Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
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3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
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12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
I don't want to leave the impression that my Thursday inquiry into Joe Torre as a game manager means that I have an axe to grind with him personally. Quite the opposite, actually. I do admire him and like him. For that matter, I have fond memories of him as an Angels commentator years back - in all seriousness, he might be wasting his perceptiveness and personality in the Dodger clubhouse instead of in the booth.
In any case, here's some more on Torre. Alex Belth of Bronx Banter was kind enough to provide me with his thoughts about Torre, on and off the field:
Clearly, his greatest asset in New York was being able to handle (George) Steinbrenner - who, until recently, was as fiery as ever - the media, and the enormous egos in the Yankee clubhouse. When you consider how many managers worked for Steinbrenner before Torre, his longevity is truly remarkable (of course, it was Torre's great initial success that allowed him to keep George at bay for so long).
He's a hands-off guy. He doesn't come in early to study statistics on the opponents. He shows up, trusts his instincts, and lets his players play. In fact, I think that is why he was ideally suited for the Yankee job when he took over in '96 - that was a team stocked with veterans who essentially policed themselves. Unlike in the '80s, clubhouse disagreements didn't land on the back page any longer. When Buster Olney was writing his book, "The Last Night of the Yankee Dynasty," Jorge Posada told him about a beef he had had with Tino Martinez several years earlier. Olney, who was a beat writer when the rift occured, had no idea it ever existed. And Posada told him (I'm paraphrasing), "Exactly, that's because we didn't want you to know about it." It is also commonly believed in New York that Don Zimmer had an enormous impact on the in-game desicions during the early Torre years with the Yankees. They were a perfect match. Zimmer, the quintessential red-ass, and Torre, the stoic diplomat. I'd like to believe - though I don't know this for sure - that they were co-managers, at least during the games, with Torre constantly looking to Zimmer for strategy.
For the most part, I think guys liked to play for Torre. Sure, he had his whipping boys - Kenny Rogers, and Jeff Nelson, both stubborn bastards who didn't always throw strikes, come to mind - but the Papa Joe routine wasn't just a front, or a schtick. The players bought it. Who knows? Maybe if Torre didn't win the first season, the players wouldn't have admired him, and he would have quickly been out of job.
But the biggest deal, again, was how he dealt with George. How he was able to diffuse Steinbrenner's tantrums. He didn't sidestep the Boss. He wasn't intimidated. Torre was deferential to Steinbrenner, always praising him publicly, and privately, from what I've read, he was able to disarm Steinbrenner by gently busting his chops, without further antagonizing him. But then again, Torre is a pro - remember, he was a major presence with the player's union during his playing days. He sat in on a lot of contentious meetings during those volatile days of union v. management in the late 60s and 1970s. (Torre also worked on Wall Street during the off season during this time.) John Gaherin, the owner's legal counsel, once said that Torre was "the original Godfather, talking from behind a cloud of smoke." Gaherin praised Torre as someone who was able to keep his calm in charged situations. That ability served him well with not only the Boss, but the New York media as well.
I don't really know how things in Los Angeles compare. I don't know if fans are as obessessed with MLB in L.A. as they are in New York - though judging by the amount of comments you get, I'd say there are at least some bonafide fanatics. In NYC, we don't have college programs of any note, so it's Yankees 365 days a year. Torre understood this, and he was rarely ruffled. I mean, he did a weekly spot with Mike and the Mad Dog - the most popular sportstalk radio show in town, and the epitome of hype and histrionics - like it wasn't nothing but a thing.
I don't really know how Torre will do without a great club. For the first several years in New York, it seemed as if every move he made turned to gold. Then, the past few years, when he didn't stellar starting or relief pitching anymore, he made more wrong moves. I don't think anyone believes that he is a great tactician, or maybe even a great manager, but he was the right man at the right time for the Yankees. And the run the team went on from '96-'01 is an anomaly, something that likely won't happen again in our lifetime. I think Torre contributed to that success. It wasn't all because of him, but he helped.
Look, I think the term "classy" is as overused as most sports cliches, but it is entirely fitting when applied to Torre. The Yankees love to think of themselves as a class organization, but class is not something you can buy, and Steinbrenner never had much of it. I don't know if that class will translate to the Dodgers, but hey, at least he's Italian! So Lasorda has got to be happy, right?
* * *
You know, everyone talks about how difficult Steinbrenner was to deal with. But at least, until recent years, everyone knew where Steinbrenner stood. He stood out in front of the Yankee franchise and spoke in unmistakable specifics.
The McCourt ownership, on the other hand, speaks in platitudes. Rumors swirl about which big change he has pushed for and whose leash he has shrunk, but we don't really know, do we? He tells us that he leaves the baseball operation to the baseball guys, but is that true?
Certainly, Steinbrenner isn't the only owner who ever saw chaos on his watch. The McCourts have seen some just about every year. It will be interesting to see how much of this Torre neutralizes and for how long. (I suppose it would be poor form to wonder whether he might even contribute to the dysfunction, now that he has been crowned the Dodger savior.)
Anyway, I wish him the best of luck.
In other words, he pretty much sits on a bench for $13 million.
I'm far more concerned with what player personnel moves Ned Colletti is going to make this offseason. That will have a far greater impact on the team's success than Joe Torre.
Besides, a $13M man should have assistants to do grunt work like statistics. ;)
I really hope this is a rhetorical statement or a joke.
A person??? What kind of source is that?
I have a hard time believing a given set of players would perform worse under such a setup than if the same players had a manager.
ARod is interested in anywhere that he can meet his needs: to be loved, to make money, to make his family happy, and to be put in a position to succeed.
I don't say that lightly since that list is what about 95% of free agents look for. In the end, ARod, I don't think, really knows where he will end up, but SoCal seems to be the best fit.
He is the anti-Jeter. Jeter is media savvy, tough minded, and plays things closer to his chest. ARod seems to be the quintessential West Coaster: More about quality of life, less serious, and more sensitive to intense scrutiny.
For all of the craziness that will come, I think it will end up being the Dodgers and Angels vying for his services.
"I have people skills; I am good at dealing with people. Can't you understand that? What the hell is wrong with you people?"
1. Granting that LA is less obsessed about its teams and doesn't have the tabloid back pages, it does have untalented phonies like Plaschke and Simers. The point is, the Posada/Martinez issue didn't get into the papers. Torre managed to control things himself and create an atmosphere that kept that sort of thing out of the press. True, that didn't always work with A-Rod, but dealing with a completely selfish player like him has readied for Torre for Jeff Kent, no question.
2. The Yankee winning teams were a joy to watch. I hated them, but they played the game very well. A lot of the credit for that goes to the manager. If the team is well prepared and doesn't make stupid mistakes, the in-game strategy suddenly matters less. Torre created that atmosphere, beyond doubt.
3. Neither of these facts means Grady Little alone failed. But the question is whether Torre can do a better job at them than Little did. His track record suggests that he can.
4. Torre's presence provides both body armor and a bullseye on No-Class Frank and Nedley. Torre brings a reputation, gravitas if you will, that Little didn't have, and that can help deflect criticism and problems. But it also means when things go wrong, Torre will be subject to less criticism, and the media will go after the bosses a bit more. And neither of them has the relationship with the media that George III, as Red Smith perfectly called Steinbrenner, had. Not that they loved him, but it was like the LA media with Lasorda: they made him look good even when he didn't deserve it because they knew he was great copy.
It's all fine, but it looks like a push to me. McCourt needs a new hobby. Stamp collecting, or bird watching, or adultery. Something to get obsessed about, so that he doesn't keep trying to control things that can't be controlled.
We may have gotten some long term stability with Torre as well. I have no idea if Donny Baseball can manage or not, but he could end up being the Yankees' Scioscia. The guy not quite appreciated enough to get the job, but the one that got away to another team who adopts him as their own.
Again, I have no clue if he can manage, but the potential is there for a Scioscia-like ascendency.
In my opinion, winning keeps everyone happy, but losing causes discord. The manager is the one that can/should alleviate these matters of discord that happen over the season.
They keep the cracks at bay, which would otherwise continue until the clubhouse is completely fractured.
And the way to do that is to win, right? Since losing is what causes the discord. . . It's begging the question (Ha! I finally got a chance to use this properly; eat your heart out, Pellam!).
Oh, Ok. Tell that to Roger Maris' family. They had to live with an asterisk. Deal with it.
(Frank to Torre): I'm going to grant you three wishes to move to LA, to have a great job, and to be my best friend.
(Ned to Torre): LA is not lame. LA is the cool, fun branch. We're like Animal House.
(Ned to Torre): We're getting crapped on. Word is our branch sucks.
(Torre to Ned): So why did you and Grady break up? Was it the sex?
At Press conference:
(Jaimie to Tommy): Tommy, are you peeing?
(Tommy to Jaimie): Hey! You're making me spray!
(Derek Lowe): The Kissing Torres but Club is the most exclusive club in this office. Naturally, it's where I need to be.
(Any dodger rookie): Why can't I be in the club?
(Beimel talking to Grady): I'm gonna miss you, man. You've been like an uncle to me. Like a kind old Uncle Remus.
(Ned to Grady): Fly away, sweet little bird. Fly away and be free.
(Tommy): I'm losing control of my bladder!
But D4P is either nuts or is pulling our legs. As far as in-game tactics go, sure, the manager is probably extraneous. Even in football, which is undeniably a coaches game, the actual game is run by offensive and defensive coordinators, with position coaches, well, "coaching" along the way. But the head coach shows up anyway. Why?
I think the point is that the buck has to stop somewhere. Someone has to take responsibility for the whole product, and coordinate the position coaches.
And I think a lot of people agree that the most important job of the head coach is to lead and manage between games. Sure, once the first pitch is thrown, the manager could probably take a nap. The important part of his job is on hold for a few hours. But that doesn't mean the team doesn't need a guy in charge.
And this is why I'm hopeful about Torre. The in-game stuff is likely not a reason to prefer him to Little or anyone else. But I'm hopeful that he'll end the soap opera in the clubhouse. I was hopeful about Little on this score as well - Tracy was certainly no leader - but the end-of-season evidence from last year is that Little was not up to the job.
I feel like you're essentially saying that major league players need a babysitter. I guess it's too much to ask for grown men making millions of dollars to be mature adults.
I've said this before: if the manager is supposed to be some kind of conflict resolver person, why not hire someone who specializes in such things? Why hire a former baseball player who probably has no formal training in communication, negotiation, conflict resolution, etc. and is probably just as inadept as the players at such things?
http://tinyurl.com/32y74o
What would you have to write on the side of the crate to make it believable? Alternate question: why didn't they think to tap the side before opening it?
Good is not good when better is expected.
That's a trade-off worth considering.
If the Dodgers trade for Miguel Cabrera would they replace the cheaper youth lost to the Marlins in that trade with costly veterans that combined with Miguel's future salary would wind up costing more than just signing AROD?
I would rather take chances with either Nomar or LaRoche or Dewitt instead of trading the best prospects.
I think I would like to trade Kent and Abreu to Texas for Ian Kinsler,
Just trade Kent already.
I think I might be combining quotes.
http://tinyurl.com/3797no
I can't wait until Simers tries to get snide with Torre. That will be fun to watch.
When players don't give a manager their "respect" by keeping things in house, trying to get along with teammates, giving 100%, etc., does that say more about the manager or the players?
A lot of them are babies. Not all, but a lot of them.
I'm guessing long-term, guaranteed, multi-million dollar contracts don't help the situation much. I'd love to see the league go to one-year contracts. I think the game would be better off for it.
"The Mets, Dodgers, Angels, Giants and Marlins are among the teams which have not publicly ruled out pursuing Rodriguez. Sources say it is highly unlikely that the Dodgers will seriously entertain the possibility."
(Boldface added by me)
What are your thoughts on orange baseballs?
Just out of curiosity, why do you think that would make the league better?
Bonuses are paid out based on team standings. The better your team, the more you make, comrade.
1. Every year would be a "contract" year, so every player would have the maximum incentive to perform well.
2. No team would get stuck with a Darren Dreifort for more than a season.
3. If you play well this year, you're always eligible for a raise next year.
4. If you play poorly this year, you don't deserve a raise anyway.
5. The bottom line on long-term contracts is that they allow players to play poorly and/or get hurt but still make money. I don't see how that helps the game.
I've floated that idea here before!
It sunk.
I think it goes farther back than that:
Little, 2006-2007 (.525)
Tracy, 2001-2005 (.527)
Johnson, 1999-2000 (.503)
Hoffman, 1998 (.534)
Russell, 1996-1998 (.537)
Lasorda, 1976-1996 (.526)
Alston, 1954-1976 (.558)
Chuck Dressen, 1951-1953 (.642)
Burt Shotton, 1947-1950 (.603)
Leo Durocher, 1939-1946, 1948 (.566)
You have to go back 70 years, to Burleigh Grimes' .434 winning % from 1937-1938 to find a Dodger manager under .500. Even small sample size guys Clyde Sukeforth (1947) and Ray Blades (1948) went a combined 3-0.
Amazing.
6. Players wouldn't get stuck in a miserable situation. If they don't like the team, they leave after a year. If they do like the team, they can always try to stay, which will work unless the team doesn't want them, in which case they should leave anyway.
7. While your team might lose more players every year this way, there are also gonna 29 other teams in the same boat, and 29 other teams' worth of players to choose from.
Just to offer a counterpoint, what happens when a player gets hurt? Should they just not be paid. Even though the pendulum has clearly gone to the player side with guaranteed contracts with no salary cap, I don't like the idea of a league where the owners have no responsibility for the health of the players that provides them with their product.
Maybe I subconsciously plagiarised you.
It happens.
Communism and baseball go hand in hand. Cuba rules!
The best part is, we should know shortly the impact Torre will have - both on leaving the Yankees and joining the Dodgers.
As for D4P's suggestion to do away with a manager, there has to be someone accountable. How would the hitting coach and pitching coach handle a double switch? Whose call is final?
This is a great board.
I'd rather bring in Barry Bonds to pitch.
1)Supposedly the '73-76 clubhouse was divided between Alston loyalists (Sutton) and Tommy's guys, with charges Tommy was trying to undercut Alston;
2)Russell and Tommy's relationship didn't survive Lasorda's realizing that Russell was going to keep the job permanently after the heart attack
3)Scioscia was in line after Russell, which in the O'Malley way of things, would have been years. Hoffman wasn't even in the picture until Malone arrived to destroy the franchise.
Best of luck to Joe, but eveh his "aura" will have a tough time surviving a rotation with Hendrickson and Loaiza every fifth day.
The spin is way too similar to the 1999 Davey (He's won everywhere he managed)Johnson hype
And I really agree with this: "You know, everyone talks about how difficult Steinbrenner was to deal with. But at least, until recent years, everyone knew where Steinbrenner stood. He stood out in front of the Yankee franchise and spoke in unmistakable specifics.
The McCourt ownership, on the other hand, speaks in platitudes. Rumors swirl about which big change he has pushed for and whose leash he has shrunk, but we don't really know, do we? He tells us that he leaves the baseball operation to the baseball guys, but is that true?"
Frankly, for all the grief he got for being a bad communicator, I feel like you always knew what Paul DePodesta thought and why he was doing what he did. You might not have agreed, but at least you had a chance to decide.
How would the hitting coach and pitching coach handle a double switch? Whose call is final?
One of them could be designated by the owner to have the authority.
And we can call that person, "the manager."
:)
I don't think the players union would let that happen.
Well, who has the last laugh now? Well, he's dead, but he'd be laughing...If he wasn't dead. Which he is.
The other problem that develops is that there is no incentive to groom young players for major league positions. If I can go out and sign Jeter after a bad year, why bother developing Hu? If I can go get Puljos after one stellar year, why worry about Loney?
Of course they wouldn't. Players want long-term contracts so they can take it easy for a few years if they want or get guaranteed riches if they get hurt. Who can blame them for wanting such things.
But I'm not convinced the game is better off for it.
I don't see this as a problem. Owners still want to make money, so if they can get similar production out of a cheaper player, they can still choose to do so. If you want to pay for expensive free agents every year, that's your prerogative too.
I'm the wrong guy to ask, though, since I'm a complete and unapologetic Commie.
But this assumes that the demand for free agents stayed constant, while the supply increased. In fact, the demand would also increase, as every team that lost free agents would also be looking for free agents to replace them.
Do the Royals and Devil Rays have any players now? There's only so many openings on "winning teams": somebody's gonna have to go to Kansas City or Tampa Bay. That's really no different than the way it is now. And pardon me for not feeling sorry for players who have to play baseball for a mere $1 million a year in small markets.
Waah.
You know, I had a weird feeling about this too. I remember when Davey Johnson was first hired, in the press conference announcing his signing, he mentioned that his only previous experience with the Dodgers was the thrill of sweeping them in the 1966 World Series (when he was playing for the O's). I remember thinking to myself, "This guy is now the leader of the Dodgers? He's not one of us."
Torre has had a quote circulating the last couple of days about how much he hated the Dodgers while he was growing up in Brooklyn, and I had the same sinking feeling.
And the owners would lose.
But there are only so many slots available on any given team, so players would by necessity have to go elsewhere. Plus, since when do multi-year deals automatically turn out well for the team? I'm not convinced of that at all.
Also, I don't feel sorry for the players. I feel sorry for the fans watching a lack luster team with next to no hope of improving from year to year. Anyone who comes up through the minors and is good right away will assuredly be gone the next year since the only way for them to get more than base salary will be to play for a winning team.
Though I do not like the fact that player salaries are pushing me from about 25 games per year down to 10 so we can actually afford to eat at the stadium, I do side with the players wanting guarantees.
Even though the owners have a much harder job in managing a franchise, major sports franchises, perhaps more than any other investment, is a guaranteed moneymaker. Even if you simply break even or lose slightly, the amount of appreciation you get on your investment is phenomenal.
If McCourt sold the Dodgers today, he would likely see a $100-150 million profit from just 3 years of ownership. That is in addition to any profits he made on the team in the interim or salaries that he and Jamie took in for their positions within the franchise.
Actually, no I'm not.
I hope D4P will explain, on the day it happens, why the Dodgers' extending Russ Martin's contract till the day of the Rapture is bad for baseball.
Aren't salaries determined, in a general sense, from revenue, and not vice versa? In other words, salaries are higher because tickets/food/etc prices are higher, not the other way around.
I think owners charge what they can get for tickets, food, etc, because the consumer will pay for it, not because they have to justify higher player costs.
He can stay with us as long as he wants, and as long as we want, on a series of one-year contracts. If he wants to leave, let him. We shouldn't keep him against his will. And if we (for whatever reason) want him to leave, we can make that happen too.
One-year contracts only preclude long-term relationships if one or both parties want the relationship to end. And if such is the case, then the relationship should end, shouldn't it...?
Valdez had a great spring last year. Maybe they should throw him in the mix too, if the decision is going to be based on spring performance.
That is definitely true since revenue sharing came into being, but I think that if we were to sign, say, ARod I am quite sure that there would be an announcement from the McCourt Compound about raising prices of tickets so that the Dodgers can "stay competitive".
I think that players are an excuse to raise prices, but they may not necessitate a raise in prices.
Leave Stuart Smalley out of this.
From IMDB:
"When I played Mickey Mantle in 61, we were operating on a real high level. All the athletic training that we had to go through was something that you had to condition your body at a high level of athletic skill and we were playing baseball for three months. I was constantly getting injured, pulling muscles in my shoulder, muscles in my back, muscles in my groin, leg muscles. I was always having electric stimulation going at some point in my body. And the swings that we were taking were real. There's just a high amount of injury when you're playing a sport at that level".
Ok, now I need to get back to real legal work.
Hendrickson SHOULD be non-tendered but who knows. Tsao is also a possibility.
I would expect McDonald, X. Paul, etc to be added in the next few weeks.
It's crazy, but it just might work.
So free agency was born. And while you can argue that one year contracts might be best for baseball (whatever that means) it doesn't mean that they are fair or right or just. There needs to be some freedom to the marketplace and if one owner wants to offer multiple years, he shouldn't be precluded from doing so or there is an artificial cap on the players earning potential. You might not like that the player is rich but he has a right to offer his services to the highest bidder.
http://baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=6897
We tend to be on the critical side when it comes to managers on this blog. That may be a generalization, but that is the way it seems from my seat (me included).
Who is a good manager? LaRussa, Francona, Washington? Is that defined by strategic ability or the ability to get the most from his players? Both?
Since we here at DT tend to like the more concrete aspects of baseball and have a working knowledge of items like VORP, winshares, ERA+, etc. what is the measure of a good manager?
Mrs D4P (to assistant): Ignore him, just because Mr. Boras can present an argument for D4P doesn't mean I have to listen. Do NOT return his call. I want to hear from D4P himself.
It's a conundrum: I'd love to sign Rodriguez, not least because it would keep Ned from making one of those second-tier signings he loves so much. We can't have Rodriguez? Let's sign Mike Lowell. Can't have Drew? Let's sign, uh, Juan Pierre. But I can't help but thinking signing Rodriguez at that kind of money (the kind of money he will command from someone) just isn't wise. That signing him would look great, feel great, but that the results just wouldn't be what we wanted.
Time will tell. But there's no way in hell we're signing him for that kind of money, so instead we'd best pray that whatever Ned does instead, it isn't cripplingly stupid. The sort of prayer that really tests your faith.
You wonder what GMs/owners are thinking when they give these kinds of deals. Are they really thinking that the player will deserve his annual salary in each given year, or will they be happy with the contract if the team wins one championship over the contract duration, regardless of what happens in the other years?
And you can find the answer about who managed at both the Yankees and Dodgers in Bob's new post at the Griddle.
A player's merit extends to more than mere athletic ability. Like his ability to create buzz, to put fans in the seats, to sell his jerseys, to capture a television audience...
So no, not crazy at all.
I recall DT day and there was McCourt, across the table from all of us. We were guests and I know I wasn't alone in thinking that maybe a few penetrating questions were in order. I was just happy to be there but I've often thought what would've happened if we, ah, pressed him a little on some of the issues that affect the team.
I won't be able to see responses to this post (the lunch bell just rang) but I just wanted to add my two cents.
Only two Dodgers.
http://tinyurl.com/2ahnnu
http://tinyurl.com/yr7222
So, I go into meetings and find out that some people advocate manager-less teams and the description of how they would "work" is hard to fathom.
Who would be ultimately responsible for picking which players to play? Who resolves conflicts? Do the hitting and pitching coaches have someone to turn to as a tiebreaker?
"Letting the players play" is a management style. It's a decision. It's not doing nothing. It's choosing to let players whom you have confidence in perform in all situations with minimal instruction. If you have good, smart players (like most of the Yankees from 1996-2001), you can do this. Sometimes, teams have players that need more instruction. They require a different type of manager.
Are managers like Joe Torre overvalued? Yes, they are. But is a manager necessary for a baseball team, the answer is yes. An organization needs someone who is responsible for the day-to-day operations.
Or perhaps the Dodgers can adopt the Cubs "College of Coaches" model from the early 1960s. That went... poorly.
And don't even get me started on the idea of paying all players the same salary. Baseball claims it is making $6 BILLION in revenue this year. So if that revenue is only given to the players in a smaller amount, where does the rest go? How many more ivory backscratchers does John Moores need?
I don't think you appreciate how good Shields has been playing in that Division with one of the worse defenses in baseball playing behind him.
Awesome.
123 - It wouldn't really be the first time, just the most noteworthy. If no owner caves to Boras' bluster, A-Rod may have to "settle" for a lucrative one-year deal and test the market again in '08.
Assuming that the core of the Dodgers roster is spilt between very young players (Loney, Kemp, Martin, Bills) not yet in their prime, and a set of older players that are beyond their prime (Kent, Nomar) - how does that fit into the Torre 3 Year Plan?
Is signing A-Rod enough to bridge the gap?
Does the Colletti/McCourt brain trust believe the Dodger kids will mature/improve faster than the norm?
He is already 32.
You cannot reliably apply small sample sizes of young players to determine their value, especially when you are artifically sttempting to place them on a age scale with no application of any scouting as to their development.
Well I don't think id offer any player in their 30's more than 5 years.
I remember when we signed Furcal how all the guys at prospectus were saying it is smart, because usually it is the number of years that end up really hurting a team. Not the annual salary.
2007 Home/Road splits for 3Bs, minimum 150 PAs at home and on road:
PLAYER Home Road Diff
Chone Figgins .993 .705 .288
Maicer Izturis .887 .616 .271
Aramis Ramirez 1.046 .780 .266
N Garciaparra .835 .570 .265
Mike Lowell .993 .767 .226
Garrett Atkins .936 .773 .163
Eric Chavez .825 .691 .134
Mike Lamb .888 .764 .124
Miguel Cabrera 1.026 .905 .121
Alex Gordon .787 .670 .117
Brandon Inge .748 .631 .117
David Wright 1.021 .912 .109
Ryan Braun 1.045 .966 .079
Ty Wigginton .830 .753 .077
Troy Glaus .883 .808 .075
Ryan Zimmerman .815 .760 .055
Mark Reynolds .868 .823 .045
Akinori Iwamura .779 .762 .017
Jose Bautista .759 .747 .012
Greg Dobbs .780 .780 .000
Josh Fields .784 .792 -.008
E Encarnacion .790 .799 -.009
Nick Punto .544 .581 -.037
Melvin Mora .735 .784 -.049
Pedro Feliz .677 .737 -.060
Alex Rodriguez 1.034 1.101 -.067
Marco Scutaro .653 .731 -.078
K Kouzmanoff .743 .823 -.080
Scott Rolen .685 .776 -.091
Chipper Jones .981 1.075 -.094
Adrian Beltre .745 .858 -.113
Ramon Vazquez .608 .735 -.127
Casey Blake .706 .846 -.140
Morgan Ensberg .589 .860 -.271
140 Years until age 33 is a MULTIPLIER!
I was at that game last night. Great atmosphere in the stands, the concourses and the mens room at halftime. The handball was a very sharp call from the ref, and I don't think anyone but him saw it live. I sure didn't because I had a foul pole between me and the middle of the goal area. I'm not sure about the Perkins call. I don't see how that wasn't a red card.
Chad Barrett is very lucky no one in Barra Brava's section had a pager on them.
What is the max contract you would offer? In terms of money and length.
145
Even if you don't agree with the ranking it is a nice read of the young talent. Even more telling is the preface where he discusses the talent in 1964. Many of the players he mentions as great young talent went on to less then memorable careers. Jimmy Hall in 1964 was probably considered the next great slugger right next to Tony C. I may be wrong but if I recall Jimmy Hall had the record for most home runs by a rookie until Big Mac shattered it. Tony C of course led the AL in home runs at the age of 20 in 1965. Wally Bunker had an ERA+ of 133 at the age of 19. If not for injuries God knows how good he would have been. Things happen.
I'm still down for trading Kershaw in a package for Santana or Miggy.
I know your asking Andrew but I would make a beginning offer of
8 years / 30 Million per year / No opt outs
My final offer would be
10 years / 32 Million Per Year / Player option to opt out every 3 years
I am thinking something like an agreement that, if the team fails to make the playoffs for consecutive years in the last four years of the contract, then the player's no trade clause is void and the team can trade him if it can find a suitor. Or, if the player's annual salary amounts to more than 30% of the league average payroll (or pick a marker, just not one that can be monkeyed with by the team itself), the no trade is void or an optional buyout is triggered.
Not sure if such clauses would be OK under the CBA, and I don't think they should be too frightening for the player. Indeed, if you give the team some protection in the case of certain downside risks, you may be able to get a meaningfully higher annual salary.
Not really sure, just noodling on a friday afternoon.
I guess it may be possible for Boras to get close to that 360 figure.
I know that there is more to a player's worth than what they do on the field. From a business standpoint, signing A-Rod to a 12/350m contract is a good move. By the end of that run, he'll likely be chasing both Bonds and Rose; the jersey sales, ticket sales, other merchandise sales, TV revenue. As strange as it sounds, signing A-Rod may actually create a scenario where the Dodges can build a long term winner (increased revenues means more money that can be spent on the payroll, either retaining our young guns or signing key free agents a la Gibby in '88).
I don't think that A-Rod is the guy that puts the Dodgers over the top (at least as far as winning the World Series), but from a business standpoint it would be incredibly foolish for the Dodgers to not pursue him. But, over the course of 162 games, I think A-Rod improves the Dodgers 6-10 games in the standings (giving them a legit shot at the division title and home field advantage in the playoffs).
http://www.baseballmusings.com/archives/023876.php
All offseason he will be a proponent of spending for "help". And next season he will say either: (1) we should have trusted our farm system more and not wasted that money on free agents, and/or (2) I told you the kids could do it.
Maybe that's the way to structure this thing: at year three a club option, at year six a mutual option, at year nine a player option.
nice read KG16, but I really feel with our great pitching (& more coming from the minors) A-Rod can definitely be a HUGE difference maker now & in the future. With him here I think we'd be a serious WS contender with in 2-4 years & maybe even sooner. I'm an ARON (is that what we call our selves?) I'm all for him wearing Dodger blue.
It is okay but this paragraph
"The actions of McCourt just reaffirm a little secret about Los Angeles: all of the behavior that gives this city a bad name comes from people who move here, not the folks who are from here. As soon as the plane lands, the new residents throw on the sunglasses, find a hairstylist and start trying to fit in. McCourt, a Bostonian, just bought the flashiest car on the lot and is ready to show off. He might even accessorize with A-Rod."
is wrong from my standpoint. The best people I've ever met in Los Angeles were not natives. They came from Kansas, Washington, Ohio, Texas, Korea, and Japan. That includes struggling actors/actresses so it is not like were talking about only salt of the earth people. Of course I haven't met anyone new from out of state in 15 years so maybe the new Angelenos are that shallow.
Boras sickens me!! but yeah, I'm sure he'll want that in Alex Rodriguez contract.
However, some have defeatism about Colletti and McCourt that is seeping into the Torre discussion. I think it's an important distinction.
The difference IMO will be in the handling of the clubhouse. I imagine if Little looked at Kent and told him to lay off the kids, Kent inferred where he could go. Whereas I would imagine that if Torre tells Kent to pipe down, it may carry a little more weight. With Torre, there would probably be repercussions whereas with Little there probably weren't.
173 - well, then we really aren't talking about a 10-12 year deal but a 3-6, maybe 9 year deal. Honestly, the more I think about it, as a GM, the options I mentioned would be nearly non-negotiable.
Torre wins 90 games, the Dodgers make the playoffs and he's a hero;
Girardi wins 90, he finishes well behind the Red Sox, misses the AL Wild Card,and George, his sons, with his "baseball people have angry meetings in Tampa and Cashman gets fired.
119- Thanks so much
Of course, it's entirely possible that you'll start at 3/120 and get suckered in to 12/480, which is, um, not so good.
The Giants have even let it be known that Tim Lincecum, their No. 1 pick in 2006, can be had for a quality bat.
http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/7400932
Wow. Trade him. Please.
id trade laroche.
This is Sabean we're talking about here.
Give him Nomar.
The Dodgers aren't hurting for attention. Their attendance of 3.8 million this year trailed only the Yankees. They just don't dominate the discussion any more, don't get the city's heart racing or keep Dodger flags fluttering from cars on the Santa Monica Freeway.
I also think he's wrong that the Lakers dominate the public consciousness. Since he acknowledges the 3.8 million in attendance, I'm not sure why he'd even try to make that point. I see many many many more Dodger-oriented auto accessories than Laker stuff. Maybe it's different in different parts of town.
Then there's this chestnut:
If adding A-Rod to the 2004 Yankees couldn't get them to the World Series, how would he single-handedly transform the 2007 Dodgers?
Gee, I love when bivariate correlations are sold as causal theories.
Then, he can't decide whether Torre's supposed owner-handling skills are worthless in LA, or if McCourt is a big bag of trouble.
Finally, what's with the gratuitous Beckham allusion?
If the only point he was trying to make is that LA fans don't obsess about baseball quite as single-mindedly as NY fans, well, he might be right. But I don't see a lot of value added from the rest of the piece.
And I want A-Rod on the Dodgers.
Furcal - SS
Martin - C
Loney - 1B
ARod - 3B
Kent - 2B
Kemp - RF
Ethier - LF
Pierre - CF
Penny
Lowe
Bills
Lincecum
Schmidt
Kershaw, McDonald, Elbert on the horizon.
I love it when you talk dirty...
Mr Lincecum you may now leave the Dark side and watch your step so as not to trample on the dashed dreams of the Bay.
Simply put, D4P's nirvana could not work. Whether or not it's desirable is a separate question. Generally speaking, my view is that the closer one gets to a market-based system, the more efficient it will become. But there are various types of market failures (especially in spot markets), and that's why regulation is needed, and why adding the variable of time as a contracting tool is wise.
Pierre for Lincecum!
Plus, they won titles.
The Dodgers do just fine and I am not saying they need to this at all but without a player like A-Rod it will be difficut to capture this town when your best known name is the manager.
Can the kids get there, maybe but LA is really a superstar, one name town. Unfortunately, stories like what happened in Colorado this season, maybe last a year but it doesn't carry over to the average LA sports fan.
http://www.thebaseballcube.com/players/L/tim-lincecum.shtml
How did you miss him this past season?
It was the owners and MLB that did not want that drastic a change so they went to the 6 year provision. And arbitration, was just tossed in, owners never knowing that it would be that provision that would really escalate salaries.
The 1st arbitration cases hit the owners from the blindside. That is where some of the 1st sabr guys made their names. It took a little while before the owners started playing the same game.
TC, I thought you would like this. Apparently, Charles Barkley predicts Al Thornton will win ROY.
Oh and I am down for getting Lincecum.
Really? I have not seen a lot of talk about it, but I think buzz about the NBA is down a lot anyways.
You would have to do something truly ridiculous, 150 mil for 3 years maybe, to get Arod to bite. Probably more, as it just doesn't make economic sense not to get a longer guaranteed contract.
If you want a short term deal you are much better off giving Arod another opt-out, say in 4-5 years. If he remains healthy and the economics of baseball continue to spiral out of control, he would probably take it. That way you can promise him the moon, but actually get a relatively cheap short-term contract. Once he hits 36-37 the contract becomes a much dicier deal anyway, no matter how well he has performed. Of course then you miss out on the record breaking stuff, so decide now if you want a guarantee of being there for that.
Personally the only way I would offer a 32-year old player more than 7-8 year deal is if the final 2-3 years (of say 10 years total) were cheap. Or cheap in comparison anyway. No matter how good Arod may be, he could be completely broken down by 40. If the 41-42 year-old seasons only cost you what you pay a high-priced bench player it would be ok.
http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/LAN/LAN200708010.shtml
I think your using "superstar" to loosely. Martin is a great catcher but he's no superstar and probably never will be. I think Matt Kemp can be Raul Mondesi and that is a solid player but not a superstar.
If Kershaw can make the Santana comparisons work then you have a superstar.
The Lakers during the great runs have always had two of the best players in basketball on the same team. West, Elgin, and Wilt, 3 HOF players One Championship, Magic, Captain, and Big Game James are 3 HOF players with multiple championships, Kobe and Shaq are two HOF players with 3 championships.
Since 1965 the Dodgers just don't match up.
The only players who have played for the Dodgers and won a championship who were HOF caliber in the last 50 years are Koufax, Drysdale and Sutton. I expect most of you weren't even born the last time Sutton pitched for the Dodgers. Fernando in 81, not HOF but no one owned the town more then he did in 81. 27 years ago.
They will be wrong. He'll have a strong year but Durant is going to win unless he gets hurt. Look how many times he's going to be on National TV. The Clips won't be on once. Seattle will be on weekly. He could shoot 40% and still win. He could play Radman style defense and still win.
"Matt Cain wants to be the best pitcher in the game, and he's doing what it takes to get there," says Dodgers GM Ned Colletti, who was an assistant GM in San Francisco when Cain first reached the big leagues. "I think he'll wind up pitching more no-hitters than almost anybody in the history of the game."
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/columns/story?columnist=stark_jayson&id=2849474
I thought you were tired of being cynical...
Someone send this to the Dodger marketing department. I have to hear Vin speak these words over a background of Take Me Out to the Ballgame.
Not a good bet. I, for one, was in my twenties the last time I saw Sutton pitch at DS (against the Braves).
Yeah, if Martin isn't on the side of a Van next year the rocket scientist needs to find another position within the company.
217
Clipper fandom and cynicism go hand in hand. We stink, we will always stink except for a few forays into respectability, and then we will stink again. Elgin Baylor is our GM. What can we do? And people complain about Kupchak! Come visit my world.
Did I violate rule 6? I should have used Sandy instead.
I saw Arenas on the Warriors a lot and I was thinking here is the guy that is going to turn the Clippers around.
Then he went and did that crap.
Good story.
I didn't think he was referring to the Washington manager. I thought he was referring to the manager of the Texas Rangers.
For whatever reason, neither the Dodgers or the Angels really promote individual players, Piazza was probably the last to get a lot of endorsements.
Meantime, the most recognizable faces are Scioscia, Tommy, and probably now Torre. Vlad is a superstar, but doesn't get national exposure.
I just received a third-hand tip that Alex Rodriguez is ready to sign with the LA Dodgers. At 9AM (Pacific time) Rodriguez's management was grabbing an early brunch with friends, one person in the party being an undisclosed high ranking...
http://www.baseballmusings.com/archives/023878.php
It means nothing.
Thanks. Restricted internet at work really sucks..........
>> There was a lot of animosity
http://tinyurl.com/2do7ut
I assumed there was a lot of resentment. But it appears things were much worse than I imagined in September. Also, it's pretty obvious Grady Little lost that clubhouse and should not have returned unless there were a purge of either key vets or key kids. Lowe's statement that no one put a stop to it seems to be pointed squarely at Grady.
We've had PVL rhetoric foisted down our throats since Colletti was hired. Isn't the whole point of PVLs that they can deal with kids, take them under their wings, show them the ropes, get them on the same page, etc.?
Yet, look at our PVLs:
Kent: Sits in corner with headphones and motocross mags
Lowe: Cares more about scoring with reporters than helping younger teammates
LuGo: One season removed from complaints about losing PT to younger teammates
well not really I'm just saying...
I'm gonna go visit pops in a little while.
the Lowe one got me giggling pretty good....
Grimm: Couldn't tell you.
Phyllis: Oh you know Grim, it means 'flowers for the dead.' (Loomis slumps to his knees groaning in pain.)
Phyllis (to Grimm sheepishly): Sorry.
You'll get no argument from me on that. :-)
But the question CajunDodger asked in 114 was:
Who is a good manager? LaRussa, Francona, Washington?
I thought he was referring to Ron Washington.
I'm wondering if Little maybe lost the clubhouse because he was making about the same as a .230 hitting utility infielder?
Do players equate respect and leadership with salary?
Evidently the same ones Penny is hoping for. They have both basically said the same thing.
If only Gagne could chime in now on what the club needs.
Miller announced that the baseball strike had ended. The 13-day-old strike cost owners an estimated $5 million through postponements and one television cancellation.
One television cancellation.
Maybe McCourt will be able to get Francona in 2015, 5 years after he won his 5th title and the RedSox finally fire him and give his job to Mike Lowell.
Why must it follow that this stuff affected their performance on the field? Why would they throw worse, run worse, hit worse, or catch worse?
I guess what I mean is everyone knows that when a conflict arises between player and manager and one or the other has to go, there's more chance a manager with a $650k salary is more easily purged than a manager with a $4m salary. Some less than ethical players (with mustaches) might use this to their advantage.
The only way it would affect those areas is if the players were tanking and if they were tanking then we have to get rid of them.
I guess what I mean is everyone knows that when a conflict arises between player and manager and one or the other has to go, a manager with a $650k salary is much more easily purged than a manager with a $4m salary. Some less than ethical players (with mustaches) might use this to their advantage.
But you should note that Miller quickly realized that making all players free agents would not maximize their earning power. When Finley suggested it, he prayed the owners wouldn't listen (and of course they didn't). In fact, the story in the book is that Miller figured out that six years was the exact optimal number that would maximize salaries. So when the owners said 10 years, he said 3. They said 8 and he "reluctantly settled" on six years. That's his story anyway and it's back up by the players who were on the bargaining committee.
Exactly. They're grown men getting paid millions of dollars in exchange for trying hard. That's not too much to ask, regardless of who the manager is or whether teammates don't want garbage cans in front of their lockers.
Now that's just crazy talk...
I understood Mr. Rickey's view of the book to be the same as mine.
Obviously players pressing is a different issue, but isn't the first part a mild form of tanking?
I actually was talking about Ron Washington who has been lauded by his players as likable and good with lineups, but is obviously in a different perceived league than LaRussa or Francona.
Sorry it took so long to clarify
It is a very good book, I got mine a number of years ago.
In many ways, a much better book, than let's say, "The Boys of Summer."
That is unless you enjoy George "Shotgun" Shuba stories told from his rec room.
I suppose chemistry matters about as much as the manager does. To whit, not very much.
If players want to be paid based upon their own performance, then they should perform the way they're being paid to perform, regardless of what their teammates are doing. You don't like some kid on your team? Too bad: run hard, throw well, catch properly, and hit the way you normally hit.
They are just going to have to win and ignore each other.
It's only a matter of time before my body hits the wall and I start muttering nonsense like "Frank Robinson for manager" or "Russ Ortiz for Cy Young!"
I'm holding out for "Teams should go managerless"
Players are not robots performing repetitive tasks to perfection. They are subject to the human condition just as we are.
Hey, how many minutes has Aaron Brooks played this year?
Aaron cares more about quality than quantity.
279 Now that's just mean.
Through mutual acquaintances, McCourt led the early communication with Torre. Last weekend, McCourt, Colletti and Torre met in Las Vegas. By Tuesday night, after Little resigned, as Colletti suspected he might, negotiations began in earnest with Torre.
http://tinyurl.com/2wa75h
"McCourt led the early communication with Torre." If true, does that make Torre a baseball operations move or an executive move? Does Colletti feel increased pressure? Does it matter?
Judge throws out evidence, statements in ex-astronaut's case
http://tinyurl.com/3dtogk
And with that, I'm off to usher in the Kevin Love era.
>> The Dodgers' duplicity was staggering. They were dishonest, deceitful, deceptive and effective. <<
## This might turn out to be McCourt's finest hour, Colletti's greatest get. ##
http://tinyurl.com/2jdxu9
oh man, that's annoying why don't just take it out & go buy a new one.
Sorry for taking so long to reply - had to scurry off and do some work.
Note that Miller's demand was one-sided. He wanted players to have the right to be free agents every year. He didn't want them to be required to be free agents. Long-term contracts are about risk and about saving transactions costs. Risk can go both ways - a player who overperforms is hurt by a long-term deal, whereas a player who underperforms or gets hurt is protected, and the team is hurt.
And the only people who benefit from annual renegotiation is the agents.
I suppose someone could check. Over the course of the whole year, what is the click-thru rate on Dodger stories vs. Laker stories on, say, the LA Times webpage?
This is a market economy. Anybody who says he won't go over x years for a player of y age will find himself on the outside looking in very quickly. There was a time when MLB teams could be competitive even though they refused to sign black players. No reasonably efficient market fails exact a severe punishment for that sort of inflexibility.
And thanks to GoBears for today's new word: "bivariate." But still, Go Trojans.
Can we consider one year an era?
>> At a fundamental level, however, here's what the Torre signing is for the Dodgers: a nice start.
It's merely that a starting point because the Dodgers still have much work to do. If Torre still stands as their signature addition by the time pitchers and catchers report, then the Dodgers are going to be in trouble. <<
## Offensively, the Dodgers badly need better production from third base and center field. If LaRoche adapts as expected, he'll fill the third-base void, but there's no helping things in center unless the club makes Juan Pierre go away and finds an upgrade. ##
http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/7397026
Odalis Perez style were we pay most of the salary.
But that could work only as long as all teams refused to sign black players.
So, I would agree with your point that "Anybody who says he won't go over x years for a player of y age will find himself on the outside looking in very quickly". But only because not all owners would not go along. And Boras knows they won't.
Oh man, how in the world did I type that? :-)
I meant, of course, "not all owners would go along."
On an intellectual level, I like that national media outlets are now coming round to the notion that Pierre is a bad player, but I wish the Dodgers would figure that out before every other owner is just as convinced. For some reason, I fear that Colletti will be the last to know.
149 Capdodger, delayed response here but, cool you were at that game. Must've been memorable. The handball call seemed questionable to me live but on replay it was clear it was a good call. Even the player himself didn't argue.
and going out
to live
THE IMPOSSIBLE DREEEEAAAAAAAAMMMMMMMMMMMM!
>> The Dodgers said today that no decisions have been made about their coaching staff, but sources told The Times that newly appointed Manager Joe Torre would like to hire two of his former staffers to be part of a crew that includes holdovers Rick Honeycutt and Mariano Duncan.
Torre's preference would be to hire Don Mattingly and Larry Bowa, who were part of Torre's staff with the New York Yankees. <<
http://tinyurl.com/vusym
and JW, thanks for all of the excellent coverage from the Yankee bloggers you've talked to. Who knew the first week of the offseason would be this interesting??
http://tinyurl.com/39ng3j
322 - wow, just noticed that, strange.
Phoenix had those uniforms last year I believe.
322
I can only assume that Phoenix asked for the Lakers to wear gold.
Mainly though, I miss Chick.
But I'm watching the Nevada-New Mexico State football game.
Farmar's too small to play SG. If you want to play that lineup, you would need to switch Critt and Farmar.
Walton, D-Fish, Roni, and Kwame coming off the bench, that's a pretty solid team, 9 deep.
There's some confusion as to Kent's 2008 salary from that article. I have always seen the contract reported as a vesting option of $9m if Kent got 550 PA in 2007 (which he did), or a $7m team option if he didn't achieve the PA threshold.
It's weird watching a Lakers game still in the first half at 11:25 at night.
http://tinyurl.com/34m2mk
The key to beating Phoenix (other than out scoring them) is to out rebound them.
To Jon's post, I would only add this.
George Steinbrenner is like a combination of Sumner Redstone and Knute Rockne.
Frank McCourt is like Don Knotts.
The ability to handle one does not imply the ability to handle the other.
The reason to like Torre is that he will fill a leadership gap. I do like him and like the hire. But if the Yankee fandom thinks McCourt is Steinbrenner west... well, I guess I don't blame them for not paying attention to our doings out here. They really weren't that interesting.
I saw the Lakers wear blue uniforms in a home game against the Celtics in their last year at the Forum.
It seemed odd.
St. Louis in November is always special.
"I haven't talked to Ned or Joe," said Honeycutt, referring to general manager Ned Colletti. "I like the rumor, but it's not confirmed by anybody. Hopefully, like they say on ESPN, the reality will catch up with the rumor."
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