Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
The pitcher dazzled his Dodger teammates by allowing only one run in 5 1/3 innings. He followed that game by holding the Giants to one run over seven innings, and then smothered another division rival by allowing only one run over six innings.
The pitcher was Odalis Perez, and the succession of superb starts is the reason I'm not sold on Aaron Sele as a starting pitcher nor on abandoning Perez completely.
Sele pitched very well in Dodger Stadium on Sunday, allowing one run in 6 2/3 innings. He had a shaky first two innings, but could have emerged unscored upon if he had been able to field a hard comebacker by opposing pitcher Dave Bush. With the bases empty, Sele works as quickly as any Dodger pitcher I can remember. Perez, meanwhile, has given up seven runs in each of his past two starts.
Look, I'm always looking for a trade that will improve the team, so if the Dodgers can get one, super. But I'm skeptical. So, operating under the premise that Sele and Perez will be organization-mates for a little while, I would just hesitate before crowning Sele the superior pitcher. While it could be that Sele is getting a third or fourth wind - and how great would that be - it's also still possible that Sunday was the highpoint of a last, Ericksonian hurrah.
Meanwhile, Perez's recent streak could be the result of distraction over his mother's possibly terminal illness. Perez could be in a simple slump, like Jeff Kent, Rafael Furcal or whoever. Dodger manager Grady Little is most assuredly partly responsible, demonstrably leaving Perez in games past the point of effectiveness. Perez also might need a wakeup call, a real challenge to his standing on the team.
I don't dismiss the possibility that Perez's best days are behind him. He may have lost his ability, he may have lost his desire. The pitcher has been almost maddeningly inconsistent, and there does come a Kaz Ishii-like time when you just want to retreat from the mystery. But there are several open-ended questions about the situation, and I would just caution people from overreacting to the fact that Sele has been better than Perez for 10 days.
Of course, in the end, I'm hoping Chad Billingsley is an answer.
* * *
Dodger legend Fernando Valenzuela has been elected to the Shrine of the Eternals of the Baseball Reliquary, along with Josh Gibson and Japanese baseball pioneer Kenichi Zenimura. The Shrine is a Hall of Fame for people "who have altered the baseball world in ways that supersede statistics." I believe this is a wonderful and deserved honor for Valenzuela.
I'm sure given enough time I would be able to think of more but Fernando was my favorite mania. I still wonder what would've happened had he started for us in 1980 against Houston instead of Dave Goltz.
if we could get an aaron heilman or a xavier nady from the mets for odalis, i wouldn't mind it. i don't know if that's possible though.
Hooton had started on Sunday
Reuss has started on Saturday
Sutton started on Friday and relieved on Sunday
Valenzuela relieved on Friday and Sunday
Welch wasn't healthy and had missed his last start, which Goltz took
The only other healthy starter was Rick Sutcliffe and he was worse than Goltz in 1980.
Lasorda was going to war without his full complement of troops.
Jay Johnstone had to start in right, Mickey Hatcher at third, and Derrel Thomas at shortstop.
The Dodger pinch hitters in the game were Vic Davalillo, Jack Perconte, and Gary Thomasson.
That Dodgers team would have been an easy target for the Phillies in the NLCS.
Today, writing about Barbaro's win in the Derby, he predicts that "barring some unlucky development, he is going to win the Triple Crown." Interesting read if you go in for that sort of thing.
http://tinyurl.com/zr8t8
Frankly, I am more concerned about OP's injury pronness (a made up word, I think) than his ablity.
And yet another issue with him, besides his injury history, is that he is a head case at times. It seemed like he was more jazzed up for this season than he was last year, but he does tend to check out sometimes, etc. So, basically I have mixed feelings about him, and about keeping him vs. getting rid of him - but the latter does depend on how desperate a team (the Mets) is to get him.
Lastings Milledge anyone? (Right.)
That said, I need to see about 5 good outings from Sele before I drink THAT kool-aid. My attitude now is anything he gives us is Lima-style gravy.
So, I guess I don't want to do anything.
http://tinyurl.com/pfm9j
Apparently, Odalis is considered something of a prickly, difficult personality (like Milton Bradley, but in a different way). None of us probably knows enough to comment on that, but it's hard to imagine Aaron Sele is a better option than Odalis. That the Dodgers would release him if not for his contract (as reported in LA Times) seems absurd. Unless he has totally lost his desire to pitch or something like that--which apparently would have happened sometime between his 3-0 start and now.
Cliff Floyd for Odalis Perez?
Floyd is off the books this year, and could satisfy LA's need for left handed power (if he starts hitting, that is).
Sele is not the answer to replacing OP but we should be happy that Ned had him stashed away in AAA. He pitched great last night against a solid offensive team and gave the team a huge boost.
Are the Mets paying him under the table? Did they sign him to a contract or did they just pick him up waiting around a Baseball Depot store looking for work? :-)
It probably is true, though, that the Dodgers will shop Sele instead, or too... depending on who's interested.
He's due to make $6.5M "this season".
And he seems to be a clubhouse problem although I am not there, so I can't be certain. There's always someone or something else to blame for his performance.
I hope that Ned finds a trade partner for him. Sele and/or Billingsly would do just fine. And there's Houlton. You can't tell me any one of these options would be that much worse than Odalis.
1. I can't believe that a team would think that Sele is "back", and thus offer anything meaningful for him. Sele hasn't had an ERA under 5 since 2002 (w/ Anaheim, 4.89).
Look no further than the Mets very own Jose Lima for a prescedent on how a pitcher can briefly put it all together, only to revert back to their old self given enough time.
2. Sele makes next to nothing. Odalis makes $20M this year and next. If the Mets would take on that salary, I wouldn't much care what came back in return, as I doubt it would be more than what Sele would fetch.
Perez's salary isn't much of a factor in my mind right now. It's budgeted, it's not standing in the way of any other move we might want to make, and we can always shed it later. I tend to think Perez is going to end up being a worthwhile pitcher to have on our roster, despite the emotional toll of his ups and downs. His trade value isn't going to drop much further than it has already, barring a debilitating injury, and we know there's a market for him. The question is when is the optimal time to put him on the market, and I'd say "not now."
Odalis' salary this year isn't a burden, but I'll take an extra $10M for next year's budget.
Also, I am not interested in making any moves right now. With an exception or two, the starting pitching is solid. The offense has awakened. And this while Kent and Furcal are stinking up the place which is not going to continue indefinitely. The defense is fine, especially with Martin behind the plate. Let's face it, the place where we are awful is the bullpen. Baez is not going to continue this way. He didn't save 42 games with this kind of problem, it will get worked out. Gagne will be back shortly. Sele can help in long relief. Beimel looks good as does Broxton.
As for the big picture, let's face it Colorado is not this good. They should wake up any minute now and remember who they are. Az is better than Co but not much. Green and the rest of them are not going to continue to put up 8-9-10 runs a game and their bullpen is worse than ours. The Giants are bad and getting worse. Of course, Barry will get better than he is hitting now, but the rest of that offense in anemic, especially with Alou out. Let's face it, when Randy Winn is a force in your line-up that should be your first sign the iceberg is approaching. In addition their entire staff, starters and bullpen alike are horrible. The Padres should be better than they are and I expect they will get better.
In short, The Dodgers with a lousy Furcal, Kent and Baez are playing below their potential. CO and AZ are playing over their heads. The Giants will not get materially better. The Pods should get better but not as good as the Dodgers. I am willing to play this hand as dealt.
The Rockies have three in St. Louis, a day off, three in Houston, then home to play the Dodgers for three, a day off and then three at home with traditional interleague rival Toronto!
Lat, you missed a chance for a good line: "The Giants have no potential..."
An exception or two? Umm... that's 40% of your rotation. And if Perez is indeed starting to slide down a very steep and slippery slope, it could be argued that should be "an exception or three," though I guess it would no longer be the exception.
What worries me is how much has to go "right" for the Dodgers to confidently move ahead in the division. The Rocks have to start playing much worse (claims that they're bad notwithstanding...), as to the DBacks. Meanwhile, the LADs have to start playing better. Meanwhile, you're banking on the improvement of a 38-year-old 2nd baseman, as well as the continued excellent play of several suspect members of the team, headlined by our good friend Mr. Repko (as much as I like seeing improvement in young guys, if he OPSs over .900 for the season I'll eat my hat.
The team is better than they've played. And some of their competition is probably worse. But unless the team is a lot better, or the competition is a lot worse, that still might well end up meaning the Dodgers lose a still-weak NL West.
Offer him to the mets for nothing, just make them eat his salary.
We have billingsley ready, and if the dodgers want billingsley to get a couple more months in the minors just use sele till then.
We are not going to win the world series this year, so its a win win to dump perez salary.
Odalis Perez and Jose Cruz
for
Cliff Floyd, Jorge Julio, and Xavier Nady (I don't think there's any chance that we can get Heilman)
"The Birmingham Barons ended up leaving the field during the eighth inning of their Saturday game against the Jacksonville Suns when manager Chris Cron decided that to continue playing would likely lead to further fighting.
The Barons were trailing 11-5 at the time, which became the official score after the Barons' decision to not take the field.
...
Problems within the game started in the sixth inning, when Jacksonville righthander Spike Lundberg threw a pitch close to Barons' infielder Corey Smith. Smith gestured with his bat toward Lundberg and after a brief exchange, both benches emptied.
Order was restored, but at the end of the inning, Lundberg and Smith went at it again, and the benches again emptied. At one point, an opposing player hit Cron in the face.
According to the paper, Cron and both radio announcers identified Matt Kemp as the player who took a swing at the manager, but Suns manager John Shoemaker said he did not see Kemp punch anyone.
'I'll say that Matt Kemp is a very talented player,' Cron said. 'He can run, hit for average, hit for power and play center field. I told [White Sox farm director]David Wilder I thought he was the real deal and that if he had the chance, he was a guy we'd like to have.
'All I'll say about what happened is I'm retracting that statement right now. Some things are more important than what you can do on the field.'"
Nady would probably be asking too much, and they still need him in the OF. I think we have too many RH-bats as it is.
Has NY soured on Julio so quickly?
Hernandez is full of himself.
Hopefully, just until the All-Star break, which is about 2 months. That's the timetable for Chad Billingsley.
That equates to about 8 starts or so needed from Sele.
Ooh, and maybe if we throw in Steve Lyons they'd give us Mr. Met. He could be in charge of cheering up Kent.
But don't we already have someone to light a fire under him????
I would say that they both are marginal pitchers with a similarity that they both have extreme ups and downs. Inconsistent if you will...
Clippers are off to the land of the Sun in their 1st ever 2nd round playoff as the Clippers. Hoping for a split and at least a 6 game series. Not really expecting a series victory but it would be so sweet if it could happen. The keys will be Caveman, Corey, and Livingston. If Caveman controls the paint he will offset Thomas and his outside shooting. Brand will offset Marion and Ross will make Nash work plenty hard. Livingston must continue to be aggressive when he's in the game. Corey is the only Clipper that can match Barboso's speed and if he leads the Clips in scoring like he did against Denver we have a chance because alot of those points will be from the line so we can put the Suns in foul trouble.
Colorado will be in last place by the end of the year. The pitching will fold during July/Aug/Sept. Arizona is another manner and I still expect them to be our competition. They still have the ability to move Clark, Green, Quentin, Counsel, or C Jackson for pitching while upgrading at SS with Drew and CF with Chris Young later this summer.
Every successful start he makes should be seen as divine intervention.
One of Depo's failings last year was he didn't have the 4A-plus starters you need in Triple-A to plug into a rotation.
The Padres did, one reason they won the NL West. If Sele can give the LAD a decent run for a month or two, he's been worth the money. He's also buying time for Billingsley, no small thing.
Support him as strongly as possibly. This improves the chance he gets on a little roll -- then you trade him.
Strong support also reduces the media connecting so many dots that reduce his trade value -- such as reports that the LAD are gleeful he left the club and would be tempted to release him if his contract were small.
Of course, a smart club wouldn't have guaranteed him so much money, after being around him and all of his problems the last few years.
Let's say you could save $15 million on the deal.
too bad he is like manny in the outfield.
Is Timmermann using Weisman's computer?
do it!
http://npmusic.org/artists.html
This one is of Luis Alcaraz who played briefly and poorly for the Dodgers in 1966 and 1967.
Check out Alcaraz' profile plus many more (Mike Marshall, Stan "Big Daddy" Williams and Steve Howe) since Jon wrote about my site in his blog the other day
here were nine major league scouts on hand Wednesday night in Kilgore to watch Hochevar strike out three in two exhibition innings. Another dozen or more are likely to show up Monday (6 p.m. first pitch) in excess of 20 for his regular-season debut Saturday.
http://www.dfw.com/mld/dfw/sports/hockey/14523277.htm
Now if Depo had offered Kent last year...
Also, if it's an OFer you want, how about Miguel Cabrera as a target? That's more up LA's alley.
At work I sometimes listen to KVRS (Lafayette), lots of great Cajun and cajuny-rock music.
Thanks for the tip.
Jon,
Houlton wouldn't count as a Triple-A backup -- he was a Rule 5 pick who had to stay on the 25-man roster.
Depo's Triple-A insurance policies were Edwin Jackson and Pat Maholmes. Didn't D. Thompson start out in Double-A? Entering 2005, there were concerns about his max-effort delivery and elbow history -- concerns that were realized when he blew out. DT was of some help. Not sure he had one outing as good as Sele's.
Jackson did more harm than good. They didn't trust Maholmes, for good reason.
That's why I mentioned Guzman. His Dominican roots can't hurt -- Omar reputedly is keen on Latin players.
I thought the same thing. Then again Jon and I could be the same person. "Bob Timmermann" could be Jon's sock puppet name.
Since last July's deadline, Kent was extended another year at $10M, and is off to a lovely Mendoza start. His trade value is off the cliff bad right now.
You trade Guzman for Milledge if you think Milledge is better, or a better fit for your franchise. I believe Milledge is simply better than Guzman. Guzman's ability to play 1B adds to his value but I think he'll strike out once for every two-and-half major-league ABs for at least 1-2 years. For me, he's a poor man's D. Lee with less defensive skill -- the growing pains at the plate could be pretty acute, even with the enticing power.
he's also a nice option for additional trade bait :)
I think it's a bit much to say Colletti out-planned DePodesta based on one Aaron Sele start.
How about Navarro and OP?
Navarro and LoDuca on the same team would be too ironic.
Bad pitching is bad pitching. These 4A-plus starters are bad pitchers. This is the first argument I've heard suggesting that DePo failed bc he didnt have a washed up veteran pitcher at AAA. Whats the point of that? If you bring up one of them to the major leagues, they will likely get bombed. Sele will likely get bombed. Most pitchers arent horrible for 3+ years and then all the sudden become good (at Sele's age).
There's at least something to be gained from calling up Derek Thompson or Edwin Jackson, or letting Houlton pitch. They could all improve and they havent been proven to be awful since they are still young. With Sele or Erickson, there's nothing to be gained. Anyways, I'd argue that DePo did have that veteran scrap heap washed up pitcher at AAA. He was Scott Erickson, and he lasted 8 miserable starts with the Dodgers. Hopefully Sele doesnt last that long bc I think results will be the exact same.
Going into a season, you want a couple of decent starters who can come up from the minors and plug the rotation. In that area, e LAD were ill-prepared last year, more so when you consider that Penny's health concerns preceded the 2004-05 offseason.
Sele's one start doesn't mean the LAD are better prepared this year in that area. That's wrong of me to leave that impression. His performance caused me to revisit a subject I posted on this winter.
"They're not touching Hochevar -- no way, no how. There's been some buzz, really in that Aybar is doing what people thought he would last year. Las Vegas is a paradise for hitters, and Aybar just doesn't really fit at any retreat."
From I have read in the past, Goldstein's opinions are based on conversations with scouts or organizational people, I believe he has a good relationship with Logan White, not sure what he meant by the word "retreat" but I believe what he is saying is that Aybar's stock hasn't change from last year.
Now, if we were talking about someone like Edmonds then I'd agree we shouldn't trade our guys for someone who is on his last legs. But Cabrera is a once in a lifetime type player. Look at his numbers...there aren't many better than him...he's almost Pujols and Arod level.
I'd be more than wlling to ship Guzman and maybe a couple other prospects not named Billingsley for Cabrera. Not to mention, the protection in the lineup would only give Kent better pitches to hit.
The point is that what the Dodgers did have is a couple of prospects who weren't ready to pitch at a major league level, and a couple of older players (Alvarez and Dessens, and I really do think that Houlton's location on the 25-man doesn't discount him either) who were on the decline of their careers. That's pretty much what AAAA pitchers are - and its not as if we didn't get what we expected.
Dessens had 7 spot starts and pitched reasonably well all season (3.56 ERA with a majority of his innings coming in relief, admittedly). Houlton pitched just over that 5.00-ERA mark I mentioned, and Alvarez a bit worse (closer to 6 than 5), but that's about what one would expect from AAAA guys.
1. On paper the Clippers are going to be a whole lot tougher for the Suns than the Laker team that had them by the jugular at 3-1.
2. Interesting that Kobe only took something like 3 shots in the 2nd half. Makes you wonder. hmmm!
3. Glad to see our top pitching prospect Aaron Sele finally called up. :)
4. Way to go Ducks. Would love to see a SoCal vs NoCal conference finals matchup.
5. Farmar and Afflalo going pro? I could see Farmar going late in the first round, but Afflalo will never see anything other than the pine in the NBA. Wish them the best of luck, niether will probably be missed given what is backing them up.
vr, Xei
Dsfan brings up the Padres and I bet he's specifically thinking of Pedro Astacio.
But if you're depending on an Astacio, Sele, Erickson, Mahomes to get you into the playoffs, chances are your team doesnt have much of a shot in the first place.
Going into a season, you want a couple of decent starters
I dont think anyone would classify Erickson, Sele, Pedro Astacio, Jose Lima, Rick Helling or Mahomes as 'decent' starters based on their past histories and stage of their careers.
I disagree to the extent that you might be able to get a couple quality starts out of them when you need it. Surprisingly, we got one out of Sele yesterday. Obviously, that isn't indicative of his usual performace but I'll take it.
If Sele can be even remotely stable to bridge the gap until Bills is ready then I consider it a success. A couple of decent starts here and there and I'll consider his contract money well spent. But, you're right, if you're counting on guys like Sele for the long haul then your team is in trouble...
True, I completely agree. It's like catching lightning in a bottle. Yesterday we got lucky, hopefully when Sele starts again we just happen to get lucky.
Right now, I kinda hope Odalis is on the outs and Bills is brought up in the near future. I'm just sick of the drama with Odalis all the time. If we could ditch him for Duaner Sanchez I'd be ecstatic (although I know that won't happen).
In two years, though, Duaner Sanchez will probably follow the Guillermo Mota path to relative irrelevancy - and then your wishes may well come true.
Milledge however is on a team with deep pockets and position needs that we could fill. I contend that they can make a better trade partner because of their ability to absorb salaries that florida cannot. Salaries such as Kent, Izturis, Odalis, Ledee, etc. And it's not outside the realm of possibility that Milledge is a 300-30-100 kind of player. So Let's keep Joel and push for Milledge.
I think the reason we're getting thsoe comments is because Duaner is dominating, our pen is trash, and almost everyone is sick of Odalis. It fills the neeeds...we upgrade our pen, ditch our biggest headcase AND save money in the process. Sure it's a pipe dream, but I guess it's not completely out of the realm of possibility.
You're right, Duaner will probably fall off the map a bit which is why I don't like trading for relievers. But in the cases of Perez and Izzy I'd be more than willing to trade them for relievers to upgrade our pen and to save money that can be used at the trade deadline.
Perez is nothing to brag about, to me sele is a slight downgrade to perez, and he will only be buying time for billingsley.
Bottom line is the mets are expected to challenge for the world series, they won't give up anything that they need this season to us.
Our options to me are:
1)Perez and some money to pay for his salary for a low level prospect.
2)Perez straight up with no return and the mets eat all of his salary.
3)Ned gets creative and adds others and money to perez for a top prospect.
My opinion is ned should just get rid of perez and all of his salary.
yeah im not against trying to acquire milledge, just prefer Cabrera for obvious reasons. The thing is, I actually don't think it's a fantasy for us to nab Cabrera. The Dodgers are one of the few teams that have the chips to be able to really go out and get him.
This whole thing is just a tough situation. Because we know Odalis can be a good pitcher but he's such a headcase and so inconsistent that he needs to go. Yet, his salary makes it hard to deal. If someone would take on his contract I'd be willing to take a low level prospect back just so we can use the savings on someone else. But, I don't know if that can or will happen. At this point, I just don't see us having a chance on Milledge because if they deal him they're going to get zito in return...and everyone will take Zito over Perez.
how is it out of the realm of possiblity. I'm saying it probably won't happen...but that doesn't mean that it COULD happen. Of course anything COULD happen, but the idea of Sanchez coming back isn't THAT absurd...at least it's not in my view.
123 - "the chips" you are referring to are the prospects we have been ardently protecting for years. And I don't want to trade Pedro away again. Of course Zito over Odalis, but Zito versus Odalis AND Navrro AND Kent (or whomever) is a proposal worth working on.
Just because most scrap-heap guys stink doesn't mean that you can't glean value from some of the them. Some of it's luck. But some of it's evaluation and smart timing.
Nor do I buy that it's OK -- when you're a franchise with these resources competing in a bad division -- to stink just because a player is a prospect and you're "finding out" about him. Only bad came from the EJ experiment last year.
Smart clubs create optimal opportunities for their young players. You try to bring him up when he's ready, perhaps against a more malleable opponent.
That's what's appealing about what they're trying to do with Billingsley. Yes, he could have come up last year. Probably would've been a mistake. Can I prove that? No, but his fastball accuracy was so-so and he didn't trust his changeup.
Maybe if the LAD had better 4A-plus veterans to summon in 2003, EJ wouldn't have been mishandled so badly.
again, I don't want to trade prospects either...but how could you not in a case like Cabrera? We're not talking about Delino Deshields here...we're talking about someone who is already one of the best hitters in the game and will continue to be. What are the chances someone like Guzman produces like Cabrera? About one in a million. I like Guzman and don't want to deal him either, but if it means getting a top 5 or 10 guy that is also extremely young then you have to pull the trigger.
What i meant, was right now for a short term.
Right now perez has got his head up his @$$(sorry jon, i couldn't explain it without using that), meanwhile sele is out to prove something.
So for a short term thing until billingsley is called up, i see a slight downgrade with sele vs perez.
I'm not sure I understand what this means, but I don't think Beane is interested in Odalis, probably not in Kent, and definitely neither for Zito.
Zito is going to require a top prospect, not expensive and declining veterans.
129 - What are the chances someone like Guzman produces like Cabrera? About one in a million.
I would think the odds are better than that, right? Maybe 1 in 20. They are fairly close to being similar talents. Cabrera has just fulfilled his potential.
no, not at all. But if the opportunity of Odalis for Sanchez every were to arise I'd jump on it for a few reasons. #1 our bullpen is atrocious #2 we could save a lot of money that could be helpful elsewhere and #3 I'm sick of Perez and his antics.
I'm not about giving the farm system up, and I hope I don't come off that way. I'm just as adamant about not dealing them as anyone else. All I'm saying is that if you have the chance to get someone like a Miguel Cabrera for a couple of prospects then it's really, really tough not to pull the trigger.
If a top tier, young player like that isn't in the cards, then I'm more than happy to keep our stocked system. Having an OF in a few years of Drew, Kemp, and Guzman isn't a bad thing.
Jackson was probably called up because the org thought that he was the best option at the time. It was probably because of a lack of true talent and not roster fillers (as most AAAA guys are).
On the one hand you have Aaron Sele, who has made over $50 million in his career, looking to extend the magic another year for $500K. Clearly he is not (as) motivated by money, and has something to prove. On the other hand you have Odalis with 2 more years left at $8m plus per. The sad thing is that Odalis could essentially take this year off, post a 5+ ERA, and be a desirable free agent prospect again with a focused, solid performance in 2007. And the cycle can be repeated.
I'm of the opinion that some players have it and some don't. By "it" I mean the competive nature needed to convert talent into consistent, dominant performance. Witness Odalis' recent issues, his problems in past years, and his playoff record.
That said, we need to extract the most out of him possible while we are signing his checks. And the only answer, I'm afraid, seems to be coddling him. Sticking him in the pen and instructing him to earn back a starting job isn't the answer. Dodger management needs to tell Odalis that he's still the man, and that we'll do everything possible to get his game back in order. I know he has skill buried there somewhere, and I for one would like to see an effective lefty in the middle of our rotation. Just wish I knew how that talent could be accessed.
I would think the odds are better than that, right? Maybe 1 in 20. They are fairly close to being similar talents. Cabrera has just fulfilled his potential.
1-20? No chance. I like Guzman just as much as the next guy, but the chances of him putting up .323 avg, .385 obp., 33HR and 116 RBI are slim. Those are last year's stats for Cabrera by the way. Sure, Guzman has the POTENTIAL to do that, but Cabrera has already done that, and is about the same age.
Of course, if Guzman is up next year and completely dominates I'll be the first one to admit I was wrong. He's got unbelievable power, but I'm a little nervous about a guy who K's as much as he does AND doesn't draw a walk. Right now he's basically Adam Dunn without the OBP.
You are better than I at translating Goldstein's remarks about Willy Aybar.
It seems he's saying Aybar's success is mostly irrelevant because he's doing it in the PCL and that's what was expected of him last year. And Goldstein seems to be attributing this to Dodgers sources.
I'll buy that the LAD aren't keen on Aybar and I'll buy that one should knock 10-15 percent off his current numbers, just because he's in the PCL.
But he's not an old man. He turned 23 two months ago. The breadth of his skill set is impressive. So is his durability. So is his power improvement this year, even when accounting for the PCL.
I've heard he's got some bow-wow in him -- but look at how many games he's played every year -- just an incredible amount for a young minor leaguer, especially if you factor in he plays winter ball. There's definitely some toughness there.
In a smart organization that excels at developing players -- say Atlanta or Oakland -- I think Aybar would be viewed as a solid third-base prospect, not a utility guy.
As he should be. Sure the league he plays in inflates his numbers but he's proven over and over again that he can be at least a solid mlb option. It always amazes me how guys like this slip through the cracks yet guys who have done a lot less get tons of praise.
Everyone is caught up with potential of players rather than what they do. Sometimes it's warranted, but after years if a guy hasn't reached his potential then there's a good chance he probably won't.
King Felix 1-4 2.5K/BB 5.40 ERA .297BA against
Matt Cain 1-4 2K/BB 6.74 ERA .274 BA against
Justin Verlander 3-3 2K/BB 3.68 ERA .234 BA against
Interestingly, while both Felix and Matt have had reversals the second time through, Verlander has improved (though a 2 game sample is pretty small to companre to what Felix and Matt did in 2005).
Also, Detroit (and I can't believe I am typing this) has played better than Seattle and San Francisco thus far.
My point is there are reasons why you want to see how a player during their development will handle some rough times, my hunch is that the Dodgers would like to see Chad deal with them in Vegas than up in LA.
I do think that the opposite is true in position players, in reading some comments Mike Scisocia made about Casey Kotchman's struggles, once a player makes the bigs, you have to see how they progress in building a career. We all know that slumps are a part of a ballplayers lot, but that is when he can show management how he works through it, while not affecting other parts of his game.
But one slumping player does not usually hurt a ball club but an every fifth day starter that gets shelled will stifle that team's chance to make the post season.
Again being out of options and the Dodgers do have add more minor leaguers to the 40 man roster after this season makes him a prime candidate.
so willy mo pena?
anyways, the columbus team is absolutely raking. That team is just pounding everyone offensively.
The player i am most intrigued by is our second round pick from the 05 draft, SS Ivan De Jesus out of PR. It looks like he can hit.
current line:
86AB 4doubles 1triple 1hr 12bb 13k
302/388/407
pretty intriging for a 19 yr old.
My point is that it won't arise - it just won't - unless there is a pretty major reversal of fortunes. The Mets could conceivably trade a reliever for Odalis, but it won't be the reliever with the 0.00 ERA, and it certainly won't be without the Dodgers paying most of Perez's salary.
As for Miguel Cabrera, that has nothing to do with what you and I have been talking about - so I don't understand why that's coming into your debate with me as an "all I'm saying."
Here's all I'm saying: Sanchez is not on the Mets' trading block unless a team makes a ridiculously generous offer. Anything involving Odalis Perez and his $21 million or so that he is owed does not qualify.
=ml-diamondbacks&uid=807374593
That's fine. It's a pipe dream, but it doesn't mean I can't at least hope. Also, we don't know what Minaya is and isn't willing to do. Most GM's would laugh the offer off....but Minaya has already been a little shady in some of his moves. Heck, weirder things have happened, the Mets dealt Kazmir for Zambrano. I know that wasn't Minaya, but still.
As far as Cabrera not being part of our conversation...you asked if I sit around and dream about dealing prospects for Duaner Sanchez. To clarify, I said no. The reason I brought up Cabrera is to say that I don't dream about ruining the farm and the only way I'd deal top notch prospects is for a guy like Cabrera.
Even for a LF? that's the one position I wouldn't mind an upgrade.
I'm in a keeper fantasy league. Up until about last week the same guy was leading the league in HR and RBI. He had 51 HR and 204 RBI with a team AVG of .290. Meanwhile I had 48 HR, an avg of .311 yet had FORTY less RBI. Weird anomaly. I guess I can thank Adam Dunn and his solo HR's!
Sanchez is to important to the Mets for them to trade right now because of Wagners balky elbow but they have other middle relief pitchers that would fill the bill for this team. Sele should command very little but since Heath Bell is just wasting his talent at AAA I think a Sele for Bell trade would work for both teams. Sele did great in his emergency start but he only got it because Billingsly wouldn't have been pitching on his schedule.
I think if you look at Sele's career you will see a pitcher who's April numbers are probably better then any other month. That is just from memory and I could be wrong but I've followed his career since he came up and that is what is stuck in my memory banks.
http://blogcritics.org/archives/2006/05/08/110718.php
Think more like Chan Ho Park.
Odalis for Cliff Floyd and Jorge Julio.
Busts all around!
Repko/Ethier would play more.
Aybar would be playing 3rd.
Billingsley would be up.
Of course, the fact that 13 mils was spent on Lofton, Mueller, and Tomko is another issue altogether.
You must grade on the curve.
It is May 8th, nothing bizarre about it. If it was Aug 8th then it would be bizarre.
Jon have you discussed why we can't talk about no hitters here? Can you link me to your archive where you discussed it. It just seems so strange that you'd put a ban on talking about something we have no physical relationship with that I'd like to see your reasoning behind it.
Just want to stay within the bounds of propriety.
If my "ban on talking about something we have no physical relationship with" isn't self-explanatory, then I probably can't explain it.
Do you have a few minutes? I'd like to tell you about The Leader, and his plan for you. . .
You arent impressed with Sele's 2K's in 6.2 ip?
I haven't seen anyone promoting Sele to 3rd stater. Seems like everyone was happy with the start and don't expect continued success. If he was to replace OP I think he would become the 5th starter and everyone else moves up a slot, don't you.
187
Thanks for taking the time to post the archive. I'll take a gander.
It's a crummy month the Dodgers had, no getting around that. But we can't just throw our hats in every time Plan A doesn't go as well as was hoped. This is not an awful team, the bullpen isn't that bad. And playing Hot Hand theory with the rotation is not a recipe for success.
and Heather Jones wins free burritos for a year from cordova mexican grill courtesy of ruggiano.
I really hope we can trade Odalis Perez. I think his contract is going to become a burden to us... even more so.
.308
.339
.339
.319
.287
.351
I know Minaya loves Baez. Odalis, Baez and Guzman for Milledge!
but the 51s score 4 in the first.
young singles, guzman and loney both walked.
Are we supposed to be surprised that he really isn't a bear?
from all reports, beane hasn't asked for anything yet. It's all just speculation...although I do think Beane will somehow fleece the mets here like he did the Cards.
He would only do it if it is too good to pass up and it helps them in the now and later, which Milledge and Heilman would do.
Have not seen it, but I heard it was good and he does a good job. But come on, Steve Martin has made some bad movies. Heck, just look at his most recent films.
No wonder he doesn't know what he talking about. 158 He looks like DePodesta without glasses. (if that is really him)
3-4 in the game lol.
Cheaper by the Dozen(s).
The Out-Of-Towners, Looney Toons:Back In Action, Pink Panther, the aforementioned Cheaper by the Dozen movies.
And don't forget Owen Wilson
guzman
young
ethier
kemp
ruggiano
Meanwhile in front of a ton of heat--including Tampa Bay's Andrew Friedman, Pittsburgh's Dave Littlefield and the Dodgers' Logan White--Stanford's Greg Reynolds outdeuled California's Brandon Morrow. Reynolds went the distance in the 3-2 win, but he also threw 140 pitches.
logan white looking at college prospects!?!?! hell is freezing over.
Didn't we draft more college players last year?
linecum is a top 3 pick, most likely #1 to the royals if they go for signability over Andrew Miller. Linecum's being tabbed the most ready prospect in the draft. Meaning, some teams envision him being up in the bigs by september.
Agreed, when you make a bunch of movies some are going to be bad but for the most part you can't go wrong with a Steve Martin movie, but it is a matter of taste.
Chevy Chase was more funny.
Shopgirl was not funny or interesting.
If Chevy Chase directs a movie it will be funny and interesting.
Fletch lives...
Nobody wants it here. Yet, you've done nothing about it.
254- Don't make it hard to defend you.
Oldbear,
I think Ken is the one to talk to about IP banning and IP banning wont really stop a troll . Dynamic IP's are easy to create and changing your IP is simple. I understand the harassment is getting out of hand but there really isn't too much that can be done.
I can't imagine that's going to make a big difference.
However, he has only had six starts, and his mother's health may have been distracting him recently. He claims that it did against STL during the playoffs in 2004, when he put up two abysmal performances. So, like others have said earlier, I think the organization should give him a pat on the back, tell him he's still the man, and send him back out there. I'm not usually one to appease headcases, but in this situation it seems like the best thing to do for the immediate future.
If he continues to post a 6+ ERA into June, you run the risk of making Odalis virtually untradable. However, I think the more likely scenario is that he will pull his ERA down into the high-4 range, especially if Grady Little prevents big innings by having an earlier hook.
If that does turn out to be the case, he could well have more trade value than Kyle Lohse, Scott Elarton, and other names that have been floated as possible SP trade-bait. Then, if the Mets decide that they want OP, I would give him away, as long as the Mets eat the salary.
Hey, who gave Branch Rickey an account here?
ha/
I've been very clear about my policy regarding profanity and personal attacks.
Unfortunately, some people come on the site and do these things under different names. I guarantee you this hurts me more than it hurts you. I have done nothing to these people, and they tear down my site.
I have become more aggressive in banning them, but they sign on different names with different IPs and e-mails. Ken Arneson has been working on the problem, but we are trying to solve it without taking drastic measures that will inconvenience the thousands of people who enjoy the site on the site's terms.
It is a problem. I think I have been earnest and forthright in trying to solve it. I would appreciate it if the people who are attacking me, you or anyone would realize that they are hurting me with their attacks, even though I did nothing to them. The best solution is for everyone to be cool.
275- I'm the guy (the only one I know) who didn't like The Jerk. I didn't hate it, but it really never spoke to me.
Hey Bob, any other long winning streaks these days? Or should I ask Mike C?
Also, why are Pedroza, Leach, Bastardo, and Mitchell still at Columbus? All of them are too old for the level, as can be seen by their domination of it. Only Mitchell really has someone blocking him at Vero, so that's not much of an excuse. I suppose it is early, but I want to see them against players that are closer to their age
San Diego's winning streak gets mentioned because it is going to be the longest ongoing streak...
That said, I will honor his rules.
I was thinking more that Jon Lovitz is the Lance Carter of comedy - a few good moments, followed by much that we'd all rather forget, with a little bit of potential for something decent in the future. Or maybe Jimmy Fallon. Naw, that's really low. Forget I said that.
Meanwhile the Giants just hammered Roy Oswalt in one inning. Sigh. Nothing's going well for the Dodgers tonight. Now we get to play an angry Houston squad.
And the Cubs continue their feckless ways against the Pads.
Lofton, Mueller, and Tomko sustaining season ending injuries would be addition by subtraction.
I stongly disagree and so stated while I took a (cheap) shot at DePodesta.
Blasphemy. Plus, everyone knows that D4P is Jon Lovitz, and you're going to hurt his feelings.
If you like those players, why not just defend them? How is attacking someone totally irrelevant/foreign to the discussion help in your defense of Mueller, Lofton, and Tomko? I stated why I think the team would be better off without those players.
This trolling doesnt bother me personally. People come here to discuss topics, not posters. And if Jon or Ken feel like they can live it, so be it. But just in terms of the quality of the site and the people that post, its going to turn some people off to posting if they see a game thread totally cluttered with profane attacks and obsessive posts about certain posters. I think people come here to get away from other messageboards. If you allow certain things, it becomes just like anything else.
The other nite when (marvin, goat, bhb, etc..) started spamming the board, everyone just left. Who wants to put up with that on a consistent basis?
To borrow a line from Office Space
"Why do I have to change my name, when he's the one that sucks."
Why should I change? He's the one who sucks.
289- Nobody likes the trolls. That's a given. You've made yourself unwelcome at (at least) three Dodger web boards. The Marquis of Queensbury rules are in effect here, but to suddenly don skin so thin that you have to flail at Jon seems, um, out of character.
Change your name or don't, everybody is still going to hate the trolls. But don't cop a 'tude toward our host. It's not his fault that people don't like you, and he's doing as much as is reasonable to protect you from them.
Actually its an embarrassment.
I'm not the only one included either. Our good friend marvin or goat included Steve in his last attack.
"I want a &^%ing car, right &*&%ing now."
Yes, I saw someone posted the picture of you and just out of fatigue, I let it go. So shoot me. I've worked my butt off on a 99 percent volunteer basis for over three years to make this site something of a refuge. And this is the thanks I get.
For the future, if you have any problems with how I am handling the site, please e-mail me. In the meantime, it might be nice if you one time showed the slightest bit of appreciation for my efforts.
Your detractors will certainly revel in this exchange between us. I hope you're happy.
If you read my post I referred to oldbear's post #158. So, I was of course speeking about what he wrote.
>>>You indicated that his picture was proof he didn't know what he was talking about;<<<
That doesn't even make sense. Not a very good deduction.
Next team to score puts Lawlers Law into effect.
And Cruel Shoes is brilliance. Lance Carter?
John Candy was pretty darn funny, too. I loved Canadian Bacon or whatever that movie was called.
haha, it has gone national folks!
Wow. You had me wondering what was going on. I wanted to accuse you of something. :)
It's no secret that I cannot type or spell. #312
http://tinyurl.com/hmgs7
That was mostly hashed out from 1-150.
http://tinyurl.com/rvq5y
I have no evidence of his (Blaine's) hackiness. He just bugs me.
explain please. I am not really educated on David Blaine.
He might hold the Clippers single game playoff scoring record. You have to admit that the opportunities for past Clippers to set the mark is a rather small sample.
Just to put it in perspective, Jerry West averaged 46.5 points in a 6 game series against Baltimore in 1965. You start talking about setting Clippers playoff records like that, you are in business.
Orenduff pitched the first inning and walked the first two batters of the second inning before leaving with a sore pitching elbow.
another bites the dust (probably).
What can't he do?
I didn't mean to slight Brand. I meant to slight Clippers playoff records. It's not unlike hitting the most home runs in Devil Rays history. (Aubrey Huff)
Sure. I'd love to see how many guys have shot 80+ % from the field taking a minimum of 20 shots (in NBA playoffs history), especially recently when players started playing defense. I don't think Brand had any dunks or layups in the game. Those were all jumpshots which makes it even more impressive. Still the Clippers lost, so Brand's great performance doesn't mean quite as much.
I also wouldnt mind seeing what steven johnson could do in his start. Johnson can replace hanrahan and alverez can replace orenduff. Too bad Elbert is struggling with his control at vero or else i would be tempted to move him up.
king, have you been following up a bit on the draft this year?
ishii is back home pitching in japan.
Yakult is 11-18 and 9 1/2 games out of first and in fifth.
Yokohama, no doubt devastated by the loss of Takashi Saito, is in last at 8-20. Yokohama has a team ERA of over 6.
no, steven johnson. the 18 yr old 2005 draftee.
I had started building my own Dodgers site in early 2004. Bought a cool domain, I wrote a few things, worked hard on layouts and content; coded it all myself. I was sort of proud.
Then I found Dodger Thoughts.
I gave up trying to make my own site immediately. I took everything down, because I was so amazed by the quality of this site and (1) could not ever hope to match it (2) would rather devote my time to reading and posting at DT than trying to build something that would only be a faint shadow of what you've done here.
Sort of like when you go to play pickup basketball at UCLA's Wooden Center and are matched up against Alfred Aboya. Then you find another court to play on, while admiring the huge Cameroonian guy's game from a safe distance where you aren't getting dunked on.
That was a good pitcher the Suns knocked around today. Everyone is hitting but Laroche. Could be time to move Aybar to 2nd and Guzman to 3b at Vegas.
I am handing over the controls of the plane to you. Land it now. Land it now.
(should be in all caps for YELLING)
There's also the fact that Saenz isn't great at third(95 rate2), he probably can't handle playing three times a week, and he can't really hit righties.
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