Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
Jon's other site:
Screen Jam
TV and more ...
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Two weeks ago, I shot baskets for the first time in close to a year and found the ball extraordinarily heavy and the hoop mystifyingly difficult to penetrate. I mean, it was pathetic.
One week ago, I skied for the first time in close to a year and, a couple days into the trip, found myself carving through the snow better than I ever had in my life. In the middle of the week, I took off my skis at the top of the High Alpine lift at Snowmass, Colorado, carried them as I hiked uphill for five minutes to Hanging Valley Wall, put them back on, and proceeded over the narrow lip of a double-black-diamond run, cutting my way through the trees with hardly a hesitation, except to catch my breath or savor the moment.
I was on Cloud 10. I still am, thinking about it, and only wish I were back there to aim for Cloud 11.
It's simply fascinating to me that at an age when proven athletes are declining, there's one sport at which I could be improving. But then again, I find the whole sport fascinating. I could take the same run over and over again, but it's never the same. The paths change; the conditions change (on Tuesday, visibility was going from sunny to fogged in on seemingly every other run). I'm gaining strength and then losing it and then regaining it and then re-losing it. I'm choosing different routes, different approaches, different kinds of rhythms. I'm going for quick, short turns on one set of moguls, then trying to go deeper and longer on another. I'm learning something on nearly every run - although I forget some of what I learn a couple runs later.
It's not as if skiing isn't a demanding sport, and it's certainly not as if I'm in the best shape of my life. With the kids and the blog, if I exercise more than once a week, or twice a month, that's a miracle, Mandy - a true blue spectacle.
But somehow, nine months shy of my 40th birthday, I'm the best I've ever been. Somehow, even though I have been skiing since 1975, in never being able to ski more than a week a year - some years not at all - it has just taken me this long to learn to ski. My understanding of the sport has apparently come about so slowly that my ability to improve continues to outpace my physical decline, for now.
In contrast, I played basketball hundreds of days a year in my teens and twenties, and quite possibly learned all the technique I was going to learn. Not all the technique anyone can learn, but all that I was going to.
If I had learned to ski faster, I would have been better 10 years ago than I am now, because there's no doubt that physical conditioning makes a huge difference in one's ability. But inadvertantly, I left myself room to grow.
This phenomenon doesn't necessarily explain, say, Dodger reliever Takashi Saito having a breakthrough year at age 36 last season. But it does make me believe in the possibility of the late bloomer, the player who got a late start on his path to the bigs, who may not ever be as great as he might have been with an earlier launch, but still has unattained potential past the normal player's prime.
There's a time limit for major leaguers, of course, but there is life after 30.
As for me, I'm not looking forward to much about turning 40, but I'm hoping there are still even bigger, blacker runs left for me. And I'm thinking that around the time I turn 45, when the kids are a little older, I'll try to pick up rock climbing again. I haven't done that in years.
* * *
Previously on Dodger Thoughts: "Old Friends"
* * *
Update: In the spirit of this post:
The Dodgers announced that they "will hold an open tryout at 9:00 a.m. this Thursday to which any professional or amateur free agent can attend. The event will take place at Dodgertown on Fields 5 & 6, with registration beginning at 8:00 a.m. Participants must bring their own equipment and be dressed in baseball attire. For more information, call (772) 569-4900."
You know which ones I'm talking about.
It's those ads for toenail fungus.
I thought it started out very derivative, but ended up being derivative and pretty good.
There, I said it.
It is pretty much everything I expected.
I saw such bad reviews for TBD that I didn't watch.
As for Tommy, I hope he knows what he's saying. When threatening to sue for defamation you better be right because truth is an absolute defense.
BTW, if I were Bruce Willis I would be pretty upset about this whole Babydoll Trick Book thing. Sheez, losing his hair, not having a hit movie in a while and now having shared a woman as Tommy Lasorda.
And I snuck in movie tv talk before being crushed by Xeifrank. I'll stop now.
Do cats fart and if so is it bad? Bob?
I played basketball a lot as a kid, but the pounding that jumping took on my knees and back made me give it up in my 20s. I turned to soccer instead--the angles are similar, so a lot of the fundamentals are similar, but the surface is much more forgiving.
For years, I just relied on my quickness and speed--I'd just run past my opponents. But in my mid-30s I started noticing that my opponents were running side-by-side with me. Now I'm 41, and younger defenders now routinely beat me to where I want to go. I don't feel any slower, but it's obvious I am.
Because I lost my one big weapon, I've had to make a Frank Tanana-like change from speed demon to junkballer. I now play slow, slower and even slower, just waiting for the right angles to open up. The transition has been quite fun to make. I'm probably not a better player than I was before, but it sure feels like it, because I'm so much more mentally aware of what I'm doing. I'm probably just holding steady for awhile, as my mental improvement stays pace with my physical decline, but I'm sure I can't keep up the pace forever. I'm enjoying while I can.
I'm 46. I know I can still do everything I used to in my 20s, if it weren't for this nagging sports hernia, that little bit of fluid building up on my knee, the shortness of breath after 120 seconds of strenuous activity....
For what it's worth, until the rather painful ripping of muscle matter, I was improving my game pretty steadily. (I'd worked my way up from "plays like a short fat guy" to "plays pretty well for a short fat guy.")
Feeling good Louis.
Meanwhile, the last thread reminded me that I'm excited because I found this at a garage sale: http://www.amazon.com/Costello-Nieve-Elvis-Steve/dp/B000002NCJ
http://tinyurl.com/2mzpgl
A long-gone Times executive was rumored to be in Heidi Fleiss' black book.
Of course Beamer qualifies this ,saying K rate tells very little about overall hitting ability. I had just assumed amid the gloom that JP struck out a lot--awful in a no. 2 hitter. At least if he puts the ball in play 2 speedy guys get a chance to cause some havoc. Thats better than a strike-em out throw-em out double play.
I hear ya. I'm 21 plus a few months. Felix, and especially Lebron, make me feel worthless. These guy are awesome athletes and way rich and I'm contemplating springing $14.95 to watch "over 150 games" of Spring Training games on MLBtv. What have I done with my life?! Just in the past few years I've started to see awesome athletes who were born after I was excel in the pros and each time I feel little older.
http://www.insidesocal.com/mlb/archives/2007/02/dodgers_alleged.html
In 1995 when I was with the Marlins, we had a really young team and I was about the only established hitter in the lineup and they kept walking me, which got really frustrating."
--Sheffield
"Then one day, we were playing the Giants and Bobby Bonds, who was their batting coach, was standing at the batting cage and as I talked about my frustration he said: 'You have to realize that by taking a walk you make it easier for your teammates.' The next year I walked 142 times and had my best season. What was funny about it was that Bobby was one of the all-time strikeout guys when he was playing. I guess it was a matter of teaching something he couldn't do!"
--Sheffield, who hit .314/.465/.624 that season. (Bill Madden, New York Daily News)
Raise your hand if you think LuGo is .286/.365/.477 this year...
Betemit on the other hand is going to surpass the Pecota medium projection and lead the 2007 Dodgers in HomeRuns.
To join, go to http://baseball.fantasysports.yahoo.com/b2 click the "Sign Up Now" or "Get Another Team" button and follow the links to "Join a Custom League". When prompted, enter the League ID# (1625) and password (scully). Public email required.
Hint, it was 10 years ago while she was in the private sector.
A homerun is a rally just that the hand clapping comes after the hit instead of before the scoring ground ball.
Thanks for the much needed information.
So is Jack Donaghy angry at you for horning in on his girl?
"The Dodgers will hold an open tryout at 9:00 a.m. this Thursday to which any professional or amateur free agent can attend. The event will take place at Dodgertown on Fields 5 & 6, with registration beginning at 8:00 a.m. Participants must bring their own equipment and be dressed in baseball attire. For more information, call (772) 569-4900."
Your favorite sports moment, either as a participant or a fan?
Stanford. Sweet 16. St. Louis. 1997. Stanford comes back from 11 down with 1:34 to play to beat Rhode Island and go to the Final Four. I was provost, and I got to go out and cut down a piece of the net.
And I am guessing Jon was not out there holding the ladder. And do you think she remembered all that without looking up, she has a good memory.
http://tinyurl.com/36fdjg
Reminds me of the time I once had to edit an article wherein Al Gore recalled his favorite baseball moment. He said something like, "I'll never forget being in Atlanta to watch Game 7 of the 1991 World Series in person. Joe Carter's home run that night was an unforgettable moment."
>>> Matt Kemp in race for Dodgers' fifth outfield spot
Kemp is amazed at how well he can see the ball while wearing his new Nike MaxSight contact lenses. But he realizes they won't be of any help during most games.
"They are only for during the day," he said. "They brighten everything up and are great for spring training. But they don't do anything for you at night."
http://tinyurl.com/3d6tz3 <<<
http://tinyurl.com/3ahmb9
No, I didn't get tickets.
I must confess that I snagged 4. Sometimes being a season ticket holder has decent perks. I just heard the FooFighters are opening so it should be a fun night at DS in June.
Perhaps if a key statistic were simply called "batter rating" it would be more accepted?
I think many baseball people feel threatened by the evil stat mongers. They see these guys who are all highly educated and they probably hate them (jock nerd rage) and are worried they will take all their jobs and make them irrelevant. They think these egg heads will ruin their beloved game.
He has to get a job first.
80 - Getting a wee bit old now.
Jokes don't get old. People do.
BTW, I meant year not month.
They ram QB rating down our throats on every single football broadcast. Most baseball announcers don't touch any of the more advanced statistics. They could ram VORP down people's throats in the same way without explaining what it is and why it may or may not be good in the same way. It would be reporting VORP as a relatively arbitrary number, but it would be an improvement.
There seems to be some institutional inertia in terms of switching to new stats on television and I think that is the big barrier. Anecdotally though I feel like we may have reached a tipping point in the last year or so and things might start picking up speed soon. (hope hope)
VORP on the other hand can completely contradict their first hand views. A fan can watch Pedro Feliz hit home run after home run and they think he is great.
I still think we're in rule 5 territory.
Throughout its history, the sport has always resisted change unless there was some major economic reason for it. The DH and interleague play were reactions to declining AL attendance and declining attendance after the strike, respectively.
Baseball does not have a structure where innovation is encouraged. Winning and making money is encouraged. And people only really look at short-term gains. Who wants to root for a baseball team with a far-reaching five or ten-year plan for success?
However, I'm probably the exact opposite in basketball and football. In those two sports, the individual stats really dont tell how effective a player is.
I dont care how good Lamar Odom's stat line, he's not a star player. He's passive..and the stats wouldnt bear that out.
Football--same thing. Defensive stats are really hard to measure.
93 Fans watched Dave Kingman hit home run after home run and knew that he wasn't great.
VORP is probably too much for the average fan to accept, but a scaled, weighted OBP/SLG based rating could work, I think.
http://www.Footballoutsiders.com
96 Winning and making money is encouraged. And people only really look at short-term gains. Who wants to root for a baseball team with a far-reaching five or ten-year plan for success? It's America's Game!
I wonder if the difference comes down to the game itself and not economic impetuses. One could argue that there is only one way (or very few) to play baseball and win while there are numerous ways to plays football and win. One naturally encourages traditionalism (and Tom Emanski) as the best path to winning while the other naturally encourages innovation as the best path to winning.
I don't see how anyone can say "these stats tell us what we need to know about baseball" and at the same time say "we can't tell anything about football and basketball from stats."
Nothing is that simple.
You just believe what you want to believe. You don't think Lamar is a star so you choose to discount basketball metrics. You probably pick and choose baseball metrics that support what you think to be the truth.
Reminds me of how I used to debate with a lot of Philly fans on another sportsboard. For some reason all of them hated Abreu and Burrell, because they said they were slow, lazy, and not clutch. No matter how many stats I would show of them being good players, they never bought it.
I'm in total shock over that Murray Chass quote. Bill Plaschke is so mad he didn't think of it first.
On second thought, no I wouldn't.
I need to buy some baseball attire.
And equipment.
And not be 41 years old.
1. The extent to which it depends on other players' actions is minimal
2. The degree to which it standardizes the activity is very high (i.e. most 3-point attempts are taken from just slightly beyond the arc, as opposed, for example, to 2-point shots which can be taken from a wide variety of locations, including dunks)
3. It reflects an actual skill, which isn't completely dependent upon height, being in the right place at the right time, etc.
That being said, it clearly isn't the most important stat, and not the best indicator of a player's value to the team.
me! me!! [raises hand]
I suppose the same arguments apply to free-throw shooting percentage as well.
Jason Kapono for MVP!
If we haven't...An Orlando pharmacy was raided last week for illegal steroid sales on the internet, and Gary Matthews Jr. is alleged to be one of the players listed in records.
By BRENDAN J. LYONS
ALBANY TIMES UNION
"The customers include Los Angeles Angels center fielder Gary Matthews Jr., according to sources with knowledge of the investigation."
"Sources also said New York Bureau of Narcotics Enforcement investigators recently interviewed a top physician for the Pittsburgh Steelers about his alleged purchase last year of roughly $150,000 of testosterone and human growth hormone."
This is from that "wellness center" in Florida that got raided.
I'm in the zone.
thank god we got juan instead runs from the room
http://tinyurl.com/32pqb5
But the black border does stir up warm memories of 1971.
vr, Xei
It's not catchy, and it's not creative, but it's easy. Slappy McPutout is also still available.
vr, Xei
1&Done?
"Confirming their worst fears, the Clippers learned today that point Shaun Livingston has suffered potentially career-threatening knee damage and could be sidelined at least a year after he has extensive knee surgery.
"An MRI exam today revealed that Livingston suffered tears of three of the four major ligaments that support the knee. He tore the anterior cruciate, posterior cruciate and medial collateral ligaments. Livingston also tore his lateral meniscus and a dislocation of his patella."
http://tinyurl.com/29rcac
That is really sad. Hopefully he can come back in two seasons. He has so much potential. He just got Clippered.
Yeah, he will. This could be like Jason Williams incident, only it happened on the basketball court instead of riding a motorcycle on the street.
It is too bad they have not updated that site in a couple seasons.
vr, Xei
When I clicked on it, I was getting stats from 2004-2005 season.
I'm certain that Juan Pierre could outthrow me.
Did any of your brothers ever play?
What if Bob showed up in one of those infamous old White Sox uniforms, the ones with shorts and -- what was it? -- dickies or ascots or somesuch?
It's the main reason why Empire is the best of the six.
Also, I wanted to defend Lamar Odom. If you look at his numbers objectively, his closest comparable players are Shawn Marion and Manu Ginobili. He's arguably worse than Marion statistically, depending on whether you value Marion's slight points and rebounds advantage over Odom's superior assists. He's better than Manu Ginobili, a former "all-star". Maybe's he's not a star player, but he is a very, very, good player.
Competitive organized sports played by someone in my family:
Basketball
Volleyball
Soccer
Tennis
Competitive organized sports played well by someone in my family:
My grandfather was inducted in the St. Louis Soccer Hall of Fame. He played back in the 1920s. He drank a lot and I believe his best skill on the field was beating people up.
If my grandfather couldn't play soccer, he never would have been employed in his life and he just would have ended up dead and drunk in a speakeasy somewhere.
Which is what happened to him after he stopped playing soccer because he hurt his knee.
Wow, consider me newly educated.
163 Ditto.
Well! My work here is done.
Obi Juan Out?
That's just mean.
http://tinyurl.com/2pncll
The best one in the set is Hedy Lamarr, whom I'd never heard of until now.
Didn't you wonder?
No.
Didn't you wonder?
Yes, about many things. Still do.
No.
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I think one of mine was, too. And if it's the one I'm thinking of, she still is.
Sorry. I have seen History of the World Part 1 and Spaceballs.
Icaros has a homework assignment. Watch Blazing Saddles.
Did they really have to have Steven Seagal on that list?
I'm not sure how Hollinger's coming to that conclusion. Comparison of the two players' career averages:
Ginobili:
FG%: .452
FT%: .799
TO: 2.0
BLK: 0.3
REB: 3.8
AST: 3.4
PTS: 13.5
3P%: .374
Odom:
FG%: .451
FT%: .714
TO: 3.0
BLK: 1.1
REB: 8.6
AST: 4.6
PTS: 15.9
3P%: .321
Ginobili's only better at shooting Free Throws and three-point percentage, meanwhile Odom doubles his output on the boards, and averages slighlty more than a full assist more than Ginobili at the SF position, while Ginobili plays at the G spot, traditionally a more assist prone position.
The important the thing in this comparison is the rebounding advantage. I consider rebounds to be one of basketball's most important statistics, in that it functions similar to baseball's out.
Rebounds either preserve a possesion on offense, the equivalent of prolonging an inning with a hit or walk, or end a possession, like a defensive play or strikeout.
I'm a little tired to be analyzing how exact that analogy is, but I think it works well enough.
Tennessee 50, Florida 31, halftime.
But I must needs sleep.
He's not bluffing.
Just trying to give our MWC brethren their due.
Re: Livingston injury, does nobody else remember this?
"As is common with ACL tears, he had other damage. A magnetic resonance imaging exam revealed he had partially torn the medial collateral ligament (MCL) and cartilage."
http://tinyurl.com/26cznb
THAT one hurt to see. He does seem to have recovered fairly well though...
There are 16 about the Angels.
There are none about the Devil Rays.
The Yankees are the leaders with 214.
My search strategy was not precise and I didn't account for duplicate editions.
Sorry, Terry, I'm not bluffing.
As Tom Brennan would say, "Walk in the park."
Did you happen to hear the Dickie V radio interview debacle? He was supposed to do an interview with a Florida radio station and did not realize he was on the radio yet and was talking with some fan and was telling the guy how Billy Donovan told him that Horford is way better than Noah and everyone in the NBA knows that. Dickie V then later called back and made all these excuses for why those comments were not real.
What are you trying to do, get Steve after me now?
No, I haven't, nor have I seen any of the recent stage and screen remakes.
If you've seen the movie, you know why that's cool.
I'd like to. Be nice if Comcast would put in On Demand, since the video store across the street went out of business last month, and I don't watch enough movies to join Netflix.
Ouch.
See Blazing Saddles. See the original Producers. Rewatch Young Frankenstein. Do it now!
That is for sure. The man rides a bike to make toast.
Almost make me take the smug out of my Prius driving. Almost.
[heavy, dark, forboding organ music]
If you can't drive a Prius with a sense of smugness, you might as well just pack up your stuff and move to Nebraska.
Smugness and the Prius go hand in hand.
Good thing you said "Begley, Jr."
I would hate to think that Ed Begley, Sr. is going to rise from the grave and make us all ride the bus to work.
I bought the Smugness Options Package from the Toyota dealer.
Good for yoooouuuuuuuu.
Almost.
214 It wasn't standard? It was coupled with the iPod only jacks, right?
Wikipedia has a whole history on it that says Silver came up with it. Of course, it is Wikipedia.
http://www.ultimatehistory.com/founders/
http://tinyurl.com/33ubm3
Hoo boy, Ed Begley Jr., when I met him at Sundance at his Project Greenhouse HQ, I made the mistake of saying, "So tell me how this stationary bike works." He hopped on the bike and rode for 10 minutes at a very high energy while he explained it and drank this scary high energy drink. Got sort of dizzy watching him, but was also impressed by the eco-doohickey.
{Eco-doohickey a registered ™ of underdog}
http://tinyurl.com/3br4de
(see bottom of the article, notes)
Or did they mean Peter?
Er, I mean, Chad.
And I was saying boo-urns...
And we wouldn't have this problem if every home came with its own nuclear reactor.
Just sayin'...
Piss on you, I'm workin for Mel Brooks.
Woman: It's brilliant: savagely honest, tender...he has the soul of a poet.
Barney: You're very kind.
Woman: Excuse me, did something crawl down your throat and die?
Barney: It didn't die!
"Saying that VORP undermines "enjoyment" and the "human factor" is like creationists saying that evolution takes away the "wonder" and "mystery" of the universe. It doesn't. It makes it awesomer."
YES. so well-put.
Everybody I know, my old parents and their friends included, consider these guys laughingstocks.
http://tinyurl.com/3cgbs2
Is anybody at the N.Y.T. paying attention?
Very subtly using analysis to find common ground with a tool.
I dont think there are any reliable basketball metrics out there.
If say for instance Lamar shot 50% from the floor...thats pretty good. But if he'll only shoot when he's wide open..and will pass each time a situation isnt perfect...Thats not being an effective player.
If every player on a basketball team passed the ball, unless the conditions were idea for him to shoot...there'd be a ton of 24 second violations.
Likewise, a good assists/turnover ratio is nice to have...But if the player isnt trying to create anything...how much of a help is that? Or what if you have a player that creates a ton, but the players around him are terrible finishers...bad hands..etc..
Basketball/Football--You have to watch the games to see which players are good and which arent. Stats just dont fully illustrate teammwork--of which you need that in bball and football.
In baseball, its basically 1-1.
Comment status: comments have been closed. Baseball Toaster is now out of business.