hi A... that's why BA didn't have Zobrist's Low A stats. (Or Denker's either for that matter.)
There was also a CPU named Norman Bates, which we had to keep on a different network because, like his real-life (fiction-life?)counterpart, he didn't "play well with others."
147. Ain't nothin' wrong with the fetishization of the Illiad, Odyssey, and Aeneid.
Huh, thought it was supposed to be two brackets.
Nick - Yes. I'll be up in 452, row 4 or so. Sam DC shelled out the big bucks and will be in 113.
I'll be at the Pour House before (4th and Penn Ave SE) and perhaps Trusty's afterwards (new bar opened up at 14th and Penn Ave SE).
I'll definitely be at Trusty's after the game tomorrow night (flying back to LA Friday morning :) )
[147]Pro-Hellene that I am, I'm delighted that Odysseus and Telemachos are computer names, whereas Aeneas was merely a hard drive. :)
Cool, I'll be up in 522...it's the upper deck, about parallel with 3rd base, but they're actually pretty good seats.
I was thinking about stopping by Cap Lounge or the Hawk 'n' Dove (also on Penn). Depends when I get get out of the office.
Lot of Dodger fans last night, hope to see a bunch more at RFK today.
So none of you guys was the one wearing the Steve Sax jersey, huh?
I'm not the Sax jersey guy, but I saw him too. Also saw a guy with a Repko jersey...didn't know they actually made those.
Myself, I would just as soon see Perez play shortstop.
What's the last level?
Nevermind. I thought the "there" was a "three." I'm seeing things again.
I saw one interesting jersey that had Nationals written across the front, Nationals patch on the left shoulder, Dodgers patch on the right shoulder, and Gagne written across the back. Jersey was black/blue/white in color.
I thought about wearing my Nationals shirt with my LA cap, but I'm going all Dodgers gear tonight.
Can anyone confirm?
http://tinyurl.com/79xzw
"And once steroids were made illegal in 1991 and in the next two years the subject was widely discussed -- like at the 1993 World Series -- where was Bud Selig to investigate?"
Brackets/bolding mine.
Possession of them without a prescription is a federal offense; they are in the same category as Vicodin and other generally prescribed drugs. Punishment for possession is up to one year, which would make it a misdemeanor. An intent to distribute makes it a five-year sentence and a felony.
Each state would have different rules -- I suspect some would make it a felony and others a misdemeanor.
not sure where this thread started (just logged in, and am too lazy to read back through everything), but i recall the dog's name on thirtysomething was grendel (different mythology, i know).
i toyed with naming my dog (since i didn't have a horse) bucephalus, but settled on good ol' buck, based on jack london's call of the wild. now that was a dog.
My wife asked me about Rafy last night. If she asked me today my whole story would change. Beside a blanket apology to Congress, he needs to make one to Canseco. How sad it that. Perjury just doesn't seem to be much of a deterrent anymore.
I always liked Grissom as a Dodger as he was a lefty killer. Really liked him when he was in his prime for the Expo's. Saw him at a charity softball game in Palm Springs and he was awesome.
I believe you saw a replica of a Gagne All star jersey. the National being a reference to the National League and not the Nationals.
Like many, I'm somewhat dubious of any RISP numbers from a small sample. Just a quick look at the last three years (not counting 2005) shows that our would-be and our ersatz first basemen perform thusly with men in scoring position:
AB/OBP/SLG/OPS
Choi 138/383/428/811
Phillips 198/376/354/730
Their career averages present as so:
Choi 841/349/442/791
Phillips 1108/324/386/710
Conclusion: Choi is the better hitter. Unsurprisingly, over a large enough sample, Choi will outperform Phillips in most, if not all, contexts. (Oh and, the "ability" to hit with RISP, to the extent it exists, is possessed equally by both players)
Tracy's willingness to use the small sample from 2005 appears to indicate either (1) that he's not too bright (or at least has a very tenuous grasp of statistics) or (2) that he's being disingenuous and really has it out for Choi. It's possible, however, (and I think ultimately the case) that Tracy is doing what most people do: starting with a conclusion that he arrived at by some inscrutable and unassailable process informed by observation and intuition, then buttressing that belief with a hodgepodge of whatever data conveniently support the conclusion.
But whatever the explanation, man it's sure annoying!
So not only did Beane trade the right pitchers, he kept the right one. I guess after this latest Oakland revival that we can safely say that Depo was not the power behind the throne, and that Mr. Beane is one kick ass GM. Hate to be the Rangers/Mariners because the West is going to be a 2 team race for next few years much like the Yankee/Red Sox races in the East for the last 10 years. JMO
I know that there's a percentage of posters here who don't think "chemistry" is significant to winning, but Tracy certainly does and there's something "chemistry"-related about his decisions to not play Choi and A. Perez. We're not in the dugout or clubhouse, so we don't what it is ... but there's something there.
163 I'm with you on this. For those of us privileged to see Bill Russell play SS ... well, it's nice to have Izzy.
If Tracy isn't starting them because of chemistry, well, then that's an even worse reason than what he's given.
Surely the Dodger staff have the same information Jon posted here and, knowing that Choi is a streaky hitter (aren't they all?), you'd think they would have taken notice of his tater yesterday as the possible start of a new streak. Is it dumb or is it a agenda item, i.e., no at bats for Choi until his OPS is 2.000.
ARRRRGHHH! Tracy drives me nutty!
I could accept Saenz over Choi, or Perez over Choi, or even Robles over Choi.
But Phillips makes no sense. If you want a RH hitter, go Saenz. If you want a good defender go...um, Choi? Phillips brings nothing besides "clutchness".
Besides Phillips hit a home run as a starter, and Choi hit one as a pinch hitter. They must be made for those roles, right?
Or maybe Navarro would play 3rd?
What should happen is the top dog Times reporter or editor should publish an interview with Tracy in which the manager is forced to answer a series of direct questions about the Choi situation, i.e.
What is it about a guy with power, a high OBP, a good eye and a good glove that you don't like?
Why did you move a guy into a new position (after he'd failed in his old one) in the middle of a pennant race, while leaving a proven starter on the bench?
What would Choi have to show you to get, say, four starts in a row?
Is there something about Choi you don't like, and if so, what is it?
Many fans think Choi should be starting, and they show their support every time he comes to bat in Dodger Stadium. What do you know that they don't?
If DePodesta ordered you to play Choi, would you resign?
I think there's something similar going on in Tracy's mind about Choi. He's seen on numerous occasions how Choi can become a hole in the lineup for an extended period of time, and his perception seems to be that regardless of how superior Choi's overall stats are, Phillips is less likely on any given day to be a hole in the lineup. This isn't a belief I endorse, it's just one I suspect Tracy has.
Well said.
Phillips is more than a crappy hitter - he's the back up catcher!
212 - makes sense to me.
Tracy's bench coat for '03 and '04 was Jim Riggleman. Riggleman left to become the minor league field coordinator for the Cards in the offseason.
Jim Lett is the bench coach now.
IMO, an ideal backup catcher would also play another position or two, and hit well enough to not totally embarrass himself at the plate. In other words, Jason Phillips.
If you treat the backup catcher like fine crystal, you're essentially limiting yourself to a 24-man roster. Why would you want to do that?
The chances of both your existing catcher AND your backup catcher leaving the game due to injury are pretty darn remote. And if it happens, so what? Bring Repko and his shotgun arm in to catch, and deal with it.
Even if such an unlikely scenario were to occur, you'd still only have to use your emergency catcher for half of one game, AT MOST.
I'm all for maximizing the use of the backup catcher and, therefore, maximizing the use of the 25-man roster.
Are we begging for this situation to arise just to see what happens?
1-run
SDG 19-10 --
ARI 21-15 1.5
LOS 14-13 4.0
SFO 14-14 4.5
Others
ARI 31-41 --
LOS 34-45 0.5
SDG 33-44 0.5
SFO 31-46 2.5
Essentially, the difference in the NL West standings can be almost entirely explained by one-run games.
I certainly hope that's the case anyway because I'd really be depressed if Depo blesses this arrangement.
J.D. Drew .931
Jeff Kent .926
Olmedo Sáenz .864
Antonio Pérez .843
Hee-Seop Choi .808
Milton Bradley .803
Ricky Ledee .775
Jayson Werth .730
Oscar Robles .730
Jason Repko .706
José Valentín .693
Jason Phillips .668
Izzy .642
There was an interview with either Tracy or Depo before the trade deadline about the 1 run stat. They were saying that most teams 1 run game winning percentage is 50% and that SD and AZs were abnormally high and due to come down. Thus the Dodgers have a decent shot at winning the west when you look at this stat along with LAs record against both teams..
Phillips has scored fewer runs and doesn't get on base as often as Choi.
I thought that when Erickson was gone, I could relax. But no. Now it's Phillips. Every day is a new crusade. Remind me why I ever liked DePodesta?
223 - You act like the great week doesn't count. If he can carry the team for a week, I'd like to give him the opportunity to do it more.
And again, let me remind - 10 of his 14 homers tied the game or gave the Dodger the lead.
And again, credit for a run doesn't just go to the RBI man. I think the person who gets on base and scores the run should get partial credit, too.
Which is why the backup catcher is usually the last player off the bench. Now we take a risk pinch hitting for Navarro or Phillips. I think this might be another (surreal thinking) reason Tracy is starting Phillips at first. If Phillips is on the bench, conventional thinking is, that you can't use him to pinch hit because he is the backup catcher. If Phillips can't catch and can't be used as a pinch hitter then he has to start.
It hurts my brain trying to think like Tracy.
This sentence from Henson's story was the one that set me off: "His decision to start Phillips at first base and continue to use Choi as a pinch-hitter proved astute." Following that, there were no direct Tracy quotes, just the runners-in-scoring-position stats that read to me like Henson was helping Tracy craft his defense. It certainly didn't read like Henson was challenging Tracy's logic.
I'll give Henson points for mentioning the issue, and for reporting that "the front office" is bemused by Tracy's decision. But, in a way, wasn't he just covering his butt? This whole thing is likely to blow up later, possibly with an open feud between DePo and Tracy, and Tracy's eventual firing. Failing to tell this story now would've made the Times look even worse later.
I agree that Choi's streakiness is pretty near irrelevant -- as long as the hits come, who cares what the pattern is? But I don't think he can be counted on to continue to hit mostly game-tying and go-ahead homers.
I would think that if Choi got more regular playing time he wouldn't be as streaky.
I feel you play a guy who hits 7HR in 4 days cause not that many people can.
228 - no, I'm not implying that it's predictive. I just hate when people dismiss Choi's "great weeks" as if they were irrelevant.
I agree. Which is why I would keep Phillips on the bench and not have any reservations about using him to pinch hit at a crucial point in the game.
I think Henson normally does a fine job, but that one specific sentence is certainly an example of bending over backward to put things in a pro-Tracy light. (Henson is, IIRC from his earlier interview with Jon, a huge Tracy supporter.)
If that's the case, I reserve my backup catcher for necessary times only.
Choi has been unfairly maligned (e.g., in the papers, on TV, certainly on talk radio, less often and less viciously by people here on DT) in a way that A Perez simply hasn't been. Choi is often regarded as a pathetic, awful, talentless baseball player. I've heard that he "can't hit" many times (sometimes the idea is that his bat speed is too slow to hit good fastballs, sometimes it's that he can't hit curveballs), and I've heard him mocked and ridiculed. He's treated like a joke. It's sad that a player who is actually pretty decent and could become very good is derided as pathetic. When Tracy appears to buy into this perception of Choi, it just makes it all the more frustrating.
Perez does deserve to play more often, but he has never been ridiculed the way Choi has, so there's less of a instinct on my part at least to defend him.
Cue the 1st half/2nd half splits for LoDuca, and see if you think that is "steady".
1) RBIs are a team stat. Choi batted second for much of the year, giving him fewer opportunities to drive in runs. Phillips hit behind Drew, Kent, Bradley for some of the year, giving him more opportunities.
2) Hitting with RISP has no predictive value over the short term. There is a huge debate going on right now whether one can predict ability to hit with RISP in a 10 or 15 year career. But there is no evidence, outside of simple sophistry, that the ability to hit with RISP over 80 at-bats is predictive of the next 80 or 800.
This becomes evident over the course of Phillips' own career. Last year, Our New Eternal Savior hit .205 with RISP. The year before .319.
Phillips has also been very bad over a fairly significant sample size against RHP. If Phillips happened to have a Korean surname and stand 6'5", Steve Henson would be writing about how Phillips can't hit righthanders. But Phillips (and Izturis, and Repko) had the good fortune of not being a tall Korean, and therefore gets very many free passes Choi does not.
Well each half is steady when taken separately, right?
Your larger point, that streakiness is bad because it makes for inefficient distribution of resources, is a legitimate point. However, it is far more relevant to the team as a whole than to specific individuals. You really only waste runs when the whole team gets hot and cold together.
Nothing like adding a little levity to the proceedings
Apparently our pitching staff wants a team full of Scott Rolens - superior offensive and defensive players. Seems simple enough.
Yeah, part of his new revolutionary idea of actually caring about opposing base-stealers.
For the record, if we still had Gary Sheffield, and he played first base, I would defend any manager who played Sheffield over Choi. But it's a long, dizzying drop from Sheff to LoDuca, and another vertiginous plunge from Dukie to Phillips.
Apr -- 993
May -- .745
June -- 633
July -- 880
Aug -- 846
Sep -- 527
LoDuca 2003 in OPS
Apr -- 720
May -- 959
June -- 836
July -- 659
Aug -- 586
Sep -- 537
LoDuca 2002 in OPS
Apr -- 779
May -- 791
June -- 876
July -- 743
Aug -- 440
Sep -- 771
Mystery Guest's 2005 in OPS
Apr -- .818
May -- .774
June -- .773
July -- .807
Now, who's consistent again? Because I think I must have had bananas in my ears and didn't read that correctly.
Pirates 2, Pads 1.
After watching Finley last season, Drew this season, it made me wonder.
The Dodgers might not be good enough to benefit from that blunder in 2005, but somebody will.
Top 1ST B:4 S:1 O:1
Damian Jackson walks.
Top 1ST B:3 S:2 O:2
Joe Randa grounds out, second baseman Jose Castillo to first baseman Brad Eldred. Damian Jackson to 3rd.
Top 1ST B:2 S:2 O:2
With Brian Giles batting, wild pitch by Dave Williams, Damian Jackson scores.
Williams has an error in the game - perhaps that figures in somehow.
Steiner: "And he gave up 3 in the 1st"
Comedy, sweet comedy!!!
Steiner doesn't do it enough, but from time to time he'll just call the idiot he's working with on their crap. When he does this to Downing it is priceless.
- E. Young flied out to deep center
- D. Jackson walked
- D. Jackson to second on D. Williams' throwing error
- J. Randa grounded out to second, D. Jackson to third
- D. Jackson scored on wild pitch
- B. Giles flied out to deep center
On Repko's half swing
"Did he take?" (Of course everyone else in the world says did he swing?)
"Yes" as camera fails to cut to the umpire before he says "Yes" everyone watching thinks he meant the umpire rung him up. The camera then shows the umpire indicate no swing. Charlie, Charlie
"That's just wrong" Lyons
"Which Part?" Steiner
Um, that was repetitive and redundant
(she was at Koufax's perfect game)
He is growing on me. I do get the sense he doesn't do a ton of research though. Seems like he arrives in the booth a few minutes before first pitch.
Steiner can't replace Ross (I'll always miss his country accent), but he's not afraid of or intimidated by whichever stupid jock is sitting next to him.
Viva los Jasons!
There's the hit and run, and Robles swings at a pitch over his head.
Hopefully we'll be seeing "Guzman, SS" in many Dodger box scores to come- just not this one.
Just because someone is fast, it doesn't make them a good base stealer.
Thanks,
A Dodger Fan.
How do you know when a runner goes off on his own versus a manager's call?
If Trace gave the order, it's just another idiotic move.
(note: I have no problems with stealing a base, provided you're actually good at it, say 80%+ success rate.)
- M. Bradley homered to deep right
Breath people. Deep Breaths. LOL
I think I would be hard to tell. A better solution would be for Tracy to tell Cesar he isn't allowed to steal anymore.
I think that's a given to any of the regular DT readers. It's the people that aren't familiar that may take our anti-Izzy-basestealing to mean anti-all-basestealing.
Yeah, I forgot to mention that. The Milton Bradley prior to this season (the one that walked a bit more) would make a decent leadoff hitter.
2003 53% CS
2004 50% CS
2005 39% CS
Nice inning by Houlton, finishing on 44 pitches so far.
Karros and Izturis have the same career SB%.
vs RHP (AB.OBP/SLG/OPS): 128/397/602/999
vs LHP: 139/313/374/687
In any case, whatever the reason, it's possible that we actually are better off with Phillips when a north paw is on the mound.
(The irony of this whole thing, of course, is that the Saenz v. Phillips argument is exactly the revese of the Choi v. Phillips argument. The three years splits support choosing Phillips over Saenz, while this year's stats indicate no such thing. Conversely, the three year splits clearly show Choi superior to Phillips, while this year's stats at least appear to give Phillips the edge in RISP situations. Perhaps Tracy is just a greater intellect than we give him credit for. After all, consistency is the hobgoblin of little minds...)
I posted here instead of making a post card (thanks Rob...good site).
Someone is figuring it out
Jackson gave up 2 runs in the second, and he has yet to record a strike out
Eh? Did something happen to Phillips?
"That sounded like it hit the bat, but it didn't...and that's not good" - ESPN announcers
BTW, I swear I'm a good person, but please DL Phillips ASAP. And what the heck, bring up Grabs.
We're still taking donations to the "Pay off John Patterson to LaLoosh it into the Dodgers dugout" fund to take care of JT.
Sign that the SABR convention is in town: You see Bill James with his family walking around town.
Bill is about my height and, a bit wider around. A big bit.
Choi also doesn't try to steal. And he homers when what we really need is guys on base. About the only thing Choi does well is avoid hitting triples.
I saw the Expos French announcer today, but I didn't get a chance to talk to him. I loved it when the Dodgers would go to Montreal just because Vin loved all the French and he would get the French feed for us in L.A. for a while.
I don't get it.
According to MLB Gameday.
I'm sad.
http://tinyurl.com/c5yoo
"Lowe and Hughes are now rumored to be shopping for a home in Manhattan Beach, while Trinka and the children have moved back to Fort Myers, Florida."
Awesome! My guess is that they'll either get a place on the Strand, or a place in the tree section. Anyone care to design a banner to hang in front of their windows? I'm thinking "DEMAND A TRADE".
Get with the program!
Isn't Lowe's problem still more with the blister on his thumb rather than anything having to do with his personal life?
That should about cover all his hits for the season.
The Washington announcers pronounced his name "ohl eh vo"
http://tinyurl.com/ayl4u
when Gio comes in, I immediatly throw on the gagne game over tee. it must be used for something.
After reading 460, I consider myself lucky.
This Rick Monday grammar lesson has been brought to you by Jiffy Lube.
Hopefully, he can pitch the eighth.
Does Aleverez remind anyone else of Levon Hernandez?
They say Lowe's regular start is Fri. wasn't it supposed to be tomorrow.
No Lyons the bad thing about that was that Tracy called the bunt in the first place
Actually, I think McCourt would not allow Tracy to be fired due to the PR hit. Depo could care less about PR in my opinion, but McCourt is a totally different matter.
'gee, lets bunt him'
What is the quickest way to start a negative buzz on tracy?
A DT night at the ballpark where we all start a "FIRE JIM" chant..?
I have liked JT and have tried to defend him here. But that was completly indefensible.
Either way, as I see it if Milton gets the bunt down, that is actually the worst possible outcome, because Kent would have been walked.
All the gold and silver are being stolen away
Nothing standing there
High water everywhere
High water risin', the shacks are slidin' down
Folks lose their possessions - folks are leaving town
Bertha Mason shook it - broke it
Then she hung it on a wall
Says, "You're dancin' with whom they tell you to
Or you don't dance at all."
It's tough out there
High water everywhere
Well, George Lewis told the Englishman, the Italian and the Jew
"You can't open your mind, boys
To every conceivable point of view."
They got Charles Darwin trapped out there on Highway Five
Judge says to the High Sheriff,
"I want him dead or alive
Either one, I don't care."
High Water everywhere
-Dylan
Let's see if he bunts.
The record, such as it is, is 20.
Tracy is contradicting himself by using certain sample sizes and statistics to justify his illogical decisions.
I wonder if he realizes how silly his answers are.
Brilliant.
I think he'll be the guest on the postgame show in Pittsburgh.
g'night all.
I'll dream of a Navarro walk and a Choi PH HR.
At the very minimum, I hope more Hensons question Tracy tonight.
MAHN SEH!
I'm torn.
I hate you Jim Tracy
and all we'll hear about is Hee Seop couldn't come through.
This game has been mismanaged to death.
Has anyone been keeping track of the success rate of Jimbo-ball the past few weeks? From what i've seen it doesn't seem to be successful at all. Bradley should've had a 2 run homer.
When is Depo going to wake JT up from this nonsense to realize that Izturis is not the leadoff hitter of his dreams.
2 of the walks and the HBP came in the first inning, so he settled fairly nicely. Both runs (and hits) came in the second
Jim Tracy easily the worst manager in the game. I'm shocked he hasnt been reprimanded by our GM.
Only positive from tonite's game is if Jason Phillips is done for a month or 2.
None of this will be covered by the MSM, though.
His inconsistent contradicting logic is driving me crazy this year.
Not sure how he knows that.
His inconsistent contradicting logic is driving me crazy this year.
Maybe Repko and Izzy once in a while.
BTW, I miss Ross Porter right about now... he would say... "Hee Seop Choi's batting .344 against righties on grass with runners in scoring positioin and he's sitting the bench.... uhhh huhhhh...."
A Martinez is somewhat tolerable, but he's not a true "baseball" guy. I called after a game at Dodger Stadium once and wondered why Tracy pinch-hit with Chen Chin-feng in the 8th inning and not Olmedo Saenz with the Dodgers down by one and A made the claim that you had to save Saenz for the 9th inning in a clutch situation... earth to A: you're not supposed to bat in the 9th inning if you're the home team.... maybe that's the kind of logic that JT is using....
Dodger Talk
1B-Choi
2B-Kent
SS-Robles/Izturis
3B-Perez
That's a pretty decent infield, don't you think?
" Isturis decided to run on his own.
Bradley decided to bunt on his own.
Carrara wanted to pitch extra inning.
I know nothing else.
Also, tonight is the type of game where IF we had a big bat (Depo?) we could have scored more and IF we had reliever we could have held them in check.
But we're still only 4 back with 2 months left."
Tracy has answers for everything and
I guess the players are now running the show.
Charlie to Psycho..who was the number 1 draft choice from CSFullerton besides Cordero to be taken by Montreal.
Psycho: Jim Tracy?
Charlie: Nope.
Psycho: yeah that was a terrible guess, not even close
Charlie: No your close, he is sitting right next to him
(waiting for psycho to say, Jim Colburn, but he didn't)
Psycho: Oh yeah, Tim Wallach
Worst line of the night:
Charlie: (in talking about Navarro)
There is a new sherrif in town....behind the plate
I had malone flashbacks thinking, it can be worse.
Did Tracy actually say this?
2 Choi 1B
3 Bradley CF
4 Kent 2B
5 Ledee LF
6 Navarro C
7 Izturis SS
8 Repko RF
or
1 Perez 3B
2 Choi 1B
3 Bradley CF
4 Kent 2B
5 Ledee RF
6 Valentin LF
7 Navarro C
8 Izturis SS
Jim Tracy is in charge, right? If someone under him does something and he doesn't reprimand it, is he accepting and condoning it? If he doesn't tell Bradley to swing away or Izturis to not steal, is that as bad as Tracy telling players to make those same plays?
If Tracy really said that, he should be gone ASAP.
If DePo had gotten Dunn, Tracy would platoon him or something since Dunn cant hit with RISP either...
I've had enough with Buntermaker. I'm just shocked DePo hasnt.
He's a moron.
Astros 1-0 over the Dbacks
If Colorado is the only NL West team to win, then our loss will be a lot easier to handle
There has to be a better option.
And after all the nice things we said about him last night...
http://tinyurl.com/dkj3b
The Dodgers have a stone in their shoe, and we've all watched enough movies to know what usually happens when the bosses have stones in their shoes.
Except this stone isn't going away and probably won't be anytime soon. The bosses are probably worried about all the bad publicity that might come if they pull off a hit right now. It's not that the guy doesn't deserve it - he's screwing
up left and right, doesn't know what the hell he's doing, is completely out of control. But the guy has friends in the media and it's going to look really bad.
So the stone will remain, crippling the climb up what really is a small hill, but with a bum foot likely becomes an insurmountable mountain. For example, take tonight's fiasco.
A third grader picking names out of a hat at random could have assembled a more intelligent lineup. The 5 worst non-injured players were starting while 3 of the top 5 available hitters were on the bench. Worse still, the opposing RHed pitcher had a 836 OPS v. LHed hitters, 708 v. RHers, and 2 of the 3 guys sitting on the bench bat LHed (Choi, Ledee) and were sat out for RHers (Repko, Phillips).
Then you have your # 3 hitter, who is 2-3 with a HR, try to bunt, yes BUNT a runner over in the 8th, trailing by 1 run. Then you haul out an overworked reliever with a 4.72 ERA for a second inning of work when his BAA after throwing 15 pitches (or 1 inning) balloons to .350, and he promptly gives the opponents and insurance HR.
This team is going nowhere with a stone in its shoe.
Is that a good trade-off? Well managed Dodger games yet incoherent posts on this site?
Furthermore, there may be the perverse side-benefit that in not playing Choi, his salary in arbitration, even if he isn't eligible until 2007 (I can't remember right now the exact timing), will be artificially lowered. I wouldn't put it past DePo to have thought of this factor. It's certainly unfair to Hee Seop, but from the organization's standpoint, that may be a useful thing.
Cutting Tracy loose now would also cause a medioa firestorm. If we wait until the winter, it may be easier to buy out his contract, or better yet, Trace may leave of his own accord and become the Reds manager.
I wonder if DePo has basically decided that since this season is already a loss, there's no point in incurring the PR damage from firing Tracy mid-season, and he'll just let Tracy sink or swim on his own. If DePo has enough confidence that Choi will be a quality starting 1B, and that we didn't really need this season to find that out, then this perspective might actually make some sense, no matter how painful it makes the games to watch.
WWSH
So if Tracy isn't playing him than perhaps DePo doesn;t really mind.
A. Playing Phillips ahead of Choi, Saenz, Kent.
B. Batting Izturis leadoff.
C. Playing Robles ahead of Antonio Perez
D. Sac bunting with Choi, Drew, and Bradley.
E. Pitching Gio Carrara in close games.
F. Leaving Jeff Weaver in for too long.
G. Batting Repko #2.
Does anyone think DePo keeps a list, or has he already phoned in this year?
I read a funny Choi quote in the paper. He said something like, "i not play much in September. At least I well rested. I dont get as tired"...
Maybe its good that Choi isnt playing in the hot humid weather of DC. We cant have him running out of gas :)
Bradley, who also singled and walked, made a key mental error during the eighth inning, when he batted with no outs after Oscar Robles had reached on a single. Bradley attempted to bunt against Stanton, but he popped the ball up, and catcher Gary Bennett caught it in foul territory. Majewski entered the game and retired both hitters he faced to end the Dodgers' rally.
``I just overanalyzed the situation,'' Bradley said. ``I thought I'd try to be a smart guy and try and trick them and lay a bunt down, move the runner up, possibly get a hit. But the last thing I expected to do was pop up,"
This is believable. Milton does like to pull the surprise bunt. I don't think it's ever actually worked. Does anyone remember any of them actually working? Sigh....
WWSH
I have a theory on this, and it's based on no info whatsoever, and it's coming right out of my butt, but here goes:
I read a quote of Tracy's once, stating that DePo has never interceded in Tracy's on-field choices, and that Tracy admires DePo for that. If it's indeed true that DePo has been so very hands-off, the question is: why? Perhaps it's this: DePo's never worn a big-league uniform. Tracy knows that fact. DePo knows that Tracy knows that fact. And if DePo were to start fiddling with Tracy's line-up card, DePo knows that Tracy will start reminding the players of that fact, in subtle ways (an eye-roll here, a "Harvard" comment there, the occaisional quip about laptops thrown in for flavor). From that point on, every on-field snafu becomes the Harvard egghead's on-field snafu, with Tracy an innocent puppet, being yanked by whichever strings the ivy league dilletente's computer says to pull.
Like I said, it's just a guess. But I really think DePo's lack of on-field experience has him stuck in a bit of an intrapersonal/political bind, leaving him with only a few imperfect options, here. And the option he appears to have chosen: keep his hands well-clear of the on-field operation, allowing the team to rise or fall based on whether Tracy rises or falls.
Sadly for us, Tracy's not rising.
Kim got Yamid Haad to finish the inning. You thought our catchers were bad last year? Look at the Giants, they have the super impressive tandem of Yamid Haad and Justin Knoedler. Between them, they are 0-8 in the majors. Matheny is on the bereavement list
1) I've known this for all eight years I've lived here, but tonight was a reminder: The humidity in DC is stifling. I was so sweaty just sitting in my seat that I can't imagine actually running or pitching a major league game in these conditions.
2) Absolutely no one seemed to care that I was wearing an LA hat, aside from a couple of fellow Dodger fans who approved.
3) If Wilkerson, Guzman and Vidro were performing roughly as well as they did last year the Nats' offense would be servicable and they would still be in first place.
4) The Choi thing remains baffling. I had just finished a long explanation of the Choi-Phillips situation to my friend (an O's fan) when Choi came up and struck out on three pitches. He can't win, and he'll never improve as a hitter under these conditions.
1) Starting Phillips at 1st (this one really blew up tonight)
2)Sending Cesar (ditto on the blow up)
3) Milton Bunting (because it worked out so well last time)
4) Sending Gio out for a 2nd innng.
You can disagree with other minor moves Tracy made but these 4 are indisputably bad. Don't make any 2 of those 4 and the Dodgers possibly a win. 3 of 4 and its probably a win, 4 of 4 well...
Also, I had a friend who was at the came who said he saw Milton point (in a negative manner) toward the dugout, possibly at Tracy, after the failed bunt attempt. Can anyone who was there confirm or deny this?
Last I was wondering if Billy Beane calls up DePo after games like this and just starts laughing... I know that Beane and DePo are still friends, but there has to be some "I told you so" on Beane's part.
Closser singled in a run against Walker, still not out of the inning. 3-2 Rockies
Dbacks still down 5-0
Beltre hit another homerun! Here comes the inevitable surge that makes everyone think he'll be worth $13 million...next year. Yeah, that's the ticket.
Seems there are too many GMs who...
I'm now digesting a 1st birthday dinner meal of Roscoe's Chicken and Waffles and reading the comments. Just read 467 - LOL. Then I read it again - LOL again.
OPS of .825 against lefties
Anyone know who I'm referring to?
Izturis and Antonio Perez.
There's almost a 200 point gap in OPS there. And in reality, its Izturis playing instead of AP.
Robles should be at SS with AP at 3rd.
Phillips/Izturis in the lineup is costing us about .360 points of OPS per nite. Staggering.
SHUT YOUR MOUTH!
I'm talkin' 'bout Choi.
THEN WE CAN DIG IT!
Haven't we been here before? How many times do we have to keep hearing this nonsense?
Its one thing to ascribe incompetence to Tracy. I can accept that. However, to suggest JT would blackmail his center fielder with playing time if Bradley didn't lie and tell the media he bunted on his own is going too far, at least for me.
While I disagree with many of his moves, I fully believe Tracy wants to win as much as anyone and believes his decisions are in the best interest of the team. He is not sabotaging games in a effort to disprove moneyball. What's more, many of his moves are not that unconventional. The problem is he comes from the old school of baseball and manages accordingly. Many here embrace a new philosophy and assume Depo adopts the same exclusively, that makes it all the more difficult when that old school philosophy keeps us from our best chance to win. I share this frustration, but I refuse to believe Tracy would jeopardize his personal and professional integrity to make Depo look bad or prove Depo's trades wrong. In sum, everyone who has ever dealt with JT (with the possible exceptions of Grudz and Karros) say he is a stand up guy. He has his faults but, his character is not one of them.
How do you know Depo dislikes Tracy? Was there something in the news I missed.
I have brought this up before, but having Bradley bunt with two on and no out is NOT old school baseball. Again, Joe Morgan, the anti-Moneyball guru of all time, I have heard time and time say again when set up by Jon Miller "I don't think [#3 or #4 hitter] should bunt because you pay that hitter to drive in runs." Ryne Sandberg, who just went on and on in his HoF speech about bunting, had something like 30 in 15 years.
I think you are taking Post #639 too literally. There is a frustration with the nonsense that is going on and people just want it to stop. But it's not "old school." It is part of an anti-Moneyball backlash which has taken bunting to ridiculous extremes in order to show that "bunting works." It is, in itself, "new," not old.
In the interest of full disclosure, I think he is tubing Choi because of the trade, and have thought so since last year, when Grabowski hit .025 in September while Choi sat on the bench. I do not think that Tracy is blackmailing Bradley. I do believe that Tracy has created a mentality in the clubhouse that is commensurate with Tracy's essentially ideological belief in the bunt.
I know #639 wasn't meant literally but it bugs me that people just assume Tracy is a "bad" guy and Depo and Frank really hate him, when none of us know the truth.
From Gurnick's story:
Manager Jim Tracy tried to be diplomatic when asked if that was what he wanted Bradley to do.
"I don't think so," he said. "He represents the go-ahead run, that's definitely not the situation to consider bunting. I think he saw something with the depth of [third baseman Vinny] Castilla and Kent on deck. In that situation, you've got a shot with him and Kent and [Jose] Valentin and you hope with [Olmedo] Saenz."
Bradley's bunt off left-hander Mike Stanton popped up and into the glove of catcher Gary Bennett. Kent was called out on strikes and Valentin grounded out.
"I just overanalyzed the situation," said Bradley. "The way I was feeling tonight, I definitely should have swung the bat. I tried to be a smart guy, tried to be a genius and it turned out to be the dumbest thing I could have done. I tried to trick them [and] it totally backfired."
-------------------
I blame Tracy for many things, but I don't blame him for Bradley being too clever by half in this situation.
WWSH
Still no word on Phillips I assume?
I feel really bad that I was slightly happy when I saw he left the game. It's a shame that I hate the way our team is run so much that I start hoping for players to get hurt. The thing is, even with Phillips out, Choi isn't the next option to go in the lineup, Saenz and Perez are.
At least I've got the A's to watch. If they were still playing like they were in May, I'm not sure what I'd do.
I can only conclude that they do not strongly disagree with JT's lineups.
I don't think that's the only possible conclusion. DePo may despise Tracy's recent lineups but for all sorts of reasons is willing to tolerate them at this point in time. I think he was fine with playing Olmedo more often, but Henson's recent piece indicates that there has been some murmurings as of late about Choi's riding the pine in the front office. I think that that may only increase. Furthermore, McCourt may feel the need to keep Tracy on, either out of loyalty to the man or fear of a PR backlash.
My guess is that DePo and Tracy get along fine personally, but like one of the reporters Jon had for his three-way chat (was it Henson), my guess is that Tracy will be leaving this winter. The divorce may be amicable, but I think that things like the handling of Choi will eventually lead to it. I think DePo has a strong philosophical aversion to not interfering with on-field management, a policy which has its merits, but he'll eventually want a manager closer to his own outlook.
And don't use DePo's public persona to judge how he really thinks of Tracy. He's a man who's very glib and keeps his emotions in check--I remember him handling himself on Simers' radio show quite well. What DePo thinks in private may be totally different from what he says in public.
WWSH
I myself would have preferred that DePo be more vigorous with Tracy, but I don't think we should under-rate the importance of baseball custom with regards to how much a front office can dicate on-field moves. Beane's methods by definition cut against the grain, and there may be good reasons that DePo or McCourt doesn't feel he has the same liberty in this hostile media market. It may just be easier to wait until the winter.
WWSH
vr, Xei
It raises an issue I have often wondered about. Why did Beane agree to participate in the writing of Moneyball? He laid his philisophy out before God and Country thereby increasing compititon and making it far more difficult to navigate personnel waters. Even those that don't practice moneyball now know they hold a commodity that someone else deems valuable. That automatically raises the price. maybe he didn't expect to be with the A's much longer.
james loney with 2-4 with a 2b and a bb tonight.
his BA is up to .288 now and he might very well end the season around .300 which would surely show that last season was more due to his lingering finger injury and infection.
Was moneyball a term that was in existence before the book? Or did the book orginate the term?
I agree. And I don't think Depo would reallly be doing his job by letting us know right now what he thinks of Tracy's decisions. Eventually, however, I hope he has/will let Tracy know.
Roscoe's Chicken and Waffles is...well, chicken and waffles. If you like dinners that weigh as much as you do (or at least feel like it once you consume them), you'll love it.
Yes Southern type cooking Wings, Greens, Corn bread, red beans and rice along with the chicken, potatoes etc..
"Don't screw around with poor defenders at premium defensive positions. Certainly, everyone will take an A-Rod or a Jeff Kent if they can get him. But the number of such players is limited, and it may well make more sense to play someone like Izturis than, say, Julio Lugo or Terrence Long, who doesn't do anything particularly well. Investing in middle infield defense especially makes sense if you have a groundball-heavy pitching staff, which the Dodgers do."
I think Izturis will return to his defensive greatness. He looks like he may have bulked up a little bit this year, so I'm going to make the assumption that next year he will go return his usual self. Robles is not enough of an offensive upgrade to warrant starting over Izturis at SS. He is an average defender.
Yes, they order together. syrup, butter etc. chicken and waffles, same order
Fine. just bat him eighth. He can swing at every pitch then, who cares then.
He doesn't walk, doesn't see pitches, swings 2-0 counts in late innings down my multiple runs, he can't steal a base, low power. He would be an overachieving number 8.
I'm gonna sound like a saber apologist on this one. Either that, or I am just being hypothetical...
Perhaps at the time that Beane allowed Lewis to follow him around in order to write Moneyball, Billy sensed a shift in the marketplace. At the time, maybe OBP and slow white guys (just to stereotype a bit) were undervalued, but other teams were catching on.
If you look at the A's now, they are certainly a different team than the Giambi/Tejeda A's of a few years ago.
I don't recall Moneyball discussing pitching too much. Yet the A's are a pitching machine this year. I wonder if he was intent not to disclose his pitching strategy to Lweis. (or maybe he did and I just forgot it).
I do recall the hight strike out, low walk rate as the most important aspect of the Moneyball view of pitching. pitcher didn't have to throw 95 or be 6'5 if he could strike out people or not walk people. Of course if he threw 95 and did the other two things that was better.
I do recall the hight strike out, low walk rate as the most important aspect of the Moneyball view of pitching. pitcher didn't have to throw 95 or be 6'5 if he could strike out people or not walk people. Of course if he threw 95 and did the other two things that was better.
Lewis focused on offensive stats since that was where the greatest market inefficiency was. Beane's still using young (Rookie-young) pitchers for cheap. Even though they aren't flashy, their OPS Allowed is second only to Houston's. The A's are the fourth best team in the AL in OBP. The A's are still dead last in SB (though Boston has half as many CS). They're third from last in Sac hits (the Dodgers are tied with the Mets for eleventh; Washington is tops). Huh; not only does Washington lead the league in SH, it's also at the botom in SB%. Way to manufacture runs, Mr. Robinson.
LAT, Even this New England boy has been to Roscoes. More than once. Great food.
1) I am relieved that the decision to bunt was not Tracy's.
2) I am impressed with Bradley for not only taking responsibility for the bunt, but to be retrospective enough to realize it was not wise in that situation.
My biggest reason for dismissing Tracy has to do with his fanatical change of lineups. I believe that at minimum 6 positions should be consistent (i.e. 5 - 6 games a week). With the exception of Kent, Izturis, and Bradley JT changes the lineup constantly. I don't think any of the other 5 guys are comfortable at all and have to be wondering were they fit in. I know injuries have taken a toll on being able to field a consistent lineup. With Valentin back and assuming Drew is out for the season I would like to see the following lineup sink-or-swim:
Robles (3B)
Izturis (SS)
Bradley (CF)
Kent (2B)
Valentin (LF)
Choi(1B)
Repko (RF)
Navarro (C)
Since we know Choi would never start regularly I am willing to give the job to Phillips. I am torn about Perez. His offensive upside is hard to bench, but where does he play? How about 1B? He can't be any worse than Phillips and I would accept Choi on the bench with Perez's bat in the lineup.
Anyhow, Houlton looked good. Everyone else was pretty flat.
Random observations. Both Cesar and Valentin took the time during the game to collect stray foul balls and hand them to little kids, which was nice.
Hee Seop Choi has a lot of fans. A few people around me were calling for him to come in throughout the game, and when he was on deck in the ninth, a little "Hee. Seop. Choi." chant started in our section where he could clearly hear it.
Kind of nice, in a way, to get such a stark reminder not to rush to judgment/jump to conclusions as the Bradley pop bunt. During the game, I rejected out of hand the idea that he was bunting on his own, and said some pretty harsh things about the move to my friend (who himself believed it must have been an effort to sneak one in, as it was).
The chicken and waffles are also good.
I have been thoroughly frustrated with the Dodgers inability to get any "momentum" going this season (when was the last 4 game winning streak?) and I am now convinced that Tracy's lineup jockeying is the reason.
I double posted on 698 and 699 and I couldn't apologize and have it be on post # 700. You can't have a double posting apology on post #700, you just can't
So thanks.
I know it is one game but this is a small test to see if Penny is really our stopper, our ace. Dodgers need this win. good chance SD could lose again tonight with the expected pitching match-ups.
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