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Also ...
A Season in Savannah (Stanford Magazine)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2005) (Hardball Times)
Rick Monday (Baseball Analysts)
Baseball's Odd Couple (Baseball Prospectus)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2006) (Hardball Times)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2007) (Hardball Times)
Dodger home record: 39-30 (.565)
When Jon attended: 5-3 (.625)
When Jon didn't: 34-27 (.557)
Dodgers at home: 745-600 (.554)
Jon attended: 293-233 (.557)*
Jon didn't: 457-374 (.550)
* includes road games attended
Current Roster with Estimated 2008 Salaries
(updated March 28)
Most figures are estimates (some are wild estimates) but will be updated as information comes in. Corrections welcome.
More contract details here.
Starting Pitchers (5)
$12,300,000 Hiroki Kuroda
$10,000,000 Derek Lowe
$9,500,000 Brad Penny
$7,000,000 Esteban Loaiza
*$500,000 Chad Billingsley
Total: $39,300,000
Bullpen (6)
$2,000,000 Takashi Saito
$1,925,000 Joe Beimel
$1,125,000 Scott Proctor
*$500,000 Jonathan Broxton
$500,000 Chan Ho Park
*$400,000 Hong-Chih Kuo
Total: $6,450,000
Starting Lineup (8)
$14,100,000 Andruw Jones
$13,000,000 Rafael Furcal
$9,000,000 Jeff Kent
$8,500,000 Nomar Garciaparra
$8,000,000 Juan Pierre
$500,000 Russell Martin
*$400,000 James Loney
*$400,000 Matt Kemp
Total: $53,900,000
Bench (6)
$875,000 Gary Bennett
$600,000 Mark Sweeney
$424,500 Andre Ethier
$391,000 Delwyn Young
$390,000 Chin-Lung Hu
$390,000 Blake DeWitt
Total: $3,071,000
Disabled List
$12,000,000 Jason Schmidt
*$400,000 Tony Abreu
*$390,000 Andy LaRoche
Total: $12,790,000
Also Paying ...
$1,000,000 Brett Tomko
$750,000 Odalis Perez
$540,000 Yhency Brazoban
$500,000 Randy Wolf
$487,500 Jason Repko
$135,225 Rudy Seanez
$100,000 Mike Lieberthal
$50,000 Ramon Martinez
Total: $3,562,725
Working total: *$113,268,725
*Rough salary estimate
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1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Baseball Toaster runs on some experimental software called Fairpole. It's still under development.
For more information, please visit the Fairpole blog, or read the FAQ.
There were two schools of thought when Mark Hendrickson arrived in Los Angeles. He was either a nothing pitcher who was getting lucky this year, or he was a once-nothing pitcher who had finally arrived. (You can see what I thought here and here.)
As time passed, and Hendrickson showed himself unable to keep runners off base, more people came over to School No. 1. Today, there was probably a stampede.
Still, the reason that Hendrickson's spot in the Dodger rotation hasn't really been in jeopardy was that unlike Chad Billingsley, Hendrickson wasn't wild. Prior to coming to Los Angeles, Hendrickson had walked more than three batters in a game just once this year. Furthermore, in 2005, Hendrickson walked 2.5 batters per nine innings.
Hendrickson's main task when he was acquired was to provide enough innings to cut the Dodger bullpen a break, and independent of how many runs he was allowing in the process, that's what he did. Although Billingsley has never pitched fewer than five innings for the Dodgers, his control problems preserved a fear that he would.
But with today's third-inning knockout, Hendrickson has now walked 16 in his past 21 1/3 innings. My guess is that the control problems are an aberration, but the improvement that Billingsley has shown could force a reevaluation of Hendrickson even if one assumes (much less fears) he'll find the strike zone again.
The Dodgers are not skipping any starters with Thursday's off day, but when Hendrickson's next turn in the rotation comes Tuesday in San Diego, it could be Aaron Sele taking his spot.
Of course, Sele had his own problems today. As far as today's game goes, if Hendrickson, Sele and Giovanni Carrara are going to get blasted, it might as well be in the same day.
At a minimum, I think Billingsley is safely the No. 4 starter for a while.
* * *
There's talk that with Elmer Dessens coming off the disabled list later this week, James Loney would go to Las Vegas until rosters expand September 1. The problem with that is that Loney is the only left-handed bat off the bench when a right-handed pitcher starts for the opposition.
Giovanni Carrara or Ramon Martinez are the guys who should come off the roster, because Dessens and Julio Lugo render them practically irrelevant. But those are potentially more complicated transactions. Carrara, for example, can't be optioned, but he could voluntarily accept an assignment to Las Vegas.
* * *
Do the 1972 Miami Dolphins open the champagne with the news that third baseman Wilson Betemit will not go undefeated as a Dodger starter?
So unless they offer non-revocable waivers on them and they don't get claimed, they would lose them for nothing.
The Headline on Drudge is that they arrested a suspect in the Jon Benet Ramsey case.
[Gio, Friday morning]:
(Clip. Clip. Clip. Cl--)
Yeeeeoooowww!
http://tinyurl.com/cgvf8
"You need a hangnail? I can get you a hangnail."
I think the Amish Arm and Tobias Hall are like a completely different team. When they play, nothing seems to really work (although Tobias has seemed to do his part as-of-late).
Send the Amish Arm back to churning butter and perfecting methods of carpentry in whatever farm he came from in Pennsylvania.
He tumbled off the mound onto his face at Dodger stadium. Isn't that enough proof about his abilities as a pitcher?
Kershaw will probably only get one more start regardless.
Las Vegas, had there not been the promotions of Martin, Aybar, Ethier, Broxton, and Billingsley, could have been a contender and unfortunately despite Jacksonville's back to back success, this year's team is more reflective of good AAA/AA pitchers but there is no comparison of the talent on last year's team and this year's team.
I expect the real talent in the system to be in Columbus or Vero Beach, dependent on where they send Kershaw, Morris, Mattingley, Steven Johnson, and the other young pitchers in Ogden and GCL.
http://www.drudgereportarchives.com/data/2005/12/05/20051205_065000.htm
BTW, a story which was completely false:
http://mediamatters.org/items/200512090008
http://www.lebowskifest.com/4thshirt.asp
In the news business, that's the sweet spot.
(Sex, GSfRB?)
Yes, I know JBR was underage, but the footage of her competing in those pageants provided a creepy sexual subtext.
Relegated? Heck, that's a promotion.
Home 5.37 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 4.6 K/9, 1.1 HR/9
Away 4.57 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 4.4 K/9, 1.1 HR/9
Same guy in white or gray pants.
http://tinyurl.com/kxet4
Its much harder to find a serviceable MLB OF'er, than a mop up reliever.
Javy Lopez hit a roller up the middle, fielded deep on the grass by Infante, who threw Lopez out. Almost any other player not named Molina or Jason Phillips beats it out. Here's the call.
"And Infante throws him out! And Lopez can't believe how slow he is!"
John Olerud
Chris Speier
Bob Watson
That was Gary Thorne.
Especially the lines about if he had to pick a pitcher for one game with his (the writer's) life on the line, it'd be Koufax.
And if he had to pick one pitcher for one game with the pitcher's life on the line, it'd be Gibson.
http://www.shns.com/shns/g_index2.cfm?action=detail&pk=BBN-MCNULTY-08-16-06
You and someone else pointed out that it often went to a first-inning RBI and tended to reward good RBI guys on winning teams and accordingly not be worth much.
Before it was discarded, was there any debate about things like modifying it to require that a GWRBI--if any--had to come from, say, 6th or 7th inning onward? Or was GWRBI just deemed worthless, not even worthy of tinkering?
No. The GWRBI died a quick and unlamented death by the Lords of Baseball.
I just think the Dodgers feel that they need Gio and/or Sele in September and because they don't have anyone in the system, they would rather protect their pitchers than Loney, who would probably not make their playoff roster.
http://dodgerthoughts.baseballtoaster.com/archives/460377.html#342
I like him. But I'm not sure he's really going to be worth it, if he will even be available.
People have been fooling themselves around here thinking we could get Zito, etc. I think pitching is going to be even harder to come by this off season. I predict it will make Soriano look cheap. (relative to value anyway).
That kind of contract has not been kind to the Dodgers in the past...
I hear that Cruz's agent is telling Wayne Krivsky that he would be willing to be a middle reliever. That may get him work in Cincinnati.
As for Matsuzaka, before you even try to sign him, an MLB team has to pay his current team, Seibu, a "posting fee" (aka, a bribe) to get the rights to negotiate with him.
If only Ned had known...
In my short time here, I've seen several other DT folks indicate they're quite a distance from LA.
Has there ever been anything done on where DT commenters live outside CA? The Dodgers' appeal is probably broader than that of any team, except maybe (grrrr.... probably, truthfully) the Yankees.
You know, I think I've got the perfect trade for Wayne Krivsky:
Cararra
Orsoria
Cruz
For
Dunn
Hey, he'd be "helping that bullpen," ;).
Find your fellow DT commenters
http://www.frappr.com/dodgerthoughts
Unless your fellow commenter lives in Southern California, in which case there will be too many to distinguish.
4 Hr's or 4 triples or 3 triples and any other hit, are worth more total bases and are probably more rare (Bob?). Bah humbug.
You've called attention to my Quixotic Battle #7. Four hits in the same game that could have been single, double, triple, HR if the hitter had wanted them to be should count as a "cycle."
7 IP, 2 H, 2 R, 1 ER, 2 BB, 10 K, 0 HR, 119 pitches
He made a lot of pitches, but 45 of the 119 came in the last 2 innings (Brazelton alone had a 10 pitch AB). He did this against Portland, one of the better, and more patient, lineups in the PCL. Dessens came in relief and gave up a 2 run homer to Terrmel Sledge, and was removed after 2 outs. His line:
.2 IP, 2 H, 2 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 0 K, 1 HR
vr, Xei
http://tinyurl.com/f5k6l
By way of comparison, the Pacific League:
http://tinyurl.com/h58mf
And, lastly, see also:
http://tinyurl.com/z897p
He's been even more decent since that article appeared and has hopefully come to know that he's capable. As I said, I'm sure that with just the right gesture of respect and appreciation, all concerned can show that happy face. And since Kawakami didn't play in the WBC while Matsuzaka did, maybe Seibu will post Matsusaka and all who have heretofore expressed their interest will post their entry bid, leaving the Dodgers to land the rights to Kawakami [it'll have to be a double bribe, the first one paying to post him and the second to land the negotiation rights, though that's not necessarily the more outward form that the transactions will take].
Sorry, one more. His last outing:
"The Yomiuri Shimbun
Kenshin Kawakami allowed two unearned runs in eight innings as the Chunichi Dragons opened a three-game set against the Hanshin Tigers with a 3-2 victory at Nagoya Dome on Friday.
Kawakami allowed four hits and two walks, while striking out 11, including three against fearsome cleanup hitter Tomoaki Kanemoto before a packed crowd of 38,023."
See: http://tinyurl.com/h7htt
This just jumped out at me considering all the good teams the A's have had the last couple years.
Is the AL West over?
...and has anybody addressed yet the question of whether "macaca" is considered a profanity on the Toaster? Jon? Ken? Bob?
I'm gonna guess the Red Sox's appeal is pretty broad-based as well. Certainly for this Massachusetts native.
Either Cesar Izturis will have a Juan Castro-like career (bouncing around the majors, but staying in the majors nonetheless as a utility man), or he'll end up like Rivas back in the minors.
Rivas is one great comp to Izturis. Probably the closest one I've been able to find.
http://tinyurl.com/n65yw
Note that his ERA matches his opposing b.a.
However, I generally consider name-calling of any sort on any site, whether profane or not, to be unacceptable. It's trolling, pure and simple. I'll boot people off for behavior like that.
On the other hand, I almost always accept sincere apologies. But for some reason, the concept of an apology is usually beyond the comprehension of trolls, so it rarely happens that I get one.
60 - Didn't the Mariners have players from something like 6 different countries on their roster earlier this year?
Plus, everybody at DT makes me laugh...every day.
2. Might the Dodgers slip in a minor league reliever before the deadline for playoff rosters is set (I think that's August 31)?
http://tinyurl.com/gdtva
Seattle may have players from several countries, but it doesn't have the Dodgers' history and tradition. No one does, IMO, except grrr, Yankees and double grrrrr, Cardinals.
Seems like Dodgers last year at some time or other had players from 8 or 9 different countries. IIRC, I looked at roster once and with a little tinkering and bringing back Nokamura (egad!) it was possible to have every position player on the field from a different country.
Not that it would necessarily have been the best lineup last year ("best lineup" and "last year" probably don't belong in same sentence.)
Of course, there's also some speculation they'll deal for Shawn Green.
Zito will be a terrible pickup for any team except the Yankees, Mets, or Red Sox who can afford to pay 15 mil a year for a 3.7-4.0 ERA pitcher. His curveball is not a pitch he has great control of, and as a result(accd to Scouts inc.) he only throws it 6% of the time when behind in the count. Instead, he's throwing fastballs and changeups, both which are very fringe-average type pitches. His fastball is that of a soft tosser without the kind of movement or pinpoint control that would lead to success, same with his change, and opponents are hitting almost .250 on both those pitches. His K-BB rate is below average, certainly not elite, and he's a flyball pitcher which leads to a good bit of inconsistency. Basically, he is not an ace, maybe a number 3 starter.
I'm saying if Ned signs him I will cry myself to sleep and rethink my whole obsession with baseball.
With a low BABIP, perhiprals aren't as important as they usually are, since you can count on more balls in play being turned into outs. Thus, Zito's unspectular K/BB isn't really an issue.
The fact that the guy doesn't get hurt is baffling to me. He's possibly the least efficent pitcher in baseball (in his most efficent year, he still threw the 11th most pitches per batter in baseball) yet he still gets his innings in, so he ends up with high pitch counts. Despite this, he's never gone on the DL.
I wouldn't sign him, but it's not the end of the world if we do.