Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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TV and more ...
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Many of you know I don't put much stock in idle chit-chat, but I have to make note of this, courtesy of Ken Gurnick at MLB.com:
The Dodgers might find that bat by assuming all (or part) of a contract another club would like to unload through a salary-dump trade. Names that come to mind include Todd Helton, Jim Thome, Aubrey Huff and Adrian Beltre. With the removal from the payroll of Darren Dreifort, Shawn Green and Jeff Weaver, among others, the new GM could have a net of $25 million additional to spend.
The Dodgers farm system is considered one of the most fertile in baseball and to get an All-Star type hitter, it likely would require the organization to swallow hard and dangle some of those jewels of the future -- Joel Guzman, Russell Martin, Chad Billingsley, Andy LaRoche, Edwin Jackson -- for much-needed help now.
Could you see the Dodgers trying to recapture the mystique of 2004 by reacquiring Beltre - getting a discount on his salary by giving up top prospects?
On the surface, a move as simple as signing Nomar Garciaparra to a two-year contract with incentives, to bridge the gap between now and the arrival of Joel Guzman and Andy LaRoche, might make sense - qualified only by questions about Garciaparra's health. But before people freak out in the good way or the bad way about the thought of bringing back Beltre, keep in mind that a) this remains unlikely and b) the value of any deal depends on the price. As I noted last week, there remain compelling reasons to value Beltre and compelling reasons to stay away from him.
Was it a mistake to let Beltre go? Man, I think you have to be awfully generous to Beltre to shout "yes" with any confidence. After all that's been said, Beltre was a flop in the first year of his new contract, worse than Drew, worse than Derek Lowe, worse than Brad Penny, certainly worse than Jeff Kent.But second acts do happen in Los Angeles. And like it or not, I suppose we should keep an eye out for Beltre, as well as any other True Dodgers who might be on the market.He wasn't worse than Jose Valentin - and look, if money is no object, I'll take Beltre 2005 over Valentin 2005 any day. But money is an object.
Within four years, we'll find out emphatically whether letting Beltre go was a mistake or not. I still think there's every possibility he'll return to All-Star status and make us rue the day (or continue to rue the day) that he left. But it pains me to say it that I'm less confident that day will come, and more open to the possibility that we were saved from witnessing a disappointing five years. After all, there was a time when I was not alone in thinking Raul Mondesi was going to the Hall of Fame.
* * *
Gurnick's article also mentions that Jeff Kent, "who met with ownership two weeks ago, has told teammates he would ask for a trade if (Milton) Bradley returns." Now, putting aside the fact that these two could still mend fences (Bradley would have to have his entire carpentry set out to remain a Dodger, anyway), ask yourself how much Kent could bring in a trade this offseason.
Jim Thome...please.
But you're right, Jon, there is no player a team shouldn't trade nor acquire if the exchange is in your favor and meets your needs.
I just want to be assured that Camille Johnston isn't polling on Beltre's approval ratings vs. Guzman's, and leading the team to make the decision based purely on what boosts the McCourt 'brand.'
100% proven.
Absolutely no doubt.
Bill Plaschke would not lie to me.
Joe Randa (Padres) - Previous prediction: Padres - one-year, $3.5 million
That prediction can be ruled out now that the Padres have acquired Vinny Castilla. The Dodgers, Twins, Devil Rays, Red Sox, Brewers and Pirates are among the teams that might be willing to give Randa a modest raise from the $2.15 million he made last season. Prediction: Dodgers - one year, $3 million
http://tinyurl.com/97tvt
Hey, this was part of my "Firing of Paul DePodesta" conspriracy theory #83 a week or so ago. vr, Xei
I'm going to go have a drink or ten.
However, I think he eventually ends up at 3rd or the OF (diminishing his value), and I'm not sure what to make of his plate discipline.
Ideally this is the type of player that you spin off to a Milwaukee or Pittsburgh for a about-to-become-expensive pitcher (preferably) or multi-category, stud hitter.
Problem is, unless Milwaukee or Minnesota want to give up Sheets or Santana, I don't see an ace on a bad team that could be available.
And I certainly don't want to see any more articles where "trading Guzman" and "Aubrey Huff" appear together.
If we do get Konerko then we can package Loney to the M's to get Ichiro.
Or actually maybe that is why Loney has been playing outfield lately.
Pipe dreams?...
Oh yeah, may not be a bad idea to insert bone spurs in Beltre's ankle...
I'd rather not get Beltre. Just saying, if we had to trade Kent, I'd rather trade Kent for Beltre than trade prospects for Beltre. Prospects for Kent would be throwing in the towel, at least to Plaschkers.
*kent to mets for petit and milledge
*bradley and odalis to mariners for beltre+ 12 mil over 4 yrs
*sign nomar to 2 yr deal
*sign brian giles to 3 yr deal
*sign matt morris to a 2 yr deal
lineup
2b- aybar
ss- nomar
cf- drew
3b- beltre
lf- giles
1b- choi
rf- cruz
c- navarro
penny
lowe
morris
petit
jackson
http://www.blogmaverick.com/contact/
Actually, the page seems more like it's for the blog than Cuban directly, but on his blog, the link says "Contact Mark Cuban."
Now we can all ask him to buy the Dodgers. I wonder if Jon would mind if we all said we were from Dodger Thoughts.
c- martin
1b- loney
2b- young
ss- guzman
3b- laroche
cf- milledge
haha, that makes me drool more than the big league club.
a little bit, not by much. petit reminds me a lot of livan hernandez. not the greatest of stuff, but durable and always seems to get people out. he could be a good change of pace guy to billz and jax.
We miss you belly!
Send this to Ng ASAP!
thats a good idea fanerman. cuban can be the leader in our hostile takeover of the dodgers.
St Louis does not have much to offer.
28-
Obviously I like the Kent deal and I think adding Beltre would be nice (means LaRoche is gone though), but I would not even bother to sign Nomar and Giles. Clearly we are building for the future if we trade Kent away so I highly doubt Giles would come here.
"Last weekend, I attended (as a speaker of sorts) 2005 First Pitch Arizona, an annual fantasy baseball symposium organized by fantasy maven Ron Shandler. I'm contractually prohibited from revealing anything I learned that might be particularly interesting -- for example, the reason the Dodgers weren't all that interested in re-signing Adrian Beltre a year ago -- but I'm perfectly free to write about the four Arizona Fall League games we saw in two days."
So, there was some sort of secret reason? No fair teasing us, Neyer!
This is completely uninformative, obviously, but I thought I'd throw it into today's Beltre thoughts stew.
molokai was there!!! molokai, gives us the dirt on beltre!
1. 2005 was his big salary year on his contract - $17MM, I believe. The balance of his contract would potentially be cheaper than market rate.
2. I recall that DePodesta made a vague allusion to Beltre in a discussion about there being certain players connected with steroid use that the Dodgers did not pursue.
It is a cool concept but there is not much substance to it. The Cubs one they just said we will add Furcal.
I posted other items about the conference at
http://www.minorleagueball.com/story/2005/11/7/172518/170
Nate - You and Rocker used to mock me for
1. Not wanting Kent and Bradley on the team
2. Suggesting that Kent might very well ask to be traded this off-season
3. Suggesting that the Dodgers trade Kent this off-season
Now you're saying we should trade Kent and Bradley. You guys should really control your mockery and treat people better.
As much as the Mets are in a hurry, they won't give up Milledge and/or Petit for one year of Kent. They might fear he's next year's Steve Finley. Milledge got a big write-up in the NY Times recently. Minaya just can't do that. The more likely scenario in my mind is to get the Mariners to take Bradley, Perez and Choi for Beltre plus money to offset his salary. Then work a deal for Thome that has Philly eating part of that contract. Give up LaRoche, or a couple second-level prospects, to do that:
Thome 1B
Kent 2B
Robles/Aybar/Izturis SS
Beltre 3B
Werth LF
Drew CF
Cruz, Jr. RF
Navarro C
Penny
Lowe
Jackson or FA
Billingsley or FA
Houlton or FA
That's a team you could win the division with, while hardly causing a ripple in the prospect chain. I know Steve and others choke on Thome, but there's every reason to believe he can still hit. Don't like Thome? Substitute Helton. I'd rather pay stupid amounts of money to guys I know can hit home runs, than near-stupid amounts of money to guys who we think might (i.e. Dunn, Giles, Randa).
Kent is showing his true colors. Didn't he say that he wouldn't ask the Dodgers to trade Bradley? Instead, he threatens them that he'll demand a trade if they keep Bradley.
Kent to the Twins for Francisco Liriano and Lew Ford
Andy Marte is on the block and is ready for the majors. The Dodgers could trade for him and if LaRoche pans out, Marte could move to 1B.
i want to trade them because i want lastings milledge.
But didn't you want lastings milledge back when you didn't want to trade Kent and Bradley? Why do you want to get rid of them all of a sudden?
If you happen to visit the ESPN Dodger board, you may have read my postings there where I speculated after Beltre signed with Seattle that Depo may have known or at least suspected that Beltre had been juicing, and that such knowledge/suspicion reduced his desire to resign Beltre.
2005:$17m
2006:$11.75m
2007:$11.75m
2008:$11.75m
2009:$11.75m
-even if Seattle were to send along $12m/4yrs like nate suggested, that the Dodgers would be paying $35m/4yrs for a guy that is basically Vinny Castilla. Not to mention that he would block LaRoche and possibly Guzman and Dewitt. I really cant see a situation where Beltre being a Dodger is a good thing.
liriano looks like santana.
8) Francisco Liriano, LHP
Began the season as a decent prospect with good upside, ended it as the best LHP prospect in the game. Has always had a live arm, but he improved his command this year, and looks very much like Johan Santana during his breakthrough. Which doesn't mean Liriano will be another Santana, but that is the kind of ceiling Liriano has.
Does not sound like Sanchez to me.
some things d4p.
1- when i said "lets trade bradley and kent", i wasnt wholeheartily serious. the ideal scenario would be for both to stay, but if they cant, then why not, lets rebuild.
2- back then, we had a GM who had a plan going into the offseason. things have changed as you know.
3- i would trade anyone on this team if the return warranted it.
He's an emotional player, in a bad way. He needs to be relaxed to play up to his full potential, but peace of mind has been difficult to find during his career for many reasons. I think Seattle got the worst possible end of that deal. They probably should keep him; I think he'll be much better in '06 now that expectations for him will be lower.
i still dont understand this. Liriano has amazing stuff, good control and is just filthy. his 96mph fastball is his 3rd best pitch. what are your claims to back it up that he is nothing more than duaner sanchez?
15, 20, 13, 21, 23, 48, 19
one of these numbers do not belong I am sorry to say.
15,20,12,21,23, and 19 dont belong.
the number 48 is the true measure of his ability.
2001 515 93
2002 635 98
2003 608 89
2004 657 163
2005 650 90
It's, uh, eye-catching if nothing else. Wow.
Mark, I'm not sure where you're coming from, but Liriano has always been tabbed as a superior prospect, the only hang-up being him staying healthy. Lefties who throw as hard as he does with his amount of stuff don't come around too often.
Finally, who's to say Kent has all that much trade value? He only has one year left on his contract so he would have to go to someone like Boston who has a need at 2B and wants to win now. Getting Milledge and Petit is veeeery optimistic, those are the same names being thrown around to get Manny, and Manny's considerably younger with a lot more years left on his contract. Not to mention he's one of the best hitters in the game while Kent is only one of the best hitting second basemen in the game.
Go look at Richard Hidalgo. Same thing on him. He hit 44 HR in 2000 and OPS 1.036. He has hovered around .750 since.
my 89 comment was me joking around. i guess its hard to convey that on a blog.
He gave up some runs, but still only allowed 19 hits in 23 innings, and had 33 Ks. If that's his true colors, I'd still trade for him.
The media was so busy celebrating DePo's departure that it didn't bother grilling the McCourts on the issue.
Holy god, I give up. The inmates are running the asylum. Feel free to have all the discussions you like about completely bankrupting the team for 22 year old kids that may or may not pan out. I only have three words for you: JOSEPH WILLIAM THURSTON. I know, let's trade JD Drew for Andy Marte while we're at it!
Good night.
but would it be a step back if in his second move, he trades for a player that was the best player on his 2004 team? I would think that move would outweight the kent trade in the PR war.
that said, i give all of this of happening at a 2% chance.
where can i sign up for that?
I see the offseason progressing with an ill-fated prospects-for-big-name trade, signing of another big name (Nomar?), and paying too much for an average pitcher (Morris?).
This will probably result in enough to win the division, taking the heat back off McCourt, but ultimately restricting the evolution of the organization.
And what's so crazy about saying Kent only has 2 years left in him? How many 40-year-old 2B do you remember in your lifetime? Sandberg lasted until 37 and wasn't very good after 33. Carew went to 39, wasn't great after 37. We're not talking about Barry Bonds here, Kent has remained steady throughout his career, but players like him can break down at any minute?
Oh, I was going to answer that one.
"Um, yes?".
I do not think Nomar and overpaying for Morris will make us a contender. Of course that depends on the big name you say we would acquire. Bradley is gone in my opinion. I think we are going to end up non tendering him. That leaves us with a Drew, Cruz, Werth outfield (ie not good). Nomar if he comes here I do not think will do as well because of the supressing of doubles and this being a pitcher's park (I know I gave an optimistic view for Nomar before, but I was planning on him not coming here but going to Milwaukee or somewhere like that). If you go by last year Weaver was 66th in VORP and Morris was 119th so we become worse there. Odalis Perez stinks so that really does not help us. I think last year is around what we can expect from Penny and Lowe. Fifth starter I guess would be Houlton and I am not expecting a ton from him. A slight improvement but nothing major. Who knows what is going to happen with first base I think that is the position where we would add the "big name" you mentioned. Our pen I think will be solid. So basically I think our outfield will be worse, our starting pitching will be worse, and our infield is a wild card. So I really do not see us being contenders for the World Series (that should be our goal if we are mortagaging the future). So I rather trade away someone like Kent and just build for the future and add pieces around our minor leaguers.
Considering the west will most likely be weak again, if we add a few parts and are less injury-prone I don't see why we won't buy ourselves a ticket to a first-round exit.
I'd put Morris and Weaver at about even. They're both solid innings-eaters who don't strike out a ton of guys. I think Morris' ERA would be helped by pitching in Dodger Stadium, leaving him in the mid-high 3's. Casual fans will think we made a significant upgrade because Morris is a bigger name. In reality we'll just be overpaying for a Weaver clone.
My guess is Depodesta said this to Frank and Frank went Trump on him
Your right I got my priorities messed up. I should be thinking overspending to try to win a terrible division instead of winning world series ;). My expectations are high though I mean really how long has it been since we really were World Series contenders and had a legit shot to win it? We should have that mindset but we do not.
Yeah.
While I have long advocated trading Kent (for a variety of reasons), I never once thought that Depo intended to do so.
I'd like to see Kent traded to the Giants. They deserve each other.
if liriano was still in the giants org, i would say "yes, kent to the giants for liriano"
but i guess we would have to settle for cain.
wow imagine of sabean wasnt an idiot? he would have cain and liriano.... thats a scary thought.
I was just thinking the same thing. I'm not watching the game, but I see they're up 11-2 and haven't missed a shot yet. Phil is the man, although I don't expect this to continue all season long. Brown and Mihm need to step it up.
Of course, I don't think we should trade Kent. I think we can easily contend in this division next year, but not if we trade Kent. Call me crazy, but I'm not sure how we become WS-contenders by trading our best hitter and MVP.
then i realized i am broke so that wouldnt be possible.
They still aren't playing a lick of interior D though. That'll catch up to them eventually, unless Kwame starts sharpening his elbows.
Just as well. You have homework to do.
Bob - Did you see that 18-pitch AB HR in 2004? You can't place a dollar value on that kind of magic.:)
Personally,the last person(s) I want to see back in a Dodger uniform would be
1)Erickson,
2) any number of Dan Evans pickups (Baldwin, Burnitz, Henderson,Mulholland, McGriff),
3) any number of outfielders that Tracy thought were "scrappy" (Repko, Edwards, Romano,Kinkade),
4)Kevin Brown, and
5)Gary Sheffield.
Beltre, even with his inflated contract, and now reverting to his natural level of (pre '04)performance, would still be pretty far down the list.
Gammons always says that Cora is supposed to be one of the smartest guys in the game. But I remember when he was breaking in, Davey Johnson would always complain about Cora couldn't do fundamental skills well (such as giving A-Rod a concussion on a DP attempt).
What's the web address, Purcey?
wow, defense!?!?!
*Neither do most 7-foot white guys.
lo duca: dodgers??
Lo Duca: Soul
"They always like to talk about the Dodger way. Well, the Dodger way ain't
working too good. They'll never win, not unless they change everything. I mean,
look at it. Just look at all of the constant mistakes they keep making. They've
got the highest payroll in baseball. There are no prospects. And they've got a
whole team full of guys with contracts that nobody wants."
Of course there are 24 seconds left.
i guess theres a live feed of our AFL team...
No one panic now, but Lawler's Law was broken today! The Clippers reached 100 points first against Philadelphia today, but lost anyway.
Yet, the planet is still here.
Posted by: Bob Timmermann at February 6, 2005 12:47 PM
bad news: only loney is in the lineup :(
Enough live feeds, Nate. You need to hit the books.
I tend to know about Lawler's Law mainly because I rarely watch an NBA game before the 4th quarter.
I'm not as dedicated to the NBA as MLB.
3 guesses as to which team violated Lawler's Law the most (got to 100 points first but ended up losing the game)...
After 4,745 votes, here are the results:
First base 38 percent
Outfield 7 percent
Starting pitcher 29 percent
Third Base 25 percent
The fans picked the one position where the Dodgers actually have enough players!
I voted for outfield because I figured we are going to lose Bradley.
182 Is Portland on the list?
Watching Heat/Pacers right now for a minute -- Jason Kapono appears not to be wearing a headband.
Here's Bud Selig on the mess at Chavez Ravine, according to the AP:
He (Selig) is not worried about turnover in the Dodgers' organization under Frank and Jamie McCourt. ``Everybody wants to do the best for their franchise. I know the McCourts do, too. I'm sure that they'll get the train on the track. I don't have any great concerns today.''
Yeah. No need to send a rescue plane. Only football players dressed like cannibals live on that island.
Isn't anyone nervous that we haven't really heard anything in the past few days about the GM search? I have a sinking feeling that Hart is about to be named the winner.
He'll quickly trade LaRoche and Billingsly for Thome and Beltre. Can't wait.
Yeah my wish is Hart does not want the job like Tom Hicks said and will go back to Texas because I think Frank wants to give him the job if he can not get anywhere with Theo.
Clippers beat unbeaten Wizards in Washington to remain in 1st place.
Who will be on the front page of the LA Times?
Probably not my boys. The Clips start is starting to remind me of our Dodger 12-2 start when everything was right in my world. Cassel/Mobley have been crap since the 1st game but Brand is carrying them on his back.
Wait. You mean Francisco Liriano? Oh. Never mind.
I also forgot he played for the Dodgers in 1997.
As for the front page of the LA Times sports section, it will be the L.A. Kings who lost to Detroit 5-4 in OT.
Thurston was overhyped because he was a one eyed man in the land of the blind.Our farm system was peopled by scrubs like Bubba Crosby,Glenn Davis and Brennan King.Now we have real prospects and a drooling owner and advisor Tommy Dementia...uh I mean Lasorda just waiting to clean out the system for gimpy vets.We need divine intervention!
However releasing David Ortiz is their Pedro/Delino. You could almost say that they might have won a playoff in 2003 or 2004 if they had Ortiz and the Sox didn't. Roto players knew the Twins were crazy when they wouldn't play Ortiz but none of us imagined him to be a 40 home run hitter. When everyone sloughs off Choi I think of Ortiz. If we do trade Choi I would think the Twins would be very interested. They need LH power big time and they have an opening at DH. I would be curious if Ng believes in Choi.
Clippers really need Maggette and Livingston back. Two things I have observed from watching the Clippers this year. Cassel will be the difference because he wants to be the go to guy in crunch time, which is something the Clippers really needed. The second observation is that Cuttino Mobley is a really limited player. He defends and he can shoot but his driving ability and ability to create his own offense is terrible. He also seems to be very streaky. He is not a go to guy at all and is just a complimentary piece which is why they need Maggette (who can score and rebound) and Livingston (who can score and create for others and possibly a lot of others things).
Kent for Nelson.
http://thenelsonbrothers.com/indexa.html
Was the talent obvious even back then?
http://tinyurl.com/asej2
T.J. Simers--buy a lottery ticket, today. Your luck could not possibly get better.
This LA episode is turning out to be Frank and Jamie's Bogus Adventure.
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